Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles will come to Atlanta for the NFC championship game. And the Falcons will win.
Tom Brady and the New England Patriots will win the AFC title and go to Dallas to the face the Falcons in the Super Bowl. And the Falcons will win.
So it is written.
On a website.
There is a website called PlayoffStatus.com, which I had never heard of before today, but it just became one of my favorite bookmarks because it gave me an easy blog. The site breaks down almost every sport — NFL, NBA, NHL, NASCAR, Formula 1, soccer, even college hockey — and gives percentages on each team’s playoff chances.
The list that jumped out at me was the NFL Postseason Probabilities.
The site, which bases percentages on past results and remaining strength of schedule, says the Falcons have a 91 percent chance to make the playoffs. That’s not a surprise. But it gets better.
They have a 75 percent chance to win at least one playoff game, a 46 percent chance to get to the NFC championship, a 26 percent chance to get to the Super Bowl and a 14 percent chance to win it all. Those percentages are higher than any of the other 31 NFL teams.
If the percentages play out as PlayoffStatus.com sees it, the Falcons will defeat Vick and the Eagles –which is the next highest ranked NFC team — for the conference championship. In the AFC, New England would defeat the New York Jets.
Then at the Super Bowl, the Falcons would defeat the Patriots, based on their current 14 percent title chances, which is two points higher than New England (12).
So. Matt Ryan over Michael Vick followed by Matt Ryan over Tom Brady?
Would this city ever recover from that hangover?
Here are the top 12 ranked teams, with Super Bowl and respective conference title chances:
Team Super NFC/AFC
Falcons 14 26
Patriots 12 23
Jets 12 22
Eagles 7 13
Giants 6 13
Ravens 6 13
Steelers 6 13
Packers 6 12
Bears 6 11
Colts 5 11
Saints 5 9
Bucs 4 8
Now, I realize this is all for fun. Percentages will change every week. But it’s something interesting to look at every week.
For what its worth, I’m trying to get in contact with the site’s administrator. If I can, I’ll let you know if he owns Falcons’ season tickets. Or if his name is Arthur Blank.