The truth behind the nation’s massive fiscal problem

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Political narratives are precious things these days. They give people a story line, an explanation for why the world is as it is and why their side isn’t to blame. And at the moment, the right’s most important narrative is that the nation’s dangerous and unsustainable budget deficit is the fault of Barack Obama.

Well, it isn’t, as the chart on the right demonstrates. “Together with the economic downturn, the Bush tax cuts and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq explain virtually the entire deficit over the next ten years,” Kathy Ruffing and James R. Horney conclude in a study published by the Center for Budget and Policy Priorities.

The CBPI is a liberal policy-analysis group, and those who are more interested in preserving their faith in conservative narrative than in discovering the truth can and will dismiss its findings on those grounds alone.

But numbers are numbers. If the numbers driving this chart are “liberal,” if the assumptions behind those numbers are “liberal,” then it should be possible for conservatives to explain how and where they’re wrong. The center “shows its work,” as our math teachers used to say, which should make it possible for others to come along and rebut it.

Take, for example, the impact of the economic downturn on the deficit. As the CBPI report notes, the Congressional Budget Office issued projections on Jan. 7, 2009 — two weeks before President Obama even took office — putting the 2009 deficit at well over $1 trillion.

“The recession battered the budget, driving down tax revenues and swelling outlays for unemployment insurance, food stamps, and other safety-net programs,” the CBPI reports. “Using CBO’s August 2008 projections as a benchmark, we calculate that the changed economic outlook accounts for over $400 billion of the deficit each year in 2009 through 2011 and slightly smaller amounts in subsequent years. Those effects persist; even in 2018, the deterioration in the economy since the summer of 2008 will account for over $250 billion in added deficits, much of it in the form of additional debt-service costs.”

Significant tax cuts enacted in a time of war — the first time in U.S. history that such cuts have been enacted — also had a predictable effect:

“Just two policies dating from the Bush Administration — tax cuts and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — accounted for over $500 billion of the deficit in 2009 and will account for almost $7 trillion in deficits in 2009 through 2019, including the associated debt-service costs. (The prescription drug benefit enacted in 2003 accounts for further substantial increases in deficits and debt, which we are unable to quantify due to data limitations.) These impacts easily dwarf the stimulus and financial rescues. Furthermore, unlike those temporary costs, these inherited policies (especially the tax cuts and the drug benefit) do not fade away as the economy recovers.

Without the economic downturn and the fiscal policies of the previous administration, the budget would be roughly in balance over the next decade. That would have put the nation on a much sounder footing to address the demographic challenges and the cost pressures in health care that darken the long-run fiscal outlook.

Of course, what happened in the past doesn’t get President Obama off the hook for what happens next. If Obama did not create this problem, he will certainly be judged on whether and how he gets us out of it. Ruffing and Horney also acknowledge that fact.

“While President Obama inherited a dismal fiscal legacy, that does not diminish his responsibility to propose policies to address our fiscal imbalance and put the weight of his office behind them,” they write. “Although policymakers should not tighten fiscal policy in the near term while the economy remains fragile, they and the nation at large must come to grips with the nation’s long-term deficit problem.”

That’s going to require both serious budget cuts and significant tax increases, neither of which will be politically popular. But after the G-20 summit in Toronto, Obama noted that a bipartisan deficit-reduction commission that he appointed is expected to produce its report this December, setting the stage for real debate.

“I’m doing it because I said I was going to do it,” Obama said. “And I think it’s the right thing to do. And people should learn that lesson about me, because next year when I start presenting some very difficult choices to the country, I hope some of these folks who are hollering about deficits and debt step up, because I’m calling their bluff. And we’ll see how much of that — how much of the political arguments they’re making right now are real, and how much of it was just politics.”

451 comments Add your comment

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
9:53 am

No Jay. It was not Bush’s fault.

A full year after the Democrats took over Congress the economy was still strong.

And who are you trying to convince? Your puppets here would agree with whatever you say and the thinking people here know what a load of crap this is.

But please, keep whining and blaming it on people that haven’t been in Washington for years.

Maybe that will work. There just might be enough half wits out there to believe you.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
9:54 am

Facts have a ‘liberal’ bias…

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
9:54 am

‘A full year after the Democrats took over Congress the economy was still strong.’

We are dealing with ignorance…

jt

June 29th, 2010
9:55 am

Thank God, more and more people are ignoring these G-20 clowns.

Paul/Napolitano 2012.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
9:55 am

JAy

Here’s a clue. Find a report that actually takes in account the fact that the Democrats took over Congress when the economy was strong as hell.

TAKE RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE JOKE YOU ELECTED AND STOP TRYING TO BLAME PEOPLE THAT HAD A STRONG ECONOMY.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
9:55 am

dangitall LHU – 9:54 – you beat me to it.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
9:56 am

“Democrats took over Congress when the economy was built on sand”

there. fixed yonder typos, Hyperbole Boy.

joan

June 29th, 2010
9:57 am

Obama keeps hiring more public sector employees to “study” things and “recommend” things. He is a one man employment agency for more government employees. I am all for cuts in government spending. I note that at the G-20 Obama had his head handed to him because the Europeans who have big government employee/union problems have learned that you can’t climb out of a financial crisis by spending more money. And Obozo wants to keep on spending. We can’t afford it. And he maintains the longest running war in history–question is why? Stability in Afghanistan? That is insane and everyone knows it. Chop some of those government employees and cut their pensions. Do it now, not later.

getalife

June 29th, 2010
9:57 am

Both parties are to blame.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
9:58 am

Lord Help Us

Last year Republicans held Congress. Unemployment 4.7%

First year after the democrats took over. Unemployment 5%

So is posting your own numbers too much to ask or is just this idiotichabit of yours of just saying “no it isn’t the best you can do, yet again?

ty webb

June 29th, 2010
9:58 am

come on people, this democratically controlled congress you speak of simply had a “dalliance” with budget issues. Didn’t you get the memo?

dougmo2

June 29th, 2010
9:59 am

Jay please tell us when the democrats in power will start accepting blame for their (in)actions? Oh, I’m sorry, that would mean that they would have to accept some personal responsibility. We all know that’s not going to happen.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
9:59 am

USinUK

**there. fixed yonder typos, Hyperbole Boy.**

This is one of the better arguments that libs have posted today. You must be really proud.

@@

June 29th, 2010
10:00 am

I’ve never had a problem with being taxed in the interest of national defense as long as the money goes towards that end. Never gonna be able to predict or stop aggression…best be prepared with money in the bank.

Obama is more than welcome to call the bluff before he falls off of it.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:00 am

NiF, no economist — not even conservative economists — would buy your argument. Not a single one. Your theory is laughable, but you need to keep believing it so you do.

Joe

June 29th, 2010
10:00 am

Kathy Ruffing and James R. Horney: “Together with the economic downturn, the Bush tax cuts and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq explain virtually the entire deficit over the next ten years,…”

Don’t forget Medicare Part D and agricultural subsidies (welfare for millionaires).

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:01 am

dougmo2

**Jay please tell us when the democrats in power will start accepting blame for their (in)actions? **

As soon as they can actually become effective leaders. in other words, never, never will be, never can be.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:01 am

NIF, show me what Congress did between Jan, 2008 and August, 2008 that caused the economy to collapse…or consider yourself…ignorant.

Thanks in advance…

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:03 am

Jay

So yet another liberal that doesn’t post any reliable facts, just says that I am wrong. Brilliant,Einstein.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:04 am

Lord HElp Us

I would first need to educate you as to when the Congress flipped to the democrats and educating you is far beyond what I would want to tackle.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:04 am

Well, let’s try a little responsibility experiment, shall we?

NiF, DougMo: Would you accept significant tax increases matched by significant cuts in government programs as a way to correct our longterm fiscal problems?

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
10:04 am

“This is one of the better arguments that libs have posted today. You must be really proud.”

looks like someone needs to learn the difference between causation and coinkidink.

we’ll keep a light on for ya, Hyperbole Boy.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:05 am

NIF, ‘I would first need to educate you as to when the Congress flipped to the democrats…’

I just told you…

Waiting on your answer to my 10:01…

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
10:05 am

LHU – 10:01 – but … but … but … MINIMUM WAGE!!! :roll:

John

June 29th, 2010
10:05 am

The federal government needs the Dave Ramsey plan… I imagine baby step 2 will take a while.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:08 am

JAy

No I would not.

The government is reactionary. It does not create wealth for anyone except politicians and government workers.

The private sector creates wealth and they do this by growing their business. They do this when they can turn a profit. The more people they hire, the more taxes are increased because more people are paying taxes.

It’s called capitalism. When the economy has power, the tax base goes up.

THE GOVERNMENT CANNOT FIX THIS. IT CAN ONLY GET OUT OF THE WAY.

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
10:08 am

Fannie, Freddie, CRA, ACORN—it’s all their fault!

Just thought I would get that out of the way early.

@@

June 29th, 2010
10:09 am

Didn’t get to comment on the thread downstairs. Pedophilia should be a capital offense. If the priests are found guilty, give ‘em the death penalty, and that goes for any child molester.

Death sentence…done and over.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:10 am

Lord HElp Us

Wait until you learn enough to ask a valid question. While you are at it, hold your breath until you can learn enough to ask a valid question.

Joe

June 29th, 2010
10:10 am

Kathy Ruffing and James R. Horney: “…policymakers should not tighten fiscal policy in the near term while the economy remains fragile,…

Hear, hear.

In fact, policymakers should relax fiscal policy in the near term while the economy remains fragile. Contrary to the current meme, when business and families are tightening their belts, government should be loosening its belt to plug the hole in the economy created by the private sector.

In short, we need more stimulus until we approach something resembling full employment. If we don’t put people back to work, revenues will continue to flatten or even decline leading to even higher deficits in the future. If we ever hope to reduce or eliminate the deficits again (much less, pay down the debt), then jobs should be our number one priority today.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:13 am

NIF @ 10:10

Nice dodge…if you can’t answer my 10:01, just say so…

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:14 am

NiF would not accept a combination of tax cuts and spending cuts to correct this problem.

Even though, politically and as a matter of sheer arithmetic, that is the only possible way to fix it.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
10:15 am

“if you can’t answer my 10:01, just say so…”

Awww…give him a break. He’s having so much fun proving Jay’s assertion: “those who are more interested in preserving their faith in conservative narrative than in discovering the truth can and will dismiss its findings on those grounds alone”

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:15 am

NIF’s definition of an invalid question?

A question which the answer would illustrate just how ignorant he is…

Soothsayer

June 29th, 2010
10:16 am

“Hello, I’m Mr. Horney!” If only I had that guy’s name.

Well, Jay, you ought to know by now that we have to have a war and spend all that money on war stuff so that the people who make all that war stuff can live high on the hog. And especially so that the money they spent buying their very own politicians will not have been wasted. The United Corporations of America.

Deficit? Those are caused by Social Security and Medicare and welfare . . .

pat

June 29th, 2010
10:16 am

Let’s ignore the fact that revenue increase 20% as a result of the Bush tax cuts. Let’s ignore the fact that in less than six months obama increased the debt by 1.2 trillion dollars, for nothing. Let’s ignore the fact that the main economic indicator unemployment is still unnaturally high. Let’s ignore the fact that the stimulus did far less than a tax moratorium would have. You cannot spin your way out of the truth.

Both wars together still don’t add up to the cost of the stimulus.

It would have been cheaper to buy each of the 31 million people w/out insurance a private ‘Cadillac’ than that joke of a reform that’s going to drive health care costs even higher.

Obama has a huge culpability in the deficit and a precious little to show for it. You can only blame others so long before you look inept.

There’s your freakin’ truth.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:16 am

Lord Help You

Not a Dodge. You want me to answer a question that does not consider the real reasons for the situation. Our government began to fail when the Democrats took over in 2007. You want me to address what happened in 2008.

Again, until you learn how our government works, there is no valid question to answer.

The only real question is how long will you continue to act like a spoiled child.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
10:16 am

Where are entitlements in this discussion? The unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare make the current debt look small. Without complete entitlement reform, it doesn’t matter what else we do.

Also, is it reasonable to assume that the lower tax rates from the Bush tax cuts have absolutely no positive effect on economic growth? None whatsoever? Where did all that money go?

Marko

June 29th, 2010
10:18 am

Since Congress traditionally spends $1.26 for every $1 in new taxes it enacts, increasing taxes (the Democrat and Bookman knee jerk response) obviously won’t solve the problem.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:18 am

Jay

What are you talking about? Tax increases do not spur economies.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:19 am

NIF, ‘Again, until you learn how our government works, there is no valid question to answer.’

Now in addition to showing your ignorance on all things fiscal, you are showing your ignorance about when elections are held and when representatives actually take office.

Maybe you should stop digging…

Dave

June 29th, 2010
10:19 am

Business leaders say Obama’s economic policies stifle growth

By Lori Montgomery
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, June 23, 2010

“The chairman of the Business Roundtable, an association of top corporate executives that has been President Obama’s closest ally in the business community, accused the president and Democratic lawmakers Tuesday of creating an “increasingly hostile environment for investment and job creation.”

Ivan G. Seidenberg, chief executive of Verizon Communications, said that Democrats in Washington are pursuing tax increases, policy changes and regulatory actions that together threaten to dampen economic growth and “harm our ability . . . to grow private-sector jobs in the U.S.”

“In our judgment, we have reached a point where the negative effects of these policies are simply too significant to ignore,” Seidenberg said in a lunchtime speech to the Economic Club of Washington. “By reaching into virtually every sector of economic life, government is injecting uncertainty into the marketplace and making it harder to raise capital and create new businesses.”

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
10:20 am

Obama has a huge culpability in the deficit and a precious little to show for it.

But…but…but…Cheney said that Reagan proved that deficits don’t matter.

More freakin’ truth.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
10:21 am

Lord Help Us

The Elections were held in 2006 and the Democrats took over congress of Jan. 2007.

And apparently your best defense is acting like a spoiled child.

Hey Pal. it ain’t working. You still look like a fool.

Richard L

June 29th, 2010
10:22 am

While its true that the massive deficit started as Bush’s fault, that is no longer the case. Its Obama’s watch now. Any growth past what the deficit was when he came into office is his fault. Fixing the issue is his problem. How much has the deficit gone down since he came into office?

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
10:22 am

LHU, it’s pretty simple here. Democrats won control of both houses in November of 2006. They took office in early 2007. NOT 2008, as you referenced.

Joe

June 29th, 2010
10:23 am

Our government began to fail when the Democrats took over in 2007.

In the Congress that began in ‘07, the House passed bill after bill after bill after bill only to see the Republicans in the Senate filibuster nearly everything (they broke all time filibuster records—only to break them again in the Congress that convened in ‘09). You can’t blame the Dems when the Republicans wouldn’t allow an up or down vote on any and all legislation.

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
10:23 am

So, there should be no problem getting rid of the military since it is just part of that big bad government that is in the way of the BPs and Monsantos, etc. That one move will almost wipe out our deficit spending problem.

pat

June 29th, 2010
10:23 am

Hell, all the taxes I pay could not cover the cost of Nasty Pelosi’s new office for one month. If you doubled my taxes, I still couldn’t pay for Nasty Pelosi’s new digs.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:24 am

NIF, oops, my bad and sincerest of apologies.

Dems took over in Jan, 2007.

I will still ask the question though…

What did the Dem Congress do between Jan 2007 (while GWB was still in office and could veto anything) that led to the economic collapse in August 2008?

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
10:26 am

The problem we have is that America hasn’t decided what it wants to be when it grows up. We tax like we want to be free men and women, and we spend like we want the government to take care of all our problems.

booger

June 29th, 2010
10:26 am

Any attempt to project a deficit over the next over the next ten years is absurd, and would only be done to serve a political purpose. Since the much maligned tax cuts are scheduled to end this year anyway, this is basically a hypothetical chart. These exercises are just warm up acts for the real tax increases coming after December. I only mention tax increases because I don’t think anyone really believes we will see significant budjet cuts from this administration.

Joe

June 29th, 2010
10:27 am

Any growth past what the deficit was when he came into office is his fault.

I call B.S. Read the article above: “…the Congressional Budget Office issued projections on Jan. 7, 2009 — two weeks before President Obama even took office — putting the 2009 deficit at well over $1 trillion.

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
10:27 am

The government is reactionary. It does not create wealth for anyone except politicians and government workers.

I agree with your first sentence. The government does not have the appearance to be proactive in many areas, and I believe that’s one of the reasons that the government appears inept in different situations. However, to look at it from another viewpoint, if we had a proactive government, some would probably complain that the government was overreaching or overstepping their power in their actions. That’s a topic I think is worthy of debate.

A far as creating wealth, the highest salaried government worker is the POTUS with an annual salary of $400,000. As far as CEO’s, he probably doesn’t rate in the top 1000 paid in the US. The only way a government worker can create wealth is by using their skills learned in the private sector upon completing government service. I’d have to pull the bs card on that statement.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
10:27 am

Its Bushs fault. Case closed.

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
10:28 am

By the way, allowing the Republican tax cuts to expire does not mean that the Democrats will raise taxes. It simply means that the Republican plan of returning to the old tax structure is being followed. So, why would the Republicans complain about following their own plan.

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
10:30 am

“A full year after the Democrats took over Congress the economy was still strong.”

With that same logic, 9/11 was solely due to Bush/Republican intelligence failures.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
10:30 am

“So, why would the Republicans complain about following their own plan.”

Well, you see…that wasn’t REALLY their “plan.” Circumstances interfered. The “plan” was to have a “permanent Republican majority” and they would just keep extending the tax cuts.

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
10:31 am

All of these arguments really come down to one issue: what do you think the role of the government should be?

Conservatives and libertarians believe that the main role of government should be to protect its citizens from harm. That would entail having a military and funding military ventures, police funding, and funding for firefighters. That would also include passing laws that protect one citizen from another. Hence, laws on having car insurance, outlawing murder and rape, etc.

Liberals believe that the government should also be responsible for the welfare and happiness of its citizens (and even those who aren’t citizens). This entails unemployment insurance, welfare, food stamps, affirmative action, etc.

Obviously this causes huge differences in beliefs and priorities regarding government structure and spending. I personally don’t mind funding the military, policemen and firefighters because I feel that it is necessary. I don’t even mind paying for roads. But liberals make up these “rights” as they go in order to create an entitlement society and reliable votes. No person in his or her right mind who receives government benefits is going to vote for someone who wants to reduce them, even though it is right and what’s best for the country as a whole. Thus, our present situation.

Fix-It

June 29th, 2010
10:31 am

I look at that chart and the only thing I can think is, I am so glad that we have the dimacrats in office because they can predict the future. NOT, there is only one way to reduce the deficit, spend less than you take in! Why is it that our elected officials can’t seem to balance a budget, doesn’t every American have to do that every day? If they do not know how to do simple math vote them out!!!!!

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
10:32 am

jewcowboy

How have you been?

Bombshell McGhee

June 29th, 2010
10:33 am

bush lied, soldiers died…

Gator Joe

June 29th, 2010
10:33 am

Jay,
The blunders of the most recent Bush administration are, and continue to be, responsible for our current economic situation. As you suggest, spending cuts (in the largest areas of the budget), or increased taxes applied to the deficits and the debt, or a combination of both are the only way back to solvency. The Conservatives and their more extreme counterparts, mistakenly believe, drastically cutting welfare and similar programs will solve the problem.

Defense, Medicare, and Social Security are where most of the budgetary spending occurs. Who wants to be first in line to cut Grandma’s or Grandpa’s Social Securtiy, Medicare, or Military retirement benefits?

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
10:34 am

Kelly

Lemme guess…. you’re a conservative, right?

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
10:36 am

Kamchak,

Howdy…crazy busy with work lately…when it rains it pours :) Lately I only get to do drive-by’s on here. How is everything with you?

Dave

June 29th, 2010
10:36 am

Tax Hikes and the 2011 Economic Collapse
Today’s corporate profits reflect an income shift into 2010. These profits will tumble next year, preceded most likely by the stock market.

“On or about Jan. 1, 2011, federal, state and local tax rates are scheduled to rise quite sharply. President George W. Bush’s tax cuts expire on that date, meaning that the highest federal personal income tax rate will go 39.6% from 35%, the highest federal dividend tax rate pops up to 39.6% from 15%, the capital gains tax rate to 20% from 15%, and the estate tax rate to 55% from zero. Lots and lots of other changes will also occur as a result of the sunset provision in the Bush tax cuts.

Tax rates have been and will be raised on income earned from off-shore investments. Payroll taxes are already scheduled to rise in 2013 and the Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT) will be digging deeper and deeper into middle-income taxpayers. And there’s always the celebrated tax increase on Cadillac health care plans. State and local tax rates are also going up in 2011 as they did in 2010. Tax rate increases next year are everywhere.

Now, if people know tax rates will be higher next year than they are this year, what will those people do this year? They will shift production and income out of next year into this year to the extent possible. As a result, income this year has already been inflated above where it otherwise should be and next year, 2011, income will be lower than it otherwise should be.

Also, the prospect of rising prices, higher interest rates and more regulations next year will further entice demand and supply to be shifted from 2011 into 2010. In my view, this shift of income and demand is a major reason that the economy in 2010 has appeared as strong as it has. When we pass the tax boundary of Jan. 1, 2011, my best guess is that the train goes off the tracks and we get our worst nightmare of a severe “double dip” recession.”

Peadawg

June 29th, 2010
10:36 am

LMAO! Another “It’s Bush’s fault” thread. Trying to sweep Obama’s failures under the rug again, Jay? Hilarious!!!

RW-(the original)

June 29th, 2010
10:37 am

Clearly this is a chart of the oil spill and somebody has just tacked some numbers onto it, but why are the “Bush tax cuts” playing such a big part in the future years when they mostly expire after this year?

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
10:37 am

Taxpayer,

“So, why would the Republicans complain about following their own plan.”

