Atlanta Hawks: Playoff preview bonanza

Finally, it’s almost time to end the talking and start the games. Here is my take on the match ups and below are some series previews from around the Inter Webs for your pleasure:

Jason Walker (aka THHB), Peachtree Hoops

My serious summary is this: The Hawks have proven, on the court, that they match up very well with the Magic, even when the Hawks don’t bring their “A” game. If the team is able to defend Howard one-on-one and maintain the defensive blueprint for closing out their shooters, as they have consistently this season, then they can win 4 out of 7 games against this team and move on.

I believe they can and will do just that.

Final Prediction: Hawks in 7

Now, back to my padded white room.

Evan Dunlap, Orlando Pinstriped Post

“[Team X] will only go so far in the postseason as [Player Y] takes them” is an axiom in professional sports, and almost invariably [Player Y] is indisputably the team’s best player. As it applies to the Orlando Magic in this year’s playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks–or against anyone–Dwight Howard is [Player Y]. And it’s equally popular to say, in life at large, that axioms become popular because they are true.

That axiom does not apply in this case.

What Howard does for the Magic–end opponent possessions, score inside, space the floor for his teammates–will be there every night, no matter the opponent, based solely on the consistency and reliability his reputation and skill afford him. No, for the Magic to do anything of note this postseason, the task falls to Jameer Nelson.

More than any other player, even Howard, Orlando’s diminutive point guard makes the team go offensively. Nelson’s skill in running the pick-and-roll, as either a driver or shooter, fits perfectly in coach Stan Van Gundy’s pick-and-roll-heavy approach, while his ability to hit jumpers off the catch helps space the floor and enables him to play off the ball if necessary. It’s true against all teams.

Sean Deveney, Sporting News

There will be elbows, there will be bruises, there will be complaints about the refereeing, there will be technical fouls. This series will be tucked away among the least-attractive television time slots, but it could be the tightest matchup of the first round in the East. Atlanta will make things ugly, but it can’t hold Howard down in every game, and Orlando has enough outside shooting to make the Hawks pay for giving Howard too much attention. Magic in six.

Kurt Helin, Pro Basketball Talk

Jamal Crawford: Put simply, Atlanta need scoring off the bench so they need Crawford. They really need last-season’s Crawford, who operated out of isolation sets and simple pin-downs to get him free. This season Larry Drew made the Hawks offense more complex and Crawford has been one of the guys struggling to adjust. They need him now.

Andrew Sharp, SB Nation

The Magic aren’t much different from this Hawks team. The same Hawks team that’s two months away from auctioning off Josh Smith and conceding that the current roster just isn’t good enough to compete in the East. Orlando’s got Dwight instead of Joe Johnson, so things don’t appear quite as dire, but the pieces around Dwight are even worse than Atlanta’s supporting cast. So, split the difference, I guess? The Pick: Orlando in 6.

David Thorpe and Anthony Macri, ESPN.com/NBA Scouts Inc.

The Hawks barely limped into the postseason, playing under .500 basketball for a stretch coming in, and having lost six games in a row. While the Magic have not exactly been on a tear themselves, their recent results were significantly better than those in Atlanta. However, the way these two teams have matched up throughout the season would suggest an entirely different result. How these competing bits of conventional wisdom interact will yield the winner in this series, one that should be competitive and hotly contested.

Prediction: Magic in six

Video previews:

Trey Kerby, The Basketball Jones

Josh Robbins and Brian Schmitz, Orlando Sentinel

Dwight Howard and various media types, NBA.com

Michael Cunningham, Hawks beat

191 comments Add your comment

terrell

April 15th, 2011
4:49 pm

Josh and Al said theyd use Jameers comments to Rose about seeing him in the 2nd rd as motivation.”Joe said “Dont really matter, They should be confident.” Does anything fire this guy up? Wake up for crying out loud.

