Thrashers by the numbers

With the Thrashers yet again in the middle of several days off before their next game, here is a quick look at some of their stats and numbers so far after eight games played.

Points Percentage: Atlanta 4-3-1 record equates to a points winning percentage of .563 which is 17th in the league, 8th in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Southeast Division.

A .563 points winning percentage played out over the course of an 82 games season will net you 92 points.

Goals per Game: 3.50…which is tied with San Jose for 5th highest in the NHL. Only Calgary, the Rangers, L.A. and Washington score more per game at this time. That the Thrashers are scoring three and a half goals per game is not surprising to me at all.

Opie is 3-2-1 witha 2.78 GAA and .910 SV% (AP/Tom Gannam)

Opie is 3-2-1 witha 2.78 GAA and .910 SV% (AP/Tom Gannam)

Goals Against per Game: 2.88…this is the 13th lowest in the league just higher than the Sharks’ 2.83 and just lower than the Flyers’ 2.89. Seriously, anytime Atlanta’s GA/G average is south of 3.00…it’s indeed newsworthy. 

 Shots per Game: 25.0…which means that the Thrashers are putting the puck in the net every 7th shot or so. That’s a pretty darn good percentage. Leading the way for the Thrashers…Kovy with 27 SOG, Maxium Afinogenov and Rich Peverley have taken 18 each and Evander Kane is fourth with 16 shots taken.

Shots Against per Game: 32.9…27thin the NHL, very un-good. But, with apologies to Monty Python’s Flying Circus,…it’s getting better! In the last three games that number has been kept to under 30. Saturday versus San Jose, they allowed the Sharks but 24 SOG, a season low for the Thrashers defense. Thursday against Washington it was 28. In Montreal last week the Canadiens only got 28 shots off on Ondrej Pavelec during regulation…7 in overtime, however.

Atlanta’s record in those three games…0-2-1. Go figure.

The Pevs Dispensor has 5 goals, 5 assists with 2 game-winners and is a +2

The Pevs Dispenser has 5 goals, 5 assists with 2 game-winners and is a +2 (Photo by Aaron)

Power Play: 28.1%…only Calgary’s 32.3%, Toronto’s 29.0% and San Jose’s 28.8% are better. Just a few games ago, this power play unit led the NHL. Rich Peverley leads the way here with 4 goals and assisting on another while on the man-advantage. Rich has also dispensed an assists while the team was shorthanded.

Penalty Kill: 86.1%…behind only Ottawa’s 89.7%, Minnesota’s 88.1% and the Rangers 86.4%. This is another pleasant surprise for Thrashers fans. They’ve employed a much more aggressive style of play while a man down and pursue the puck a lot better than in years past.

Face Offs: 50.0… right in the middle of the pack in 16thplace, which is just where you might expect a 50/50 face off percentage to land. Rich Peverley has won 64.6% of the face offs taken while Marty Reasoner has been successful 54.6% of the time. Chris Thorburn has taken fewer face offs but has won 80% of them.

Goal Leaders: Kaptain Kovalchuk leads the way with nine goals scored so far…a total that will stay put for about a month or so given his foot injury. Rich Peverlyis second right now on the Thrashers with five followed by Kane with 3. Afinogenov, Bogosian and White each have a pair of goals to their credit.

Assist Leaders: Nik Antropov’s 7 assists leads all Atlanta skaters, second is Enstrom with 6. Pavel Kubina, Bryan Little and Rich Peverley have dished out 5 helpers of their own.

Toby Enstrom has logged 22:47 ATOI and has 6 assists (AP/Gregory Smith)

Toby Enstrom has logged 22:47 ATOI and has 6 assists (AP/Gregory Smith)

Time on Ice Leaders: Toby Enstrom has logged the most average time on ice after eight games played with 22:47. That’s a lot time out there, but it doesn’t come close to league-leader Chris Pronger with 27:55. Pavel Kubina is second on the team with 22:44 ATOI followed by Zach Bogosian’s 21:50, Ron Hainsey’s 20:57 and Kovy’s 20:01.

 Most Time In The Sin-Bin: Not surprisingly, Eric Boulton leads the Thrashers in penalty minutes with 22. Slava Kozlov follows with 15, Bogosian has 12. Kane and White both have 10 PIM.

