Rasmussen polling data make Obama the favorite
I don’t know who will win the presidency come Nov. 6. I do know, however, that at this point, based on polling, Barack Obama remains the clear favorite to win an electoral-college majority.
I understand that’s a controversial statement among some. Sites such as Nate Silver’s fivethirtyeight.com have become targets of sustained attacks and critiques by supporters of Mitt Romney for making similar statements. But it’s nonetheless true.
To document that claim, let’s take a look at the race using a data source that ought to sidestep all conservative claims of “skewed polling” and “media bias,” etc. Let’s examine it using numbers generated solely by Rasmussen, using definitions of “leaning” and “tossup” states as applied by Rasmussen. And before we do, let’s take a moment to establish just how Republican-leaning the Rasmussen numbers really are by looking at state polling data.
Colorado: Rasmussen has Romney up by four points, which is a fairly large margin. Yet of the 10 polls released in that state in the last two weeks, eight have Obama up. The only only other poll showing a Romney lead in Colorado — an American Research Group poll released Oct. 28 — has Romney up by just one.
Ohio: Of the 21 polls released in the past two weeks, only one — Rasmussen — has Romney in the lead, in Rasmussen’s case a lead of two points. Most other polls give Obama a two-to-five-point lead.
Wisconsin: Rasmussen’s latest poll, released Oct. 25, puts Paul Ryan’s home state in a tie. Every other poll conducted in the state since Aug. 21 — more than two dozen in all — has put Obama ahead, the most recent ones by a margin of two to six points.
Now, it may turn out that Rasmussen is right and almost everyone else is wrong. That can’t be discounted. But for our purposes, there’s no doubt that by using Rasmussen in our analysis, we are using numbers most favorable to the Republican cause.
And what does Rasmussen tell us?
Well, if you look at its electoral college map, using Rasmussen-generated polling data, we find the following breakdown:
Obama and Obama-leaning states: 237 electoral votes
Romney and Romney-leaning states: 206 electoral votes
Tossups: 95 electoral votes
In other words, to get to the magical 270 electoral votes, Romney needs to win 64 of the 95 tossup votes available. That’s 67.4 percent, or two out of three available votes.
To get to the magical 270 votes, Obama needs to win just 33 of the 95 tossup votes, basically a little more than one out of every three tossup votes.
That’s why Obama is the favorite. Having to win one out of three is a lot easier than having to win two out of three.
It is true, of course, that favorites don’t always win. The Florida Gators were favored over the Georgia Bulldogs last week in Jacksonville, but the Gators got beat. Six turnovers will do that to you almost every time, and that’s a turn of events that the oddsmakers didn’t anticipate. Likewise, it is entirely feasible that come Tuesday — especially given a somewhat wacky polling environment — Obama will join the Gators on the long list of favorites who went down in defeat.
But using the data source most favorable to the Republican cause, that’s not the way to bet.
– Jay Bookman
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783 comments Add your comment
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
2:39 pm
EC
Thanks. I think Delta’s in A Terminal, but I haven’t been to Logan in 2 years. Now, I’m gonna have to go find a training detail that will have to travel around.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
2:39 pm
Joe 2:33
Well, almost nothing
When there’s a giant 20, maybe 30 point gap, then they tell you what’s going to happen
But yes otherwise useless
Redneck Convert (R--and proud of it)
October 31st, 2012
2:40 pm
“Rasmussen” doesn’t sound like a pole.
Dang right! It sounds like a wad of cloth and hair mixed up with a little dirt. “Hey Vern! Look at this wad of Rasmussen I pulled out of my navel.”
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
2:41 pm
Brosephus — “There’s a spot in Warwick, RI (Providence) right across from the train station that’s connected to the airport that has the best scallops I’ve had anywhere. The restaurant is attached to a Hilton Garden Inn, and it’s called the Ironworks Tavern. I had their fried scallops, and I’ve been trying to find a reason to fly back up there just to eat there.”
