Is the BCS championship party finally over for SEC?
Will an SEC team get its hands on BCS "Coaches' Trophy" this year?
The BCS championship game was designed to determine the best college football team in the land. What it mostly has done is reaffirm the best conference in the land.
SEC teams have won the last four titles and the most overall (six) since the BCS championship began in 1998.
The conference standings of BCS games look like Godzilla vs. Bambi.
Ready? Listed in order of wins: SEC 6-0, Big 12 2-5, ACC 1-2, Big East 1-2, Big Ten 1-2, Pacific 10 1-1 (and USC’s win has been detonated by NCAA probation).
With that as a backdrop, here’s what the SEC is looking at today: The possible end of the party. The first BCS rankings came out Sunday night and there are three teams — Oklahoma, Oregon and Boise State — before you get to the first entry from the SEC (Auburn). A lot can happen in the next seven weeks (conference championship games included). But right now odds are against an SEC team making it into the BCS national title game.
Here is how things lay out for the three SEC teams with a title game shot (including their BCS ranking):
4. Auburn (7-0): If the Tigers win out, they almost certainly will make it into the game because of their strength of schedule. But that means defeating LSU, Alabama (road), Mississippi and Georgia. What are the odds of that?
6. LSU (7-0): LSU also has the strength of schedule thing going for it. But Les Miles has walked on hot coals all season and his luck may be running out: The Tigers’ next two games are at Auburn and against Alabama. The regular season’s final game on the schedule: at Arkansas. It’s not going to be easy.
8. Alabama (6-1): The Tide was upset by South Carolina two weeks ago. In addition to the aforementioned meetings against Auburn and at LSU, a meeting with Mississippi State suddenly doesn’t look like a gimme. (Oh, there’s also that game against Georgia State.)
Here’s where we get back to the argument: Is a one-loss SEC team more deserving to get into a title game than an undefeated team from the WAC or Mountain West?
Compare Auburn’s, LSU’s and Alabama’s remaining schedules with other schools near the top of the BCS rankings:
1. Oklahoma (6-0): The Sooners already have beaten Florida State and Texas and have only two difficult games remaining: at Missouri this week and against Oklahoma State at the end of the year, as well as the potential Big 12 title game.
2. Oregon (6-0): The Ducks’ biggest win has been over No. 9 Stanford. It has only one currently ranked opponent left on the schedule (Arizona at home), although road games at USC and at rival Oregon State at the end of the year won’t be easy.
3. Boise State (6-0): This is stacked for the Broncos. Their remaining schedule is like Cupcake Heaven: Louisiana Tech, Hawaii, Idaho, Fresno State, Nevada, Utah State — Nevada (6-1) being the only good team.
5. TCU (7-0): The Horned Frogs also have only one tough opponent left: at Utah (which is No. 9 on the BCS list).
7. Michigan State (7-0): If the Spartans already have beaten Wisconsin and Michigan and don’t play Ohio State. can win at Iowa in two weeks, there’s not another threat on their schedule.
So there it is. Do you agree things look tough for the SEC? And let’s get back to the annual debate: Should a one-loss SEC school get into the title game over an undefeated school from a lesser conference?
The entire BCS rankings:
| Team | BCS Average | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma | .9215 |
| 2 | Oregon | .8921 |
| 3 | Boise State | .8898 |
| 4 | Auburn | .8641 |
| 5 | TCU | .8573 |
| 6 | LSU | .8245 |
| 7 | Michigan State | .7628 |
| 8 | Alabama | .6654 |
| 9 | Utah | .6540 |
| 10 | Ohio State | .5726 |
| 11 | Missouri | .5491 |
| 12 | Stanford | .5374 |
| 13 | Wisconsin | .5335 |
| 14 | Oklahoma State | .5261 |
| 15 | Iowa | .4824 |
| 16 | Nebraska | .4295 |
| 17 | Florida State | .4267 |
| 18 | Arizona | .3807 |
| 19 | Texas | .2214 |
| 20 | West Virginia | .1812 |
| 21 | South Carolina | .1555 |
| 22 | Kansas State | .1422 |
| 23 | Arkansas | .1302 |
| 24 | Mississippi State | .1253 |
| 25 | Virginia Tech | .0658 |
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448 comments Add your comment
SEC who?