That would assume that Republicans actually had/have a plan…

Halftrack

June 29th, 2010
10:37 am

Jay; If you would open your eyes, ears and mind to what is going on in the world, you would see that even the EU socialist realize that they have to cut spending. Think with some common sense, You’re going to charge more on your credit card to stimulate yourself out of debt? The private sector is the group that provides the money to run the government. The economy is now that government owes salaries more than the income from the private sector produces. Small business’s can not borrow money to expand, or do things to produce job openings. The common American has not been helped by any of Obummer’s administration polices or new laws yet. Are you better off today than you were at the end of Bush’s term as president? In 2011 all of the old tax cuts jump up to higher levels, plus some new added ones. Go figure and doodle on some soft rolled paper.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
10:38 am

Kam – how have YOU been??? sorry about your boys …

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:38 am

Pat writes in his opening statement:

“Let’s ignore the fact that revenue increase 20% as a result of the Bush tax cuts. ”

Let’s not ignore the fact that his statement is a lie, plain and simple, a fabrication created so that Pat and others like him won’t have to face the truth.

Here’s the truth:

In 2001, when Bush took office, federal revenue was $2.2 trillion. It did not reach that level again until 2006, five years later. It peaked in 2007 at $2.4 trillion, an increase of less than 10 percent over a six-year period. When Bush left office in 2009, total federal revenue was less than it was the year he took office. (All numbers in constant 2005 dollars, to account for inflation.)

For comparison’s sake, let’s look at government revenue under Bill Clinton. In 1993, when he took office, it was $1.5 trillion. By 2001, when he left, it was $2.2 trillion, an increase of close to 50 percent (again, in constant 2005 dollars, to take out the effects of inflation.)

Those are the facts; that is the truth, the kind of thing you discover when you cite historical sources rather than hysterical sources.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
10:38 am

NIF, while you are struggling to answer the actions of the Dem Congress between Jan, 2007 and August 2008 that led to economy to crash, maybe you can add this little ditty to your research.

What did the GOP Congress do to FIX the economy when they had control between Jan, 1995 and Jan, 2007?

Thanks in advance…

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
10:38 am

“but why are the “Bush tax cuts” playing such a big part in the future years when they mostly expire after this year?”

If you have a huge credit card debt…does it automatically go away if you get a small raise in salary?

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
10:38 am

haha

It really doesn’t matter. I feel that what I presented (at least the analysis of spending beliefs) was pretty objective. That is one of the main differences between the fiscal beliefs of conservatives/libertarians and liberals. As long as we continue to disagree on what the role of government should be, there will be no compromise. The problem is that one group of individuals (namely those who receive government benefits, whether it be welfare, unemployment, Medicare, or SS) has zero incentive to vote for people who want to cut one of the biggest parts of our budget. It only makes sense, if you understand human behavior. And the more people who become dependent on the government, the fewer the people who will look at the situation objectively and do what’s best for the country as a whole.

Bill McNeeley

June 29th, 2010
10:39 am

This article illustrates the maxim, “There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.” (Mark Twain).

A private sector employee

June 29th, 2010
10:40 am

As always, the point is what is Obama doing about the CURRENT deficits, CURRENT unemployment, CURRENT oil spills.

Obama gets a pass for the first year…

….. and then he has to take the fall for continuing huge unsustainable deficits, entrenched unemployment that was supposed to be solved by a trillion in stimulus spending, rising medicare costs that were supposed to be tamed by cuts that have not materialized, and for a failing war in Afghanistan that he has pretty much neglected.

If my wife charges up our credit cards, I can’t blame her if I then max them out. Bush charged up the nation’s credit card, and Obama is maxing it out. Obama doesn’t get by with saying, “well Bush charged it up so I HAVE to max it out”.

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
10:41 am

jewcowboy

Pretty good with me. Mom’s in the hospital and I am going to see her today. I noticed a late night post of yours several days ago about trippin’ over shoes and I haven’t seen much from you since.

Recovering from a loss takes time—don’t let anyone tell you about how you should be over it by now. Only you can set that schedule.

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
10:42 am

Actually, the real Republican plan is to bankrupt the US so the power mongers backing the GOP can step in and pick up everything that they want for pennies on the dollar. They almost pulled it off but GW backed down at the last minute and bailed out Wall Street. That’s why GW is now a party outcast. The Republicans can no longer claim the man as their hero. He cowered when faced with depression.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
10:43 am

With all the problems in the country, do you know who the luckiest man in the World is? ……….John McCain. Man, did he dodge a bullet. And the luckiest company?…..Toyota. Have you heard anything about runaway cars since the oil spill began?

DEEP THROAT

June 29th, 2010
10:43 am

Did you hear the story of the Dem and the Rep walked outside of the capital building, it was a beautiful day, not a cloud in the sky, the temperature was moderate. Just one of those days one would like to stay outside all day. The Republican commented on how nice the weather was, the Democrat said he thinks it’ll rain.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:43 am

Southern Comfort, government does create wealth. Let’s take the much-maligned TSA, which conducts security checks at airports.

In the aftermath of 9/11, the airlines were close to collapse. Nobody wanted to fly because of security concerns. The federal goverment, through TSA and other means, addressed that problem and allowed privately owned airlines to continue to operate.

One example of many many many.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
10:45 am

I will tell you why the country is financial trouble. We lived the high life for the last 3 decades. We lived on borrowed money, and now we are living on borrowed time.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
10:46 am

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
10:27 am

…and don’t forget Cheney is EVIL!

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:46 am

And Kelly, that’s a nice, theoretical description of how conservatives like to think of themselves.

Now remind me again — how did conservatives ACTUALLY behave when they had control of government for so long?

Actually no, don’t remind me. The memories are painfully fresh.

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
10:48 am

Kelly

Purely from an objective point, your original statement attempts to cast conservatives in a good way. You then, use the same thing to attempt to cast liberals in a bad way. If that were not the case, you would have provided information about liberals other than the “(and even those who aren’t citizens).” talking point.

How can one be a conservative who believes in limited government, yet you advocate:
“That would entail having a military and funding military ventures, police funding, and funding for firefighters. That would also include passing laws that protect one citizen from another.”
Much of the military spending we do is not for soldiers as much as it is for systems and equipment that is completely unusable in our current engagements. Anytime a budget crisis happens, police and fire are the first to get the ax (along with teachers).

I haven’t quite figured that about the political factions. They both pay lip service to goups but don’t really have their backs when the chips are down.

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
10:48 am

USinUK

We made it out of group play, so a better result than four years ago. My major concern has been for the health of current and future Blue Lions. If Jose Mourinho takes the helm a Real Madrid, I’m looking for a major shake-up in Europe especially Chelsea. Drogba and Lamps may be leaving and I don’t see any room for two huge egos at Madrid, so pretty boy is probably coming back to Sir Alex.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
10:48 am

Those are the facts; that is the truth, the kind of thing you discover when you cite historical sources rather than hysterical sources.

Oh Jay, that was too good! Bravo!

Joseph

June 29th, 2010
10:49 am

Great piece in the FT today about how Brazil got its (debt) house in order and is now relatively thriving. The great thing is that we will see how NJ, Indiana, Minn, and other states who are betting that cutting gov’t and cutting corporate taxes will do versus Ca, Ill, and others. Do charts all day long if you want- my money is with the more disciplined. What is interesting from Bookman and Tucker is daily in the AJC are stories of massive govt corruption and waste and guess what, lower income individuals being laid off. You two are being spun like a top by a clown and his joke of a staff. Bush was inept- he is gone- the only recipe is fiscal responsibility.

Matti

June 29th, 2010
10:50 am

The truth exists independently of how we feel about it. I’m so bored with people injecting their feelings and opinions into a discussion in which they’ve already dismissed facts as irrelevant. We cannot begin to enact “what should be” until we deal with what IS.

This mess did not happen over night, and it is not the result of one single idealogical faction’s decisions to the exclusion of others. Blame is abundant, and there’s plenty to go around. But more importantly, effective solutions require more than just shared blame; they require shared responsibility. Hanging on to partisan bitterness is SO NOT HELPING.

A private sector employee

June 29th, 2010
10:51 am

“For comparison’s sake, let’s look at government revenue under Bill Clinton. In 1993, when he took office, it was $1.5 trillion. By 2001, when he left, it was $2.2 trillion, an increase of close to 50 percent (again, in constant 2005 dollars, to take out the effects of inflation.)”

Revenues under Bill Clinton were primarily due to a false stock market bubble.. I bubble that popped and left George Bush with a recession that was further compounded by 9/11. Which is why:

“In 2001, when Bush took office, federal revenue was $2.2 trillion. It did not reach that level again until 2006, five years later.”

It’s misleading to the point of lying to pick and choose your facts like this, Jay. You can fool your progressive myrmidons, but any rational person looking at the economy will know the truth. I could also point out that Clinton’s budgets were “shepherded” by a Republican Congress. Our current Democratic Congress, which writes the budget, has been in control since 2006. Using those two factoids, it is CLEAR that the Republican controlled congress did far better for far longer than the current Democrat controlled Congress. The Congress of Newt Gingrich proved to be FAR superior to the Congress of Nancy Pelosi.

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
10:52 am

Jay

The government did not create the wealth. They created an environment in which the airlines could create that wealth. The government does not operate any airlines, reservation lines, or ticket counters.

Using that, I could say government created Norfolk Southern’s wealth and J.B. Hunt’s wealth since the government was involved with creating the railroads and highways.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
10:53 am

Matti

June 29th, 2010
10:50 am

Hanging on to partisan bitterness is SO NOT HELPING.

Matti,
Good post and I agree.

But it was still Bush’s fault… ;) … And Cheney was evil…

Bosch

June 29th, 2010
10:53 am

And Kelly,

Please explain to us all how you are being objective when you assume incorrectly?

BryanW

June 29th, 2010
10:54 am

It’s funny and sad to see how everyone ignores the point of what Jay wrote and goes off to the races with the usual ideological arguments.
It can be boiled down to this: We have a deficit because of Medicare, Medicaid, defense spending, social security and interest on the debt. Because these are so huge, you could eliminate absolutely everything else the government does and the government would still be in the red. Bush and the GOP cut taxes insisting that it would not add to the deficit. But the deficit went up, right away, and stayed high throughout his entire administration. Anyone who thinks Obama and the Dems are the only ones to blame for the deficit is not a serious person.

Bosch

June 29th, 2010
10:54 am

“And Cheney was evil…”

No Normal – he STILL is. :-)

Dave

June 29th, 2010
10:54 am

Real Jobs Create Wealth

“So creating jobs is not difficult for government. What is difficult for government is creating jobs that produce wealth. Pyramids, holes in the ground and war do not produce wealth. They destroy wealth. They take valuable resources and convert them into something less valuable.

Instead of iPods, great art, cures for diseases and machines that replace back-breaking work, we get the equivalent of digging holes and filling them up.

Under President Obama’s “stimulus” plan, jobs will be created to weatherize buildings, construct schools and wind turbines, and repair roads and bridges. But outside the market process, there is no way to know whether those are better uses of scarce capital than whatever would have been produced had it been left in the private economy.

Since government services are paid for through the compulsion of taxes, they have no market price. But without market prices, we have no way of knowing the importance that free people would place on those services versus other things they want.

So although we’ll see the government putting people to work and even some new schools and bridges, we won’t be able to calculate how much wealth we’ve lost because scarce resources were misallocated by the politicians.

Nevertheless, we can be sure we will have lost. If the government’s projects were truly worthwhile, they would be undertaken by private efforts, and in their quest for profits, entrepreneurs would handle them more efficiently.”

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
10:55 am

Kam – after our diiiiiiiiismal performance, I’m wondering if we’re going to see a shakeup across the board on how our clubs train / bring athletes up through the ranks, etc. There was a lot of chit-chat on the radio about emulating Germany’s system – but that’ll take money and the results won’t be fast …

me, I’m wondering if Capello will survive the week – Redknapp has said he would be interested in the post (hell, for £6M/year, I would be, too) …

more to the point, I’m more interested to see if FIFA is going to install more technology given the TRAGIC referreeing over the last couple of weeks …

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/world-cup-2010/7860378/World-Cup-2010-Fifa-president-Sepp-Blatter-apologises-to-FA-over-Frank-Lampard-goal.html

Bosch

June 29th, 2010
10:55 am

“Anyone who thinks Obama and the Dems are the only ones to blame for the deficit is not a serious person.”

But that never really stops the wingnuts here.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
10:55 am

Private Sector, Pat made a verifiable claim that Bush tax cuts increased revenue by 20 percent; I merely proved him wrong. My figures are absolutely accurate.

I also find it fascinating to see you forgive Bush on the grounds that he took office as the internet bubble was bursting, while conservatives absolutely refuse to extend that same forgiveness to Obama, who took office during an economic calamity that makes the internet bubble look like nothing.

Why is that?

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

Dave

June 29th, 2010
10:36 am

BRAVO!! *Applause*

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

SoCo,

Notice that I did not say that military funding was perfect or that there weren’t areas that could or should be cut. I’m sure that some money is spent in ways that I would not agree with. However, since I am not conducting a line-item review of each portion of the budget, I am speaking in generalities. In the same way, I don’t advocate totally cutting welfare. My family was on it briefly when I was a child, and I am so grateful that it was there. However, my mother, who worked several jobs to get us out of welfare and on our won, is the exception. Most people maintain entire lifestyles on welfare and spend their days trying to game the system. I know–I have been there and seen it. So while welfare is good for those who use it properly, it can and should be reformed. I feel that is it much more wasteful than many other areas.

You are right that policement, firefighters, and teachers are the first to get axed. I have never agreed with this but always understood it. The smart thing to do would be to cut benefits to those who aren’t providing services to the community. However, those who are working to protect us and teach our children are cut first. Why? Because, as I said, those who receive government benefits do not like to lose them. They learn to depend on them and get very angry (and show it at the voting booth) when they are taken away. So the right thing to do isn’t the politically expedient thing to do.

@ Jay

I think that’s kind of a silly sweeping generalization that you yourself know is not intellectually honest. To say that Republican = conservative is like saying Democrat = liberal. Not always. Generally, we think of it that way, but it’s not always true. I have voted for Democrats before (locally of course) that were more conservative the the Republican. And I’ll do it again in the future, I’m sure.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

101ST!!

YEA BABY!!!

WHO’s ya daddy!

pat

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

Really Jay?
“Growth in Federal Tax Revenues From 2003 to 2006
Total federal revenues grew by about $625 billion, or 35 percent, between fiscal year 2003 and fiscal year 2006.”

http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/81xx/doc8116/05-18-TaxRevenues.pdf

Is the CBO one of your “hysterical” soruces?

Huckabee The Next POTUS 2013

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

You know what kind of blog it will be when Jay starts it out with “The Truth”, what a joke.

DEEP THROAT

June 29th, 2010
10:56 am

Jay 10:38,
You are always giving enough fact and omitting enough fact to make your side look like something it is not. At the end of Clinton’s term we were sliding into a recession. Although that recession started under Clinton’s watch you and all this other bleeding heart liberals blamed Bush.
Such hypocrite’s.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
10:57 am

“Real Jobs Create Wealth” … much better than fake ones.

BOSCH!!! Mon Ami!!! been waiting for you so I could share yesterday’s Daily Mail headline:

“If ‘The Few’ had defended us like the England team, we’d all be speaking German now”

:-)

Bosch

June 29th, 2010
10:57 am

USinUK,

Wow, those headlines in the UK were hard core!!!!!

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
10:57 am

BryanW

June 29th, 2010
10:54 am

Polite golf clap, followed by a loud GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAALLLLLLLLLL!!!!!! (in honor of the World Cup)

Bosch

June 29th, 2010
10:58 am

USinUK,

Yes, I saw that one…..wow, you guys don’t mix words.

Fix-It

June 29th, 2010
10:58 am

Gator Joe,
You and your ilk always think that cutting spending only means slashing social security, Medicare and Military cuts. Here is a 2 step program that even a liberal could understand, first, social security, Medicare and Military retirement money that is collected is used ONLY for that purpose. Second since the PEOPLE of this country are having a tough time so should our government jobs, cut all government workers pay by 15% across the board. That is pretty simple why won’t they do it?

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
10:59 am

The Obama stimulus was supposedly going to keep unemployment below 8%.
But lettuce not quibble. ITS BUSHs FAULT!!!

Obama is not gonna raise taxes…he is just gonna let the Bush tax cuts expire…ITS BUSHs FAULT!!!

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:00 am

SoCo, Gov’t DID help create Norfolk Southern’s wealth. The vast giveaways of federal land and other subsidies to the railroad companies contributed enormously to the values of those companies. Gov’t heavily subsidized railroads in the 19th century as a matter of course. Atlanta was built around a railroad that the Georgia Legislature created and subsidized with taxpayers’ money back in the 1830s and 1840s.

ConYea West

June 29th, 2010
11:00 am

George Bush hates black people. ITS BUSHs FAULT!!

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:00 am

pat – “Total federal revenues grew by about $625 billion, or 35 percent, between fiscal year 2003 and fiscal year 2006″

:lol:

geez, pat – nice of you to totally ignore the 2 Bush recessions.

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:00 am

Call me a liar will you….

http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/displayafact.cfm?Docid=200

Put in pipe, smoke away. Spending is the problem, not income. If you spend more than you make you go in to debt….Not Quantum Mechanics we’re talking about.

Kamchak

June 29th, 2010
11:01 am

USinUK

Funny that they don’t identify exactly what this “goal line technology” is.There has been talk about micro-chipping the ball, and I remember hearing several years ago that Adidas had already developed a chipped ball.

Instant Replay—HELL NO!

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:02 am

Bosch – “Wow, those headlines in the UK were hard core!!!!!”

as are our football fans.

heck, even the BBC commentators were saying they were pathetic, shambolic, dreadful … talk about not mincing words!

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
11:02 am

Kelly

I’m following you better now, but didn’t Clinton and his Republican Congress overhaul welfare? From a pure budget point, we could completely eliminate all welfare (to include subisdies), and that would still not have a signigicant impact on our budget. The problem is that we have chickensh*t politicians who choose to kick the can down the road instead of making serious and sometimes hard decisions on the spot.

We’re responsible for this though, as we keep electing the same breed of idiots over and over.

Miss Informed

June 29th, 2010
11:02 am

Washington, D.C.- The Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR) conducted a poll of people leaving the AmericaSpeaks 21st Century Town Meeting sessions on June 26th. The poll of 74 participants revealed a surprising lack of knowledge among people who had just sat through a 6.5 hour-long discussion of the budget.

For example, the vast majority had no idea how large the budget deficit had been in the years just before the recession sent it soaring. 84.2 percent believed that the country had large budget deficits (greater than 2.0 percent of GDP) just prior to the recession began at the end of 2007. Only 10.5 percent realized that the deficit was relatively small (1.9 percent of GDP in 2006 and 1.3 percent in 2007) in the years just before the downturn. Fully 48.7 percent answered that the deficit was more than 5.0 percent in the years just before the downturn, which would imply a very large deficit.

This lack of knowledge on key issues raises questions about the usefulness of the exercise. It is striking that people would have such a long period of time to devote to learning about and discussing the country’s budget and economic problems and yet were still seriously misinformed on several key issues. It appears that this effort was not very successful in educating the participants.

Peadawg

June 29th, 2010
11:02 am

“Anyone who thinks Obama and the Dems are the only ones to blame for the deficit is not a serious person.”

Anyone who thinks Bush and the Republicans are the only ones to blame for the deficit is not a serious person. There, fixed your typo!

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:03 am

USinUK, first recession was inherrited by the “New economy” as touted by Clinton. The “dot bombs” if you will.
Aside from that fact, I was talking the raw numbers of pure tax uptake by the government.
Naturally tax revenues drop durring recessions.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:04 am

Kam – there are 2 different technologies in question, I think:

1) goal line cameras and
2) chipping the ball

when our 1H goal wasn’t recognized, the first words out of the commentators’ mouths were “Fifa says they can’t afford the technology – I wonder how much profit they’re going to make from the Cup” …

I think the days without instant replay (at a minimum) are numbered.

(as it should be)

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:05 am

Pat – “first recession was inherrited by the “New economy” as touted by Clinton”

ahhhhh … so this recession WAS Obama’s fault, but the Bush recession was Clinton’s fault.

gottit.

thanks.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:06 am

Pat – “Aside from that fact, I was talking the raw numbers of pure tax uptake by the government”

and, again, you limited your purview to the 3 years (out of 8) in which there was growth rather than the entire tenure.

cherry-picking …. it’s not just for terrorism intel, anymore.

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
11:06 am

Ok, you got me on that one Jay. However, I believe that the government creates the environment for the companies to flourish most of the time. Whether it’s done because of “campaign contributions” or for the general benefit of the public is up to debate.

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:09 am

USinUK, look at the other link.

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
11:10 am

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_States_federal_budget

Here’s the 2010 budget (don’t you love Wiki??). Notice the “Other Mandatory” category. From previous budgets, you can see this includes mainly welfare and unemployment. It was $571 billion in 2010. The “mandatory” category (which I don’t see as mandatory at all, but I digress…) total is $2.2 trillion, including SS, Medicaid/Medicare, and welfare and unemployment. To get rid of those programs or pare them back would be a HUGE help to the deficits, both budget and national.

And I would totally agree with you on our politicians. I wish we had term limits instead of these morons whose only care is the next election. They care nothing about what is best, only what their name is remembered for and reelection.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:11 am

Lord Help Us

The economy failed under that Congress. And now in order to justify that, you want me to list what they did to diminish consumer confidence? Do you really think that is a reasonable question? Do I really need to list the legislature that they enacted?

How about if you list the legislature that the Republicans enacted between 1994 and 2006 that caused what you believe to be the decline of the economy, even though it was still strong when the dims took over.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:12 am

the truth, the kind of thing you discover when you cite historical sources rather than hysterical sources.

filed under “why I keep coming back to this otherwise Gawdforsaken place.”

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:12 am

Pat, if you want to select a particular time frame and look only at that time frame, fine. But the overall numbers for gov’t revenue under Bush are dismal, as I documented. Again, it took five years for revenue to recover just to even.

It seems that you too want to excuse Bush on the grounds of a relatively minor recession that he inherited from Clinton, while refusing to do the same for Obama, even though he inherited a collapsing economy that was in far more serious shape, the worst since the Great Depression.

Why is that?

TM

June 29th, 2010
11:12 am

As I read the chart Bush’s tax cuts make up a substantial part of the deficit after they expire in 2011. Souldn’t that part of the chart be removed after 2011?

Grumpy

June 29th, 2010
11:13 am

Those Fannie and Freddie figures are fantsay. They’re going to be far more damaging than these clowns predict.

