Among Gallup’s likely voters, a predicted GOP tsunami
Gallup just released its first poll of the season trying to assess the mood of likely voters, as opposed to merely registered voters, in the runup to next month’s election. It found that depending on turnout, a generic Republican congressional candidate has an advantage of 13 to 18 percentage points over a generic Democratic candidate. That would translate into a blowout come November.
Source: www.gallup.com
History says that the chasm will probably narrow as the election draws nearer. But as Gallup also points out, history says that “any situation in which the Democrats have less than about 47 percent of the actual two-party national vote for Congress (i.e., 53 percent voting for the Republicans and 47percent for the Democrats among those voting for one of the two parties) would strongly predict that Republicans would win enough seats to gain control of the U.S. House of Representatives. If there is a widely disproportionate skew in turnout toward Republican voters and their national vote lead ends up being in the double digits, the Republican gains would be very substantial.”
In recent days, I’ve seen increasing speculation that the Democrats might not do all that terribly in November. Gallup’s initial numbers argue strongly to the contrary.
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456 comments Add your comment
Joe
October 5th, 2010
12:52 pm
Looks like we have government shutdowns and endless whatever-Gate investigations to look forward to.
On the other hand, we can forget about making progress on the economy, jobs, reducing deficits, migrating to clean energy, eliminating Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, reducing corporate welfare, improving workplace safety, improving food safety, improving consumer safety and the rest.
The entire GOP caucus is bought and paid-for by the wealthiest one percent and they’re the only ones who Republicans represent. Any talk to the contrary is misdirection.
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
12:53 pm
We’ll see in November. I’ll believe a GOP House majority when I see it.
Haywood Jablome
October 5th, 2010
12:54 pm
why do we reply on the poles for election advice? shouldn’t we rely on someone closer to n. america?
and btw,
how many poles does it take to predict an election?
Pennsylvanian
October 5th, 2010
12:54 pm
“In recent days, I’ve seen increasing speculation that the Democrats might not do all that terribly in November.” Whistling by the graveyard?
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
12:55 pm
Joe,
Who do all the big money trial lawyers give all their contributions to? Democrats?
Wall Street donations favor? Democrats, again! “It is part of a broader fundraising shift toward Democrats, compared to past campaigns when Republicans were the favorites of Wall Street.” From the LA Times.
Get off the rhetoric and bring something to the table.
Maj. Wood
October 5th, 2010
12:55 pm
So much for my hope of telling people I am going to get gay-married.
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
12:57 pm
Maj. Wood,
The Feds shouldn’t have a say in that anyway. That’s a state issue.
Huh?
October 5th, 2010
12:58 pm
Joe:
“On the other hand, we can forget about making progress on the economy, jobs, reducing deficits, migrating to clean energy, eliminating Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, reducing corporate welfare, improving workplace safety, improving food safety, improving consumer safety and the rest.”
Ummm … if your Democrats failed to do these things the past two years when they held the White House and Congress, what makes us think that they are ever going to? Not saying that I am a Republican, mind you, quite the contrary. But the Democrats haven’t done a single thing towards those issues that you listed or the others that they allegedly care about the last two years. What have they been doing all that time? You are just as bad as the Tea Party folks on the right!
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
12:59 pm
I believe the republicans will win the house, not the senate, and it won’t be a tsunami.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
12:59 pm
muuuwwwaaaaAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!
“Why Big Labor couldn’t match Glenn Beck’s rally
Because the labor movement is shrinking, aging and divided. Because the best program its leaders (and co-sponsors at the NAACP) could put together was one featuring Al Sharpton, Jesse Jackson, Richard Trumka, Van Jones and Harry Belafonte. And because George W. Bush is no longer in the White House. Put those factors together, and Big Labor’s big march fell flat.”
ty webb
October 5th, 2010
1:00 pm
ah yes…must be racism.
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
1:01 pm
Leg,
You shouldn’t make fun of Cynthia’s Pulitzer. At least she wrote something down. Obama won the Nobel and never did anything!
David Granger
October 5th, 2010
1:02 pm
Not gonna happen. Democratic talking points now are to talk up how bad their defeat is going to be, and then…when they don’t lose as many seats as “expected”…they can claim that with EVERYTHING against them…economy, tea party excitement, unemployment, Obamacare…they didn’t lose nearly as many races as people had been saying they would. Not a bad strategy, under the circumstances.