Oh, man. My wife wants to go back to New England for a visit SO BADLY.
A couple of the consulting companies I worked for were HQd up there, so I spent a good bit of time consulting up in that area (Maine, Mass, RI, Connecticut). She grew up on the Oregon coast, so she wanted to see what the East Coast was about — so we took two weeks in 2000 to cover the whole area, from NYC up to Portland, Maine — and she LOVED it.
I lurrrrrrrve me some scallops and now I want to go back up there,too, just so I can eat at that place.
Plus you can get great Italian fare in New England as well!
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
October 31st, 2012
2:42 pm
For Boston, Belle Isle Seafood, right across the bay from Logan. 5 chairs in the place. Lobster rolls that feed two or three people. Mmmmmm.
Finn McCool (The System isn't Broken; It's Fixed)
October 31st, 2012
2:43 pm
This week the Cons think the polls are useless?
hehehehehe
Jay
October 31st, 2012
2:46 pm
So when did this turn into John Kessler’s restaurant blog?
Li'l Aynie
October 31st, 2012
2:46 pm
The popular vote will be split 50/50 between President Obama and ex-Governor Romney. The electoral college vote will be skewed toward one or the other. The states will go either ‘red” or ‘blue’ roughly along the lines of the Union/Confederacy split in the 1860’s.
Now, why do we need all these pre-election polls, and why do we waste time “analyzing” them?
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
2:46 pm
F. McCool — “For Boston, Belle Isle Seafood, right across the bay from Logan.”
Water taxi go there?
The taxi pulls right up to the back door of my favorite Boston Hotel, the Marriott Long Wharf.
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
2:46 pm
JHM
At Ironworks, the scallops were so fresh that they tasted like they had just been scooped up out of the ocean. I haven’t tasted anything remotely close anywhere else. Period.
————————-
Finn
I’m marking that name down as an option if I can get back to Boston.
I SEE RED PEOPLE
October 31st, 2012
2:47 pm
With conservative abandonment of science, is political science practiced by Republicans faith-based?
Granny Godzilla - Union Thugette
October 31st, 2012
2:48 pm
scott
mr. silly pants
I was simply giving you the opportunity to feel the same way you accuse us of feeling.
poutraged at Obama, but loving it all up on Romney.
does mr. gander not like to be goosed?
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
2:49 pm
So when did this turn into John Kessler’s restaurant blog?
Seafood trumps election polls ten times out of ten.
nelson
October 31st, 2012
2:51 pm
There is a tragedy to the whole issue and that is Prez O making points with the voters, every where he goes, another photo op. What has actually been accomplished? Months before it is all cleaned up carted away and decades before it is paid for. Now the latest polls Rmney is still in the hunt.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 31st, 2012
2:51 pm
Only been in the area once, but I recommend The Sea Witch restaurant in Peabody Mass.
GT
October 31st, 2012
2:52 pm
The waiter (she waiter I gather) is too stupid to know why to vote for Romney, so she votes for Obama, now that is rich. You think the only reason this woman votes is because the guy is cute, only in the south could you say that out loud and not feel stupid yourself.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
2:52 pm
Seafood trumps election polls ten times out of ten. ”
If so, BBQ trumps election polls 11 times out of 10.
Mick
October 31st, 2012
2:52 pm
brosephus
Come on down – nothing beats the seafood at joe’s stone crabs!!!
Erwin's cat
October 31st, 2012
2:53 pm
If you’re ever in Philly..check out Alma de Cuba it’s a Steven Starrs restaurant and the vaca frita (skirt steak) is like nothing you have ever experienced. They transform it into the most amazing thing.
Tundra Dude
October 31st, 2012
2:53 pm
So when did this turn into John Kessler’s restaurant blog?
Seafood trumps election polls ten times out of ten
Ditto!!
It’s crableg buffet at the casino tonite….the jerks won’t take food stamps, tho.
