Rasmussen polling data make Obama the favorite

“Having to win one out of three is a lot easier than having to win two out of three.”

That’s why Jay makes the big bucks!

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There are polls? Really? POLLS???

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But…but…but…BENGHAZI! in 3…2…1….

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Discussing polls at this point is like throwing fresh steak to starving tigers. I’m gonna get my popcorn.

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whoever wins, one half of the country is going to be miserable for the next 4 years

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Sandy was the best thing that’s happened this campaign as it gave him a chance to show he was at the helm of an event he couldn’t contrrol (and no one expects him to) where he didn’t have to make any quick decisions and it allowed him to get rid of some of the stench surrounding him from the way he handled the Libya thing.

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better than the sound of one hand clapping … the sound of a million heads a’sploding …

Rasmussen, say it’s not so!!

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“whoever wins, one half of the country is going to be miserable for the next 4 years”

More like a 3rd of the country.
One third will be rabidly happy and the middle 3rd will be life goes on.

Other than some wedge social issues, there is just not enough to distinguish between the two. Romney proved that with his “me too” foreign policy debate.

I just don’t see corporate America going on a hiring binge regardless of who wins next week.

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Rasmussen, say it’s not so!!

Ok.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2IYmC6NIttg

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http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/unskewedpollsummary12.php

this election will be about turnout (if you belive the above link)..that said, as the incumbent it’s O’s race to lose

Pats by 3

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Polls – hard to trust because so many of them have their own agenda.

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Quoting: especially given a somewhat wacky polling environment

That’s what I’m sayin’

Only 1 poll matters, and that’s the poll next Tuesday.

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Romney is losing.

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@ Jay
I was simply following Rasmussen’s numbers. Which is what your article led me to believe you were doing.
I am not saying that Obama will concede either state.

Romney’s path to 270 is dire absent a win in OH but Ras has shown a consistent lead for Romney there for the past 12 days. Whether Ras is right or wrong, remains to be seen. He has some fuzzy math which makes me think the numbers for the GOP are a bit rosier than they really are.

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fivethirtyeight has the two diverging as well.

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Baaaa,
Thanks for the reminder about the 57 states, I needed a good laugh. The other 7 states are made up of those people who vote in multiple jurisdictions/states. Happens every election as elections are state affairs with no national coordination. Dems would never go for that, would cut down “turnout”, ha ha.

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Jay, here is a link appropriate to your first blog post this morning. Thought you might enjoy it

http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2012/10/31/just-in-campaign-now-making-children-cry/

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Romney currently leads Obama 52% to 46% among voters who say they have already cast their ballots

Misleading or statistically invalid at this point.

Here’s why: early voting is open in Georgia. Anyone think that’s still in play? Romney could get 100% of the votes in this state and it still wouldn’t affect the outcome… but it will affect Gallup’s nationwide summary. Gallup admits that early voting is happening more in the south and west and not much at all in the very blue east.

What would be less misleading or statistically invalid would be early voting numbers from swing states. Right now Ohio and Florida are both showing Obama’s ground game is producing better results than Romney’s.

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USinUK

One more from the 80s

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DAEVesAxSCM

Have I mentioned lately that JT is a wanker?

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@indigo
The electoral college exists because we are a republic and not a democracy.

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USinUK

And, I wouldn’t mind if America switched to the British way of electing politicians. It would have to be better than what we have now.

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If I’m in the Romney camp I’ll take all of those ‘BHO-will-win’ polls I can get, all they do is lull the D’s into staying home on election day and motivate the R’s to go vote

Exactly backward AND exactly not what the Romney camp has been doing.

No one votes for a loser. If you smell like a loser, people will stay home. Over the past week, Romney’s camp has been pushing on reporters their own interpretation of early voting stats to show they’re winning. They fear smelling like a loser.

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look – 1:20

We are a Republic AND a democracy.

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Jay’s ready for Wednesday so the only polls he has to look at are the poles at the Cheetah!

Back to normalcy!!

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Hate to break it to you, but we will learn next week that your president has become a failed one-termer. Flag the comment and “replay it” one week from today. I know that I will be right. Amen, Bill

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I just don’t see corporate America going on a hiring binge regardless of who wins next week.

That’s different from what the experts are saying. They were the first to come out with the 12 million jobs statement, even before Romney announced he had a “plan”.

The International Monetary Fund’s latest World Economic Outlook makes for gloomy reading. Growth projections have been revised downward almost everywhere, especially in Europe and the big emerging markets such as China. And yet, when looking out over the next four years — the next presidential term — the IMF projects that the United States will be the strongest of the world’s rich economies. U.S. growth is forecast to average 3 percent, much stronger than that of Germany or France (1.2 percent) or even Canada (2.3 percent). Increasingly, the evidence suggests that the United States has come out of the financial crisis of 2008 in better shape than its peers — because of the actions of its government.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/fareed-zakaria-the-us-economy-is-recovering-well/2012/10/24/9c34df9e-1df0-11e2-ba31-3083ca97c314_story.html

There also appears to be empirical data that suggests we will see things get better regardless to who wins the election.

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Logical Dude, polls aren’t meant to be used to determine your vote, they’re meant to determine who you bet your money on.

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“That being said, the deep South states are going to vote for Romnet in such huge numbers, it’s very possible that Governor Romney will win the popular vote while losing the election.”

Yep, the FLA panhandle being part of those deep south states… north of Clearwater will be solid bright red, does Obama have enough blue in the south of Fla? We will see.

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Pats by 3

I’d go with The Tide by 33

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Hard to get in the minds of some on here. The guy is a total failure ( by measuring him as all past Presidents have been measured, not the Black,cool, Far wacko left thing) and I just don’t see normal, tax paying,moral,,family,career type people asking for four more years.

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Bro – There also appears to be empirical data that suggests we will see things get better regardless to who wins the election

word…

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Adam, last time we had a wingnut here wanting to bet on the outcome of a national election, it refused to pay up. It left here with it’s tail between it’s legs and now is a regular over at Kyles…

Moral of the story? Don’t make bets with wingnuts… much like they govern, they write checks their a$$es can’t cash…

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normal, tax paying,moral,,family,career type people

Well, I don’t either but your definition defines maybe 10% of the US population – so you still lose.

What the heck is “normal” anyway?

Whose “morals” are you referring to? Those of “normal” people?

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@BRO

I omitted a key word in my statement.

It should have read, “I just don’t see corporate America going on an IMMEDIATE hiring binge”.

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Kamchak

Re: Stripper poles…

http://www.worldpoledance.com/

World Championship of Pole Dancing will be held in Switzerland beginning on the 10th of November.

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And the blogs lib choir cries out…Jay tell us Obama will win, he will win, won’t he, wwwon’t he.

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Que sera, sera…

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I asked my cute twenty something year old server last night whom she planned to vote for last night. She said Obama. I ask why…..He’s cool and likes women she said….. I ask, that’s it. She said yea.
There ya go. Geez.

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Rasmussen polling data make Obama the favorite

They’re slipping.
The (so called) Rasmussen Poll farms the work out to Pulse Opinion Research. ( I guess they were the lowest bidder.)
They tend to call mainly landline phones, which are disproportionately answered by old flatulating conservatives.

