Here are your best-case scenarios for Georgia, Georgia Tech

Mark Richt would smile at BCS bowl.

Richt would smile if Dogs made it to BCS bowl.

Paul Johnson's team could be better than expected.

Johnson's team could be better than expected.

Nobody has played a game yet and optimism reigns on most campuses this side of Coral Gables (NCAA investigators tend to put a damper on things). So this seems like a good time to pose the question: What’s the best that Georgia and Georgia Tech fans realistically can hope for this season?

ESPN The Magazine — the publication that turned Michael Vick white — listed Georgia as one of five dark-horses with at least five losses last season as a contender for a BCS bowl. The other four: Arizona State (6-6), Notre Dame (8-5), Iowa (8-5), South Carolina (9-5). The Bulldogs obviously stand out in that group. They were the only team with a losing record (6-7) and certainly the only one that lost to Colorado. A BCS bowl? Really?

And what’s the best Tech fans can hope for? The Jackets went from two winning seasons and an ACC championship in 2009 to a 6-7 record and a loss to Kansas last season. Which is the aberration?

Here, in my view, are the respective ceilings for both teams this season:

– GEORGIA. Best case: 10-2 regular season, loss to Alabama in the SEC championship game, win in the bowl game (11-3 overall). And no, I’m not predicting 11-3. But that’s not an unreasonable expectation given the schedule. If the Bulldogs can manage even a split of their first two games against Boise State and South Carolina, the schedule becomes their friend. They don’t play Alabama, LSU or Arkansas from the SEC West, and they should be even or better than anybody else. Then again, this is the team that loss to Colorado, Mississippi State and Central Florida last year. Logic says they’ll lose at least two or three games, which still could be good enough to win the East and get them into the conference championship game. But I don’t see anybody from the East beating Alabama.

– GEORGIA TECH. Best case: 8-4 regular season, win a bowl game (9-4 overall). I get the feeling the Jackets are going to be better than people think, though still not nearly BCS worthy. There’s probably three teams better than them in the ACC Coastal (Virginia Tech, North Carolina and presumably Miami, assuming half the team isn’t suspended). Florida State,  North Carolina State and possibly Clemson are better in the Atlantic. The Jackets play five of those six teams (not FSU). Even if Paul Johnson’s team is better than expected, it’s difficult to imagine them losing less than three conference games, before the Georgia game.

So those are the best-case scenarios.

As for the worst-case scenarios, they’re not difficult to imagine. We saw them last season.

OK, your turn. What’s the best record, bowl game included, do you think Georgia or Georgia Tech can hope for?

By Jeff Schultz

207 comments Add your comment

Dawglasville

August 29th, 2011
9:49 am

I’m ready. “Let’s get the picture.” “Toe meets leather.” This is Christmas Eve when anything is possible.

GTman

August 29th, 2011
9:50 am

How does a best case scenario not include us beating UGA?

Cmon man

August 29th, 2011
9:56 am

@gtman that wouldnt a best case scenario that would be a miracle!

Simeon Rice N Gravy

August 29th, 2011
9:58 am

10-2 for the Dawgs

5-7 for the buggz

Cmon man

August 29th, 2011
9:58 am

Mike Lum

August 29th, 2011
10:01 am

GTman is the first of a wave of posters with unrealistic expectations for Tech. Tech will be doing good to extent their bowl streak. I just wish they’d quit getting embarrassed in bowl games.

Worm

August 29th, 2011
10:02 am

Gerorgia’s fate will be decided early..It’ll take a couple of months to see about tech.

Kdawg

August 29th, 2011
10:02 am

Best case for Dawgs is 10-2. For the Jackets it’s beating the Dawgs.

Worm

August 29th, 2011
10:03 am

That’d be GEORGIA..Too much coffee.

lanier

August 29th, 2011
10:03 am

if you are talkin best case right now its both of them undfeated

JB

August 29th, 2011
10:06 am

Well, first thing. ole Paul better lay off the fried fish and hushpuppies. He’ll be back to wearing that 2x baggy navy blue wind suit on the sidelines rather than Khakis. Tech and Georgia will both have winning seasons, but nothing to write home about. Dawgs could win 8 and so could Tech. Anything north of that for both would be considered a good year. Play Ball.

Clay

August 29th, 2011
10:10 am

GT beating UGA is an aberration…not something that should be considered as something that happens with any regularity. Tech has beaten UGA 5 times since 1990. I guess–with a record like that–a Tech win would be a “best case scenario.”

T3

August 29th, 2011
10:13 am

GT: Best case 8-4 ???? Just more useless tripe from the AJC.

