Live blog: Election 2012, the final chapter

UPDATE: 6:40: Early exit polls report that 2012 electorate is ’slightly’ more Republican than in 2008. That’s crucial, because most 2012 polling is built on the assumption that 2012 turnout will be similar to 2008 turnout.

UPDATE: 7:40 Obama up in early Ohio exit polls.

Winning by 11 among women, down 6 among men. Net up three. If that holds, that’s crucial.

UPDATE: 8:07: Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut. Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting any.

UPDATE: 9:28″ Romney needs to prove that the polls are wrong, and so far they just aren’t. For example, Fox just gave Wisconsin — Paul Ryan’s home state — to Obama. Another door slams shut.

UPDATE: 9:52: New Hampshire called. Pennsylvania called. Both for Obama. Romney is running out of routes to the White House.

In the Senate, Elizabeth Warren beats Scott Brown; Richard Mourdock loses in Indiana. Tammy Baldwin wins in Wisconsin, becoming our first openly gay U.S. senator.

UPDATE: 10:05: Republicans were insistent that the polls were oversampling Democrats, that there was no way so many Americans were Democratic.

So far, it looks as though they were wrong.

UPDATE: 10:48: This bodes poorly long-term for the GOP:

Exit poll finds that 74 percent of Republicans believe illegal immigrants should be deported.

Overall, just 29 percent of Americans share that opinion. So how do you convince that 74 percent that the party has to alter its viewpoint to succeed?

——————

In my attempt to provide you with a full-service political blog, I thought some of you — I’m not saying who — might be needing the following before the night is over.

You don’t know who you are yet, but when the time comes, you’ll thank me I’m sure:

Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm

Source: http://bertc.com/subfive/recipes/threecrows.htm

In the meantime, this will serve as our election-night live-blog headquarters, at least until a winner is declared. Please respect other bloggers and remain civil, even when others are not. I’m guessing that the over-under for banning people tonight will be four, but I’m hoping that you folks prove me wrong.

Or, as the immortal Bette Davis once put it:

– Jay Bookman

1,251 comments Add your comment

Paul

November 6th, 2012
7:40 pm

josef 7:24

Zing!

They BOTH suck

November 6th, 2012
7:40 pm

Bro @ 7:31

Oh so true

:-)

Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes

November 6th, 2012
7:41 pm

Keep

Got it opened in a tab and monitoring.

josef

November 6th, 2012
7:42 pm

DIVIDE AND

The Unmentionable claims that the VP is an insurance policy! :-)

Thulsa Doom

November 6th, 2012
7:43 pm

What would a thread be without a little of GM and his usual race baiting?

one and only

November 6th, 2012
7:43 pm

Manuels!!!! Just lets all remember we are all in this to-gether, no matter who wins. The Person will be our President and lets respect that.

Atlanta Mom

November 6th, 2012
7:44 pm

Jay,
You’ve got to get a better webcam for those chats. Kyle looks young and shiny, you look dark and grainy.

stands for decibels

November 6th, 2012
7:44 pm

Ok, stupid uninformed voter question–where does one get the GA referendum results?

(yes, my google is broken.)

I SEE RED PEOPLE

November 6th, 2012
7:44 pm

What is the cardinal sin of all cardinal sins to earn yourself a ban from Jay? Thankfully, I’m heavily medicated at the moment and don’t expect any inflammatory outbursts, but some ground rules would help me figure out when I need to pop the corn.

stands for decibels

November 6th, 2012
7:45 pm

you look dark and grainy.

you say that like it’s a bad thing.

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
7:46 pm

I just saw tumbleweeds blowing across the Wingfield blog to the tune of “Rawhide” a couple links over. He’s probably masquerading over here. LOL

stands for decibels

November 6th, 2012
7:46 pm

What is the cardinal sin of all cardinal sins to earn yourself a ban from Jay?

Insulting a fellow poster’s family usually does the trick… you son of a motherless goat.

Anti-Redneck

November 6th, 2012
7:46 pm

I live in Southwest Atlanta, and when Obama wins, you folks in Woodstock better not come and riot in my neighborhood. I am prepared to defend my family and my property.

Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes

November 6th, 2012
7:47 pm

…you look dark and grainy.

He was a dark and stormy knight.

She was sweltering.

josef

November 6th, 2012
7:47 pm

IMAM

“If that holds, that’s crucial.”

So I’ve been told…

Divide and Conquer

November 6th, 2012
7:47 pm

Josef,

Yikes!!!

stands for decibels

November 6th, 2012
7:47 pm

I just saw tumbleweeds blowing across the Wingfield blog to the tune of “Rawhide” a couple links over.