Jay
October 31st, 2012
2:53 pm
OK, I must have been wrong. The performance artist known as Dick Morris now predicts a Romney landslide, with the GOP nominee perhaps even capturing Democratic strongholds such as Oregon and New Jersey. The GOP will also hold a 53-47 advantage in the Senate.
I did not know that it was possible to suck a person’s brain out through his toes.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
2:55 pm
Tybee Island crab shack used to be awesome before it became a tourist trap
DwayneL
October 31st, 2012
2:55 pm
Keep on believing that commie!!! The momentum clearly favors Romney and obama is toast!!!! God Bless America!
UNCLE SAMANTHA
October 31st, 2012
2:56 pm
Jay
October 31st, 2012
2:53 pm
OK, I must have been wrong. The performance artist known as Dick Morris now predicts a Romney landslide, with the GOP nominee perhaps even capturing Democratic strongholds such as Oregon and New Jersey. The GOP will also hold a 53-47 advantage in the Senate.
=======================================================================
the same Dick Morris who said McCain would win in a landslide…………. he has his customer base he must keep buying his books and newsletters
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
2:56 pm
I did not know that it was possible to suck a person’s brain out through his toes.
That’s gotta be one of the funniest one-liners for the week!!!!!
guy
October 31st, 2012
2:56 pm
jsmith said it all.This is a terribly divided nation and it is a serious matter. Someone will get hurt before it’s over and our give away government programs have caused a lot of it.That same government can and will take it all back when the time is right. Fools,nothing is free!!!!
Mick
October 31st, 2012
2:56 pm
Lest I forget; if you are ever in the florida keys, there’s a nice gourmet seafood hideaway called Mile Marker 88 located at – mile marker 88…
Jm
October 31st, 2012
2:57 pm
There’s a secret seafood place under a bridge in Savannah
Awesome place. I decline to reveal the name….
john adam
October 31st, 2012
3:00 pm
was this article written by a human adult? “rasmussen polling data make Obama the favorite”. then this idiot goes on to cite rasmussen showing romney in the lead or tied with obama in all the swing states. not sure if this choad knows what is going on but if obama doesnt pull his head out of his anatomy, he is going to lose….may be time to do something.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
3:00 pm
Dick Morris has hollow toes?
I’ve heard weirder things I suppose
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:01 pm
Jay — ” The performance artist known as Dick Morris now predicts a Romney landslide, with the GOP nominee perhaps even capturing Democratic strongholds such as Oregon and New Jersey.”
That UnskewedPolls nitwit has Romney taking Oregon now, too. Don’t recall if he had Noo Joisey in Romney’s column, tho.
godless heathen
October 31st, 2012
3:01 pm
Barack’s the best
October 31st, 2012
2:01 pm
I asked a friend the other night who he’d be voting for. His response: “I left South Africa for one reason [blacks] and there’s no way in hell I’d vote for the African.” I’m not kidding. To which I responded: “If we were to look at the past 4 years with some degree of objectivity, you’d actually see that he [the African] has done a pretty good job.” His response: “Don’t care what he has done or not done; he’s black.”
There ya have it, folks. Welcome to the South.
Your friend related to the Whole Foods Lady and the gas station attendant?
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 31st, 2012
3:01 pm
Mick
I had an wonderful piece of grilled Mahi Mahi at Lafitte’s New Orleans Food at the Hilton Melbourne. Prepared simply with just salt and pepper
Granny Godzilla - Union Thugette
October 31st, 2012
3:03 pm
New seafood joint in Dacula….The Fish House on R. 324
Gulf Coast family …..
Service is kind of sketchy, but food is great.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
3:03 pm
What’s the consensus on Sprayberry’s?
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
3:03 pm
Your friend related to the Whole Foods Lady and the gas station attendant?
I think they’re all related.
Jay
October 31st, 2012
3:05 pm
Your friend related to the Whole Foods Lady and the gas station attendant?
It’s also grossly unfair to cite someone from South Africa as emblematic of the American South.
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:05 pm
Jm — “What’s the consensus on Sprayberry’s?”
