Live blog: Election 2012, the final chapter
UPDATE: 6:40: Early exit polls report that 2012 electorate is ’slightly’ more Republican than in 2008. That’s crucial, because most 2012 polling is built on the assumption that 2012 turnout will be similar to 2008 turnout.
UPDATE: 7:40 Obama up in early Ohio exit polls.
Winning by 11 among women, down 6 among men. Net up three. If that holds, that’s crucial.
UPDATE: 8:07: Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut. Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting any.
UPDATE: 9:28″ Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t. For example, Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.
UPDATE: 9:52: New Hampshire called. Pennsylvania called. Both for Obama. Romney is running out of routes to the White House.
In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren beats Scott Brown; Richard Mourdock loses in Indiana. Tammy Baldwin wins in Wisconsin, becoming our first openly gay U.S. senator.
UPDATE: 10:05: Republicans were insistent that the polls were oversampling Democrats, that there was no way so many Americans were Democratic.
So far, it looks as though they were wrong.
UPDATE: 10:48: This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:
Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.
Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?
——————
In my attempt to provide you with a full-service political blog, I thought some of you — I’m not saying who — might be needing the following before the night is over.
You don’t know who you are yet, but when the time comes, you’ll thank me I’m sure:
Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm
In the meantime, this will serve as our election-night live-blog headquarters, at least until a winner is declared. Please respect other bloggers and remain civil, even when others are not. I’m guessing that the over-under for banning people tonight will be four, but I’m hoping that you folks prove me wrong.
Or, as the immortal Bette Davis once put it:
– Jay Bookman
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1,251 comments Add your comment
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:10 pm
Oh good
Jesse jackson won re election
Man, I’m sorry, democrats look as dumb for that as akin supporters look
Common Sense isn't very Common
November 6th, 2012
10:10 pm
Romney lost Michigan where he was born.
Romney lost Mass where he lives.
Romney lost Maine where he has a vacation home
Romney is predicted to lose CA where he has a vaction home.
Dammit he does need to move where he can get some love
Maybe Utah
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:11 pm
Did Fox just show Romney at a roadside diner in Iowa?
3rd time might be a charm: Romney 2016
Adam
November 6th, 2012
10:11 pm
BUH BYE TEAM RAPE!
BRW
November 6th, 2012
10:12 pm
I just heard the “other” Joe Walsh…………………lost!
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:13 pm
Unfortunately the Republicans defeated themselves again by running moderates instead of the eminently more electable tea party contingent.
yuck. yuck.
Adam
November 6th, 2012
10:13 pm
Mourdock and Akin LOSE. They get NOTHING!
YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!
Elizabeth Warren wins. Alan Grayson wins. Bill Nelson wins. WI, MI, PA all for Obama.
Hey Republicans: HOW’S IT TASTE?!?!?!
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:13 pm
Sarah Palin is on Fox, looking absolutely shellshocked.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:13 pm
The faces on Fox News are longer than John Kerry’s…………..
Is it over?
Tealiban Party
November 6th, 2012
10:14 pm
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
10:09 pm
Gnight all. Let the dems crow loud and long tonight. They’re going to have a lot to answer for in the next 4 years. Even chief spreading bull won.
Smell ya later.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:14 pm
It could be that the most important person in this election cycle was Sandra Fluke who pulled back curtain on the GOP.
Damn, wish I’d said that.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
I just left the funeral home, ie I changed it from Fox
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
Watching FOX news and the looks of stunned disbelief is a hoot!
Sarah Palin, Greta, Brit Hume, all of them, are still attacking Obama as if the election wasn’t coming until tomorrow. Head in the sand, angry, and incapable of self awareness.
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
TOLD you – Florida, Ohio, AND Virginia, and we gain in Senate.
chin up cons. You still have AM raydio and the House for 24 months.
and a heretofore respected poll “Gallups” off into the sunset of
credibility – with Dick Morris, Rasmussen & the rest
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
If Fl holds for Obama – Obama only need one other state other than NM.
rcs
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
I’m watching Palin now Jay. Why is she even relevant now a days?
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
Mr. Snarky,
“So is Utah one of Romney’s home states? Maybe he can win one.”
Nope… Mitt sold his 7 bedroom ski chalet in Utah.
BRW
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
“looking absolutely shellshocked” What did Todd mistake her for a Moose?