(Bet there will be some “voting irregularities” in states with Democratic governors…)
mm
October 5th, 2010
1:04 pm
The polls are trending to the Dems. And still 28 days to go.
“Ummm … if your Democrats failed to do these things the past two years when they held the White House and Congress, what makes us think that they are ever going to?”
Have you seen how many bills have been blocked in the senate?
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:06 pm
Read more about the Big Labor rally.
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/Why-Big-Labor-couldn_t-match-Glenn-Beck_s-rally-1109946-104310813.html
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
1:07 pm
mm,
See the video where Gibbs tries to explain why it’s ok to blame the Republicans for blocking a bill in the Senate that was never proposed? You can’t block what no one proposes.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:09 pm
Bubba Bob
October 5th, 2010
1:01 pm
Have you read CT’s blog recently? Not sure if she ever writes anything. More of a cut and paste job.
Joe
October 5th, 2010
1:21 pm
While “Huh?” at 12:58 wallows in his ignorance, Republicans celebrate that they’ve been able to block record numbers of up-or-down votes (i.e. filibuster) in the Senate to prevent Dems from making progress on the economy, jobs, and the rest. People like “Huh?” are the GOP’s wet dream. Step one: use the filibuster to block Dems from making progress. Step two: the ignorant blame Dems for the inevitable result of Republican obstructionism.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:23 pm
Uh oh, Jay, you “done gone and did it”.
This article doesn’t look good for the left and you have much fewer than normal comments after 40 minutes. The libs must not like the content (or consequences) of what you wrote. Better get another article started.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:24 pm
Joe
October 5th, 2010
1:21 pm
Thank you John Kerry, er, uh, I mean Joe. Wait a minute. Are you Joe Biden?
Paulo977
October 5th, 2010
1:29 pm
D
G
Bet there will be some ‘voting irregularities’ in states with Republican governors …There I fixed your typo!!!!
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
1:31 pm
YEAH! Very soon we can get right back to those Bush glory days!
When everything was peachy keen and the godly almost-conservatives really stood up for the non-special interests of the working man in America!
A few weeks early but…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPiNIzSM3RQ
stands for decibels
October 5th, 2010
1:31 pm
Nate Silver continues to hold that there’s a 33% chance that Democrats control at least 218 seats. While Gallup certainly has gravitas as a pollster, their generic ballot poll has been all over the place this past year, and frankly, nobody really knows which side is going to, ultimately, light the bigger fire under its base.
On the other hand, we can forget about making progress on the economy, jobs, reducing deficits, migrating to clean energy, eliminating Don’t Ask Don’t Tell
My money’s on DADT taken out back and shot during the lame duck session.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:34 pm
stands for decibels
October 5th, 2010
1:31 pm
Yeah, with all the problems we are facing in this country at this moment, and the rising anger from ordinary citizens, DADT is sure to be the top priority of the agenda. But hey, I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see the left do something sneaky.
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
1:37 pm
And just to show our conservative roots, it really is a crying shame that we can’t reelect that Georgia stalwart of competence, courage and integrity this time around – Saxby. We’ll just have to wait until he gets to once again show that he has the courage to lead.
Oh well, at least we can elect one of the most shady and corrupt members of the US Congress as our governor!
Woo Hoo!
All of Georgia’s problems are finally going to be over soon! (Well, not at least until the mass deportations begin…)
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:38 pm
stands for decibels
Otober 5th, 2010
1:31 pm
If the left keeps trotting out Sharpton, Jackson, Belafonte and their ilk, it will certainly light a fire under the conservatives. Such hatred coming out of these guys.
Gator Joe
October 5th, 2010
1:40 pm
Well said Joe,
and as the Right Wing prematurely does their end zone celebration dance, they seem to overlook they will not have a veto, or filibuster proof majority in the senate. Want to bet on how soon those working-class Right Wingers turn on the Republicans in congress when they discover these people could care less about anything but their votes and don’t have any realistic solutions to the economic problems they caused.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:41 pm
Fritz seems to get it…….