October 17th, 2010
11:29 pm
nuff said…..
zebra
October 17th, 2010
11:43 pm
Have we had calls for Richt’s head yet? Fire Mark Richt-he is not in the top 2. Fire him today.
Gen Neyland
October 17th, 2010
11:44 pm
A possible one year sabbatical will not constitute an end to the SEC BCSNCG party. It just means it was our turn to make a beer run…If, if and more if’s.
zebra
October 17th, 2010
11:47 pm
A UGA player got a jaywalking ticket tonight. Fire Mark Richt- he did not cover street crossing like a football coach should have. Completely undisciplined,,,fire Richt for crappy jaywalking oversight. Fire him now.
SEC winners of the last 4 BCS NC
October 17th, 2010
11:48 pm
Masoli was all world in the Pac 10 but can’t hack it in the SEC. Pac 10 wins the championship when they cheat. Big 10–do they ever show up when given a chance to play for all the marbles? ACC…HA HA HA HA! Big 12…2nd best conference in the country. They win BCS championship, whenever they play the Big 10. Big East…worst conference in the country. I will say this: Boise State shows up to play for big games…BOTH times it happens each season.
Basically, I believe a 2 or 3 loss SEC Champion could still be the best team in the country. The problem is the system won’t allow that kind of team to get through to the big game.
I think all the other conferences should have their own playoff. The winner of that tournament plays the SEC champion to determine the National Champion.
SEC who? STFU.
zebra
October 17th, 2010
11:52 pm
Jan Kemp happened 25 years ago. Fire Mark Richt.
Zeb
October 17th, 2010
11:56 pm
Hey Gen………..whadda you still doin up old man?…….lol. Good to see you’re still alive and kickin.
Usmc Dawg
October 18th, 2010
12:02 am
We Need A Playoff System.
BCS Rankings 2010: Breaking Down the LSU Tigers – Bleacher Report — Baton Rouge Real Estate
October 18th, 2010
12:03 am
[...] Football Nation: bowl-look-101710ESPN (blog)Wall Street Journal -Burnt Orange Nation -Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog)all 461 news [...]
why do you let this crap stay on the screen
October 18th, 2010
12:18 am
Jeff, come on… clean this blog up. get these guys off of here who are just throwing insults back and forth at each other. Seriously, what is the sense in allowing WDE’s and these other bloggers’ elementary school arguments to sit around on the blog? Just makes me want to stop reading your stuff because you can’t command respect from your bloggers. You have the ability to stop it don’t you?
Crimson Tide
October 18th, 2010
12:41 am
Auburn fans over here kicking the Bulldogs while there down. I would like to extend an apology to all you Georgia fans. Since Nick Saban’s arrival.. our lil sister program has lived in relative obscurity and as you can see they can’t handle success. RTR
south eastern chumps
October 18th, 2010
12:54 am
what planet are you u g a people living on? BCS bowl? bwahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaa
DawgDad
October 18th, 2010
1:22 am
I expect Auburn to go undefeated, and then get jobbed again in the BCS. Look at it now – there’s NO WAY an undefeated Auburn team is going to out-poll an undefeated Boise State team, and someone else will hang on at the top.
Auburn won’t get any style points. Bama won’t be undefeated, and the experts seem to think this a down year for the SEC as a whole because the traditional powers are losing games. It doesn’t matter how many good teams there are, it’s how many eye-popping victories a top team can rack up and Auburn isn’t going to get any.
Who in their right mind thinks UGA can beat Auburn? Have they been asleep all season? UGA has three conference games left, all three on the road (Kentucky, Florida, Auburn). Good luck. The best chance for a win is the Gators!
