The news that reshapes Washington.
Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter will switch his party affiliation from Republican to Democrat and announced today that he will run in 2010 as a Democrat, according to a statement he released this morning.
Specter’s decision would give Democrats a 60 seat filibuster proof majority in the Senate assuming Democrat Al Franken is eventually sworn in as the next senator from Minnesota. (Former senator Norm Coleman is appealing Franken’s victory in the state Supreme Court.)
“I have decided to run for re-election in 2010 in the Democratic primary,” said Specter in a statement. “I am ready, willing and anxious to take on all comers and have my candidacy for re-election determined in a general election.”
He added: “Since my election in 1980, as part of the Reagan Big Tent, the Republican Party has moved far to the right. Last year, more than 200,000 Republicans in Pennsylvania changed their registration to become Democrats. I now find my political philosophy more in line with Democrats than Republicans.”
President Obama was informed of Specter’s decision at around 10:25 a.m., according to White House officials, and reached out to the senator minutes later to tell him “you have my full support,” and we are “thrilled to have you.”
185 comments Add your comment
md
April 28th, 2009
3:08 pm
“It has never been illegal to switch parties in midstream nor should it be.”
I’m guessing that would be a different statement had Obama decided to switch parties.
As an American, this is bad news for all of us. Regardless of what party you defend, an unbalnced government creates more problems long term than they solve. Two years ago it was the GOP with total control and that had no checks did it?
A good government needs checks and balances. Just like housing, wall st, corporate america, fannie, freddie, etc, etc.
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:09 pm
The real thing Repubs are upset about with Spector is that Spector sees which way the wind is blowing and that the Republican party is fast becoming an irrelevant party, and the American people are fast rejecting their radical right slant. The Republican party is basically has become a party of radicals while the Democrats are seen as centrists by the majority of Americans
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:09 pm
Yes, NJ, and almost all of it was under the governance of Democrat leadership in the House and/or Senate since Reagan. Brush up on your Constitutional skills, would you? And your thinking skills as well. The House is responsible for passing a budget.
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:09 pm
Budget deficits
AmVet
April 28th, 2009
3:09 pm
The man was not nearly dogmatic enough to be a neo-con.
Which sadly, is now synonymous with the word Republican.
Hijacked and hemorrhaging, this GOP may well be looking at second forty year stint as the minority party.
Oh forsooth..
Wyld Byll Hyltnyr
April 28th, 2009
3:10 pm
I’d glad that Spector has become so comfortable with the Notheast’s radical shift to a radical liberal agenda. Maybe he can divorce his wife and marry his boyfriend which would check all the boxes for this loser.
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:12 pm
Oh, and deficit spending, as long as it is in our country, is acceptable, NJ?
The short-term, American Idol self gratification society is alive and well in NJ -land.
Goldie
April 28th, 2009
3:12 pm
This is good news today. Now maybe we can get the remaining 3 or 4 sensible Republitards to do the same and join the 21st century. I predict that before too long, all that will be left of the Repub Party will be the Book of Genesis addicts.
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:12 pm
National debt by President
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:13 pm
Not at all. I got kicked off a liberal website for DEFENDING Liebernans decision to vote the way he did, largely because it was a position held by a very large percentage of his own constituency in Connecticut.he voted on Iraq the way his constituency wanted him to vote. His constituency is largely very pro Israel and their position was very much pro Iraq War. On the other side on every other issue he was reliably liberal in his vote, so taking him to task over that one position was inappropriate. The result of him running as an independent proved that his constituents still favored his position over that of the person the Democrats nominated to run on the Democratic ticket.
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:15 pm
National Debt by President This chart is better–it includes Bush Jr.
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:18 pm
I absolutely opposed the position the Democrats took with joe Lieberman regarding his vote on Iraq, because it was largely the position that was taken by Liebermans own constituency. He was on the whole a reliable liberal voter on 99 percent of all other votes, and to take him to task over that single vote and put up another candidate against him was inappropriate. Just as it is for Mitch McConnell and others to threaten Spector, Snowe and Collins for their vote on the stimulus.
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:19 pm
Bush presidency saw biggest ever increase in debt in US history
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:20 pm
Oh Dave, Dave, Dave, poor little pitiful thang!
muahahahhahahah!