Rasmussen Polling Methodology Leaves A Lot To Be Desired
http://bit.ly/QEMrSO

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Now that’s strange…. Rasmussen was always Recon’s go to poll when Romney was shown in the lead, now suddenly he does not like it. Wonder if its his coffee that is causing such irritability?

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“He’s cool and likes women she said….. I ask, that’s it. She said yea.”

That’s better than the alternative… “he’s uncool, wears mom jeans, and hates women”…

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Look before

You’re probably right on the immediate thing, but it’s coming. We went through a serious credit based recession. People have been paying down debt and saving. The signs show there is a gradual uptick in purchases of consumable goods. I am much more happy for a slow and steady recovery based upon a solid economic foundation as opposed to having another quick, bubble fueled recovery. It seems as though we may actually have a recovery that includes job recovery for once. Our past recoveries have all been jobless, which means they were not recoveries at all.

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wears mom jeans

both candidates do that…why not levi’s I’ll never ever know

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but i’d rather see’em in Mom jeans than “skinny” jeans

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Jay
October 31st, 2012
1:37 pm

I’ll bet you dollars to donuts (of course depending on the donuts they may be worth more than a dollar) that the young lady doesn’t make it to the polls.

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KUTGF — “Last time I flew over the country I did not see 57 states….”

If you fly in First Class, they give you special glasses so you can look out the windows and see the dotted lines that mark state borders.

LOL!!! Good Wun!
(He musta been in the back with Newtie)

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Jay:

Your “plantive plea” is an outcropping of the logic that you are basing your conclusion.

The trends that the recent polling has shown has been an eroding of Obama’s lead. States that were formerly close are now likely to be Romney wins. States that were more solidly in Obama’s favor are moving into the toss-up category.

Independents (both in polling as well as the early voting results) have been trending to Romney and historic patterns dictate that the Undecided usually break for the challenger (if they do vote).

In addition to these, the open question of “What will 2012 look like?” introduces an underlying bias to all polls. The polling result comes as a consequence of the sampling that was used to produce it. Most polls appearing to favor Obama assume that the turnout & affiliation will match 2008. Some go so far as to assume a higher distribution of Democrats than existed even at 2008’s record numbers. Most polls appearing to favor Romney assume numbers that match 2004 (when turnout & affiliation was almost equal).

If the numbers match 2008, Obama will be re-elected. If they do not, Romney will be elected. Your expectations for the election result are governed by your assumptions of who will cast the votes.

-SD

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@BRO
I hope you are right, but corporate America has been in the “do more with less” mindset for 10 years now.

In order to get the less back to more, we will need a lot more of the “more”.

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That’s a better-reasoned answer than “he’s a Marxist Kenyan anti-colonialist who hates America,” or some version thereof, which we often hear from her opposite number.

I’ll go one better. It’s a better reasoned answer than “he added trillions to the debt”.

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oh, and speaking of well-reasoned arguments…

http://blog.chron.com/txpotomac/2012/10/after-the-storm-anti-obama-attack-ad-finds-new-life-updated/

Stay classy, Virginia GOP.

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@ Jay
Yeah but it means I should consider changing my handle to “Look before I leap (usually)…”

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What are you libs going to do when everything comes crashing down on you next Tuesday? Well…i know we will have to wait probably a few more weeks because you will be whining about getting cheated….that the election was stolen….your normal playbook. For Obama to be neck and neck at this point of the election is not good. It sure isn’t going to get any better for you. Even his lame attempt at caring by actually sitting in the situation room for briefings when a serious situation emerged(its funny how he couldn’t do the same thing when 4 Americans were being killed in Libya though) will not fool the American voters. He is done and we can finally turn the page on this joke of a POTUS amateur who is in WAYYYYY over his head over to somebody who actually knows what he is doing. 6 more days and then a couple more months of lameduck. Hopefully, this idiot cannot destroy the country any more than he has the last 4 years. Hopefully, Al Quaida won’t attack another embassy so this clown will not cost more American lives through his inaction and ineptitude. Think about it…if he wasn’t willing to do anything while running for reelection…..what will he do after getting stomped? I hope he doesn’t make good on his promise to Russia to offer more flexibility after the election.

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Jay, If you go back to 2008, Rasmussen was the only poll that was consistently on target. All of the other polls came close as they tried to correct their mistakes to give themselves a pat on the back. Rather listen to Rasmussen than you concerning the polls.Yours are just wishfull thinking.

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Fred

I’ve been wanting to check that place out for a while. Any spot that has beer taps at the table can’t be bad. Mommy will be at work, so it will be me and the sidekick watching football together all evening. We may have to put something together at that spot though, as I really want to take a peek inside that place.

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I’ll go one better. It’s a better reasoned answer than “he added trillions to the debt by paying W’s bills”.

There, now it’s factual AND true…

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Momentum swings can change a football outcome as we all have seen. In politics, the same can be true and mitt had his moment in the sun but the momentum shift seems to be going in the incumbents direction as we near the close out. I think the new jersey governor did obama a big favor extolling his leadership during this crisis in the northeast. Romney has been flat since his big night in colorado, the air is out of the ballon and his latest round of silly car commercials makes him look rather small minded and desperate…

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I hope you are right, but corporate America has been in the “do more with less” mindset for 10 30- 40 years now.

That mindset won’t change. What will change is when the “less” can’t keep pace with the demand. That will require hiring of more, which will increase the circulation of money through the economy. Our economy works in cycles. For a while, we were in a “doom” cycle where everything was leading to us going downward. Now, we have reversed and are beginning a climb upward. It starts as a trickle and begins to pick up steam as more and more people have more money for consumption. No business will turn down the opportunity to make more money, even if that requires hiring more people.

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james — “Jay, If you go back to 2008, Rasmussen was the only poll that was consistently on target.”

Even a stopped clock is right twice a day. That doesn’t mean that the stopped clock is right at any other time.

After the 2010 midterm elections, Silver concluded that Rasmussen’s polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver’s model. He singled out as an example the Hawaii Senate race, in which Rasmussen, in a poll completed three weeks before the election, showed incumbent Daniel Inouye only 13 points ahead, whereas in actuality he won by a 53% margin – a difference of 40 points from Rasmussen’s poll, or “the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998″.

Emphasis mine.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rasmussen_Reports#Nate_Silver

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“Statistically unlikely” and “very possible” are not mutually exclusive terms. In fact, they can represent two ways of stating the same reality.

Hey, where are all the people who say Jay is “far left” right about now?

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My question is “how are all those displaced people in the NE gonna get to the polls?” A miracle in the works if all those voting spots get up and running by Tuesday. No matter who wins, there will be lawsuits claiming folks were denied their right to vote….Food for thought…

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I’ll go one better. It’s a better reasoned answer than “he added trillions to the debt by paying W’s bills”.

There, now it’s factual AND true…

Senator Hatch would agree:
” Six years ago, it was standard practice not to pay for things,” said Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah. “We were concerned about it, because it certainly added to the deficit, no question.”

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scott: What are you libs going to do when everything comes crashing down on you next Tuesday?