Pluses and Minuses: Kubina’s +3 rating is the highest +/- rating for Atlanta. Kane and Hainsey are both +2. On the other end of that spectrum, Max and Todd White are both -5.

Stats provided are through games played on Monday October 26, 2009.

87 comments Add your comment

Alan R.

October 27th, 2009
4:04 pm

R. Stroz

October 27th, 2009
4:06 pm

Second, Silver, or First Loser.

Buzz

October 27th, 2009
4:13 pm

All these numbers will take a big hit in the next 12 or so games. It would be interesting to compare them when Kovy comes back.

As far as new lines go, I would replace Kovy with Kane and put Sterling on the 3rd line in Kane’s spot.

NYC

October 27th, 2009
4:14 pm

Thrashers27

October 27th, 2009
4:21 pm

Relax, everyone. This team can be successful without Kovy. I’m anxious to see Kane pick up the slack that Kovy’s absence leaves. Something tells me that playing in Kovy’s regular spot will light a fire in the kid.

Midfield

October 27th, 2009
4:21 pm

Need Kozy to get going right about now. No pressure, Slava. Come on!

ben

October 27th, 2009
4:22 pm

i feel that this team could be about to either get better or stay very bad. heal kovy!

five_hole

October 27th, 2009
4:52 pm

I think that a .563 win pct and a pace of 92 points exceeded most of our expectations in the preseason. That said, the question is, without Kovy, can we keep up the pace?

The silver lining in our cloud is that before, everyone looked to pass the puck to Kovy. Perhaps now, more guys will shoot first and look for the pass second.

Bob

October 27th, 2009
4:59 pm

I don’t think you can establish trends until the 20 game mark, but even that is going to be skewed with Kovy out. Let’s just pray that the boys can hold it together until Christmas and then put a rush on after that.

Smoothie

October 27th, 2009
5:29 pm

Rawhide, if you don’t mind, I’d like to add to your statistical rundown as I believe it could be very pertinent to our discussion about the Thrashers chances at success while Kovy is on the mend. The stats may in fact make a few of us around here feel a bit better. To wit:

5 on 5 ES Shot Diff per 60 min TOI:

Kovy’s Line: -17
Kozzy’s Line: -6
Pev’s Line: -3
Reasy’s Line: Even!

If not for Antropov’s presence on the top line, I fear that -17 might be even worse. Antropov has 11 hits (Kovy has 0), numerous deflections and blocks on defense and his big body is key for that line to maintain whatever puck possession they get.
No offense to Little but his Corsi rating is even worse than Kovy’s. Perhaps Bryan’s numbers have been skewed by skating with Kozzy and White in the last couple of games or perhaps he gets stuck out there during line changes after Antro leaves and Kovy is roaming.

Obviously, Kovy and company are going against the other teams best lines, but the ES shot differential is grossly out of whack to the team’s detriment. Luckily Kane may just be the cure for that lines misgivings as his Corsi rating is the highest on the team and his ES goal differential is best on the team.

Lastly, when Kane (or the 4th lines) are not on the ice the Thrashers give up on avg of 10 more ES shots than they take per 60 minutes.

UNGOOD!!

Perhaps some of these bad trends will change with a re-shuffling of the line combos.

Brendan

October 27th, 2009
5:52 pm

Now, we all know if will be more difficult without #17 around, for a while, but it’s not like the team cannot win in his absence. It appears that Kane, and his $3.1 million cap hit, will remain with the team. (As will Pavelec, and his cap hit.) Well, Kane is an offensive presence, who will now be developed as a “top six forward,” at least while Kovy’s out. At least, I would hope that that will be the decision made by John Anderson. Antropov, White, and Little are capable scorers in this league. So is Kozlov. So is Reasoner. So is Peverley. And Boulton and Thorburn aren’t “done for the season” in terms of their offensive output. But they don’t need to score to be effective. Let me explain.

At this point, I think the Thrashers should use their speed to try to draw penalties. Atlanta’s PP Unit is ranked in the Top 5, if not #1, in the league. These things change constantly. I don’t exactly know where Atlanta ranks after last night’s action. But, that’s a strategy. Use energy to draw penalties, and then, cha-ching, cash-in on special teams play.

