Live blog: Election 2012, the final chapter
UPDATE: 6:40: Early exit polls report that 2012 electorate is ’slightly’ more Republican than in 2008. That’s crucial, because most 2012 polling is built on the assumption that 2012 turnout will be similar to 2008 turnout.
UPDATE: 7:40 Obama up in early Ohio exit polls.
Winning by 11 among women, down 6 among men. Net up three. If that holds, that’s crucial.
UPDATE: 8:07: Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut. Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting any.
UPDATE: 9:28″ Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t. For example, Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.
UPDATE: 9:52: New Hampshire called. Pennsylvania called. Both for Obama. Romney is running out of routes to the White House.
In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren beats Scott Brown; Richard Mourdock loses in Indiana. Tammy Baldwin wins in Wisconsin, becoming our first openly gay U.S. senator.
UPDATE: 10:05: Republicans were insistent that the polls were oversampling Democrats, that there was no way so many Americans were Democratic.
So far, it looks as though they were wrong.
UPDATE: 10:48: This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:
Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.
Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?
——————
In my attempt to provide you with a full-service political blog, I thought some of you — I’m not saying who — might be needing the following before the night is over.
You don’t know who you are yet, but when the time comes, you’ll thank me I’m sure:
Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm
In the meantime, this will serve as our election-night live-blog headquarters, at least until a winner is declared. Please respect other bloggers and remain civil, even when others are not. I’m guessing that the over-under for banning people tonight will be four, but I’m hoping that you folks prove me wrong.
Or, as the immortal Bette Davis once put it:
– Jay Bookman
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1,251 comments Add your comment
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
8:48 pm
Benghazi!!!!!!!
Boo!
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
8:49 pm
Wonder how many “regulars” from the losing side will be hiding under a new name tomorrow…..
That’s what I’m talking about, Keep!
And though Jay says meltdown banishments, that is what the over/under needs to be on!
But if we must, I say that we’ve trained the cons to behave to the point that they don’t get canned like they used to, so I’d go with the under…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4DdAs0PddQ
dbm
November 6th, 2012
8:49 pm
Peter
November 6th, 2012
6:08 pm
I wasn’t talking about any particular candidate, office holder, or party. I was talking about the growth of the government.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
8:49 pm
We Gots this?
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
8:52 pm
My pleasure, jonix.
All credit goes to Hillbilly D next door.
He turned me onto this one and it goes out for him…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8dS4AaXLtos
Mr Right
November 6th, 2012
8:52 pm
Don’t it make you libs feel good to know that your E V s wil be going to Romney?
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
8:52 pm
Rush will be EPIC tomorrow. heheheheh
Jm
November 6th, 2012
8:52 pm
Well we can all go to be early if Romney loses FL
getalife
November 6th, 2012
8:52 pm
Looking good .
josef
November 6th, 2012
8:54 pm
GOOD FIGHT
Circling the wagons, ‘ere they?
AND Y’ALL
Wanna see a neat picture… ?????
http://bostonglobe.com/metro/2012/11/06/polls-close-mass-suspense-builds-race-for-senate/QTtdL7CiPdXw5DyvsZ7mgL/story.html
K’CHAK
Sorry, didn’t have time yet to master your lesson…
Jm
November 6th, 2012
8:54 pm
Getalife
It’s tight
Anything could happen, as of now
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
8:54 pm
If o wins I guarantee cons won’t be hiding under new handles. We will simply remind you went we go bankrupt that you voted for it. When we continue having sluggish economic growth, continued high unemployment, continued high numbers of people on food stamps, and a collapsed health care system we will politely say one thing. You voted for it. Plain and simple.
josef
November 6th, 2012
8:56 pm
ZamVet
I know better than to go visiting there tonight! But please give my regards to Hillbilly…
iggy
November 6th, 2012
8:56 pm
Rock on, Thulsa!!
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
8:56 pm
On no… looks like the stalker is posting the same rejected nonsense at me.