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:20 pm
Spector largely voted as his constituents wanted and if that had to be against the positions taken by radicals like McConnell, so be it. McConnell and his ilk are rather more responsible for this than Spector is. And Spector was elected by Pennsylvanians, not by McConnell’s constituents.
jt
April 28th, 2009
3:20 pm
Spector is an issue only to the dimwitted who beleive that there is a difference between the democrats and republicans. Carreer politicians are carreer politicians. Crooked scum all.
TnGelding
April 28th, 2009
3:20 pm
He should do the honorable thing and retire.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arlen_Specter
zip
April 28th, 2009
3:23 pm
Spector just came out of the closet. He has been voting (D) for years. Now rather than duplicitous scum, he’s just scum.
I Report/ You Whine
April 28th, 2009
3:24 pm
Yeah, now Spectre can make the democrat’s heads spin, hahaha.
~~~~~~
The GOP is rapidly become a southern, angry, white male party.
Whatever you wanna call it is fine by me.
We got rid of Chafee and Spectre, now all we need is for Collins, McCain and Snowe to begone, get with their inner pinko.
By the way, the Repugs told Spectre they were backing Toomey, bwa.
We are on the way back!
bwa
Curious Observer
April 28th, 2009
3:25 pm
The entire outcry about Specter’s switching parties is sheer hysteria. I’ve seen no evidence that all Democrats will vote in lock-step, even if the party were to get a 60-vote majority. The Blue Dog Democrats can’t afford to offend their constituencies, which are largely moderate to moderately conservative.
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:26 pm
Again, Obama’s budget has yet to go into effect. His FIRST budget is the 2010 budget. The one he is working with now was asked for by George Bush last year.
Obama’s increases in the deficit are largely non existant because they vanish as the portion of the Bush tax cuts to the richest two percent of the population vanish a month or two after his fits budget goes into effect.
Obama has given the bottom 98 percent of Americans a tax cut and his tax cut retains the Bush tax cuts for the lowest 98 percent of wage earners. In 2010 the offsets from tax revenues that will return to the federal coffers when the top end of the Bush tax cuts expires and the capital gains tax reduction expires returnd to the government.
mm
April 28th, 2009
3:26 pm
GOP = IGNORANCE
N.J.,
These wingnuts ignore facts. They just spout what they’ve heard from their masters (Rush, Sean, Ann, Neal) even when presented with facts.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:28 pm
How is that “permanent majority” working out, Mr. Rove?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/04/28/snowe-gop-has-abandoned-p_n_192368.html
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:28 pm
Simply by letting those two tax cuts expire, the deficit vanished and the national debt gets paid down.
None of the supply side revenues that Republicans from Reagan to Bush43 have ever been realized and the government has had to borrow every year to function. The borrowing will become unneccessary when the tax cuts expire. The same projected surpluses that would have been available had Bush not given his tax cuts becomes realizable.
jasper
April 28th, 2009
3:28 pm
Will be interesting to see if he can win the election, even as a Dim not supporting the Employee Forced Choice Act. Keep your eyes on whichever criminal the “Cheat to Win” coalition supports. It will be the same one that Charitable Joe Biden will be campaining for. One more crook on the take for Labor Unions. Be careful what you wish for Libbies.
TW
April 28th, 2009
3:30 pm
This recession is little more than the bill coming due on ‘w’s credit card economics.
How come nobody is asking ‘why’ Arlen jumped ship?
Because we all know – nobody likes a loser.
getalife
April 28th, 2009
3:30 pm
Yup, RW extremist’s heads are exploding all over the blogosphere.
Sweet Karma.
Stand proud Americans, we have a leader.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:31 pm
Not leaving the Republican party is the equivalent of being a guard at Auschwitz and not leaving after you saw how the gas chamber worked.
md
April 28th, 2009
3:33 pm
“2010 the offsets from tax revenues that will return to the federal coffers when the top end of the Bush tax cuts expires and the capital gains tax reduction expires returnd to the government.”
And you do know that the capital gains tax is going to decimate the baby boomer generation heading into retirement, right? Many have already lost equity in their homes (which is the sole asset for many) and now will not be able to afford to sell because of the capital gains tax.
Bigger burden on social programs coming??
Oh the joys of unintended consequences.
