1:48 pm October 17, 2012, by Jay
Obama supporters buoyed by last night’s debate performance just got a glass of cold water in the face in the form of the latest Gallup numbers among likely voters:
Romney: 51 percent
Obama: 45 percent
That’s a considerably better number for Romney than reported by the Rasmussen tracking poll, which puts the race at Romney 49, Obama 48, well within the margin of error. Other national polls also report a tight race, with advantages for either candidate of two or three points at best.
Obama continues to hold an advantage in state-by-state polling, giving him a lead in the all-important electoral college. That explains in part why Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight continues to give him a 64.8 percent change of winning re-election. However, that advantage continues to erode as well.
The effects, if any, of last night’s showing haven’t manifested themselves yet, and won’t until the end of the week at the earliest. The final debate is Monday.
But with Election Day only three weeks from yesterday, it is anybody’s race.
– Jay Bookman
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721 comments Add your comment
DownInAlbany
October 17th, 2012
9:43 pm
NoBodiesbetterhalf
October 17th, 2012
8:59 pm
O’bama has a wonderfull record (1.) 23 million unemployed ( 2.) 47 million on food stamps(3). 5.5 million homes in foreclosure ( 4.) $4500 drop in household income.( 5)5.5 Trillion in new debt. (6) $716 billion in medicare cuts. (7)2.6 trillion for O,bamacare “would not cost us another penny”.(8)1.9 trillion in new taxes in HIS new budget, 100% increase in gas prices. Bush caused all this, give him another 4 years. “GOD help us”. I’m gonna vote for him because he’s a “brother”. I’m gonna vote for him because he’s so nice looking, I’m gonna vote for him because he has the most beautiful wife and kids, I’m gonna vote for him because he can make a great speech. Never mind all those statistics. They’re all lies anyway.
This, sir, sums it up unlike anything I’ve ever read or heard.
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
9:43 pm
Recon 0311 2533
October 17th, 2012
9:34 pm
Jay is conceding the very real possibility of an Obama defeat.
But but but at least one of them is saying that its becoming even more obvious that Romney is going to lose. The new 51-45 numbers that Jay posted somehow or another validates his argument- in liberal fantasyland it does anyway.
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
9:47 pm
“Romney busts out a six point lead”- the real world according to Jay
“Its becoming more and more clear Romney is going to lose”- kook liberal fantasyland.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
9:50 pm
I think you cons already accept the fact that our President will win another term.
Our country can’t take another gop disaster now so you might have a chance when our country is in better shape.
It is a huge risk to give power to the gop because of their horrible record on governing.
Furia
October 17th, 2012
9:51 pm
And yet another…..Romney in a Landslide!!!!
Divide and Conquer
October 17th, 2012
9:51 pm
Oh goodie. If Romney wins, the righties will think they have some sort of “mandate”. *Sigh*
Furia
October 17th, 2012
9:54 pm
Romney will right this ship! No thanks to Bush and Obama! Moderates rule.
Recon 0311 2533
October 17th, 2012
9:54 pm
Doomy,
The libs as you well know live in a LaLa land conditioned by the propaganda they soak up daily. The irony is that many are intelligent potentially free thinking people who’re just addicted to meaningless political causes. Of course the majority are just extremely stupid people who”re easily led by the nose.
TaxPayer
October 17th, 2012
9:55 pm
Tell me again how many US jobs were created by this Republican-backed farce.
Mark T
October 17th, 2012
9:55 pm
Pass the cheesy grits
Nope, youre wrong
Three things are apparent from President Obama’s annual financial disclosure statement, released today:
He is a wealthy man, with assets of as much as $10 million.
He has a hefty stake in JPMorgan Chase, the megabank that just made a bad $2 billion bet. Obama has an account worth between $500,000 and $1 million.
Despite the nation’s $15.6 trillion debt, he is a believer in government paper. More than half of his assets are in Treasury bills and notes.
