Rasmussen reports that Georgia’s own Herman Cain has drawn to within five points of President Obama in a head-to-head matchup.
That sounds too crazy to be true, and of course in a practical sense it is. According to Rasmussen, Obama draws 39 percent of the vote and Cain 34 percent, which makes it hard to take seriously as a true head-to-head poll. That 34 percent isn’t a measure of Cain’s support, it’s a measure of the number of Americans who will vote for anybody against Obama.
In fact, only 61 percent of REPUBLICAN voters told Rasmussen they would vote for Cain over Obama. (The Daily Caller reports that Cain gets 3 percent of the black vote in the poll, while Obama gets 76 percent, but that information is missing from the Rasmussen site.) Rasmussen also acknowledges that in all of its polls, Obama leads every announced Republican candidate.
The Hermanator does seem to be enjoying his time in the spotlight, and more power to him. He’s also doing wonders for his post-primary media career. But I don’t think he’ll be filling out a change-of-address form for 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue anytime soon.
UPDATE: Fox just released results of its new poll, with good news for Cain. Romney leads with 23 percent, Perry’s at 19 percent and Cain is at 17 percent.
Other data from the Fox poll:
Obama leads Romney 45-42, within the margin of error. Among voters 35 and under, he leads 61-27 percent. Yes, young voters tend to not vote as often. But as time passes and American demography changes, that’s a serious problem for the GOP.
Perry’s support fell by 10 points, from 29 to 19 percent, from the previous Fox poll in late August. But almost none of that lost support gravitated to Romney. Cain and Gingrich were the biggest beneficiaries.
– Jay Bookman