Katie

April 15th, 2011
4:49 pm

Katie

April 15th, 2011
4:50 pm

so close! oh well, second..

niremetal

April 15th, 2011
4:50 pm

I’ve stopped making predictions when it comes to the Hawks. I wouldn’t surprised with any result, but at the same time I’ll be a bit surprised no matter what the result. That’s what happens when a team is consistently inconsistent…

tom

April 15th, 2011
5:04 pm

time to exorcise the demons from last year. GO HAWKS!

calihawks

April 15th, 2011
5:09 pm

Does any of this really matter 2 the hawks. I doubt they care what the media and other teams players are sayin… Getttin booed out of the playoffs last year should be enough motivation for these guys ..Will just have to wait and see what happends..

JeJe

April 15th, 2011
5:18 pm

Rufus1

April 15th, 2011
5:31 pm

I HAVE ENOUGH FAITH FOR ALL OF YOU….HAWKS IN 6

Grandad

April 15th, 2011
5:37 pm

The Hawks quit on Feb 8th
*[or the two off days prior]
Once the Magic win one…it’s over.
Magic wins opener, series in ” 4 ” .
Sorry, I hope I’m wrong, & I’ve jinxed the Magic.

Michael Cunningham

April 15th, 2011
5:39 pm

O'Brien

April 15th, 2011
5:42 pm

This might sound crazy, but I’m thinking Hawks in 7

heartless

April 15th, 2011
5:51 pm

The Hawks will lose to the Magic because they are heartless and have no team concept. Smith will loff and shoot threes and yada yada. Count on them losing in 5 or 6. No way they win the series. This team needs direction and new players.

Jae Evolution

April 15th, 2011
5:58 pm

I’m just wondering, if somehow we are able to get past the Magic in the first round, and I think that is completely possible given our play against them this season.

Will we even give Chicago a challenge?

I want us to proceed, but I can see the Magic taking the Bulls to a 7 game series and I just can’t see that even coming close with the Hawks…

Thoughts?

Paradise Lost

April 15th, 2011
6:16 pm

It’s comforting knowing we

1. Lead the regular season series with the Magic. That’s a confidence builder for players knowing they can beat the Magic and how to do it.
2. Are capable of beating the Bulls – IF Al is fired up and fires up the team.

What’s not so comforting is not knowing which Hawks roster will show up to do the job — will we get passionately fierce aggressive warriors (I picture Al hanging off the rim ROARING during the comeback against the Bulls) or will we get the roster that dials it in so they can get their summer break underway?

Further, will we get one or the other team consistently or will the first roster show up for a game or two and then send the other roster over to finish the work?

Grandad

April 15th, 2011
6:20 pm

* northcyde * — from earlier today *@* [12:33 pm]

Not debating / only responding.

“Boston . . Paul Pierce or Rajon Rondo ( take your pick )”

I prefer Garnett – thank you. (as leader)
How about Russell in the old days. (never a leading scorer)
I guess I’m just opposed to the word *star Player, in a team game.
Russell was a “blue collar star”.

” All of those teams are led by the guy who puts up the numbers.
In the NBA, you are not led by complimentary players.
You are led by your star players ”

Bird – was a star who led his team in *intangibles.

” Statistically,
he’s *[Joe Johnson] one of the best defending guards in the game,
as far as what the opponent does against him.”

*[Not any longer] Joe loafs and takes plays off,
plus he’s a terrible help / weak side defender.
(no stats – I watch him, every night)

“nowhere near as mentally strong and have the will to win as those guys did”
*[total agreement]

________________________________________________________________

*Before Spiderman:

“The man to whom much is given,
will have to give much;
if much is given into his care,
of him more will be requested”
Luke 12:48 -Bible in basic English-

sam'l

April 15th, 2011
6:33 pm

Jeez Louise…

Look at the Hawks team that has been losing over and over again with no fire, no defense and no brains. They aren’t going to beat a real team…..Magic in four.

J.J.M

April 15th, 2011
6:39 pm

im glad josh will be traded im tired of seeing him suffer on this weak of a team. too bad horford will have to stay and suffer also

ag

April 15th, 2011
7:06 pm

MC, very good analysis and breakdown on the Hawks vs. Magic series. I guess another intangible will be home-court advantage, clearly the Magic having the edge. I know the Magic hold a psychological edge because they know the Hawks will fold. I just wish LD would start Teague to completely disrupt the scouting reports by the Magic. He can even start Etan Thomas, and bring in Twin. Van Gundy will be very surprised.

