Who’s more likely to win a game: Tech or Georgia?

Paul Hewitt's team is on the NCAA bubble.

Paul Hewitt's team is on the NCAA bubble.

Here’s a question nobody ever figured we would be asking this college basketball season: Which team is more likely to win a game in its conference tournament: Georgia Tech or Georgia? Because right now, I’m kinda leaning toward the one in Athens.

Let’s start with this. According to Joe Lunardi, ESPN.com’s bracketologist, Georgia Tech is STILL an NCAA tournament team, despite a loss to Virginia Tech Saturday that dropped the Jackets’ ACC record to 7-9 and overall mark to 19-11.

From Lunardi’s ESPN Insider blog this morning: The ACC has four “lock” teams (Duke, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State) and the SEC has three (Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee). He has 22 bubble teams vying for 11 spots, with Tech currently listed as in, along

Mark Fox's team is capable of pulling an upset.

Mark Fox's team is capable of pulling an upset.

with Wake Forest and Virginia from the ACC and Florida in the SEC.

From Lunardi’s blog:

No. 1 Seeds: Kansas, Syracuse, Kentucky, Kansas State.

Big East (6): Syracuse, Villanova, West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Georgetown, Louisville.

Big Ten (4): Purdue, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan State.

ACC (4): Duke, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State.

Atlantic 10 (3): Temple, Xavier, Richmond.

SEC (3): Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Tennessee.

Mountain West (3): New Mexico, BYU, UNLV.

Horizon League (1): Butler.

Missouri Valley (1): Northern Iowa.

West Coast (1): Gonzaga.

Additional automatic qualifiers: 19 conferences.

Total spots claimed: 52.

Bubble (22 teams for 11 spots)

TOTAL SPOTS CLAIMED: 52

Currently In (listed in S-curve order): Marquette, Wake Forest, Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Florida, Illinois, Notre Dame, Saint Mary’s, Memphis, San Diego, UAB.

Currently Out (listed in S curve order): Rhode Island, Dayton, Arizona State, Mississippi State, Mississippi, Washington, Seton Hall, Wichita State, Minnesota, South Florida, Connecticut.

Off The Board: Cincinnati.

First four Out: Rhode Island, Dayton, Arizona State, Mississippi State.

Last four In: Saint Mary’s, Memphis, San Diego State, UAB.

The Jackets, however, can’t assume they’re in the tournament if they’re one-and-done in the ACC tournament. A case could be made that they may need to win two games to feel comfortable.

But how likely is that? Tech’s talent obviously suggests they could be at least a Sweet 16 team in the NCAA tournament. But this isn’t a team that got better down the stretch, at least not if we’re measuring things by wins and losses. The Jackets lost their final two regular season games, five of their last seven and six of their last nine. They will be the seventh seed in the ACC tournament and face the 10th seed, North Carolina. Tech has beaten the Tar Heels twice. But are the odds against winning three times, even as bad as UNC is this season?

Georgia (5-11, 13-16) lost its final regular season game at LSU. It was a bad loss to a team that was 1-14 coming in. That means the Bulldogs locked into the sixth seed in the SEC East. But there are worse things. They’ll play the No. 3 team in the West, Arkansas (7-9, 14-17), in the opener of that conference tournament Thursday in Nashville.

The Razorbacks certainly are a beatable team. In the only meeting between the two schools, Georgia led by 15 at halftime but lost 72-68. There certainly is a more positive vibe around the Georgia program right now than Tech, and the Bulldogs pulled conference upsets this season over Tennessee and Vanderbilt.

So what do you think is more likely: Does Tech or Georgia win a conference tournament game?


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172 comments Add your comment

Lil' Barry Bailout

March 7th, 2010
10:22 am

Tech, even with Paul Hewitt doing the coaching.

northeastjacket

March 7th, 2010
10:22 am

I think Georgia has a better shot. Still can’t believe I missed two hours of sunshine to watch tech lose at home yeterday. Disgusted.

HBTD

March 7th, 2010
10:22 am

I believe that question was answered earlier in the season. Since that time, the dawgs have improved dramatically – see Ky. coach C. oomment earlier this week, while tech has been stuck in first gear.

Jones

March 7th, 2010
10:22 am

GA on coaching. Tech on talent.

Barney

March 7th, 2010
10:23 am

I think Georgia Tech won’t be in. They’ll lose against UNC and Hewitt finally will be fired. Then next year we’ll be able to play like a good basketball team.

Time Out

March 7th, 2010
10:23 am

Dawgs most likely to lose in the last seconds of the game.