I know it’s wrong to laugh at this.

Divide and Conquer

November 6th, 2012
7:50 pm

“The Person will be our President and lets respect that”

Okay, but just because he commands fools with guns, lots of guns, and tanks, and drones.

josef

November 6th, 2012
7:50 pm

Anti-Redneck

Best be careful, Mec, or you’ll have the Leftwing Redneck Gay Jewish Pesky Redskin Savage contingent on yo ass… :-)

stands for decibels

November 6th, 2012
7:50 pm

back later. or not. We’ll see.

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
7:51 pm

“Asked on his final campaign flight whether he might get a puppy if elected, Romney said “one of the benefits would be to get another Weimaraner.”

poor dog.

getalife

November 6th, 2012
7:51 pm

Just call it for our President wolf.

Divide and Conquer

November 6th, 2012
7:52 pm

“Okay, but just because he commands fools with guns, lots of guns, and tanks, and drones.”

Oh poo, I forgot the smiley. :)

There, okay Mr. Prez., see the smileys. :) :) :)

RF

November 6th, 2012
7:53 pm

“I live in Southwest Atlanta, and when Obama wins, you folks in Woodstock better not come and riot in my neighborhood. I am prepared to defend my family and my property.”

:-) :-) :-)

I grew up there and miss it terribly sometimes. I think the Woodstock seniors locking themselves in have NO idea where SWATS is and wouldn’t go there if you paid them.

Fred Smith

November 6th, 2012
7:55 pm

Georgia demonstrates Larry’s findings. Georgia voters are on average far less educated than other states, one reason SAT scores are so low. Would be fun to run IQ tests on the state. Obama voters will average about 115; Romney voters something below 85. Unfortunately the 85’s far outnumber the 115’s. Maybe we should pass Amendment 1; at least we could guarantee we’ll stay #1 in something: lowest SAT scores.

RF

November 6th, 2012
7:56 pm

“you’ll have the Leftwing Redneck Gay Jewish Pesky Redskin Savage contingent on yo ass”

The diversity of the USA at its best!!! :-)

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
7:56 pm

Dang, Mitt is projected to win GA now…. I am totally shocked. :lol:

Aquagirl

November 6th, 2012
7:56 pm

poor dog

And poor Secret Service…they’d be the ones tasked with washing down the limo.

Dude

November 6th, 2012
7:56 pm

Colorado

Amendment 64 amends the state constitution to allow the personal use and sale of recreational marijuana in a manner similar to alcohol. Tax revenues go to school construction and the state’s general fund.

Votes

Percent

Yes

0

95%

No

0

2

99% reporting
.
It didn’t matter
whatwhen the .
.
Vote Yes!

Paulina

November 6th, 2012
7:57 pm

@ child please

You should read up on your history! The first republicans were what we call today as the democratic party. And the original democratic party (which conducted the literacy tests) WERE what we label today as the republican party. Their idiologies have switched since the start.

Dude

November 6th, 2012
7:58 pm

I meant that Obama meant yes.
On post up above.
or something.

Anti-Redneck

November 6th, 2012
8:00 pm

Mantra of poor and middle-class whites: I may not have a job and I may be losing my house, but I’ll be darned if I’m going to let you charge Bill Gates one more penney in taxes.

Aquagirl

November 6th, 2012
8:00 pm

I meant that Obama meant yes.
On post up above.
or something.

I’m pretty sure I know where Dude stands on Colorado’s amendment 64.

ad

November 6th, 2012
8:01 pm

Polls just closed, but I’m going to call Mississippi for Romney.

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:01 pm

“full service blog”

“potted crow”

Pretty funny jay. :)

I’m feelin high class, hangin out at this full service blog :)

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
8:04 pm

Sad when Romney loses the state he governed so miserably. THEY know who that man is.

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
8:04 pm

Sad when Romney loses the state he governed so miserably. THEY know who that man is.

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
8:04 pm

I missed it before but NJ voting extended to Friday?

Jay

November 6th, 2012
8:04 pm

Early exit polling from Pennsylvania: Obama up five. That is the sound of a door slamming shut.

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
8:04 pm

Sad when Romney loses the state he governed so miserably. THEY know who that man is

getalife

November 6th, 2012
8:05 pm

Nate was right.

Jay

November 6th, 2012
8:05 pm

Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting it.