I disagree with you giving the edge to the Hawk bench. Anderson usually plays very well against the Hawks and will make a bigger impact than the entire Hawks bench combined. I hope the Hawks can pull it off, but I have prepared my heart for the Hawks to get humiliated again.

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:08 pm

Sautee – From the last blog

I hear you man. I was screamin’ at the time not to re-sign Bibby. I felt like Andre Miller was better suited for the Hawks.

But at the same time, Sund is not running this team, he is just a liason between 8 owners and the head coach. When Sund was hired, I remember it was like just a caretakership kind of arrangement really, even if the owners wanted to make it sound good. So with Woody on trial, and Woody pushing for Bibby, we kinda overpaid for him.

And remember, there are other teams out there looking for players. If Sund would have botched re-signing Bibby, there is no gurantee we would have gotten anybody. But there is a theory that 2 vet minimum guys like Anthony Johnson and/or Rafer Alston could have done just as well. But with our abysmal record with PG’s, I can see the logic of keeping Bibby to please Woody, and to insure you have somebody that’s half way quality.

And Bibby just aged bad, plain and simple. Look at Kidd, Nash, and Miller, all older than Bibby, playing at a high level.

As far as ZaZa and Marvin, again, your competing with 29 other teams. No gurantees you find a C or a 3 as good as Marvin for less. Only if they are in their rookie contracts usually.

As far as elite goes – 53 wins, 3rd seed, 2nd round of the playoffs 2 consecutive years, with one of the youngest teams in the League, and a bad Coach, well, I kinda can see how he would say that. Depends on the definition of elite. 8th among 30 teams elite? I don’t think so, but very good, yes. Almost elite, yes.

Now with this coach, we have taken a massive step back, and we are nowhere near elite. But that’s coaching, and maybe some chemistry issues.

3rd team all NBA’er in JJ

2nd in Defensive player of the year in Josh

All Star in Al

SMOY in Jamal

53 wins, 3rd seed, sweep the Celtics in the regular season – Yes, we were def. near elite.

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:11 pm

I may have the wrong impression about Sund’s job. When he came in, it wasn’t like it was his team. He was just sent as a very vet. guy with this probably as his last job to maintain, not make any mistakes, and try to add the best players possibly around a talented core.

I never saw the mandate from ASG to be aggressive, make any moves necessary etc. Maybe we want Sund to be that guy, but I think ASG just wanted to milk a cash cow named the Hawks and not get back into the lottery anytime soon.

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:13 pm

O’Brien – I hope your right

MC – Not. Decent breakdown however.

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:16 pm

If we get blown out:]

Keep the core

Fire LD

Hire a real Coach like Jeff Van Gundy, Adelman, Mike Brown or somebody, give it one more year and then start shipping people off if we are still not where we need to be.

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:21 pm

I’m just so frustrated right now. This year could have been a perfect storm for the Hawks. I just sense vulnerability in the East right now. This could have been our year if we would have made a decent coaching hire in the off season.

I think Boston, Chicago, the Heat and the Magic can all be had this year. But to this point, we hired the wrong coach.

Maybe LD just switches it on for the playoffs. He’s really the greatest basketball mind and motivator in the history of the game. He’s just being lulling the rest of the league to sleep with his horrible head coach imitation. Maybe

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
7:30 pm

Boston Globe – Jan. 3rd 2010 About Rick Sund:

“The Atlanta Hawks hired general manager Rick Sund for the express purpose of helping the organization emerge as an upper-echelon team in the Eastern Conference – on a limited budget.

Sund has massaged payrolls in his previous two stops, Seattle and Detroit, and produced successful teams, and the same is occurring in Atlanta. The Hawks are among the top teams in the East – although consecutive losses to Cleveland knocked them down a notch – with the 19th-highest payroll in the league.

