Live blog: Election 2012, the final chapter
UPDATE: 6:40: Early exit polls report that 2012 electorate is ’slightly’ more Republican than in 2008. That’s crucial, because most 2012 polling is built on the assumption that 2012 turnout will be similar to 2008 turnout.
UPDATE: 7:40 Obama up in early Ohio exit polls.
Winning by 11 among women, down 6 among men. Net up three. If that holds, that’s crucial.
UPDATE: 8:07: Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut. Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting any.
UPDATE: 9:28″ Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t. For example, Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.
UPDATE: 9:52: New Hampshire called. Pennsylvania called. Both for Obama. Romney is running out of routes to the White House.
In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren beats Scott Brown; Richard Mourdock loses in Indiana. Tammy Baldwin wins in Wisconsin, becoming our first openly gay U.S. senator.
UPDATE: 10:05: Republicans were insistent that the polls were oversampling Democrats, that there was no way so many Americans were Democratic.
So far, it looks as though they were wrong.
UPDATE: 10:48: This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:
Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.
Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?
——————
In my attempt to provide you with a full-service political blog, I thought some of you — I’m not saying who — might be needing the following before the night is over.
You don’t know who you are yet, but when the time comes, you’ll thank me I’m sure:
Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm
In the meantime, this will serve as our election-night live-blog headquarters, at least until a winner is declared. Please respect other bloggers and remain civil, even when others are not. I’m guessing that the over-under for banning people tonight will be four, but I’m hoping that you folks prove me wrong.
Or, as the immortal Bette Davis once put it:
– Jay Bookman
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1,251 comments Add your comment
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 6th, 2012
11:54 pm
JS,
Your thoughts are hypocritical and sacroligious!
JD in Marietta – you are on TARGET big time!
Hate it for the people looking for a job right now!
Brent
November 6th, 2012
11:55 pm
I hope Bill Orvis White has his nitro tabs close by.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
11:55 pm
I think Rove knows that the party’s over. He just can’t stop spinning and spinning and spinning. He knows if he ever stops, he’ll wobble for a moment and then fall down.
Rabbit
November 6th, 2012
11:55 pm
Please tell me there’s not some Tom Dewey media mess cooking.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
11:55 pm
Theyve got 30,000 votes they won’t be done counting in FL until next week
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
11:55 pm
Ohio? Who cares!
Karl Rove sure does, he’s babbling random numbers like they’re some kind of anti-reality incantation.
LeftInTheSouth
November 6th, 2012
11:56 pm
He’ll yeah!! 4 more years!!! TD suck it!!!!
JustDang...
November 6th, 2012
11:56 pm
November 6th, 2012
11:28 pm
It’s going to be fun harassing Obama supporters the next 4 years. It will be fun when I hire them to clean my toilets, see them wait on me in restaurants and ask me if I need my antenna removed before I go in the carwash!
So much for a better future for you guys!
Wow!…and the sad part is that you don’t even understand or see the irony in your post…You would rather cripple American progress than work with the President. Just wow!!
Peter
November 6th, 2012
11:56 pm
Peter
November 6th, 2012
6:47 pm
Women voting will be the saving grace for Obama.
Yup I said it earlier…
And guys like……. Bill Orvis White ………. Please retire……….maybe to Mexico or some place like that. But learn to read and comprehend first.
You out to be ashamed to back a party who said it was a blessing for a woman to get rapped and be forced to have the child….. Amazingly insensitive….. If you go to church go pray for forgiveness, and look at woman as people with feelings…….not as someone to boss around because of your ideals !
Jm
November 6th, 2012
11:57 pm
You only concede once
They’re going to wait
Peter
November 6th, 2012
11:59 pm
My last thought is this…. what is Romeny now going to do ? Join Bain capitol yet again and out source more American Jobs ?
If he actually does join Bain… then he will have just showed how two face he really is…and how lemmings will follow without a cause !
iggy
November 6th, 2012
11:59 pm
“I was going to put up Barbra Streisand”
Oh God, please no! Us Reps have suffered enough tonite.
East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)
November 6th, 2012
11:59 pm
The GOP is so delusional and stupid they lost winnable Senate seats with these moronic extremist fascist ring wingnuts. Demographics of this country going forward will reduce the GOP to minority opposition unless they are willing to purge these idiots and reform themselves.