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:35 pm
Their strategy was two-fold: first, stoke the resentment of the population about the calamitous state of its living conditions-no matter that those conditions had been created by the very right-wing oligarchs who now pretended to befriend the little guy. Rage is rage. It is glandular and unseeing. Once catalyzed it is easy to turn on any subject.
A look inside the playbook.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:35 pm
Here’s a song from RENT to cheer up those sad little Republicans with their Big Gurl panties drooping around their ankles.
[MARK]
Feel like going insane?
Got a fire in your brain?
And you’re thinking of drinking gasoline?
[JOANNE]
As a matter of fact –
[MARK]
Honey, I know this act
It’s called the ‘Tango Maureen’
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:37 pm
It not over yet. There are still Collins and Snowe to consider and if the Republicans leadership put up alternative candidates to these two they might make the same choice.
Mrs. Godzilla
April 28th, 2009
3:39 pm
Here’s an idea from Congress Matters
Memo to GOP: Seat Franken or we’ll keep Specter’s committee seats
read the piece here:
http://www.congressmatters.com/
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
3:39 pm
What NJ wants us to ignore is all the spending going on outside the historically high 3.5 T budget. Which is only 400 Billion higher than the last historically high budget by dems that was 800 B in the red. Not to mention the huge drop in the GDP. Which put us at about 77% debt to GDP. Damage that will take generations to pay off.
Of course, its not going to be paid off by those paying no federal taxes(mostly democrats)…, luckily for Obama, and therefore gets rave reviews from the media pushing an agenda.
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
3:40 pm
Work in the media do you NJ? Perhaps a teacher??
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:41 pm
Nope, Obama’s repeal already factored that in. There will be ZERO capital gains on the first 50,000 dollars of retirement income from investments on people who are also collecting Social Security. That is people who retire EARLY on investments will see their capital gains go up but those who retire after 63 wont pay a DIME in capital gains at all.
Obama has outsmarted the Republicans because all thesev old folks are being told by their tax preparers and brokers that they will be better off under Obama than under the current structure.
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
3:41 pm
Seeing as you have all the figures.., what is the national debt today NJ??
ty webb
April 28th, 2009
3:42 pm
Susan,
your 3:31 post might take the prize for the dumbest thing ever posted on this blog. I don’t know if you’re uneducated or just trying to get a rise out of people.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:43 pm
They appealed to the Dixiecrats in 1968, and got them.
They applealed to the Religious Right in 1980,
and got them.
Now the Dixiecrats and Fundamentalists are all they’ve got.
They are welcome to them.
Hey, Ronald Reagan, is this the way it was suppose to work?
muahahahhahahah!
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:45 pm
Susan, your last post:
“Not leaving the Republican party is the equivalent of being a guard at Auschwitz and not leaving after you saw how the gas chamber worked.”
is completely and totally out of line. To take a ideological line of thought and equate it to the murder of millions in the name of racism goes beyond the pale. You are everything that is wrong with this country, and you should be ashamed of yourself.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:45 pm
ty webb aka sore loser,
What’s my prize?
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:46 pm
Of course what REALITY KING ignores is who Bush was borrowing 50 percent of the money he was spending from. Those people who pay payroll taxes saw their retirement income go to give tax cuts to people who pay almost nothing in payroll taxes at all.
Right wingers always conveniently forget that INCOME TAXES only account for 40 percent of government revenues and payroll taxes account for 40 percent of what the govenrment SPENDS each year.
The top two percent of income earners, those earning 350,000 dollars a year or more only pay payroll taxes on one third of that income and it accounts for less than one half of a percent of that 40 percent. The bottom 98 percent of income earners pay more to run the government than the income taxes of the top two percent do.
BDAtlanta
April 28th, 2009
3:46 pm
Ha, yeah Susan:
Permanent Majority and other GOP fantasies.
Someone turn the propeller on their lil hats!
Mrs. Godzilla
April 28th, 2009
3:46 pm
Susan
125600 minutes……
ty webb
April 28th, 2009
3:48 pm
Susan,
What have I lost?
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:48 pm
What al your figures mean, NJ, is that Hope & Change’s budgets will INCREASE our budget deficit almost double what it is now. Thanks for playing.
Paul
April 28th, 2009
3:49 pm
Susan Myers
[[Not leaving the Republican party is the equivalent of being a guard at Auschwitz and not leaving after you saw how the gas chamber worked.]]