With an ownership group that has been in upheaval, Sund was hired to replace the embattled Billy Knight and told to continue the team’s development without taking on much additional …”

Ya’ll get the picture

northcyde

April 15th, 2011
7:50 pm

Grandad . . it’s easy to find fault or overlook things in players that you don’t particularly like. It goes on with all of the players were. People find more things wrong with Smith, more than any other player . . even when he’s playing well.

The facts are that JJ arguably had his best defensive year this year. Very few people lit that guy up this year, and he holds a lot of people down at both the SF and SG positions.

I would post some stats supporting this, but people don’t believe stats unless it supports their argument. But the dude is easily our best perimeter defender and still one of the top defending SGs in the league.

Sleepy

April 15th, 2011
7:55 pm

Hawks win in 4-5

I expect them to show up out of spite

yoursporthouse.com

April 15th, 2011
8:02 pm

If we play Teague and Damien more, we will win the series. As long as Marvin Williams is on the court with his inconsistent play, it will be same old Hawks. We also have to realize, as much as Joe has struggled with injuries this year, the Magic have nobody that can stop him except Q Rich is pretty good on defense. Josh needs to post all series long and Horford needs to bring Howard out of the paint. We can beat the Magic then get pulverized by the Bulls, so same old Hawks.

northcyde

April 15th, 2011
8:08 pm

82games.com did their final update of the season. Just to fan the flames a little more, here are the opponent production per 48 minute numbers of Hinrich and Teague. In other words, it shows what the other PG did against those two.

HINRICH: 50.6% eFG . . 5.6 rebs . . 9.7 asst . . 2.8 TOs . . 23.4 pts . . 21.3 PER

TEAGUE: 47% eFG . . 5.3 rebs . . 8.8 asst . . 3.4 TOs . . 19.6 pts . . 17.7 PER

And Teague’s numbers were terrible up until around February. Yet, he’s holding the opposing PG down in points and eFG%, and the opposing PG commits more turnovers when Teague is in the game.

Drew . . if Hinrich proves to be a liability in this series, play the people who can make a difference.

By the way . . a BIG TIME storm coming through the northside of the ATL perimeter. Tornado Warning for the Sandy Springs area, moving Northeast.

Be careful folks.

northcyde

April 15th, 2011
8:09 pm

And there’s no way I see the Hawks winning this series in 7 games. Win a game 7 in Orlando, after only winning 2 road games in 3 years? Nah.

If the Hawks win . . it’ll probably in 6 games.

yoursporthouse.com

April 15th, 2011
8:10 pm

Northcyde, now remember we are a better road team this year. At home is where we get beat by 50!!

drmaryb (*_-)

April 15th, 2011
8:43 pm

May The Best Team Win!

After the 3rd time we beat the Magic, I went to the Orlando Sentinel post game comments. There is where I read a V-Gundy quote, that in essence he said: The Hawks are a better team than we are.

Last week, I saw a presser where he in essence said, that team does concern me. They play us well.
_______________

A child hood friend once told me, “Mary, you don’t see your self as other people see you.” That statement was profound to me and it created a paradigm shift in my life – for the better.

Here is my point: We as Hawks fans scrutinize our team under a microscope and magnify e v e r y detail. When others see the Hawks, they see two arguably three All-Stars and some decent side dishes.
They wonder which Hawks team will show up and that does put some fear in the opponents heart and mind. We fans know this feeling of uncertainty all too well: You just never know – Which Hawks team will appear on the court, from night to night. Hey, it is what it is.

This is why this team has to be shaken up, regardless of how far the Hawks go, even if they somehow win it all.

superiorblogman

April 15th, 2011
8:53 pm

First off, I think it is feasible that we can beat Orlando, Chicago, and Boston on the way to the NBA Finals.

Next, I am really annoyed that several sources and sites are stating that Josh will be moved if we flame out in the 1st. Josh has the most manageable contract of any of our top 3. The Hawks have already traded off manageable contracts in Jordan, Bibby, and Mo’s expiring for a downgrade in Hinrich who added about $1,000,000 in payroll to the Hawks. The players that they should be trying to give away are in this order: Hinrich, Marvin, and Zaza. Add up the next year salary for those 3 players and you get about $20,000,000.