The disclosure statement lists assets and liabilities in dollar ranges, so pinpointing the president’s net worth is difficult. His assets appear to tally between $2.6 million and $9.9 million. He holds a mortgage on his Chicago home of $500,000 to $1 million.
As was clear from Obama’s income tax filing, much of his income continues to roll in from book royalties. The disclosure form lists $100,000 to $1 million in royalties from Dreams From My Father, $100,000 to $1 million from Of Thee I Sing: A Letter to My Daughters, and $50,000 to $100,000 from The Audacity of Hope.
TaxPayer
October 17th, 2012
9:57 pm
This, sir, sums it up unlike anything I’ve ever read or heard.
That’s what lies do–read like nothing you’ve ever read before.
NoBodyyouknow
October 17th, 2012
9:57 pm
DowninAlbany. THANKS, The truth always hurts the DEMS.
independent thinker
October 17th, 2012
9:58 pm
Romney told a whopper last night about his investments being in a blind trust and that he was not one of the pioneers of outsourcing. Going after Obama for what investments are in his pension was totally lame like a 2 year old caught with their hand in a cookie jar. But the sheep will believe anything.
“”"”"”"”"”"”"”"But is the Governor really to blame? After all, he hasn’t run Bain Capital for years. The answer depends on which Romney you believe, Mitt Beta or Version 2.0.??At last night’s town hall debate, President Obama was quick to bring up the Governor’s overseas investments and his former firm’s outsourcing trigger finger. According to the New York Times fact-checker, the Big O wasn’t lying. Romney does indeed have millions invested in various funds managed by Bain Capitol. Eight of those millions funded the equity firm’s purchase of 51% of Sensata’s shares. Now Bain is using its majority shareholder power to cut production costs by shipping Sensata’s manufacturing to China.But Mittens has continuously denied having any agency over how Bain spends his invested dollars since they’re all managed by a blind trust. “”"”"”"”"”"”"
http://blogs.seattleweekly.com/dailyweekly/2012/10/romney_contradicts_romney_on_blind_trusts.p”
“”"”"”"”"”"”Never mind that Mitt Romney has an estimated net worth as high as $250 million, or that some of it has been invested in offshore accounts of a sort never held by any previous presidential contender. He assures us that his assets are held in a “blind trust” over which he exerts no control.
But just how blind are such trusts, anyway? In Romney’s case, apparently not quite blinkered enough to keep his trustee—who is also his personal lawyer and longtime friend Bradford Malt—from investing more than $10 million of Romney’s money in an investment fund managed by Romney’s son Tagg.
In 1994, when he was running for the Senate against Ted Kennedy, Romney attacked Kennedy for disclaiming any responsibility for his investments, declaring at one point: “The blind trust is an age-old ruse.” He takes a different tack today, but even his own spokeswoman, Andrea Saul, has acknowledged that if he’s elected, he’ll move his wealth into a new, stricter blind trust, governed by federal rules.”"”"”"”"”"”"”"”"”"”
http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/purdum/2012/07/mitt-romney-age-old-ruse-blind-trust
Nothing like having a president who is a pathological liar and who will continue profiting off of outsourcing.
Furia
October 17th, 2012
9:58 pm
Romney will unite Dems and Repubs. Thank goodness there is an adult in the room.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 17th, 2012
10:00 pm
Splinters from pressure treated wood hurt.
The truth?
Nah — not so much.
JamVet
October 17th, 2012
10:00 pm
Del, didn’t you go away once?
(We’re hard to quit, ain’t we?)
LOL.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tFCbgW8VqiA&feature=related
Furia
October 17th, 2012
10:02 pm
LAAAAAANDSLIDDDDDEEEE FOR THE ROMNEY…FINALLY THERE WILL BE SOMEONE WHO WILL UNITE INSTEAD OF DIVIDE. YOU SHOULD ALL BE ASHAMED OF YOURSELVES.
Boy oh boy
October 17th, 2012
10:02 pm
Recon 0311
Nice statement. I bet your God would be proud of you at this moment.