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
11:13 am

I will also say that I have yet to meet a person who thinks SS is a good idea (except those who are receiving it, of course). It is essentially a Ponzi scheme, where you collect from the young and cross your fingers you have enough left in the pot to give it back to them when they are 62. Amazing that Madoff can get arrested for that, but the government just goes on about its business.

Seriously, reform is needed. Of course, Bush tried that, but no one liked the “everyone save for yourself the way a responsible person would” idea. Personal responsibility? What’s that??

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:14 am

Jay

**I also find it fascinating to see you forgive Bush on the grounds that he took office as the internet bubble was bursting, while conservatives absolutely refuse to extend that same forgiveness to Obama, who took office during an economic calamity that makes the internet bubble look like nothing.**

I find it interesting that you continue to want to blame the economy on Bush while ignoring the role that Congress played. Obama inherited a Democratic Congress that had already had two years to screw up the economy.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:15 am

Huckabee, I agree with you. Whenever someone begins a sentence with “OK, I am going to tell you the truth”, THE NEXT WORDS THAT WILL COME OUT OF HIS MOUTH WILL BE LIES.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
11:15 am

Regardless of fault it will be fun watching Obama attempt to con his way out of this mess.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:15 am

“Anyone who thinks Bush and the Republicans are the only ones to blame for the deficit is not a serious person.”

Peadawg, I agree.

BryanW

June 29th, 2010
11:16 am

Peadawg, we have a big budget deficit because the country lives beyond its means, spending more than we take in. The big areas we spend money on are Medicare, defense, Medicaid and interest on the debt. If we are ever to get it under control, people have to make hard choices about spending. We have to ask, for instance, whether we can afford the massive unprecedented defense commitments we have made. But most people don’t understand where the money goes and politicians have told them they can have their cake and eat it too.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:16 am

It’s misleading to the point of lying to pick and choose your facts like this, Jay.

[...]

Our current Democratic Congress, which writes the budget, has been in control since 2006.

since 2006?

And you’re accusing Jay of lying?

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
11:16 am

Fannie and Freddie need BILLIONS more just to break even.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:17 am

pat – I did look at the other link – and I saw a 27% increase in revenues from FY 2001 to FY 2008 vs, a 75% increase from FY 1993 to FY 2000.

ty webb

June 29th, 2010
11:17 am

OBAMA 2010! Hope…Change…Inherited!

Okay, I’ll concede that this is the bush administratiions fault. their policies set this in motion. Since it’s already been brought up by another commenter, who’s national defense policies preceded Bush’s and just how far into bush’s 1st term did 9/11 happen? If we can hang the current deficit around bush’s neck, Surely we can hang 9/11 around clinton’s. Anyone…Anyone…Bueller…I won’t hold my breath. And I’ll save amvet some time and just say “neocon”.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
11:17 am

Okay, punching in…time keeper has been reviewing records of our time on blog… :-)

Bosch–There you are!

SoCo

The government created the wealth from the railroads, eh? Even the FEDERAL government…hmmm… :-)

The thread…? The only thing I ever learned about the whole concept of economics was, if you spend more than you take in, it’s in the red and that’s not good. If you spend less than you take in, it’s in the black, and that’s good.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
11:18 am

Bosch, Good Morning!

Got a kitty story for ya. I was in was mart to pick up a bag of litter when I saw one of those laser light thingies that shine the red dot on the floor for cats to chase. I bought it but on the way home I started worrying about a couple of my kitties. One, Hero, is such a scaredy
cat and Baby is souch a “blonde”, I didn’t think they’d like it.

Long story short, my biggest cats, Bubba (19lbs) and Stewart (18 lbs),
and Tiger, (18lbs), took one look at the light moving and ran like their tails were smokin’. Hero, Baby and Taz acted like cats and chased it all over the living room. The funniest thing to me was I would run the light into the fireplace and turn it off. They would sit on the hearth and look all over for the “critter”. What a hoot! Cats, gotta love ‘em…

The reat

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
11:18 am

Thats a wrap! LUUUNNNNCCHH!!!!!

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:18 am

“since 2006? And you’re accusing Jay of lying?”

yep. the minute they won the election, they drove up to DC and took over. in fact, the minute they won the election, they hopped in the way-back machine and took over Congress as of 1 January 2006 – that’s just how powerful they are …

oy.

Drifter

June 29th, 2010
11:18 am

You might be right that it’s going to take a combination of reduced spending and tax increases. For many years, I bought into the premise that tax cuts would stimulate the economy and actually increase revenue. Maybe it did, but the Republicans always increased spending or cut taxes further to negate that affect. All you have to do is look at who was in office when the deficit went up and down to see that the only ones who address the deficit are Democrats. I hope Obama gets a handle on it, but so far all he’s done is add to it.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:19 am

Everyone (including me), look in the mirror. You and I are why this country is failing. Either by our direct action, or inaction. Change your fiscal habits, save more money, use less resources, demand honest government, work harder.

mrs. w.

June 29th, 2010
11:19 am

Okay. It’s Bush’s fault. If I concede that will you kindly tell me where the accountability is at this point with the Obama administration? He is currently the POTUS so he has to have some accountability. Why are we still spending so much of our tax money on so much B.S.?

500 mil. for ex jailbirds to be rehabilitated into being better fathers – how many billion to Brazil? And for what? You know as well as I do that this list could go on and on. You may say that 500 mil. isn’t that much but I wonder how many hours, how many tax payers have to work to pay that much in taxes. It all adds up. We need to only be dealing with the critical issues at this point and STOP using tax payer funded programs to buy votes which is what much of these programs are for in my opinion. Fix what is broken, no matter who broke it and then deal with the less pressing issues.

Kelly

June 29th, 2010
11:19 am

@ ty

Bahaha! Nice Bueller reference. ;-)

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
11:19 am

“However, I believe that the government creates the environment for the companies to flourish most of the time.”

Soco…*I* would say: that’s how it SHOULD be, but the problem is that too often the government only creates an environment where SOME companies flourish.

Scooter (the Original)

June 29th, 2010
11:20 am

Bush, Bush, Bush and no mention of Congress… who controls the purse strings and enacts legislation. Factually, there is record of Bush saying that congress needed to tighten oversight of Fannie and Freddie. There is also recors of Barney Frank saying that was the same old GOP unduly picking on poor people, like a typical democrat, and Nancy Pelosi saying democrats shared no part in creating the mess, again, like a typical democrat. Well those toxic assets entered the financial markets somehow and most of them came through Freddie and Fannie. We are trying to blame the financial markets for what they did with a toxin that was delivered to them by liberal underwriting policies.

Ultimately, Bush’s TARP intended to stabilize the financial markets and the stimulus was centralized control over a recovery. The financial markets are wobbly but steady and the green shoots are… where? If Bush was responsible for 9/11 and its economic fallout, as well as recovering from the dot com bust, Obama is responsible for this. Don’t get it twisted Jay.

mm

June 29th, 2010
11:20 am

I believe NIF is really Rush in drag. Never sees a fact he can’t lie his way out of.

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
11:20 am

when are you people going to wake up and smell the rose colored glasses? I hate to get all Carlinist on your behinds, but why do you think Rahm Emmanuel said, “never let a good crisis go to waste”? (cue Jeopardy music) – because every crisis we’ve endured has been planned, or at the very least “managed” by those who benefit most from a crisis (politicians and their corporate masters). the very of the world “fault” is pointless. this is how we roll (or how “they” roll) in Washington. let’s look at the housing debacle. whether greed, or in response to Clinton’s push, banks began to write loans. in order to “profit” from this, the banks securitized these debts and sold them which made them assets, but the buyers wanted “insurance”. intersetingly enough, the buyers knew this was a bad investment, but they also knew the “insurance” was worth more (think of the $90 million in TARP money that flowed through AIG to Goldman Sachs). I have been hyper-critical of Bush for many things – tax cuts and war cannot be ingored, but does anyone think he was capable of undertstanding this? Hank Paulson (his Sec Tres) understood. The same with the wars. Everyone knew Bush was going to invade Iraq. The dems/liberals who supported him made a cynical, political choice; without considering the economics because, like Cheney and Reagan, to a politician, “deficits don’t matter”. The “boom and bust” nature of our economy is in its dna. It is the rule, not the exception. What do you folks think is behind “short selling”? Investors (actually, gamblers) are betting an asset or business will lose value, and with the power of hedge funds, they can almost make the act a self-fulfilling prophecy. We’re through the looking glass, folks; assets (owning stock, real estate) are liabilities and debts are cash cows for those who trade them.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:20 am

Total federal revenues grew by about $625 billion, or 35 percent, between fiscal year 2003 and fiscal year 2006.”

But there was some major, huge, real-big additional expense from Team Bush that swallered up all them recovery-revenue gains, can’t remember what it was… think it rhymed with “kayak”… help me out here…

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
11:22 am

To get rid of those programs or pare them back would be a HUGE help to the deficits, both budget and national.

Those programs have been cut and robbed from so often, I don’t think anyone knows the real purposes for them anymore. Getting rid of them would ease a lot of financial strain on the budget. However, I think the personal finance strain for many Americans would increase at the same time. There’s places where people depend on those programs to survive. Not because they are lazy and choose not to work, but because they’re too old to work or jobs are scarce in their area.

As much as I love Alabama (my home state), I would not move back right now even if I were forced by gunpoint. There’s no way I could work and provide for my family there. The amount of jobs available and the corresponding pay is nowhere near what I have available here in the Metro Atlanta area. I think there’s a need for those programs, just as there’s a need for some of the military spending. We have to have sensible people at the controls to know the difference between good and bad spending.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:23 am

To all politicians;……When you are in a hole, STOP DIGGING!

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
11:23 am

ty webb,

9/11 was 8 months into Bush’s term, and the economic collapse we are trying to dig ourselves out of now was in Bush’s term…

But neither were strictly the fault of Bush and Republicans, and neither are they strictly the fault of Clinton/Obama and Democrats…

I'm here from the government and I'm here to help

June 29th, 2010
11:23 am

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs…Jobs, Jobs, Jobs…Jobs, Jobs, Jobs…Jobs, Jobs, Jobs…

Any questions?

Grumpy

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

TM, you are 100% right, but the lefties don’t have any spine. If those tax cuts are so horrible, they should fully let them expire! CALL THEIR BLUFF, as President Obama has said!

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

Kelly,

Your monthly prebate check is in the mail. Sorry for the delay.

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

Tax reciepts between 2000 and 2008:
2000 2,025.2
2001 1,991.1
2002 1,853.1
2003 1,782.3
2004 1,880.1

2005 2,153.6
2006 2,406.9
2007 2,568.0
2008 2,524.0

The intake in 2008 was 25% higher than in 2000. 2001 – 2003 were recession years. Between 2005 and 2008 it increase signifigantly.

Again for all to see:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/Content/Excel/fed_receipt_sum_historical.xls

scrappy

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

mrs. w – the 500mil was just proposed and not actually implemented. scratch that one off of your whine list

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

mm

If you have an argument, please post it. If you want to continue to whine, knock yourself out.

I don’t expect a valid argument. If you had what it takes to stage a valid argument, you wouldn’t be posting this same old crap that you always post.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
11:24 am

“how many billion to Brazil?”

Gotta keep them lies going. Try this answer: none

Sandra

June 29th, 2010
11:25 am

Matti,
You are absolutely correct! Thanks for the courage to say so. When will we look to solutions instead of blame? When will we look to working together instead of espousing political positions that most likely have nothing to do with the pure facts of a situation.
Jay, you were trying to state the facts. Unfortunately, most people never let facts get in the way of politics and hatred.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:25 am

Don’t boycott BP, keep them in business so they can pay for the spill. Boycott LA and San Fran, support AZ.

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
11:25 am

The Obama administration and Dem congress could have overturned the tax cuts before they were scheduled to run out next year, and O added to the war costs by sending more troops into Afghanistan instead of brining everyone home. Or you could just put up a graph showing the SS and Medicare annual outlays alone exceed the entire deficit every year for the next hundred years. But you won’t because the Dems (Roosevelt and Johnson) are responsible for those debacles.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:25 am

BadaBing – I never thought I’d say this, but well said for your 11:19.

ty webb

June 29th, 2010
11:25 am

Jewcowboy,
nice. you almost sound like a reasonable person. j/k

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
11:26 am

Doggone @ 11:19

Agreed!!!

Kelly @ 11:13

If you can, find someone old enough to remember the Great Depression. You’d be amazed at the viewpoints you’d get from elders who have lived thru different historical events.

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:26 am

I agree Stands for Decibles Bush spent too much, and obama is spending way, waaaaaay waaaaaaaaaay, too much.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
11:28 am

Jay,

In at least two of your responses, you noted that government revenues adjusted for inflation reached the same level in 2006 as they were in 2001. In other words, the government had the same level of income WITH LOWER TAX RATES. People had more money in their pockets (a good thing), and the government had just as much money (a good thing).

Obviously, tax cuts produce a short term revenue hit to government, but your data seems to confirm that in the long term helps government revenue (or at least not have a detrimental effect). I think it is also true that the more effeciently an economy is performing, there are less negative effects to raising taxes or postive effect to lowering taxes.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:28 am

the minute they won the election, they drove up to DC and took over. in fact, the minute they won the election, they hopped in the way-back machine

now that’s a lie.

Everyone knows it was actually the WABAC machine.

ken R

June 29th, 2010
11:29 am

Jay,

The only thing that I learned about Obama is that he is a outright liar, this is what we learned from him.

If this was a conservative chart and it didn’t read what you wanted it to read it sure as hell wouldn’t be on this site.

Please tell the rest of us exactly when you and other liberals will stop the blame game and take responsibility for your actions?????????

The only thing that will help our country is after November when the conservatives take over and create a gridlock, this is what happened during the Clinton era and we were in pretty good shape fiscally.

Please show us that chart.

ty webb

June 29th, 2010
11:30 am

my wayback machine is broken down. Looking on ebay for a cheap flux capacitor.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:31 am

I will also say that I have yet to meet a person who thinks SS is a good idea

I do.

This guy does.

Neither of us are currently receiving a dime from it. So that’s two you’ve met, now.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:31 am

Sandra

Please learn the difference between blame and causes. We can’t fix anything until we learn why it happened.

Economy booming in 2006. Congress is taken over by Democrats in 2007.

Economy still booming in 2007.

By 2008, the economy had started slowing considerably. Now two years later and being under complete Democratic rule for two years and Congressional rule for almost four years, the economy is in the crapper.

Perhaps a Congress that got in office to FIX things should have actually FIXED things, if anything was actually wrong.

A private sector employee

June 29th, 2010
11:31 am

“I also find it fascinating to see you forgive Bush on the grounds that he took office as the internet bubble was bursting, while conservatives absolutely refuse to extend that same forgiveness to Obama, who took office during an economic calamity that makes the internet bubble look like nothing.

Why is that?”

I can’t speak for Conservatives, I can only reiterate what I wrote previously further up the page:

Obama gets a pass for the first year…

….. and then he has to take the fall for continuing huge unsustainable deficits, entrenched unemployment that was supposed to be solved by a trillion in stimulus spending, rising medicare costs that were supposed to be tamed by cuts that have not materialized, and for a failing war in Afghanistan that he has pretty much neglected.

If my wife charges up our credit cards, I can’t blame her if I then max them out. Bush charged up the nation’s credit card, and Obama is maxing it out. Obama doesn’t get by with saying, “well Bush charged it up so I HAVE to max it out”.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:31 am

“Between 2005 and 2008 it increase signifigantly”

um. well. 17% of 27% is significant, yes … but a 17% increase in and of itself isn’t much to break out into showtunes for (particularly when you compare it to the 51% growth we saw during the Reagan recovery or the 45% growth we saw during the 1977-1980 recovery)

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:32 am

LOL. Jay’s hypocrisy is laughable as usual.

He starts off by sneering, “They give people a story line, an explanation for why the world is as it is and why their side isn’t to blame.”

Then he goes right on to give an explanation for why the world is as it is and why their side isn’t to blame, all the while foolishly sneering at his peers on the right who are doing the exact same thing. Apparently, Jay lacks any sense of self-awareness.

If there is a teeny part of Jay’s brain that functions beyond repitilian partisnship perhaps he would understand that he is exactly the person who he lives to hate, just a liberal version of them.

So of course silly people like Jay or Olbermann will say it is all Bush’s fault and their peers on the right Michael Savage and Glenn Beck will say it is all Obama’s fault. Then the rational and/or gown up people will roll their eyes and wish that all of the above clowns would all just shut up and let serious people try to solve problems. Let the partisan hacks go off on an island where they can live the fantasy that their stupid rigid ideology is the right one and everyone who does not subscribe to it is not only intrinsically wrong, but probably dumb and/or evil too. The rest of us would be far better off without their ignorant partisan dreck.

ken

June 29th, 2010
11:32 am

16,000 employees at the Dept. of energy. What the hey do they do? STOP THE SPENDING. STOP TRYING TO BUY VOTES.
Our government leaders could not run a 10 cent lemonade without messing it up.

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
11:33 am

Kelly,

“Of course, Bush tried that, but no one liked the “everyone save for yourself the way a responsible person would” idea. ”

Considering I’ve lost over 40% of the market value of my IRA since 2007, and have just recently started to see it growing again, I would rather not trust my entire fiscal well being when I no longer have earning potential to Wall Street.

Bush’s “reform” was simply a way to reward Wall Street contributors with a government mandated windfall…look at our current health reform for a Democrat example of this if you need one.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:33 am

dB (and Ty) – so THAT’S how you spell it!!

ahhhh … Rocky and Bullwinkle

which leads to the question – were 2 of the people caught in the spy ring Natasha Fatale and Boris Badinov???

Russ555

June 29th, 2010
11:34 am

Facts don’t like. The figures are accurate. But the past is past. Thing to do now is fix the deficit. Starting next year with the new Congress. We will see who is serious and who is blowing smoke.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
11:36 am

“I will also say that I have yet to meet a person who thinks SS is a good idea”

Allow me to introduce myself…

When we were raising the boys after their parents died, those checks were certainly welcome and made our job a LOT easier…

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
11:36 am

So, if we get rid of Social Security and Medicare and the corresponding taxes, exactly what impact will that have on the deficit.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
11:37 am

Jay write:

“Now remind me again — how did conservatives ACTUALLY behave when they had control of government for so long?”

You mean Republicans. Conservatives wouldn’t have created Medicare Part D, No Child Left Behind, or the Dept. of Homeland Security.

Democrats run into problems because they do what they say they are going to do. Republicans run into problems because they DON’T do what they say they are going to do.

pat

June 29th, 2010
11:37 am

USinUK, I have already been called a liar by Jay, so I can clearly show that I was in fact correct.
Throwing strawmen at me is not going to falsify the actual, raw numbers.

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:38 am

“Considering I’ve lost over 40% of the market value of my IRA since 2007, and have just recently started to see it growing again, I would rather not trust my entire fiscal well being when I no longer have earning potential to Wall Street.”

Yeah, I want my retirement tied to the fiscal solvency of the US. We all want our fate in the government’s hands and fiscal management. LOL

Better yet, I want my retirement to come from that magical money tree that liberals seem to think exists somewhere. It’s great that you don’t want your money tied to the economy’s performance and all, but let me know when you find that investment vehicle that is not subject to the economy’s performance.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
11:38 am

““I will also say that I have yet to meet a person who thinks SS is a good idea”

I do

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:40 am

“Democrats run into problems because they do what they say they are going to do. Republicans run into problems because they DON’T do what they say they are going to do.”

And mindless partisans make gross overgeneralizations. LOL

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
11:41 am

I’m here from… yeah, I have a question; what is a job? We keep hearing how this person created X number of jobs, and that one lost Y number of jobs. what is a job? One cannot “create” a job. The market creates jobs and if a person’s skills are no longer required by the market the job vanishes and never comes back. How many blacksmiths do you know? There are a few blacksmith gigs here and there, but Bush didn’t elimninate them (maybe Henry Ford, who was a capitalists, capitalist). Or, when a job can be performed for less, by somebody else (locally, or abroad), the job doesn’t go away. Excuse me, I have to get back to my job.

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:41 am

Doggone/GA –

How do we make SS solvent? Any clue?

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
11:42 am

And mindless partisans make gross overgeneralizations. LOL

You deserve a high-5 for that one!!!!

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:42 am

“Throwing strawmen at me is not going to falsify the actual, raw numbers”

strawmen?

I do not think that word means what you think it means.

it isn’t a strawman to refute your labelling 17% growth as “significant”- it’s a comparison to other recoveries which shows that 17% is actually pretty puny – in fact, it’s less than half the growth of the last 3 major recoveries …

… and it was then followed by the worst recession this country has seen in generations.

… “but other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play” …

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:43 am

“Or, when a job can be performed for less, by somebody else (locally, or abroad), the job doesn’t go away. ”

Don’t forget when jobs are eliminated due to automation and improved productivity. There is no government plan that can address that.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
11:43 am

USinUK

“Boris! You fool!”

I had a professor in college who used Boris and Natasha in his class on propaganda and the left’s circumvention of the McCarthy era…

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
11:44 am

mike,

“Better yet, I want my retirement to come from that magical money tree that liberals seem to think exists somewhere.”

That is not what I said, and I would hope you would realize that.

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
11:44 am

and i was not defending Bush. because when Obama “creates” a government job, he is also creating a debt to U.S. taxpayers.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
11:44 am

S.S. would have been a good idea if it were actually funded. As it is now, it is only a good idea for people born before 1965. If not, you are paying 6 or 7 percent AFTER TAX dollars into something that will only pay you anything if you 1) can take advantage of the insurance aspect, 2) are not otherwise well off, or 3) live to a VERY old age. How much money has NOT been saved by people thinking it would provide the bulk of their retirement income?

BryanW

June 29th, 2010
11:44 am

Russ555, if the GOP wins control of congress it won’t make a bit of difference. For the most part, they are not willing to make the hard political choices necessary to pay for the tax cuts they always make. Notice how in the recent health care debate, the GOP actually tried to use the Medicare cuts in the bill against it. In other words, they positioned themselves as DEFENDERS of Medicare spending for political advantage. They are not going to raise the Social Security age or close military bases or do any of the really important things that would make a real difference.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:46 am

To charge or not to charge……That is the question. Whether tis nobler at the time to accept financial responsibility, or to aquire goods and support the economy. AHH to sleep , perchance to dream. To dream of iPhones and Lexuses ( Luxi? ) , or by avoiding them, to sleep the sleep of a person with no debt? There lies the rub !