Scott, how would you like to put that to a wager?

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Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters out there. NBC, CNN and CBS are the worst. Even my Obama-leaning neighbor admits as much. The media will do and say anything to re-elect this incompetent president. Obama was in Ohio recently stating to his drones that he does what he says? Really? Since when? One would have to be an idiot or drugged to believe that. Bottom line is this — if you’re unemployed or on food stamps and want to remain unemployed or on food stamps, vote for Barack Obama.

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“I’ll go one better. It’s a better reasoned answer than “he added trillions to the debt”.”

Well at least that comment is factually correct. But misleading.
As an avowed Keynesian, that fact that we added to the debt during the worst economic downturn in 80 years, is to me, a good thing.
That said, some of the spending was questionable. Would like to have seen more investment in infrastructure or at least have the states use the money handed over used for that purpose as opposed to shoring up sagging state coffers and balancing their budgets.

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Dean — “Rasmussen is one of the most accurate pollsters out there.”

Based on what, exactly?

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Fred

One of my co-workers has recommended Legal a few times. They have a location at Crystal City in Alexandria, VA near the Hilton, but I missed a few opportunities to check them out when I was in the area up there.

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Cons will eat Mitt alive starting next Wednesday morning…

He will join Sarah on a reality show by Summer and be humping reverse mortgages like Fred Thompson in a couple of years…

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I asked a friend the other night who he’d be voting for. His response: “I left South Africa for one reason [blacks] and there’s no way in hell I’d vote for the African.” I’m not kidding. To which I responded: “If we were to look at the past 4 years with some degree of objectivity, you’d actually see that he [the African] has done a pretty good job.” His response: “Don’t care what he has done or not done; he’s black.”

There ya have it, folks. Welcome to the South.

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Has anyone polled the gas station guy yet?

I use Qiktrip, they are on the average extremely intelligent and aware of what’s going on, it wouldn’t be a fair sampling.

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Fred — “They are also by Legal Seafood, who I THINK has gotten some really good reviews………… I want to eat there sometime as well.”

Legal Sea Foods was MUCH better 10-15 years ago, IMO. They used high-quality fish and seafood and prepared it simply. In short, they let the fish/seafood shine on its own. They offered a Chef’s Choice; three small (3-4 oz) portions of whatever fish the chef felt like giving you, and I *never* was served a bad one of those.

Now, IMO, they’ve tarted up the menu with some gee-whiz preparations that sometimes overwhelm the still-great quality fish and shellfish on the menu. My advice when dining at Legal: have the chowda for an appetizer, then stick with anything prepared *simply.* If they need more than a single phrase to describe how it’s prepared, stay away from it.

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Lord Help Us
October 31st, 2012
2:00 pm

I doubt that. What is a mere 1% return on $200 million? He doesn’t need a tv income.

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Look before

It’s stories like this that has me believing our economy will recover quite well.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/one-hurricane–five-workers-and-1-000-pizzas.html

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Brosephus — “One of my co-workers has recommended Legal a few times. They have a location at Crystal City in Alexandria, VA near the Hilton, but I missed a few opportunities to check them out when I was in the area up there.”

Given your occupation, these might work for you:

There used to be one at National Airport, waaaaay down on the left side of the concourse (as you’re looking out at the runways).

There was also one in the B terminal at Boston’s Logan International.

Both of these locations had limited menus IIRC, though.

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Take a hard look at Rasmussen’s electoral map. Projected for Bozo, including the leaning and probables, 237 EV. Projected for Romney, 206, including the leaning and probables. That leaves the toss ups, CO 9, FL 29, IA 6, NH 4, NV 6, OH 18, VA 13 and WI 10. These are all toss ups, according to Rasmussen, meaning that they could go either way. Romney needs 64 to win. If you count CO with 9, FL with 29, OH with 18 and VA with 13, this gives Romney additional 69 EVs putting him at 275 and he wouldn’t even have to carry NH, NV, IA or WI, all of which could be in play. All Romney needs is CO, FL, OH and VA and this is a done deal. These states are called tossups for a reason. So don’t start celebrating yet, libs. This ain’t over by a long shot.

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“President Obama has revealed his new re-election slogan — ‘Forward.’ That’s a good message for Obama. He’s telling voters, ‘Whatever you do, don’t look back at all those campaign promises I made.’
– Jay Leno

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U. Samantha — “When the check finally came I decided not to tip my waiter and explained to him that I was going to implement a practical application of Obama’s Redistribution of Wealth concept as my own personal socialistic experiment.”

Ha ha! (slaps thigh)

You f****d a wage-earner out of a tip! THAT will teach him to vote for someone you don’t approve of!

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I support and endorse Legal Seafood. although the one (many) in Boston are likely even better.

Yeah I know EVERYTHING is better “up north” which puzzles me because if it’s so much better how come we can’t get you damn carpetbagging Yankees to LEAVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sorry, you teed that one so high that I HAD to drive it down range with a faux poutrage

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@kayaker

1 scenario out of how many?
I don’t think any thinking voter (con or lib) believes this is over.

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Fred — “Yeah I know EVERYTHING is better “up north” which puzzles me because if it’s so much better how come we can’t get you damn carpetbagging Yankees to LEAVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”

Yankees? Dude, I moved here from Hawaii. The whole US mainland is Yankees as far as Hawaiians are concerned. They’re actually in the tropics out there.

“Sorry, you teed that one so high that I HAD to drive it down range with a faux poutrage.”

Well done, sir!

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In that situation older men don’t usually reward young women for being independent minded, plenty want @$$-kissing and ego stroking so they can feel superior to the dumb bimbo clearing their table. If they’re really interested in the waitress’s political opinions they’re the exception, not the rule.

Wow, what a bitter bitter soul. I thought I was cynical…………

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Well it’s USMC’s and my favorite time. Ya’ll have fun……..

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmcJWPYcr1I

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JHM

I think the National Airport location is in Concourse C where US Airways operates. I haven’t ventured that far down when in DCA as I’m usually ticketed through Delta or Airtran/Southwest. I can’t recall seeing one in Logan, but I don’t remember which terminal I went through either. About the only thing I can remember is the long assed walk from Terminal A to the Hilton right at the airport. The one good thing about that particular trip was the hotel staff gave me a corner room overlooking the 9/11 Memorial.

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“President Obama said he was always getting in trouble when he was in middle school. In fact, Obama said he talked so much during class, the teacher had to take away his teleprompter.” –Jimmy Fallon

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Aquagirl: In that situation older men don’t usually reward young women for being independent minded, plenty want @$$-kissing and ego stroking so they can feel superior to the dumb bimbo clearing their table. If they’re really interested in the waitress’s political opinions they’re the exception, not the rule.

I’m sorry, I was not listening…..I was looking down your tight shirt. What was that about stroking?

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Jay 1:31

I had the exact same thought when I read that from Adam

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Q: What does Barack Obama call illegal aliens?
A: Undocumented democrats.

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Q: How do you know your doctor is not a fan of Obama’s Health Care Plan?
A: He/she has remodeled the waiting room with death paneling.