I wasn’t impressed. But given the word of mouth that place gets, it must have just been me.
Jm
October 31st, 2012
3:07 pm
“There ya have it, folks. Welcome to the South.”
Not The South. You mean South Africa of course since that dbag wasn’t raised here.
Granny Godzilla - Union Thugette
October 31st, 2012
3:07 pm
Sprayberrys….mostly hype, but it doesn’t suck.
Lord Help Us
October 31st, 2012
3:08 pm
‘“What’s the consensus on Sprayberry’s?”’
BBQ is not meant to be ‘chipped’. When I see this on the menu, I leave.
But, I am a pompous BBQ diva…
Stevie Ray..Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right..here I am...
October 31st, 2012
3:08 pm
JAY
I’m not sure who is “attacking” Silver’s approach as much as questioning how a guy scores well one time is now the gold standard…there are shortcomings to all polls…the problem with Silver’s is that he has only experience in a single election year and nobody has seen (as far as I know) his proprietary formula…picking the 2008 outcomes were awesome but the vast majority of states had BO up 2.5% or more..if it supported Romney, you on this forum would attack it despite a lack of understanding as well..
…anyone can cherry pick polls to support wishful/hopeful thinking but they are all flawed in some way shape or form..
None of them can predict turnout…so all we can say is best guess now is that its gonna be close and none of us should take predictions seriously as they have been seriously wrong at times..
Aquagirl
October 31st, 2012
3:09 pm
I wish I could remember the name of the best seafood places I’ve been. But they’re little shacks by the water in places like Gulfport and Connecticut and are now probably 20 miles out at sea.
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:10 pm
Stevie Ray
Plus he is in the liberal NY Times that never runs anything negative about Obama and would not have hired Silver if he had projections that didn’t favor Obama.
Oscar
October 31st, 2012
3:10 pm
I am working out my prediction now. will get back to you with it next Wednesday.
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:11 pm
Aquagirl
October 31st, 2012
2:29 pm
Wow, what a bitter bitter soul. I thought I was cynical…
Fred, are you really under the impression an older guy trying to engage a young waitress in political discussion is not usually a dicey situation for the young woman?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Nope. Not with me. People talk to me. If you knew me you would know that. Oh every once in a while you run into some chick with too high of an opinion of herself, like that ditz at The Grove, but she’s old lol, but most waitresses and waiters talk to ME. Ask Brocephus lol, he’s seen an example. I mean I’m so harmless that they KNOW I’m not trying to pick them up. Same with waiters. I’d be a good bartender, folks like to talk to me and tell me stuff……….
Jm
October 31st, 2012
3:11 pm
JHM
Yeah, I kinda felt the same way
Still, BBQ is BBQ
To misquote a sign at my favorite pizza spot downtown
“BBQ is like sex. Even when it’s bad, it’s good.”
Stevie Ray..Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right..here I am...
October 31st, 2012
3:12 pm
If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count? I heard the line was two hours long today at local early voting site…
I’ve heard all that emotional blather about if you don’t vote you don’t count but that has never resonated with me..
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:13 pm
Never been to Sprayberry’s……..
Fox Bros in L5P
Community Q in Decatur
Sallow in the Hallow in Roswell
All pretty good……..
Oscar
October 31st, 2012
3:13 pm
For Bar-B-Que it’s the Hickory House.
barking frog
October 31st, 2012
3:14 pm
prognosticators and prevaricators
have a lot in common.
Stevie Ray..Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right..here I am...
October 31st, 2012
3:14 pm
BOTH SUCK
Agreed but me and my propeller head circles think this guy is a rock star…his work in politics is too green to bank on…
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:15 pm
Fresh Air down in Jackson, GA is good as well, but haven’t been in a few years
St Simons
October 31st, 2012
3:15 pm
Shrimp n Grits – food o the gods dude – that and 2 nekkid dogs running,
two onion rangs, and a FO
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:15 pm
Jay
October 31st, 2012
2:46 pm
So when did this turn into John Kessler’s restaurant blog?