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:06 pm

RF

Not finding any early returns/exit polls on the gay marriage initiatives…fingers crossed on Maine, though…

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:08 pm

IMAM

If you repeat yourself THREE times, do you get a Doddering Old Fool card? Help him out there… :-)

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:08 pm

Election night supplies

2 bean Chili – ready
Corn bread – ready
Gin and tonics – being consumed
Rum beverages – in process
Gin and juice – available for any guests :)

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:09 pm

IMAM

That was nice of you…thanks. I wouldn’t want anyone to think that was me posting under an alias, you know… :-)

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
8:10 pm

Romney on his campaign:”We put it all on the field. We left nothing in the locker room”.

I guess that’s what you get from a plastic man who views it as being “in sport”, rather than PLAYING a sport.

RF

November 6th, 2012
8:11 pm

“fingers crossed on Maine, though”

josef: I lost circulation in them, they’ve been crossed so long. ‘Bout time….

Tundra Dude

November 6th, 2012
8:11 pm

Hu da heck is IMAM…??

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:12 pm

Imam Torquemada?

Look before I leap...

November 6th, 2012
8:15 pm

CNN Calls GA for Romney

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:15 pm

Romney up in FL :)

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:16 pm

Wife says she’ll feel bad for Obama if he loses even though she supports Romney

I agree

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:16 pm

Love bloggie is slow…

Look before I leap...

November 6th, 2012
8:17 pm

OH exits +7 for Obama

Paul

November 6th, 2012
8:17 pm

Jay

You skipping thru news channels or are you getting some website updates?

Look before I leap...

November 6th, 2012
8:18 pm

Very bad news for Romeny:
From CNN:

Our exit poll info about the economy:
More voters in the swing states of Florida, New Hampshire, Ohio and Virginia blame George W. Bush than Barack Obama for the state of the U.S. economy.

According to early exit polls in Florida, 53% of today’s voters say Bush is more to blame for the country’s current economic problems while 41% say Obama.

In New Hampshire, exit polls show 54% blame Bush while 41% blame Obama.

There’s less of a gap in Ohio and Virginia. In both states, 50% of today’s voters say Bush is more to blame for the country’s current economic problems. In Ohio, 41% say Obama is more to blame and in Virginia 45% say Obama.

Krystal'sBalls

November 6th, 2012
8:18 pm

Really THIS is where CNN is at its best! The really did something special with the polling map technology. Kudos to John King. Love the fanfares too!

Paul

November 6th, 2012
8:19 pm

Tundra

It’s the best approximation of what josef says when the paisano jug’s near empty: “I’M AM”

Tundra Dude

November 6th, 2012
8:19 pm

JB: Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting it

Ok, I’ll toss him a bone:
Rumor is, BO already has his retirement home in Hawaii.
Just needs to sell some pardons to raise $$.

Obamas Move to Hawaii
http://bit.ly/RFNdRy

Jay

November 6th, 2012
8:20 pm

Paul, a bit of everything.

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:21 pm

JAY

“Romney needs some good news, and so far he isn’t getting it.”

The representatives of the Yv-wi U-ne-gi-lv-di tribe ought to be here soon! :-)

TUNDRA

Our illustrious host…one of my pet names for him…

RW-(the original)

November 6th, 2012
8:21 pm

Brosephus,

Your home state got called after they turned the lights off and before it got dark. Good job!

gm

November 6th, 2012
8:21 pm

CNN Calls GA for Romney

The poor, middle class whites never seems to shock people around world, Romney could have call these people trash and they still would line up and vote for him.

Like I tell black kids the only things conservative whites care about when it comes to blacks, in Georgia is running the football at UGA and shooting hoops.

Get Real

November 6th, 2012
8:21 pm

Romney wins GA, now that is a shocker…

Get Real

November 6th, 2012
8:22 pm

gm….you sound like a really good role model….NOT

Georgia on my mind...

November 6th, 2012
8:23 pm

I’ll take the crow with heavy hot sauce!!!

St Simons

November 6th, 2012
8:24 pm

back from Jacksonville

we got this – whoop whoop

RF

November 6th, 2012
8:24 pm

“Like I tell black kids the only things conservative whites care about when it comes to blacks, in Georgia is running the football at UGA and shooting hoops.”

I wouldn’t exactly say that to kids, buuuuuuuuut….

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:25 pm

PAUL

As I said in one of my plays…

“I am not what I am…”

Full name?

Al Shariff Imam Torquemada Big Daddy Bruin, host of the Liberal Plantation verandah

Tundra Dude

November 6th, 2012
8:26 pm

Our illustrious host…one of my pet names for him

Oh,,,host and Spiritual Leader…..?

