Weekend Predictions (sound check): Dogs in trouble?
I am so ready for this (and get your hands off my chips).
Because this is the final blog of the day, and I wanted something to hold you through the weekend, and I’m pretty sure my feeling that FOOTBALL CAN’T GET HERE SOON ENOUGH gives me at least one thing in common with even those of you who often throw your half-eaten sandwich at my face on your computer screen, I’ve got football stuff for you.
Actually, consider this a low-level tease (that sounded kinda dirty) for next week’s re-unveiling of Weekend Predictions. Since we’re more electric and less acoustic now here at the AJC (that’s the newspaper) and AJC.com, it follows that you’ll be able to read Weekend Predictions online on Thursday afternoons now, as well as in print the following morning. This will allow the online reader access to special web-only Thursday night game BONUS PICKS, which will be so special that I felt the need to hit the CAPS LOCKED key, which normally is reserved for those commenting on Michael Vick blogs.
Darn. I wasn’t supposed to mention him today. Oh well.
Anyway, we plan another long and profitable season at W.P. Inc. As always, W.P. Inc. accepts no responsibility if you bet on the wrong selections that were meant only to humor you.
So I went looking for the official Glantz-Culver point spreads for next week’s college games and came to realize that they’re not out yet. Instead, I’m relying on BetUS.com, which has even posted odds on the Lingerie Football League. Why, I don’t know. And I’m sure all of the WNBA fans who hate me for my previous blog now are even more thrilled that I dared to mention the Lingerie Football League.
Following are point spreads for opening week games involving Georgia, Georgia Tech and the Falcons (in two weeks), as well as some various prop bets. The official Glantz-Culver lines next week might vary from these numbers. But it will give you some clue as to what to expect.
As always, it won’t give you any idea what direction I’m going.
(Note: I converted numbers from a money line to standard odds. For example, plus-500 becomes 5-1.)
GEORGIA ODDS
♦ Game 1: The Bulldogs are 6-point underdogs at Oklahoma State. What’s interesting about this is the home team generally gets three points, which means they still consider the Cowboys a field goal better on a neutral site and the line would be even in Athens. Conclusion: Somebody doesn’t believe in the Joe Cox offense or the Willie Martinez defense. Or both.
♦ Big picture: Florida is an overwhelming favorite to win the SEC (1 to 2.5), followed by LSU (4.5 to 1). The Dogs are 9 to 1, which is tied for fifth.
GEORGIA TECH ODDS:
♦ Game 1: There are no odds because the opponent, Jacksonville State, is a 1-AA team.
♦ Big picture: It’s close odds for the ACC championship between Florida State (2.3 to 1) and Virginia Tech (2.5 to 1). The Yellow Jackets are 6 to 1, which is tied for fifth.
HEISMAN TROPHY
♦ Favorites: Tim Tebow 2 to 1, Sam Bradford 2.5 to 1, Colt McCoy 2.75 to 1. Georgia Tech’s Jonathan Dwyer is 15 to 1, which is sixth.
BCS CHAMPIONS
1.) Florida: 1.8 to 1
2.) Oklahoma: 5 to 1
3t.) Texas and USC: 6.5 to 1
5.) Ohio State: 10 to 1
6.) Alabama: 12 to 1
7.) Virginia Tech: 16.5 to 1
8.) LSU: 18 to 1
9.) Notre Dame: 20 to 1
10.) Florida State: 22 to 1
11.) Penn State: 25 to 1
12.) Miami: 26 to 1
13t.) Mississippi and Oregon: 30 to 1
15.) North Carolina: 33 to 1
16.) Nebraska: 40 to 1
17t.) Georgia, Georgia Tech, Oklahoma State, California and South Florida: 50 to 1
FALCONS ODDS
♦ Game 1: 4-point favorites over Miami. Sounds right for two teams coming off surprising seasons.
♦ Big picture (NFC champions): N.Y. Giants 5 to 1, Philadelphia 5.5 to 1, Minnesota 6.5 to 1, New Orleans and Chicago 10 to 1. The Falcons are 12-1, tied for sixth).
