With the midterm election now just eight days away, it’s time to show your stuff. Break out your crystal balls and predict — in hard numbers — how many seats the Republicans will occupy in both the House and Senate by the time the smoke lifts off the battlefield and the polls close in Alaska and Hawaii.
Democrats are claiming that their voters are finally awakening to the challenge ahead, while Republican scoff at the notion and predict great things ahead. As of Sunday, Nate Silver, the statistician behind the fivethirtyeight blog, was predicting that the Democrats will still hold a four-vote margin in the Senate, while Republicans would have a 25-vote margin in the House.
But what’s YOUR call?
I’ll take the winner out to lunch at Manuel’s, at my expense. For you conservatives, that’s not only a free lunch, it’s a chance to tell me face to face just how wrong I am about everything (but we’ll only have an hour or so.)
The rules are easy:
– How many seats in the House will Republicans hold?
– How many seats in the Senate will Republicans hold? (For scoring purposes, each Senate seat will be valued at four House seats).
– For the tie-breaker, please predict the percentage of the popular vote that Nathan Deal wins in the Georgia governor’s race.
– All entries must be posted in this blog item, and they close at midnight Tuesday, Oct. 26.