My guess is they will move harder and further to the right. And as far as I am concerned I hope they do. It will just make them smaller and smaller until they are as insignificant as their extremist positions reflect the real USA.
oldguy
November 7th, 2012
12:00 am
The republic is dead. Long live Obama the First.
If you think he was a socialist during his first term, you’ve not seen nothing yet.
I am too old and poor to leave the country so I will just have to send what assets I have overseas.
(already been working on it).
It may not mean much but what little I can do to subvert the system I will do. I plan on statistically removing myself from the imperial government data bases. I did not participate in the census of 2010 as a first step.
P.s. for those of you in my situation without any hope of getting adequate health care I have relatives working on a plan to provide a network of quality hospital and care facilities overseas (India and the Philippines look good as they already offer quality US trained Drs at reasonable prices. They just need to be networked).
Citizen of the World
November 7th, 2012
12:01 am
Republicans believed in a Romney victory like many people believe in God. They put their trust in certain people so they believed what those certain people said, despite no evidence and sometimes even evidence to the contrary.
BTW, I don’t disbelieve or believe in god, but I do *feel* God.
When it comes to stuff happening in the realm of reality, however, I don’t go on faith, I go on evidence. That’s where many Republicans went wrong this time, though. They didn’t believe the polls or the employment data or global warming, etc. They think disbelieving it will make it not so. Maybe this will be their wake up call.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:01 am
I don’t care if Romney waits til tomorrow evening to concede. The result is clear. Romney has been hoofing it for 2 years. Tonight will be crushing to the man. God bless him. He represents a minority position, but he would have been a capable public servant.
bleary
November 7th, 2012
12:01 am
Romney is ahead in Ohio by 20,000 votes right now. But with Colorado and Nevada Obama wins anyway.
getalife
November 7th, 2012
12:02 am
“Amendment 64 Passes: Colorado Legalizes Marijuana For Recreational Use”
Looks like a trip to Colorado.
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 7th, 2012
12:03 am
Hey just dang!
I won’t ever work with an Obama!
All out for number 1 baby, hell with the have nots! I did create this on my own and i’m not letting a community activist take it away!
East Cobb RINO, Inc. (LLC)
November 7th, 2012
12:04 am
Romney can concede on January 21, 2013 as far as I am concerned. Even then he may still delude himself into thinking he can still win. Knock yourselves out. With that time to get some sleep.
Don't Forget
November 7th, 2012
12:04 am
Been hearing for years now about how ANYBODY could beat Obama. Well they were totally FOS.
Granny Godzilla
November 7th, 2012
12:04 am
Jm
I know it ain’t Tiddlywinks
Obama know is ain’t tiddlywinks
Americans know it ain’t tiddlywinks
Only you brought up that child’s game.
.
.
.
I suggest you try cootie……
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:04 am
If Obama
You tell them, buddy. Tell them good
Bosch
November 7th, 2012
12:05 am
Im glad the best man won. Sorry to my friends that I’ve purposefully been absent here, but now this nightmare is over….I’ll see you soon!!
The peace of the Lord be always with you…
gm
November 7th, 2012
12:05 am
Thank God for the rest of the country beside the southern conservatives idiots, when will you learn that the rest of the country has moved to the 21st century, and the day of the hating the President because he is black is over.
I fell like the north has just one the civil war again, all the hate, on this great President and attempt to destroy him and surpress the vote did not work, because God beats satan every time.
Sean scum Hannity and high school drop out Rush Limbaugh how will you make your millions now? off hate and lying to low infomed white voters.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 7th, 2012
12:06 am
Hiya, Bosch — and welcome back!
Dekalb comments
November 7th, 2012
12:08 am
Hello Mighty Righty…….
You were so very sure of your candidate and he LOST. You were predicting a Robme landslide. It did not materialize. Mature and educated people accept the vote of the people. I doubt you have it in you to do the same.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:08 am
Rush and Hannity ain’t going anywhere. Just read some of the comments above. There’s a demand for what they’re supplying.
I just hope Obama continues to rack up the EVs. That will stop Team Romney’s legal team dead in their tracks.
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:09 am
Kam, getalife, Jamvet, St Simons and even crazy Finn
Great job on the predictions. They all picked a relatively easy win for Obama.