Bishop
October 18th, 2010
1:39 am
Georgia State 31
Bama 10
Book it.
captguitarman
October 18th, 2010
1:42 am
Some years back, Auburn ran the table, but was kept out of the BCS championship because an obviously inferior team, Oklahoma, got ranked above Auburn in the beginning of the season, and then never lost a game. Their delusions of grandeur, spurred on by the clueless BCS (strength of schedule, and conference excellence, is not a concept they seem to be able to grasp, were destroyed when USC (a legit contender for the championship) beat the living snot out of Oklahoma in the championship game — one of the worse games and biggest let downs of the college football year — anti-climatic does not quite describe it. And, here we go again. The writer is correct. It will be up hill for the SEC. Auburn of LSU could run the table and be closed out of he championship this year by teams (Boise State, are you kidding me? -one Little Sisters of the Poor game in their schdedule after another) who could never compete week to week in the SEC and have such a won-lost record. The best SEC teams have one or two losses because they have to play other SEC teams. Week in and week out in the SEC, every game is a real game. My God, Kentucky just beat South Carolina, which just beat Alabama, and so on. There are no gimmes in the SEC, on any Saturday — ever. As soon as you think that, you will lose. Last year, for example, Ole Miss beat Florida. This just may be a year that nothing can be done. You can bet that the other conferences, and their supporters, and BCS politicians are really getting tired of this, and whether legit or not, they do not want to see the SEC win it all again this year, even if they produce an undefeated team, or a team beaten only by an SEC team. But, it was a good run.
Jason
October 18th, 2010
2:10 am
This poll must be incorrect…I dont see Florida listed anywhere. (Oh yeah, that’s because they suck this year!!)
Lance
October 18th, 2010
2:12 am
I bet Willie Martinez is laughing now.
JASon
October 18th, 2010
2:36 am
Jeff, you guys support the SEC to a fault. You’ve got that nimrod who calls himself “mr. college football” who said he thought Alabama was the team to beat this year…even after losing 8 seniors on defense and starting a young qb.
I’m not saying don’t support the SEC. Just don’t let it cloud your judgement. This may surprise you, but many of us pay attention to conferences other than the SEC, and teams like oregon and tcu. We don’t support a team just because it is in the south.
LSU debuts at No. 6 in first BCS standings – Monroe News Star — Baton Rouge Real Estate
October 18th, 2010
2:55 am
[...] Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog) [...]
Blair Kerkhoff | Oklahoma will bring a BCS target to Columbia on Saturday – Kansas City Star | SportsZrr.com
October 18th, 2010
2:57 am
[...] Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog) [...]
JSS
October 18th, 2010
4:05 am
Yawn!!! Thanksgiving weekend can’t get here soon enough! All you college football fans just Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk, Talk!!! Please shut up and watch the games…
LSU debuts at #6 in BCS rankings – WBXH — Baton Rouge Real Estate
October 18th, 2010
5:18 am
[...] Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog) [...]
HenryCountyGT
October 18th, 2010
6:07 am
@dawgpound who said:
“if the dawgs can take the SEC east and then win in Atlanta, any chance of us making it to BCS game? surely we’d be ranked in top 5?”
Dear dawgpound, if the dawgs win this week they’ll finally be at .500. Please, step away from the bong.
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:13 am
the BCS is a national beauty contest with two semifinalist picked by the judges getting a chance to be queen. The only football teams in GA that can claim a title are GA Southern and VSU. They went through a 16 team playoff. I love my Dawgs and Saturday college football, but the BCS and all those who drink the koolaide make me want to PUKE!!!!
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:26 am
I am so tired of ESPN telling me college football’s regular season would be meaningless if it wasn’t for the BCS, that’s pure bull…
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:29 am
Hey dogs,
Still liking that 3-4? Oh I’m sorry, that’s your record, not the defense your attempting to run.
Hahahahahaha.
