It may prove to be an aberration, but I see that even Rasmussen now has Barack Obama polling in positive numbers, with 51 percent of Americans approving of his performance as president and 48 percent disapproving.
That three-point approval margin is the largest reported by Rasmussen since October of 2009.
Gallup doesn’t show quite that amount of approval. In fact, Obama remains barely “underwater” in that poll, with 47 percent disapproval and 46 percent approval. But that’s a significant improvement over the 38 percent Gallup approval rating as recently as October 2011.
You can attribute that improvement to a variety of factors, among them a slowly improving economy, a new willingness by Obama to confront congressional Republicans, the fratricide of the Republican presidential primary and his commitment to a more populist economic message.
Of course, none of that guarantees re-election, although futures traders at Intrade also have Obama’s prospects brightening recently, with the probability of another four years now at 54 percent. And whatever happens in November, the polling data cast an interesting light on claims posted here often by conservatives that “everybody hates Obama” and “even Mickey Mouse could beat” him.
Well, no they don’t and no he couldn’t.
It’s easy to talk yourself into that kind of belief, particularly if you live in deeply red areas of a pretty red state such as Georgia, where everyone that you see and know agrees with you and those who don’t agree just stay silent. That tendency can be compounded if you set up virtual residence within the right-wing echo chamber, where the anti-Obama drumbeat sounds 24 hours a day.
But as even Rasmussen tells you, if you’re going to beat Obama, it’s not going to be easy. (They have Obama defeating Mitt Romney 47-41, and defeating Gingrich 52-35). Because the basic notion that broad segments of the American people have rejected Obama and his politics is simply incorrect.
– Jay Bookman