Computers say: Georgia No. 60; Georgia Tech No. 45

I would imagine this is what it looks like in headquarters of Colley Matrix.

I would imagine this is what it looks like in headquarters of Colley Matrix.

Since the BCS standings came out last night, I’ve had a few fans ask me what it would take for Georgia or Georgia Tech to crack the upper levels of the rankings.

The short answer is: an unexplained series of events, most likely orchestrated by mysterious cosmic forces.

I’m going to remove the human polls used in the BCS — the Harris poll and the USA Today coaches’ poll — from this discussion because far be it for me to project the emotions of a voter who’s sitting on his couch in South Bumpstead.

There are six computer polls used in the BCS formula. When you see where Georgia and Georgia Tech are ranked by the computers, you will realize just how low the programs are sitting.

Hello, Dogs: You’re No. 60.

Hello, Jackets: You’re No. 45.

Those are only the averages. The six computer rankings are Anderson & Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Peter Wolfe. Here’s how each of the six ranks Georgia and Georgia Tech:

Anderson & Hester: Georgia 60, Georgia Tech 46.

Billingsley: Georgia 65, Georgia Tech 31.

Colley Matrix: Georgia 72, Georgia Tech 40.

Massey: Georgia 44, Georgia Tech 41.

Sagarin: Georgia 48, Georgia Tech 60.

Peter Wolfe: Georgia 74, Georgia Tech 52.

The averarages: Georgia 60.5, Georgia Tech 45.

Each poll includes a strength-of-schedule factor. So obviously the Dogs could significantly improve themselves if they upset Auburn or Florida (though the Gators have slid way down), and the Jackets could do the same by winning the next three games: Clemson, Virginia Tech, Miami.

But both have a long climb up. As coaches preach, it’s probably best just to focus 0n the next game.

Follow me on Twitter @JeffSchultzAJC and Facebook.com/JeffSchultzAJC

385 comments Add your comment

Wrecker

October 18th, 2010
10:17 am

It’s not good that we have all of this young talent in the state, but the state programs are having such down years.

go Dawgs

October 18th, 2010
10:24 am

Computers were probably made by techies – explains the screw up

PUP FAN

October 18th, 2010
10:25 am

Any one know what day and time the UGA games are replayed on CSS?
Thanks and GO DAWGS!!!!!

SadDawg

October 18th, 2010
10:26 am

Ain’t that the truth, Wrecker.

Well, the good news is the BCS poll didn’t come out two weeks ago – we’d probably been DFL.

But the scoreboard....

October 18th, 2010
10:30 am

still says 30-24
(and 73-66)

GT '06

October 18th, 2010
10:30 am

“go Dawgs” – You lost 4 straight, nuff said. As far as the computers, how can you trust them when 2 of them have LSU ranked #1? BCS seems more and more like a huge joke year after year.

German Shepherd Dawg

October 18th, 2010
10:34 am

We weren’t as bad as everyone said when we lost four in a row. Three to teams now ranked in the top 25, and we got Colorado on an emotional high when they’re celebrating their 20th anniversary of the NC…and we still should have won the game except for a fumble.

We can’t afford to look past Kentucky, but if this team takes it one game at a time, we’ll be okay at the end of the season. Signing day isn’t until February. Remember Da’rick Rogers last year? People even change schools on signing day every year.

Sanford Drive

October 18th, 2010
10:35 am

(((((30-24)))))

Aaron Murray > Josh Nesbitt. And I’m talking passing and rushing!

dagnabit

October 18th, 2010
10:35 am

I understand better now Jeff. Thanks.

Computers say:

October 18th, 2010
10:36 am

That the Nesbitt for Heisman joke is the funniest ever told

Computers say:

October 18th, 2010
10:37 am

D. Dooley is a failure

Dawg House

October 18th, 2010
10:37 am

I have NO answers for the Colorado loss, being that we did have AJ back, and he was a difference maker there, despite a loss.

However, there is ZERO denying that wer are a different team with him on the field, and the close losses to SCAR, ARKY and MISS ST could have gone a completely different way with him on the field.