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JHM – Legal Sea Foods was MUCH better 10-15 years ago,

I’d have to agree, but I still make an effort to change plans in Boston when possible to at least visit the ones in the airport

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Getting nervous I take it Jay?

As a political scientist, it’s common knowledge that nearly every poll over samples Democrats by at least 3 to 5%. That’s why most polls aren’t taken seriously. An incumbent like Obama who’s constantly under 50% in approval rating across the country faces a steep hill for reelection. Also even ABC news even reported that the gap in Pennsylvania and Minnesota was closing in Romney’s favor so yeah…… Election day will tell the tale.

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More info on the slimey Mitt relief event efforts. And to be clear, the slimey part is the false attribution of “donated” items to attendees rather than the campaign. And some conned foolishly bragged about Mitt’s $5000 donation. The deafness of Mitt and his staff to real people is simply dumbfounding and offensive:

campaign aides reportedly spent $5,000 at a local Wal-Mart on supplies that could be put on display. When supporters arrived at the rally-turned-relief event, they were treated to the 10-minute video about Romney’s life, which was first unveiled at the RNC. The event ended with supporters lined up to hand over supplies and meet Romney. But according to BuzzFeed, this donation process was also staged:

Two teenage boys retrieved a jar of peanut butter each, and got in line. When it was their turn, they handed their “donations” to Romney. He took them, smiled, and offered an earnest “Thank you.”

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Mitt Romney at top of google news searches

Obama nowhere on the list

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E. Cat — “I’d have to agree, but I still make an effort to change plans in Boston when possible to at least visit the ones in the airport”

And if you’re actually *staying* in the Boston area, it’s well worth the drive up to Essex, MA for a heaping helping of Woodman’s fried clams.

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Dawg88 — “As a political scientist, it’s common knowledge that nearly every poll over samples Democrats by at least 3 to 5%.”

I don’t think you’re actually a political scientist and I don’t think you know very much about polling.

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Tuesday folks. Tuesday and it’s done…..

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Mitt Romney at top of google news searches. Obama nowhere on the list

Yeah, people know where Obama is but everyone’s lost track of Mittens.

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The libs have the heat on Rasmussen. I guess they’ve forgotten Gallup who was under fire just a few days ago. BTW….Gallup’s reporting that 16% of Democrats will be voting for Romney.

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He’s not a political scientist but he does play one on TV?

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Joe 2:33

Well, almost nothing

When there’s a giant 20, maybe 30 point gap, then they tell you what’s going to happen

But yes otherwise useless

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Brosephus — “There’s a spot in Warwick, RI (Providence) right across from the train station that’s connected to the airport that has the best scallops I’ve had anywhere. The restaurant is attached to a Hilton Garden Inn, and it’s called the Ironworks Tavern. I had their fried scallops, and I’ve been trying to find a reason to fly back up there just to eat there.”

Oh, man. My wife wants to go back to New England for a visit SO BADLY.

A couple of the consulting companies I worked for were HQd up there, so I spent a good bit of time consulting up in that area (Maine, Mass, RI, Connecticut). She grew up on the Oregon coast, so she wanted to see what the East Coast was about — so we took two weeks in 2000 to cover the whole area, from NYC up to Portland, Maine — and she LOVED it.

I lurrrrrrrve me some scallops and now I want to go back up there,too, just so I can eat at that place.

Plus you can get great Italian fare in New England as well!

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This week the Cons think the polls are useless?

hehehehehe

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The popular vote will be split 50/50 between President Obama and ex-Governor Romney. The electoral college vote will be skewed toward one or the other. The states will go either ‘red” or ‘blue’ roughly along the lines of the Union/Confederacy split in the 1860’s.

Now, why do we need all these pre-election polls, and why do we waste time “analyzing” them?

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JHM

At Ironworks, the scallops were so fresh that they tasted like they had just been scooped up out of the ocean. I haven’t tasted anything remotely close anywhere else. Period.

————————-

Finn

I’m marking that name down as an option if I can get back to Boston.

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scott

mr. silly pants

I was simply giving you the opportunity to feel the same way you accuse us of feeling.

poutraged at Obama, but loving it all up on Romney.

does mr. gander not like to be goosed?

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There is a tragedy to the whole issue and that is Prez O making points with the voters, every where he goes, another photo op. What has actually been accomplished? Months before it is all cleaned up carted away and decades before it is paid for. Now the latest polls Rmney is still in the hunt.

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The waiter (she waiter I gather) is too stupid to know why to vote for Romney, so she votes for Obama, now that is rich. You think the only reason this woman votes is because the guy is cute, only in the south could you say that out loud and not feel stupid yourself.

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brosephus

Come on down – nothing beats the seafood at joe’s stone crabs!!!

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So when did this turn into John Kessler’s restaurant blog?

Seafood trumps election polls ten times out of ten

Ditto!!
It’s crableg buffet at the casino tonite….the jerks won’t take food stamps, tho.

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Tybee Island crab shack used to be awesome before it became a tourist trap

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Jay

October 31st, 2012
2:53 pm
OK, I must have been wrong. The performance artist known as Dick Morris now predicts a Romney landslide, with the GOP nominee perhaps even capturing Democratic strongholds such as Oregon and New Jersey. The GOP will also hold a 53-47 advantage in the Senate.

=======================================================================

the same Dick Morris who said McCain would win in a landslide…………. he has his customer base he must keep buying his books and newsletters

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jsmith said it all.This is a terribly divided nation and it is a serious matter. Someone will get hurt before it’s over and our give away government programs have caused a lot of it.That same government can and will take it all back when the time is right. Fools,nothing is free!!!!

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There’s a secret seafood place under a bridge in Savannah

Awesome place. I decline to reveal the name….

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Dick Morris has hollow toes?

I’ve heard weirder things I suppose

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Barack’s the best

There ya have it, folks. Welcome to the South.

Your friend related to the Whole Foods Lady and the gas station attendant?

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New seafood joint in Dacula….The Fish House on R. 324

Gulf Coast family …..

Service is kind of sketchy, but food is great.

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Your friend related to the Whole Foods Lady and the gas station attendant?

I think they’re all related.

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Jm — “What’s the consensus on Sprayberry’s?”

I wasn’t impressed. But given the word of mouth that place gets, it must have just been me.

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Sprayberrys….mostly hype, but it doesn’t suck.

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JAY

I’m not sure who is “attacking” Silver’s approach as much as questioning how a guy scores well one time is now the gold standard…there are shortcomings to all polls…the problem with Silver’s is that he has only experience in a single election year and nobody has seen (as far as I know) his proprietary formula…picking the 2008 outcomes were awesome but the vast majority of states had BO up 2.5% or more..if it supported Romney, you on this forum would attack it despite a lack of understanding as well..

…anyone can cherry pick polls to support wishful/hopeful thinking but they are all flawed in some way shape or form..

None of them can predict turnout…so all we can say is best guess now is that its gonna be close and none of us should take predictions seriously as they have been seriously wrong at times..

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Stevie Ray

Plus he is in the liberal NY Times that never runs anything negative about Obama and would not have hired Silver if he had projections that didn’t favor Obama.

