Weekend Predictions: Even Vegas is down on Dogs

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Occasionally, we here at Weekend Predictions, home of the world’s only 100 percent guaranteed financial projections, assuming you didn’t fall for one of those silly picks we just put out there for comic relief, bring in a consultant.

So let me introduce you to my new market analyst, Todd Fuhrman, race and sports book analyst at Caesars Palace in Las Vegas, where I once helped fund a significant expansion. I phoned Todd because Georgia opened this week as an underdog to Mississippi State, which is somewhat like the Ukraine opening as an underdog to Lichtenstein. These Dogs haven’t lost to those Dogs since 1974 (1951 in Starkville, when bread was 16 cents. Starkville looked the same, though.).

Trust me. I have a system.

Trust me. I have a system.

Todd’s research goes back only 20 years but  he’s never seen Georgia less than 3 1/2 point favorites. Why is Mississippi State favored?

“It’s tough to get behind Georgia,” he said. “Their passing game is stagnant without A.J. Green, their freshman quarterback has played well in spurts but he’s inconsistent and I think a lot of people were surprised how they came out against Arkansas.”

Can you offer any other tips?

“Sure.”

Where’s the best buffet?

“We have a 24-hour buffet with unlimited access for $45.”

Should I split 10’s?

“It depends what the dealer is showing, but why not?”

Red or black?

“Always black.”

Over/under on Cher’s age?

“Low 60s.”

Back to the game. Georgia opened as 2-point dogs on one line. It has since moved to pick ‘em. Momentum!

If they lose this, you’ll never see another Georgia win predicted in this disturbed corner of the universe.

Athens Dogs win in Starkville.

Devoted reader and commenter “Ted Striker” suggests this strategy might help Georgia ends its 0-2 slump in the SEC.

Faber College

(Where Knowledge is Good)

Meet Gaylord the Camel, mascot (and possibly athletic director) at Campbell.

Gaylord the Camel: He's representin'.

North C. State at North Ave.: Al Groh’s defense rebounded nicely in Chapel Hill. Now the trick is not turning back into Dave Wommack. The Wolfpack has scored 106 points in three games, including eight touchdown passes by QB Russell Wilson. OMG, research. What’s gotten into me? Tech wins but take State and 8 ½.

The G at Campbell: The Panthers hung with Jacksonville State last week. Impressive. Now they face the Fighting Camels of Campbell. Shockingly, a school with “Gaylord the Camel” as its mascot does not award athletic scholarships. Either that or they offer them and everybody just laughs. State by 3, say I.

Alabama at Arkansas:The Pigfaces are 3-0 and ranked No. 10. Ever have one those perfect days and then somebody drops a piano out the window? Arkansas: Don’t look up. Bama covers 7.

South Carolina at Auburn: Gene Chizik said his team needs to be more physical. The last time I heard a coach say that, Mark Richt’s team was getting drilled in Columbia. Take the gift 3 but Chickens win this straight up.

Kentucky at Florida: HBO’s Bryant Gumbel thinks the NCAA should put the Gators on probation for all of their arrests, reasoning: “I’m no legal expert, not by a long shot, but I do believe that driving drunk, robbing a convenience store, and hitting your girlfriend are all worse offenses than dealing with an agent.” I think I suddenly like Bryant Gumbel. Do I need a shot? Gators cover 14.

NFL Snack Pack

Year's over, Drew. Put the trophy down.

Year's over, Drew. You can put the trophy down now.

Falcons at Saints: The Falcons’ defense goes from facing Dennis Dixon and Derek Anderson to Drew Brees. But the Saints are coming off a short week and they just lost Reggie Bush, who has a broken leg to go with his fractured conscience. I have no idea why I’m doing this: Take the 4 but the Falcons win in an upset.

Eagles at Jaguars: Michael Vick is a starter again. The Philadelphia Daily News was so excited that it ran the headline, “Top Dog,” which I guess was a cute play on words, assuming you weren’t one of Bad Newz Kennels’ failed low-round draft picks. Fetch: Eagles cover 3.