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
8:57 pm
“Rush will be EPIC tomorrow. heheheheh”
Wasn’t he supposed to have moved to Costa Rica four years ago?? Or did he decide it’s probably not smart to sleep where he zchitts? It’s speculated he loves them young and tender. Otherwise how do you explain all that Viagra he totes down there?
Brosephus™
November 6th, 2012
8:58 pm
As of five minutes ago…
Constitutional Amendment #1
Shall the Constitution be amended to allow state or local approval of public charter schools upon the request of local communities?
YES 53.68% 472,946
NO 46.32% 408,122
And, once again, it appears that Georgians are voting for more big government.
ad
November 6th, 2012
8:59 pm
I bet Rush and Glock make more money with Obama in office than Romney. Fear sells.
Aesop
November 6th, 2012
8:59 pm
Jay, a post once an hour? I’m moving on…
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
8:59 pm
Rush will be EPIC tomorrow. heheheheh
I heard 30 seconds of him today, pining for a “normal-looking family” in the White House. You don’t have to use a decoder for that one.
josef
November 6th, 2012
8:59 pm
DDR
Hey, Girlfriend. Me, you and RF better make sure we keep the boa hid…there’s gonna be one helluva demand for it tomorrow regardless of the outcome…
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
9:00 pm
Jm,
I don’t think Romney will lose FL. But I think if he loses VA or Ohio I’ll call it a night. At that point you just have to hope that after another 4 yrs of failure that people will wake up, smell the coffee, and realize that to down big gubment doesn’t work.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:00 pm
Aesop: Jay, a post once an hour? I’m moving on…
Jay will be devastated….I bet he drinks.
josef
November 6th, 2012
9:01 pm
BROSEPHUS
Was wondering where you were…that picture I posted above…thought of you and L’il Bit when I saw it…
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
9:01 pm
yes cons, we’re gonna rub your nose in it.
you sure pooped enough on the carpet.
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
9:01 pm
Shall the Constitution be amended to allow state or local approval of public charter schools upon the request of local communities
Legal jabberwacky gibberish. If they’d have used regular english and said, “Hey Ya’ll; we wanna start Charter schools bu we wanna take all the money from the local schools. Is that allright with ya’ll?”
It would’ve been an overwhelming HELL no.
Brosephus™
November 6th, 2012
9:04 pm
josef
That was the 2010 midterms. This year, lil mama decided she wanted to use the machine that was set up for people in wheelchairs. It was low enough for her to read the screen without me having to pick her up.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:06 pm
Yahooooooo… Warren projected to win MASS!
stands for decibels
November 6th, 2012
9:08 pm
stands for decibels at 7:44,
thanks for the link, JV. i figure they’ll vote for anything with the magic words “charterskoolz”, but we’ll see how that lead holds up.
RW-(the original)
November 6th, 2012
9:08 pm
Gore lost Mississippi? Poor fella needs to stick to Big Weather
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
9:08 pm
AcqG: heard 30 seconds of him today, pining for a “normal-looking family” in the White House. You don’t have to use a decoder for that one.
Word. Rush the fear mongering sh###thead.
josef: Hey, Girlfriend. Me, you and RF better make sure we keep the boa hid…there’s gonna be one helluva demand for it tomorrow regardless of the outcome…
True — but if we need to hide the boa somewhere the conned will NEVER find it. I vote on hiding it behind some books; a history book………..it’ll be safe there!
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
9:08 pm
K’CHAK
Sorry, didn’t have time yet to master your lesson…
Simply copy, then paste any URL in the field then click the Make TinyURL button next to it. A new URL will be displayed below it, copy, then paste the new URL here.
IS THERE A
DOCTORTEACHER IN THE HOUSE?JamVet
November 6th, 2012
9:09 pm
Don’t it make you libs feel good to know that your E V s wil be going to Romney?
Of course.
Shows how meaningless they are (in a manner of speaking) when the President is reelected.
I bet Rush and Glock make more money with Obama in office than Romney. Fear sells.
No doubt. From Faux News on down the talking head, pecking (pecker? LOL!) order, those suck-up, sell-out clowns win when their guys lose.