Kudos
getalife
November 7th, 2012
12:09 am
Bosch,
About time
Adam
November 7th, 2012
12:11 am
Hilarious. Absolutely hilarious.
Everyone should KNOW why Obama won. BECAUSE HE RAN ON HIS RECORD.
The REAL one, not that straw man one the right wing made up.
DannyX
November 7th, 2012
12:11 am
“Romney is ahead in Ohio by 20,000 votes right now.”
That lead won’t last long. Most all of the Romney counties are 100% in, still 30% to be counted in metro Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) Obama will gain many votes there.
Granny Godzilla
November 7th, 2012
12:11 am
I never thought much of Romney, but lot’s of us have the alarm set for 5:30
Concede already
Don’t be tacky
JustDang...
November 7th, 2012
12:12 am
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 7th, 2012
12:03 am
Hey just dang!
I won’t ever work with an Obama!
All out for number 1 baby, hell with the have nots! I did create this on my own and i’m not letting a community activist take it away!
Got it…
So do u baby…Do you. Just remember your words…Just remember your words.
Don't Forget
November 7th, 2012
12:12 am
How old is Scalia?
Granny Godzilla
November 7th, 2012
12:13 am
Bosch
Big hugs to you
I miss you
Joe says ruff
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:13 am
Adam
My apologies. Forgot you in my 12:09.
My projection was 287 to 251.
Thought it would be closer than it will end up being.
Lord Help Us
November 7th, 2012
12:15 am
Two maybe three more Supremes on their way out.
Obama will end up with 4-5 on his own on the Court.
Deal with it cons…
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:17 am
getalife
Thanks for all the great one liners throughout the election season…………… You have given me plenty of chuckles.
Tealiban Party
November 7th, 2012
12:17 am
Fox whining….. but but but there is more red on the map. LOL!
Robards
November 7th, 2012
12:17 am
Scalia is 76. Kennedy is as well.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 7th, 2012
12:18 am
BOTH
You are beginning to read like a sign off.
Are you leaving us?
JOE COOL........
November 7th, 2012
12:18 am
All kinda excuses being made at FAUKazzNEWS
getalife
November 7th, 2012
12:18 am
Thanks Both,
Enjoyed it too.
jewcowboy
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
Maine just became the 1st state to approve gay marriage by popular vote. SUCK IT!
https://twitter.com/MainersUnited/status/266040179851149313
DannyX
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
Obama wins Nevada. Looks like he will also win Florida and Virgina too.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
Looks like we won’t be talking about the Redskins Rule anymore….ever…..
hiram
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
The genius Republicans sold the rope to hang themselves. The Latinos, that the Republicans imported to exploit, just cost them the election, and will cost them many future elections – in fact, they have pretty much eliminated the Republican party, and Rush, and Fox, and …
Tealiban Party
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
Now Fox is crying about the National Popular vote
Mary Elizabeth
November 7th, 2012
12:19 am
I have thought that this election would be pivotal in the direction that our nation and our world would move in the 21st century because the choice of President Obama by the American people means that we are as a race, a human race, evolving toward greater consciousness of inclusion and egalitarianism in how we perceive one another.
No one lost this election because we are all moving in the direction that Providence would have us move, imo. We are simply arriving sooner than later toward a kinder, more humanitarian world. There can be no losers when that has happened, and no one should proclaim victory over any other human being for to do that would not be in keeping with the beauty and the grace of this undertaking and its conclusion. The collective voice of the American people has spoken and the now the America that I so love and have always believed in will be able better to lead the world, a grateful world, to its higher destination. Thanks be to God.
Adam
November 7th, 2012
12:20 am
They BOTH suck: I was basing it on Nate Silver’s stuff, somewhat.
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:20 am
Kam
Nope, but giving kudos to those who were making the bold predictions.
I was playing it close to the vest and really thought it would be tighter. Maybe that was the competitor in me and I wanted to see a real fight tonight, not a early TKO.
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 7th, 2012
12:20 am
Hey Obama,
I missed my damn phone you gave out!
I am going to buy a bigger house now so you better start paying for mortgage!
Mr. Snarky
November 7th, 2012
12:21 am
“Amendment 64 Passes: Colorado Legalizes Marijuana For Recreational Use” Looks like a trip to Colorado.
LOL!
Pick up some for Bill Orvis.