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:46 am

No Pat, you were not correct. Your use of 2003 as your base year is dishonest.

Let’s review:

You claimed that the Bush tax cuts increased federal revenue by 20 percent. The only way to gauge the accuracy of that claim is to compare gov’t revenue BEFORE the tax cuts and gov’t revenue AFTER the tax cuts. Before and after: That’s the only logical approach.

The tax cuts were enacted in 2001. Therefore, that must be the base year. And we’ve already covered what happened from 2001 onward.

You have chosen instead to use 2003 as your base year, which is well after the tax cuts had taken effect. You are comparing revenue AFTER tax cuts to revenue in another year AFTER tax cuts, which tells us nothing about your original claim.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
11:47 am

One of our most liberal, bleeding heart, caring, comforting, tolerant States is behaving in a SHAMEFUL manner.

Lawmakers Want State Money To Ship Out Homeless
Homeless Mainland Men Come To Hawaii For Benefits
http://www.kitv.com/news/24076002/detail.html

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
11:48 am

mike,

“Don’t forget when jobs are eliminated due to automation and improved productivity.”

An interesting article that I read the other day:

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/06/25/science/25voice.html

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:49 am

jo nix – “I had a professor in college who used Boris and Natasha in his class on propaganda and the left’s circumvention of the McCarthy era…”

out of curiosity – did he ever talk about Horton Hears a Hoo?? I always thought that was a mighty subversive story …

me, I liked my macro econ professor who started every Friday class with a Yogi Berra quote. :-) had nothing to do with the lesson, but it made discussions about the Laffer curve on Friday afternoons a lot easier to take …

dougmo2

June 29th, 2010
11:49 am

Jay;

1. Cuts yes, more taxes no.
2. Republicians were in control, NOT conservatives.Big differance.

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:51 am

“That is not what I said, and I would hope you would realize that.”

Well, that was the summation of the point I was making. I noticed that you steered clear of the substantive part of the argument and moved on to the least relevant point. Yes, now that you have demonstrated that you are a serious chap, you can actually address the argument I was making about the relative merits of SS vs a Wall Street based plan.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
11:51 am

“How do we make SS solvent? Any clue?”

http://money.cnn.com/2009/07/29/news/economy/fixing_social_security.fortune/index2.htm

I disagree with him on one thing, I would suggest we increase the SS payment to include ALL income. I see his arguments against that, but I don’t agree with them.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
11:51 am

Jay,

If tax rates were cut in 2001, how do you explain revenue reaching the same levels in 2006 as they were that year? Is it a bad thing that the government had the same amount of income adjusted for inflation, and millions of people had more money than they otherwise would have? Aren’t you making the case that tax cuts over the long haul raised government revenue? Where does the money go that people keep with lower taxes?

Obviously there is a point of diminishing returns, but are you saying we haven’t reached that point?

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:52 am

“Better yet, I want my retirement to come from that magical money tree that liberals seem to think exists somewhere.” — Mike.

“And mindless partisans make gross overgeneralizations. LOL” — Mike.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
11:52 am

A financial question. If I were to spend money today like there was no tomorrow, and the World ended tonight, would I be a genius or what?

ty webb

June 29th, 2010
11:52 am

“How do we make SS solvent? Any clue?”

What SS becoming insolvent? Not my money. Half is in “SS trust fund” and the other half is in a “lockbox”. And I’m calling BS on all the commenters saying they’re pleased with SS. With that return? you’ve got to be kidding me.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:53 am

JAy

Pat is asking you to take an intelligent look at RESULTS.

RESULTS. RESULTS.

Get it?

Not promises that the democrats were going to fix everything when they were elected in 2006. But THE RESULTS of what Republicans actually accomplished. Not promises. that’s what democrats live for: Promises.

ACCOMPLISHMENTS. See? If you start looking at the actual results of what politicians do, you might become smart enough to become a Republican, too.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
11:54 am

mike

June 29th, 2010
11:55 am

jc –

The productivity issue is a real one. At my company, I have implemented a strategy of hiring as few people as possible and preferring instead to spend the money upfront on infrastructure.

This is a trend that has been escalating for a long time. The recession only sped it up because layoffs and automation go hand in hand. Not to sound too partisan about it, but I have become even more convinced of the need to minimize headcount because I am concerned that the government will continue to make it more expensive to hire and retain employees.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:55 am

JAy

Wasn’t it your half wit president that just got put in his place by trying to tell European leaders that the way out of this mess was to spend even more money that they didn’t have?

Maybe that’s not a magic money tree, but it’s damn close.

USinUK

June 29th, 2010
11:55 am

Polite golf clap for Jay’s 11:52 …

well played, sir …

Normal

June 29th, 2010
11:55 am

“How do we make SS solvent? Any clue?”

By keeping people from dipping into the fund and using the money for purposes not associated with SS.

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
11:56 am

Amazing. Otherwise, supposedly educated Americans contending that the economy was good up until ____. (fill in the blank with your favorite cherry picked year.)

Nope, no War on the Working Class here in the perfect USA.

Too bad the factually averse can never quite bring their sorry selves to understand that the facts prove that for the vast majority of “middle class” Americans, their income, in adjusted inflation dollars, has DECREASED. And this has been the case for three decades now.

CEO pay went up by 250% in the 1990s. American workers? 4%

And the Reaganista idiots still contend they know what they are talking about…

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:56 am

mike

**I am concerned that the government will continue to make it more expensive to hire and retain employees.**

Bingo!!! And that’s exactly what they are doing.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
11:57 am

Good ol’ Mike…look out after himself instead of his fellow man…I do wonder what Jesus would say…

Jay

June 29th, 2010
11:57 am

Gordon asks:

“If tax rates were cut in 2001, how do you explain revenue reaching the same levels in 2006 as they were that year? Is it a bad thing that the government had the same amount of income adjusted for inflation, and millions of people had more money than they otherwise would have? Aren’t you making the case that tax cuts over the long haul raised government revenue? Where does the money go that people keep with lower taxes?”

Here’s the problem, and it’s embedded in your question that “Is it a bad thing that the government had the same amount of income adjusted for inflation, and millions of people had more money than they otherwise would have?”

The only way those two things were achieved were by adding $1.6 trillion to the national debt between 2002 and 2006. “(M)illions of people had more money than they otherwise would have” because it was borrowed money.

T

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
11:57 am

Doggone,

Of course you don’t agree with them, because it will be someone else paying for it. The benefits are limited, so why shouldn’t the price each person pays be limited as well? What about the promises made? Is it okay that you promise take 6 or 7 percent of a person’s pay AFTER taxes for 30 years and then say to them: “You’ve done well on your own, so never mind.”?

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
11:57 am

USinUk

Yep! He could (and did) recite Dr. Seuss…

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:59 am

AmVet

Grab a clue. The middle class had a 4.7% unemployment rate under Republicans.

So who’s getting screwed now?

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
11:59 am

mike @ 11.55,

I do prefer to go through the self-checkout lines @ Kroger ;)

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
11:59 am

From DGA’s link:

Inflation protection, if you can find it, is ultra-expensive. Vanguard, which offers a lifetime inflation-adjusted annuity in conjunction with — shudder! — an AIG insurance company called American General, quoted me a staggering price for an annuity mimicking my wife’s and my Social Security benefit. Would you believe … $774,895? Yes, that was the number.

in case you were wondering.

@@

June 29th, 2010
12:00 pm

Normal:

What’s going on with you? You’re beginning to sound like a conservative.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:00 pm

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
11:56 am
mike

**I am concerned that the government will continue to make it more expensive to hire and retain employees.**

Bingo!!! And that’s exactly what they are doing.

Well y’all, maybe we really should become a Socialistic Nation, just to make sure everybody gets their fair share…of food, healthcare, education…you know, all of that Communist stuff.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
12:00 pm

about SS: Ezra does some interesting number crunching

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-klein/2010/06/research_desk_responds_could_r.html

…in response to this question/challenge:

Back during the GWB years and the push to privatize Social Security, I did a bit of a thought experiment. What if Social Security was changed so companies no longer had to contribute their portion of Social Security, but Social Security was collected on all individual income with no cap? From what I found, it seemed like this would easily solve any “problem” with the funding of Social Security. Finding data for this was difficult and I wasn’t sure of the veracity of some of the data so I kind of chalked it up to “too good to be true” and forgot about it.

if such things interest you.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
12:01 pm

Normal

What would Jesus say? See 11:52 :-)

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
12:01 pm

“The benefits are limited, so why shouldn’t the price each person pays be limited as well?”

Because SS is an insurance plan. For the same reason that insurance premiums are calculated so that those who HAVE insurance have to pay more because of those who don’t have insurance. Plus, I’m a heartfelt believer in the Biblical principle: from him to whom much is given, much will be asked.

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
12:01 pm

Jay

**The only way those two things were achieved were by adding $1.6 trillion to the national debt between 2002 and 2006.**

And this is how you justify Obama adding as much in a time of less than six months?

Is there a liberal anywhere that has the education required to perform basic math?

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:02 pm

@@,
I’ve always been a slightly left of center moderate independant…and always will. It’s the nature of this beast, I guess… :)

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
12:02 pm

Little Ozzy the octopus was concerned. All of his neighbors in the reef were being evicted. The homes in his little subdivision, Coral acres, were being taken over by the evil banks. In a panic, he swam over to talk to his little finny friend, Clara the Clownfish. Clara had an idea, “Let’s go ask Clampers, the wise old clam”. Clampers was surprised to see them when they arrived. Clampers listened to their concerns, and proceeded to tell them that he had been warning all the inhabitants of the reef that they were spending too much money, but nobody would listen. Little Ozzy was listening now.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:02 pm

Jay –

Nice to see that you are lurking about, ready to pounce on the least relevant comments, particularly when taken out of context.

My “magic tree” comment was specific to the notion that SS is less subject to the whims of the economy than the Wall Street plan that the vast majority of liberals do oppose.

So when making your “point”, you were either incapable of understanding the context or willfully distorting the context. As you make your sad living exclusively doing one or the other, it is hard to guess which.

BTW: Thanks for jumping in with your random and invariably irrelevant “points”. It only demonstrates that you are lurking out there and are just too cowardly to address any substantive points. Say for instance, your lionizing of Klan member and Civil Rights opponent Robert Byrd while smearing others as racist for saying the term “uppity”.

Now get back to your lurking, pundit.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:03 pm

And watch Jay slink back off . Lame.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
12:04 pm

Jay,

We’re talking about revenue! Government revenue reached the same level in 2006 as is was in 2001, adjusted for inflation, while at the same time people were paying less in taxes. That extra money in people’s pockets, which was not at the expense of government revenue, cannot be anything but positive for the economy.

You switched the context of the discussion to deficits. What do deficits take into consideration that revenue doesn’t? SPENDING.

The United States government has a spending problem, not a revenue problem, in my opinion. As I said in an earlier post, we tax as if we want a government that treats us as free men and women, and we spend as if we want a government that attempts to solve our problems. We have to decide which we want to be, and be consistent on both sides of the equation.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
12:04 pm

“(M)illions of people had more money than they otherwise would have” because it was borrowed money.

but, but, Bush let me keep what I earned!

wahhh! also.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
12:05 pm

Jay, speaking of Money Trees, where can I buy one and how much should I pay for it?

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
12:05 pm

Normal

Or we could just become wards of the state. The government has lots of money. let’s just stop working and use that money. Free food. free housing. free everything.

I’m all for it, except when the government buys it, it sucks. When I can choose what to buy myself, I live a much better life.

The government standards might be good enough for you. Castro has lots of beans all ready for you. he;;, he probably has transportation ready for you. How are you on a bicycle? I would rather pay my own way if that’s OK with you.

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
12:06 pm

For those in desperate need of remedial mathematics, the 95.3% who work to redistribute income UP the ladder.

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
12:06 pm

mike and jewcowboy, anyone who works in IT knows this, and most of the rust belt residents as well. and therein lies the rub; markets don’t care about jobs, they care about profitablity. if eliminating a job helps feed the beast, it is eliminated. if a new technology or skill set helps feed the beast, it is created. the government isn’t part of the beast anymore than it is part of us. it is the conduit by which the We the People feed the beast.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:07 pm

“Good ol’ Mike…look out after himself instead of his fellow man…I do wonder what Jesus would say…”

That’s what children who have never had a real job, let alone run a business think.

Here is a clue for you, oh self-righteous one: I can’t give anyone a job if I am out of business.

Tell you what. Why don’t you go start a business that is going to hire all of the out of work people? Apparently it is so easy that anyone can do it, or at least silly people think so.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:07 pm

Where's My Party?

June 29th, 2010
12:07 pm

Bush’s fault….tax the rich….blah, blah blah.

Pathetic.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
12:08 pm

Did I hear somebody say “uppity?” Yes, what can I do for you. :-)

Jay

June 29th, 2010
12:08 pm

Mike, the point remains. You claim that only mindless partisans make overgeneralizations about their foes, and then you made an overgeneralization about liberals.

Slam dunk. You have convicted yourself as one of these mindless partisans whom you are always chastizing. Nobody else had to do a thing; it was entirely self-inflicted.

Mike, you’re a mindless partisan, by your own definition. A one-trick pony.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:09 pm

“markets don’t care about jobs, they care about profitability”

Shoot, in bad times, markets are willing to care about basic viability. Some people don’t seem to get that.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
12:11 pm

@@

June 29th, 2010
12:11 pm

Normal:

Make that sometimes, like this:

By keeping people from dipping into the fund and using the money for purposes not associated with SS.

Not, this:

Good ol’ Mike…look out after himself instead of his fellow man…I do wonder what Jesus would say…

If that was intended for mike…if he’s not able to employ all of them, he can, at least, do what’s necessary to employ some of them. He’s indirectly employing those who produce the automation needed.

I’m outta here. Discussing this topic is like beating a dead horse.

Overkill!

Nothing is Free

June 29th, 2010
12:12 pm

Jay

Great argument Jay.

He has treated you like a farm animal on every count where actual policies and actual numbers are mentioned, but yes-siree. You really got him with that mindless partisan comment.

And as we all know, there is nothing mindless or partisan about you.

Intown

June 29th, 2010
12:12 pm

Say whatever you want about Obama. He ain’t full of B.S. He’s working Congress to get them to propose the comprehensive reforms he was elected to get done. I just wish it was faster and that he had tackled climate change/energy policy before taking a year on healthcare.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:13 pm

Of course it was Bush’s fault. It takes time for bad economic planning to have an effect.

20 percent of the base debt resides in the Bush tax cuts alone. Add in the estimated 3 trillion dollars spent for Iraq (the indirect cost on other government departments like Energy and Education and NASA are never figured in) And you get Bush being responsible for 40 percent of the base debt. Add in the debt servicing and you get fifty percent.

The real elephant in the room is not Medicare or Social Security. In fact almost 5 trillion dollars is what the government OWES back to Medicare and Social Security by borrowing from it’s surpluses.

These plans are well designed to be self supporting. All that has to happen is that the Republicans have to keep their promises to pay it back. Because this is what they asserted. Supply side economics would boost the economy so much that every cent that was BORROWED from Social Security and Medicare trust accounts would be paid back with interests.

Republicans LOVE to forget this little detail about the national debt.

It was THEY who asserted that Tax cuts would make all these programs magically solvent.

In 2000, the entire fiscal argument was over what to do with “projected” Social Security Surpluses between 2000 and 2010. These were real surpluses. They existed in the sense that the government knew that with average rates of employment, and average wages, they would be collecting an excess of money every year in payroll taxes. Bush decided that every year, he would take that money and give a huge income tax cut with them. To the total degree of 2.3 trillion dollars.

After Bush spent all of it, Republicans were then asserting that the Social Security Surpluses did not exist. Of course they didn’t. After the Republicans gave them away.

The simplest solution is to lock the box. Create a law that says that payroll taxes can only be used for the programs they were designed to pay for. Social Security, Medicare, etc. And there are FIVE OTHER trust funds that the government borrows from. Lock these as well. Borrowing from them accounts for 8.5 TRILLION dollars of the current debt.

Then get the other government departments to “pay for themselves”. Which means raising the top income tax levels up to a pre Reagan 70 percent.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:15 pm

Jay –

“Slam dunk”

Well if you are trying to demonstrate that you are incapable of processing basic logic, then yes.

As I pointed out in detail, and as you in your typical cowardly fashion selectively ignore, my comment was not a general comment and was instead about a specific argument. A specific argument which you choose to ignore in favor of this juvenille excercise;.

Please continue to keep the conversation at this level. It only demonstrates how pathetic your contribution to this paper and this community truly is. I am having an adult conversation about the economy with the other adults. You are on the AmVet/RW level of pettiness. Congrats.

BTW: Is this what you imagined you would be doing with your journalism careers? Aren’t you embarrassed? I mean I do what you do in my spare time while running a business. I even do it better.

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:15 pm

@@,
Mike’s glib, meaningless, pontifications sometimes gets my goat, so I pull his chain…and he never fails to respond. It’s amusing to me.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
12:16 pm

josef, what denominations do those trees come in?

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:16 pm

LOL. You have to love a blog where the trolls have to tell the host to take the discourse up a notch.

Talk about a “slam dunk”. LOL

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
12:16 pm

“Which means raising the top income tax levels up to a pre Reagan 70 percent”

This I don’t agree with. In “normal” times it should never be necessary to anyone to pay more to the government in taxes than they earn for themselves. I think the upper rate can be increased some, but not by this much.

williebkind

June 29th, 2010
12:17 pm

Why dont you liberals talk about something you understand. Tax and spend! Cutting the debt is way out of your league. You can not lead and you do not know how to follow. Stick with something you are good at like rioting, burning cars, destroying buildings, and indoctrinating kids in school. Yes I just saw some of your kind at work in Canada–you know the G20 summit.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:19 pm

“Mike’s glib, meaningless, pontifications sometimes gets my goat, so I pull his chain…and he never fails to respond. It’s amusing to me.”

Yes, as opposed to your meaningful posts like all of the ones on this page. LOL

Yammer what you want. You give the lame retorts that you do because you are incapable of nothing more.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
12:19 pm

BADA BING

Granny called ‘em Silver Dollars…

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:19 pm

headed out…THE VAMPIRE NURSE AWAITS…

Matti

June 29th, 2010
12:19 pm

“Or we could just become wards of the state. The government has lots of money. let’s just stop working and use that money. Free food. free housing. free everything.”

Even for sarcasm, this constant drone of regurgitated hyperbole is lame. If you don’t have any useful insight, postive suggestions, or at least a willingness to listen, then I’m sure there’s a pool noodle somewhere just waiting for you to float on it all afternoon.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
12:20 pm

josef, should I plant a few $100 trees, or should I plant a lot of $20 trees and make it up in volume?

Normal

June 29th, 2010
12:20 pm

did somebody just pass gas?

TM

June 29th, 2010
12:21 pm

“You have chosen instead to use 2003 as your base year, which is well after the tax cuts had taken effect. You are comparing revenue AFTER tax cuts to revenue in another year AFTER tax cuts, which tells us nothing about your original claim.”

It tells me that the governmnet still got a boat load of money and has no idea how to manage it.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:21 pm

The most hysterical part of the Tea Partier movement as well as Republican voters and Conservative voters is that a recent poll of what they believe should be cut in order to balance the budget shows their IGNORANCE of how much is spent on what. 71 percent believe the budget can be balanced by eliminating foreign aid. Which comes to about one percent of the federal budget.

The Washington Independent pointed out the FUTILITY of attempting to balance the budget by asking the public what they wanted cut:

“The most expendable programs, according to poll takers, were mass transit, housing, agriculture, environment and foreign aid, the runaway winner at 71 percent. The problem? These programs together barely comprise 3 percent of the federal budget. Even if the programs were entirely eliminated, the cuts would do nothing to solve the United States’ long-term entitlement program. Indeed, the responses had no obvious correlation with spending size.”

http://washingtonindependent.com/81684/the-futility-of-budget-cuts

Defense, the REAL defense budget, the REAL amount of dollars spent by the government directly or indirectly on defense is the real problem. Even the lowest estimates show it eating up 54 percent of government spending. The TOTAL amount of government spending on what are called “entitlements eats up way less than this. Government spends a total of about 680 billion on ALL medical programs. Not just medicare and medicaid, but CDC, Health and Human resources, National Library of Medicine, Veterans, Federal employees, the works.

The lone solution is improbable cuts to defense, medicare and medicaid with defense taking up a lot more than the “entitlements”

The ONLY solution is tax hikes.

History has proven over and over again, that the asserted stimulative effect of tax cuts to the rich are mythological. They have NEVER created a job or improved a business or created a new business.
Not rarely, but never.

mike

June 29th, 2010
12:21 pm

Got a plane to catch. It was nice to reduce Jay to sputtering, incoherent and illogical rage. Just took a few minutes too. LOL

Cheers all and thanks for the laughs.

@@

June 29th, 2010
12:21 pm

Normal:

sometimes gets my goat, so I pull his chain…and he never fails to respond. It’s amusing to me.

I’m not even gonna ask what purpose you have in keeping a goat…you being the guy who throws Crisco parties and such. To each his own, I suppose.

I doubt seriously that mike has need of your goat.

How’d I do in the “yankin’” department?

pat

June 29th, 2010
12:22 pm

Again Jay:
Tax reciepts between 2000 and 2008:
2000 2,025.2
2001 1,991.1
2002 1,853.1
2003 1,782.3
2004 1,880.1

2005 2,153.6
2006 2,406.9
2007 2,568.0
2008 2,524.0

The intake in 2008 was 25% higher than 2000.
The avaerage annual intake during Clinton was $1682.83 B. The average anual intake during Bush was $2144.89 B. This is an average of 21.5% more tax revenue intake than during the same time frame of Clinton. All numbers are adjusted for today’s dollars. I am correct. Here is the proof AGAIN:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/Content/Excel/fed_receipt_sum_historical.xls

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
12:23 pm

Republicians (sic) were in control, NOT conservatives.Big differance (sic).

I am 124.63% in agreement.

The outcome of not having any conservatives in the GOP for nearly 40 years…

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
12:23 pm

Republicians (sic) were in control, NOT conservatives.Big differance (sic).

I am 124.63% in agreement.