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Aquagirl

October 31st, 2012
2:29 pm

Wow, what a bitter bitter soul. I thought I was cynical…

Fred, are you really under the impression an older guy trying to engage a young waitress in political discussion is not usually a dicey situation for the young woman?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Nope. Not with me. People talk to me. If you knew me you would know that. Oh every once in a while you run into some chick with too high of an opinion of herself, like that ditz at The Grove, but she’s old lol, but most waitresses and waiters talk to ME. Ask Brocephus lol, he’s seen an example. I mean I’m so harmless that they KNOW I’m not trying to pick them up. Same with waiters. I’d be a good bartender, folks like to talk to me and tell me stuff……….

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If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count? I heard the line was two hours long today at local early voting site…

I’ve heard all that emotional blather about if you don’t vote you don’t count but that has never resonated with me..

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For Bar-B-Que it’s the Hickory House.

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BOTH SUCK

Agreed but me and my propeller head circles think this guy is a rock star…his work in politics is too green to bank on…

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Shrimp n Grits – food o the gods dude – that and 2 nekkid dogs running,

two onion rangs, and a FO

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TBS yes all good

Tho I did have one bad experience at Fox

Don’t know what the did, but the slow cooked it I guess to the point that it turned to just mush

First awful BBQ I’d had in a long time

All other fox trips- great

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Fred ™

Nope. Not with me. People talk to me. If you knew me you would know that. Oh every once in a while you run into some chick with too high of an opinion of herself, like that ditz at The Grove, but she’s old lol, but most waitresses and waiters talk to ME. Ask Brocephus lol, he’s seen an example. I mean I’m so harmless that they KNOW I’m not trying to pick them up. Same with waiters. I’d be a good bartender, folks like to talk to me and tell me stuff……….

I am Brosephus™, and I approve this message.

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Unless it is not prepared by someone who makes a career out of it, I generally can find something I like about any BBQ…seems there are great places for Carolina (vinegar based) Q, Kansas City/Memphis (ketchup based) and the like….

I’m never picky about slowly cooked pork or beef that bakes in its own fat…what could be wrong with it?

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Stevie

You do know I was just messing with you because that is what you seem to post when you bring up Silver.

You could be 100% correct. I have no idea if his methods are grounded in good statistics and analysis or it is biased.

I just like to mess with you because Silver seems to get under your skin or at least those who bring him up.

Silver’s analysis mean nothing to me, whether they are on the mark or not.

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If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count?

If a 3rd Party candidate gets 5% of the popular vote, then that party can run for offices in future elections. As long as people continue to support the 2-party system, states like Georgia can continue to stymie the competition.

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Nate Silver and other forecasters are not saying that Obama is going to win next week, but simply that the odds are in his favor.

Conservatives should look at the bright side, his current .226 chance of a Romney victory is far greater than the likelihood of Dan Uggla getting a hit in his average Atlanta Brave at bat.

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EC

Be safe down there. If you’re close to the Southern border there, things can get just as dicey as with our own Southern border.

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FRED

Why not hit on them…at least jokingly…we all know at our core level, we (men) are seed spreaders..

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“Tho I did have one bad experience at Fox”

I have also had one bad experience but they rectified it on the spot. Ordered a pulled pork sandwich one time and it had few pieces with way too much fat on it. They didn’t pay for my beers, but they did bring me another sandwich and comp the meal. I just asked for another sandwich, but they went the extra mile and that is why I am still a patron.

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EC

Have a great and safe trip.

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How long, oh L-rd! Jeeze…it’s fr*kken Hallowe’en…get a grip and let it go for a minute…I’m so d*mned tired of these up to the last f*rt polls…I DON’T GIVE A SH*T…

Otherwise a cheer good evening to one and all…

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JHM

I was just joking about Silver. I have no idea how credible he is or isn’t.

My post was just me messing with Stevie Ray. On several occasions when Silver has been brought up, he goes off on a rant about the liberal NY Times and how they wouldn’t higher Silver if his projections were not going to favor Obama.

I was just obliging him or patronizing him depending on one’s point of view.

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Thanks Both

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If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count? I heard the line was two hours long today at local early voting site…

I keep reading about 2 hour waits at early voting sites. I thought the reason to vote early was to avoid the long waits on election day. I’ve never had to stand in line 2 hours to vote on election day. This year is going to be great because lots of peeps are going to have already voted before election day.

I look forward to voting on election day, whether or not my vote “counts”. It is one of my responsibilities as a citizen, like paying taxes and griping about it.

And no matter how the election comes out, I won’t be distraught or overly gleeful. I’ll just get up the next day and keep on making a living and being happy to live in the greatest country on earth.

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P-Dawg — “Speak for yourself. I don’t want any bratty kids runnin’ around.”

Agreed. Germs in feety jammies.

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I voted two weeks ago. The line was very short. Total time to wait in line, check in and vote: 20 minutes.

Of course I will be voting tomorrow and at least 3 times next Tuesday, so that might be another story.

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StSimons: I made some AWESOME shrimp and grits for my wife last week. Well at least she said they were the best she ever had………. it was my first time making them too.

Stevie Ray: I don’t know. I’m a horndog like any other man, but I don’t hit on women and they seem to sense that. I talk to everyone the same way, men, women, kids, dogs……….. LOL In a strip club, I’m the guy the dancers come talk to when they need a break from role playing. And I only go to those places when someone else is paying and just has to go to one. I don’t see the point in them………. Also I’m married and don’t screw around.

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Why are you guys so defensive about Benghazi that you try to neutralize any comments by mocking and diminishing its importance? Hey it’s not TEA party people but Seals themselves who posted this charge: Obama called the Seals and they got bin Laden but when the Seals called Obama they got denied. This military disrespect of their CiC is unprecedented, nicht wahr?

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I suspect Romney’s people have been on the phone calling Christie begging him to slam Obama, re-endorse Romney, or both. Maybe Christie wants to be the GOP nominee in ‘16, or maybe he just cares about his state and is glad to have Obama’s support and the Feds working with NJ to get things cleaned up.

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Jack

October 31st, 2012
3:30 pm

Bookman doesn’t want to hear it, but his man did listen to another man for 20 years who is a Marxist and hates America.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++

So, as an opinion poll. How DO you respond to a completely lunatic post such as this? There isn’t a grain of anything approaching logic or any opening for a discussion. And quite frankly it makes the poster appear to be severely lacking in mental abilities. So what’s the best way to respond?

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About a year or so ago, Michelle Malkin bellyached in her blog about money troubles

I wish I had known that, I’d have started a campaign for a mass mailing of bootstraps.

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BBQ?

Abdullah The Butcher’s House of Ribs and Chinese Food in East Point.

Get the ribs or the rib tips.

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alex

October 31st, 2012
3:34 pm

@ fred, very impressive, your family must be proud , now go back to your hovel
++++++++++++++++

And what are you whining about now? I know you made sense in YOUR mind but for those of us NOT tripping maybe you can elucidate.

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Kam

Been there several times. Met Abdullah when I was there once. Nice guy.

Black eye peas, green beans, hamburger steak, sweet tea and a piece of cornbread……… Can’t beat it for the money.

