UPDATE: 6:40: Early exit polls report that 2012 electorate is ’slightly’ more Republican than in 2008. That’s crucial, because most 2012 polling is built on the assumption that 2012 turnout will be similar to 2008 turnout.
UPDATE: 7:40 Obama up in early Ohio exit polls.
Winning by 11 among women, down 6 among men. Net up three. If that holds, that’s crucial.
UPDATE: 8:07: Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut. Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting any.
UPDATE: 9:28″ Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t. For example, Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.
UPDATE: 9:52: New Hampshire called. Pennsylvania called. Both for Obama. Romney is running out of routes to the White House.
In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren beats Scott Brown; Richard Mourdock loses in Indiana. Tammy Baldwin wins in Wisconsin, becoming our first openly gay U.S. senator.
UPDATE: 10:05: Republicans were insistent that the polls were oversampling Democrats, that there was no way so many Americans were Democratic.
So far, it looks as though they were wrong.
UPDATE: 10:48: This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:
Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.
Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?
——————
In my attempt to provide you with a full-service political blog, I thought some of you — I’m not saying who — might be needing the following before the night is over.
You don’t know who you are yet, but when the time comes, you’ll thank me I’m sure:

Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm
In the meantime, this will serve as our election-night live-blog headquarters, at least until a winner is declared. Please respect other bloggers and remain civil, even when others are not. I’m guessing that the over-under for banning people tonight will be four, but I’m hoping that you folks prove me wrong.
Or, as the immortal Bette Davis once put it:
– Jay Bookman
1,251 comments Add your comment
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:50 pm
41,000 Gary Johnson votes in FL
Could be the tipper
getalife
November 6th, 2012
10:50 pm
Grayson does not care and tells the gop they are full of it like Biden.
The Obama’s are the role models.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:50 pm
MN – O
AZ – R
Mitt gains 1 EV
Tundra Dude
November 6th, 2012
10:50 pm
Romney up by 3 points with a quarter counted in Wisconsin
Don’t matter. BO only 16k votes behind.
Milw county has over 500k votes, always goes to D candidate.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:51 pm
My friend who owns a company gave notice today that if Obama wins…
My girlfriend’s hairdresser’s husband has an uncle that used to work with a guy that knows someone that own a company and he said demand side economics would give him more customers.
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 6th, 2012
10:52 pm
Hell Jay,
Most people are tired of paying for these fat duffs unfairly sucking $ from these social programs!
Illegals have to go!
Lord Help Us
November 6th, 2012
10:53 pm
MN goes blue…George Will’s hair mates with Donald Trumps’…
That Black Guy
November 6th, 2012
10:54 pm
Good night all
thuggishNews
November 6th, 2012
10:54 pm
only 1 cure for romnesia: a b**** slap
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:56 pm
To the poster whose friend will fold his business simply because he does not like who wins…
Your friend should not be in business anyway if that is his attitude.
You should not set your corporate plan according to what Rush Limpdick says.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:57 pm
Romney HQ not answering phone calls from the media…
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:57 pm
“Obama wins”, are you watching these election returns?
29 percent is not “most people.”
Fred ™
November 6th, 2012
10:58 pm
Anyone ever been to Manuel’s Tavern on election night/ I WAS going to go tonight but just damn……….
I had no clue. There must have been 6 brazillion peoples there. I would have never gotten any food much less a place inside the joint. I drove past,. saw the parking lot full of people and just kept driving……….
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:58 pm
Joe Walsh loses to Tammy Duckworth.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:59 pm
29 percent is not “most people.”
Unskewed poll guy begs to differ….
Welcome to the Occupation
November 6th, 2012
11:01 pm
Joe Walsh loses to Tammy Duckworth.
One of 3 IL GOP incumbents who may go down.
ad
November 6th, 2012
11:01 pm
Well, The Daily Show is starting
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:01 pm
Obama wins CA, HI and Kenya
Teacher
November 6th, 2012
11:01 pm
Obama wins
Illegals make up maybe 5 %….yet “suck up” the entire welfare program…..(*)(*) rolled
hsn
November 6th, 2012
11:01 pm
Michael Barone, Karl Rove, Dick Morris, and the rest of the Romney-wins-by-a-landslide crowd are experiencing severe palpitations.
Here on AJC, Kyle, td, Tiberius and the rest of the rightwing yahoos are are experiencing panic attacks!
***** Obamamatic for the people
*******
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If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 6th, 2012
11:02 pm
Look before you keep!
Do you libs read?
It’s not that he doesn’t like Obama, it’s the damn biz requirements that are going to make running a small biz, unprofitable!