I used to write “Lalaland.”
Gonna have to change it on occasion to “Lalalalalalalalalalaland.”
Mrs. Godzilla
I don’t believe a winner can be declared until the Sec of State certifies the results and that certificate is cosigned by the governor. And they will not do that as long as the process is not complete; therefore, any attempt to seat one candidate or the other would be improper.
Hey Goldie!
Where ya’ been?
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:49 pm
Dave R,
Such a soretail loser you are!
muahahahhahahah!
Soothsayer
April 28th, 2009
3:50 pm
Thanks to Republican policies of massive debt and shipping jobs abroad, the U.S. has technically become a colony of China. It exports raw materials and imports finished goods, together with the capital to make up the difference. Should the Chinese decide not to lend the trillions of dollars the U.S. is begging for, the U.S. economy will implode, plummeting onto itself in a World Trade Center-like collapse that will leave dust clouds circling the planet for decades.
If you don’t read anything else today, you should read this entire article.
Susan Myers
April 28th, 2009
3:51 pm
ty webb,
Your mind.
muahahahhahahah!
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
3:52 pm
It gets even better for the top two percent if they are self employed because about 30 percent of the bottom 106,000 of their income is exempt from payroll tax.
When you factor the total taxes paid by the bottom 85 percent of income earners in both payroll, income and federal taxes paid on items they purchase, the wealthiest two percent do not pay the majority of taxes in this country. Its the middle class and working poor who provide the bulk of money in the federal budget.
More conservative misleading, they use the term “pay taxes” to refer only to INCOME taxes, when the income tax does not even account for HALF of federal revenues.
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:53 pm
And you are a hate-filled, drug-addled monster.
Now that we have all the name-calling out of the way, try posting something of substance. Wait! You can’t! You’re a liberal! Join the ranks of Ambling Veterinarian, Taxpayer, Copylefty and Midori as being a complete and total waste of oxygen.
Mrs. Godzilla
April 28th, 2009
3:53 pm
Paul
Unless of course pressure is put on Coleman to FINALLY concede….
Mrs. Godzilla
April 28th, 2009
3:57 pm
Here’s a fun piece about the fate of the GOP from the great orange satan.
GOP: Even more of a rump regional southern party
Here:
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/4/28/725399/-untitled-story
Stats at the bottom of the article are interesting.
Republicans and Conservatives : America just isn’t that into you!
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:57 pm
NJ, you just invalidated your very own argument.
First you say that the repeal of the Bush tax cuts on the wealthy will cover Hope & Change’s deficit, then you say that the wealthiest American don’t pay the majority of taxes. (which, or course, they do) But even if they don’t, how could they possibly eliminate the Hope & Change deficit if they don’t pay a lot of taxes?
Yep, you’re a liberal alright.
ty webb
April 28th, 2009
3:57 pm
Susan,
Yeah, you compare republicans to nazis gassing the jews, and I’M the crazy one.
Copyleft
April 28th, 2009
3:59 pm
Well, attempting to educate Dave R has certainly been a waste of PIXELS, but I don’t think we’re wasting much oxygen. We’re too busy running the country and fixing all the damage the right-wing LOSERS caused.
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
3:59 pm
Coleman should not concede. Whenever two sets of rules are used to apply to ballots, there is no fairness or equality in an election. You Dems are big on disenfranchisement, but only when it applies to elections you think you lost.
If anything should be a do-over in elections, Minnesota would be the poster child.
Midori
April 28th, 2009
4:00 pm
ty webb,
Your mind.
Taxpayer
April 28th, 2009
4:00 pm
N.J.,
Quit presenting facts here. You’ll make our resident right wing fringe’s heads explode. ewwww
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
4:03 pm
I’m already educated far beyond anything you’ll ever master, copylefty. Since you never provide proof or backup to anything you say, we already know how dim you are.
One man’s fixing is another man’s destroying. One man’s fixing is another man’s theft of rights.
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
4:03 pm
One need only look at Europe to see what high deficit spending does to the unemployment rate and GDP. Has the GDP ever not grown under a president?? Might be, looks like, another historical first for Obama..
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
4:04 pm
Always Right, Midori. As in correct, not right-wing.
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
4:05 pm
Geeee NJ…, who pays the other 60% of taxes the govenrment SPENDS each year??