Hinrich, Marvin, Zaza for Kamen and Mo Williams

Hinrich, Marvin, Zaza for Al Jefferson and Devin Harris

Hinrich, Marvin, Zaza for Rashard Lewis and Javale McGee

Those are all better scenarios than trading Smoove unless you are getting a 1st team all NBA player in return.

Finally, I do not want to hear what is realistic and not considering Carmelo Anthony and Deron Williams both 1st team All NBA talents got traded in the same season and we also traded 2 1st rd picks and better contracts in a deal for Kirk Hinrich. The End

hawksfancents95

April 15th, 2011
8:54 pm

it all depends on game 1, if we win we will win the series in 6, if we lose we lose in 5, i still hope ld surprises us with a new lineup since hes supposedly so concerned about teams being able to predict the hawks offensive sets, 0 2 5 15 34 with 11 6 27 24 off the bench will give us an advantage with depth

Michael Cunningham

April 15th, 2011
8:55 pm

@ag: “I disagree with you giving the edge to the Hawk bench. Anderson usually plays very well against the Hawks and will make a bigger impact than the entire Hawks bench combined. I hope the Hawks can pull it off, but I have prepared my heart for the Hawks to get humiliated again.”

if not for the injuries to Redick and Arenas i definitely would have given Orlando the edge. with those guys hurting there’s not much else outside of Anderson: Duhon, Malik Allen and Earl Clark (Go Cards). i don’t see Redick being effective or reliable and can’t shake the image of Arenas dragging that leg behind him last time at Philips.

Leffty

April 15th, 2011
9:07 pm

To all the Hawks doubters who think that Orlando’s home court advantage will decide the series, check out this new analysis:

http://sportstatistics.blogspot.com/2011/04/nba-playoffs-game-7-how-important-is.html

In the first round game 7, home court advantage really isn’t THAT significant over the last decade. That’s a really good sign for the Hawks who match up well with the Magic

SteveW

April 15th, 2011
9:08 pm

MC must be mad at me – blogmonster eating my posts

James on Pharr Rd

April 15th, 2011
9:17 pm

Next, I am really annoyed that several sources and sites are stating that Josh will be moved if we flame out in the 1st. Josh has the most manageable contract of any of our top 3. The Hawks have already traded off manageable contracts in Jordan, Bibby, and Mo’s expiring for a downgrade in Hinrich…..

I agree that Josh is not the guy we need to get rid of in any rebuilding direction we take. Based on talent and marketability, the exit orders should read:
JJ, MW, AH,and then JS. KH’s expiring contract is valuable for next year-we already wasted a possible trade for picks or player with JC. I would rather build the whole thing around future picks and flexibility with Josh Smith than Al Horford based on versatility on the court. One thing about Josh is he can improve with a better coach too, and his maturity off the court has impressed me as well-you wont hear him give a JJ quote at all about effort.

JQP

April 15th, 2011
9:19 pm

If we somehow win this series and go on to flop in round two, would that somehow redeem the sloppy mess of the regular season and justify another year or two of Drew and clinging to most of this “core”?

drmaryb (*_-)

April 15th, 2011
9:37 pm

Because the Hawks play to the level of their competition,
they will never win a Championship as currently constructed.
Having said that, they do have the talent to win this Magic series in round 1.

Once the match-up becomes unfavorable they will exit the play-offs accordingly. I give them a 50/50 chance of winning round 1, and the outcome will depend on which Hawks team show up at 4 of 7 games.

I wouldn’t bet my house either way, win or lose.
I’m just eating Popcorn, sipping on Crown Royal and Cherry Coke.
________________

For Entertainment Purposes Only

Rusty

April 15th, 2011
9:38 pm

Drmaryb. I just don’t understand why you think jj is so great. He is having a horrible season & has played very poorly in the playoffs in the past. I just don’t think he is that good or is a great team mate.

superiorblogman

April 15th, 2011
9:51 pm

I agree that Josh is not the guy we need to get rid of in any rebuilding direction we take. Based on talent and marketability, the exit orders should read:
JJ, MW, AH,and then JS. KH’s expiring contract is valuable for next year-we already wasted a possible trade for picks or player with JC. I would rather build the whole thing around future picks and flexibility with Josh Smith than Al Horford based on versatility on the court. One thing about Josh is he can improve with a better coach too, and his maturity off the court has impressed me as well-you wont hear him give a JJ quote at all about effort.