Oh the outrage!! Here comes the reincarnated Karl Marx, himself!
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
9:09 pm
It would’ve been an overwhelming HELL no.
The only funny part is gonna be seeing the reaction when a bunch of people figure out they got fooled. Oh, wait, this is Georgia. They’ll never figure it out.
The Lonliest Monk
November 6th, 2012
9:10 pm
The Big O takes Michigan. Repubs keep the house. Hope they know how to vacuum!
Carl
November 6th, 2012
9:10 pm
Romey wins Georgia! So Jay, why don’t you move up north? Delta is really when you are!
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
9:10 pm
Look out, there’s one more Savage in the Senate – heheheh
Raise the tomahawk. NOW
Krystal'sBalls
November 6th, 2012
9:11 pm
Here is what I hear when I read the same ol’ tired talking points and insults.. “Failure, community organizer, 16 trillion, Obozo etc…”
BAAPP BAP bap bap baapp bap BAAAAAPPPPP….!! lmAO
Might get to do that for four more years!
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:11 pm
Aquagirl, fooled in GA? Nevah…..why Gov Perdue brought back that battleflag right? Just as he promised.
josef
November 6th, 2012
9:11 pm
DDR
Great place!
Tealiban Party
November 6th, 2012
9:14 pm
80% tally in Florida. 194 vote difference….
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:15 pm
PA called for Obama
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
9:15 pm
Delta is really when you are!
Carl, you need to work on sticking your taunts, that was kind of a faceplant.
We have minimum standards for our trashtalk here.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
9:16 pm
BREAKING: Cayman Islands called for Romney!
Heh, heh, heh.
Paul
November 6th, 2012
9:16 pm
Okay, DDR, third time’s the charm!
[[Hey, DebbieDoRight's here!!!
http://tinyurl.com/bwlcm56 ]]
getalife
Wondered where you went. Figured you read the first part of the blog about the pole dancers and got distracted.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
November 6th, 2012
9:16 pm
67 – 31 OBAMA P
Jay’s state of PA!
Rabbit
November 6th, 2012
9:16 pm
Georgia is going to have some tough soul searching ahead. Take a day off. Watch Spielbergs “Lincoln”. Get an idea what “union” can mean to us all.
Tundra Dude
November 6th, 2012
9:16 pm
Holy Schmoley…..BO took Pennsylvania with 67% of the vote….
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:17 pm
Thulsa Doom @ 8.54,
Already conceding? The night is young still.
Jay
November 6th, 2012
9:18 pm
So Carl, by that theory, if Obama wins nationally, Delta has international flights, correct?
Paul
November 6th, 2012
9:19 pm
jewcowboy!! Hi!!
If we just had Midori, Goldie, Granny Godzilla, Bosch the night would be almost complete!
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
9:21 pm
And now for something completely different…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrkwgTBrW78
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:21 pm
Jay must be an authorized Delta travel agent in his spare time?
Brosephus™
November 6th, 2012
9:21 pm
Damn… I just looked at the early returns for Henry Co, and almost 70% of the voters voted Yes on the charter school amendment. Who would have ever guessed all these conservatives down here were lovers of big government?
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:22 pm
Just out of curiosity….which state does Romney call his home state? Michigan where he was born or CA, MA or NH where he owns homes?
That Black Guy
November 6th, 2012
9:23 pm
Good evening everyone. Can’t stay long, just swinging through. I’m up here in Ephrata, PA working onsite getting relief supplies to the Sandy victims. Hope every one is well and keeping everything in perspective.
no matter who wins, tomorrow will not change for you. Tomorrow will not change for 99.99999999998% of the country. The only thing that will change will be new politicians with new pockets to fill with special interest money. BOTH R and D.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:23 pm
Howdy Paul!
