We’re live from Braves’ miracle watch (day 21)

Javier Vazquez is be pitching for own future, as well as Braves.

Javier Vazquez is be pitching for own future, as well as Braves.

Frank Wren went into the off-season last a year ago knowing he would need to add starting pitching. He will go into the off-season this year realizing he needs to subtract.

One obvious conclusion: “It will probably be a little less stressful this winter,” the Braves general manager said.

Somewhat. But a significant issue has been hanging over the Braves all season, and the core of that issue was on the mound Wednesday night. Javier Vazquez, the same pitcher whose heart and big-game ability was questioned last season by the Chicago White Sox’ turbo-lipped manager, Ozzie Guillen, has been Atlanta’s best starter this season. He went into the Florida game with a 15-9 record and 2.83 ERA (4-0, 1.93 in this improbable September).

There’s also a chance he was starting his final game as a Brave.

“I’m not going to get into our decision-making, and I don’t know, quite frankly, what we’re going to do,” Wren said. “We’ll sit down and look at all of our options. It just depends how we configure our ballclub. At the end of the day, it’s how do we put the best team on the field and what 25 players allow us to do that.”

This topic has been debated ad nauseam. The problem is that the season is about to expire, and we’re no closer to clarity. The Braves have six starting pitchers and one has to go – not just to the bullpen, but to another team. Payroll says this. Logic screams it.

The thought of dealing Vazquez seems ludicrous, even with a poor outing Wednesday. Imagine what the top of the rotation would look like next season with these three starters and their respective ERAs: Vazquez (2.83), Tommy Hanson (2.98) and Jair Jurrjens (2.61). But the only thing we know for certain is Hanson and Jurrjens will be here. We also know Derek Lowe and Kenshin Kawakami probably will be here because they carry bloated contracts that don’t nearly match their production. It’s likely no other team would touch them even in a normal economic climate, let alone amid today’s global budget-shrinkage.

That leaves Vazquez and Tim Hudson. Hudson has a $12 million option for next season. He has looked pretty good since coming off Tommy John surgery, Tuesday’s 5-4 loss to Florida notwithstanding. If you’re the Braves, can you just let him walk?

The answer should be yes. Hudson hasn’t been the dominant top-of-the-rotation starter the Braves hoped for when they acquired him. Now is not the time to assume he’s going to turn into that. If it’s really about keeping the best guys, Vazquez stays and Hudson goes.

Here’s Wren on Hudson at his non-committal best before the game: “He’s come back and he’s shown us that he’s healthy and he’s able to pitch at this level. When we get to the appropriate time, we’ll announce our decision on how we’ll move forward.”

I’m guessing he would’ve given the same answer if I asked, “What do you think? Plums or peaches next week at Kroger?”

It was clear Vazquez did not have his best stuff Wednesday. Through three innings, he had already allowed three runs (though only one earned), five hits, a wild pitch, a hit batter and a ground ball through the legs of Chipper Jones. Then came a two-run homer in the fifth. That said, he has had a career-best season. It’s odd, given the Braves are his fifth team in the past seven seasons, and he was ripped by Guillen late last season for not coming through in the clutch.

Wren obviously disagrees. Consider what Vazquez has done in September and on the road this season:10-2, 2.80. (Strangely, he has struggled on the road.)

“Knowing Javy from afar, and now seeing him up close, I think he’s as solid as a rock,” Wren said. “We thought we were getting a real good starting pitcher. He had a history of durability and going to the post. He’s lived up to it.”

Maybe not Wednesday. But he’s a better option than Hudson.

461 comments Add your comment

crap man

September 30th, 2009
11:04 pm

I, for one, am glad to have matt d make what i think was a great play. now we can all forget the braves, like we’ve been trying to do all year. they play just good enough to disappoint and thats all they’ve done all year. glad matt d finally saw to put an end to the madness cox has called a season. probably more of the same next year (or more) as long as we have a, and i uses the term loosely, manager, like BC. there were a few great games but a ho-hum year. i will continue to root for the braves next year but i hope someone in this organization wakes to the fact that we could have been contenders (again) and not the perennial pretenders.

BravesFanNboston

September 30th, 2009
11:04 pm

Back again…forgot to mention this last night…SHUT THE HECK UP KIM HUDSON. NO ONE WANTS TO HEAR ABOUT YOUR CHARITY WHEN UR HUSBAND IS BLOWING OUR SEASON. FOR PETE VAN WIEREN SAKE!

Sage of Blueland

September 30th, 2009
11:05 pm

Did all the sheep in Bwaves Nation have fun at the ball park tonight?

Did they hand out wittle “believe” flags at the gate too? How cute!!

Felix Millan

September 30th, 2009
11:06 pm

Bazeball was good to me when I play the game. I also very quick baserunner who probably score from third tonight.

BravesFanNboston

September 30th, 2009
11:07 pm

Bud…granted. But geez, Skip is rolling ova in da grave!

Jeff Schultz

September 30th, 2009
11:11 pm

Folks — if you want to shift your venting to a new post, the game column is now up.
http://blogs.ajc.com/jeff-schultz-blog/2009/09/30/suddenly-braves-see-everything-go-wrong/

booty inspector

September 30th, 2009
11:11 pm

So does Kim Hudson. ZING!!!

Kevin

October 1st, 2009
7:19 am

Hey good news wait till 2012 now and we be a contender as we watch the fightin phills win another word series in 2009…i hope cox is watchin how inpotent he feels that the phillies mananger win 2 WS titles in his 4 year n him Just One….and jeff Schultz why should we oh wait i want see AJC ask why cox let norton PH n chipper not pulled for his lousy playin this year!

[...] Wren didn’t divulge much when I spoke to him for an early column Wednesday about the Braves’ plans for their pitching rotati…this off-season. But given the general manager won’t have to add any starters this year, he [...]

Ramblin Wrecker

October 1st, 2009
2:22 pm

I disagree with the universally (at least in Atlanta) held notion that Kenshin Kawakami is untradeable. Says who? The guy has a sub 4.00 ERA (3.98) and had some of the more clutch dominating performances beating Roy Halladay, Johan Santana, Dice K and Clayton Kershaw. He makes about $7 million next season and again in 2011. You can’t tell me that this is an untradeable commodity. Will the Braves get an uberprospect in return? No, but the idea is to pare down to 5 starters and get some payroll flexibility. There are only a handful of teams (like the Braves) who couldn’t use KK. I mean, every team does not have 5 starters with sub 4.00 ERA’s and the capability to beat a Halladay or Santana on a given day. If they put him out there, someone will bite and the Braves wouldn’t have to eat a dollar of that contract.

[...] or the Labrador runs through through the room and knocks everything over. Wren probably was correct when he speculated last winter’s quest to remake the starting rotation caused more stress than this one will. But this off-season tips one way or the other very easily. [...]