Teacher
November 6th, 2012
11:02 pm
Damn Kenya blue and Kolob red
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
11:02 pm
Joe Walsh loses to Tammy Duckworth.
Scout is not amused…
But I love it!!! History in the making!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEoWaP4skv8
Fred ™
November 6th, 2012
11:03 pm
Jay: What stories have you heard about folks in Georgia not being able to vote? I Dekalb, MANTY were stricken from the rolls , not added to the Express polls, and flagged with an “X” status.
Those with an X status were naturalized citizens who unbeknownst to them had their citizenship challenged by *someone.* They were not told in advance. They just showed up at the polls and were told they couldn’t vote until they “proved” their citizenship. It was a pretty crappy deal.
Others could go online and see they were registered and even where to vote, but when they get to the poll, they don’t show up in the Express Poll machine. We had to call to get authorization for them to vote. Average wait time for each call was 30 minutes. It was a total mess. In ten years I have seen nothing like it.
You should sniff around and see if there is a story there…….
Adam
November 6th, 2012
11:03 pm
TBG: Adam, do you see Alan Grayson as someone to be proud of?
If you had a son, would you tell him that he could grow up to be like Alan Grayson?
Yes and yes.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
11:03 pm
Keep
Indonesia as well…………
Welcome to the Occupation
November 6th, 2012
11:04 pm
CNN calling Wisconsin for Obama.
Guess golden boy didn’t pull the state for Romney.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:04 pm
Well sure Obama wins…. you can identify specifically those regulations?
tireofit
November 6th, 2012
11:05 pm
Georgia Allen Virginia – Nope
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:05 pm
So the GOP ticket loses the home state of BOTH the Pres and VP candidate!
Weill good! LOLOLOLOL
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
11:06 pm
Jon King wants to call this for Obama right now!
tireofit
November 6th, 2012
11:07 pm
I am enjoying FOX tonight.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
11:07 pm
Joe Walsh loses to Tammy Duckworth
Good, he should not talk to our soldiers like they are dogs
thuggishNews
November 6th, 2012
11:08 pm
pretty soon, the gop will be small enough to fit inside a vagina.
Jay
November 6th, 2012
11:08 pm
Thanks, Fred. Good info.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:08 pm
hmmm…. I just want to point out that after the 2010 elections, the righties were not spiking the ball about 2012…. oh wait.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
11:09 pm
Tea Party’s over………
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
11:09 pm
Looks like they’ve flushed the Tea Potty on Joe Walsh.
Hell yeah.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
11:09 pm
@If
And what “biz reqs” exactly does he think will make his business (assumedly profitable) turn UNPROFITABLE?
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
____
____ , — – — -.
((( (( /// // ‘ \\-\ \ )) ))
/// /// (( _ _ — \\– \\\ \)
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(())) __/ ||( ,, ((//\ ) ))))
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____/ |/______________| \/_/\__
Teacher
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
Iowa blue
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
Vagina? Ohhhh, the word! Run! Run and hide!
Jay
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
Iowa to Obama.
I think this thing is pretty much over.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
IA – its like the beginning of the TV series Get Smart
doors SNAPPING shut by the second.
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:10 pm
Chopped my damned mushroom cloud in half!! >:O\
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:11 pm
Bachman barely hanging on…right now
BW
November 6th, 2012
11:11 pm
Jay
This is an interesting night if the patterns hold with the President serving a second term, the House is Republican hands and the Senate is Democratic hands….how should the President respond once Romney concedes? The next month is critical!
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
11:11 pm
CO goes Obama now and Romney can take OH, FL and VA and still lose
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
11:12 pm
It’s all blue……….
Is Steve King gone yet?
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:12 pm
Boy the fat chick is tuning up those pipes!!
Lord Help Us
November 6th, 2012
11:13 pm
Fox is adamant that Obama DOES NOT have a mandate…gosh darn it!
tireofit
November 6th, 2012
11:13 pm
Britt Hume is surprised?
Welcome to the Occupation
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
Denver Post now calling Colorado for Obama. Sooooo, since he already has Iowa, does he even need Ohio or Florida any more?
Mr. Snarky
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
OH for Obama! Game Over. Thanks for playing.
Lord Help Us
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
Git r’ done..Ohio!
Lord Help Us
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
MANDATE!!!!
rcs
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
Ohio called for Obama. It’s all over now baby blue.
Jay
November 6th, 2012
11:14 pm
Fox calls Ohio for Obama.
