OK. My head hurts. After watching Georgia Tech get outscored by Miami, 41-19, in one stretch Wednesday night and ultimately lose, I’ve stopped guessing what the Jackets are going to do next. Throw a whiffle ball into a wind tunnel. There’s your answer.
We know what the ceiling is for this team. There is none. The talent says that. The unpredictability of the NCAA tournament says that. The lack of any dominant team in the ACC and even nationally says that. But Tech is 5-5 in the ACC. Not good Psychotic is more like it. I just looked at the remainder of the schedule and for the first time I’m starting to wonder whether this team even makes it into the tournament.
Tech is 1-4 on the road in conference games. The only win came at North Carolina. That doesn’t seem nearly as impressive now as it did then. The Tar Heels have lost seven of their last eight. (By the way: coach Roy Williams just compared what has happened to his team to the situation in Haiti. Not smart, Roy.)
The Jackets have six conference games left. They have not given us any reason to believe they will win any of their final three road games: Wake Forest, Maryland, Clemson. Those three teams are a combined 33-4 at home.
That leaves three home games: North Carolina, Boston College, Virginia Tech. After watching Tech’s last three games — smoked by Duke; massive meltdown but a narrow escape against North Carolina State; loss at Miami — I’ll guess the Jackets win two of those three. That would make them 2-4 down the stretch, 7-9 in the ACC and 19-11 overall going into the conference tournament.
That’s not going to get it done.
The ACC has done little to earn much respect nationally this season. The conference isn’t likely to get a half-dozen teams in the NCAA tournament, as it has in the past. If Tech finishes the regular season poorly, it will need to go on a run in the ACC tournament to ensure it gets into the tournament.
For what it’s worth, the most recent projected bracket on CollegeRPI.com (from Monday) has the Jackets as a No. 6 seed in the East Regional and 25th in the RPI rankings, which is used by the tournament selection committee. A similar website, Kenpom.com, is updated through Wednesday and also has the Jackets’ 25th. But that’s only fifth among ACC teams, behind Duke (2nd), Maryland (10th) and Clemson (19th) and Virginia Tech (24th).
Any thoughts on this? Do you think the Jackets make it in, or are you starting to wonder like I am?