Time Out

March 7th, 2010
10:24 am

LOL. Why does Treck deserve to be in the big dance. You all NERDS are delusional.

Cherokee

March 7th, 2010
10:26 am

Dawgs need more depth. That is what has hurt them this year. Give coach Fox credit he has done better than anyone thought he would. Give him 2 years to get his kind of players and they will be a force.

lanier

March 7th, 2010
10:29 am

neither. Ga will get blown out and Tech will loose by about 5

Bo Williams

March 7th, 2010
10:31 am

Frankly Dahlin’, I don’t give a damn.

GT

March 7th, 2010
10:31 am

We will probably have to play UNC in Greensboro. If we played them in Chapel Hill no one would show up but since it is the tournament and they have paid for their tickets in advance they will be filled to the rafters with UNC fans. One and done has been the theme for Tech all year why stop now.

Mark Olsen

March 7th, 2010
10:31 am

30-24
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
NEVER gets old

El Bravo

March 7th, 2010
10:32 am

Tech based on pure talent and they need it to make the tournament. No way they make it without it…

RambleOn84

March 7th, 2010
10:33 am

Time Out,
I know making fun of Tech fans is the most important thing in your life, but you’re pretty misguided here. No real Tech fans believe that we deserve to be in. I wish we’d miss it so we could finally get Hewitt out of here. Nice guy, but can’t get it done despite having as good of talent as anyone in the nation. Y’know…kind of like Mark Richt.

Mark Olsen

March 7th, 2010
10:42 am

HawSSS

March 7th, 2010
10:43 am

Agree with RambleOn84, UGA should have hoped for Richt to head back to FSU.

Mark Olsen

March 7th, 2010
10:44 am

We should just rock the triple option

Mark Olsen

March 7th, 2010
10:44 am

It’s worked for Marist

Dawg Nation

March 7th, 2010
10:45 am

Tech lost no less than 5 games as a direct results of Paul Hewitt’s poor coaching (come on up on Marylant with 2 seconds left for them to go the length of the court? WTH, Paul?).

So, due to the Hewitt factor, take the Dawgs.

RAMBLE ON!!!

March 7th, 2010
10:49 am

Mark Olsen

March 7th, 2010
10:50 am

I heard Tech just hired Chadwick. Good hire.

WOW!!

March 7th, 2010
10:58 am

In a down year for the ACC and Tech still goes 7 and 9 with one of the most talented teams in the league.  They have 3 NBA players in their starting lineup and one of the best big men around in Peacock coming off the bench.  Hewitt has only had 1 winning season in the ACC since he came to Tech.  He can recruit like crazy but if he can’t do anything with those players, it becomes pointless.  And whats with his ridiculous time outs after every scored basket?? He blows through all his timeouts and by the end of the game he’s left with nothing.  Its like he has no clue what he’s doing.  Time for him to pack his bags!

Biff Pocoroba

March 7th, 2010
11:03 am

Tech would win if Fox coached the team. I can’t believe that Dayton is listed as “out”. Hewitt has been talking about what a great team they are all year in his list of excuses of why they lost. The halftime show at the game yesterday was a big advertisement for powerball and mega millions. I think that DRad was trying to encourage Tech fans to buy lottery tickets so maybe someone would win and donate the $7 million for the buy out.

Dawg 1

March 7th, 2010
11:04 am

I think they both will win their first game and give a slight lean for Tech to make a run..

Road Scholar

March 7th, 2010
11:07 am

I first thought that the question concerned the NIT! Tech, win on the road? Are you kidding me? They can’t even win a “must win” game at home on Seniors Day!

Mike L.

March 7th, 2010
11:13 am

If Tech gets UNC, it is a win. Any other draw is about 50/50 for Tech. UGA let me down losing to LSU. I thought they were better than that.

Wreckmaniac

March 7th, 2010
11:22 am

For Tech to be in the NCAA would be a joke. All that tells me is that
there should’nt be 65 teams in the field.
Seth Greenberg of VA Tech said “Ga Tech is good” He’s wrong. Tech is talented. “Good” means they know how to play. They clearly do not.

Wreckmaniac

March 7th, 2010
11:25 am

Tech and UNC are the two biggest underachievers in the ACC this season and I think Tech has underachieved more than UNC. We know UNC will rebound but Tech has proven that it will remain at the current level. In other words, this team could play together for 3 more years with no personnel changes and still not be an NCAA worthy team. I now understand why Favors would leave this year. Why stick around ?

Clay

March 7th, 2010
11:27 am

The LSU loss is unbelievable. I think the Dawgs expect to lose on the road. No, they won’t win a game in the SEC tournament because it’s not in Athens.