However it has to get done, the Thrashers have to get it done. I believe they can. If Toby Enstrom and Ron Hainsey pinch up, at appropriate times, Atlanta’s offensive zone pressure and presence can win them some games. Zach Bogosian’s no slouch, either, on the offensive side. We’re going to need better goaltending than what we’ve seen in the past few games. But I do think it can happen.

The last thing I think will happen is a full-on spiral down the standings. Not that it couldn’t happen, I just think it won’t happen. Last year, Atlanta put together a wonderful streak while Kovalchuk was out of the lineup. And that was a team that finished with 76 total points. This team is BETTER than that team. So, I’m not worried.

Get The Puck Out

October 27th, 2009
5:58 pm

If they can keep the SOG under 30 and Pavs can maintain, i think we will be ok. If pavs can’t keep the puck out of the net, we’re in trouble. I think we can score, it’s just a matter of playing defense. Manny, Manny, can ya here me now?

Thrashy Thrashy

October 27th, 2009
6:38 pm

Had to post this John Anderson quote from Vivlamore’s story:

“It’s not OK to say, ‘Poor us.’ It’s not about that. Because you know what, all those other teams don’t give a rat’s [behind] about us. They are happy this happened. Only us, we are the only ones who care. If we don’t care and we say it’s OK, then we’ve lost every game until he comes back.”

I have to admit that I like the “they are happy this happened” comment. John Anderson’s got a lot of fire. I hope the team feeds off of that.

Thrashers27

October 27th, 2009
7:14 pm

Oh yeah…you’re right, Brendan. If memory serves…last year’s franchise record, six-game winning streak was accomplished without Kovy….or was it the five game winning streak? I’m not certain, but it just goes to show that the boys in blue can still be successful without Ilya.

HookyBob

October 27th, 2009
8:30 pm

Shots against per game of 32.9 when Kovy goes down. This is a metric I’d like to revisit in 4 weeks. Much as I like Kovy, there are trade-offs for his offense. This is one way to quantify them.

Smoothie, or someone, refresh me on the CORSI rating (to me it is a restaurant chain in DC).

I’m thinking how we show up as a team in the next month is going to define how well we do. (Folks, I’m hoping we can make lemonade.)

Not long ago I mentioned the next 5 (road) games were big. Let me update that to the next 10-12 games may define this season. Please re-read Brendan’s comments regarding “how to get it done.”

Go Blue.

Smoothie

October 27th, 2009
8:32 pm

No, we won the last 3 of the 6 game winning streak without Kovy. Got hammered by PITT to break the streak w/out Kovy and then lost 6 to 3 to DET in Kovy’s first game back. We are very capable of winning without Kovy if the line of Slava, Whitey and Max doesn’t do us in.

Smoothie

October 27th, 2009
8:44 pm

Hooky Bob, Corsi measures the # of shots on goal taken versus # of shots on goal against at even strength while a player is on the ice.

Looking at the numbers I posted above, Kovy’s line gives up on avg 17 more shots than they take per 60 min played. In the 20 mins he normally plays, Kovy is on the ice for 6 more shots allowed than taken.

As a team, we are getting outshot by 8 shots per game. Over 12 games, that is nearly 100 shots difference, which could lead to 10 goals allowed using a .900 save percentage.

That’s putting too much pressure on your D and goalies over time, UNGOOD!

stendec

October 27th, 2009
8:46 pm

Getting all geared up for a Stanley Cup run. GO THRASHERS! ++STENDEC++

HookyBob

October 27th, 2009
8:59 pm

Thanks Smoothie. If Cosri rating and ES shot differential are one and the same,…I’m on the same page with you regarding this measurement.

It is sort of hard to see Pevs, Kane, & Armstrong as a minus in this area, and somewhat surprising to see Reasoner, Thorburn & Bolts as a positve. But I guess it has a bit to do with the opposing lines these guys are matched up agianst.

Is there a similar measure for D-men?

Smoothie

October 27th, 2009
10:17 pm

Yeah, I can pull the Corsi numbers for D-men tomorrow. I will try to factor in Blkd shots for a better assessment of our D pairings.

The thing with the Pevs – Army – Kane line is that they don’t always hit the net despite forcing the play and generating loads of O zone time. They like to go for the 5 holes rather than hit the goalie and crash the crease. But their collective relative Corsi is best on the team.