The outcome of not having any conservatives in the GOP for nearly 40 years…

Mick

June 29th, 2010
12:25 pm

nif

Why are you so blind to what the last administration left us? Two wars off the books, tax cuts for the wealthiest 2%, regulators of markets and environment looking the other way, and finally the housing bubble caused by the fed and the ownership society. I get tired of repeating the litany of debt but I just don’t understand why anyone could think that last administration was anything but an abject failure. The coup de grace was, ” this sucker could go down” thanks W, thanks a lot.

josef nix

June 29th, 2010
12:25 pm

BADA BING

That depends…are you looking for a quick return or are you in it for the long haul…I think I’d go for the $20 ones and reinvest…and if the blight hits a few, those that survive are more resistant…

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
12:26 pm

Hmmmm. The dreaded double past.

I don’t care how many times mike says otherwise, I am the only non-mindless partisan here!

I am King of the World!

Jay

June 29th, 2010
12:26 pm

Writhe and wriggle as you wish, Mike. You remain impaled on your own hook.

It is not a specific argument to say that liberals believe in a magic money tree. It is an overgeneralization. If you had named specific people who believe that, that would be a specific argument.

And I do appreciate you patronizing my place of business so often, and am glad to see you support the AJC as you do. I thank you, and our advertisers thank you.

A CONSERVATIVE

June 29th, 2010
12:26 pm

FOX NEWs NEIL CAVUTO….knows a hell of a lot more about the ECONOMY than simple minded Jay Bookman….still you are amusing…just like JOE BIDEN…but then poor ol’ Biden is paid to be amusing..

Scout

June 29th, 2010
12:26 pm

DO you know what happened 159 years ago this fall… back in 1850?

California became a state
The people had no electricity.
The state had no money.
Almost everyone spoke Spanish.
There were gunfights in the streets.

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
12:27 pm

I’m not even gonna ask what purpose you have in keeping a goat

One could use a goat as a kinda “green” lawnmower. If the goat has a bad disposition and a good set of horns, it could be used as guard dog. Or, as they do in the country, fatten him up and he’ll make one hell of a 4th of July bar-b-que.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
12:27 pm

Intown

June 29th, 2010
12:12 pm

LOL…at best, Obama is a bad joke played upon the US citizenry. And he will be a one-term loser!!

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
12:29 pm

mike,

“you can actually address the argument I was making about the relative merits of SS vs a Wall Street based plan.”

Well, to be frank I didn’t see much of an argument, but my view of privatizing SS has to do with stability. SS is a last form of insurance, a safety net, not a retirement account. Yes, I do have retirement savings, which are at the mercy of the market, and as such are at the mercy of the reckless buffoons in charge of the market who are willing to drive the entire international economy into the ditch to ensure the Cristal won’t stop flowing for themselves.

I bet Ruth Madoff never gave SS or Medicare a second thought…until 2008.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:29 pm

Raising the TOP MARGINAL rates does not mean raising the taxes on the middle classes much or at all. It means that the richest either keep their money inside of a business creating jobs and new products, or they lose a ton of it if they decide to take a million dollar bonus this year.

Businesses benefit massively from the government and services created by government and the infrastructure created by government. Therefore there is a price to pay for those services.

No one should pay the government more money than they earn from their OWN labor. When you are making millions off of the labor of others, this is another question. The government allows businessmen to basically take a portion of the “fruits of the labor of others” when they create businesses. The price for this is to pay for those privileged. And starting a business is not a constitutional RIGHT, It is a privilege granted to a person or group, not just by the government, but by the society the government represents. When what the business owners earn massively exceeds that earned by those whose labor he uses is, then it is appropriate for government to “rebalance” the equation.

Indeed that is what government exists for in a representative Republic. To repair the problems created by past decisions it has made. And lowering the top tax rate is one of those errors.

It is responsible for every speculative market bubble that has happened. The excess capital allowed by those tax cuts is always used speculatively and the result is huge harm to millions who do not have the resources to do this.

Basically lowering the tax rate is a Ponzi scheme that allows the rich to get rich while screwing everyone else.

Mick

June 29th, 2010
12:29 pm

Neil cavuto is a dweeb and a disgrace to the italian heritage along with nino scalia.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:30 pm

A good example is that the tax code is so written that two out of three American corporations pay NO TAXES AT ALL.

Yet they use government resources at a huge rate.

RGB

June 29th, 2010
12:31 pm

“The truth behind the nation’s massive fiscal problem: Overspending.”

Next column…

Southern Comfort

June 29th, 2010
12:32 pm

It’s time for this mindless partisan to go get domestic. Uniforms don’t press themselves.

Later y’all…

williebkind

June 29th, 2010
12:33 pm

Dow 9902.80 –235.72
Nasdaq 2153.76 –66.89
S&P 500 1046.59 –27.98
The truth behind the nation’s massive fiscal problem is Obama and his socialist cohorts.

mmm, mmm, mmm, Barack the Liar Obama - BEND OVER, Here comes the CHANGE!

June 29th, 2010
12:35 pm

Here’s your truth:

a government proposal to upgrade immigration detention centers to include unmonitored phone lines, dance and cooking lessons, continental breakfasts, freedom from lockdown and other amenities.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
12:35 pm

Pat, a 25 percent growth over nine years is less than the rate of inflation.

And that little trick of “average revenue” is particularly nasty bit of business, since it gives Bush all the credit for the revenue increases that actually occurred under Clinton.

When Clinton took office in ‘93, revenue was $1.15 trillion. When he left office it was $1.99 trillion. So of course the average of his time in office was between those two numbers.

When Bush took office, revenue was $1.99 trillion. When he left office, it was $2.1 trillion. His average is higher ONLY because of the growth that occurred under Clinton.

Your desperation shows when you twist numbers is such an obviously dishonest manner.

I'm here from the government and I'm here to help

June 29th, 2010
12:35 pm

Maybe next time we hire a leader we will at least have one with the experience of running a fruit stand.

Did I mention, JOBS!

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:38 pm

Neal Cavuto is an idiot. He and others like him were telling people to do the stuff that led to the housing collapse right up until it happened and still kept touting it.

The best person to pay attention to is Joseph Stiglitz. This guy has NEVER been wrong about the economy. Not once. Ever. If he says the market is gonna crash, take your money and put it under your mattress.

He is completely ignored by both Republicans and Democrats in the U.S. is respected in France, and of course is the god of Economics to the Chinese. The Premier of China calls him his muse.

Joseph

June 29th, 2010
12:39 pm

Love the liberal argument- the real issue is that over 40% of folks don’t pay any tax and this % keeps growing. I will save the liberals from responding. First they will yell “but they pay payroll tax”- yes, but they then get that back and them some through refundable credits. Second they will say the rich can afford it- easy response, everyone but a % that is less than 5% should pay tax because a) they want to be productive citizens and b) everyone, including the rich, should PAY their fair share. Lastly, the libs like to pick and chose when a company/institution or not. When it comes to taxes- by gosh they are living things, when it comes to campaign finance, they are not.

Redneck Convert (R--and proud of it)

June 29th, 2010
12:39 pm

Well, everybody’s in a panic about the economy because they don’t see the big picture. See, here’s how things is:

1. We pass big tax cuts and start two wars while borrowing money. The economy goes in the tank. We get voted out of office.
2. We spend two years opposing everything Obama tries to do to fix the economy and blame the economy on him.
3. The stupid taxpayers put us back in charge in 2010 and we try to pass more tax cuts that Obama opposes while we also try to get rid of Social Security and Medicare and the health care bill. We blame Obama when the economy keeps going bad.

Uh, give me a minute. I got to think thru the rest. Anyways, don’t panic till I get back.

Have a good p.m. everybody.

Libertarian

June 29th, 2010
12:40 pm

There aren’t many (logical) people who would defend everything Bush did. Yes, his wars were/are expensive. However, you cannot deny that Obama is adding to the deficit problem, rather than trying to fix it. I believe he shattered all records for first year spending by a president. So rather than point fingers and have another 4-8 years of fiscal irresponsibility why don’t he and the dems figure out a way to cut spending across the board? One suggestion would be to pull out of Iraq and Afghanistan completely and stop wasting money on ridiculous wars that can’t be won against an enemy that can’t be quantified because they are breeding new members of their army on a daily basis. Bring home the troops, secure the boarders, cut spending across the board.

Scout

June 29th, 2010
12:40 pm

Jay:

I didn’t do it !!

Headline: “Four vehicles were damaged Tuesday by a car fire that spread through part of an Atlanta Journal-Constitution parking lot.”

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
12:41 pm

“the real issue is that over 40% of folks don’t pay any tax and this % keeps growing”

I’d like to see your proof of this. No one else who has made this claim can prove, see if you can do better.

And here’s a clue for you: they pay more than payroll taxes, they also pay sales taxes and fees for government services.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
12:41 pm

Stiglitz predicted the current economic crisis. In 2001, shortly after George W. Bush borrowed 2.3 trillion dollars to give a tax cut. Stiglitz was awarded the Nobel Prize for this. The Nobel Committee was certain that the economic collapse would come WHEN Stiglitz predicted and exactly HOW Stiglitz predicted it.

He did not just predict it. He predicted every tiny detail of the current market collapse. At micro and macro economic levels. In precise exact detail.

jconservative

June 29th, 2010
12:42 pm

This goes way back before Bush 43.

In 1961 when Kennedy was sworn in the national debt was $650 billion.
20 years when Reagan was sworn in the national debt was $957 billion.
That is an increase of $307 billion over 20 years, roughly $15 billion a year. Wouldn’t you all love an annual deficit of just $15 billion today?

Then in 1981 Reagan decided that we could decrease taxes and did so. But he forgot to decrease spending. As a result of that policy, which we have continued to FY 2011, is a national debt of over $12 trillion.

Yeah I know the tax cuts were to spur business activity and increase tax revenues. And they did, but way below the expected rate. What business did was not invest in US domesticate business but to start sending businesses overseas. And it was financed with the Reagan tax cuts.

Top tax rate in 1981 was 70%. By 1987 the top tax rate was down to 38.5%. But spending kept going up. And deficits kept going up. Funny how that works; tax rates go down, spending goes up, all of which equals deficits going up.

And don’t tell me the increase spending was for defense to defeat the Commies. Reagan only increased defense spending $750 billion over his 8 years. There is $1.9 trillion in deficit not accounted for by defense spending.

And except for a brief tax increase under Bush 41 & Clinton, we have continued the Reagan policy of tax cuts/increased spending.

Solution? Two simple solutions. 1) Reduced spending and increased taxes. Or; 2) Become Greece and just declare we are broke.

Outhouse GoKart

June 29th, 2010
12:42 pm

Obama lied our troops died!

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
12:42 pm

“It takes time for bad economic planning to have an effect.”

This is most prescient statement on this subject. Conversely, it takes time for good economic planning to have an effect.

Libertarian

June 29th, 2010
12:42 pm

@Joseph 12:39
Agreed.

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
12:44 pm

williebkind, why do I keep asking myself; “willie ever be smart”? you really have to let go of the “Obama is a socialist”. what you must learn to say is; Obama (and Bush, and Clinton, and the other Bush, and Reagan, and Carter, and Ford, and Nixon…) is a plutocrat; or at the very least, a shameless servant of the plutocracy. for the last time (everyone); to paraphrase George Bailey; “you’re looking at this all wrong”. what is the national debt? $5 trillion? $11 trillion? where did it go? it went somewhere because we sure as sh*t are holding the tab. I’ll tell you where it went; it went to Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, CSC and IBM; who have IT outsourcing contracts with just about every government agencie from the DoD to the CCD, to the SSA, to NASA. Some of this then flowed through to shareholders, but the visit was temporary, as those shareholders then bought cars, furniture, vacations, and flat screen TVs, or paid for healthcare and education.

ken R

June 29th, 2010
12:45 pm

Pat, don’t you know by now that the truth just confuses liberals.

Jay, the reason that Mike frequents your place of business is because he wants to educate your few liberal followers.

What is the percentage of liberals vs conservatives on your blogs? if you did the math it’s probably 15% libs vs 85% conservatives, you should be thankful that the conservatives visit you so often otherwise you would be out of a job, and so would C.T.

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
12:46 pm

Has anyone on here ever played SimCity? If so, try maintaining a city you’ve built on continual tax cuts or continued deficit spending and see how long the game lasts. There are a time for each, and neither is a long term solution.

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
12:49 pm

“There are a time for each, and neither is a long term solution.”

IS not “are”…I hate it when I hit “submit” before I re-read my post…

Steve

June 29th, 2010
12:50 pm

Can we discuss significant tax increases matched by significant cuts in government personnel, cuts in waste/theft within existing government programs, reduction of government pension benefits, require ALL government employees to use Obamacare, and stop providing government funded benefits to illegal immigrants as a way to correct our longterm fiscal problems?

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
12:52 pm

“Can we discuss significant tax increases matched by significant cuts ”

How much would you expect to be able to save with all of those?

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
12:52 pm

I wasn’t finished. Most of the funds end up with the exuctives or majority shareholders (and in the revenue streams of the hedge-dund owners and managers who buy/sell/short the stocks). The same is true for much maligned “food stamps”. This money doesn’t stay in SW Atlanta or the South Side of Chicago, in a coffee can buried in a backyard. It ends up in the coffers of Archer Daniel Midland, General Foods, Coca-Cola, and Hormel. When Blackwater or some other outfit gets a $2 or $10 billion contract to protect VIPs in Iraq, or secure transportation routes, or train police officers in Kabul, do you think ALL the money goes to the $250,000/year contractors? No, it goes to the executives at Blackwater. Anyone whose ever tried to manage or reconcile a checking account when you’re spending more than you’re taking in, knows this. Just add about 11 zeroes to you checkbook and you get the picture. This nothing to do with ideology, unless greed is an ideology. the very essence of ALL governments is socialism (the herd is more important than the individual)

Joe B

June 29th, 2010
12:52 pm

Jay – go ahead and point fingers all you want. We all know that’s what libs do.

What is the Community Organizer in chief doing to lead us out of this mess. And he better not raise taxes, “not one dime”.

Doggone/GA

June 29th, 2010
12:54 pm

“And he better not raise taxes, “not one dime”.”

“better not”? What happens if he does? (and you DO realize, don’t you, that he CAN’T raise taxes? Or did that little aspect of our governmental system escape your notice?)

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
12:55 pm

What is the percentage of liberals vs conservatives on your blogs? if you did the math it’s probably 15% libs vs 85% conservatives…

??????

Even given the innumerable monikers preferred by the various mystery meats here, this goes far beyond remedial mathematics. This goes to the very heart of the cons parallel reality.

Reagan only increased defense spending $750 billion over his 8 years.

jconservative, I believe this number is extremely inaccurate. Would you please cite your source?

Mick

June 29th, 2010
12:57 pm

**Jay, the reason that Mike frequents your place of business is because he wants to educate your few liberal followers.**

The dreaded liberal label, cause thats all it is – a label that for conservatives conjures up the image of some type of superiority. As soon as the “label” appears the debate becomes almost pointless because of a prejudged stereotype. The damned truth is that just about every conservative “principle” was enacted during bush – all were failures and left us where we were in 2008.

DannyX

June 29th, 2010
12:57 pm

Jay, excellent job today defending your column!!!!

mm

June 29th, 2010
12:57 pm

NIF,

There is nothing to argue. Jay presented you with facts, and your argument (along with the other wingnuts) is BS.

I’m not going to waste my time restating the facts to a brainwashed wingnut. Now go listen to Rush and get your talking points (lies) for the next article.

Dan

June 29th, 2010
12:58 pm

Well given the fact that the tax cuts caused a surge in tax revenue, due to reinvestment by producers, Jays argument is immediately undermined by anyone with freshman economic/accounting apptitude. You don’t simply apply a higher rate and assume the taxable revenue would have been the same. But when logic is eschewed in forming an opinion, logice doesn’t help in changing said opionion. One other note, if mortgage holders simply paid their mortgage…. no problems in the housing market it is really quite simple

Scout

June 29th, 2010
1:02 pm

Question:

Does Supreme Court nominee “Lady Kaga” have a tattoo ?

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
1:03 pm

Mick – Many conservatives were/are very dissatisfied with W because he so obviously was not a fiscal conservative. He was also too soft on the illegals for most conservatives, so the only conservative principle he was true to was his foreign policy of keeping America strong.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:03 pm

Actually Dan you are only PARTIALLY correct. The original surge from the Bush tax cuts came from the 56 percent that went to the bottom 98 percent of wage earners. The other 44 percent which went to the wealthy is responsible for kicking off the wave of speculative investment in real estate based derivatives which caused the market bubble and then collapse of the economy.

So if the net effect is a short term increase in government revenues, caused by the fact that those who got a few hundred dollars to a few thousand went out and IMMEDIATELY spent it does not divert from the long term damage of the tax cuts caused by the rich who did NOT go out and immediately spend it in the consumer market, but went looking for some hot investment to put it into, so as to see 20 percent returns on that money. This overheated that sector, the largest sector in the American economy, and cause a massive crash.

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
1:07 pm

Dan – I’m pretty sure you’ll find that tax revenues increased more in the ten years following the clinton tax increases then they did following either the Reagan or Bush tax cuts. “Furthermore, an analysis from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities argues that “history shows that the large reductions in income tax rates in 1981 were followed by abnormally slow growth in income tax receipts, while the increases in income-tax rates enacted in 1990 and 1993 were followed by sizeable growth in income-tax receipts.” Specifically, the analysis calculated that the average annual growth rate of real income-tax receipts per working-age person was 0.2% from 1981 to 1990 and a much higher 3.1% from 1990 to 2001.
During both Ronald Reagan’s and George W. Bush’s presidencies, White House budget staff cited in the Laffer Curve a forecast that tax rate cuts would increase overall tax revenues, but instead tax revenue increases slowed[18], requiring large debt increases to cover Reagan’s and Bush’s large spending increases over the short term.”

Government Worker

June 29th, 2010
1:10 pm

Can we discuss significant tax increases matched by significant cuts in government personnel, cuts in waste/theft within existing government programs, reduction of government pension benefits, require ALL government employees to use Obamacare, and stop providing government funded benefits to illegal immigrants as a way to correct our longterm fiscal problems?

Uh, could we hold off on all this stuff for another 18 months till I can retire?

Granny Godzilla

June 29th, 2010
1:10 pm

The truth is…..we are all responsible for this.

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
1:12 pm

Keep on with the talking points, Republicans.

Obviously none of you have the first clue what conservatism even is…

Balance Our Budget

June 29th, 2010
1:13 pm

Jay and his lib buddies are trying to spin their way out of the thrashing they have coming in November.

Scout

June 29th, 2010
1:14 pm

Granny:

Never you !!

TGT

June 29th, 2010
1:15 pm

Total federal revenues during Bush’s first full year in office, 2001, were $1.99143 trillion. Total federal revenues during Bush’s last full year in office, 2008, were 2.524 trillion. See here:

http://www.usgovernmentrevenue.com/downchart_gr.php?chart=F0-fed

pat

June 29th, 2010
1:19 pm

Jay I provided the raw proof to you. It is anything but twisted…On the contrary it could not be straiter…It is you who is being dishonest now.

Chris D.

June 29th, 2010
1:20 pm

Obama’s blunders…puts the world asunder

AmVet

June 29th, 2010
1:21 pm

“Jay and his lib buddies are trying to spin their way out of the thrashing they have coming in November.”

But will it begin to compare to those back to back annihilations of 2006 – going an unimaginable ZERO WINS and 36 LOSSES – and 2008? For a combined LOSING RATIO of 93%?

Ninety three percent???

And that reverse Joe Dimaggio-like record of 2006 will likely never, ever, ever be touched.

So you fake conservatives got that going for you!

You gotta admit, those results still make the average American laugh long and hard at you silly neo-cons…

neo-Carlinist

June 29th, 2010
1:21 pm

TGT, did you ever hear the expression, “it’s not what you earn, it’s what you keep”? if the government is spending more than it is taking in, it’s losing ground. for example, if tax revenues increased by $1.5 trillion between 2001 and 2008, it is moot if spending increased as well (especially if say a $500 billion per year was “off the books”).

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:24 pm

And even more simply, everyone knows the figure conservatives often tout that 70 percent of all American jobs are created by “small businesses” No one ever bothers to ask what percentage of ALL businesses in the US makes up those small businesses that create 70 percent of the jobs. It is 7.9 percent

The other 92.1 percent of all businesses create the other 30 percent of jobs.

But the small businesses barely if ever benefit from Republican tax cuts.

It is the Democrats who have offered the most initiatives ( as well as two old style Republicans, Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins) that benefit the 7.9 percent of small businesses in the U.S. It has been Republicans who have filibustered every bill that would do something to give tax relief to small businesses.

I love hearing the old argument that “X” proved he was not a “fiscal conservative”

Fact is no one who runs as a fiscal conservative ever ends up acting as one when they get into office. The simplest reason for this is that what sounds good on paper or when spoken, does not work in reality.

This has been the case ever since 1913. No Republican has ever managed to balance a budget and always ends up spending more. On the other hand during the same period, Democrats have managed to balance budgets and lower the deficit in every presidency.

And it gets better. They do a better job of reducing deficit spending and debt when a Democratic President is working with a Democratic Congress.

Every Democrat since the end of WWII has LOWERED the national debt relative to GDP. The old style Republicans, Eisenhower, and Nixon also managed to do this as well. But the key thing to note about these guys is that they NEVER lowered the top marginal tax rate. Never,

The record on this is clear. No matter how much Republicans try to dance around this, when there is a Republican President with a Republican Congress, spending goes through the roof and government revenues do not keep up.

Everyone forgets that Reagan ran on this. He asserted that America could lower taxes and simply BORROW its way to prosperity, because as the police force of the free world, no one would ever call in the debt. This is not just an analysis, This is directly from Reagan speeches.

RB from Gwinnett

June 29th, 2010
1:26 pm

Jay, how much more out of YOUR pocket are you willing to fork over to the government to solve this problem? In real dollars, Jay. YOURS!! Not everybody else. I’ll await your reply once again…..

Jay

June 29th, 2010
1:28 pm

RB, I’ll gladly pay my fair share in additional taxes, because I recognize that this is one of those situations in which we’re going to pay one way or the other. I prefer to do it through taxes than through financial collapse or insolvency.

TGT

June 29th, 2010
1:28 pm

More interesting: average federal revenue as a % of GDP under Clinton: 35.21.