+++++++++++++++++++
It didn’t. Kessler is an asshat with a poison pen. You are an
asshatREALLY COOL DUDE with a magic pen, there is no comparison. You are welcome to come watch college football or eat with us too. Hell since they’ve been shoving Penn State down our throats every week there will even be a JV game for you to watch.Jm
October 31st, 2012
3:15 pm
TBS yes all good
Tho I did have one bad experience at Fox
Don’t know what the did, but the slow cooked it I guess to the point that it turned to just mush
First awful BBQ I’d had in a long time
All other fox trips- great
Oscar
October 31st, 2012
3:16 pm
Stevie Ray
__
Your vote only counts if your candidate wins by one vote. Happens sometimes in small towns.
One year a candidate for mayor last by one vote. Turns out he had neglected to vote himself.
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
3:16 pm
Fred ™
Nope. Not with me. People talk to me. If you knew me you would know that. Oh every once in a while you run into some chick with too high of an opinion of herself, like that ditz at The Grove, but she’s old lol, but most waitresses and waiters talk to ME. Ask Brocephus lol, he’s seen an example. I mean I’m so harmless that they KNOW I’m not trying to pick them up. Same with waiters. I’d be a good bartender, folks like to talk to me and tell me stuff……….
I am Brosephus™, and I approve this message.
Mark in mid-town
October 31st, 2012
3:17 pm
Plus he is in the liberal NY Times that never runs anything negative about Obama and would not have hired Silver if he had projections that didn’t favor Obama.
——————————————————
This is such a demonstrably true statement that it’s amazing there are people who don’t understand that. Nate Silver can use numbers to razzle and dazzle with the best of them, but just as Jay Bookman knows his own ability to stay employed in the shrinking news media is dependent on him being an Obama/Democratic Party hack, Nate Silver knows very well that the NYTimes would have zero interest in his being on their payroll if he was going to present data that goes against the narrative that Obama is a clear favorite and that Romney is a long-shot.
Stevie Ray..Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right..here I am...
October 31st, 2012
3:17 pm
Unless it is not prepared by someone who makes a career out of it, I generally can find something I like about any BBQ…seems there are great places for Carolina (vinegar based) Q, Kansas City/Memphis (ketchup based) and the like….
I’m never picky about slowly cooked pork or beef that bakes in its own fat…what could be wrong with it?
Erwin's cat
October 31st, 2012
3:17 pm
On a side note. I will be in southern Mexico next week and will monitor the election results on MX TV…should be interesting.
What happens if they can’t get the power on and schools open as polling places in the NE.; I can’t believe they will make the progress they need by then
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:18 pm
Stevie
You do know I was just messing with you because that is what you seem to post when you bring up Silver.
You could be 100% correct. I have no idea if his methods are grounded in good statistics and analysis or it is biased.
I just like to mess with you because Silver seems to get under your skin or at least those who bring him up.
Silver’s analysis mean nothing to me, whether they are on the mark or not.
Oscar
October 31st, 2012
3:18 pm
Your one vote makes the number larger and helps with moral victories.
And makes you feel good to do it.
Sets a good example.
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
3:18 pm
If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count?
If a 3rd Party candidate gets 5% of the popular vote, then that party can run for offices in future elections. As long as people continue to support the 2-party system, states like Georgia can continue to stymie the competition.
Punxsutawney Phil
October 31st, 2012
3:19 pm
My prediction: people will argue on November 7th.
H. E. Pennypacker
October 31st, 2012
3:19 pm
Nate Silver and other forecasters are not saying that Obama is going to win next week, but simply that the odds are in his favor.
Conservatives should look at the bright side, his current .226 chance of a Romney victory is far greater than the likelihood of Dan Uggla getting a hit in his average Atlanta Brave at bat.
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:20 pm
TBS — “Plus he is in the liberal NY Times that never runs anything negative about Obama and would not have hired Silver if he had projections that didn’t favor Obama.”