I know you Tech fans expect all UGA fans to be down and out, but it’s far from true. We love our team more now than ever before, and we will only continue to get better leading up to Thanksgving. I wouldn;t want to play us then, and you’re going to have to.

GO DAWGS!!!!

Computers say:

October 18th, 2010
10:38 am

30-24 BBBUUUHHHUUUUWWWAAAHHHAAA
73-66 Double BUUUHHHUUUWWWAAAWWWWAAAAA

Dawg House

October 18th, 2010
10:41 am

And Schultz, you truly cannot stand to see Bradley write an article with a flicker of optimism about UGA, without you having to jumppn your computer and write an article to try and squash said optimism.

In wish to god the AJC would hire bloggers who actually support the local Universities.

g

October 18th, 2010
10:43 am

The dawgs will whip the jackasses once again!

Dr. Phil

October 18th, 2010
10:44 am

Mark Richt reminds me of the band director on the Titanic.

Dawglasville

October 18th, 2010
10:45 am

They both look like 6-6, 7-5 teams to me. Time will tell.

Ted M

October 18th, 2010
10:48 am

Holy crap Dawg House if Jeff didn’t wright this blog we wouldn’t know where the teams were rated.

I wanted to know.

LLOYD CHRISTMAS

October 18th, 2010
10:53 am

That #64 preseason ranking looks dead on right about now.

jtdawg

October 18th, 2010
10:53 am

GT ‘06
- smartest thing I’ve ever heard a North Avenue Trade Schooler say….

LLOYD CHRISTMAS

October 18th, 2010
10:54 am

The Dream Team!!!!!!!!!

jtdawg

October 18th, 2010
10:55 am

LLOYD CHRISTMAS

I was absolutely fuming a couple of weeks ago when it looked like the idiot in Orlando that wrote that column maybe had the Dawgs pegged about right, to our dismay….

But the same idiot also thinks the GayTurds are college football’s gift to the modern world…. :)

LLOYD CHRISTMAS

October 18th, 2010
10:57 am

You can’t trust anything writers ever say jt.

spider

October 18th, 2010
10:59 am

tech has only 1 more winnable game on their shed now, DUKE

MURPHY

October 18th, 2010
10:59 am

PUP FAN,

UGA replays on Sunday’s at 11am and 4pm

MURPHY

October 18th, 2010
11:00 am

PUP FAN,

On CSS tonight 10pm-The Dawg Report

juvenal

October 18th, 2010
11:04 am

either team willget ranked by winning out so they can be destroyed in a bowl(sadly, GT less likely to do first, more likely to do latter, given the opportunity)

Computers say:

October 18th, 2010
11:05 am

CPJ needs support for his chesticals

WreckIt

October 18th, 2010
11:06 am

<– Excited to still be playing meaningful football in October. We could have had a september like the Dogs and have our hopes in the hands of others. Even if winning the ACC is like being the King of Djibouti, I'd rather be king. Both teams' fans should stop worrying about the polls and about Kentucky/Clemson.

PUP FAN

October 18th, 2010
11:07 am

Thanks MURPHY!

RambleOn84

October 18th, 2010
11:08 am

MC

October 18th, 2010
11:09 am

After GT’s last 5 games we’ll be lucky to be ranked in the top 100. I think Gus Malzahm should give PJ an offensive clinic. Teach him how to score 65 points without being able to throw the ball. PJ is a stubborn jackazz and it’s about to catch up with him.

LLOYD CHRISTMAS

October 18th, 2010
11:15 am

Why do we only hate our coaches when they lose?

[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by ajc sports editor, Matt Blaszka and BCS Bites, Jeff Schultz. Jeff Schultz said: Computers say: Georgia No. 60; Georgia Tech No. 45 http://bit.ly/avhEWY [...]

Mark

October 18th, 2010
11:16 am

Fortunately in doesn’t matter were the computers rank them in relation to one another. They actually get to decide it on the field! Didn’t beauty pagent contestant Ohio State show us the value of polls ths weekend?

dobearsbare

October 18th, 2010
11:16 am

One of the posts above got me curious, so I looked it up and I’m posting without comment for the sake of comparison.