Average federal revenue as a % of GDP under W: 34.61.

Pretty close.

neo: I agree that spending was a significant issue under George W. However, it is more of an issue now with the current administration.

pat

June 29th, 2010
1:28 pm

Here’s the complicated math I laid out for you Jay…I took the tax revenue from the 8 years Clinton was in office, added them together and came up with an average. Same thing with Bush, the numbers added up to the Bush years AVERAGING 21.5% higher tax revenue, period..
By all means, don’t take my word for it, see for yourself…:
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/taxfacts/Content/Excel/fed_receipt_sum_historical.xls
Note that the numbers on this chart are adjusted for inflation….
If I am a liar, then it’s my source “Source: Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the US Government” that is providing me false information.
Rate of inflation hovered between 2.8% and 3.8%….21.5% is higher than this number….

TGT

June 29th, 2010
1:30 pm

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:32 pm

And the easiest way to determine HOW the Bush tax cuts “increased revenues” is easy to see when one looks at when parts of his tax cut bill expired. The general tax cuts to the bottom 99 percent expired in 2005. Every year taxes on the working middle class creeped up because of bracket creep Republicans inserted into the bill. Next, the special tax credit for small businesses expired in 2006. They went up to paying pre Bush tax cut tax rates after this year.

So the assertions that the Bush tax cuts increased tax revenues must be looked at by looking at WHERE the additional revenues came from. They came from parts of the Bush tax cuts expiring long before those on the wealthiest did.

Another was the expiration of the “child tax credit” in 2005. It went from 1000 dollar to 700 dollars

This is the schedule for sunset dates of ALL parts of the Bush tax cuts:

Child Credit: This credit will shrink from $1,000 to $700 per child on January 1, 2005.

The 10 Percent Bracket: The upper income level for this bracket will decrease by $1,000 per filer on January 1, 2005.

The 15 Percent Bracket for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2005, the upper limit of this bracket will shrink from 200 to 180 percent of the upper limit of the 15 percent bracket for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

Standard Deduction for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2005, this will shrink from 200 to 174 percent of the standard deduction for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

Alternative Minimum Tax: Exemptions will decrease by $6,500 per filer on January 1, 2005.
Bonus Depreciation: This provision, which changes depreciation schedules for businesses in a way that encourages investment, will expire on January 1, 2005.

Small Business Expensing: On January 1, 2006, the maximum amount that a business may deduct will fall from $100,000 to $25,000, which will not be indexed to inflation.

Capital Gains: Rates will rise to 10 or 20 percent, depending upon income, on January 1, 2009.

Dividends: Rates will rise to match standard income tax rates on January 1, 2009.

Child Credit: This credit will shrink from $700 to $500 per child on January 1, 2011.

The Income Tax: Rates will increase between 3 and 4.5 percentage points in each bracket on January 1, 2011.

The 10 Percent Bracket: The bracket will be eliminated on January 1, 2011, raising the income tax burden of many workers by 5 percentage points.

The 15 Percent Bracket for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2011, the upper limit of this bracket will shrink from 200 to 167 percent of the upper limit of the 15 percent bracket for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

Standard Deduction for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2011, this will shrink from 200 to 167 percent of the standard deduction for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

The Estate Tax: The top rate for this tax will increase to 60 percent on January 1, 2011, and the value of an estate exempt from taxation will shrink to $1 million, which is less than it is today.

So kids how did Bush increase those federal revenues. By RAISING the taxes on MILLIONS of Americans a little bit, while keeping the tax cuts for the wealthiest in place for his entire presidency.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:35 pm

Or to put it simply. Republicans create this ILLUSION about the Bush tax cuts by making blanket statements and ignoring the details. Like Reagan Bush RAISED taxes on millions of Americans in an extremely quite fashion while boldly making political capital with their initial tax offering.

Most Americans are too dumb to have noticed that a huge amount of their tax cut vanished in the first year or two.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:36 pm

Or to put it even more simply. The devil is in the details.

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
1:36 pm

One problem with the numbers provided for “Bush tax cut losses” is that any projection of these numbers is made simply based on what the person doing the projection wants them to be. Without specifics for the methodology used, there’s no way to know that various driving factors have been or even could be accounted for.

In particular, changing the tax rate impacts people’s behavior in non-linear fashion that needs differential equations to describe. Any oversimplified model used to predict future revenues will ignore this and be very, very, wrong. Consider the Maryland’s millionaire tax. When it was passed, it was projected (by naive people) to bring in an additional $100M+ to the state coffers. Instead, millionaires simply moved away and restructured their assets and incomes to avoid the tax: the state took in $100M less than in it had before the tax, with fully one-third fewer millionaires paying taxes. It could very well be that the numbers for projected “missed revenues” are similarly overinflated.

And finally, it is a cold fact that federal revenues jumped and jumped sharply after the Bush tax cuts, and grew nicely along with the economy as it recovered from the recession with impressive year-over-year revenue growth. Right up until Democrats took control of Congress.

Comparing year-over-year, we had revenue growth of 8.2% (’04), 14.6% (’05), 11.7% (’06), 6.7% (’07) before dipping by 1.7% in ‘08 as the more recent recession started. Revenues exceeded $2T every year after the Bush tax cuts except for ‘04 ($1.88T) and in ‘06 & ‘07 exceeded $2.5T.

Surely $2.5T is enough to run the country?!

It wasn’t enough, as Congress (even though controlled with a small R majority) continued deficit spending. Year-over-year spending increases were 6.2%, 7.8%, 7.4% and 2.8% from ‘04-’07. Then the Democrats took over Congress and things really caught fire, as they spent 9.3% more in ‘08 and a whopping 34% more in ‘09.

Interestingly, with the increased revenue (even larger than increased spending over ‘03-’07), the amount added to the debt (not the deficit, which has lots of $$ off-book, but the actual amount added to the debt) each year was steadily decreasing, especially when viewed as a percentage of GDP: 5.5% in ‘03, then 5.3%, 4.3%, 4.1%, and finally 3.4% in ‘07 (which is less than the 3.9% in ‘02). That’s over now, with more than $1T added by Democratic Congress ‘08 and ‘09 and more than $1.5T in the new budget.

Disgusted

June 29th, 2010
1:37 pm

What are we going to spend more stimulus on? Traditionally, stimulus spending has brought recovery by focusing on manufacturing and related services. Now we have very little manufacturing. Most has been exported. No long-lasting jobs are going to be created by funding infrastructure projects. At the end of such projects, people are still thrown out of work. And certainly providing stimulus funding for states to keep existing workers on the job will not create any new jobs. And unemployed people don’t pay the taxes necessary to fund the services we desire.

There is only one way to go: down. Until our standard of living reaches the level of countries where we have shipped our jobs, we can’t be competitive and manufacturers will continue to ship jobs overseas and import their wares. NAFTA and other “free trade” legislation has shafted us, and we are unable or unwilling to adapt. Where are the jobs now? They’re at fast food joints and other low-wage employers. People working at such jobs are unable to afford the goods that will bring the economy back. We’re now looking at an underclass consisting of the permanently unemployed, and those permanently unemployed aren’t the traditional kind. They’re former middle class and upper class workers who will never return to their prosperity.

I simply don’t see an exit from this fiscal problem. Extending unemployment benefits is a compassionate thing to do, but it won’t bring a dying economy back. The unemployed can’t buy the housing, the cars, the refrigerators, and other goods that result in increased employment. Buckle up, America. This roller coaster is going down.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
1:37 pm

Pat, I’m not arguing with the numbers you present. I’m arguing that it is a fundamentally dishonest way of presenting those numbers. Here’s an example:

If I increased revenue from this blog from $1 to $1 million over 10 years, the average revenue would be $500,000.

If the next guy DECREASED revenue from this blog from $1 million to $800,000 over the next 10 years, his average revenue would be $900,000.

Who did the better job? Me. But not by the fundamentally dishonest measure that you try to create. By the Pat Standard, the second guy did a better job.

In addition, you write:

“Rate of inflation hovered between 2.8% and 3.8%….21.5% is higher than this number….”

Not compounded over a nine-year period it’s not. This is pretty basic stuff, Pat.

A CONSERVATIVE

June 29th, 2010
1:40 pm

FOLKs…..JAY is paid by the Socialist owners of the Obama-Atlanta-Urnal to SPIN…SPIN….SPIN….LIE..LIE..LIE about the news..JAY IS A LIAR AN UTTER LIAR

Scout

June 29th, 2010
1:43 pm

Jay:

I hear you. It’s kind of similar to when Democrats demagogue and accuse Republicans of “cutting the funding of a program” when all they are doing is “cutting back the growth of spending” ??

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
1:43 pm

Bush tax cuts DO NOT “explain” the deficit in the manner depicted. Fact is, without the Bush tax cuts and resulting multiplied tax revenue collected the deficit would probably be far worse. Go back to school; you got cheated in your economics class. Another point: Government doesn’t “own” the money supply, the people own it and governemnt confiscates it. I don’t want any part of political leadership that thinks we exist for the benefit of government.

Start cutting spending. Reverse health care deform, stop bailing out Wall Street and the big international corporations, and work diligently to get us out of the military entanglements in the Middle East. Incentivize investment in American business employing US citizens with investment tax credits. Cut corporate income taxes to attract investment in America.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:44 pm

What is simply forgotten M Percy, is that a lot of the Bush tax cuts for the working poor and middle class expired by 2005. By nickel and diming millions of Americans, these tax “increases” as Republicans would call them if they happened under a Democratic President, were responsible for creating revenues. No one ever announced to this group of people that they were LOSING their tax cuts. That this meant their taxes would be going up. And they did.

Next small businesses paid a huge price when their the maximum amount that a small business could deduct as a legitimate business expense was dropped from 100,000 dollars a year down to 25,000 dollars a year. That raised a HUGE chunk of change for the Bush Administration to claim as resulting from their “tax cut bill’ unfortunately this was typical Republican misdirection. It was the fact that these portions of the tax cuts expired that raised the revenues.

As of 2010 the only remnants of the Bush tax cuts that really exist are not those for wage earners, but for the wealthy and those who earn their income by investments.

Lord Help Us

June 29th, 2010
1:44 pm

Jay,

This is simple…just wait six more years and see if Pat applies the SAME ‘logic’ to these SAME numbers for Obama to Bush.

Simple, huh?

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
1:45 pm

> 21.5% is higher than this number….”

Not compounded over a nine-year period it’s not. This is pretty basic stuff, Pat.

Jay, you are ever so much nicer about this than I’d be.

Extending unemployment benefits is a compassionate thing to do,

It’s also, probably, the single most efficient means by which to stimulate the economy by government spending that we have. More or less every dollar that goes to UE bennies goes smack-dab back into local economies.

(yeah, you could simply mail checks to everyone, but not everyone who’d receive such a check needs to spend that money. People getting by without regular paychecks, generally, do.)

Maybe you or others think our economy’s recovered sufficiently so that such stimulus isn’t needed, but seein’s how we’re still around 9.7% unemployed, I don’t think so.

RB from Gwinnett

June 29th, 2010
1:46 pm

Dollars Jay. Give us a number. $3,500? $1,000? What? Don’t give me the libleral line of “my share” cause to a liberal that usually means I’ll give my $2 and everybody else can pay $5,000.

What do you think is your “fair share”?

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
1:48 pm

Jay,

You are correct that Pat’s argument doesn’t hold water, but wouldn’t it also be fundamentally dishonest to not include the following points:

1) Clinton was heading down the same path Obama was during the first two years of his administration. Then the Republicans took over in 1994. Clinton, to his credit, moved right. It was the combination of a Republican Congress and a Democratic president that “balanced” the budget during the latter stages of the Clinton years. I put the word balanced in quotes because no one ever takes into account the unfunded liabilities which accrue every year in Medicare and Social Security.

2) Much of the revenue during the Clinton administration is due to the dot com bubble. As you have pointed out, Obama gets a lot of blame for things outside his control. Clinton gets a lot of credit for things outside his control as well. People made lots of money and paid taxes on it during the late nineties.

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
1:48 pm

NJ has some valid points.

But the Bush tax cuts also exempted more people than ever before from having to pay any taxes at all, while growing the number of people who pay negative federal income taxes (and also those you pay negative combined federal income taxes and payroll taxes). And both the absolute dollars and the %share of taxes paid by the high-income earners rose quite a bit, while the share paid by the lower-income household fell.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:49 pm

Look at this Republican placed list of increases to Revenues under Bush and then compare them to the years that parts of the Bush tax cuts expiring:

Comparing year-over-year, we had revenue growth of 8.2% (’04),

14.6% (’05),

Child Credit: This credit will shrink from $1,000 to $700 per child on January 1, 2005.
The 10 Percent Bracket: The upper income level for this bracket will decrease by $1,000 per filer on January 1, 2005.

The 15 Percent Bracket for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2005, the upper limit of this bracket will shrink from 200 to 180 percent of the upper limit of the 15 percent bracket for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

Standard Deduction for Joint Filers: On January 1, 2005, this will shrink from 200 to 174 percent of the standard deduction for single filers, creating a marriage penalty.

Alternative Minimum Tax: Exemptions will decrease by $6,500 per filer on January 1, 2005.

Bonus Depreciation: This provision, which changes depreciation schedules for businesses in a way that encourages investment, will expire on January 1, 2005.

Theres the source of that 2005 increase in tax revenues. By tax increases on working income earners.

11.7% (’06), 6.7%

Small Business Expensing: On January 1, 2006, the maximum amount that a business may deduct will fall from $100,000 to $25,000, which will not be indexed to inflation.

Small businesses picked up the tab for the 6.7 percent increase in government revenues in 2006.

(’07) before dipping by 1.7% in ‘08 as the more recent recession started. Revenues exceeded $2T every year after the Bush tax cuts except for ‘04 ($1.88T) and in ‘06 & ‘07 exceeded $2.5

In 2007 when the baseline tax cuts, for the poor and middle class were gone, and those for small businesses had expired, we see the FIRST drop in revenues and the start of a recession.

Further proof that the Bush tax cuts to the rich did no good, and caused harm

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
1:53 pm

“I simply don’t see an exit from this fiscal problem.”

Math and science education…when the Latvia has higher math literacy scores than the U.S, perhaps it’s time for a little less Intelligent Design and little more Pythagorean theorem…

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
1:54 pm

Fact is, without the Bush tax cuts and resulting multiplied tax revenue

good god, we are plagued by Teh Stupids this afternoon.

Dollars Jay. Give us a number. $3,500? $1,000? What?

see above.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
1:56 pm

Another false Republican claim. The Republican congress had no part in the Clinton economic miracle. They attempted to block, filibuster and prevent every budget he submitted from going through. Remember when they tried to shut down Congress over the budget? No.

Typical short Republican memory and rewrite of history. In the end, public opinion nailed the Republicans for shutting down 14 critical government departments and in the end, the Republicans had to cave to Clinton. Back in 1995.

What the shutdown indisputably did do was sour Republican approval ratings. Gingrich’s personal approval rating was at 27% during the shutdown, and Congress as a whole had a 24% approval rating–one of its lowest points historically.

And this sour turn may have had some unforeseen consequences: Eager to repair his standing post-shutdown, Gingrich suddenly turned cooperative, striking deals with President Clinton on welfare reform and other measures. Those deals in turn undermined the Republican case against the Clinton presidency, sacrificing the presidential campaign of Robert Dole.

Disgusted

June 29th, 2010
1:57 pm

It’s [unemployment benefits]also, probably, the single most efficient means by which to stimulate the economy by government spending that we have. More or less every dollar that goes to UE bennies goes smack-dab back into local economies.

It’s robbing Peter to pay Paul. It’s transferring borrowed money from the federal level to the state level. It still isn’t creating any jobs, and given the reduced spending of those who’ve lost their jobs and now must rely on unemployment benefits, the level of revenue garnered at the state level as a result of UE spending is still lower than it was formerly.

Extend unemployment benefits—absolutely. But do it on compassionate grounds, not with the expectation that it’s going to solve the fiscal crisis.

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
1:59 pm

I see a whole bunch of whining from the GOPers but I don’t see much from them regarding the fiscal problems. Bush and the Republicans gave us the illusion of prosperity by borrowing from our future in order to give us tax cuts, more benefits and wars in the present. All that has to be paid back with interest and we are still stuck in a major economic downturn with high unemployment and no rosy short-term prospects. So, how do we cut our deficit spending while stimulating economic activity. Come on, Republicans. Give us your ideas.

Jefferson

June 29th, 2010
2:00 pm

If Bush had grew jobs to keep up with the population growth we would not be in such a deep hole. Private sector should hire or be prepared to be taxed for the gov’t to stimulate. Like it or not we are in it together.

An Inconvenient Response

June 29th, 2010
2:01 pm

NJ said, I love hearing the old argument that “X” proved he was not a “fiscal conservative”

Actually, truth be told, Jerry Brown, in his first term as governor of California proved himself a fiscal conservative that one cannot imagine many republicans aspire to. This Democrat did not care to live in the expensive governor’s mansion. Instead he rented a $275 apartment. Governor “Moonbeam” also drove a Plymouth rather than being chauffeured in a limo. He took a salary cut and he slept on a futon. When is the last time we heard of a republican going that frugal?

Hillbilly Deluxe

June 29th, 2010
2:04 pm

It took decades to get into this mess and it’ll take decades to get out, if indeed we ever do.

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
2:04 pm

the level of revenue garnered at the state level as a result of UE spending is still lower than it was formerly.

well sure–it’d be better if these folks were working. No argument there.

do it on compassionate grounds, not with the expectation that it’s going to solve the fiscal crisis.

You and I aren’t that far apart on this; I’m not arguing that it’s going to solve the fiscal crisis, just that it can be pretty easily economically justified.

Gordon

June 29th, 2010
2:06 pm

NJ,

Republicans controlled Congress, the branch of government from which all spending bills originate, for three fourths of the Clinton term, and yet had no effect on the fiscal results of those years.

Interesting.

uhoh

June 29th, 2010
2:11 pm

How’s about fast fowarding that graph and project the deficit as Obamacare kicks in. You’re gonna need a bigger box.

thomas

June 29th, 2010
2:11 pm

Why is Obama going to wait a year until he presents his changes and cuts?

Does he know what needs to be cut and is keeping it his secret?

Or is he playing politics waiting until after the Nov. elections looming with the financial stability of our nation at stake

Scout

June 29th, 2010
2:15 pm

Jay:

I am not a chemist but I believe there is a point in a chemical reaction where “nothing” can be done to stop the reaction in progress.

I am also not an economist but my common sense tells me we have also reached that point in our economy.

As Julius Caesar said when he crossed the Rubicon, “Alea iacta est” (the die is cast).

getalife

June 29th, 2010
2:15 pm

The orange guy wants to raise the retirement age to 70.

Joe

June 29th, 2010
2:16 pm

Yes Jay, I do dissmiss these ridiculous findings becuase it comes from libturds. I do agree that numbers don’t lie but unfortunatly when they are made up to suit your ideology they can’t possibly be taken seriously….. A good example is the so called scientists who skewed the numbers to promote their global alarmist agenda….

Jimbo

June 29th, 2010
2:16 pm

jewcowboy

June 29th, 2010
2:18 pm

Scout @ 2.15,

You mean the “tipping point”? I wonder where else that might apply…

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
2:18 pm

Before the bush tax cuts, a married couple with two children and no unusual tax situations could earn about $38.8K and owe $0 in federal income taxes. After the Bush tax cuts this jumped to $47.4K! With a nod to NJ, this did fall slightly as some of the provisions expired, to about $45.5K.

Today, that same couple can earn over $50K and owe $0 in federal income taxes. (All $ figures above are in constant 2010 dollars). This income would put them solidly in the upper one-third of incomes, too.

In 2009, some 65M “tax units” (households) or about 43% of filers had zero or negative tax liability. This does not include about 15M non-filers. When non-filers are included almost half of all households in the US pay zero or negative federal income taxes. In addition, some 17.5M households (11.6%) pay zero or negative combined federal income plus payroll taxes. Under Pres. Obama’s plans, by 2019, almost 15% (25M) will be paying zero or negative combined federal income plus payroll taxes (according to the left-leaning Tax Policy Center).

Pretty much by definition, if rich is “more than average income” and nearly half the people are non paying *any* taxes (and an unknown number of them are paying *negative* taxes), only “the rich” are effectively paying taxes. So any tax break will necessarily be to the benefit of “the rich”, and unless those people who are paying zero or less in taxes are once again placed in the position of having to pay some taxes and get skin in the game (which is doubtful) there’s no way that a tax cut can benefit them (excepting more refundable credits to let them pay more negative taxes–i.e. tax welfare).

Face it: no matter what your position is, the tax system is broken. It is a grossly inefficient beast that invites fraud and noncompliance at every turn. About $300B+ goes uncollected every year, about $250B is spent by honest people and businesses to comply, and the left’s favorite tax break, the EITC approaches 30% fraud rates and costs tens of billions of dollars every year in fraudulent payouts. There’s no good way to estimate how much is never reported.

Scout

June 29th, 2010
2:20 pm

jewcowboy:

Same concept ……… also known as “deep doo doo” and “up to your neck in alligators”.

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
2:20 pm

“Another false Republican claim. The Republican congress had no part in the Clinton economic miracle.” Actually, Clinton benefitted from the technology based economy spurred on quite successfully by the Reagan economic and tax policies. I lived it; I was in the computer industry in the eighties and saw first hand what impact the investment tax credits had on our economy and the foundation that investment laid for the nineties.

getalife

June 29th, 2010
2:20 pm

Joe,

Still clinging to your failed ideology of tax cuts and no regulations for the 1%?

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
2:20 pm

“It’s [unemployment benefits]also, probably, the single most efficient means by which to stimulate the economy by government spending that we have. More or less every dollar that goes to UE bennies goes smack-dab back into local economies.”

Well, heck, let’s increase UI benefits 10x and that’ll yank us right out of the recession. Heck, let’s just give all the unemployed people $1M! That’ll really fix it!