Harris Poll
1 Oregon (77) 6-0 2774 2
2 Boise State (29) 6-0 2685 3
3 TCU (3) 7-0 2516 4
4 Oklahoma (4) 6-0 2486 6
5 Auburn 7-0 2410 7
6 LSU 7-0 2164 9
7 Alabama 6-1 2092 8
8 Michigan State 7-0 1964 12
9 Utah 6-0 1925 10
10 Ohio State 6-1 1761 1
11 Wisconsin 6-1 1646 16
12 Iowa 5-1 1511 15
13 Stanford 5-1 1455 14
14 Nebraska 5-1 1322 5
15 Oklahoma State 6-0 1247 18
16 Missouri 6-0 1196 19
17 Florida State 6-1 1124 17
18 Arizona 5-1 1037 21
19 West Virginia 5-1 663 25
20 Arkansas 4-2 579 13
21 South Carolina 4-2 576 11
22 Texas 4-2 397 NR
23 Virginia Tech 5-2 242 NR
24 Miami (FL) 4-2 213 NR
25 Kansas State 5-1 143 NR
25 Nevada 6-1 143 20
26 Mississippi State 129,
27 Michigan 64,
28 Northwestern 57,
29 Florida 46,
30 Air Force 30,
31 Oregon State 27,
32 North Carolina 22,
33 Hawaii 21,
34 North Carolina State 19,
35 Georgia Tech 19,
36 Baylor 12,
37 East Carolina 3,
38 San Diego State 2,
39 Southern Miss 1,
40 Washington 1,
41 Purdue 1
WHO PUT THE DOGS OUT? WHO, WHO, WHO, WHO
WHO PUT THE DOGS OUT? WHO, WHO, WHO, WHO
Georgia Tech, that’s who-
((((((((((((((((((((((((( 45-42 ))))))))))))))))))))))))) hahaha
Glad it still stings!
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:41 am
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:26 am
I am so tired of ESPN telling me college football’s regular season would be meaningless if it wasn’t for the BCS, that’s pure bull…
kral:
I am so tired of DOGS telling me their college football team is anything but meaningless. Your just mad because the BCS has your team ranked 72nd. Hahahaha. That’s what years of trash talking will do for you little man. Enjoy the battom for a while-LOOOOOZER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Deepdiver
October 18th, 2010
6:41 am
Dude, Georgia is not making it to BCS game with three losses. Won’t happen. Never. Plus, we’ll have more losses by the end of the season.
JacketFan
October 18th, 2010
6:41 am
Shultzie, I think it’s a bit premature to be singing a dirge for the SEC. Oklahoma has quite a gauntlet to get through – games v/s Texas, Mizzou, OkieState and Nebraska – before we can crown them a sure thing. Oregon still plays USC, OreState and Washington (yeah, the team that just knocked off an unbeaten Saturday night) and Boise’s SOS is going to probably keep them in a holding pattern at number 3. Barring an implosion by the rest of the FBS, Boise probably won’t make it to the Nat’l Championship. It’s still anyone’s game.
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:42 am
Va Tech number 25 in the BCS are you F…… kidding me. Did I read that wrong ? Lord what a mess.
Deepdiver
October 18th, 2010
6:43 am
It’s amazing. College Basketball’s regular season is not meaningless. I guess that blows up College Football’s argument against a playoff for Division I.
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:43 am
KRAL:
YOU LIKED THAT BCS SYSTEM WHEN IT HAD YOU RANKED HIGHER THAN 72ND AND PLAYING IN NON SHREVEPORT TYPE BOWLS. Hahahahahahahahahaha! Stay in the back of the bus LOOOOZZZZZER!!!!!!
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:48 am
First of all I am a little man.. about 5′ 8″ but Yellow Fuzz I have followed college football since 1960…taught Special Ed. for 30 years and retired…coached football,basketball, and baseball on the nigh school level…By the way are you one of my previus students yellowsh…
AU Civ Engineer
October 18th, 2010
6:49 am
As both an Auburn alumnus and fan, please let me clarify on the supposed two mascot issue:
1. The Tigers are Auburn’s sole mascot
2. ‘War Eagle!’ is Auburn’s battle cry
We’re not the only college program to do this as Alabama’s mascot is the Crimson Tide, yet they parade an elephant on their sidelines and on many emblems. I suppose that a crimson wave didn’t look intimidating enough.