♦ Really big picture (Super Bowl champions): New England 4.5 to 1, Pittsburgh 9 to 1, San Diego 10 to 1, N.Y. Giants and Philadelphia 12 to 1. The Falcons are 25 to 1, which is tied for 12th.
Here’s a link if you’re interested in more prop wagers (sporting, of course). For what it’s worth, they also have odds on whether an NFL team will go undefeated. You can get 2000 to 1 on the Detroit Lions.
So do these odds look about right to you, or are you surprised by the Georgia line?
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222 comments Add your comment
CatsFly
August 28th, 2009
8:48 pm
“If you got the ball, we gonna get you. If yo mamma got the ball, we gonna get her” – Marvin Austin, UNC: Marvin Austin, UNC Stud Tackle
Ted Striker
August 28th, 2009
9:01 pm
I tried to get past the phrase “low level tease” but I couldn’t. Like I told my ex-wife, “it’s not you, it’s me.”
GT-EE-'93
August 28th, 2009
9:12 pm
Schultz,
You’re one funny dude.
I don’t like your “Anti-GT-ism”.
But to this day, I still laugh about your “The Sonny Side of Things…” article 2 years ago.
Priceless caption!
Pit Bull
August 28th, 2009
9:30 pm
Please don’t let the Cowboys bitch slap my beloved DAWGS! Mark Richt said he will give Wee Willie ANOTHER raise if he only gives away no more than 5 games!
pokesfan
August 28th, 2009
9:32 pm
Man you puppy fans, I love how u think your going to go on the road with a rookie QB, no proven RB, and u act like OSU is a high school team that has no players because they dont play in the SEC. So who is over hyped, OSU cause the media likes them? Or a bunch of puppy players who U puppy fans hype? Give me aa break, 42-21 OSU, and if this game was in puppy land the score would be reverse, HOME FIELD does count for something, OSU plays good at home, except last year against zero u, and we still scored 41 against them
pokesfan
August 28th, 2009
10:22 pm
42-21
Dawgon
August 28th, 2009
10:22 pm
I think Georgia’s speed and depth on defense is going to be the difference in the game. I think the defense has recomitted itself and will not give up over 17 points and that will not be enought to beat the dawgs. I think the dawgs win by a touch down.
Tom Brown
August 28th, 2009
10:39 pm
GOOOOOOOOOOO DAWGS!!!!!! Sic ‘em! I’m pretty sure that the dogs will out class OSU. Well pretty positive. Can’t wait to see all the naysayers eat crow! Enjoy the bird! ,,|,,
Sonny Clusters
August 28th, 2009
10:40 pm
We was almost college football players at Clemson. We went on a recruiting trip and they let us run out of the dressing room and run down the path and we rubbed that rock and spit some tobacco and we was pretending we was heading out to the field for a real game. It wasn’t though. It was just fantasy and that’s why they had the girls there scantily dressed up like cheerleaders for us when we run up. We was getting ready to sign right there on the spot when the Braves called on our cell phone We was wanting to study to be lawn care professionals but the chance to play baseball was just too much.
Gen Neyland
August 28th, 2009
11:00 pm
Odds on Best Looking Wife of a SEC head coach : Layla Kiffin at 1 to 1…
Boo Boo
August 29th, 2009
12:19 am
Did Vince Dooley die or something? I thought it was against UGA policy for the hounds to go barking on the road [EVER] against a non-SEC opponent. Maybe in a bowl game, but not during the season. How will they get 8 home games this year? I guess they scheduled OSU in the last millennium, when they were patsies.
Flo-Ri-Duh!
August 29th, 2009
12:20 am
Cowboys don’t play football they ride bulls – dawgs by 14.
focused
August 29th, 2009
3:42 am
Last year OSU was supposed to give us trouble as was Arizona St. Neither posed much of a challenge. When will people realize that the SEC plays real football unlike the Big 12 or Almost Collegiate Conference (ACC). I mean come on…most of these schools have cup-cake schedules and rack up wins against mediocre teams. If you look at the top 30 toughest schedules you will find 12 SEC teams (UGA at 23). No ACC teams and just 2 Big 12 teams in the top 30 toughest schedule list. So…..all you techies go ahead and get excited because the ACC is the equivalent of the lingerie football league…..a bunch of soft hitting pansies acting like football players. Talk smack that UGA will lost to OSU because you know UGA won’t lose. You also know that UGA is coming after you this year to start another long winning streak. Don’t worry though….Coach PJ is a good coach I will give you that…..but even PJ is looking into the future…..He will be coaching at South Carolina in the SEC before you can get your pocket protector in your pocket…..
