The season ends abruptly and fans immediately engage in the annual tradition of wishing their team had different players (if they wait that long). But before you start dreaming about the Hawks adding quality free agents, it’s best to take a sober (somber?) look at their payroll and circumstances.
This summer looks a lot like last summer for the Hawks: They have no cap space, lots of roster spots to fill and not much room under the luxury-tax line to do it.
The Hawks have approximately $61 million in guarantees committed to six players. The salary cap this season is about $58 million and the luxury tax threshold is about $70 million. Each of those figures could increase next season (they can’t decrease) but unless there’s a massive increase in BRI the Hawks won’t have any cap space and won’t gain much additional wiggle room under the tax threshold.
I don’t have to tell you the Hawks are unlikely to spend above the tax line again next season. They tried to avoid doing so this year but the run of injuries forced their hand. The Hawks sold a draft pick to help offset the tax bill. Their payroll is at least 75 percent of their revenues and they are skeptical the new CBA will provide much significant relief through revenue sharing.
Those circumstances don’t suggest a franchise looking to take another luxury-tax hit. Assuming the tax threshold remains at about the same level, that leaves the Hawks roughly $9 million to sign a minimum of seven players to get to 13 on the roster. The player they select with the No. 23 overall draft pick (assuming they keep it) will eat up another $1.2 million or so (assuming the prospect signs for 120 percent above scale, which is standard). That would leave the Hawks $7.8 million under the tax line to sign at least six players.
The mid-level exception for non-taxpayers will be $5 million again next season. If the Hawks use all of that on one player, they’d be left with about $2.8 million under the tax line to add at least six additional players. That’s obviously not feasible even before you consider that a player who signs for the full mid-level commands a multi-year contract, adding future payroll just when the Hawks have a chance to clear some cap space after next season.
So in regards to free agency the Hawks are looking at trying to again build a roster with minimum-salaried veterans and/or young players and probably needing a couple of those players to accept non-guaranteed deals. And this time the Hawks don’t have Kirk Hinrich under contract and so need even more of those kinds of free agents to fill key roles.
Hinrich’s $8 million comes off the books along with roughly $5.6 million in cap salaries from the seven minimum-salaried vets plus Ivan Johnson’s rookie salary*. But Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, Marvin Williams, Zaza Pachulia and Jeff Teague all get raises.
*The Hawks can claim salary-matching rights for Ivan by extending him a one-year qualifying offer of about $960,00 by June 30.
Michael Cunningham, Hawks beat
460 comments Add your comment
Grandmaster JeJe (GM)
May 18th, 2012
1:19 pm
If we didn’t pick up option, we’d owe him nothing.
I thought IT WAS WIN OR BLOW IT UP.
EQIDSJVNDVIJNDVIJDVIJWDNI
northcyde
May 18th, 2012
1:19 pm
Rod from College Park
May 18th, 2012
12:30 pm
“But there is a “fantasy metric” called Offensive and Defensive rating, which takes into account more than what a team scores or gives up.”
Just as I figured. Kind of like PER. FANTASY is not reality. Please remember that. LOL. Too easy.
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LOL . . I don’t do the insults all the time, but you’re a damn idiot.
Tell me . . who was a better offensive player during the playoffs so far:
Carmelo Anthony . . who averaged 27.8 ppg on 42% shooting
or
Kevin Garnett . . who averages 20.3 ppg on 55% shooting
Do you understand ANYTHING about offensive efficiency? Or is everything simply about how many points someone scores.
Just because you or a team scores the most points, doesn’t mean that you’re the best offensive player/team. Is it that damn hard to understand?
Grandmaster JeJe (GM)
May 18th, 2012
1:22 pm
We’re bringing back a coach who doesn’t stick up for his players, doesn’t hold some accountable, and who has no idea how to work the refs
BIG DOG
May 18th, 2012
1:23 pm
Teague, Joe, Josh, Ivan, Collins
Pargo and Hinrich, Green, Tmac, Marvin, Dampier
This rotation would have won the Boston series.
BIG DOG IN THE HOUSE
northcyde
May 18th, 2012
1:24 pm
LOL . . . welcome back coach Drew
smh
Hawks will stand pat next season.
I just don’t want to hear ANY SPIN by Gearon or Sund. Don’t say a gat dang word. Just stay behind the scenes and don’t say isht.
Mike
May 18th, 2012
1:29 pm
I think that ASG lives in their own world that doesnt pay attention to outside events and stuff like that. Because honestly, i think these guy is a bunck of Jack@– . I swear they are doing this, so people can stop going to Hawks games, so they can sell this team to Chris Hanson, then he goes up to Seattle.
If the Hawks is going to do this, they better make a change or they are going to feel the full blunt of the fans anger.
@northcyde
You know they are going to spin like a quarter on a table. My patience with this team is getting really thin.
BIG DOG
May 18th, 2012
1:29 pm
This big dummy coach didn’t play Ivan in the playoffs, your best bench player on the team. JUST DAM.
No way LD is coming back.
BIG DOG IN THE HOUSE
JM
May 18th, 2012
1:30 pm
Get the F**K out of here. that cant be true. LD, what?
Astro Joe
May 18th, 2012
1:30 pm
northcyde, I don’t recall hearing much from Sund this past season. I think this decision (just like LD’s iniital hiring) had very little to do with Rick Sund. Someone previously described Sund as a “caretaker” and I think that is very, very accurate. He’s here to execute the designs of the ASG.
Michael Cunningham
May 18th, 2012
1:32 pm
new blog posted. shutting down this thread.