“Mondale: Obama’s teleprompters are ‘idiot boards,’ keep him from connecting with audiences”
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/blogs/beltway-confidential/Mondale-Obamas-teleprompters-are-idiot-boards-keep-him-from-connecting-with-audiences-104306374.html
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
1:42 pm
Gator Joe
October 5th, 2010
1:40 pm
In other words, the republicans will start using the same excuses the libs are using now. And the libs have the WH and its veto.
jm
October 5th, 2010
1:45 pm
Bad news for Barnes. Insane, considering how stupid Deal is. Argh
jm
October 5th, 2010
1:47 pm
Re – Gov election in GA. As with any election, intelligence isn’t my only metric. Principles are a good one. Beliefs. Humility – understanding that gov’t is very messy and more often than not – gov’t is not the solution.
On this occasion, Deal flunks just about everything. Maybe Monds isn’t such a bad choice, even over Barnes.
Keep Up the Good Fight!
October 5th, 2010
1:50 pm
Dewey wins!
Wahoo
October 5th, 2010
1:55 pm
dB,
I like Silver’s presentation but I think it’s going to be very tough for the Dems to hold onto the House this year. The overwhelming majority of seats in play or likely to be lost are currently in Dem hands. I’m somewhat surprised he thinks the chances that the Dems hold onto the House is as high as 33%.
The couple races I’ll be watching most closely will be the senate races in WV, CT and NY. Not that I expect the GOP to win CT or NY, but the margin of victory for Gillibrand and probably Blumenthal should be good barometers of electoral mood and the success of get-out-the-vote efforts. If the GOP takes WV and loses by less than expected in the northeast, then senate seats in WA and CA could be more in play than we would think based on current polling.
Jimmy62
October 5th, 2010
1:58 pm
All the way back to the very first comment, Joe: And that list you laid out, how many of those things has the current administration made progress on?
The GOP will win, but it won’t be the GOP of old. A lot of these people will be much more libertarian, which means our economy may very well be booming soon enough. The biggest problem with the GOP of old is their inability to ignore social issues in the face of important issues. Like why spend so much effort talking about how gay marriage is so evil when the economy is on the ropes? Same with the Dems, they’d rather talk about how we’re oppressing illegal aliens and how rich people are bringing us down than try to solve problems. And at the same time, they both make sure their rich friends get bailed out. Libertarians are less likely than Dems or Repubs to intervene in the economy. Hopefully we’ll have some adults running things soon.
Del
October 5th, 2010
2:01 pm
Well if the lefts despondency in advance of November’s election goes beyond this blog; it could very well be a Republican tsunami. Surprises can and have beat the predictions in elections, so I won’t exhale until all of the returns are in and counted. The Democrats squandered their sizable majority and if they pay the price it’s well deserved. The Republicans may get their turn in the barrel and will be under scrutiny by the voters. Hopefully, we’ve reached an era in American politics where results aren’t only expected but demanded by the public.
Kamchak
October 5th, 2010
2:02 pm
A lot of these people will be much more libertarian…
Funny, that exactly what the Goldwater neo-cons said back in the 60s
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
2:06 pm
The Democrats squandered their sizable majority and if they pay the price it’s well deserved. The Republicans may get their turn in the barrel and will be under scrutiny by the voters. Hopefully, we’ve reached an era in American politics where results aren’t only expected but demanded by the public.
Well said, brother. well said.
And as soon as those results came in two years ago that confirmed BHO was gonna be the next occupier of the West Wing, I knew tha the Dems were gonna tank terribly.
Thee was a time when they had the reputation – deserved or not – that they were the party to stand up for the little guys, the working class, the least coddled of us.
No more, they sucked long and hard at the teats of Reagan and Gingrich and Bush and they are now indistinguishable from them…
Dream on
October 5th, 2010
2:09 pm
Sure jimmy…it will be great. Witches, flip floppers, hypocrits, racist emailers threatening to take someone down….My Jesus is more powerful than yours so we need more crosses. We can further hate gays while tossing down drinks with our hookers and mistresses and then we can go home to our wives, who will all be like June Cleaver.
Attacks on the minimum wage, no abortion for anyone. If you cant afford heathcare..just die! Why if we work hard, we can even surpass Mexico at a great class chasm and everyone poor and rich live in fear (except there will be an employment surge as the walls get built to turn homes into compounds). The immigration issues will be solved — Mexicans will not want to live in a worse place.