The most interesting find in researching the shot differential stats is to see that Max isn’t the liability certain folks from Buffalo would have you believe. Max has the 2nd best relative Corsi on the team behind Army and just ahead of Pevs and Kane. He has had some bad puck luck and some poor line changes by his mates have skewed his on-ice goal differential.

In the WSH game alone, Kubina and Antro were slow changing and left Schubie hanging on goal #1 while Max was forechecking. And Kozzy left the ice on a bunch up at the Thrasher bench when he could’ve stayed on and helped backcheck on goal #2. Kovy’s coasting behind the play didn’t help matters either.

Brad

October 27th, 2009
10:49 pm

Atlanta shouldn’t even have an NHL team. How long before this team relocates?

10 YEARS of a half-empty (or worse) Philips Arena for hockey. How much longer will the owners tolerate that??

Tomas

October 27th, 2009
11:48 pm

BRAD: You need to relax and get some beer or get a girl friend.

Thrashers are great think for Atlanta area!!! There is a lot of people who grew up around the hockey…..Go Thrashers.

Brendan

October 28th, 2009
12:23 am

Brad, they’ll tolerate it for another 10 years. That’s when the lease is up. We’ve covered this, ad nauseum. Every game, 4-6 thousand fans of the OTHER team show up. About 7-8 thousand Thrasher fans show up. That’s 11,000 to 14,000 fans, almost no matter HOW BAD things are. In a bad economy, that might dip to 9-10 thousand fans, at worst. These guys break-even with revenue-sharing and a league minimum payroll, half of the time.

But more specific to the point, if the owners wanted to change things, they would have. They didn’t. And there aren’t any real indicators that they WILL change things. In short, the owners are at least ‘content’ with the way things are. And have been. They do own the team. They can and could have made changes any time they wanted. They didn’t. And they haven’t. That should tell you something.

Now, I’ll listen to theories about selling the team. But whoever buys it, will want part of the action of Philips Arena, too. Or will have to buy the Hawks and Philips Arena, along with the Thrashers. And I’m fine with that. If the Atlanta Spirit, LLC’s plan … is to sell everything for a tidy profit …. OKAYYYY. Maybe that was their plan, all along?? I welcome new ownership. I welcome accountability. But as for the current owners “tolerating” what they’ve seen … the time to make that move was YEARS AGO. They didn’t.

They didn’t.

Alan R.

October 28th, 2009
1:44 am

On a lighter note, here, I have a very important announcement to make.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are a bad influence.

LAC

October 28th, 2009
6:33 am

Interesting Krog would get the call. Right hand shot and center, has played several games for us in past years. He has solid NHL experience
maybe that is why, but I was hoping to see a younger kid come in for a stint.

Kovy looked upbeat in Thrashers interview, betting four weeks will be about it…

Oh and brad the Philips was a SELLOUT opening night and 14,000 the last two, so take your moving crap and go to the Florida or Carolina blogs with that NONSENSE !

World Be Free

October 28th, 2009
8:28 am

Brad-life in Toronto must be pretty boring if you have gravitated to the Thrashers’ blog.

Get The Puck Out holds the key-reducing shots. We have been talking about reducing shots as a need, but now it’s a necessity.

Glovesave29

October 28th, 2009
8:37 am

C’mon y’all – don’t let some north of the border internet yahoo troll start this ridiculous talk again. Don’t give him the satisfaction of a response to a comment about a situation he knows nothing about. This talk is all over the Canadian media, so obviously the canucks that infiltrate our boards now and again (save the nice guy we got from Winnipeg a few weeks back) cannot think for themselves and can only regurgitate what others have postulated.

Kovy said last night he is already working out on the bike to stay in game shape, and that he’s asked DW to allow him to travel with the team as “he is the captain, and he wants to be with the boys”. I am all for this, just as long as he controls the urge to come back too soon. We need him healthy for the stretch run…go Thrash!

Alan R.

October 28th, 2009
9:21 am

WBF, it’s not that life in Toronto is boring. It’s actually quite exciting, having all those goons dress up in the blue and white, I think. I believe the reason he’s here is because we’re a better team and he needs someone to pick on to feel superior.