Santana Moss
August 29th, 2009
6:27 am
Trade School Junkie’s IQ can’t be above room temperature if that. But the junkie part is probably right on. Do you play baseball at Tech “Junkie”?
GWB
August 29th, 2009
6:47 am
Sandyspringsjacket, I see where the same oddsmakers have Tech not even sniffing the title in what is no better than the 5th best conference in the country. You’re Tech. You always fall flat on your faces when you think you’re good. You tech “fans” will kill yourselves jumping off the bandwagon before mid season. You’re Tech. You suck. And you will reassume your place in the back of the line in 09.
takedowndawg
August 29th, 2009
6:52 am
I think the team that plays 4 quarters of sound ball will win. Period. Our Dawgs have not had many of those in the last two years. This concerns me. Inconsistency kills teams. I’m hoping that we Dawgs take the lead on long sustained drives and don’ look back for a change. Are we more disciplined? We will soon find out!.
Sonny Clusters
August 29th, 2009
7:02 am
We was always playing four quarters, too. Coach insisted on it. We was disciplined and in good shape. When we was wanting to, we could wear out the other team just on our conditioning. Plus, our substitutes could come in and make em wish they wasn’t on the field. Stinky Wintes was one of those.
DamYankee
August 29th, 2009
7:03 am
BIG BEE: Check e-bay or craigslist, you might be able to get a sense of humor cheap.
Rock Hardon
August 29th, 2009
7:38 am
OK State will blast the little Doggies. All you UGA rednecks posting on here like you are “Jimmy the Greek” just crack me up. Most of you never set foot on a college campus as a student. So get on down to WalMart and buy your “G” hat along with some cheap beer / pork skins and get ready for a losing season.
takedowndawg
August 29th, 2009
7:41 am
I just read my last post again and I sound like a certified genius. What do you all think about this jewel of mine? “I think the team that plays 4 quarters of sound ball will win”. Man..my nipples get hard when I read that quote. Maybe ESPN will hire me as an analyst.
yellow fuzz
August 29th, 2009
7:45 am
2009-10 predictions
BCS Champions
113.) Georgia: 250 to 1
Music City Bowl runner up
1.) Georgia: 2 to 1
yellow fuzz
August 29th, 2009
7:46 am
“Dogs in trouble?”
bank on it!
Little 12 conference
August 29th, 2009
8:25 am
Georgia has a great record in road games, Okie State has a horrible defense.
Best time of year for Dog fans!!!
August 29th, 2009
8:31 am
THWG!!!!
Live it up leg humpers……. You are only going down in the rankings from kickoff to the end of the season. Good luck trying to beat a team that can not win a recruiting battle with Georgia Tech.
Schultz,
Can you do a little more research?
What are the odds:
Leg humpers reach Thanksgiving unranked?
Tech puts up 600 yards on the ground against the pupps on the flats?
Miami of Fl and Clemson are looking for new HC’s at the end of the season?
What is the under over on Ritch complaining about traveling? September?
Thanks,
Pupps better enjoy the next week!!!!
ROLL TIDE
August 29th, 2009
8:41 am
Trade School Junkie you meed to lay off the xanex dude because you are in a wild dream or you are just a complete idiot.There is NO WAY IN HELL Tech will go 12-o.Dawgs beat over-rated OKS with tough SEC smash style football.Tech lucky ti win 8 games with gimmick offense,cannot throw football with high school QB.You are stupid!!!!!!!!!!!!
doug
August 29th, 2009
8:56 am
This one of those classic examples of who really know their stuff.