UGA_2001

March 7th, 2010
11:28 am

UGA cannot win outside of Athens. Tech still has talent coming out their wazoos, so I would go with them. The Dawgs will simply fade down the stretch like in every road game this season.

Without-a-clue

March 7th, 2010
11:29 am

You forgot to include “Who Cares?” as one of the categories. Allow me to include that category and cast the first vote.

Pi$$onaJacket

March 7th, 2010
11:33 am

GEORGIA will because of coaching. Tech has been an embarrassment to the state with the talent they have. I hope Hewitt stays forever! Tech will be one and done. It is fun to watch Tech’s already “most obnoxious fans in the NCAA” turn on each other. THWGT!

RedGADawg

March 7th, 2010
11:36 am

Sure hope Hewiit stays at Tech! Dawgs will rule as long as the Yella Bugs keep the big loser as coach, great players who have not improved, no coaching philosophy and no team play. Parts much better than whole. How much longer will talented players go to North Avenue when under Hewitt they do not improve? Young team, HOGWASH – every great team is young due to one and done. I expect more of same in future, what will happen when Favors and Lawal are in NBA?

NBA'er

March 7th, 2010
11:45 am

Seriously? Tech….easily.

drew

March 7th, 2010
11:47 am

I’m a Tech fan, but UGA has a better chance…good coaching can overcome a lot.

Tech is done. It’ll be embarassing if Tech knocks some deserving team out of the NCAA’s. Hewitt is not a Div 1 coach. As a longtime GT basketball fan, I’ve never experienced as agonizing a season as this. Yeah, we sucked bad last year, but this year should have been different. But with PH it’s just more of the same. D-Rad….PLEASE!!!

bruce mac

March 7th, 2010
11:51 am

I didn’t realize Hewitt was top three in winning percentage in NCAA during his tenure. I guess I missed his two conference championships as well. Comparing Hewitt to CMR is like comparing a VW to a Mercedes.

TECH_RULes

March 7th, 2010
11:56 am

Tech!!! Bulldawgs sux

J

March 7th, 2010
11:56 am

Jeff and fellow bloggers….let’s not over-react here. As Coach Hewitt has reminded us, GT is playing it’s best ball of the season. Allow me to demonstate….The Jackets lost their final two regular season games, five of their last seven and six of their last nine. Everybody just relax! I’m sure CPH will release a statement on his Tweeter Account tomorrow.

Delbert D.

March 7th, 2010
11:57 am

Don’t even bother to report the games. The NBA needs to spend their vast wealth to start a 1-year tryout minor league rather than continuing making a mockery of American universities.

Jeff Schultz

March 7th, 2010
12:02 pm

Barney — Firing is tricky, as you know. There’s a $7 million buyout, plus whatever you’d have to pay a new coach, and Tech is struggling financially, like a lot colleges.

Jeff Schultz

March 7th, 2010
12:03 pm

Mark Olsen — Triple option in hoops? Didn’t Hickory High try that? Or was that the picket fence play?

Jeff Schultz

March 7th, 2010
12:04 pm

J — you had me going there for a minute.

[...] Source [...]

buzz

March 7th, 2010
12:14 pm

Jeff, it is not $7M if he is notified no later than the day after selecion sunday!

Rock Chalk

March 7th, 2010
12:18 pm

Hewitt is a zero, Fox is a hero. If Hewitt was worth his contract, this conversation wouldn’t even be happening right now.

saint simons

March 7th, 2010
12:24 pm

Hewitt would get out coached if hes was coaching in a nine year old basketball little league game, I notice when he talks to the team during a time out they look like they don’t even care like they aren’t even paying attention.

messin with sasquatch

March 7th, 2010
12:24 pm

gaggers will choke – tech will overachieve.

Gordon

March 7th, 2010
12:28 pm

If neither gets in, not a single team from this talent rich state will participate in the NCAA. Mercer lost in the A-Sun final yesterday, and that was the best chance.

By the way buzz @12:14, it is $7M. We will owe him for 5 years ($7M) instead of 6 if Hewitt is notified by March 16th. That is why if he isn’t fired by that day, he isn’t going to be fired this year.

jim

March 7th, 2010
12:52 pm

ummm….UV is the 10th seed not UNC

Devildog

March 7th, 2010
12:54 pm

If Hewitt had any conscience he’d do the right thing and quit.
If Fox had Georgia Tech’s talent, the Bulldogs would get to the final four.
If Bullfrogs had wings . . .