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EC

You should be OK if that’s where you are. Anywhere near either border is dangerous territory because of the drug wars. Mexico City has issues from time to time, but I talk to business people who travel there weekly, and they’re pretty comfortable with traveling there.

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Kam? Do they have a tv and show football? If so sounds like a good place to meet up and watch the feetball.

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The evening of 11/6 should be most interesting….if it goes into the morning of 11/7 then we are headed for a 2000 flashback…yikes

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ad

Christie change parties?? Do expect him to have a lobotomy, why else be a democrat?

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Thanks Bro…I get that same sense. First time that far south in MX in a very long time..
I’ll be meeting a fairly large group, so we should be fine…One of my colleagues I bend elbows with is an ex-seal, but you’d never know it at first glance…he’s the one that keeps me out into the wee hours more often than not…what could go wrong?

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So what’s the best way to respond?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hwxFCj863gg#t=00m10s

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@ad, let’s hope the latter,@ debbie as to last reference and drugs,dems:favorite song “white rabbit” and do you have a little debbies snack cake for us tonight?
@ joe-impressive display of regression to the mean, your so awful novel and brilliant, how do you stay so modest, must be tough to be you, it surely is tough for the rest of us who have ANY modicum of insight…..

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josef

You’re gonna get somebody riled up…

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weetamoe

just googled your blog name

cool.

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GG – weetamoe

cool.

is it sexist to call you “Sweet Heart”?

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Funny how Jay picks and chooses which days and which polls he wishes to comment on.

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what could go wrong?

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Lee — “Funny how Jay picks and chooses which days and which polls he wishes to comment on.”

Funny how the con posters here do exactly the same thing.

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FRED

And what’s REALLY funny? It starts with “I have a friend,,,” I think I’d've phrased that a bit differently if I were going where s/he went…but, then, what do I know.

JM
Actually, though, my heart goes out to our Northern cousins in their time of troubles…once they get back on their feet? Well, that’s another matter…

BROSPEPHUS

Well, they can get as riled UP as they want, and they’ll still be inferior to Uncle Sam’s Redheaded Step Chirren at rest…

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“….if you’re a woman you’re simply more likely to encounter
frightening nutbags……”

if you’re a man, you’re simply more likely to encounter
frightening nutbags…..after she moves in.

advantage – x chromosome….again….damn

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Erwin’s cat

October 31st, 2012
3:53 pm
GG – weetamoe

just googled your blog name

cool.

is it sexist to call you “Sweet Heart”?

.
.
.
Sometimes.

Sometimes not.

If I sense the wrong kind of “sweetheart” – I just call them punkin butt or lover dumpling or cuddle bunny cakes and they get the picture.

The looks are their faces are worth it.

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Granny – I’ve heard it’s not harrassment if he’s good lookin’.

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I just voted early. I was in line for 1 hour and 15 minutes. I want to alert readers to the fact that all candidates who were Republicans were placed first on the ballot (unless, of course, only a Democrat was running for office). Incumbents were placed sometimes first, and sometimes second or third. However, the Republican candidate, incumbent or not, was ALWAYS placed first and that occurrence was not contingent upon alphabetical order.

That means that the name of the President of the U.S. – the incumbent – was placed after the name of Gov. Romney on the ballot because Gov. Romney is the Republican candidate. It was obvious to me that the ballot was designed for Republicans always to be positioned first on the ballot. This is no insignificant point. The reason it is significant should be obvious to all, and all should be concerned about the stealthy manipulation of the public through this means.

I mentioned this when I was at the government building and I was given the following number to call. The fellow citizens to whom I mentioned this were also disturbed by this, whether they were Republicans or Democrats. This is not a partisan issue. It is a matter politicians not being allowed to manipulate an unaware public.

I urge all readers to call as I have just done – after you also have observed what I have just pointed out – to register your knowledge of how the ballot in Georgia was designed and to register your disapproval of the manipulation of the public

(404) 612-7020 – Fulton Elections Office Number

If you live outside of Fulton County, perhaps the personnel at this office number given above will give you the telephone number to call for your county. It was also suggested to me by personnel at the voting area that I call Georgia’s Secretary of State’s Office to register my complaint, which I have also done. Both telephone numbers were busy, but I left a message and my telephone number for a return call. I will keep calling until I am able to know in more detail why this occurred and to register my disapproval of this.

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@SR
“In his address he made it clear that he perceived no greater threat to the American experiment than a partisan demagogue who “agitates the community with ill-found jealousies and false alarms, kindles the animosity of one party against another….those who serve to organize faction, togive it an artificial and extraordinary force, to put, in the place of the delegated will of the nation the will of a party”
——————————————————————————————————————————————

It’s almost as if Rush Limbaugh appeared to Washington in a dream. Spooky stuff for Halloween.

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seriously…could they post pone or extend the election if they cant get power and clear roads to the polling places in the NE

_______

No, Constitution states Congress sets the date of the election and all states have to vote on the same day. Congress would have to change the date and it would apply everywhere. Not likely to happen.

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yes Granny you do at that

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@stevie ray, how dare you refer to JAY in that fashion, one more word from you and I’ll,I’ll sic chris mathews on you…… now where’s that cherry tree, I need some more teeth ( they were wooden, get it?, sorry!,) TRICK OR TREAT1

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@ mary Elizabeth, look there’s a banana….just HORRIBLE,HORRIBLE republicans are first on the ballot, obama is spelled O-B-A-M-A,carry on APS grads…Sheesh

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LOOK

How on earth do you deflect what George Washington said about polarizing the parties to a harmful degree is a big threat to the American Experiment? I probably don’t think any more highly of Limbaugh cause he is a part of the problem…do you want me to provide a flowchart in colors to help you get the point?

ALEX

Check out http://www.drbukks.com…that’s where I get my teefs…

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THEYBOTHSUCK

Yeah Morris is about a reliable as the FOX folks he works for…but if he were accurate how funny would that be?

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It comes down to Ohio. If Romney wins Ohio he wins if not he loses.

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Stevie

Morris was a hack when he worked for Clinton and is a hack now. A broke clock is right twice a day, but yes anything is possible. Is it probable especially coming out of Dick’s mouth? Usually not.

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Doug – no. The exit polls didn’t have Kerry winning.

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So far Nate Silver has made predictions on one Presidential election. I think I will let him do at least 3 before I believe his methodology is fool proof.

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If the GOP figures out this one is lost, they may shut down spending and save it for 2016.

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I had thought Dick Morris’ career died years ago.
Only way to get press is to say stupid stuff and say it loudly.

If he’s wrong, he goes back to obscurity and no harm done. He has the skin and soul of a political hack (thick and none).

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You sound as if the election results will be an “average” of the last two weeks of polling. Far from it.

The majority of the votes cast will be on Tuesday. So you better examine where the trend of the last two weeks is pointing.

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It comes down to Ohio. If Romney wins Ohio he wins if not he loses

Doug, probably a pretty accurate forecast unless by some strange twist Romney wins PA, while losing Ohio. Actually though when you consider how much Obama has lost where he won pretty handily in 08 now showing so many toss up states tied or Romney ahead maybe Morris isn’t that far off.