I totally disagree with you because you like many posters, the ASG, and Sund fail to understand good business practices. As I stated in my post add up Kirk, Marvin, and Zaza and you get over $20,000,000 in salary for next year. You people are so worried about what they say Joe is making. The guy will make $18,000,000 next year, get it, not $120,000,000 next year. Joe is more valuable than Kirk, Marvin, and Zaza put together if you could trade them and get one of the packages mentioned win-win. I agree with Steve Smith who I recently heard stating that the Hawks are in the same position that he thought he Mookie, and Mutombo were in, they just need a couple more pieces but ended up getting blown up. As he stated a Marc Gasol or Gortat would make them a serious contender. As I am stating several combination of players would do the trick without giving up Joe, Al, or Josh because I still believe they are not the problem. The problem is the $20,000,000 you are paying out to Hinrich, Marvin, and Zaza to show up 25% of the time. Take that and use it more wisely on a true C, experienced PG; rather Teague is ready or not, and a Wing Upgrade and we are a contender. How does it make sense to start off getting rid of your most valuable assets? That’s just what happened in the Hinrich trade, give up 2 1st rd picks and lessor contracts for nothing, that principle is just flawed and not good business.

James on Pharr Rd

April 15th, 2011
10:08 pm

Superiorblogman:

You have my full attention-I think you have it very wrong on direction and business practices as you referred to them as. This team needs direction, you are totally right, but are we building to win now or for the future?

And according to smart business, we may need to add more pieces as you suggested to contend. However, our competitors have invested at a higher level than we can possibly match-ORL,MIA,CHI and maybe BOS, therefore we cannot get nearly as good as they are talent-wise period. And in the spirit of best business practices, it would make more sense for us not to invest more money) on a product that is going to yield bad results short term and long term.

We simply cannot trade for or get players via trade for many reasons- flexibility and talent to give being another issue. We have to make a choice-build now-which many would agree makes sense or win 38-45 games a year and still not be bad enough to attain high draft picks.

Steve Smith and all those that believe we can add a piece or two to get us over the top are missing the point.And to your point of trading-” Hinrich, Marvin, and Zaza” News flash-nobody is calling about those players: that’s why we gave too much for Hinrich in the first place, and why no one wanted to take Zaza or why Marvin has been on the trading block without takers for years.

Its business dude, continue losing on the court (and paying a lot for it) or cut our losses and build for the future.

That is why I understood with dissaproval though, why we signed Larry Drew. With our talent, it would be a waste of money to get Phill Jacskon or Doc Rivers at 6 million a year here-ourr talent cannot get us to a championship game period.

drmaryb (*_-)

April 15th, 2011
10:10 pm

I never said Mr. Johnson was great. It is what it is.
So, make your points without telling lies: go ahead attack his performance, it is fair game. This man has played through an elbow surgery and returned in less than 10 days (that is unheard of), a sprained thumb is worse than a fracture. These are two injuries to his shooting arm. Do you really want to question his heart?

Say he sux if that makes you feel better, but don’t attack his paycheck or put words in his mouth that he NEVER said to make your arguments somehow seem credible.

Be fair, look at the entire organization to find the problem, don’t just leave it all at Mr. Johnson’s feet. This is not a one man sport, this is not golf or tennis or chess or poker – this is a 5 man attack team sport.