Unfortunately I have a 7am meeting so not sure how long I’m here, but I do have a glass of Basil Hayden…so I might not make that meeting
colorblind
November 6th, 2012
9:24 pm
its funny how people have so much negative chatter about the president. i wonder if you people had that same attitude toward bush. lats see. fake war? check!! totaly stupid? check!! constantly wrong? check!! but you people think that ole mitt can do a better job. hah!!!! not only that, president obama has no help. why? congress is full of you people. you dont want to work with the man. but its ok. after the president is re-elected, hopefuly you people will let go of your rediculous views. and oh yeah. nobody was complaining in the 20’s about how many people where on food stamps. maybe because the demographics where a lot diff.
Brosephus™
November 6th, 2012
9:24 pm
Time for me to call it quits. No reason for me to watch the outcome because, regardless to who wins the WH, fed workers will get screwed with little to no lube.
Y’all enjoy yourselves.
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
9:25 pm
St. Simons,
Exactly what are you going to rub cons noses in if Obama wins? If he wins we’re just going to have another 4 years of failure to point out to you. Failure which you guys fully support and which you voted for. That imminent failure is on you guys.
Doggone/GA
November 6th, 2012
9:25 pm
“which state does Romney call his home state”
Which ever one has the lowest taxes?
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
9:25 pm
Thanks Paul!!! I especially liked the blog beneath the picture titled “My Bad Side”
Oh yeah…………DDR likes the BAD side!!
=================================
Oh, wait, this is Georgia. They’ll never figure it out
No not true — they’ll know; but they’re so proud, they’ll pretend that they wanted it like that all the time and it was their plan to give away even MORE tax dollars to bureaucrats all along……
Rabbit
November 6th, 2012
9:25 pm
Bro. It is unbelievable that Henry is so gullible. Charter amendment is the opposite of school choice. The corporate contracts are structured for the corporation to take over the local decisions and to suck our tax dollars to their bottom line.
Granny Godzilla
November 6th, 2012
9:26 pm
Bag it and tag it.
1 of the 2 republicans I never thought would vote for President Obama ….did.
Granny is doing the happy dance.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:26 pm
NBC is calling Warren.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
9:27 pm
Doom
Anything could happen…
Jay
November 6th, 2012
9:27 pm
Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t.
Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:27 pm
Fox called PA for O.
Tealiban Party
November 6th, 2012
9:27 pm
Carl
November 6th, 2012
9:10 pm
Romey wins Georgia! So Jay, why don’t you move up north? Delta is really when you are!
Per Jay’s suggestion for you Carl, I hear the tribal areas of Afghanistan are delightful this time of year. And you won’t have to worry about big government.
JamVet
November 6th, 2012
9:27 pm
TBG, rock on!
And peace out, Bro. Thanks for doing what you do!
Man, you guys sure are missing a great Ball St at Toledo game! (grin)
St Simons
November 6th, 2012
9:28 pm
Enter your comments here
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
9:28 pm
Holy Schmoley…..BO took Pennsylvania with 67% of the vote…
I’m not surprised — after Sandy hit, and those infamous words by the Mittster were repeated over and over, people started asking themselves, “Is Mitt f#$$%%%ng crazy?”
And then they decided to stick with 44.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:28 pm
Tammy Baldwin is called for WI. The first out Senator.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:28 pm
Looks like overall the House will remain Republican. Hopefully some attitudes will change.
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
9:28 pm
The Repubs retain control of the house. Wheeeew!Well if Obama does win at least we can block him from completely ruining the nation.
Tealiban Party
November 6th, 2012
9:29 pm
Wisconsin for Obama!!!
ad
November 6th, 2012
9:29 pm
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
9:25 pm
St. Simons,
Exactly what are you going to rub cons noses in if Obama wins? If he wins we’re just going to have another 4 years of failure to point out to you. Failure which you guys fully support and which you voted for. That imminent failure is on you guys.
————————
Well, at least you’re a classy loser.
Rabbit
November 6th, 2012
9:29 pm
The charter amendment allows those who hate gov’t school to disassemble the concept. Go watch arraignment day at your local court it is what georgia will look like with useless underfunded public schools.