Stooges at Dolphins: The New York Jets have devolved from reality show to a Three Stooges episode, when the gun powder accidentally falls into the pancake batter (oh Curly, not again). This week, Braylon Edwards was arrested for driving with twice the legal limit of alcohol and half the legal minimum for brains. Rex Ryan, a walking F-bomb on TV, suddenly says he’s tired of the drama. Seriously? Miami covers 2 ½.

Don't worry, Wade. Jerry's very patient.

Don't worry, Wade. Jerry's very patient.

Cowboys at Texans: Dallas is 0-2 after going 11-5 last year. It’s the Wade Phillips Market Correction. Phillips still has a chance to pass his father, Bum, in career coaching victories but at this point he’ll be happy with return airfare as a gift. Wrap this: Dallas wins on the road (but take the 3 points).

Lions at Vikings: Minnesota is 0-2 and Brett Favre doesn’t have any receivers. How long before he suddenly says he can’t play through the ankle pain any more? Just sayin’. Vikes win but take Detroit and 11.

Braylon Edwards gets pulled over for DUI. (I could watch this 1,000 times, and probably have.)

Dept. of Hindsight

Last week: 10-1 straight up, 5-6 against the line.

Bottom dollars: 26-6 straight up, 17-14-1 against the line.

Lock of the week: Deadbolt.

LogoGrass_652173aSACK SCHULTZ: Dude, this contest is like totally ruining my street cred. Went 10-5 last week. At 31-14 overall. Two guys named Ills (Georgia) and Axmann (Wisconsin) lead at 39-6. I’m pretty sure they’re cheating. If you haven’t played, it’s not too late too humiliate me! Click here for details and then here to enter.

Follow me on Twitter @JeffSchultzAJC and Facebook.com/JeffSchultzAJC

291 comments Add your comment

Bad Dog

September 23rd, 2010
3:41 pm

“Dogs win in Starkville.”
How prophetic!

Beast from the East

September 23rd, 2010
3:41 pm

Agree with most, Jeff. The exceptions are NC State over Tech, Saints cover and Texans cover. By the way, Bryant is a racist idiot.

JSS

September 23rd, 2010
3:42 pm

@ Jeff Schultz…
It was good knowing you… I just hope you don’t have any mafia dealings because with those picks you might want to go into hiding!

gdawginkalamazoo

September 23rd, 2010
3:43 pm

Jeff,
Do they ring those cowbells @ Miss State to make noise? Or to find their dates?

. . . Grady Jackson . . .*Barber Shop*

September 23rd, 2010
3:44 pm

Georgia lost quite a few games last year with A.J. Green ON the field.
But UGA wins in Starkville.

Gen Neyland

September 23rd, 2010
3:46 pm

Dogs Break Chains, Upset Poultry…Dogs Over Piggies…Dogs Over Dogs. I think you’ve figured out just how to phrase things, JS.

joe

September 23rd, 2010
3:46 pm

JS- you say Dogs win in Starkville, but with two Bulldog teams playing, you should have been more clear…or maybe you intentionally didn’t specify so later, you can say you picked a winner either way. Sneaky…

JSS

September 23rd, 2010
3:48 pm

@ PMC…
The only thing I want to see in Vegas is the doorway at the Bellagio and a seat at ‘Prime’ again! Awwwwwwwwwwww!!!

Bad Dog

September 23rd, 2010
3:49 pm

Good games coming up for GA, GT & ATL. I’m gonna watch all 3.

JSS

September 23rd, 2010
3:52 pm

Bryant Gumbel a racist? That is like calling the character “Uncle Tom” an intellectual black militant!

bjohndawg

September 23rd, 2010
3:54 pm

DAWGS WIN! DAWGS WIN! DAWGS WIN!

Notice I did not say which DAWGS.

SOME uga fans are just delusional

September 23rd, 2010
3:55 pm

DawginLex

You seriously think UGA has a shot in hell at beating UF this year?