That being said, WAR DAMN EAGLE please do not stoop into the blog gutter with all the legions of UGA and UAT fans. Let’s show everyone that Auburn fans are cut above either fan base that mostly consists of people that have not attended either school.
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:50 am
I see the big bad dog nation falling short of Shreveport and getting off I-20 West for the Papa Johns Pizza Bowl in Glamorous Birmingham Alabama. Glad Georgia Tech will be a determining factor in this proper ending to another substandard season!
((((( Hahahahahahahaha-Hhahahahahahahaha )))))
CGA
October 18th, 2010
6:51 am
What has happened to the cries of “Fire Mark Richt” and ” Fire Bobo”? Who knew that winning against lowly Vanderbilt was all that was needed to satisfy the UGA fans and make everything alright with the world? Suddenly beating a 2-4 team makes UGA think they can win their weak division and go on to BCS glory? Hilarious!
jeff
October 18th, 2010
6:52 am
Jeff S. asked “Is a one-loss SEC team more deserving to get into a title game than an undefeated team from the WAC or Mountain West?” I seem to remember that a MWC blasted a SEC team in the Sugar Bowl 2 years ago. So the answer is YES! The only way to settle this is on the field. Utah, TCU or Boise St. deserve to go to a good game if they win out. If OK and OR win out, they should play for the BCS CH, but if TCU and Boise ST are the last 2 undefeated teams, why not let them play? I seem to remember everyone saying that Utah had no chance against the Tide, who won that game again? 31-17 ring a bell?
kral
October 18th, 2010
6:54 am
Hey, Yellowsh.. you didn’t answer my question..Are you one of my x special ed. High school students are not…I would just like to know…
dd
October 18th, 2010
6:55 am
war dam eagle
How old are you?
You sound like a kid.
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:58 am
kral
I played guard (and some tackle) for two seasons at Georgia Tech before a knee injury ended my career. I will graduate next Fall. I hope you can hear me, I played college ball and that’s not to be confused with 50 years of watching it (and coaching middle school teams)!
(hahahahahahahahahaha—hahahahahahahahahaha).
You might want to stay on the Bill King, Tim Tucker and Chip Wannabee blogs little man.
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
6:59 am
kral:
I hope that answered your question
kral
October 18th, 2010
7:03 am
ouch!
kral
October 18th, 2010
7:04 am
Yellow Fuzz:
Sorry, I didn’t know.
kral
October 18th, 2010
7:06 am
Yeah I’m impressed with your resume..you are surely the bigger man… What was your record against UGA while you were at Tech big man…
kral
October 18th, 2010
7:07 am
THe 7:04 post was not from me….
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
7:09 am
Hey kral, did that answer your question? Hahahahaha. Got any more question or comments Mr. Retired High School Special Ed Football Coach And Authority Real Men Of Genius?
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
7:13 am
Budwiser’s Real Men Of Genius presents Mr. Retired High School Special Ed Football Coach And Now College Football Authority?
Hey kral, Got any more questions or comments ole wise one?
45-42
SugarHilleDawg
October 18th, 2010
7:15 am
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
7:13 am
Budwiser’s Real Men Of Genius presents Mr. Retired High School Special Ed Football Coach And Now College Football Authority?
Hey kral, Got any more questions or comments ole wise one?
45-42
Ouch!
kral
October 18th, 2010
7:21 am
Yes once again your retorts and post are far snappier, far more intelligent,and wittier than I could ever compete with…Yes sir if I was the BCS I think I would vote you the nations number one blogger
Yellow Fuzz
October 18th, 2010
7:24 am
kral.
thanks little man. I really appreciate that.