They BOTH suck

November 6th, 2012
8:26 pm

gm

And if you think that speaks for all conservative whites ( I am not conservative and only half white) than you are ill informed or a liar.

aguluwode

November 6th, 2012
8:26 pm

Get over it, obama is back bigger and smarter

Brosephus™

November 6th, 2012
8:26 pm

RW

I called that one at about 8:30am EST. Looking at CNN’s online numbers, the first 1% from AL showed Romney with 81% of the vote.

:)

gm

November 6th, 2012
8:26 pm

Get Real

Facts are facts dont blame me, its your history and the way you vote year after year, oh and lets not forget Ala has been call, of course there football team is all black, but we still can not vote for the black guy, when will these black jocks wake up and stop playing football for the SEC except Florida””

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:28 pm

gm

“Romney could have call these people trash and they still would line up and vote for him.”

Why should he when he can count on you to do it for him?

Banderson

November 6th, 2012
8:30 pm

gm, I’m white and voted for Obama and, while I agree that there is racism in GA – and it’s not confined to whites, there are a ton of people who try not to let their baser, tribal instincts rule their actions. A lot of people struggle to make ends meet and it helps them to blame someone else for their problems and to think that someone else is getting unfair advantages. Having said that, it would be an interesting experiment to see what would happen if black athletes refused to go to state schools in red states.

gm

November 6th, 2012
8:30 pm

josef

LOL now thats a good one

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:30 pm

Agul

In your dreams

No mandate

Not too smart either

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
8:32 pm

CT senate — McMahon loses.

Tealiban Party

November 6th, 2012
8:33 pm

Lots of analysis on Ohio on CBS right now.

gm

November 6th, 2012
8:33 pm

Banderson

agreed

Ok lets see who is next for Mitt, Mississippi, la, Sc, wow the south except Florida never change,

ad

November 6th, 2012
8:33 pm

McMahon loses – and she picks up a chair!

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:36 pm

TUNDRA

Something like that… :-)

lefty_316

November 6th, 2012
8:37 pm

Pauline you’re right on when you say the Democratic party was first called the Republican party. It was also called the Republican-Democrat party, it was the party of James Madison and Thomas Jefferson. They were states rights advocates. The opposition was, of course, the Federalist party led by Alexander Hamilton. They were intent on giving the Federal government power. Interestingly Hamilton and Madison, who worked closely together on the Federalist Papers, wound up truly hating each other. Of course most everybody hated Hamilton, and nobody more so than John Adams.

George Washington was also a Federalist. How popular was he? In the final year of his second term he still had an approval rating of over 90%. That will never be rivaled. And his first Cabinet he had Henry Knox as Secretary of War (defense), Jefferson as Secretary of State and Hamilton as Secretary of the Treasury. No Cabinet has ever come close to that one nor will it.

Teacher

November 6th, 2012
8:38 pm

Fl looks blue……prez running the same numbers as 08

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:38 pm

Republican ahead in Indiana gov :)

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
8:38 pm

Wonder how many “regulars” from the losing side will be hiding under a new name tomorrow…..

DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)

November 6th, 2012
8:39 pm

JamVet

November 6th, 2012
8:40 pm

JamVet

November 6th, 2012
8:42 pm

As of five minutes ago…

Constitutional Amendment #1

Shall the Constitution be amended to allow state or local approval of public charter schools upon the request of local communities?

YES 53.68% 472,946

NO 46.32% 408,122

Teacher

November 6th, 2012
8:43 pm

Spoiler alert Romney wins the SIP

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:44 pm

GM

It’s good to see that you’re here representing the left wing of the Gi-si na-s-gi-na-i U-nv-tsi-da tribe is here since the right wing thereof is conspicuously absent this p.m. :-)

Jm

November 6th, 2012
8:44 pm

DDR

Too funny

Dude

November 6th, 2012
8:44 pm

Colorado Curtailment 64.
.
Looking like its passing.
.
Yes We Cannibus.

Dude

November 6th, 2012
8:45 pm

I ment Admendment 64.

josef

November 6th, 2012
8:46 pm

ZamVet

Thanks for the update…

Keep Up the Good Fight!

November 6th, 2012
8:46 pm

josef, you noticed that the Ftroop contingent has been called to other duty?

DebbieDoRight - Plantation Liberal (In Good Standing)

November 6th, 2012
8:48 pm

Now for some entertainment:

Terry Bradshaw Says Reggie Bush Was Running Like He Was “Chasing That Bucket of Chicken”

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kf7pX2cvBOw&feature=player_embedded

Alphare

November 6th, 2012
8:48 pm

What’s the exist poll for VA? anybody knows?