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
10:15 pm
Duckworth leading Walsh 56-44%
Good, that’s a big stinking bag of Republican trash that needs kicking to the curb. Ms. Duckworth can sterilize her prosthesis afterwards.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:16 pm
Allen west commie slayer slightly ahead, 91% votes in
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:16 pm
Thulsa
Don’t go to sleep. It was you who was talking about the Romney surge and expected victory just a day or two ago……..
Don’t be sad, winning the House aint bad
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
10:16 pm
Nate Silver will now be crowned……
thuggishNews
November 6th, 2012
10:16 pm
Linda Mcmahon should never be allowed to file for bankruptcy after spending $100m of her own cash with no gain.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
10:19 pm
One Koch Brother says to another Koch Brother:
“You wrote how many checks? What?”
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:19 pm
As I recall several people here said that Elmer Fudd could easily beat Obama.
Perhaps if y’all had nominated him instead of Romney….
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
10:20 pm
Thanks, Welcome!
If that holds, Tammy Duckworth and if Tulsi Gabbard (D – Hi) wins her race, it will be the first two female combat veteran elected to the US Congress!!!
Salute!
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
10:21 pm
Kam, LOL
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
November 6th, 2012
10:21 pm
It looks as though Obama will be narrowly re-elected.
A few points:
1) There is a good chance he will lose the popular vote but win the electoral vote. Our founding fathers wisely set it up that way. Pure democracy is not good ……… that’s why we have a House of Representatives “and” a Senate with two Senators for Rhode Island and two for California.
2) I also believe historians 100 years from now will mark this date as the point our Republic reached the “point of no return” in its demise. “Alea iacta est”
3) In the meantime, the stalemate, devisiveness and political conflict will surely continue.
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:21 pm
Binders full of women in the Senate ….
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:21 pm
FOX is projecting that Romney began writing his “other’ speech around 6 minutes ago.
Adam
November 6th, 2012
10:21 pm
Oh i am sorry. Really I am so SO sorry, but
WE JUST BURST YOUR RIGHT WING BUBBLE B******ES!
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:22 pm
Alex Castellanos on CNN: “This is a repudiation of the Republican Party.”
DannyX
November 6th, 2012
10:22 pm
“making Obama a one-term President is my single most important political goal along with every active Republican in the country.” Mitch McConnell
Another Republican Senate failure. They sure did try though.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:22 pm
Scout
Reagan / Carter?
Did you really believe that? If so, based on what?
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:23 pm
Scout
We are surely headed down a dark road
Adam
November 6th, 2012
10:23 pm
It looks as though Obama will be narrowly re-elected.
Narrowly?
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
*deep breath*
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHHAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
10:23 pm
Finn McCool,
“Nate Silver will now be crowned……”
Hottie gay geeks will rule the world.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:24 pm
Shldon Adelson just phoned Romney and said he was putting a stop payment on his checks.
rcs
November 6th, 2012
10:24 pm
Binders full of women in the Senate ….
On both sides of the aisle….
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:24 pm
If warren does win, that does make me pretty sick
(libs rejoicing)
Lord Help Us
November 6th, 2012
10:25 pm
Anyone seen #1 Foxy Lady yet?
gm
November 6th, 2012
10:25 pm
Hey southern white conservatives males, memo , Romney lost where he worked, loss where he was born, dont you think these places know him better then you?
I mean southerners conservatives except Florida you are a joke in voting, you dont matter any more with your narrow minded voting mind.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:25 pm
Karl Rove is trying to stir the FOX crowd. Saying Romney will continue to chip away at Obama’s lead in states that have been projected as blue. Big metro areas counted; rural areas seep in slowly.
Gotta keep the audience riveted.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:26 pm
When all else fails and you have lost the war, the last stand: make predictions about what will happen 100 years from now…
100 years from now……… you’ll still be wrong.
Granny Godzilla
November 6th, 2012
10:26 pm
Paul !!!!!!!
I’m still happy dancing
And folding laundry
It’s all about personal responsibility, with panache.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:26 pm
For those who think Obama wins EV and loses popular – think again.
I am in CA and the reports are that turnout is HUGE here – projecting to pass 2008 by 1-2 full points.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:28 pm
Ryan’s back up plan works….he stays in the house. Wonder if he will read any new books?
