Some folks in the thread down below got into a discussion about Obama’s allegedly declining job-approval ratings and the “fact” that the “liberal media” isn’t covering his fall from the public’s grace. So I decided to take a look.
Here are the Obama job-approval numbers — drawn from all the major polls — put together by the excellent folks at Pollster.com. They do show a very gradual decline, although overall the numbers seem pretty strong.
If you look closely at the disapproval numbers, you’ll see a line of red dots consistently higher than numbers produced in the rest of the polls. That’s the Rasmussen poll. It’s somewhat of an outlier, producing consistently worse numbers for Obama than almost anybody else. Interestingly, the Rasmussen numbers have not gotten worse for the president. The most recent numbers put approval/disapproval at 56/43. Two months ago, those same numbers from Rasmussen were 55/43.
Nonetheless, the chart shows a very gradual if slight rise in disapproval numbers. Where is that coming from? Not surprisingly, most of it’s from Republicans, who were never likely to vote for Obama in the first place. Here are the job-approval numbers for Republicans only, again from Pollster.com.
The most important group of voters, those who will determine Obama’s ultimate political fate and that of his programs, are the independents. Again, here are the numbers compiled and charted by Pollster.com. The approval numbers have stayed pretty steady since about mid-March; the disapproval numbers have risen slightly, but in the aggregate Obama’s job approval numbers among independents are 20 points on the positive side, 56.6/36.5.
If conservatives want to make that into front-page news, they’re welcome to do so.
(I should also note that in the latest Strategic Vision poll, Obama’s job approval/disapproval numbers here in red-state Georgia are 49/43.)