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
2:22 pm

We got our huge tax cuts in 2001 and 2003. About ninety-five percent of us are paying out a lower tax rate than ever before yet here we are neck deep in the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression. So, what now folks. You can only cut taxes so much. Last time I checked, zero percent is as low as it goes. After that, you gotta borrow it in order to give it and folks are not too keen on loaning us bunches of money right now. So, we can chop out social security and Medicare and get rid of those payroll taxes and what will that amount to for the average person. Not much. It will put a more substantial sum of money in the pockets of some of the major corporations but not small businesses. Then, there is the DoD. There are hundreds of billions that could be cut there. Of course, that prescription drug company program needs to go, along with the farm subsidies and oil company kickbacks. What are we waiting for. Let’s do it.

Scout

June 29th, 2010
2:22 pm

Jimbo:

They are too blind to understand and too biased to believe it. Thanks for trying.

Jimbo

June 29th, 2010
2:22 pm

benefit all with FAIR TAX
Get with it ladies….
pimps,hookers, welfare scammers, illegal aliens, etc all pay their share.
Or would you prefer we foot that bill too?

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
2:25 pm

Well, heck, let’s increase UI benefits 10x and that’ll yank us right out of the recession.

what part of “I’m not arguing that it’s going to solve the fiscal crisis” don’t you get?

professional skeptic

June 29th, 2010
2:25 pm

USinUK
June 29th, 2010
9:56 am

Thank you. Brilliant. Truer words never written/spoken/uttered.

I'm here from the government and I'm here to help

June 29th, 2010
2:29 pm

TO ALL BUSH WAR BASHERS…

Which branch of the Government overwhelmingly approved the wars? You have three choices and I hope you get this simple question right because if not, you are not worth my time! Once answered correctly we can move on to more important things.

Like JOBS, JOBS, JOBS!!!

professional skeptic

June 29th, 2010
2:31 pm

Thanks, Jay, for this. Oh, how the rightists squirm when confronted with uncomfortable, inconvenient facts that shatter their fantasy-world view about our nation’s fiscal reality.

Unfortunately, when the numbers don’t stack up the way they prefer, it all gets dismissed as “fuzzy math.”

MARCEL MARCEAU

June 29th, 2010
2:32 pm

,,.?.’.,?,,.”".,!

stands for decibels

June 29th, 2010
2:34 pm

water-crisis sheets, bitches.

BADA BING

June 29th, 2010
2:36 pm

I remember when a billion dollars was a lot of money.

Swede Atlanta

June 29th, 2010
2:40 pm

The deficit is symptomatic of a serious negative change in American attitudes relative to money and consumption.

There was a time when Americans were net savers. People saved until they had a 20% downpayment for a car or a house.

But somewhere along the line we lost that. We have become an “instant gratification” society driven by gross commercialism. People don’t want to save and for a long time the banks continued to bankroll the consumerism with relatively cheap and abundant credit.

At the same time we were buying McMansions, SUVs, HD TVs, taking expensive vacations, saving nothing and running up the charge card, our elected representatives were also infected.

There was no need for public services to be paid for. We would just print more money and issue more debt. We could be the policeman of the world with overpriced, unnecesssary weapons systems, spend on discretionary programs and support entitlement programs at the same time taxes were kept extraordinarily low.

I hope the tide is turning on individual consumerism. Gone are the days of cheap and loose credit. I hope it stays that way. Now we need to take hard decisions on public consumerism.

What are our values? Do we want to try to police the world or use our tax dollars here at home on fixing our crumgling infrastructure and caring for our own? The rest of the world laughs at the U.S. as they enjoy 5 or 6 weeks of mandatory vacation, substantial public pensions, free healthcare, etc. As long as the U.S. continues to play world policeman we will never have the resources to care for our own.

And we have to decide among those programs at home which ones are meaningful and which ones need to do? Once we can agree on what we want then we have to accept the need to pay for it on a “pay as you go” basis.

Until there is a change in mindset we are doomed to failure.

professional skeptic

June 29th, 2010
2:42 pm

Jay
June 29th, 2010
1:28 pm

I second this. To save education, to preserve infrastructure, to keep us safe… in short, to own up to the personal responsibility of paying for the things that make our nation strong TODAY, rather than shamefully putting those costs off onto future generations.

theyeshaveit

June 29th, 2010
2:43 pm

Bada Bing, a billion dollars still is a lot of money in my wallet. I remember when I could buy a popsicle for 3 cents.

RF

June 29th, 2010
2:46 pm

I’m here: how exactly does one “create” jobs? What jobs can be created when income and spending are down? Unfortunately, lasting jobs won’t be created until many Americans dig their way out of debt and can actually afford to spend. It will take several years, and in the meantime unemployment will likely stay high. Looking back, something along the lines of New Deal work programs might help, but how many people are desperate enough yet to actually take a job requiring so much physical labor for little money? We may get to that point, but we’re not there yet.

War is usually good for the economy. It gets jobs going to produce the materials needed to fight and puts more income out there to spur spending. The fairly gluttonous budget of the DoD though, coupled with two expensive and long wars is creating deficit spending faster than domestic spending and income can generate tax revenues to balance. People need to spend money and generate demand for goods and services. Until that happens, and until we can scale back the size of the wars, we’re not going to reduce the deficit significantly.

Jimbo

June 29th, 2010
2:46 pm

TaxPayer

June 29th, 2010
2:47 pm

Jimbo,

Your monthly prebate check has been delayed indefinitely.

Huckabee The Next POTUS 2013

June 29th, 2010
2:49 pm

Jimbo, give it up. You can’t explain the Fair Tax to a bunch of dimocraps. Unless the evil rich aka: Hard Working Americans are paying 90% of the taxes in this country, then it’s not FAIR, somebody has to support the useless, lazy and illegal people. Remember to the bedwetters, if you work hard, do the right things, invest wisely and aquire wealth, then you were just LUCKY!!!!

theyeshaveit

June 29th, 2010
2:53 pm

RF, to an extent I agree with you on the effect a war can have on the economy. Perhaps, the only decent example of that which we have, however, is World War II. But just prior to WW II, America was still struggling to pull itself out of an economic downturn that began with the Great Depression. For the economy and job creation, war turned out to be a good thing. But the circumstances today are different. The Iraq and Afghanistan wars are destroying us. And to make a bad thing even worse, we must borrow money from China to pay for these wars?

Del

June 29th, 2010
2:54 pm

This continuing lemming chorus that it’s all Bush’s fault and Obama inherited this mess so he should be absolved of all blame just doesn’t resonate with the majority of Americans. Obama looked like the fool he really is at the G-20. He kept pushing for more stimulus spending, which hasn’t worked, while the European leaders ignored him and spoke about spending cuts and budget reductions. The only ones who were on board with Obama were the third world countries, so evidently he wants to take us to that level. Once again we have the neo-comms attempting to defend the indefensible.

Wes

June 29th, 2010
2:55 pm

Jay,

First and foremost, if you really want thoughtful analysis, you should give the class a day or so to work on the problem.

Second, there is at least one thing that confuses me. Personally I’m agnostic about tax cuts. I tend to think that the more complicated the tax code the easier it gets gamed. That being said if you look at some OECD data, it suggests that we end up with revenues between 25% and 30% of GDP regardless of rates (Data from 1975 to 2006). Do we really think that changes the rates is that impactful?

Third I’d need some time to run down some numbers but I think that the liability from Fannie and Freddie may be questionable as in too small.

Fourth I think the wars both need to be stopped as soon as possible; however both parties are responsible at this point. Obama may feel that it is inhumane to leave without providing an adequate government, but there are a number of places (Somalia and North Korea spring to mind) where things are just as bad. This is a decision where both parties bear responsibility.

Finally can we just acknowledge that neither party has the country’s best interests at heart. It’s not a Republican thing or a Democrat thing. If we want government it needs to be at a level where people can influence it. It should not be where each rep has 700,000 constituents.

I’ll take you up on your offer Jay. You can raise taxes if we get rid of Social Security, Medicare, and trim defense to the point where it defends our borders not our interests.

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
2:57 pm

“The rest of the world laughs at the U.S. as they enjoy 5 or 6 weeks of mandatory vacation, substantial public pensions, free healthcare, etc. As long as the U.S. continues to play world policeman we will never have the resources to care for our own.”

Yes, American blood and dollars have enabled the socialist gluttonny in Europe. Their day of reckoning is fast upon them. I do not call 5-6 weeks of vacation, substantial public pensions, and “free” healthcare “care” or “caring”, I call it socialist indulgence and it’s selfish because SOMEONE ELSE ULTIMATELY PAYS THE BILL (America for defense, future generations for the burgeoning debt).

RF: Jobs can be created by investing in the creation of wealth. You transform resources into something someone else is willing to pay a premium for (i.e., manufacturing, art/entertainment, technology, etc.). This is what causes tax revenues to GO UP when tax rates are cut. Government handouts are merely transfers of wealth and the multiplier effect in the economy is far, far lower.

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
2:59 pm

“Then in 1981 Reagan decided that we could decrease taxes and did so. But he forgot to decrease spending. ” No, he had a Democratic Congress.

Swede Atlanta

June 29th, 2010
3:03 pm

DawgDad

I want some of that socialist indulgence. As long as America is stupid enough to carry the security freight for the rest of the world I wish the Europeans long and enjoyable vacations, pensions, etc.

Yes some of the Eurozone countries have gotten caught by their deficits but not all of them. Europeans, especially the Germans, were foolish to give up the Mark in favor of the Euro. They now have to deal with the consequences of the lack of political cohesion among the Eurozone countries.

But give me some of that long vacation time, early pensions, etc. I wouldn’t mind trying it out for a while.

Jay

June 29th, 2010
3:05 pm

Sorry Dawgdad. Year after year, the final amount appropriated by Congress year after year was almost exactly the amount that Reagan had requested.

A fact of history.

Marko

June 29th, 2010
3:07 pm

Nothing is stopping you from writing a check this very moment for any additional amount you’d like to pay. Heck, you can even add up the amount you got from the Bush tax cuts since 2001 and send the treasury a check for that amount today. As they say, “money talks, BS walks”.
Jay wrote:

June 29th, 2010
1:28 pm
RB, I’ll gladly pay my fair share in additional taxes, because I recognize that this is one of those situations in which we’re going to pay one way or the other. I prefer to do it through taxes than through financial collapse or insolvency.

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
3:17 pm

Swede: You and me both, buddy, but I’m too busy working (thankfully). Socialist ideals may be excellent motivators, such as accumulation of wealth or material goods is for some people, but too much of a good thing not fairly earned can be very corrupting and damaging. Helping others can be a good thing; there is a place for secular social safety nets. But people in power (politicians and big business/bankers/Wall Street) are gaming our social safety net funds and creatively raiding the US Treasury for their own selfish interests, not for the benefit of the mainstream American citizen. The problem extends to both parties, and it is why we have this movement called a Tea Party.

Thomas

June 29th, 2010
3:19 pm

I’m an independent who tried the Republican party and learned what a fraud it is. They always promise tax cuts and spending cuts to give the appearance of fiscal responsibliity. And they always do the tax cuts because it’s politically easy to dispense money. But they never do the spending cuts because that takes political courage and they are political cowards. My response to the Republicans is spare me all the PowerPoint numbers, charts and ideological crap, just stop handing out tax cuts and starting wars until you grow a political backbone and become responsible enough to pay for them. Their supporters on this blog come across as silly bozos when they defend Bush. After all, Obama would not be in power had the Repubs not been an unprecedented fiscal disaster.

A CONSERVATIVE

June 29th, 2010
3:20 pm

JAY….Both U & the entire AJC newsroom are now totally irrelevant…irrelevant..etc…

gbs

June 29th, 2010
3:21 pm

Fascinating to read the continual liberal-conservative blame game. Both parties are at fault. The issue is spending more than you receive in taxes. All talk and no fiscal restraint.

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
3:21 pm

stands, I copied that from someone else who quoted you (disgusted at 1:57). I didn’t see your original…

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
3:35 pm

“Sorry Dawgdad. Year after year, the final amount appropriated by Congress year after year was almost exactly the amount that Reagan had requested. A fact of history.”

I recalled seeing some useful numbers on Reagan’s budgets vs Congress’s budget, but right now all I can find are Reagan’s proposals compared to actual expenditures (which might not reflect what Congress approved in their budget). Jay’s right, for certain values of “almost exactly”.

Outlays
Fiscal Year Proposed Actual % Difference (Cumulative)
1982 695.3 745.8 7.3
1983 773.3 808.4 4.5 (12.1)
1984 862.5 851.8 -1.2 (10.8)
1985 940.3 946.4 0.7 (11.6)
1986 973.7 990.3 1.7 (13.5)
1987 994.0 1003.9 1.0 (14.6)
1988 1024.3 1064.1 3.9 (19.1)
1989 1094.2 1144.2 4.6 (24.5)
______________________________________
Totals $7,357.6 $7,554.9 Avg 2.8 (3.1) (averages for 82-9)

Steve

June 29th, 2010
3:36 pm

What this “analysis” ignores is the stimulative effect of the Bush tax cuts. When they exprie next year, we will see just how painful the drag on the economy will be when tax rates go up.
Surely even Bookman is not dumb enough to call this collection of a litle arithmetic on a chart an “analysis” from which one could draw policy conclusions.

M Percy

June 29th, 2010
3:39 pm

Thomas, technically tax cuts are not “dispensing money”. It’s allowing people to retain money that’s already theirs (barring “refundable tax credits”). The problem is not one of revenue, but spending. If you don’t have $2.5T in revenue, then by god, don’t spend $2.5T!

Hmmmmmmm

June 29th, 2010
3:41 pm

By the way, allowing the Republican tax cuts to expire does not mean that the Democrats will raise taxes. It simply means that the Republican plan of returning to the old tax structure is being followed. So, why would the Republicans complain about following their own plan.

This is the kind of IGNORANCE that rules our country. It’s people like this, who vote these clowns into office. I mean, how in the world can it not be a tax increase…… Good grief, Taxpayer, if you would like to send more of your hard earned money to D.C. then send all you want…… For know get some HELP!

Scout

June 29th, 2010
3:43 pm

theeyeshavit:

3 Krystals, fries and a coke for 26 cents.

Alex

June 29th, 2010
3:48 pm

Jay,
Do you remember during the 2000 election how there was talk about surpluses as far as the eye could see? I went back and found a CBO outlook paper for FY2001-2010. It showed surpluses of $176B for FY2000 (outlook at the time) with a gradual increase up to a $489B surplus in 2010. Continuing with that math using a Compound Average Growth Rate we could expect the budget surplus to be $1,227B in 2019. Your friends at this Think Tank indicate that if we had no tax cuts, no wars, no recession, no bailouts that our predicted budget position in 2019 would be slightly negative – based on the chart maybe around -$50B. I’m not quite sure how to reconcile these two positions. Obviously the starting points of the CBO report and the Think Tank study are different but the assumptions are similar. In 2000 there were no Bush tax cuts, no wars, no recession,no bailouts. The Think Tank makes the agrument if none of those things I just mentioned had happened our position from 2010 to 2019 would close to a balanced budget. Maybe there are some stupid things Bush did they decided not to include (I’ll throw you a bone and say the giveaway to big pharma contributed to this mess and for whatever reason they did not mention that)…. or maybe this is simply a case of our friend Mark Twain who said “there are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics”. Lets just admit the truth. Bush and BOTH the Dem and GOP Congresses (Dems and Senate for most of 2001 and 2002 and both houses in 2007 and 2008) made drunken sailors look bad with their reckless spending. Horffic. Unfortunately the crowd we have now make Bush and company look like the amatuer hour at the Apollo. The unfortunate truth is that even if the GOP wins in November nothing much will change because the overwhelming bulk of our spending is tied up in “entitlements”, defense spending and interest on the debt. None of our feckless political leaders are willing to touch entitlement spending or defense spending (both filled with massive amounts of waste) because ultimately the game is about how to stay in power and the Chinese have us by the short hairs on the interest payments. I have no problem bashing Bush on his irresponsible budgetary policies (and I voted for the man twice) but lets call a spade and a spade and recognize that Obama is just as bad, if not worse, with his spending. We are already seeing that the house of cards he built his “deficit neutral” healthcare plan on is falling apart as anyone with a brain knew that 21% pay cut for the doctors would not happen. He has created a fiscal monster in this healthcare plan that be on par with Medicare in terms of fiscal predictions and fiscal reality.

r

June 29th, 2010
3:50 pm

Hey ReyJay,

Use your bat phone to call Obama to stop this market sell off.

N-GA

June 29th, 2010
4:07 pm

I’ve posted this before. During the Eisenhower administration (Republican), the highest incremental federal income tax rate was 91%. Now it is 35%. Back then we believed in paying for things.

At the state/local level, income taxes have increased, sales tax has tripled, state gas taxes per gallon are higher than what a gallon of gas cost back then, millage rates are higher than ever, excise taxes are higher than ever.

If people want to whine, you should go to the governor, the state representatives, the county officials and your local mayor and ask what the hell are they doing with all those tax increases.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
4:08 pm

There are ALWAY surpluses available because to date, Social Security takes in three dollars for every one dollar it pays out in Social Security Checks.

Republicans love to deny that these surpluses exist, but in fact they do and they always do.

The problem is that the reason that we are in a recession is because the so called “stimulative effects” of the Bush tax cuts vanished in 2006. The vast majority of the tax cuts to the middle class and small businesses ended that year.

All that is left is the income tax cut to the richest 2 percent and the capital gains windfall given to the rich.

But if these actually WORK. If giving investors a bigger chunk of their profits after taxes actually created JOBS, we would see the private sector creating jobs, because they are getting a much larger amount of their investment dollars given back to them.

The fact is that the best thing that can happen for the economy is when the Bush Tax cuts for the rich expire.

Then they will have to leave their money inside of investments and businesses, rather than do profit taking. And they will have to SPEND those dollars in ways that a business can spend them and avoid corporate taxes.

And the ONLY way to do that is to open more businesses, hire more people, provide more benefits, any “business expense” which will offset being taxed at the higher rates…

This is why a mere TEN PERCENT increase in taxes created the economy of the 1990’s The ONLY way to avoid paying taxes on their wealth was to create a business, rather than to take a million dollar bonus.

I'm here from the government and I'm here to help

June 29th, 2010
4:10 pm

I’ll take the silents from all you Bush War Bashers as a surrender.

The Government sets the tone to job creation by getting the hell out of the way and letting businesses operate without government intervention. i.e. EPA

We do not need FDR’s New Deal BS. We need a leader who has ran a business not a community organizer with an open checkbook that is $13 Trillion overdrawn.

buddi love

June 29th, 2010
4:14 pm

Are you dumb or just stupid? Th government doesn’t have a revenue problem it has a spending problem. I’m sure if the government could give us a date certain where these mythical problems will be solved we would all be in total support. But the programs are more about sustainability of the government employees and grant recipients than about the outcome.

pat

June 29th, 2010
4:17 pm

Jay, the evidence I presented was adjusted for inflation…Facts are facts and you are twisting them to suite your needs.

ken R

June 29th, 2010
4:18 pm

Stands for decibels,

Not all of the unemployment benefits goes 100% back into the local economy, you forgot Uncle Sams cut.

Thomas

June 29th, 2010
4:27 pm

M. Percy. You say tax cuts to taxpayers is money “that’s already theirs”. Well, the deficit is “theirs” too. Give all the tax cuts you want, just pay for them and stop pushing the trickle-down theory on the gullible. Tax cuts with no spending cuts has become standard Republican philosophy since Reagan. I repeat, the Republican party is a fraud.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
4:28 pm

Of course the primary assertions made by conservatives that money gained when the top tax rate is lowered will be used to create jobs or start businesses is the largest pile of buffalo bagels imaginable.

No amount of giving tax cuts to the wealthy will ever create a single job or result in a new business being created. This has been a fact since 1919 when our economy became a totally mature industrial economy.

Tax cuts have never, I repeat, have never caused increased investment—not in the 1920s, not in the 1960s, not in the 1980s, and not in our own time. The empirical record is uniform: net investment keeps falling no matter what. Don’t take my word for it. Consult Peter G. Peterson, a co-founder of Blackstone (a private equity group just gone public), and a former cabinet member under Nixon and Ford.

There is no cause-effect correlation between lower taxes and greater investment because, again, economic growth no longer requires, or even allows, increasing net investment. At the macro level, we can improve productivity and output just by replacing and maintaining our existing capital stock—we certainly don’t have to make any additions to it.

So to cut taxes for the wealthiest individuals is to invite them to place their augmented incomes in the hands of people who have no choice except to bet this new money on the available speculative site, in this instance on the housing/mortgage market. There’s no place else to put it if they want to get a return better than a savings account or a stodgy mutual fund.

If you look at the stock market closely, what you find is that none of the money invested there is ever used to create new jobs, or to purchase new business equipment, etc. It never stays in one place long enough for that to happen. The stock market is basically a casino where money changes hands too fast to be used for anything even remotely related to business purposes. It is where the excess wealth of the rich is used to gamble on what is actually happening in the Main Street economy.

Basically ALL of the money that is used to create new jobs and to open new stores or factories or offices comes from the productivity gains of the existing work force.

Since 1979, the worker productivity of the American worker has increased by 80 percent. But their wages have not even come close to seeing a similar increase. If wages kept pace with productivity the average income for an American worker would be close to 80,000 dollars a year. Rather than the current 38,000 a year.

The Reagan revolution ENDED the period in which the worker shared in his own productivity gains.
This would NOT have done anything to prevent the business owner from getting a decent share of profit for his “risk taking” as conservatives love to call it. (but when corporations and businesses are protected from much risk by bankruptcy laws, while workers can no longer avail themselves of the same laws, it is hard to accept this “risk based” assertion for the goodness of the corporation for the American people)

Before Reagan, each sector of the population saw gains in their personal income. If the economy saw a ten percent growth in any year, every quintile, from the poorest 20 percent to the top 20 percent saw their REAL income grow. Everyone got a little something for their efforts.

After Reagan changed the tax codes, this vanished. Every single deduction which could be taken by both a real flesh and blood person, and a fictional one called a corporation was taken away from the real person. Before Reagan’s tax changes, anyone could deduct the interest on any sort of loan. Car loan, credit card interest, etc. After Reagan these deductions were only the privilege of the rich. And Reagan made sure he got those changes in while he had a Republican majority Congress between 1980 and 1986. After that he had a “split” Congress which meant the Democrats who had a majority in one house could be blocked by the Republicans in the other.

Republicans love to repeat this old BS line about tax cuts stimulating the economy, but there is no evidence that tax cuts, except those given to the lower income brackets, ever have any stimulative effect at all.