Aser706
October 17th, 2012
10:05 pm
Getalife:
Dem control is to blame for all of govt failures and corruption for the last 20 years.
Recon 0311 2533
October 17th, 2012
10:05 pm
JamVet, Never quit never say die. Pain is only weakness leaving the body. Actually, I wish I could still believe that because I managed to somehow wrench my back out over this past weekend and now talk about pain.
DownInAlbany
October 17th, 2012
10:06 pm
TaxPayer
Which ones would you claim to be lies? I’d like to hear your factchecks on the paragraph.
In my opinion, this is an exact representation that we’ve suffered through for the last 4 years. Prove him wrong…
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 17th, 2012
10:08 pm
The voters to Mitt “Money Boo Boo” Romney:
Listen kid you paid for the call
You ain’t bad but I’ve heard it all before
Don’t call us, we’ll call you
Don’t call us
Don’t call us, we’ll call you
Furia
October 17th, 2012
10:11 pm
Go Mitt.
Furia
October 17th, 2012
10:12 pm
Romney is the MAN.
kimo sabi mo
October 17th, 2012
10:13 pm
OMG = “Obama Must Go”
Jm
October 17th, 2012
10:15 pm
Obama is the political version of Fahreed Zakaria
A faux intellectual with a great education pedigree, but just thinks he’s smarter than he is
And is arrogant and obnoxious
Drive by
OedipusTax
October 17th, 2012
10:17 pm
Obama promised in February of 2009 that if he did not halve the deficit that he would serve “a one term proposition.” 5.7 trillion dollars later, he has no ideas other than to spend more money, claim “fairness” much like a spoiled child, and spend our childrens’ money until they have no future. Worst President in the history of the United States. Makes Carter look like Abraham Lincoln.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:20 pm
Just use one name jm.
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 17th, 2012
10:21 pm
Obama promised in February of 2009 that if he did not halve the deficit that he would serve “a one term proposition.”
When you have to lie to make a point, you really have no point.
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:24 pm
“It’s hard to imagine a more stupid or more dangerous way of making decisions than by putting those decisions in the hands of people who pay no price for being wrong.” Thomas Sowell
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 17th, 2012
10:26 pm
“I loves me my life-sized Ayn Rand blow-up doll. I only wish that I had a lifetime supply.”
– Thomas Sowell
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:26 pm
Jm @ 10:15
“I think this man (Obama) really does believe he can change the world, and people like that are infinitely more dangerous than mere crooked politicians.” Thomas Sowell
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:26 pm
There is a good reporter on CNN in Libya. She said eyewitnesses said they heard the group coming and chanting then attacked for over an hour and left. aq did not claim responsibility so that leaves me to believe it was an armed militia upset about the movie. Our President covered all bases in his transcripts.
Midori
October 17th, 2012
10:27 pm
I see the resident cons are still in panic mode.
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:27 pm
Oh no ! Kammie has been reading my posts !
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
10:28 pm
Scout,
True. But libs will never understand that.
yuzeyurbrane
October 17th, 2012
10:28 pm
Gallup may be right at the point in time they took the poll. But I am skeptical it will stay unchanged. This has always pointed to being a very close election, as we will all see on Election Day. In the meantime, a rigorous honest debate is what democracy is all about.
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:30 pm
Thulsa:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SazBzvQ0ZAM&feature=related
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
10:30 pm
Scout,
Careful there. He may develop an unhealthy obsession with you and back it up will kamspam fictitious quotes. Oops. Its happened already. You’ve been pelted with kamspam!
Kamchak ~ Thug from the Steppes
October 17th, 2012
10:31 pm
Hiya, Midori!
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:31 pm
Hi Midori
We got del back.
Same ole same ole.
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:34 pm
Thulsa:
Jay even came out of his hole after me today after I really nailed him on one.
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
10:37 pm
I missed most of the day. What did you nail him on?