I feel obliged to point out once again that Nate Silver does not actually *conduct* any polling of his own. He analyzes and aggregates results from many of the major (and some of the minor) pollsters out there. Quite frankly, if Romney was showing a strong lead in the polls, Silver’s results would be showing that, too.
Elementary poll analysis is easy to do at home. Take a sheet of graph paper and mark a horizontal X axis on it (that will represent dates). Mark a vertical Y axis above and below it, with percentages; 1%, 2%, 3% and so on. Above the X axis is one candidate and below it is the other guy. Marks on Obama’s side of the X axis will represent polls in which he leads and marks on Romney’s side will represent polls in which Romney is leading.
Each day, mark the day’s various poll results. If RCP shows Romney up by 3 nationally, then find the date on your X axis and put a mark 3 units into Romney’s side of the graph. If Obama’s up by 3, then find the date and put a mark 3 units into his territory. You can use different colored pens to help distinguish each poll.
Do this for several different polls each day. Watch the results over time. What starts out as broadly-fanned-out results will get more and more tightly clustered as Election Day approaches. See if your final day’s polling results aren’t all within 2-3 points of where the actual vote winds up.
Of course, if you’ve got the computer skills, you can do your analysis that way, too.
Brosephus™
October 31st, 2012
3:21 pm
EC
Be safe down there. If you’re close to the Southern border there, things can get just as dicey as with our own Southern border.
Don Abernethy
October 31st, 2012
3:21 pm
They are correct. He is the favorite ……….to LOSE.
Stevie Ray..Clowns to the left and Jokers to the right..here I am...
October 31st, 2012
3:21 pm
FRED
Why not hit on them…at least jokingly…we all know at our core level, we (men) are seed spreaders..
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:22 pm
SSI — “Shrimp n Grits – food o the gods dude”
Oh, man. I could eat a meal of S&G every day for the rest of my life.
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:22 pm
“Tho I did have one bad experience at Fox”
I have also had one bad experience but they rectified it on the spot. Ordered a pulled pork sandwich one time and it had few pieces with way too much fat on it. They didn’t pay for my beers, but they did bring me another sandwich and comp the meal. I just asked for another sandwich, but they went the extra mile and that is why I am still a patron.
Tundra Dude
October 31st, 2012
3:22 pm
Barack’s the best:
I asked a friend the other night who he’d be voting for. His response: “I left South Africa for one reason [blacks] and there’s no way in hell I’d vote for the African.”
Imo, this is totally bogus. If he was a “friend”, you’d most likely know who he was voting for.
Very odd, he has to explain why he left SA……..sounds like you just met a stranger.
Welcome to the South….??? What if you’d have met him in Maine…??
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:22 pm
EC
Have a great and safe trip.
Peadawg
October 31st, 2012
3:23 pm
“we (men) are seed spreaders”
Speak for yourself. I don’t want any bratty kids runnin’ around.
josef
October 31st, 2012
3:24 pm
How long, oh L-rd! Jeeze…it’s fr*kken Hallowe’en…get a grip and let it go for a minute…I’m so d*mned tired of these up to the last f*rt polls…I DON’T GIVE A SH*T…
Otherwise a cheer good evening to one and all…
ad
October 31st, 2012
3:25 pm
This so reminds me of a college recruiting blog.
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:25 pm
JHM
I was just joking about Silver. I have no idea how credible he is or isn’t.
My post was just me messing with Stevie Ray. On several occasions when Silver has been brought up, he goes off on a rant about the liberal NY Times and how they wouldn’t higher Silver if his projections were not going to favor Obama.
I was just obliging him or patronizing him depending on one’s point of view.
Erwin's cat
October 31st, 2012
3:26 pm
Thanks Bro – State dept says it’s “okay”, to be frank, I was more comfortable going to Istanbul
I’m actually decently far from the border..about 100mi N of Mexico City
Erwin's cat
October 31st, 2012
3:27 pm
Thanks Both
Aquagirl
October 31st, 2012
3:27 pm
Nope. Not with me.