Come on sister “Mary Sunshine”….take off the Red and Black colored sunglass and look at reality

Miss State played AU and LSU HARD. Dan is preaching to them now to make a statement by whipping you all

AT BEST you are 3-4 rolling into Jax…there’s zero chance that you leave there 4-4

SOGADOG

September 23rd, 2010
3:56 pm

Miss St 28 UGA 27
Ala. 35 Arky 31
NCState 38 Ga. Tech 28
Fla 35 Ky 17
LSU 24 WVU 21

I went with my head over my heart on these predictions.

Huh?!

September 23rd, 2010
3:57 pm

Let me get this straight. GSU just took the No. 4 FCS team in the country to OT, the same team team that beat Ole Miss, and you’re only predicting a 3-point win for GSU over a non-scholarship team? Good one Jeff, on point as always. Are you seriously getting paid for this?

Steve

September 23rd, 2010
3:57 pm

I have a feeling that South Carolina is in for a rude awakening Saturday night.

The media fell in love with them after the beat UGA, but then people started to realize that UGA isn’t that good after all, especially on defense. SC’s other wins (Southern Miss, Furman) don’t really excite anyone outside of Columbia. Nevertheless, the Gamecocks have sneaked into a top 15 ranking without really beating anyone.

Expect South Carolina to get punched in the mouth Saturday. Auburn’s defense is more physical and exponentially better than UGA’s defense. South Carolina’s OL doesn’t have the depth to compete, and they will have problems running the ball. The game will fall into Garcia’s hands, and everyone knows that result.

Auburn by at least a touchdown, probably 10+

JSS

September 23rd, 2010
3:58 pm

Even Assoc. Justice Clarance Thomas looks twice at Bryant Gumbel!

jumbeauxtiger

September 23rd, 2010
3:58 pm

The Tide rolls and the East Division Dogs win by 10.

bjohndawg

September 23rd, 2010
4:00 pm

Damn I wish I were in Vegas.
But probably would just lose some money.
So maybe a blessing in disguise.

Oh 2002…I bet Georgia to beat Auburn.
I was in the dumps and about to lose $500 with The Dawgs, the ball, and 4th and 22.
David Greene saved my bacon.

I was rolling on the floor, laughing my best man and I.
While his wife and my new bride were looking at us like we were crazy.
But hey $500 is $500 , and the SEC East champs well……

Oh 2002 SEC champs…….what the hell does it take to get from 0-2 in the SEC to back to the top of the heap.

From 11-3 to 13-1

September 23rd, 2010
4:00 pm

.
Go Yellow Jackets
————————–

SOGADOG

September 23rd, 2010
4:05 pm

Aub 27 Chickens 24

SOME uga fans are just delusional

September 23rd, 2010
4:05 pm

SOGADOG

You basically picked the spread in every game except GT

MSU v UGA is a PK
Bama is a 7.5 fav (You gave them 4)
FLA is a 14 fav (You gave them 18)
LSU is a 10 fav (You gave them 3)

So to recap, you basically pick the spread on every game except GT (who is a 8 fav) and you have them losing by 10 at home

yeah, didn’t use your heart in that pick at all

don’t be such a hater – embrace your future 0-3 SEC record and last place #12 ranking in the SEC standings

MASSDAWG

September 23rd, 2010
4:12 pm

The only good thing to come out of AL is I-20!!!!

harold

September 23rd, 2010
4:13 pm

GEORGIA IS HORRIBLE THIS YEAR—-LIKE TENNESSEE.

David C, Atlanta, Ga.

September 23rd, 2010
4:18 pm

For those of you picking Arkansas to beat Bama this weekend you are Delusional. Arkansas combined opponents record is 1-6 (And that includes Georgia 1 win against a Junior College)Bama win by at least 10 and Ingram/Trent rush for over 220 Yards Combined.

stevie zero

September 23rd, 2010
4:18 pm

hook me up with your bookie, shultzie. bama lays 3 in fantasyland i guess. widgets for sale!

David C, Atlanta, Ga.