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:28 pm
Lots of sour grapes next door.
The early cheerleaders have departed, leaving the alpha dogs.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:30 pm
FOX news is reporting… BREAKING NEWS….voting improprieties in Hamilton County, Ohio. 2 illegal voters have been outted in Cincinnati. Could swing the Ohio vote. Holding our breath.
thuggishNews
November 6th, 2012
10:30 pm
a campaign based on lies, fear and hate. headed for a sound azz whupping.
Tundra Dude
November 6th, 2012
10:30 pm
As I recall several people here said that Elmer Fudd could easily beat Obama.
Perhaps if y’all had nominated him instead of Romney….
Kinda looks like Newtie was right:
“We’re not going to beat Obama with some guy who has Swiss bank accounts”
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:30 pm
If Romney somehow wins, it is going to be by the skin of his teeth……
Looking doubtful
Granny Godzilla
November 6th, 2012
10:31 pm
Oh and
To all the dark money and citizens united snake charmers
Na na Na na Na Na
.
.
.
Can we look at a federal elections standards bill tomorrow?
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:31 pm
Oh, Lawdy, it’s gonna be hell living in Georgia for the next 4 years. *sigh*
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:31 pm
They are holding back on some calls now…
When CA, OR and WA close, CNN will immediately call those.
If CNN calls OH or FL AND CO for Obama, it is all over.
ad
November 6th, 2012
10:31 pm
The early cheerleaders have departed, leaving the alpha dogs.
===============
yeah, and the alph dogs have been hitting the bottle pretty heavily.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
Jm
What is the local news saying down in FL?
Are they still waiting on North or South FL returns? Maybe both?
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
“We are surely headed down a dark road”
It’s a dark road,And a dark way that leads to my house
And the word says You’re never gonna find me there oh no
I’ve got an open door It didn’t get there by itself
It didn’t get there by itself
There’s a feelin,But you’re not feelin’ it at all
There’s a meaning, But you’re not listening any more
I look at that open road I’m gonna walk there by myself
http://youtu.be/zl005muyttQ
That Black Guy
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
Kam, hopefully when we do it again you will be there.
TBS, wuzzup? You are right, since the weekend before Sandy pitched her fit, I’ve been hopping. I love it though.
But, I’ll tell you what is driving me crazy.
We sent several loads in to Long Island and they were rejected. The site manager said he was titting on water and other supplies that he can’t move.
THere are people out there dumpster diving and drinking toilet water, and relief supplies are just sitting.
BOA (those azzholes) bought 27 truckloads of water, and they spent 4.5 days trying to find somewhere to donate some of it. Most places were too full.
appleseed
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
Please Mr. Custer.I don’t wanna go.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
Well if we are counting accurate predictions, that guy Ann Coulter was right too.
stands for decibels
November 6th, 2012
10:32 pm
To all the dark money and citizens united snake charmers
Na na Na na Na Na
Well, they’ve bought themselves another fine House, anyway.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:33 pm
Romney up by 3 points with a quarter counted in Wisconsin
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:33 pm
TBG
Keep up the good work.
getalife
November 6th, 2012
10:34 pm
Call it.
That Black Guy
November 6th, 2012
10:34 pm
was titting on
should be “was sitting on”
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:34 pm
Kaine wins in VA….good news!
Welcome to the Occupation
November 6th, 2012
10:34 pm
Duckworth leading Walsh 56-44% with 55% reporting acc to ChiTribune
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:34 pm
Tbs
Just watching NBC
Lines still in Miami which bodes well for O
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:35 pm
@TBS
Most of the uncounted votes are in south FL.
Very bad news for Romney
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
10:36 pm
should be “was sitting on”
TY–That clarification was sorely needed.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:36 pm
Jm
Thanks. I figured if it was close and uncounted in North FL then probably Romney. Of course the opposite in South FL.
Don't Forget
November 6th, 2012
10:36 pm
Starting to look like a mandate.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:37 pm
Peggy Noonan says there’s a “subdued feeling” for Republicans or conservatives right now.
Thinks the Democrats ran a terrible campaign and she will need to reflect on what happened tonight if trends turn out as they appear.
Blaming negative campaigning by Democrats.
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 6th, 2012
10:37 pm
If Obama wins, 4 more years of stalemate, bet on it!