Which is why Republicans LOVE these “Flat across the board, ten percent tax cuts”

The mathematical results of this, given the current ranges in the tax percentile brackets will ALWAYS result in about 55 percent of any total dollar sum going to the bottom 98 percent, and the other 45 percent going to the top two percent.

And the money given to that top two percent almost never used to create new jobs or businesses.

Even after years of analysis David Stockman finally found that only 4 percent of the Reagan tax cuts were used to create jobs or improve businesses. The rest was simply play money for the wealthy.

It kicked off both the junk bond phenomenon, as well as the REIT real estate investment collapse late in Reagan’s presidency

Thogwummpy

June 29th, 2010
4:45 pm

Jay, in order for you premise (which is an article of faith of the Left) to hold water, you’ve got to prove that the Bush tax cuts caused a tax revenue DECREASE. However, the CBO and Treasury Department numbers solidly demonstrate that in the years subsequent to the Bush tax cuts—-FEDERAL TAX REVENUE ACHIEVED RECORD HIGH LEVELS. People who read Jay’s nonsensical columns should be aware, that liberals in study after study are shown to be economic pea-wits. If Jay wants to contend that the Treasury Department numbers are “lies”, then he should have the guts to say that. But, Jay—-you’re wrong.

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
4:48 pm

NJ – Please keep your stupid opinions and poor research to yourself. You do know almost all of that tax data you were listing earlier today was wrong don’t you? You quoted expiration dates from the original bill but almost all of those were extended through this year. For example, the child tax credit did not revert to $700 in 2005, it is still $1000 for 2010. Moron!

Alex

June 29th, 2010
4:53 pm

NJ,
Check your facts on Social Security – http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503983_162-20001135-503983.html. This year payouts will exceed revenues.

NJ,
I enjoyed your post about tax cuts being bad. I disagree that tax cuts do not lead to greater investment as there are plenty of instances where we can see the stock market responding to tax cuts.

The problem with our current situation is that 47% of adults in this country pay ZERO federal income tax and a full 25% of adults are a net receipient (i.e. they are subsidized). So, when there IS a tax cut, like in 2001 and 2003, of course the bulk of the tax relief goes to the more well off because they are the only ones paying taxes. The argument that the Bush tax cuts were just for the rich is a total red herring and anyone who is honest about the situation would acknowledge this fact.

Tax cuts do spur the economy but they do not spur it enough to pay for themselves. I wish it were true but it is not. This mess we are in is due to reckless spending by both parties and by reckless tax cuts that were not paid for by Bush. If we had had spending cuts back in 2001 that mirrored the tax cuts there is no telling where we might be right now. We had an opportunity back in 2001 to put ourselves on a path to being debt free with a secure social security system. Unfortunately we crapped it away and we will probably never see that type of opportunity again.

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
4:53 pm

Oh, and please try to limit yourself to 100 stupid words or less. Long, wrong, and stupid is really bad. BTW, there is still a 10% bracket, it didn’t expire yet either.

Thogwummpy

June 29th, 2010
4:56 pm

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
4:56 pm

Alex – The dividend and capital gains cuts were the worst. The richest woman in the world, Jay’s de facto boss Ms Cox, makes about $1B a year, almost all of it in dividends and capital gains. Her marginal rate is 15%. A working stiff like me has a marginal rate of 28% (or 31% if you use NJ’s bad numbeers). That is a regressive tax and is an outrage.

A CONSERVATIVE

June 29th, 2010
5:04 pm

THOMAS……You, sir, are an idiot..pure & simple..

Grumpy

June 29th, 2010
5:06 pm

Still waiting for Jay to answer…if the answer is so obvious, and Bush’s tax cuts are to blame, why aren’t the Dems SHOUTING FOR THEIR ENTIRE REPEAL AT THE TOP OF THEIR COLLECTIVE LUNGS?!?!

After all, if simply repealing ALL THE CUTS will close the budget gap, seems like a no-brainer. So quit crying about Bush and FIX THIS OBVIOUS MISTAKE!

(not holding my breath)

Jay

June 29th, 2010
5:15 pm

As I understand it, Grumpy, some of those tax cuts will be allowed to sunset as the Republicans intended, but many will be extended at least for a while. Others, like the estate tax, will be adjusted but not eliminated. Why? Because raising taxes with the economy in such a fragile state would be a mistake.

tm

June 29th, 2010
5:26 pm

Simple poll. Family of four. Children are ages 7 and 9. Both parents work and have a combined income of $200,000 after social security and medicare are deducted from their paychecks. How much Federal Income tax do you think it would be fair for this family pay??

$25,000
$50,000
$75,000
$100,000
$_______

Jay

June 29th, 2010
5:29 pm

And Thogwumpy, the biggest of the Bush tax cuts were enacted in 2001. That thus becomes the base year if you want to compare what tax cuts did to revenue.

So let’s run the numbers, in constant 2005 dollars to take out the impact of inflation;

Total government revenue:
2000 2.310 trillion
2001 2.15 trillion (tax cuts are passed)
2002 2.03 trillion (more tax cuts)
2003 1.90 trillion (more tax cuts)
2004 1.95 trillion
2005 2.15 trillion
2006 2.32 trillion
2007 2.41 trillion
2008 2.29 trillion
2009 1.91 trillion

If you can find significant revenue growth in those numbers, let me know.

tm

June 29th, 2010
5:37 pm

“As I understand it, Grumpy, some of those tax cuts will be allowed to sunset as the Republicans intended, but many will be extended at least for a while” Can we then rename those that are extended Obama’s tax cuts?????

John Birch

June 29th, 2010
5:45 pm

I have a BBA from UGA and these are the facts I know. The US economy is so large and complex that relationships I learned in macroeconomics do not necessarily hold true and it’s almost impossible to tell for sure because there are so many variables.
Jay, your numbers are very good and indisputable. However, there are people who would argue the single largest cause of the poor tax revenues in the years you list was the dot.com bubble burst recession not the tax cuts. That’s why the 2002-04 numbers are so much worse than the 05-07 revenues (by then the cuts were stimulating the economy and, therefore, the tax revenues). Think of it like this. If not for the tax cuts 06-07 revenues would have averaged 1.9T.
This is the same argument the Dems now use to say O’s stimulus bill did not keep unemployment below 8% as he and the CBO originally projected but it kept it around 10% instead of the 12-13% it would have gone to otherwise. These arguments cannot be proven or disproven because they did not happen in an economic vacuum or lab but in a huge economy where lots of factors effect tax revenues or unemployment percentages.

DawgDad

June 29th, 2010
5:49 pm

“My response to the Republicans is spare me all the PowerPoint numbers, charts and ideological crap, just stop handing out tax cuts and starting wars until you grow a political backbone and become responsible enough to pay for them. Their supporters on this blog come across as silly bozos when they defend Bush.”

The government does not “pay” for tax cuts. Properly structured tax cuts would generate MORE tax revenue for the government, as recent history suggests, unless the outright objective of the cuts is to shrink government in absolute terms (which it hasn’t been; cuts may hold back the rate of growth of government but in recent history they have shrunk it not one bit). I agree they should stop starting wars until they can “fund” them (to use the proper term here), except in times of dire national self-defense where borrowing may be necessary.

Bush is indefensible, and most true conservatives would agree with me on this point. He did nothing to hold spending in check for eight years, he was evidently powerless to stop the bad mortgage underwriting fraud and derivative trade problems (or maybe he was culpable), and in the end he publicly disavoved the very economic and moral principles that he should have been doing everything in his power to uphold. Like Obama, also being a puppet, he proved too weak to keep his party leaders from raiding the hen house. Has there ever been a Bush that hasn’t stabbed his core constituency in the back (”read my lips . . .”)? I wonder.

That does NOT mean the prescription for our economic woes is tax and spending increases. We’re slitting our own throats in that regard. Learn Chinese, you’ll need it soon.

RF

June 29th, 2010
6:08 pm

I’m here: “We do not need FDR’s New Deal BS. We need a leader who has ran a business not a community organizer with an open checkbook that is $13 Trillion overdrawn.”

What about the fact that 3 trillion plus, SO FAR, has been spent fighting two wars that have no end in sight? I’m not blaming Bush anymore than I am blaming the current administration that chooses to continue to listen to the Pentagon when common sense says it’s time to quit doing what we can’t afford to do. When are we as a nation going to admit that we can’t take care of our own and the entire middle east? Even as we fight two wars, many are calling for war against Iran. When is enough?

FDR realized the simple fact that, if you want to increase production which leads to creation of income producing jobs, you have to give people a way to earn money to SPEND. Creating wealth, in the hopes that it will spur investment that will possibly trickle down to company expansion and job creation isn’t going to answer the job creations question long term. If that were true, we’d already see companies rebounding and reinvesting in expansion much faster than they are. As it is, layoffs are still occurring as companies downsize to protect profits. God help the CEO has to give up the yacht and the house in the Hamptons because the “little people” need to work. This is almost a mirror image of the early 20th century when the corporate magnates held the greatest chunk wealth and weren’t really using it to spur economic growth, just profits to line their mansion walls. It’s time to quit waiting for the trickle down economics and get people doing something to earn a survivable wage. When they can pay the rent AND buy a car, their spending will create demand on the producers who can then offer jobs to create supply. Until then, we have to hope that unemployment doesn’t go up, and that those of us who have jobs will be able to spend enough somehow to increase demand. It’s going to be a long, slow recovery. Those of us who cling desperately to the fallacy of being “middle-class”, who are the spenders and creators of real demand for goods and services, simply don’t have the spendable money until the personal debt gets paid off. Tax cuts, while they sound good and get popular support, simply won’t fill in the gaps in our income enough to get us back out there buying.

hryder

June 29th, 2010
6:11 pm

PLEASE, whether people accept the prevailing thoughts or not it does not alter them as being true. The president’s job is to be responsible for all federal governmental problems in existence whether becoming problems prior to or during his tenure in office. He could have avoided this responsibility by not running for the office. A second point, whatever you label the people who did not follow the perscribed steps in permanetly entering the USA are CRIMINALS since they entered ILLEGALLY.

casual observer

June 29th, 2010
6:31 pm

First of all Bookman wouldn’t know the damn truth it it fell in his lap. He and Cunthia Tucker are so “in the socialist tank” it gives me the fraking gag reflex. To take some liberal Molksop graph and try to sell it is laughable. Get you head out of the Obama , Pelosi Reid rear – end a come up for some much needed air.

JDW

June 29th, 2010
6:36 pm

TM at 5:26

Pretty familar with those numbers, assuming home ownership and other normal deductions Fed Tax bill is about $25K.

JDW

June 29th, 2010
6:38 pm

Follow on to prior, I don’t think it would be unjust to ask for another $3K to $5K from that hypothetical family.

NJ

June 29th, 2010
6:47 pm

We can even go back the Reagan years and get data for what caused the creation of the jobs.

There were two major tax changes in Reagan’s first term, which began in January 1981. ERTA, aka the Reagan tax cut, was signed in August 1981; TEFRA, which raised taxes, was signed in September 1982.

If you look at what happened after Reagan signed his bill lowering the top tax rate from 70 percent to 28 percent is that unemloyment started going through the roof.

Why. Because Reagan gave the rich, expecially CEO’s and other business executives a choice. Basically he said, you can give yourself a ten million dollar bonus, or hire ten thousand new employees, and the tax consequences will be exactly the same.

The other part of the insidious Reagan tax cuts is that they also removed the ratio between the earnings of a worker and an executive in a corporation. Before Reagan, there was no law saying that a corporation could not pay an executive whatever it wanted. But there were consequences. The consequences were that the company could not CLAIM ALL of a huge salary increase for an executive as a legitimate business expense. That is if the lowest paid employee in a company made ten dollars an hour, the the company could only legitimately deduct a salary of 250 dollars an hour for its CEO. If it wanted to pay the guy 500 dollars an hour, they could. But they would have to eat half of it when it came to deducting it on their corporate taxes.

This created what never happened before and is happening now. The “Jobless Recovery” So now it is possible for the stock market to go through the roof, without creating a single job. In fact it is possibly to have the stock market climb and climb and climb while having employment drop and drop and drop because Reagan effectively decoupled the earnings of companies and executives from the employment and earnings of American workers.

A company can make BILLIONS in profits off the labor of employees, pass all of it on to the executives and shareholders, while firing workers, cutting benefits, calling for the workers to take salary cuts, the works.

And this is all the result of lowering the top tax rate, while destroying the relationship ratios between worker and executive compensation when it comes to tax deductions.

Eli Jones

June 29th, 2010
7:53 pm

“DID YOU KNOW THAT MUSLIMS ARE EXEMPT FROM OBAMACARE”

Has anyone heard of Dhimmitude? It means surrendering to Muslim Demands and paying Muslims a tax for the right to be non-Muslim: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dhimmitude

Why are Muslims and Christian Scientists exempt from being forced to carry Obamacare?

http://search.aol.com/aol/search?query=muslim+exemption+from+Obamacare&s_it=keyword_rollover

Unbelievable for America!

I had my doubts so I checked with Snopes. There is an exemption for the Muslims in the Health Care Bill. Obama supporters check it out yourself.

Had never heard the word until now—Type it into Google and start reading… Pretty interesting. Note that Muslims and certain other religions are exempt from the Obamacare penalties and it is supported by law. We are surrendering from within! The prez is leading us right down the path to total Muslim control and you don’t even care! Maybe you voted for him but now the truth comes out. Maybe you should rethink what you have done to our country.

Dhimmitude is the Muslim system of controlling non-muslim populations conquered through jihad. Specifically, it is the TAXING of non-muslims in exchange for tolerating their presence AND as a coercive means of converting conquered remnants to islam.

The ObamaCare bill is the establishment of Dhimmitude and Sharia muslim diktat in the United States . Muslims are specifically exempted from the government mandate to purchase insurance, and also from the penalty tax for being uninsured. Islam considers insurance to be “gambling”, “risk-taking” and “usury” and is thus banned. Muslims are specifically granted exemption based on this. How convenient. So I John Smith, as a Christian, will have crippling IRS liens placed against all of my assets, including real estate, cattle, cars and etc. and even accounts receivables, and will face hard prison time because I refuse to buy insurance or pay the penalty tax. Meanwhile, Louis Farrakhan will have no such penalty and will have 100% of his health needs paid for by the de facto government insurance at our expence. Non-muslims will be paying a tax to subsidize muslims. Period. This is Dhimmitude.

Dhimmitude serves two purposes: it enriches the muslim masters AND serves to drive conversions to islam. In this case, the incentive to convert to islam will be taken up by those in the inner-cities as well as the godless Generation X, Y and Z types who have no moral anchor or belief in God! If you don’t believe in Christ to begin with, it is no problem whatsoever to sell Him for 30 pieces of silver. “Sure, I’ll be a muslim if it means free health insurance and no taxes. Where do I sign, brother?” Now all you Obama voters get in line for your free stuff!… However, I suggest you don’t hold your breath!…

I recommend sending this email to all your contacts. This is desperately important and people need to know about it and what the past election has done to all of us!

PS Have you heard about the summit Obama is holding this month in DC for the future Muslim business leaders in the US? He wants to increase their ability to begin business opportunities in the US for the Muslim community! Better start looking for a country that doesn’t cater to the Muslims ~ Austrailia doesn’t because this country will be overrun by Muslims like Europe is currently experiencing.

And you thought our problem was only the illegal Mexicans!……

NJ

June 29th, 2010
8:56 pm

Ah, I live to listen to anti Muslim wing nut fantasies. It restores my faith in my theory that Conservatism is closely linked to mental illness.

The fact is that Republicans these days are a party that has two pillars. One is that tax cuts are the answer to all economic problems. The other is social conservatism. Nothing else.

The fact is that not even supply side economists state that tax INCREASES are necessarily bad things. Reagan basically cherry picked through Milton Friedman’s ideas, and only looked at the part that said that taxes that were TOO high, really high taxes, were bad, and did not look at the parts that said taxes that were too low were equally pernicious. Supply side only indicates that taxes in above the 70 percent mark were really damaging. But he also places a bottom limit for taxes, of about 39 percent. Going lower than that will also create problems.

Another Friedman and Wanneski assertion. NO government program should be exempted from cuts in order to balance the budget. Both were insistent that the biggest, and worse form of spending was defense spending and if you are not willing to make cuts there, supply side will not work at all.

This is the reason that the remaining LIVING creator of supply side economics, Jude Wanneski, dumped the Republican party in 2004 and went Democrat. He went back and looked at the history of both parties, and saw the propensity of the Republican Party to create a permanent state of war someplace on earth in order to spend more and more money in the “Military Industrial Complex”

When Bush said the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq could be generational wars, he knew he was looking the nightmare that Eisenhower predicted in 1960. That the military and defense industry would make up threats in order to justify defense spending taking up ever larger portions of government spending without reductions for as far as the eye can see.

The fact is that we currently spend more on defense than all of the rest of the world combined.

If our goal is purely defensive, a fifth, even a tenth, of what we now spend would be sufficient to “defend” ourselves.

If our goal is to invade other countries to control them for American corporations, no amount will ever be sufficient. And this IS the goal. Everyone points at medical costs, but the fact is, without private insurance middlemen, healthcare costs would not rise more than the costs of inflation. Get rid of the insurance middleman, and in ten years, the cost of health care in America will be exactly what it is today. About 2.5 trillion dollars a year. If we eliminated the middle man, the actual cost today would be more like 1.25 trillion. That includes everything. Private insurance, people covered by the government, the works.

Today the US government is providing health care for a little more than 50 percent of the population. Spending about 700 billion dollars to do it. The other fifty percent spend the other 1.6 trillion dollars and about 20 percent of that is insurance industry profit.

Joe Lipham

June 29th, 2010
9:43 pm

Jay, once again you are so misinformed its almost laughable. Jay, tax cuts RAISE revenue for the government. EVERY TIME. if the economy is strong you collect more taxes!!! Jay, I told you last year Obama is a socialist that is his deal. Now its more the European style but it is what it is. Please grow up and quit blaming Bush, you need to man up and start seeing things as they are are not what you want them to be. No wonder AJC is such a joke

RF

June 29th, 2010
9:47 pm

NJ- the bounceback in the stock market should be an indication that companies are making money and will expand the job base. That’s what the economists are hoping for, which reality proves isn’t happening. The GOP is LOVING this because the political unrest it creates will result in gains in numbers in Congress. Their single goal, regardless of how badly citizens suffer in the meantime, is to shoot down the first black president and bring back the white elite to power. Then the corporate pocket-lining habits of deregulation and manipulation of tax codes to favor the rich can continue. If the past eight years and the skyrocketing deficit didn’t do enough damage, the next few years will. The rich will recover while the rest of us continue to try to eek out survival in the midst of rising prices and reduced income. We will see a “double-dip” recession, and the rich plan on recouping as much of their lost wealth as they can before it happens.

If Obama wants to prove his leadership abilities, he needs to make sure financial reform legislation gets through the system so that there will SOME reasonable limits put in place. I’m flabbergasted by how many citizens, whose savings and retirement were all but wiped out in the recent collapse, would even think about supporting the economic policies that put us here. But hey, it costs a lot to keep a CEO comfortable and I guess some of us can hope to earn a pittance scrubbing the decks and living as indentured servants. That will be just about the only jobs left. I guess I can scrub toilets in the Hamptons mansions…..and my kids are cute enough to beg outside the gates for a crust of bread.

Ninja

June 29th, 2010
10:46 pm

Raise capital gains taxes a ton, lower or eliminate business taxes entirely, and raise the personal income rates to somewhere between Reagan and Carter, but AFTER revising the brackets to account for the modern world (cough, cough, BILLIONAIRES, cough). Done.

NJ

June 30th, 2010
12:38 am

The problem is that the old economic saw that when the stock market bounces back, companies will soon start hiring no longer applies in an era of low tax trickle down economics. Because when taxes on personal income is low, business executives have two options. They can give themselves million dollar raises, and billion dollar bonuses, and get exactly the same “expense of doing business” tax deductibility as creating ten thousand new jobs. When the top tax rates are very low, a businessman can take a million dollar bonus and keep 650,000 of it. When tax rates are higher, and if he takes a million dollar bonus and only gets to keep 100,000 of it, guess what he is going to do. He is going to keep that million sheltered by doing something like opening a new office, a new store, a new factory, which has intrinsic value as capital that is less liquid, but will gain in value, especially if the business becomes profitable. Eventually he gets to sell this “investment” and pay the a “long term capital gains rate” of 15 percent. So rather than take a million dollars in salary for himself, he buys a million in inventory, has the store sell it at a profit, makes 4 million funnels that into opening 4 more stores that cost a million a piece, they each generate more income, which gets funneled back into the businesses to shelter the profits from taxes, and so on. As long as the top marginal tax rates on INCOME is high, this all become possible. When it is low, you have what we saw under Bush…Jobless recoveries. The markets reached all time highs under Bush over 13,000 but job creation was dismal because profit taking was cheap.

ODDOWL

June 30th, 2010
1:58 am

If the economy was doing so great in 2006, why did the voters vote the Republicans out of office in droves and give the Democrats the majority in both houses of Congress ??? When the Bush/Cheney Regime left office, they dumped an $11 trillion dollars debt and a $1.4 trillion dollars yearly deficit into the laps of the Democrats. President Obama and the Democrats have borrowed less than $2 trillion dollars in the last 18 months. Every penny of it went to fix what Bush/Cheney and all the Republicans in Congress today screwed up. Non rich, big house middle classers who vote Republican are the dumbest mother suckers in the milky way galaxy. The big house middle class Republicans are in a state of perpetual denial. They need long term. deep psychiatric therapy.

[...] InquirerIs Obama losing the economic argument?IndependentChicago Tribune -NPR -Atlanta Journal Constitution (blog)all 66 news [...]

El Gordo

July 1st, 2010
5:17 pm

Mr. Obama, suck it up and just get to work. Many replacement CEOs and COOs in business are hired to clean up others’ messes. They don’t concentrate on their predecessors. They man-up and get on with it. Do the same. Or you, like them, will be ousted. Its a Results Game, not a Reason Game. Even if Bush was the problem, just shut up and fix it. Nobody cares anymore about how bad Bush was. You wanted the job, you had to know things were going bad so stop all the blaming and name-calling and do what your economic training has taught you to do. Whoops, uh, sorry, no economic traing or job experience. I take it back.