Josh Nesbitt:
33-83 (39.8 percent), 591 yards 2 INT, 6 TDs passing
145 attempts for 764 yards, 8 TDs rushing
1,355 total yards, 14 total touchdowns

Aaron Murray:
112-181 (61.9 percent), 1,653 yards, 3 INT, 12 TDs passing
51 attempts for 158 net yards, 4 TDs rushing
1,811 total yards, 16 total touchdowns

RambleOn84

October 18th, 2010
11:17 am

Gus Malzahn is a great coordinator, but Johnson has been running his offense with success for 2 decades…give it a rest.

Cumming Dawg

October 18th, 2010
11:18 am

Rambleon84 seems to have an obsession with men having sex with animals. Probably something that happened to him at the experimental age

court

October 18th, 2010
11:19 am

“but Johnson has been running his offense with success for 2 decades…give it a rest.”

Against high school and junior college level opponents, sure. His offense, and system in general, clearly does not work at the elite level. Stop drinking the koolaid.

RambleOn84

October 18th, 2010
11:19 am

Murray is a very good young QB.

Nesbitt is a much better runner.

Murray is a better passer, but let’s also remember Murray has a much better supporting cast in the passing game.

RambleOn84

October 18th, 2010
11:22 am

“Cumming Dawg” is not the name I would choose to call myself when responding to the story I posted…

I was just playing…the picture of that guy was too good not to post here.

But just to clarify for the overly sensitive Dawg fans: no, this 39 year old man from Colquitt County is not actually a UGA recruit.

ques

October 18th, 2010
11:22 am

Ramble,

Murray has only had Green for 3 games. Why don’t we just remember that Murray is a better pure quarterback than your linebacker attempting to play QB.

Btw, how is that Heisman campaign going?

GT '06

October 18th, 2010
11:22 am

jtdawg – Not saying that I think U(sic)GA is better, just that computers are a load of crap. Human polls aren’t entirely the best, but I think they are somewhat accurate. The point is the game is played on the field. We’ll know who is better after the 60 minutes run out on Nov 27 and we should likewise have some sort of playoff.

dobearsbare – In Nesbitt’s defense he should have something like 15 more completions if his receivers hadn’t dropped balls that were in their hands. Aaron Murray is a talented QB but I think what they both have in common is they both play their hearts out.

Ezekiel

October 18th, 2010
11:24 am

Hasn’t been a banner season for either program but both have their big games still ahead including playing each other. Paul Johnson’s teams historically come on and play well the last 4-5 games of the season, Tech fans are hoping for that this year. Talk more Tech football at: http://BBuzzOff.com

Zach

October 18th, 2010
11:24 am

as usual

October 18th, 2010
11:24 am

Looks like when we play GT this year it will be a typical “lose/lose” scenario for the Dawgs. If they beat the nerds, so what, they suck and you are supposed to while gaining no ground in the polls. If you lose, they are horrible and you drop 10 spots.

Man I can’t wait until Ga. State starts getting some recruits and gives us some real competition.

REGGIE BALL-REMEMBER ME?

October 18th, 2010
11:25 am

RambleOn84,

I was better than Nesbitt and Murray!

Dawg in SC

October 18th, 2010
11:25 am

RambleOn84

October 18th, 2010
11:26 am

What exactly would you consider the “elite level?”

I am assuming you mean the SEC…well maybe not, but luckily for Johnson we don’t play in the SEC.

25 wins in two and a half seasons at Tech tells me his offense works just fine…he also has had to do this with the mostly awful OL recruits left over from the Gailey era.

Most football coaches get at least three-four years before their work is evaluated, but UGA fans want us to crucify Johnson because he hasn’t won a National Title at a school we are constantly told is pathetic in only 3 years…some logic you guys use.

12 arrested uga players

October 18th, 2010
11:26 am

where da bailbondzmen at? i gots ta get out to get some nooky.