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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and three percent (3%) remain undecided. See daily tracking history.

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The electoral college is more than just an antiquated system of electing the president related to the logistics of a national election 200 years ago. The all-or-none rules in most states is also a way that such states can exert the maximum political clout and for that reason it isn’t likely to go away. I would be in favor of abolishing it because the all or none rule magnifies the temptation for voter fraud in a close state and limits the campaign to just a few ‘battlegrounds’.

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Is “nutbag” the term you folks really mean to be using?

I think it has the appropriate gross/creepy/testicular overtone and it gets by the filter.

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Someone earlier said, whoever wins, 1/2 of the country is going to be mad. Better yet, Obama can get 13-14 states and win and Romney could get 36-37 states and lose. That does not seem Fair and Balanced to me?

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Jm

October 31st, 2012
3:46 pm

Josef

I have about as much sympathy for our northern brethren right now as they have when Southerners get hit with a snowstorm
++++++++++++++++++

I have really struggled with that myself. But it’s not just when we get hit with a snow storm, they raise hell everytime a hurricane hits: “Why don’t they just MOVE?”

But I just fight off the bitterness and tell myself that bless their hearts, they don’t know any better since they are Yankees and I certainly don’t want to be like them.

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Tom

Is it far and balanced that the number of House members in each state is based on population or should it be like the Senate?

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Mary Elizabeth,

If you cannot select one of three candidates by name, regardless of order, perhaps you should not be voting.

If you are going to delve into manipulation, then we better start talking about the broadcast media first.

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Uncle Sam

Doesn’t matter who he helped get re-elected. He is a hack to the highest bidder.

He has become a successful businessman being a hack, but he is still a hack.

PERIOD.

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Romney would pardon OJ.

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Only a fool would want four more years like the last four!

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Theybothsuck and Aquagirl – You just like to make excuses for everything you disagree with, I was just making a point! I hope your guy loses just for the sake of you two!

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‘Only a fool would want four more years like the last four!’

And a bigger fool would want a repeat of 2001-2008…

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Recon

You are welcome to do the research, but to say that Morris has been incorrect on numerous occasions would be an understatement.

I could be wrong, but I am sure that his consulting for the numerous Democrat and Republican candidates he has worked for, as well as politicians around the world has been more restrained than his predictions on Fox or via his website.

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kimmer

October 31st, 2012
4:29 pm
The electoral college is more than just an antiquated system of electing the president related to the logistics of a national election 200 years ago. The all-or-none rules in most states is also a way that such states can exert the maximum political clout and for that reason it isn’t likely to go away. I would be in favor of abolishing it because the all or none rule magnifies the temptation for voter fraud in a close state and limits the campaign to just a few ‘battlegrounds’.

=======================================================================

it kills me how little people know that we are a REPRESENTATIVE REPUBLIC and not a DEMOCRACY……………..

if we elected presidents by POPULAR VOTE only………. you would have RECOUNTS in 50 states……….. and no candidate would go to NEW HAMPSHIRE…………. small states would be IGNORED due to higher populations states

the ELECTORAL COLLEGE and THE SENATE are CHECKS against the POWER OF THE BIG STATES

MAJORITIES would RULE ROUGHSHOD over the minorities

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BOTH

Great food and I’ve seen Abdullah there several times. They call it soul food in that part of town, but move it north to Hickory Flat in Cherokee Co., and the same food is called kountry cookin’.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Fred

Like BOTH said, NO BEER.

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‘Only a fool would want four more years like the last four!’

And a bigger fool would want a repeat of 2001-2008…

And a bigger yet fool would think four more of the same leadership would be any better than the last four years!

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Well said Tom couldn’t agree more. Rasmussen been the most accurate the last 2 elections.

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Kam

Exactly

________________________

Recon

I didn’t notice anything wrong with the ballot either.

Self explanatory.

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‘Only a fool would want four more years like the last four!’

And a bigger fool would want a repeat of 2001-2008…

“And a bigger yet fool would think four more of the same leadership would be any better than the last four years!”

And, only the biggest fool on the face of the earth would think that cutting taxes by 5 trillion and raising military spending by 2 trillion will not add to the deficit…or that neocon foreign policy works just dandy…

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FRED

“…they are Yankees and I certainly don’t want to be like them.”

Not to worry…

Vérifie ton e-mail

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TBS,

One things for sure he’ll either be dead right or dead wrong. A close election, which it will be in my opinion won’t score any points for him.

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Obama is bringing in C130s and other transport to NJ/NY/CT to provide emergency power. Wonder if those came from Sicily?

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Rasmussen is fraud polling, there is no sanctity, a total BIAS on one side… Having devastation at some part of the country and this guy is releasing daily poll data shows his polling is fraudulent and INACCURATE!

I think commenting on such polling is WASTE of TIME!!

Wake up America…

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Legal Sea Food – GOOD
Henry’s Louisiana Kitchen (in Acworth) – Worth the drive if you have the time, usually an hour wait.
Dreamland BBQ – good as most around Atlanta, but the one in Tuscaloosa is better.

Any other recommended seafood places in Atlanta that has scallops that melt in your mouth?

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or that neocon foreign policy works just dandy

Talk about foreign policy that works! WOW! Oh, I forgot, it was the video, sorry!

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A Romney victory would make GW Bush’s leadership seem inspired genius. Romney’s GOP is far to the right of 2001-2008. Romney will have to appease the Paul Broun and Todd Akin types on social issues and the hedge fund manager/Koch brother types on regulation. Screw clean water – you can always buy it in bottles. A little lead in your baby food isn’t going to hurt you.

Oh, and Doug – exit polls – you’ll need to do some math, but Kerry is shown losing 49-51 http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/US/P/00/epolls.0.html

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BOTH

I haven’t even been to Abdullah’s in years. I had a one house job site in the area and Abdullah’s was the only place anywhere near at that time. After we finished up that job, I would go out of my way to go there for take-out when I was coming home from working in the Austell area.

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Doug

I can’t speak for every exit poll in 2004, however I believe most if not all major polls had Bush ahead right before the election, that includes EC projections.

There was not any surprises, unless someone discounted all the polls and said Kerry was going to win regardless.

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ad
Kerry shown winning 51-48, did you not read it! What else do you want classic liberal in denial!

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Kam

When I used to work for the major employer right south of the city, we used to go once a month. Just shoot around 285.

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Question for Mr. Right…

How many Benghazi attacks does it take to equal the war in Iraq?

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Mr Right

October 31st, 2012
4:47 pm

‘Only a fool would want four more years like the last four!’

And a bigger fool would want a repeat of 2001-2008…

And a bigger yet fool would think four more of the same leadership would be any better than the last four years!

And a bigger fool would think four more years of the 2001-2008 leadership would be any better than the last four years.

There goofy, we can play THIS stupid ass game all night………

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Doug – I agree – exit polls don’t mean much. I was just answering whether “all” exit polls showed Kerry winning. I screw with any call I get doing a poll of any kind.

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Doug — “Well said Tom couldn’t agree more. Rasmussen been the most accurate the last 2 elections.”

That’s already been debunked here at least twice today.