TaxPayer
October 5th, 2010
2:11 pm
Uh Oh. The S&P has done broke out of its rut and is headed north. We better elect some more Republicans so we can get it back down to a more depressing level. My stocks are doing way too good right now. If they keep this up, the Fed will have to raise rates or some other unconservative thing and we can’t have that. Our markets need freedom to bulge and expand and grow and grow some more and do so in an unregulated and free marketing way.
paleo-neo-Carlinist
October 5th, 2010
2:14 pm
re-arranging deck chairs on the Titanic.
StJ
October 5th, 2010
2:15 pm
I believe we’ve seen what happens when one party is given too much power. As there is no party that truly represents “the will of the people”, the best we can hope for right now is to have one party control one branch of government and the opposite party in control of Congress. At least the really wacky stuff (hopefully) gets weeded out before it becomes law.
“Hopefully, we’ve reached an era in American politics where results aren’t only expected but demanded by the public.”
One can hope. We’ll see what happens in the next couple years.
DB17
October 5th, 2010
2:19 pm
Well, Democrats passed health care “reform” that the majority of Americans clearly were against – not that they weren’t against an overhaul to begin with. But a complete government mandate to take over the US health care system so a small percentage of others could have it pushed the voter right over the cliff of tolerance.
Congressional Democrats didn’t care that they may lose power. They wanted to ram through as much socialist agenda as possible. Damn the torpedoes and full speed backwards. And keep in mind Democrats ran as Moderates for Congress in 2006 just as Obama ran as a Moderate in 2008. They have proven themselves way left of how they ran. The ironic part is that they truly believe they ARE the centrists. I’ve even heard some libs call Dems running Congress the true conservatives – seriously.
In any event, no, The Swamp was never drained and no, it’s not change America wanted to believe in.
pat
October 5th, 2010
2:22 pm
I’ll believe it when I see it….I will certainly do my part to evict as many democrats as possible. I think if we planted trees in the capitol instead of legislators it would still be an improvement.
Keep up the good fight!
October 5th, 2010
2:24 pm
Carlin….no way…those on the Titanic stood a better chance.
This is hitting the iceberg and saying “let’s back up and hit is again. Everything will be better this time.” The American century is fast ending and the libertarians will only take us over the cliff faster. There is no sense of balance with individual rights, government for the people and the megabucks put into campaigns by a few billionaries for the republicans.
Del
October 5th, 2010
2:24 pm
AmVet,
If any good has come from this mess we’ve allowed to happen for far too long is the awakening of the people. I don’t know if the tea party movement has had anything to do with it or if it was happening anyway but it seems that people are far more aware and concerned with the immaturity and lack of production from both political parties than they’ve been for some time.
Doggone/GA
October 5th, 2010
2:25 pm
“But a complete government mandate to take over the US health care system ”
You do realize that your whole argument falls flat when you base it on a lie, don’t you?
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:26 pm
Del “The Democrats squandered their sizable majority and if they pay the price it’s well deserved.”
At least they “governed”. I give them credit for that. I hope the Republicans have the balls to do the same. Bush never “governed” unless you count tackling the necessary post 9/11 foreign policy issues. But I tend to think of governing as mostly dealing with domestic issues. Which they didn’t really mess with other than the prescrip drug benefit… which was an expansion of gov’t….
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:26 pm
Too much cocaine must’ve scrambled W’s conservative instincts. Maybe we should stop electing coke-heads….
The Boner's Tan Line
October 5th, 2010
2:27 pm
The Boner says come January 2011 we’ll have a Republican controlled House and Senate, no doubt about it. The Boner also says come January 2013, we’ll have a Republican President.
The Boner is seriously considering a run for President in 2012.
The Boner says if Debbie the devoted wife could be First Lady, it would make up for a lot of wrongs he’s done to her.
The Boner is trying to convince Chrissie the candidate to be his Second Lady In Waiting, but Chrissie has got bigger things in mind. She wants to be his Vice-President. The Boner has told Chrissie she doesn’t know enough, but she says she’s fast, and she’ll have everything figured out before 2012. She’s going to put a satanic altar in the Vice-Presidential mansion, so she’ll feel more at home there.
Lizzie the lobbyist wants to be the Boner’s Secretary of State, and he’s strongly considering her for the position. Of course, Lizzie knows lots of positions, so she’ll do a bang-up job at anything the Boner wants her to do.
The Boner says after he’s spent his two terms tanning in the White House, he’s going to retire from public life and enjoy all the spoils he’s earned through the years.