B. Thenet
November 7th, 2012
12:21 am
The Democrats need to figure out how to bring this success down the ballot, need to win back the House in 2 years.
Aquagirl
November 7th, 2012
12:22 am
Pick up some for Bill Orvis
Judging from his posts he already has wayyyyyy too much.
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:23 am
If Obama wins
At this moment, you are acting like the Karl Rove of the blog………. unhinged.
Kujohn
November 7th, 2012
12:23 am
Poor Mitt ens Hey republicans. Look at the brite side In 4 yrs you are gonna have another Clinton to hate on Hillary 2016
Jm
November 7th, 2012
12:23 am
This ain’t 2008
Concession may be tomorrow, or just late tonight
ld
November 7th, 2012
12:23 am
women win; progressives win, employee class wins, consumer class wins, environment wins
GOP talking about “modern” conservatism (= conning Hispanics) to win future elections.
Republicans seem unwilling and/or unable to grasp that their policies that are aimed at helping the wealthiest among us to the detriment of the majority among us and that buying the votes of the zealots by abandoning individual liberty and equal right under law in favor of tyranny of religious zealots of the evangelical flavor are WRONG for America.
Tealiban Party
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
He needs some lithium to help with his schizophrenia
Mr. Snarky
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
“I missed my damn phone you gave out! I am going to buy a bigger house now so you better start paying for mortgage!”
I say you go to the White House and demand your phone. Also, just stop paying your mortgage…Barack will pick it up…no worries.
Goldie
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
OH YEAH — 4 more years without the Wackadoodles in the White House, woo-hooo!
Thank GOD we have President Obama still in the White House!
Adam
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
I trust most people at this point realize I based my predictions on some solid evidence as opposed to wishful thinking. It’s why I made all those bets.
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
Mary Elizabeth,
Go burn your insense on other blogs!
Geez!
News Flash
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
Democrats need to figure out how to put Georgia in play…it is too RED.
jewcowboy
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
“hanks be to God”
Screw your god…thanks to the common sense of the American people.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 7th, 2012
12:24 am
BOTH
Good.
I’m with Adam, Nate really did all the heavy lifting and I don’t remember making any predictions myself (well, maybe I did make one or two at Thinking Man’s)
Z
November 7th, 2012
12:25 am
You see what happens when Republicans want to treat Women as second class citizens. You just don’t mess with Mother Nature, she will come back and bite you in the waaaaaZooooo every time.
President Obama has his 4 more years..thanks to millions of progressive Men, Women, Minority’s and Young People who got out and voted, YES!
Mr. Snarky
November 7th, 2012
12:25 am
Bill O. needs something to take the edge off.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:25 am
Now that Obama is a lame duck President, expect him to nationalize large corporations, raise the tax rates on millionaires to 92%, and force us all to learn the traditional stamping dance of his native Kenya, Ndlamu.
tee hee
Bosch
November 7th, 2012
12:26 am
Hi Mrs.G! Had to leave here for a while, but so glad to see our hard work pay off right now. I’m so glad our O of O campfires worked out, and I went so far to plant my son in Chicago…
Haha, damn, suck it Tea Party and all your crazy draconian crap…
Mr. Snarky
November 7th, 2012
12:26 am
I know Ruth Bader is glad. Now she can retire.
Goldie
November 7th, 2012
12:26 am
Romney loses his own state, and Ryan loses his own state — and they don’t want to concede to Our President just yet! What a bunch of whining LOSERS!!!
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:26 am
Jm
If he waits until tomorrow, Romney is being a punk.
It is over. OH or nor OH, the math is not in his favor.
Successful businessman like himself can see it. That pride may not see it, but his mind sees it well.
pete
November 7th, 2012
12:27 am
It has to suck for those folks in NJ and NY right now. It is cold, you have no house, FEMA is broke, and Obama is back. You wanted him, you got him.
Goldie
November 7th, 2012
12:27 am
Hey Bosch — Dude, good to see you here on the Bookman blog again!
Welcome to the Occupation
November 7th, 2012
12:28 am
Sorry Mary Elizabeth. Can’t agree with much of anything you say there.
“No one lost this election because we are all moving in the direction that Providence would have us move, imo”
If no one lost, then what’s there really to celebrate? I would hope there are some 1%ers who are feeling the sting of loss tonight.