GT goes 10-2, blasts VT, wins the ACC-Coastal, and beats UGA.

Been saying it for the past 8 weeks.

BullDogMike

August 29th, 2011
10:15 am

Beating Boise would be like having dessert before the main course. The main course being Carolina. If the Dawgs split the first two, and they beat gamecocks , they are in excellent shape. Other way around and SEC East becomes very tuff to win. We will find out in about two weeks……

Team Dream

August 29th, 2011
10:19 am

Agree Jeff … best case is 9-4 overall for GT and 10-3 overall for UGA (I can’t see UGA getting to the SECCG though).

GT’s schedule set up nicely for at least 7 or 8 wins, IMHO. As long as they don’t have that game where they “fall asleep at the wheel” (exhibit ‘A’ = Kansas last year). Supposedly more pass plays are on the horizon and a possible glimpse of Freshman QB Vad Lee … we shall see.

Sky’s the limit for UGA … provided they’ve gotten rid of that attitude ‘virus’ that plagued the team last year and led to WAY too many losses for a team with their talent (exhibit ‘A’ = either Colorado or UCF in the bowl game last year). Really excited to see Crowell show what he can do running the ball.

The GT vs UGA game is a toss-up in my book … hopefully BOTH teams will be 100% healthy and running on all cylinders come Nov 26th!!

Diablo69

August 29th, 2011
10:21 am

In 2008 a team with a lot of unproven talent and low expectations won 9 games and beat UGA. If history repeats itself this will be a good year for GT.

Omnipotent One

August 29th, 2011
10:25 am

GT = 10-2
UGA = 5-7

/blog

techfan

August 29th, 2011
10:26 am

Best case for both teams is 14-0 with a MNC. Anything less then that is basically estimating how good they will be which is not a best case scenario at all. I wonder if some reporter Alabama did a best case scenario for Auburn last year.

PMC

August 29th, 2011
10:28 am

North Carolina is going to be a train wreck. Fired the coach already. Miami, yeah, Jacori Harris has NEVER been consistent when he was eligible and he’s not. Clemson always has talent, and they never do anything with it. If Georgia Tech can score enough to compensate for an average defense and not turn the ball over, they could absolutely compete with Va Tech.

FSU should be much better this year but the ACC is not so good anyone should be counting themselves out at a school where the turmoil has been rather light.

ArkyTech

August 29th, 2011
10:31 am

Wow, pretty low ceiling for GT. Even with last year’s debacle they beat UNC and went down to the wire vs. UGA and VT. The big thing missing when it comes to evaluating the ACC is that nearly every team on GT’s schedule is replacing a QB – including all 5 of those teams listed as “better” than Tech. Anyway, this Tech fan is very happy with where the team is going on. If the defense shows improvement and the we get steady QB play this team COULD win 9-10 games like the 2008 team

Mr. Peterson vs Bozo

August 29th, 2011
10:34 am

dawgs will get creamed in their ghetto gear. Boise 36 dawgs 9

T3

August 29th, 2011
10:35 am

Here’s a recap from my previous early 2011 predcitions for UGA:

In January I predicated that ONE OR BOTH, Ealey and/or King,
would both be gone by the end of Spring paractice. Both are gone.

One of the other big UGA predcitions I have made repeatedly that has CLEARLY angered
UGA Super-Homer Chip Towers because Chip Towers doesnt allow TRUTH to be posted on his blog.. He’s so angry about my post that he wont allow it any more.

I predicted that UGA would give Boise State QB transfer Michael Tamburro a full athletic
scholarship in September. The scholly is simply quid pro quo for Tamburro telling UGA
everything he can about Boise State.

There’s simply NO WAY Tamburro’s family gives up an ALREADY SECURED AND FUNDED COLLEGE $250,000 Scholarship, just to have their son “walk-on” at UGA at family expense.
Folks, THAT DOESNT HAPPEN.

So, since September begins this week, news about Tamburros scholarship
should be forthcoming in the next few weeks, or as soon as Monday afternoon,
if UGA beats Boise State.

Look for that Tamburro “announcement” soon.

JB

August 29th, 2011
10:36 am

I know Tech folks don’t care, and I don’t blame them, but NOBODY from the National print media Or TV media is giving Tech ANY love for this year. Not one. Wonder what they know?

Russ, the Temporary Mascot

August 29th, 2011
10:36 am

In a best case scenario, a little dog sells his game-used bowl to a sports agent for $1 million and is seen running off the field with a cute little poodle. Instead, let’s just hope enough running backs remain eligible so I don’t have to play more than a few snaps a quarter.