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
4:07 pm
You can’t even successfully debate the right-wing, Midori. You’re not even qualified to debate a Constitutionalist like me.
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
4:07 pm
And is Obama changing those super high Bush tax rates on the poor?????
RealityKing
April 28th, 2009
4:08 pm
Or just giving more “earned” income tax credits to those paying no taxes????
Midori
April 28th, 2009
4:10 pm
‘debate’ is not something you knuckledraggers partake in, Asbysmally Retarded.
I’ve been watching you sling your feces around.
It’s ok for you, but not for anyone else, correct? How dare someone respond to your filth in kind.
How “R”epublican of you.
Taxpayer
April 28th, 2009
4:12 pm
Next thing we should expect from the resident self-proclaimed “constitutionalist” is that he is also a “master debater”. Well, that much is plausible. hehehehe
what
April 28th, 2009
4:14 pm
Midori why are you always concerned with others names?
Dave R
April 28th, 2009
4:14 pm
Don’t worry, Taxpayer. You’ll never get into the debater’s club. You’re not qualified as debating requires a response to a question – something you never, ever provide.
And Midori? Not a Republican. You already lost your first debate with me.
Paul
April 28th, 2009
4:15 pm
Mrs. Godzilla
I really don’t think he will. We’ve created a monster system wherein everything gets litigated. I think Bosch and I were talking about it one day – thought that if the initial vote was within so much of a percent that it should be an automatic do-over. We’ve this idea that even if it’s litigated and recounted and weighed and balanced it’s gonna be perfectly accurate – it’s not. It’s just the most accurate under the last set of circumstances laid down.
I still think this will likely go to the Supremes. And I think it would’ve gone there no matter which candidate would’ve been behind – in which case Coleman supporters would’ve been making the same arguments Franklin supporters are making now.
Dave R – NJ
Unless I’m mistaken, this is the first election in which we’ve seen Social Security taxes lumped in with Income taxes when discussing tax cuts, tax rebates, etc. Before then, SS was standalone, as it was designed. Then again, it was a way to avoid addressing the fact that a significant number of households pay no tax on earned income and could have weakened the ‘fairness’ argument. How can it be unfair that I earn significantly above the poverty level and pay no tax, when someone way above my earnings pays a lot of tax?
If certain politicians want to make an argument that Social Security taxes ought to be scaled according to income, they should make the case. But that is a road full of potholes.
Mrs. Godzilla
April 28th, 2009
4:23 pm
Paul,
I don’t think he will either. However, I don’t think the Supremes will
agree to take the case.
Midori
April 28th, 2009
4:31 pm
Hey Dave,
how’s that “permanent republican majority” working out for you?
Taxpayer
April 28th, 2009
4:31 pm
Dave, I don’t want to be a part of your club. For one thing, I’m too old to be climbing up and down rope ladders any more.
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
7:20 pm
Check it out.
Most of the government spending was created under Reagan, largely for military spending and pretty much under threat of veto for additional Social Spending. Same thing with Bush. During his first six years as president he did not VETO a single massive increase in spending by the Republicans, but in his last two year when Democrats attempted to reign in his Iraq War soending and increase social spending Bush issued 12 vetoes and threatened to veto 40 times unless the Democrats removed social spending from the budget. Until the Democrats took office in 2006 Bush was one of the few presidents in history to never use the veto pen.
Reagan issued 78 vetoes agaist Democratic sponsored legislation. Carter used it 31 times, For 66, George H.W. Bush 44 times in 4 years. Clinton and Carter have the lowest veto record in the last 30 years. Republicans have used the veto far more often.
Why dont YOU get real about the “constitutional skills”
Bush basically gave the Republican majority a free hand and then started either vetoing or threatening vetoes at a rate of about two a month for the last two years.
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
7:26 pm
But by and large Reagan and Bush veto and veto threats largely were in opposition to social spending or against efforts to restrain their increases in defense spending.
As usual when a Republican president submits a budget to Congress and they pass it, its the fault of the Democrats and when a Democratic President submits a budget that is balanced, it is due to the Republicans.
Party of personal responsibility my ass!
N.J,
April 28th, 2009
7:27 pm
Bush’s very first veto of spending was of course a veto for Social Spending when Democrats wanted to add money to school and health care spending. He sent his budget back with increased for defense spending and threatened to veto any budget that increased social spending.