If you do the right thing, your arguments hold water and remain credible.
I have no dog in any fight on here and I am not a gambler.
I am, however pragmatic and at all times:

Fair and Balanced, like Najeh, northcyde and O’Brien.
So take your emotions out of your perspectives and I will agree with almost any and all points of view, even when different than my own.
I appreciate all intelligent points of view that are being well communicated. I am really not into personal attacks, agendas and the name calling of players. Attack the game skills not the player!

jason

April 15th, 2011
10:16 pm

Hawks messed up bigtime trading for Hinrich. 2 1 round picks and jc2? The kid scored 40 the other night and u traded him for hinrich, who has lost his swagger and a big guy who made a nice trick shot from the side of the basket. REALLLY??? and you hire a guy like LD who doesnt even know how to run a 50+ wining ball club. I hope this all means that a bigtime player comes to atlanta in the off season. Trade Hinrch Zaza and Marvin. The are making way to much money for just passing the ball and being foul prone. Wow…

Worldwide Clyde

April 15th, 2011
10:19 pm

I’m going out on a limb and saying Hawks in 6. The Magic don’t have Vince Carter and the Hawks will hit their 3’s.

venereal val

April 15th, 2011
10:20 pm

who dat say they gonna watch the hawks, who dat?

superiorblogman

April 15th, 2011
10:23 pm

James on Pharr Road:

See, I have a major problem with your approach again. Everyone on these Hawks boards loves to shoot down people saying trade Marvin, Zaza, and now Hinrich but then we turn around and see Washington trade Hinrich and Hilton Armstrong for 2 1st rd picks and lessor contracts. You guys are always so smart that you become dumb. I am not calling you dumb don’t get me wrong, but that approach is IMO. Like I said the day they made that trade if someone asked me for 2 1st rd picks for Kirk Hinrich, I would have used some nasty language towards that person and those open lines would have been closed because that is an insult to a wise business mind, but that was not Sund’s thinking. The moral is you do not know what other teams are looking to gain when they make moves.

Worldwide Clyde

April 15th, 2011
10:24 pm

Superiorblogman need to be our GM. If you keep those kind of posts up you will have my vote for Blogger of the Year next year.

northcyde

April 15th, 2011
10:24 pm

Leffty

April 15th, 2011
9:07 pm

To all the Hawks doubters who think that Orlando’s home court advantage will decide the series, check out this new analysis:

http://sportstatistics.blogspot.com/2011/04/nba-playoffs-game-7-how-important-is.html

In the first round game 7, home court advantage really isn’t THAT significant over the last decade. That’s a really good sign for the Hawks who match up well with the Magic

*********************

Lefty . . that blog has all kinds of flaws in it. Do you actually think if Milwaukee last year had a Game 7 at home, instead of Game 6, that we would’ve beaten them? Or better yet, if we had to go to Miami in 2009 to beat D-Wade in a Game 7, could the Hawks have done it?

If we have a chance to close out Orlando in a Game 6, and fail to do it, I doubt very seriously that this team could come back and win Game 7. We’d go through the same thing that Milwaukee went through. They knew they blew their chance in Game 6 to take the series, so they were easy pickings in Game 7.

The reason why the home team wins Game 7 almost 80% of the time, is not only because they’re a better team, but because they’re usually a dominant home team. Either that, or the road team is a below .500 regular season road team.

The team’s most likely to win a Game 7 on the road, are the very good mentally tough teams who won a lot of regular season road games. ( see Boston last year ). For those teams, a Game 7 on the road may not be such a detriment.

There are 8 teams in the NBA that have a .500+ record on the road. Those will usually be the teams that can win playoff road games. The high win teams are even capable of winning a Game 7 road game.

- Miami: 28
- Dallas: 28
- LA Lakers: 27
- Chicago: 26
- San Antonio: 25
- Oklahoma City: 25
- Boston: 23
- Orlando: 23

The Hawks are 9th, with 20 road wins.

Everybody else who is under .500, probably needs that Game 7 home game to pull out the victory. You better believe that a team like Portland, who is facing Oklahoma City, needs to win that series in 6 games. Because if they don’t, you’re talking about going back to OKC ( who won 30 home games ), with Portland only winning 18 games on the road.

That’s a distinct home court advantage for OKC.

drmaryb (*_-)

April 15th, 2011
10:33 pm

“I’m going out on a limb and saying Hawks in 6. The Magic don’t have Vince Carter and the Hawks will hit their 3’s.”
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I agree with this perspective, great comment. I hope it turns out this way. I also predict, if we win games 1 and 3 – we win the series!