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:41 pm
“CAIRO — Libyan authorities have singled out Ahmed Abu Khattala, a leader of the Benghazi-based Islamist group Ansar al-Sharia, as a commander in the attack that killed the American ambassador to Libya, J. Christopher Stevens, last month, Libyans involved in the investigation said on Wednesday. ”
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/world/africa/us-singles-out-libyan-islamist-as-a-commander-in-consulate-attack-libyans-say.html?_r=2&
I was right again.
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
10:43 pm
“I see the resident cons are still in panic mode.”- liberal fantasyland
Yes. Of course. We always start panicking when Romney surges to a 6 pt lead in the Gallup poll for the first time.
Get Real
October 17th, 2012
10:46 pm
At least the race has gotten quite exciting over the last 4 weeks…..may be a long night on Nov 6th
LeRoi2
October 17th, 2012
10:47 pm
It’s the economy, and we are not stupid. Romney will win by 5% or more. Our 4 year national nightmare is coming to an end.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:48 pm
You got demolished in the last two debates and our economy is back on track.
Of course you are worried.
Get Real
October 17th, 2012
10:52 pm
Get-a-Brain……at least try and act like you have a partially functional brain….demolished in the last 2 debates….geez, what an infant
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:53 pm
get real,
You write like a brat.
Grow up son.
Midori
October 17th, 2012
10:54 pm
Hi Kammie
Hi Getalife
Getalife: we knew he was full of it and would be back. this page is like a moth to a flame to him
0311/8541/5811/1811/1801
October 17th, 2012
10:54 pm
Thulsa:
Here is his direct quote from a previous thread …………. unbelieveable :
“The premise of the entire debate is false, because the attack on our consulate in Benghazi was not an act of terror.”
He “crawfished” so bad it would have been funny except for the fact that four Americans were murdered by TERRORISTS !
Have fun with the few remaining libs. Have to get up early.
TAPS !
getalife
October 17th, 2012
10:58 pm
scout,
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/18/world/africa/us-singles-out-libyan-islamist-as-a-commander-in-consulate-attack-libyans-say.html?_r=2&
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
10:59 pm
Scout,
Yeah. I saw that. Unbelievable. The lengths they will go to to try and cover up this president’s incompetence. Been awhile since I’ve see him try and parse words and play the lib semantics tap dance that bad to spin a story.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
11:00 pm
It was not aq so the gop are wrong again.
Get Real
October 17th, 2012
11:00 pm
Get-a-brain…….mind boggling comments from the 24 x 7 blogger of another universe…..truly sad
getalife
October 17th, 2012
11:05 pm
get real,
Just the truth son.
Too bad you can’t handle it.
Aser706
October 17th, 2012
11:06 pm
Getalife:
Dominated in not getting it done, yes. Dominated in ignoring a housing bubble for the sake of votes, yes. Dominated in not making the call on any issue that they must own, yes. Dominated the lazy vote, yes.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
11:10 pm
acer,
Get what done?
Towncrier
October 17th, 2012
11:12 pm
“Let me suggest that you use the kamchak disclaimer when you say something that’s meant to be satire, sarcastic, or when you’re being facetious or just plain kidding. Since they often lack the ability to discern these forms of humor its best to put the disclaimer in there to let them know not to take a particular statement seriously.”
TD, that to me is like lighting an applause sign for an audience in a TV show. If people can’t discern satire, sarcasm, general levity and so on then I am afraid they shouldn’t be making arguments on a political blog – because they are doing nothing more than providing fuel for the satirist’s fire (I have played that role a few times and may again soon). They certainly aren’t making strong arguments.
yuzeyurbrane
October 17th, 2012
11:13 pm
Jay–are you sure you got Gallup numbers right? I clicked your link to Gallup and it clearly says 50 to 46 for Romney among likely voters. Your error makes a difference between a clear breakout for Romney something still within the margin of error.
Aser706
October 17th, 2012
11:19 pm
Getalife:
The past 4years.