My friend who owns a company gave notice today that if Obama wins, 100 people will be added to the role of the unemployed! He said that Obama’s administration will cause more headache that what it’s worth!
Please if you don’t agree with this biz decision to eliminate his company, use your brain before you respond!
Tundra Dude
November 6th, 2012
10:37 pm
Binders full of women in the Senate …
Rented a bound one in San Fran, once.
(whips were extra)
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
10:37 pm
a BILLION dollars of dirty money and all they got was whooped
you can’t buy us, nasty pigs
That Black Guy
November 6th, 2012
10:38 pm
Adam
November 6th, 2012
10:13 pm
Alan Grayson wins.
__________________________
Adam, do you see Alan Grayson as someone to be proud of?
If you had a son, would you tell him that he could grow up to be like Alan Grayson?
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:38 pm
Tbs
In reality no one knows exactly how FL turns out
NC gov republican wins
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:40 pm
Attention Whole food shoppers…… pink slips are free in aisle 8, under the wailing wall
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:40 pm
Don’t forget 10:36
Definitely not
Keep dreaming
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
10:40 pm
If West loses, it is getting close to being a clean sweep for me…
Niiice Annie, jcb. I dig her.
More crow…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JS8BaYxkRbc
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
10:41 pm
“lease if you don’t agree with this biz decision to eliminate his company, use your brain before you respond!”
Shouldn’t you use your brain before you post this sheat?
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:41 pm
If Obama wins
Actually your friend if he runs a successful company will go with the supply and demand laws of economics and business.
Unless he has some product or service that no one else is selling, if he can’t meet demand, some other company will do it for him or her..
PERIOD
willydoit?
November 6th, 2012
10:41 pm
“Most of the uncounted votes are in south FL.
Very bad news for Romney”
And sad news for America!
Oh well, back to work tomorrow….haven’t ever missed a paycheck since I started working in 1985, don’t plan on missing one anytime soon.
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
10:42 pm
Can’t wait to hear the REAL stories of the Romney campaign complaining of rifts between the Romney and Ryan camps. You KNOW there was a bit of envy and ego in play there. They pigeonholed starboy Ryan away with the quickness. Had to be difficult for starboy to have to humble himself before the bishop and play second fiddle and pretend like he actually believed in the genuineness of Romney. Can’t WAIT to hear about Ann Romney’s meltdowns on the campaign trail. It’s been all over her face throughout the campaign. Oh, you better believe there is some good stuff coming!
I SEE RED PEOPLE
November 6th, 2012
10:42 pm
Time for the folks at Westgate Resorts to start massaging their resumes.
Their esteemed boss, David Siegel, is probably going to take his ball and go home.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
10:42 pm
Jm
Got you. Of course things can change, but I was going by general voting history.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
10:42 pm
Jamvet
West is currently up but it’s close
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:43 pm
Mood is very “tense” in Romney HQ….
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
10:43 pm
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
10:37 pm
Amen….AAAMEN!!!!!
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
10:44 pm
Early bellwethers in Colorado bode well for Barack Obama.
Mr. Obama leads by about three percentage points so far in Jefferson County, west of Denver, which typically tracks the statewide margins closely. He also leads in Arapahoe County, east of Denver, where he leads by six points with two-thirds of the vote counted.
— Nate Silver
Ruh, roh.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
10:44 pm
A bit of levity…Sh%t Southern Women Say
http://youtu.be/hUFL2GT1-2g
“She didn’t use Duke’s”
ad
November 6th, 2012
10:44 pm
my friend owns who owns a company
================
good one.
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
10:47 pm
Todd Akin’s “concession speech” doesn’t make any sense. However, given who he is, Mr. Legitimate Rape, I am not surprised……………
Jay
November 6th, 2012
10:47 pm
This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:
Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.
Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?
Frederick Douglass
November 6th, 2012
10:47 pm
Mitt just slapped Ann, and is now kicking the Bejezzus out of her horse!
If Obama wins, Repubs still control the House
November 6th, 2012
10:47 pm
Nice Jewboy!
Is that all cubical boy!
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
10:49 pm
DDR, like some of the clownish posts here tonight, he’s hitting the dog whistles, conspiracies and whines.
Look before I leap...
November 6th, 2012
10:49 pm
Jay,
This blog woulda been much more fun if there had been some early surprises.