September 23rd, 2010
4:20 pm

Enter your comments here

SOGADOG

September 23rd, 2010
4:25 pm

4:05 Dude, I just picked em off the top of my head for the heck of it and I dont hate anything about Tech. I have watched NC State play and I followed the Ga Tech / Kansas game. Teams are figuring out the triple option never pass the ball offense and Tech’s defense is still adapting to the new coach. Both teams are well coached. Just seemed like the right pick to me. If it makes you feel better NC State 35 Tech 31.

Delbert D.

September 23rd, 2010
4:29 pm

Auburn vs. Chix will determine how I feel really about Georgia vs. Ms. State. But that is too danged late.

Does somebody think that McElroy has the flu? What’s the over-under on Ingram carries *this* week?

Paul in RDU

September 23rd, 2010
4:43 pm

Jeff – You might want to check your pics on the Sack Schultz competition. You took Auburn on the contest and you have taken USCe on your blog.

Old Dawg

September 23rd, 2010
4:43 pm

I got the fever and it needs more Cowbell … UGA still wins!

Delbert D.

September 23rd, 2010
4:49 pm

UNC didn’t quite get the triple-O figured out. 448 to 353 total offense, Nesbitt 3/4 76 yards 1 TD passing, 26 carries 104 yards 1 TD, Allen 20 carries 115 yards.

Delbert D.

September 23rd, 2010
4:51 pm

The other question would be whether NC State’s D is better than UNC’s (missing their 4 NFL prospects).

Delbert D.

September 23rd, 2010
4:54 pm

Paul in RDU – Recheck Chip Towers’ blog…I had a comment for you at 4:04

Bama in Atlanta

September 23rd, 2010
4:55 pm

@MASSDAWG

I won’t argue that “the best thing to come out of AL is I-20″, but like we say in Alabama – Thank God for Mississippi!!

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
4:57 pm

DooleyNoted — Bama is favored by 7. When I say “Bama covers” that implies they’ll win by more than 7. Hence, I’m picking Alabama.

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
4:58 pm

Toga — And let me tell you about Vegas buffets. Food’s usually pretty good. I’d so eat more than $45 worth.

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
4:59 pm

Bruce Mac — Lose to Miss St and I’m plunging on Colorado. Feel better? Hah!

reebok

September 23rd, 2010
5:01 pm

uga is a midpack SEC team. GT is the best team in the ACC, which would make them, too, about a midpack SEC team. both teams are average, but at least tech played hard last week. the doggies looked pretty nonchalalnt.

SOME uga fans are just delusional

September 23rd, 2010
5:01 pm

Jeff, what will the Dawg Nation’s excuse be if they go down 0-3 SEC?

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:02 pm

Folks –changed Bama line from 3 to 7.

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:03 pm

Howard — Wouldn’t shock me. Saban obviously has great situation but I’m sure desire to succeed in NFL is still there.

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:05 pm

JSS — Step up to the plate, big man!

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:05 pm

Joe — I’m picking Georgia.

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:07 pm

Paul in RDU — I double my chances! (Actually, hadn’t finalized contest picks yet. Was going to change back.)

Jeff Schultz

September 23rd, 2010
5:08 pm

SOME UGA fans — There is no excuse.

SOME uga fans are just delusional

September 23rd, 2010
5:09 pm

i agree….

Jeff, does Miami win tonight?

Paul in RDU

September 23rd, 2010
5:13 pm

Delbert – Read your post on Chips blog – I agree with you about Emory. I’m glad you sent a bunch of your money there – my college checks (or rather my son’s) are going to the State of NC

Paul in RDU

September 23rd, 2010
5:14 pm

Jeff – if you take SC and they win you will be closing the gap on me

Otter

September 23rd, 2010
5:17 pm

Jeff, you f#@ked up…you trusted us. My advice is that you start drinking heavily. The Dawgs will find a way to lose.

5150 P.O.A.D.

September 23rd, 2010
5:19 pm

Steve Shat his pants, but he knows his rights!!! Sounds like UGA students every weekend in Athens.