N.J.
April 28th, 2009
8:55 pm
Like I said, Obama’s 2010 budget is about 500 billion higher than Bush’s and if you used Bush style accounnting by keeping the Iraq War spending out of the budget Obama’s increased budget for 2010 is half of the annual increase to the actual budget than Bushs increases between 2003 and 2009, which increased the budget a half a billion every year.
When you add in every “supplemental” which Bush requested about every two months, Bush’s annual increases in spending are even higher.
The difference. All of Obama’s increases are spent at home, in the United States and not flushed down the toilet in Iraq.
Since the Obama stimulus money started reaching the states, weekly new claims for unemployment have dropped every week.
If conservatives applied the SAME math to Bush as they are now doing to Obama with the “he has spent x amount of money every day for his first 100 days” Bush would still come out spending far more with his tax cuts alone, which were the first thing he passed, the very first thing he did was borrow 1.2 TRILLION dollars to give a tax cut, asserting that this money would stimulate the economy. It didnt and he gave another 900 billion the following year. So in Bush’s first six months he spent 1.2 trillion on “stimulus” which did not stimulate the economy at all.
The CBO pointed out that the Bush Tax cuts created half of the deficits in his first four years in office:
The new Congressional Budget Office budget projections released today show that the nation faces a fourth consecutive year of substantial budget deficits. Some seek to portray runaway domestic spending or growth in the costs of entitlement programs as the primary cause of the shift in recent years from sizeable surpluses to large deficits. Such a characterization is incorrect. In 2005, the cost of tax cuts enacted over the past four years will be over three times the cost of all domestic program increases enacted over this period.
The new CBO data show that changes in law enacted since January 2001 increased the deficit by $539 billion in 2005. In the absence of such legislation, the nation would have a surplus this year. Tax cuts account for nearly half 48 percent of this $539 billion in increased costs.[1] Increases in program spending make up the other 52 percent and have been primarily concentrated in defense, homeland security, and international affairs.
http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=966
Simply put, the Bush tax cuts and the war in Iraq made up more than half of the entire deficit.
N.J.
April 28th, 2009
9:04 pm
Along with that the CBO study concluded that the long term effect of the Bush tax cuts would harm, not help the economy:
A growing number of studies from highly respected institutions and economists have concluded that the negative effect on long-term growth of the increased deficits that the tax cuts are generating is likely to cancel out and quite possibly to outweigh any positive effects on long-term growth from reductions in marginal tax rates and other tax incentives in the 2001 and 2003 tax-cut packages. Stated simply, the tax cuts are more likely to reduce long-term growth than to increase it.
Again the Bush tax cuts did not create jobs, as the unemployment rate rose consistantly and steadily throughout the Bush presidency.
The vast majority of Bush spending was in defense. Again almost no jobs were created in the United States as a result of Bush’s increased spending.
The FACTS about the Bush tax cuts and job creation:
Research Dispels Bush Claims That Tax Cuts Create Jobs
by Haider Rizvi
NEW YORK – Despite considerable opposition from lawmakers, including some within his Republican party, President George W. Bush seems determined to push ahead with plans to introduce further cuts in taxes for the rich, continuing to assert that it would create more jobs for the poor.
But the findings of a new study suggest that Bush’s claim on job creation is based more on political rhetoric than actual facts related to the nation’s economic realities.
“It’s a great sound bite that unfortunately does not hold true in the real world economy,” say authors of the report, entitled, “Nothing to Be Thankful For: Tax Cuts and the Deteriorating U.S. Job Market.”
Changes in tax policy suggest no evidence of their impact on job creation or destruction, according to the 22-page study released Tuesday by United for a Fair Economy (UFE), an independent group that tracks the growing economic divide between the nation’s haves and have-nots.
Since 1950, significant tax increases and decreases have both been followed by job losses and job gains, say the researchers.
Based on statistical analysis of changes in tax polices and rates of job growth in the past 60 years, the report points out that tax reduction does, however, disproportionately lead to economic disparity between the rich and poor.
“No workers have really benefited from President Bush’s tax policy,” says Gloribell Mota, a bilingual education specialist at UFE. “But Blacks and Latinos have suffered disproportionately.”