Furia
October 17th, 2012
11:23 pm
Gallup seven day tracking Poll Romney 51 percent Obama 45
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/election-2012-likely-voters-trial-heat-obama-romney.aspx
Furia
October 17th, 2012
11:25 pm
Viva Romney!!
Thulsa Doom
October 17th, 2012
11:26 pm
“If people can’t discern satire, sarcasm, general levity and so on then I am afraid they shouldn’t be making arguments on a political blog”
Towncrier,
True. But if that became a prerequisite for making arguments on a political blog then our liberal audience would up and disappear.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
11:27 pm
acer,
Check your 401 k and thank the President.
getalife
October 17th, 2012
11:33 pm
There is nothing more laughable than a con pretending to be intelligent and intellectually honest.
Alan
October 17th, 2012
11:36 pm
President Romney. Get used to it.
Aser706
October 18th, 2012
12:27 am
Getalife:
Your argument is weak and now understandable. You are simply annoying.
getalife
October 18th, 2012
12:29 am
mitt will be gone soon.
Ken
October 18th, 2012
12:49 am
President Romney and VP Ryan. Get used to it.
Joey
October 18th, 2012
1:36 am
Obama is a used car salesman hack who has hoodwinked half of America into believing he cares about you.
So, was it 20 million dollars spent on personal Obama vacations in the last 4 years? Maybe it’s not Romney who is the evil top hat Monopoly guy after all?
Obama=disgusting elitist who couldn’t manage a magazine stand
Joey
October 18th, 2012
1:40 am
If all these death threats were made against Obamy by Conservatives, Eric Holder would sue everyone, and Al Sharpton and Spike Lee would be leading 24/7 marches in the streets.
But, threaten a GOP Presidential Candidate with death? No problem, it’s cool.
Bring your cameras to the polling stations to take pix of the New Black Panthers with clubs in their hands …..again.
Joey
October 18th, 2012
1:41 am
A common field mouse would make a better President than the Liberal Messiah we have now.
Joe The Plumber Too
October 18th, 2012
3:08 am
Joey, I saw a story about former Navy Seals getting together to go to polls where the punk boy black panthers might gather. I can see those sissy panthers running down the sidewalk when confronted by real men. Should be interesting, although I’m sure pansy punk eric holder will be foaming at the mouth to charge the Seals with hate crimes before he like barry and me-shell have to pack up and get out.
Jack
October 18th, 2012
5:36 am
Unlike Obama, read the entire health care program the Congress passed and see if you still want to be a small business owner.
Moon Mullins
October 18th, 2012
6:15 am
The Great American I. Q. Test is just around the corner. It has only one question: Will the American people vote for a candidate shrouded in mystery and secrecy who has, with his own voice and words and without any coersion or duress, stated to a group of his wealthy supporters that he was writing off 47% of the American people — that they didn’t matter?
This election could be the only time in my 71 years where the working class voted against their own self-interest — for a candidate who refuses to open up regarding his personal wealth, where he got the money to start Bain, how long he ran Bain, how much money he made while running Bain, why he has his money stashed in secret Swiss bank accounts and in Post Office Box banks in the Cayman Islands, how he’s going to accomplish what he says he going to do and why he keeps changing his mind about the key issues of the election?
And, lastly: Why did his wife say in an interview with a Nevada TV station on 9/28/12: “I think my biggest concern obviously would be for his (Mitt’s) mental well being.”
I think this election comes down to a message worn on a T-shirt by a man attending a Romney rally. The message on the T-shirt was: “Put the white back in the White House.”
And, so it goes. . . .
Normal Free...Pro Human Rights Thug...And liking it!
October 18th, 2012
6:19 am
Good mornin’ all y’all…This is my kind of debate…
http://cheezburger.com/43345665
Normal Free...Pro Human Rights Thug...And liking it!
October 18th, 2012
6:24 am
Yea! Music!!
http://cheezburger.com/43328257
GT
October 18th, 2012
6:41 am
This seems so much like the Bush campaign. The Supreme Court will be deciding a lot in the next four years.