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
2:27 pm
Man, I sure do hate those idiots who can’t even bother to memorize pages and pages of speeches!
http://tinyurl.com/cnvo22
So does this Gallup prognostication mean that there will be even more class acts in the United States Congress who will yell out “Baby Killer!” and “You Lie!”, like they are in some sort of sleazy dive with their drunken buddies?
The good people of Texas and SC must be proud…
DB17, if you truly were remotely interested in what the majority people of this country – including doctors and nurses – wanted, why do you fail to mention single payer? Hmmm. Because Max Baucus and the Republicans in congress ensured none of those voices were even heard. And the status quo forever gang and their enablers had no problems with that whatsoever…
DebbieDoRight
October 5th, 2010
2:31 pm
Who do all the big money trial lawyers give all their contributions to? Both Parties!
Wall Street donations favor? Both Parties,, again!
Fixed it for you…..no thanks necessary — I do this out of a need to inform…..
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:35 pm
DDR – they gave more to D’s than R’s last round.
Abrazos
October 5th, 2010
2:36 pm
Can’t say I am despondent now or will be surprised later if it truly is a Republican tsunami. To be honest, if the “common man” believes that he will ever prosper under Republican rule after witnessing how bad the results of their ideas were and still are, maybe he needs the mighty bit**-slap he’s about to get over the next couple years to wake him up.
Unemployment levels will not improve, foreclosures will continue at the same clip, state budgets will proceed in their downward trajectory, and middle class families will suffer disproportionately as the Republicans consolidate protection around the irresponsible “free market” policies which started this tumble into hell in the first place.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
2:36 pm
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
2:27 pm
…or like the classy liberals who called W “Hitler” and had W’s face on posters with the swastika and all that. Those kind of classy individuals?
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
2:37 pm
Del, I sure hope you are correct, but I am extremely doubtful.
A hysterical excerpt from votenader.org:
For the Deliberate Non-Voter
An Invitation to Join The American Society of Apathetics—Now
In the interest of being as inclusive as possible, the Nader/Gonzalez campaign is inviting membership in the new American Society of Apathetics. Membership is free and simple, appropriately enough, with no rights because of the Society’s dedication to no exertions whatsoever, except to recite the solemn oath of the Apathetic to yourself, to wit:
As a member of the American Society of Apathetics, I solemnly swear
and declare that I will endure any injustice, accept any abuse,
absorb any disrespect, suffer any deprivation, concede any
exclusion, inhale any toxics and avoid any public responsibilities
in order to defend my inalienable right to apathy, so help me, my
descendants and my country.
marky mark
October 5th, 2010
2:45 pm
“Funny, that exactly what the Goldwater neo-cons said back in the 60s”…
Mind sharing that source Kamchak? thats a little before my time and I would be interested in the libertarian slant back then…..
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:47 pm
Long live moderates. The pendulum is swinging back…
And since Dems will at minimum still control the Senate, we should be about in the middle if R’s win a bunch of the House seats.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
2:53 pm
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:47 pm
While controlling the house, senate, and WH had you been “about in the middle” then your legislative agenda would have been far more successful. Instead, you chose to turn left at every intersection.
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:54 pm
Leg Lamp – your 2:53 post is incomprehensible given: I’m thrilled R’s are making a comeback.
Normal
October 5th, 2010
2:54 pm
Keep Up the Good Fight!
October 5th, 2010
1:50 pm
Dewey wins!
Yeah, that’s what I keep thinking too. Like the man said, “It ain’t over ’til it’s over”.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
3:00 pm
jm
October 5th, 2010
2:54 pm
My bad. I’m quickly bouncing back and forth between Tucker and Bookman.
Kamchak
October 5th, 2010
3:02 pm
thats a little before my time and I would be interested in the libertarian slant back then…
Same thing as now, mainly smaller govt., states rights, keep govt. out of our lives, etc. Wiki is a good place to start. After LBJ’s landslide in 64, the GOP surmised that a coalition was needed, so they got into bed with evangelicals.
The orange pekoe crowd will make the same mistake.
http://www.alternet.org/story/148246/religious_right_to_tea_party%3A_join_us_or_die!
BTW Why “marky” and not “markie” now?