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Kam

If you ever get a chance try one of those other two I mentioned. I would say Busy Bee over The Beautiful.

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Recon

That could happen. Except for a bet where the loser sends a check to the winner’s charity of choice, I haven’t placed any bets in Vegas based on my prediction.

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BOTH

I would come home via Thornton Rd. to I-20 instead of messing with 75 or 285 and it was a simple trick to just go on down to Campbellton Rd.

I stopped by there one day just after lunch for a slab to-go, and saw a car with a Wisconsin license plate. It wasn’t hard to pick out the out-of-towners — all of them had on shorts and skin so white it was blinding.

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BOTH

One day I’d like to buy you a beer at Thinking Man’s.

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“I don’t know who will win the presidency come Nov. 6.” Jay Bookman

You didn’t used to feel that way.

Hummmm …………………..

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TBS,

Charity bets are a good thing, I’ll put up $50.00 for your charity and my choice would be Wounded Warriors. You win and my check will go out the day after the winners declared and the losers conceded .

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Doug — “Joe let me have it what poll do you find most accurate? Don’t tell me New York Times.”

I don’t find ANY poll the “most accurate.” You cited Rasmussen as being the most accurate, and that’s been debunked here at least twice today. If you think a pollster who was 40% wrong in a race last cycle is so fantastic, then by all means, hang your hat on his results.

As for me, I’ve got an extensive background and education in Statistics and I know better than to *rely* on any one pollster or polling organization.

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As I see it, there is a bright side to Obama being re-elected. When inflation spirals out of control within the next two or three years because of his money printing monetary policy and when the medicaire cuts and the inavailability of healthcare brought about by Obamacare comes into full bloom, the people are going to be pissed off. Severely pissed off. And the entitlement crowd are really going to be pissed when the money runs out for them and their cards aren’t worth crap.

The bad part is, if Romney is elected, he will also be blamed because of his being the president at the time these things occurred even though he had nothing to do with what brought these things upon us.

So Jay, if Obama is elected, celebrate on the 7th because it won’t be long at all before you and the media will no longer be able to cover for him and what he has done to this country. It will be a very short lived victory dance for you and your followers. Because of our deficit, this country is literally at the “end of its rope” and we are now in the position that nobody can “save” us. NOBODY. Sad to think about isn’t it?

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Here you go Doug, what’s up with this? From 2010…

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

“The 105 polls released in Senate and gubernatorial races by Rasmussen Reports and its subsidiary, Pulse Opinion Research, missed the final margin between the candidates by 5.8 points, a considerably higher figure than that achieved by most other pollsters. Some 13 of its polls missed by 10 or more points, including one in the Hawaii Senate race that missed the final margin between the candidates by 40 points, the largest error ever recorded in a general election in FiveThirtyEight’s database, which includes all polls conducted since 1998.

Moreover, Rasmussen’s polls were quite biased, overestimating the standing of the Republican candidate by almost 4 points on average. In just 12 cases, Rasmussen’s polls overestimated the margin for the Democrat by 3 or more points. But it did so for the Republican candidate in 55 cases — that is, in more than half of the polls that it issued.”

Oh yea, Rasmussen is real accurate. Not.

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I go by the poll that is almost 100% accurate all the time.

And that’s the election.
(and I say “almost” because sometimes there is fraud where some ballots are “lost” or “miscounted” – although that does not happen much anymore)

Alas, now I have a craving for scallops that melt in your mouth, or some crawfish.

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pogo — “The bad part is, if Romney is elected, he will also be blamed because of his being the president at the time these things occurred even though he had nothing to do with what brought these things upon us.”

Amazing. The levels of self-delusion and of double standards employed by our conservative posters here seem to know no bounds whatsoever.

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but, I’m going to eat Halloween chocolate and won’t have scallops tonight.

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Fred

Works for me.

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Because of our deficit, this country is literally at the “end of its rope” and we are now in the position that nobody can “save” us. NOBODY. Sad to think about isn’t it?

Oh Jeez Chicken little. Just because Rush scarres the depends off you you sheep, don’t come around here spouting your defeatist crap. I BELIEVE in my Country and not in a bunch of bloated wart hog chicken hawks on the radio.

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Kam

Tomorrow?

_______________________________________________

Fred

Will be south of town on Saturday for my dad’s birthday.

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The poll on the link below is easy to check, and gives the dates of the last polls used.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

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Because of our deficit, this country is literally at the “end of its rope”…

Deficit?

The deficits that Bush ran up in the years in which the country was teetering on the verge of a serious recession had the beneficial effect of righting the economy. In that sense, deficits not only didn’t matter, but were a force for economic good.

Translation: IOKIYAR

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And a bigger fool would think four more years of the 2001-2008 leadership would be any better than the last four years.

There goofy, we can play THIS stupid ass game all night

Bush running ? Guess I missed that!

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JHM, how about RCP…Rasmussen and Gallup have been close to those averages. Gallup has been a bit far out with their 51-46 favoring Romney but any way you slice it, this will be a close election.

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Mr Right

October 31st, 2012
5:32 pm

And a bigger fool would think four more years of the 2001-2008 leadership would be any better than the last four years.

There goofy, we can play THIS stupid ass game all night

Bush running ? Guess I missed that!
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

You miss a lot of things so I’m not surprised. Have whoever is reading this for you ’slain it to you.

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Its just come down to turnout. A lot of these polls are skewed one way or the other. New York Times being the worst.

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Recon

You beat me to the RCP

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Judge Jeanine asks White House ‘How do you sleep at night’ :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6M9y7Hyrj4&feature=youtu.be

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Wow jay either you can’t read or you’re simply ignoring the facts…. Romney is in the lead in all of Rasmussens poll’s. Do you honestly think that if Romney is polling 50% that Obama has an inkling of a chance? What a naive buffoon you are….. This election is over. Landslide here we come!!!!

50-48 Ohio
50-48 Florida
50-46 Colorado
50-48 New Hampshire
48-48 Iowa
50-48 Virginia
48-48 Wisconsin

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Kam

5 o’clock

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well Halloween is starting which means I am off to my favorite tavern to wait out the little hooligans and I am reminded of a sign one of my aunts used to hang on the door:

“No I don’t have any free candy for you, you little twerps. And if you are thinking “trick” I DO have 2 loaded Springfield thirty ought sixes loaded with rock salt by the door”.

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BOTH

Done.

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josef

You passing out drinks or just candy?

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Fred

They all come by here… “I know where you live…!!!”

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Stephenson Billings posted a bunk “vote election model,” not a real poll.

In fact the latest Battleground poll has Obama up by 1. The Republican side of that poll came up with his “vote election model” because he didn’t like the results.

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“Stephenson Billings
Good info”

Doug, more like pretend info.

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Josef: There just ain’t no kids here. There first 5 years I lived here I gave away 3 pieces of candy each year………

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I’m undecided.

I don’t know if I want to hear Sean Hannity or Neil Cavuto announce the winner…

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Fred

Check your email when you have a minute.

Thanks

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Anyone wanna feel old?

http://www.accessatlanta.com/gallery/entertainment/music/70-new-50-septuagenarian-pop-rb-and-rock-musicians/g59d/#2832740

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