Same 'ol, Same 'ol from the Dems -- do as I say, not as I do...
October 18th, 2012
6:54 am
At the second presidential debate on Tuesday night, a camera caught first lady Michelle Obama clapping after moderator Candy Crowley told Republican presidential candidate Gov. Mitt Romney that President Obama called the Benghazi attack an “act of terror” soon after the attack on the U.S. consulate.
According to the rules both campaigns agreed to, or the memorandum of understanding (MOA), there is to be no clapping from members of the debate audience.
The rule: Article 9, Section A, Subsection 7: “All members of the debate audience will be instructed by the moderator before the debate goes on the air and by the moderator after the debate goes on the air not to applaud, speak, or otherwise participate in the debate by any means other than by silent observation, except as provided by the agreed upon rules of the October 16 town hall debate.”
AU Liberal in ATL
October 18th, 2012
6:57 am
USMC is giving the USMC a very bad name. You really should either shut up or at least change that tag.
Jay
October 18th, 2012
7:03 am
“a camera caught first lady Michelle Obama clapping after moderator Candy Crowley told Republican presidential candidate Gov. Mitt Romney that President Obama called the Benghazi attack an “act of terror”
Ooooh! CLAPGATE!
Normal Free...Pro Human Rights Thug...And liking it!
October 18th, 2012
7:07 am
Ooooh! CLAPGATE!
Heh, In my day that was Olongapo City, Philippines
TaxPayer
October 18th, 2012
7:17 am
Clapgate! Jay’s trying to give the cons something of interest to talk about.
TaxPayer
October 18th, 2012
7:27 am
DownInAlbany
October 17th, 2012
10:06 pm
TaxPayer
Which ones would you claim to be lies? I’d like to hear your factchecks on the paragraph.
In my opinion, this is an exact representation that we’ve suffered through for the last 4 years. Prove him wrong…
Down,
I agree with the last two sentences per your 9:43 post,
“They’re all lies anyway.
This, sir, sums it up unlike anything I’ve ever read or heard.”
Why should I wish to prove that wrong when it is obviously correct.
Georgia
October 18th, 2012
7:37 am
I applaud clapgate. I am a little concerned about how Jay spent all day yesterday spinning semantical nuances over the word terrorism. Acts of War vs Terrorism. Pearl Harbor vs 911. Conspiracy to commit murder vs mob riot’s collateral damage. It is disconcerting that Obama claimed he called it terrorism when he knew that everyone’s eyes were wide open and it was easily checked. So, when he rehearsed with his handlers that very point, and they read the transcripts and realized that Obama used the word terrorism in a generic context, it exposes the very conversation they had about whether they could claim that Obama called it terrorism. “Do you think it’s such a close call that no one will notice until it’s too late and by then it’ll blow over and become just more forgetable noise?” “It’s close enough, we’ll be okay.” Didn’t Obama realize that Romney would be pouring over that same transcript? Obama didn’t even have to go there. He brought it up. Instead of saying “We got Bin Laden”, he goes after the still uncertain timeline about what the state dept knew and when they knew it.
It’s just upsetting, especially when it forced Jay to thrash around over the very same semantic ground. Are we all con men? Do we have to spin every single phrase? and where are all these full figured women coming from? They are ruining it for me. I want barbie dolls. sorry.
Doggone/GA
October 18th, 2012
7:39 am
“Ooooh! CLAPGATE!”
Well, I guess they’ll just have to destroy all the tapes from that debate and insist that Obama and Romney do it all over again. And they can tie the audience members hands to their chairs so they can’t possibly break such an important rule again.
TaxPayer
October 18th, 2012
7:43 am
Clapgate! Cons will insist on reviewing all the hidden camera footage.
stands for decibels
October 18th, 2012
7:49 am
Ooooh! CLAPGATE!
Can it be the next “BUTTHURT OVER BENGHAZI BECAUSE IT’S ALL ABOUT ME ME ME AND MY FEE-FEES?”-GATE?
stay tuned.