Fred, that’s my point. Your interaction with strangers is usually good, and it sounds like you’ve never had an encounter where you actually feared for your physical safety. My interactions with strangers are usually the same, but if you’re a woman you’re simply more likely to encounter frightening nutbags and predators, or simply unwanted attention. It’s not our imagination, there’s good reason for women to be more on guard.
Decent men think women are paranoid because they’re not doing anything aggressive and women back up or get defensive when you’re just being friendly and normal. However creepy nutbags don’t wear signs or announce their presence. They’ll be perfectly nice and not set off any alarms…until they do.
Like I said, it’s just life and for women it’s kind of background noise. Men are usually mystified when you try to explain this to them. It’s not normal at all for them.
godless heathen
October 31st, 2012
3:28 pm
If Georgia is sure to go GOP, how exactly does my vote count? I heard the line was two hours long today at local early voting site…
I keep reading about 2 hour waits at early voting sites. I thought the reason to vote early was to avoid the long waits on election day. I’ve never had to stand in line 2 hours to vote on election day. This year is going to be great because lots of peeps are going to have already voted before election day.
I look forward to voting on election day, whether or not my vote “counts”. It is one of my responsibilities as a citizen, like paying taxes and griping about it.
And no matter how the election comes out, I won’t be distraught or overly gleeful. I’ll just get up the next day and keep on making a living and being happy to live in the greatest country on earth.
deegee
October 31st, 2012
3:28 pm
I am pretty sick of this election but I had a moment of zen yesterday when I saw Chris Christie swearing at the talking heads on Fox and Friends. Chris Christie is the October surprise that Fox News tried so hard to gin up over Libya.
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:28 pm
P-Dawg — “Speak for yourself. I don’t want any bratty kids runnin’ around.”
Agreed. Germs in feety jammies.
Regnad Kcin
October 31st, 2012
3:29 pm
“Nate Silver knows very well that the NYTimes would have zero interest in his being on their payroll if he was going to present data that goes against the narrative that Obama is a clear favorite and that Romney is a long-shot.”
I guess the conservative rags don’t pay well?
They BOTH suck
October 31st, 2012
3:30 pm
I voted two weeks ago. The line was very short. Total time to wait in line, check in and vote: 20 minutes.
Of course I will be voting tomorrow and at least 3 times next Tuesday, so that might be another story.
Jack
October 31st, 2012
3:30 pm
Bookman doesn’t want to hear it, but his man did listen to another man for 20 years who is a Marxist and hates America.
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:30 pm
StSimons: I made some AWESOME shrimp and grits for my wife last week. Well at least she said they were the best she ever had………. it was my first time making them too.
Stevie Ray: I don’t know. I’m a horndog like any other man, but I don’t hit on women and they seem to sense that. I talk to everyone the same way, men, women, kids, dogs……….. LOL In a strip club, I’m the guy the dancers come talk to when they need a break from role playing. And I only go to those places when someone else is paying and just has to go to one. I don’t see the point in them………. Also I’m married and don’t screw around.
DebbieDoRight - A Do Right Woman
October 31st, 2012
3:31 pm
Debbie’s playback of today’s blog topic of : Rasmussen Polling…..Obama….Favorite:
Righties — They’re LIEING!!! Those polls are liberal leaning and bias!!! Why redstate.com has Obama behind at 40,000 electoral votes!!!
Lefties — Factually speaking, there’s very little chance Romney can win………….
Righties — Besides Obama sux, didn’t answer ANY questions about ANYTHING the whole 4 years he was in office. Quadrupled the debt, spits on the flag and wipes his butt with the Constitutuion.
Lefties — Umm But the facts say…………
Righties — DAMN the facts!!! Mitt Romney, even though he’s a lying scum, is 100% better than OBlunder!!! He’s an A-RAB; and a Commie AND he hates white people, and the american way!
Lefties — (Whispering) Can someone call security?