Jefferson
October 5th, 2010
3:03 pm
What it is, is what it is. We saw what happened last time the GOP ran the gov’t, it ending up in the ditch. Probably will again, just when things are getting better.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
3:05 pm
Jefferson
October 5th, 2010
3:03 pm
“just when things are getting better.”
…………………………………
………………………………..
………………………………..
…………………………………
………………………………..
mmuuwwaaAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:11 pm
Yay innovation
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/09/100930154610.htm
AmVet
October 5th, 2010
3:11 pm
jm, haven’t you heard, moderate is a dirty word.
Since the coronation of Saint Ronnie, the die-hard party loyalists (and now the Tea Floggers too!), deem it akin to the words liberal or progressive or centrist.
Think I’m exaggerating? Ask Lisa Murkowski, Bob Bennet, Charlie Crist, Lincoln Chafee, Arlen Specter, Jim Jeffords, Jim Leach, Rob Simmons, and Charlie Bass.
I believe there are exactly three moderate Republicans left in the entire US Congress – all from New England. And then will likely be gone soon.
So the next time you are inclined to use the word moderate to describe a Republican in congress, just replace it with RINO.
You’ll see it works much better…
TnGelding
October 5th, 2010
3:14 pm
Gallup with the Gelding. The Dems will come off the floor and do ok. It ain’t over until the skinny Kenyan says Uncle Sam.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:14 pm
By the way, I hope those scientists make hundreds of millions, even billions, off their innovation.
Risk reward…
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
3:14 pm
“NFL Tells Russ Feingold to Pull Campaign Ad ”
That poor schmuck can’t seem to do anything right lately.
The Leg Lamp is a "major award", much like Cynthia Tucker's Pulitzer and Obama's Nobel
October 5th, 2010
3:16 pm
Looks like another “love fest” is on the horizon….
“BOXERS OR BRIEFS: MTV to host live townhall with Obama… “
Jefferson
October 5th, 2010
3:17 pm
Sounds like Leg Lamper got left behind, I guess.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:19 pm
AmVet – I have no love lost for Murkowski and Specter. They were self serving career politicians. I know less about the others. Although Crist always struck me as an ok guy.
There are at least three moderate Republicans in the Senate. And there are, and will be more soon, plenty of moderate R’s in the House.
The R’s are just more cohesive than the D’s because they do have an over-arching, binding philosophy. While the D’s philosophy, to the extent it exists, is more fluid.
NowReally
October 5th, 2010
3:19 pm
Only rich people prosper under the GOP.
I’ve already prepared to save for extremely HARD times.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:22 pm
NowReally – hard times are actually the natural state of things. sad to say.
at least when looking at the long arc of history.
Left wing management
October 5th, 2010
3:23 pm
Did somebody say ‘tsunami’ ?
John Birch
October 5th, 2010
3:23 pm
There’s a fallacy inherent in this piece; that the individual races will look a lot like the hypothetical generic one. That’s simply not true. There’s a strong preference for a generic Repub because the Dems have earned a lot of negative impressions with the state of the economy and HCR and Afghanistan, etc. But I’ll bet my house that if you tally all the Repub and all the Dem votes for all Senators and congresspeeps the difference will be single digits, nowhere near this generic 13% advantage.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:25 pm
John Birch – true. And gerrymandering (that both parties are guilty of) will probably make it worse.
Will be interesting to tally up the different votes (in aggregate for both parties) and then look at the proportional representation in the House after Nov….
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:28 pm
Jay – incidentally, what’s your position on the “casa del fuego” incident? (now that both sides bickered for a good few hours over it)
Left wing management
October 5th, 2010
3:29 pm
So what do you think the GO-HUSSEIN-P has its glassy eyes set on ?
They want to repeal parts of ObamaHUSSEINCare – for ex. lifetime caps, etc. – while KEEPing certain parts of the reforms. And just what parts do you suppose they want to KEEP?
If you guessed “mandatory HUSSEIN coverage”, you would be RIGHT!!! school boys and girls.
josef nix
October 5th, 2010
3:30 pm
Hate to say I told you so, but back on the Democrats and assorted other non Republicans celebration of the death of the GOP, I said then that there was still quite a bit of kick left in that so-called dead horse. I got called all kinds of names for saying so and even had my liberalism questioned for daring to make so heretical a statement. Well. Here it is. Mene, mene, tekel efarsin. Just like the GOP before them, they got uppity and are now paying the price.