Marc

October 28th, 2009
11:44 am

Would anyone know when Lethonen is expected to be back? I’m stuck with him in an injury list on my hockey pool and need to take a decision.

Thanks.

Toby

October 28th, 2009
11:55 am

Marc…you’re screwed. Pay up.

Alan R.

October 28th, 2009
12:20 pm

Marc, He’s day to day, and will probably be so for the rest of the year.

Get The Puck Out

October 28th, 2009
12:39 pm

Looks like they are gonna have to eat Let’s salary. Everyone knows his work ethic and his injury proneness. I still think we’re gonna need a goalie.

Scotty

October 28th, 2009
12:51 pm

Wow! Sounds like Brad’s moose said “no” last night.

NASCAR Dave

October 28th, 2009
1:10 pm

4-1 start that had everyone so excited must have been a fluke, huh??? I Warned you… I’m still worried about KOVY’s contract… Is this gonna happen or WHAT??? When is KOZLOV gonna SHOW UP!?! MOOSE needs to go… That was absolutely PITIFUL the other night…

Oh, and it’d be nice if DONNIE’s “Great Work” this summer (sic) i.e. KUBINA/ANTROPOV would contribute some goals… AFINOGENOV has been the best pickup BY FAR, and DONNIE actually got him at a good price!!!

World Be Free

October 28th, 2009
1:16 pm

Alan R.-isn’t it ironic that the Maple Leafs signed Christian Hanson, son of one of the Hanson brothers from Slap Shot! They probably tried to convince the original Hansons/Carlsons to come out of retirement. Once that failed, they turned to the goons that current make up the Toronto Maple Leaf roster.

They should use the current Leaf squad to make Geico commercials
“So easy, even a Maple Leaf could do it”.

English Teacher

October 28th, 2009
1:57 pm

I like Coach Anderson’s approach to all of this. If the team does man-up and perform without the Kaptain, just imagine how confident they will be when he returns. This is not a one man game.

Glovesave29

October 28th, 2009
3:04 pm

Dave, we dropped two games in regulation and one in OT all to playoff teams, each by one goal. I am not one for moral victories, but come on, its not time to throw in the towel. Its a long season. Every team has their ups and downs. If the three losses were by a total of 10 goals and we cannot buy a goal ourselves, that’s one thing…this is clearly not that kind of situation.

WBF – CLASSIC! Great line

World Be Free

October 28th, 2009
3:36 pm

Glovesave-you can see how much I like the Leafs, they are easy target. If the current trend holds, it will be worse next June at the 2010 draft when Boston uses Toronto’s high draft choice on a blue chip player.

Toby

October 28th, 2009
4:18 pm

LOL @ Scotty

Thrashers27

October 28th, 2009
5:07 pm

++STENDOUCHE++

Hockey Biltong

October 28th, 2009
7:02 pm

Matt

October 28th, 2009
7:13 pm

+++STENHOLE+++

The Joker

October 28th, 2009
11:42 pm

+++STENKYHOLE+++

Miami Screaming Eagle

October 29th, 2009
5:30 am

++STENTORONTOMAPLELEAF++

Manny

October 29th, 2009
6:01 am

Let me be me in Atlanta.

five_hole

October 29th, 2009
7:27 am

Luongo cracked a rib against the Maple Leafs, but finished that game and played 2 more. Apparently it’s bothering him enough now that he just got put on the disabled list (2 weeks).

jerry

October 29th, 2009
7:31 am

Atlanta is very exciting too! You never know if you’re going to get shot, robbed, or car jacked.

Alan R.

October 29th, 2009
9:56 am

Oh, come now, Jerry. The most that’s ever happened to me is getting shot at. I’d rather get carjacked!

Tony C.

October 29th, 2009
10:12 am

Jerry- If u skurrd say u skurrd … And don’t worry, nobody’s gonna jack you for that ‘93 Maxima.

Smoothie

October 29th, 2009
10:43 am

What the hell has happened to this blog? It has devolved into a series of 4th grade jokes and name-calling.

Anyway, back to hockey. Antropov is on the ice for the morning skate and we can only hope he’s feeling well enough to go tonite. Pavelec will be in net for his revenge against the Crapitals.

Who’s going tonite? I’ll be there in Sec 310!! Let’s go Thrash!!