Thomas
October 18th, 2012
7:52 am
Ooooh! CLAPGATE!
versus picking on this comment:
“There is nothing more laughable than a con pretending to be intelligent and intellectually honest”
Really Bookie- now you may need to read the above comment from one of your 10 avid followers a few times to note that it makes no sense.
stands for decibels
October 18th, 2012
7:52 am
USMC is giving the USMC a very bad name.
the Corps survived Gomer Pyle. They’ll survive Gomer’s Piles.
They’ll adapt; they’ll overcome
TiredOfIt
October 18th, 2012
7:53 am
Romney: “I will create jobs as President, although government doesn’t create jobs”
Keep Up the Good Fight!
October 18th, 2012
7:54 am
Scandal of the day…. Clapgate! Stay tuned for the new shiny made up atrocity that means that the President should [chose one]
A. be impeached
B. be imprisoned
C. be deported to Kenya or
D. not be elected.
And watch Faux daily for more pout, more rage……
Keep Up the Good Fight!
October 18th, 2012
7:57 am
Hmmm…. words parsed “generic” context… “acts of terror”, words not parsed so much for true meaning “didn’t build that”.
Whereever are we going to put all the feinting couches needed for our cons.
stands for decibels
October 18th, 2012
7:57 am
Taxpayer-subsidized concussion-factory SHEETZ.
Paul
October 18th, 2012
7:57 am
“Clapgate! Jay’s trying to give the cons something of interest to talk about.”
They do like to focus on the momentous issues of the day, don’t they?
Jo
October 18th, 2012
8:06 am
Take a breath! The Gallup poll was taken before the second presidential debate. Secondly, Gallup, like Rasmussen, is very Republican slanted and third I think everyone knows or should know by now that polling organizations are retained ensure that TV ad buys are strong. It’s kind of part of their mandate. It’s in their interest to ensure there’s a close race in order that more TV ads are purchased. In fact, there was a complaint made in 2008 that TV ad buys were down. It’s no surprise that polling organizations made sure there’d be a turnaround and more of a tight race this time around.
Nobody should vote based on polls to begin with and neither candidate is telling the American people their plans for the future. I’m leaning Obama simply because the Republicans have a history of leaving one half of the American population out in the cold. If you’re not a Christian white man, there’s only a token place for you in their party. Don’t they realize that leaving women behind is a huge impediment to the growth of the economy? One half of the population is women and women are a vital part of the economy growing. Relegating them to a somewhat inferior place in the economy is foolish and short-sighted not to mention all the social issues talked about by the Republicans which would turn back the status of women to the Mad Men days of the early 60’s!
TiredOfIt
October 18th, 2012
8:14 am
Heber C. Kimball said, “I think no more of taking another wife than I do of buying a cow”. I wonder if Willard agrees?
stands for decibels
October 18th, 2012
8:14 am
just one thing:
Gallup [...] is very Republican slanted
jo, I take issue with this assessment. Yes, Gallup has a documented “house effect” that tends to favor republican candidates by a consistent degree but that is not quite the same as being “slanted”, *if* by slanted you mean they are deliberately holding their finger on the scale to help one side.
I do not have reason to believe that they are doing that.
Gallup’s issues have been their polling methodology, most notably their over-reliance (in the past, they have taken some steps to rectify this) on landlines, which have skewed things a bit.
But I think Gallup is a valuable resource, and if they do a national poll that has Romney up beyond the MoE, it IS significant, as a snapshot in time. It’s a piece of a greater story, inasmuch as there is no question Romney has closed the gap that had opened after a crappy-for-him Republican convention and a great-for-Obama Democratic convention.
But it’s also clear that the gap closing happened in the wake of a very good debate performance–if correlation equals causation, then it is reasonable to imagine that a strong performance by Obama this week, will at minimum stem the losses and at best (for Obama) get his probabilities for a win trending upward again.
headin’ upstairs.