Georgia will win in Stillwater. They are bigger, quicker, deeper and more talented and have more experience and depth along the line of scrimmage. A timing oriented offense like OSU will take 3 games to get their legs under them. Defenses rule early in the season. Martinez is not a good DC and will never be one but he will be ready for this one. Remember Hawaii. No, OSU is better but this is the type of game that he does excel in. Don’t worry about Dez Bryant. If we can stop Kendell Hunter, its over. We will. If we are able to moderate pressure on Robinson they have no chance and flush him out of the pocket its over. That will happen. There has not a better DT combo in years in the Big 12 that can match the guys we have. The OSU O is going to be disrupted by these two for four quarters. The Pokes simple don’t have the Horses. Learn again and again. Dawgs 31 Pokes 16. Stop buying the media driven hype.
Mike
August 29th, 2009
9:12 am
Paul h those games were all in athens you dope. and none of them were ranked anywhere near where osu is. what a moron you are.
Mike
August 29th, 2009
9:17 am
Focused. another idiot poster. you didn’t play osu last year. man you ga fans sure do know your football. and osu has a different team than when you played them TWO years ago. reality will set in in approx one week. that you just aren’t that good. it will be fun to watch a half empty sanford stadium this year cause your pooches stink it up.
Mike
August 29th, 2009
9:20 am
Dawgon
Man you retards just keep em coming. UGA’s speed on defense will win it for ya? The same speed that allowed 38 or more points 5 times last year? Man there is a lot of kool aid being poured in N Ga these days. It’s the red color stuff too.
mike on lake hartwell
August 29th, 2009
9:21 am
jeff schultz is awesome. always love reading his work.
rock on jeff!
Sonny Clusters
August 29th, 2009
9:23 am
We was recruited by Georgia and by Georgia Tech but we was wanting to get a real good education. When Clemson started talking they let us know we could get financed for a real nice truck with a landscape body already on it. That sounded pretty good and we was close to signing. Lawn care professionals make some big money and we was set to make a career of it until the Braves started warming up to us. They say that Frank Howard could spit and hit a quarter on the ground from 12 feet away. Danny Ford could go almost 9 feet without missing. Clemson was almost it.
to be honest
August 29th, 2009
9:25 am
most of the articles found in here are a joke and from time to time we might run across an article that is interesting. But, the sad fact is when the AJC.com sports writers write an article or blog they simply copy cat or manipulate the texting to make it sound like its their own thing. This has truly become a sad thing to watch. While the problem is not just here at the AJC.com website it seems to me that AJC.com is leading the way to this cheap version of something that could be so much better. I know a good writer gets people talking about the things they write about but when did good writers subrscribe to something and present its content as its own. Now while I sign off on this soap box I am standing on at the moment think about this one thing. If I had to buy this @%$# would it be worth reading another version of this or just watch the original on sportsnite or espn.
clyde
August 29th, 2009
9:32 am
Here’s a prediction you can take to the bank.I won’t be wasting my time watching football this weekend.
DawgFan1
August 29th, 2009
9:50 am
HAHAHA! The same naysayers about our opening at OKST are probably the same people who thought Hawaii was going to run all over us!!! I laugh in their face.
Not sure what GA team will show out for the first game but they better be prepared. Our schedule is not favorable, but when has it ever been favorable and we STILL seem to have seasons that MOST teams would LOVED to have. Go Dawgs!!!
Rebel
August 29th, 2009
10:11 am
Nah dawgfan most knew uga would kill hawaii. vegas did too. vegas believes osu beats uga by a td. i’ll go with the smart money.
wreckmaniac
August 29th, 2009
11:06 am
Fiddycent is chairman of the Language Dept at UGA. His dad contributed
$ 10 million for the indoor practice facility. “Fiddy” usually arrives
in Jax 5 days before the cocktail party and has never really been conscious at kickoff.
Denver Dog
August 29th, 2009
11:13 am
Dogs are a good team, we need to see how they improve as the season goes on. My guess is 14-0 BCS bowl but not in the championship.
Saint Simons
August 29th, 2009
11:14 am
I’m a backdoor man and I am stuck on m if you know what I mean.