The study shows that African American unemployment remains about twice as high as that of White workers. Moreover, it indicates no sign of growth in quality jobs (defined as paying at least 16 dollars per hour and including health benefits and a pension plan) for workers from any racial background, including Whites.
Last year, one million people fell below the poverty line, a disproportionate number of them children, while the number of billionaires rose to 374, the study says, adding that the number of people living in poverty rose from 11.3 percent in 2000 to 12.7 percent in 2004.
The study also shows that the percentage of American workers benefiting from employment-based health insurance was down from 63 percent in 2000 to less than 60 percent in 2004. This despite the fact that U.S. workers are spending more than 1800 hours per year at work while their counterparts in other technologically advanced nations work for 1600 hours a year–a difference of five full work weeks.
In June 2003, the Bush administration had claimed that the president’s tax cut policy would create more than five million jobs by the end of 2004, but the study shows that only 2.6 million jobs were created–1.6 million less than what would have been expected without any special economic stimulus.
…The fact remains that from 1913 to date, tax cuts have NEVER stimulated the economy OR created jobs. Ever.
On the contrary, you cannot find a period in which Republican administrations enacted tax cuts that was not almost immediately followed by a relatively long and deep recession, and tax increases that followed them always resulted in a recovery.
N.J.
April 28th, 2009
9:11 pm
To put it more simply, every Republican administration since the Great Depression had recessions in the middle or at the end of them, and the Democratic administrations that followed them either reduced the level of the recession or depression by enacting large government spending programs. Modern attempts to rewrite the history of the New Deal do not change the fact that every year of the Depression under Hoover saw a steep drop in national GDP with unemployment following on its heels, and every year after Roosevelt was elected saw an increase in GDP and drop in unemployment, except the year that a Republican majority blocked the New Deal and the Depression immediately returned for 18 months until Roosevelt was able to overturn their opposition.
The only Democratic period in which tax`cuts were enacted, under Johnson, saw almost a decade of a completely stagnant economy, even though Johnson was the only president between Kennedy and Clinton to submit a balanced budget with NO deficits.
Republicans for the last 8 years have asserted that a huge national debt and large deficits were fine as long as the government was borrowing the money to give tax cuts or spend on war and as long as almost none of it went into the American economy.
Demming
April 28th, 2009
10:01 pm
A lot of interesting points and counter points. Remember though, most Presidents create their legacies in their first term and defend their legacies in the second term .All of which means that losing a couple of seats in 2012 won’t matter that much because all of the major reforms will have been enacted. Also , remember that 2010 is an off year election. Traditionally, the party of the incumbent President loses seats in an off year election, so if Republicans actually lose seats in 2010 , then it is even more unlikely that 2012 will mark the “counter-revolution”. No, these last two election cycles have all the chracteristics of political realignmnet.
N.J,
April 29th, 2009
12:04 pm
Also the latest conservative outrage over Obama’s spending that he issued hundreds of billions of dollars a day in new government spending over his first hundred days when applied to Bush also shows that within Bush’s first six months, he created a much larger borrowing and spending conditions than Obama has. Bush put before Congress, within days of inauguration a tax cut that was larger than the Obama stimulus package by a half a trillion dollars. This was spread over ten years, just as the Obama stimulus package is. The Obama stimulus averages about 79 billion dollars a year over ten years. The Bush tax cuts average 210 billion a year over ten years.
As noted by the Economics Policy Instutute, a non partisan Washington group:
Economy pays price for Bush’s tax cuts
Since 2001, changes in tax law have cost the federal government $929 billion, including $860 billion in direct cost and $69 billion in interest.1 Proponents of these tax cuts promised stronger economic gains than were typical of the past, but that did not occur.2 Unfortunately for most Americans, almost every broad measure of economic activity—GDP, jobs, personal income, and business investment, among others—has fared worse over the last four years than in past business cycles
the chart above indicates, there has been one bright spot in the economy—residential investment. But that sector has had a reduction in tax incentives because lower income tax rates reduce the value of deductions for mortgage interest and real estate taxes. For a person with a mortgage with $10,000 in interest, taxes are reduced by $3,500 with a 35% tax rate and by $3,000 with a 30% rate.