“We are simply arriving sooner than later toward a kinder, more humanitarian world.”
With the Middle East in flames, neo-fascism on the march in southern Europe, and no small amount of misery in our own country, I don’t see much evidence of the evolution you speak of. And anyway I certainly don’t see how Barack Obama’s re-election has much to do with getting us there.
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:29 am
Romney is probably on his jet, heading to Iowa.
He will call Obama on his way to the 24 hour diner he has ate it so many times over that last 6 or so yrs. Maybe Iowa still has a fair or two left where he can start his 2016 campaign.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 7th, 2012
12:29 am
BOTH
What happened to the chiropractor next door?
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:30 am
Mr Snarky
That was funny and probably very true.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:30 am
Iowa will send him back. Paint it blue.
Jm
November 7th, 2012
12:30 am
Tbs 12:26
Grow up man
It’s a close race
Unplug from your American idol twitter ADD world and waiting until tomorrow is perfectly reasonable
DannyX
November 7th, 2012
12:30 am
“Maine just became the 1st state to approve gay marriage by popular vote. SUCK IT!”
Washington Post says it passed in Maryland also!
Don't Forget
November 7th, 2012
12:31 am
Va and Fl likely to go to Obama too. If Mitt had any class he’d at least acknowledge his “snowball’s chance in Hall” and thank his supporters for their work.
Goldie
November 7th, 2012
12:31 am
So Cons, how did that brilliant strategy of making sure Obama was a “one-term President” work out for y’all??? Why do you Cons hate America so much that you won’t even contribute to solving any of our economics problems that YOU CAUSED???
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:31 am
Kam
Unless he is sock puppeting, no sightings.
However I did leave him a message about the bet that he and I had.
JustDang...
November 7th, 2012
12:31 am
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 7th, 2012
12:20 am
Hey Obama,
I missed my damn phone you gave out!
I am going to buy a bigger house now so you better start paying for mortgage!
Sorry you missed your Reagan-era land line phone. Your ignorance should be embarassing to you, but as they say “Ignorance Is Bliss”….so be blissful. You leave no doubt.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 7th, 2012
12:32 am
It sure looks like the ban count on this blog is pegged at zero. Amazing restraint I must say. Or perhaps it’s just because the Usual Suspects were conspicuously absent tonight.
Don't Forget
November 7th, 2012
12:32 am
What was Mitch McConnell’s second job? We all know what his first was and he failed miserably.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 7th, 2012
12:33 am
BOTH
Yeah I saw that and assumed it was wager related.
I’m thinking he’s sock-puppeting, or ashamed
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:33 am
Jm
Guess you are crying and hoping like Rove. It is over.
Romney can stop being a punk at anytime now and make that call.
OH is not his only problem. What electoral map are you looking at?
Get over it, dudette. This race is done.
Obamaagain
November 7th, 2012
12:33 am
Oh well another 6 trillions in debt in another 4 yrs…great 49 percents no jobs and will add some more
another 25percents in about 2 yrs? well have more fun staying home, eat and shiet do nothing who likes working anyway, yall elected him to help out right? anybody if you lose your house go ask him for help, get when you can, you have only another 4 years..so when republican takes office..you will not see a dime any longer because the handout is not gonna be there for you anymore.
They BOTH suck
November 7th, 2012
12:34 am
Kam
Probably both.
Mr. Snarky
November 7th, 2012
12:34 am
Repubs are getting their butts kicked in the Senate.
Too bad the House is a gerrymandered basketcase.
Granny Godzilla
November 7th, 2012
12:34 am
Bosch
Where in Chicago?
I got lots of family there who would adopt the kid of a friend of mine.
The foods good.
Jm
November 7th, 2012
12:34 am
Mitch McConnell is a dbag
Always has been, will be
hiram
November 7th, 2012
12:34 am
If Obama wins… represents the majority of Georgia’s electorate – ditto heads, who mindlessly repeat Rush’s(Karl’s) talking points(lies), weeks after they were repudiated.
AtlJack
November 7th, 2012
12:35 am
Obama has been re-elected as the President of the United States.
The Democrats routed the Senatorial races.
Maybe, just maybe the extreme right will go away.
Would you nut cases put the tea bags back into your tea now?
Tiffany
November 7th, 2012
12:35 am
My prayers have been answered! 4 more years!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!