SEC Fan

August 29th, 2011
10:37 am

Richt is still Richt. 8-4 for UGA. One of those loses being UF. Don’t fret Richt-o-philes, he’ll be back. Adams and McGarity like mediocrity.

JB

August 29th, 2011
10:42 am

Russ, you better find another gig. Went to the Augusta Bulldog club affair the other night honoring Sonny Siler. The New Uga has been born and will make his first showing at the homecoming game this year. Talk is to have you clipped and retired. Ouch!

JB

August 29th, 2011
10:43 am

SEC Fan….I agree about Adams. Still holding out hope for McGarity. Most say most of the moves by Richt have come from him.

GT Guy

August 29th, 2011
10:44 am

For Tech fans there is only one thing we care about which makes any season a best case scenario. Beating those ugly mutts from Athens!!

JB

August 29th, 2011
10:47 am

GT Guy…………………ONE in the last 10 and not many in the last 25-30 years. Paul’s best has been unable to beat Mark’s worst the last two years, and I don’t care how Tech folks spin it, the talent on the flats is getting less, not better.

gold dust,

August 29th, 2011
10:47 am

For the dawgs it all depends on the first two games. If they lose both or get humiliated in one of them, I think that they’ll drop out of the national spotlight, lose motivation and have a bad season. If they win both, then they have a very good shot at the championship game.

As a Tech fan, I’m wildly optimistic. All the positives you’re hearing about the team’s attitude and demeanor is absolutely great news. CPJ didn’t sugarcoat it last year during the preseason that he wasn’t happy about the team’s effort, and look what happened during the regular season. This year, he’s upbeat and he has a lot of young talent. College football is all about young players rising to the challenge to become stars. It’s rare that players come in as 5-star recruits and absolutely blow away all the competition and go on to the NFL after 3 years with an excellent track record. Kids develop and grow and become stars. I expect that to happen on both sides of the ball, especially in the secondary and A-backs corps. We have a lot of explosive players, and our schedule sets up nicely to expose these young guys to progressively tougher competition. I believe they will rise to the task and beat some people we’re not expected to beat. If we can get past UNC and NC State, I think we could have a freight train’s worth of momentum going into the tougher part of our schedule. My hope is to see UGA and Tech meet on Thanksgiving weekend with 8 or more wins each. Wouldn’t that be awesome for everybody?

murfdawg

August 29th, 2011
10:49 am

UGA 10-2 if they win the first two.SECEast champs. 6-6 if they don’t and good-by CMR.

GT 8-4. How can you lose 6 games in the ACC?

Really?

August 29th, 2011
10:56 am

Jeff, you’re saying unc is better than gt? How many times will tech and everybody else have to beat unc to convince biased pundits like yourself that unc does not deserve all the credit they are getting in football? What is Tech’s record against them in the last 5 years??

RAMBLE ON!!!

August 29th, 2011
10:57 am

JB…LOL, Richt’s best wasn’t able to beat Johnson.

The fleabags got lucky winning the last two. It won’t happen this year.

Murray will be out for the season early since his OL won’t protect him.

Fleabags 6-6

GT 9-3

Russ, the Temporary Mascot

August 29th, 2011
11:00 am

JB, I am on the job right now and don’t bet against me. Those “specially-prepared-game-day” bulldogs have exploding hearts and 3 ears. They’ll be wanting me full-time. I have an agent now. I suspect before long they will ask me about another a$$ painting . . . and this time this little dog is going to bite someone.

Potter

August 29th, 2011
11:03 am

The pathetic thing about Tech from a Tech fans(sic)’s standpoint….

Their WORST case scenario has absolutely nothing to do with Tech. Tech fans(sic)’s worst case scenario is UGA starting the season at 2-0.

Tech will also be 2-0, but the nerds will be absolutely beside them self disappointed, since they obsess so dearly on the happenings in Athens.

Enjoy your Thursday night espn3.com game, nerds. I’ll enjoy the nation watching UGA on Saturday night PRIME TIME.

And in November…..

UGA-44
tek- 23

BUBBA KING

August 29th, 2011
11:04 am

T3…Taburro has a scholarship…it’s called an academic scholarship…his tuition is paid, and I’m pretty certain that he won’t be getting a scholly…If we are using him as a spy, and we don’t win…we need to, as Mr. Coach Bouliou from Waterboy would say…”Cut His Ass!!!”

C. Tampa Ironworse

August 29th, 2011
11:08 am

Sorry…I don’t see GT winning the ACC in 2009 when I tried to pull that info. Did I miss something?