Righties — AND when Mitt romney, the incredible plastic man, wins this election you libs will look like a bunch of ignorant freaks!!
Lefties — Dude — Just Say NO to drugs.
weetamoe
October 31st, 2012
3:31 pm
Why are you guys so defensive about Benghazi that you try to neutralize any comments by mocking and diminishing its importance? Hey it’s not TEA party people but Seals themselves who posted this charge: Obama called the Seals and they got bin Laden but when the Seals called Obama they got denied. This military disrespect of their CiC is unprecedented, nicht wahr?
Joe Hussein Mama
October 31st, 2012
3:32 pm
R. Kcin — “I guess the conservative rags don’t pay well?”
About a year or so ago, Michelle Malkin bellyached in her blog about money troubles, and I got the distinct impression that she wasn’t just complaining about her website. Seemed to me she was going through a bit of a rough patch financially.
Guess there wasn’t as much call for professional conservative complainers as we thought during the Obama administration.
ad
October 31st, 2012
3:33 pm
I suspect Romney’s people have been on the phone calling Christie begging him to slam Obama, re-endorse Romney, or both. Maybe Christie wants to be the GOP nominee in ‘16, or maybe he just cares about his state and is glad to have Obama’s support and the Feds working with NJ to get things cleaned up.
alex
October 31st, 2012
3:34 pm
@ fred, very impressive, your family must be proud , now go back to your hovel
@ad, that bad ,huh. My son is a junior in HS and yes the glossies sre nauseating
@ Jay’one word: boring…time to put on the Obama mask……..
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:35 pm
Jack
October 31st, 2012
3:30 pm
Bookman doesn’t want to hear it, but his man did listen to another man for 20 years who is a Marxist and hates America.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++
So, as an opinion poll. How DO you respond to a completely lunatic post such as this? There isn’t a grain of anything approaching logic or any opening for a discussion. And quite frankly it makes the poster appear to be severely lacking in mental abilities. So what’s the best way to respond?
DebbieDoRight - A Do Right Woman
October 31st, 2012
3:35 pm
Of course I will be voting tomorrow and at least 3 times next Tuesday, so that might be another story.
To paraphrase Jam — If you show up at Whole Foods with your EBT Card, wearing Prada and driving a Mercedes; all you have to do is tell them that you’re dead and they’ll give you TEN Ballots for voting!!
AND as a bonus if you show up to TWO Whole Foods stores, (and can prove it); saying you’re dead, they’ll give you the mail of every registered Repub in your county so that you can go down to vote using their name and address!
Aquagirl
October 31st, 2012
3:36 pm
About a year or so ago, Michelle Malkin bellyached in her blog about money troubles
I wish I had known that, I’d have started a campaign for a mass mailing of bootstraps.
Regnad Kcin
October 31st, 2012
3:36 pm
I think Christie’s trying, in his own way, to look “presidential” and above-the-fray in a time of crisis. I think it’s working.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 31st, 2012
3:36 pm
BBQ?
Abdullah The Butcher’s House of Ribs and Chinese Food in East Point.
Get the ribs or the rib tips.
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:37 pm
weetamoe
October 31st, 2012
3:31 pm
Why are you guys so defensive about Benghazi that you try to neutralize any comments by mocking and diminishing its importance? Hey it’s not TEA party people but Seals themselves who posted this charge: Obama called the Seals and they got bin Laden but when the Seals called Obama they got denied. This military disrespect of their CiC is unprecedented, nicht wahr?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Are you a liar or just stupid? The SEALS didn’t call the President. If you posted something even remotely resembling the truth then maybe someone other than brain dead Rushbots would be concerned. Unfortunately you don’t so we’re not.
Fred ™
October 31st, 2012
3:38 pm
alex
October 31st, 2012
3:34 pm
@ fred, very impressive, your family must be proud , now go back to your hovel
++++++++++++++++
And what are you whining about now? I know you made sense in YOUR mind but for those of us NOT tripping maybe you can elucidate.