Of course, anything can happen between now and November.
Left wing management
October 5th, 2010
3:37 pm
josef nix 3:30:
What’s ‘liberalism’ ?
josef nix
October 5th, 2010
3:38 pm
Left wing
Classical or Engrish?
Bosch
October 5th, 2010
3:39 pm
Does it really matter if the GOP wins the House back? What’s really going to change?
BUT,
Our populace is so ADD that they think that two years is enough time to bounce back from the worse economic disaster our country has seen, and when we get it going in the right direction, they give it back to those who did more to create it.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:40 pm
LWM 3:37 – “liberalism?” love thy neighbor. even though he may be a criminal.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:41 pm
Bosch – “GOP wins house back matters?” not entirely, cause Obama can veto anything he wants.
“two years” – I don’t think people are delusional. they just don’t like big gov’t. and rightly or wrongly, the perception is, that’s what the D’s are offerin’
Paul
October 5th, 2010
3:41 pm
Anybody who’s looking forward to a Republican blowout in Nov care to predict what good they will accomplish before the 2012 election?
Specifically?
Let’s start with an easy one: by how much will Republicans cut federal spending?
Paul
October 5th, 2010
3:42 pm
josef nix
“I got called all kinds of names for saying so”
Was “Prophet” one of them?
Left wing management
October 5th, 2010
3:42 pm
josef nix 3:38:
Well, being that we seem to be stuck with the pig-latin-buckley-baugh version, guess I’ll take errrr whatever Jim HUSSEIN DeMint says it is.
Which is to say … wait I lost my train of thought
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:44 pm
Paul – they won’t run the show so they can’t do much.
What they can do is: stop more expansion of big gov’t. Ie, they can mitigate the surgeon butchering the patient more than he has already. To use a metaphor.
That said. Obama hasn’t been the worse doctor of all time. But he’s a little inclined to over-prescribe meds, if you know what I mean.
josef nix
October 5th, 2010
3:45 pm
PAUL
Going not without honor excepting in my own country?
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:46 pm
Wonder why the stock market is up so much today? I’m sure the pundits will have gobs of BS reasons this evening on CNBC…
BADA BING
October 5th, 2010
3:46 pm
Day-o, day-o, Belefonte come an me wanna go home.
Nice Guy
October 5th, 2010
3:48 pm
Bosch – “Our populace is so ADD that they think that two years is enough time to bounce back from the worse economic disaster our country has seen, and when we get it going in the right direction, they give it back to those who did more to create it.”
True, about the ADD. But if the economy is firing on all 8 cylinders come election time, then the current House/Senate will not get voted out….barring some huge scandal.
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:50 pm
This is such BS liberal bias reporting. So if half of a group believes it, then we should just tar the whole group with the belief? Ridiculous. Someone please save us from the absurdities of both sides.
Half of America believes Obama is Muslim? Well, let’s just say: “America believes it has a muslim president! (I obviously made this last bit up, but to illustrate a point)
http://religion.blogs.cnn.com/2010/10/05/most-tea-partiers-call-america-a-christian-nation-study-finds/?hpt=C2
Bosch
October 5th, 2010
3:50 pm
jm,
“they just don’t like big gov’t. and rightly or wrongly, the perception is, that’s what the D’s are offerin’”
No, they are brainwashed into thinking that it’s only the D’s that offer big government — how has the R’s done any different? Answer: they haven’t.
md
October 5th, 2010
3:50 pm
“they give it back to those who did more to create it.”
kind of hard to give to one what both created……..
jm
October 5th, 2010
3:50 pm
Nice Guy – you got less than 30 days. Nothing is going to turn around economically in 30 days.
Bosch
October 5th, 2010
3:51 pm
“Let’s start with an easy one: by how much will Republicans cut federal spending?”
Oooo. Oooo. I wanna answer that one Paul — how about NONE.
BADA BING
October 5th, 2010
3:51 pm
Looks like the Democratic House is going to burn down.
md
October 5th, 2010
3:52 pm
“Anybody who’s looking forward to a Republican blowout in Nov care to predict what good they will accomplish before the 2012 election?”
Slowing down a runaway train???
Let’s use that proverbial ditch analogy – if we were in the ditch, it doesn’t do any good to pull the car out of the ditch if it is pointed directly across to the other ditch. May as well have left it in the ditch.