Barack Obama has been re-elected president of the United States.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
11:15 pm
OHIO
TURN OUT THE LIGHTS, THE PARTY IS OVER
Good night, Irene
It is all she wrote, her pencil broke
The lady is signing
Mr. Snarky
November 6th, 2012
11:15 pm
I’m just glad I won’t have to look at Romney for the next for years. That would have been depressing.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:15 pm
LHU, we could bring up Bush but when you have Romnesia, they don’t remember that one
Rightwing Troll
November 6th, 2012
11:16 pm
B
O
O
M
.
.
.
Adam
November 6th, 2012
11:16 pm
B
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
O
OOOOOOOM!
Mr. Snarky
November 6th, 2012
11:16 pm
Sadness on Fox News.
Adam
November 6th, 2012
11:16 pm
Obama HQ playing “How ya like me now?” LOLOLOL
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
No hard feelings, but I dedicate this song to our right leaning bloggers.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dJe1iUuAW4M
Scott
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
Enjoy 6 trillion more dollars in debt, enjoy unemployment over 8 percent. Unbelievable. I cannot believe Americans are this stupid.
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
Obama wins CA, HI and Kenya
In Illinois they are playing “How Ya Like Me Now” in the background!
In Kenya they’re playing Mozart……………..
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
Okay, save the booms…. most of the right have already left the building through the sheepish door.
Don't Forget
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
Ooooooooooooooooooooooooooooobama
Jm
November 6th, 2012
11:17 pm
If I’m Romney, I wouldn’t concede yet
Maybe early morning but not now
Rightwing Troll
November 6th, 2012
11:18 pm
” I cannot believe Americans are this stupid.”
And so it begins…
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:18 pm
it’s ovah Babay!!!!
Scott
November 6th, 2012
11:18 pm
Maybe we can finally find out what happened in Libya now.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
11:18 pm
CNN CALLS OBAMA!!!!!
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
11:18 pm
Guess our cons all have to be at work by 4 am, or they’d be here gracefully conceding.
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:19 pm
SCRRRRREEEEEEEEEWWWWWW YOUUUUUU MITT ROMNEY!!!!!!!
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:19 pm
Scott….amazing what only 47% of the people can do, especially them being so lazy and everything?
Granny Godzilla
November 6th, 2012
11:19 pm
Hey republicans….I do love you too
iggy
November 6th, 2012
11:20 pm
Game over. 4 more long years of Obama.
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:20 pm
SCRREEEEEWWWWW THE OBAMA HATERS!!! Now let’s move FORWARD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Faux is hilarious.
thuggishNews
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
scott, cheer up. the debt will be paid down in due time. remember, deficits don’t matter.
rcs
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Thanks granny
Cheesy Grits
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Awesome
BuckeyeInGa
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Fox call it for President Obama…I guess the polls were right.
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Faux News lieing again……………..saying that Obama was re-elected because of his negative broadcasts on Romney. NOT because of Romney’s own crap, (47%ers, etc.). Oh no! It is because of OBAMA’s negative ads!
Jm
November 6th, 2012
11:21 pm
Classy liberals
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
11:22 pm
Jm
He is getting on his jet…….. heading to Iowa
He will concede from a diner in Des Moines
“The quest continues: Romney 2016″
Don't Forget
November 6th, 2012
11:22 pm
The Pakistani’s are very upset.
Tealiban Party
November 6th, 2012
11:22 pm
WOOOOOOOO HOOOOOOOOO! I knew my Buckeye State would come through!!!!
Jm
November 6th, 2012
11:23 pm
“Krystal’sBalls
November 6th, 2012
11:19 pm
SCRRRRREEEEEEEEEWWWWWW YOUUUUUU MITT ROMNEY!!!!!!!
LinkReport this comment”
And so it begins
The partisanship doesn’t end
The country is in deep doo doo
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
11:23 pm
I cannot believe Americans are this stupid.
The first of the 5,831 variations of this post in the next month.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
11:23 pm
Who is Dick Morris calling for next?
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
11:23 pm
FOX commentators are lamenting that Romney ran as a moderate and not as an uber-righty.
Man, they really, really, really don’t get it.
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
11:24 pm
” I cannot believe
AmericansGeorgians are this stupid.”Daedalus
November 6th, 2012
11:24 pm
Obama wins!
Watch the GOP tear Romney apart.
Back to college football. GO DUCKS!
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
11:24 pm
jm, did you check out the “classy” over at kyle’s.
Welcome to the Occupation
November 6th, 2012
11:24 pm
Wow, that was fast.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
11:24 pm
Hmm
If VA goes Romney, and FL goes Obama, Nate Silver looks like a predicting STUD