Even as tax cuts have failed to boost economic performance, they have reduced revenues substantially. In the recently completed fiscal year 2005, the cost of all the tax cuts passed since 2001 combined was $260 billion (of which $35 billion was interest), a sum that would wipe out most of last year’s unsustainable $317 billion deficit. If the tax cuts are extended and reasonable assumptions about future spending are accepted, the deficit will remain near 3% of GDP (or higher) indefinitely.3
As the Congress debates whether to enact new tax cuts or to extend expiring cuts, it should view claims of economic benefits with skepticism and recognize their substantial effects on the already excessive budget deficit. We would enhance the standard of living of most Americans in the future if the tax cuts for those with high income and wealth were allowed to expire.
Notes:
1. Tax costs were estimated by the Joint Committee on Taxation and interest costs by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.
http://www.epi.org/economic_snapshots/entry/webfeatures_snapshots_20051026/
Overall, Obama’s policies are in line with what the Joint Committee on Taxation recommended. To improve the standard of living of most Americans, allow the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans to expire, or repeal them immediately.
N.J,
April 29th, 2009
12:23 pm
Or finally, since the end of WWII, it has largely been Democrats who exhibited both fiscal restraint as well as federal spending that was stimulative of the economy, rather than a drain on it.
Looking back to every administration as far back as 1920, every Republican Administration has had at least one recession started in it, most have had two recessions, and most have presidend over lukewarm growth of GDP and lukewarm stock markets, which followed on the heels of tax cuts which led to speculative stock markets, rather than markets where share values reflected the actual net values of the assets of the companies issuing shares.
hoover presided over the speculative markets of the 1920’s fueled by excess wealth made available to the wealthy by dropping the top marginal tax rates from 70 percent under Wilson, to 25 percent by 1925. The market was not doing as well as real estate so the money of the wealthy went into speculative investment in real estate, specifically in Florida, and when the values of land collapsed below that of the stock market, money started being pulled from real estate, which had collapsed in value and dumped into the stock market, creating a market bubble which took about 3 years to burst.
Under Reagan, as REIT’s collapsed because there were more office buildings being built than renters to rent space in them, people again started shovelling money into the markets, junk bonds based on the REITs exploded in face value with nothing to support them and then the market collapsed. The economy entered a recession just as Reagans predecessor took office.
On the other hand while Carter was president, inflation was a problem but the recession that economists were predicting for two years never occured. Or at least not until Reagan was elected and started to institute his supply side economics. The economy entered a recession as Reagan started to attempt to give inflation his full attention, rather than other factors.
During the period of Reagan/Bush 41 the nation saw one huge collapse of the stock market and two relatively steep recessions.
A recession started at in April of 2000 under Clinton, but the market had recovered all of its value by the time Clinton left office. Bush changed policies immediately and then there was a full burst of the economic bubble.
N.J.
April 29th, 2009
10:32 pm
Actually industries are barely taxed by the federal government the corporate tax making up one of the smallest portions of the federal revenue, 10 percent. These of course are passed on in the cost of good and services provided by the companies to the consumers.
More conservative misrepresentation.
Income taxes make up 43 percent of all annual government revenues, Payroll taxes make up 40 percent, corporate taxes ten percent, and the remaining 7 percent come from various import tariffs etc which are also passed onto the consumer by the business making or selling the item.
Ever buy a set of tires. Theres a sticker on it that tells you how much of the price that you are PAYING for those tires is a federal tariff that is being passed onto you the consumer and which is completely avoided by the business selling the item.
Businesses and industries pay a very, very small portion of the government that defends their interests.
For example in 2005, the total amount of taxes, federal, state and local amounted to 4.7 trillion dollars in 2006:
The federal government transferred nearly one-fifth of its revenue (one-tenth of total government revenue) to state and local governments, leaving it with 42 percent of total revenue, about $1.96 trillion.
Almost all of the federal transfer went to the states, which in turn passed the equivalent of about 90 percent of this revenue to local governments.
States retained 28 percent of total revenue, about $1.33 trillion.
Local governments received transfers from both the federal and state governments equal to about one-tenth of total revenue, giving them a total of just under 30 percent of all government revenue, about $1.39 trillion, slightly more than state governments.
Corporate taxes are at their lowest since 1950:
Revenue from the corporate income tax fell from between 5 and 6 percent of GDP in the early 1950s to 2.1 percent of GDP in 2008
http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/background/numbers/revenue.cfm