Really?

August 29th, 2011
11:10 am

I’ll enjoy the nation watching UGA get embarassed on Saturday night PRIME TIME.

Russ, the Temporary Mascot

August 29th, 2011
11:12 am

I’m trying to make friends with Coach Grantham. He is probably going to be our next coach when Coach Richt leaves because all the Georgia people are working elsewhere and seem to be pretty happy. They all got raises and promotions recently. Grantham was about our 7th choice for DC but he got the big payday to say, yes. $750,000 a year will buy a lot of doughnuts. Anyway, ever so often I will bring him a doughnut over and he reaches over and pets my head while he eats. He doesn’t seem to care about all the slobber on the doughnut. He’s my kind of guy.

South DeKalb Hurricane Alumni

August 29th, 2011
11:12 am

PMC it’s Jacory Harris and the Miami Offense and Defense has and will continue to be faster and stronger than GA Tech. Look I am not hating on you guys but you can’t have looked at the last few games like the 2010 just for example and said to yourself that your triple option works against a faster defense. Then your own defense can’t cover down field and you can’t stop the run. Miami’s defense, UNC and FSU all play position football that stops your stops your option. It will continue to stop it, look at what Iowa did in the bowl game to GA Tech.

Last point unless GA Tech is going to start passing the ball there is no reason to fear them.

bubba4dawgs

August 29th, 2011
11:13 am

What I just can’t bring myself to understand is so many are predicting that the DAWGS will be beaten by Tennessee. Now, come on! Tennessee is made up of 70% Freshmen and Sophomores. Do they think the DAWGS get frightened of the big ole stadium? Tennessee should be improved this year but so are the DAWGS! I think South Carolina and Mississippi State pose the biggest hurdle but both are played at home. They won’t be smooth sailing but are certainly winnable. The DAWGS are really hungry for Florida and I believe they will be ready for them. GO DAWGS!!

South DeKalb Hurricane Alumni

August 29th, 2011
11:14 am

Then take a look at the http://www.athlonsports.com report your top five Rankings in the : ACC

Florida State
Virginia Tech
Miami
NC State
. Maryland

Dawg Tell

August 29th, 2011
11:15 am

Best case 9 and 3 with a win in the Capital One bowl.What will happen, 8 and 4 with a win in the Outback Bowl. They will lose to USCe and Gators again this year. Hope not,but I will pass judgement after Sept.3.Go Dawgs.

JB

August 29th, 2011
11:15 am

The 2 most overrated coach’s in college football. Peterson and Johnson.
Peterson by running up wins against a lot of Patsies…..And Johnson the same playing a lot of ill equipped athletes playing against his offense, which when playing big, slow defenses, who can’t stop it. Very athletic teams can. Tech’s defense has always been suspect under Johnson…and still is. Tech will be average from here on out with Johnson. Lotta gruff talk, not much more.

BiggdawgK

August 29th, 2011
11:18 am

None of the posters who say they will be disapointed if UGA doesn’t beat boise st by at least (fill in the blank) are Dawg fans. Just more of the typical sad little haters who live on the ajc.

the broncos are ranked anywhere from 4 to7 for a reason and it’s because they are a very good team on both sides of the ball. The majority of posters throwing out these “Bulldogs win by 4 td’s” predictions are doing so for ammo. That way when UGA hopefully wins the game but it’s close, those same haters can post about how “Georgia barely won it’s going to be a horrible year, Oh no if they can’t put up 60 against boise st the sec will murder them blah blah blah

James K. Polk

August 29th, 2011
11:18 am

Am I the only Georgia fan who roots for Tech in every game but one?

Dawg Tell

August 29th, 2011
11:19 am

Oh my forcast for the bugs,6 and 6 and no bowl .

Hayseed Dixie

August 29th, 2011
11:22 am

Let’s see Tech’s O-Line blocking and Tevin’s arm.

What do you say, Schultzie? About three games in we should know who Tech really is?

We’ll have a pretty good idea of UGA after Boise State.

1eyedJack

August 29th, 2011
11:24 am

The best case scenario would be that AJC actually sent it’s reporters out to interview people and write stories based on what they see and hear instead of just reading the Internet and regurgitating it to us.

Herschel Talker

August 29th, 2011
11:27 am

Schultzie:

There isn’t one team on that schedule that isn’t beatable. Mark Richt will find a way to screw it up and lose like 4 of them, but the best case is 12-0 up to the SEC title game. No one can point to one definitive loss on talent alone.

HT