SECHomer
August 29th, 2009
11:28 am
People remember it’s the big 12 vs the SEC – Oklahoma State is getting blasted in this game 31 – 14. Big 12 teams don’t face SEC defenses that often and when they do they go in shock!
how2fish
August 29th, 2009
11:38 am
Hey all you Nerds that think Okie St is the real deal here’s your big chance take you MONEY…not your mouth to the nearest betting site…give the 6…6 little ole points and rack up big as the Pokes KILL the dawgs by a margin you have not been able to in what 8 years..you can all retire to Nerd Heaven = Dragon Con…just ante up if you have the BALLS to but put your money where your mouth is..Jeff great job! Bugs Nov 28th be there and bring the rest of the other 14,999 bugs with you…
GT4Ever
August 29th, 2009
11:50 am
BruffDawg
August 28th, 2009
5:39 pm
You mean a 5th year senior who was an elite 11 prospect who won the accuracy challenge and never lost a game as a starter? I’ll take someone like that.
That’s all in the past my friend. What has he done besides sit the bench for the past 4 years? Until he proves he can do it on the field it’s all hype!!!! If he goes out and kicks butt then I’ll say he good but until then it’s pointless to dwell on his past accomplishments. Eveyone of the elite plays great in high school. look at the talent level. One out of say 100 high school players make it to the next level. If he does well then I’ll give him props but until then he’s just another back up QB!!!!
GM
August 29th, 2009
11:51 am
Nerd is one of those words that actually insults no one. If you are a nerd, then you know it, and so what. If you aren’t a nerd, then who cares. Keep calling us nerds Dawgs fans. We really don’t care.
lowcountrydawg
August 29th, 2009
11:54 am
Good…I like us being the Underdawg…let’s just keep under the radar, sneak up, and surprise some folks this year…GO DAWGS!!!
GT4Ever
August 29th, 2009
11:55 am
Doug, If UGA’s so great then why is OSU ranked so much higher than UGA? They must have quite a good team to be ranked in the top ten.
Bad News
August 29th, 2009
12:05 pm
While watching the New England vs Washington game yesterday, it just reminded me of what I have told you delusional Falcon fans about your predictions in the game this season vs the Redskins.
I told you guys that you must be out of your minds thinking you can beat the Redskins with that powerful defense. I told you people that in 2008 they had the 5th toughest defense in the NFL and now they added the toughest man to play 1-on-1, that being Albert Haynesworth and they drafted the biggest impact rookie Okakpo, but you guys are still dreaming.
Did you see the MONSTER hit Haynesworth laid on Brady yesterday? Sent the whole New England fan base into a coma. If that great offensive line in New England can’t protect Brady, just imagine how Haynesworth and company will feast on string bean Matt Ryan.
The Redskins are just one of the teams the Ryan should be worried about. It’s going to be a very long season and 2007 will reappear in 2009.
Frank Wren
August 29th, 2009
12:09 pm
OK St is ranked 9th UGA 13th
How is that sooooooo much higher?
DawgForLife
August 29th, 2009
12:10 pm
PaulV…your pattern is for opening games with teams that were not even ranked? OSU in 07 was a far cry from their current team. Same with Boise!!! Clemson never performed under Bowden and truly haven’t been an elite team since the early 80’s.
A better example would be how we have performed against ranked teams recently…Alabama, Florida, and Georgia Tech. As a Dawg fan I am more worried about the state of our coaching. I believe we have lost the edge. We have the talent…but we seem to be missing the intangibles and I also believe Saban, Meyer, and Johnson are better at getting the most from their players. What has our current coach achieved? Beat Hawaii and Michigan State? WOW! Surely I am not the only Dawg to have reservations about our current situation?
Frank Wren
August 29th, 2009
12:13 pm
Yes Dawg you are. Ive heard this sky is falling crap before.
Then we go out and win 10 + games again
go tech
August 29th, 2009
12:20 pm
I know this sounds like heresy, Tech fans, but maybe we should be rooting for Dawgs to beat OSU. Big 12 looks strong and voters want to give them BCS spot and Heisman etc.
If UGA beats OSU, and then we beat UGA, we may have a better shot at higher ranking. Is this valid? Or is it heresy?
Brian
August 29th, 2009
12:21 pm
I like how the list of Mark Richt’s road wins includes neutral site bowl games, but excludes all of the whippings done by the gators.