Doggone/GA
November 6th, 2012
9:30 pm
“Looks like overall the House will remain Republican. Hopefully some attitudes will change.”
Not a chance. If Obama wins their attitudes will harden like concrete
lefty_316
November 6th, 2012
9:30 pm
In exit polls Claire McCaskill is leading Todd “rape is good for the soul” Aken in Missouri.
Apparently Todd “I’ve never met a rapist I didn’t like” Aken’s message didn’t go over quite as well as he’d hoped for with the electorate.
rcs
November 6th, 2012
9:31 pm
Pretty much over now. Mitt gave it a good run but it wasn’t enough.
They BOTH suck
November 6th, 2012
9:31 pm
LBB
What was that about MI? Who is going to win that state?
Jm
November 6th, 2012
9:31 pm
Calling Wisconsin with 2% votes in
Silly
stands for decibels
November 6th, 2012
9:31 pm
The first out Senator.
’bout time.
Jay
November 6th, 2012
9:32 pm
Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com just tweeted:
“On The Wall, The Writing.”
Adam
November 6th, 2012
9:32 pm
Fox News: BenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghaziBenghazi
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
9:33 pm
LBB
What was that about MI? Who is going to win that state?
Is that maybe meant for next door?
DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)
November 6th, 2012
9:33 pm
70% of the voters voted Yes on the charter school amendment. Who would have ever guessed all these conservatives down here were lovers of big government?
What kills me about the whole thing, is that the way the ballot was worded, the everyday person would NOT have known that they were being screwed! It sound sooooo innocent; so deceptive……so lethal. They don’t know they’ve just screwed their children over big time.
I read on Galloway’s blog where one poster had said, she wanted her tax dollars to follow her children into the school of her choice, and i was like, “How dumb ARE the people in this state?”
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:33 pm
Doggone, I think that will depend on what happens to the tea partiers….if they are out, you may see some more Republicans willing to compromise and it will be tougher with the loses the Republicans are seeing from places they were originally projected to win for the GOP to demand lock step…. not even the big money is saving them.
getalife
November 6th, 2012
9:34 pm
Any bans yet?
getalife
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
All he needs is Ohio.
Game over.
jewcowboy
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
“When the scientists analyzed the testosterone in the saliva generated by all that gum chewing, they noted a dramatic pattern: men who had voted for the losing presidential candidate, John McCain, suffered a big drop in their testosterone after hearing of his defeat.”
Looks like the GOP is gonna need a bunch of hormone replacement therapy after this night.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/07/opinion/sunday/is-america-man-enough-to-vote.html
Don't Forget
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
Wasn’t that Walker recall vote in Wisconsin supposed to mean Obama would lose there?
Thulsa Doom
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
Jm,
Nope. I think o wins. Even if Romney wins VA, Ohio, NC, he still has to unexpectedly pull out another state like Colorado or Nevada. Judging by the way things went in states like mich,, pa, Wisconsin I don’t see that happening. I see o winning with 280 maybe more. Ya gotta feel bad for the future of the republic. Can u say Greece?
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
Mitt loses Michigan and Mass. Ryan loses Wisconsin. Those who know them best like them least.
Heh, heh, heh.
Aquagirl
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
Apparently Todd “I’ve never met a rapist I didn’t like” Aken’s message didn’t go over quite as well as he’d hoped for with the electorate.
Give the guy a break. Getting your rapist base to turn out is always tricky.
Jm
November 6th, 2012
9:35 pm
Looking tough for Romney
Granny Godzilla
November 6th, 2012
9:36 pm
Lawrence O’Donnell just pointed out that Paul Ryan and Mitt Romney have or will have lost all their combined home states
Doggone/GA
November 6th, 2012
9:36 pm
“the way the ballot was worded, the everyday person would NOT have known that they were being screwed!”
I heard a report last week that someone had filed a case in court over the wording of that measure…but I never heard anything after that about what, if anything, happened with the case.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
November 6th, 2012
9:37 pm
Adam, hope you got that tracking of prior predictions…. I suspect the goal posts are moving fast already.