Atlanta Hawks: Attention on centers

Can Haywood really be had for the mid-level?

Can Haywood really be had for the mid-level?

The Hawks say they are looking to free agency instead of the draft for frontcourt help. At this point it’s not clear if that need supersedes their desire for a starting-caliber point guard (in case the Jeff Teague thing doesn’t yield immediate fruits) or wing player (in case J.J. bolts in free agency). This is especially the case since the returning frontcourt (Al, Josh, and Zaza) might be a stronger group than the returning backcourt (Bibby, Jamal, Marvin and Teague).

But since the draft doesn’t look like it will yield a big man who can contribute now at pick No. 24, and Jason Collins and Randolph Morris both are free agents, the Hawks will need a center one way or the other. Let’s assume they won’t go the vet-minimum route this time and will actually use their mid-level exception to seek a starting-caliber center (neither assumption is safe, but let’s just say both are plausible). What kind of center could the Hawks expect to acquire in free agency this summer?

First, let me say that trying to predict the market for free agents this summer is tricky. With so many teams potentially having so much cap space (and presumably a desire to spend the money) so-so players might find a strong market for their services. Add in the fact that the focus here is free-agent centers in a league where “quality big man” is usually near the top of the list of wants for most teams in the league, and it makes things even more unpredictable.

(To illustrate that point, see this quote from Magic GM Otis Smith explaining why he used the full mid-level exception last year to re-sign Marcin Gortat, a backup center of modest accomplishment: “Like I said before, we’re in a league that probably only has 10 centers. We just happen to have two. It’s a luxury.”)

But we can look at what happened with free agent centers in years past to get some kind of feel for what the market might dictate. Then I’ll look at some of the free-agent centers for a clue as to what the Hawks might reasonably find available for the mid-level exception.

In 2008, centers Emeka Okafor and Andrew Bogut got the big money, with each signing five-year deals averaging $12 million . Bogut signed an extension before the final year of his rookie contract. The Bobcats signed Okafor to the deal after it had extended a one-year qualifying offer for $7.1 million and after DeSagna Diop turned down their contract starting at the mid-level.

Diop signed a comparable deal with Dallas, so he is the kind of center the full mid-level got you in 2008. But the market was different back then. There were only four or five teams with enough salary-cap space to add players with significant salaries, compared with eight or nine that could do so this summer. So if a salary starting at $5.6 million got you Diop back then, a salary starting at $5.73 million (Larry Coon’s estimate for the mid-level in 2010-11) may not get you even that much now.

Last summer the Cavs signed Anderson Varejao to a deal worth a bit more than the mid-level with five years guaranteed. The Magic matched the offer sheet Gortat signed with Dallas for the full mid-level. And Boston added Rasheed Wallace using their full mid-level exception (yeah, I know, ‘Sheed ain’t exactly a banger in the post but he’s savvy enough to play center as he showed against Dwight Howard). Once again the market was different in 2009, with not so many teams with significant cap space, but it’s a starting point.

That gives us a list of free-agent, mid-level centers (or in Varejao’s case, near it) over the last two years that includes Diop, Varejao, Gortat and Wallace. Looking at how they compared statistically in 2009-10, it seems the Celtics overpayed for ‘Sheed, but then again what they really paid for is what he’s doing now in the playoffs.

So with those four players as the baseline, which 2010 NBA free-agent centers compare as far as their production while also taking their age into account? After crunching the numbers and considering the market, my (subjective) list includes Brendan Haywood, Shaquille O’Neal, Joel Przybilla, Brad Miller and Darko Milicic. Now, like I said, perhaps interest from with salary-cap space drives up the price of these players, or maybe teams they aren’t even worth the full mid-level at this point, but I’m putting them out there for comparison and discussion (hey, it’s June 1 and things are quiet).

The best (realistic) option among the group might be Haywood, who made $6 million this season. He will be 31 in November, which makes him about three years older than Varejao was when he got his deal from Cleveland. So even if he finds his market value inflated he may not be able to attract more than the mid-level, particularly if he wants three years or more.

Haywood and Varejao have remarkably similar statistical profiles. Haywood has a comparable player efficiency rating, rebounding percentage, true shooting percentage and is a better shot-blocker. Varejao is a more effective passer and gets more steals.

Haywood is better than Diop, who turns 29 next January (though he should have plenty of tread left with an average of 14.3 minutes in 536 games). Przybilla (who has a $7.4 million player option for 2009-10) turns 31 before next season; he had a good year in 2008-09 but wasn’t productive during an injury-marred season in 2009-10.

Miller, 34, fell off this season. Shaq actually had a pretty efficient year but age, injury and motivation are concerns so his days of big money are over. Darko ($7.5 million) is still only 24-years old if you can believe that but he’s still mostly about size and potential and isn’t really a willing defender or rebounder.

Haywood, by the way, said he wants to re-sign with the Mavericks. Apparently, watching old and injured Erick Dampier start over him didn’t sour him on his experience in Dallas. The Mavs, who hold Haywood’s Bird Rights, apparently are high on him. Coach Rick Carlisle to NBA.com:

“It’s very important to get Haywood re-signed. I really liked what he did for us. He’s a guy that had an impact on both ends. At 30 years old, he’s relatively young for a center. Centers tend to play for a very long time…Brendan is very athletic. He’s got a good feel for the game. He’s got a good knowledge of the game.”

Some other potential free-agent centers who likely won’t get the full mid-level if they hit the market: Channing Frye ($2.08 million player option for 2010-11), Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Nenad Krstic ($5.4 million player option for 2010-11), Chris Wilcox ($3 million player option for 2010-11), Ben Wallace, and Theo Ratliff.

A full list of free agents by position is available at Hoopsworld.com.

– All appears calm on the coaching search front with ASG’s Michael Gearon Jr. away on business until next week. Mark Jackson interviewed over the weekend but he still looks to be a long shot due to his lack of coaching experience.

MC

397 comments Add your comment

ryan

June 1st, 2010
10:05 pm

I wonder if we can package a deal that could send Josh Smith and Josh Childress for Amare Stoudamire.

Rufus1

June 1st, 2010
10:12 pm

O’brian…The offense style matter(Channing Frye) and so does the quality of the team(Nate Robinson).

Turk..42% FG,12pts , 2.9ast…Career numbers

Hinrich..41% FG, 14pts, 5.8ast …career number

Williams..45% FG, 12pts, 5.4ast..career numbers

JoJo the Godfather

June 1st, 2010
10:33 pm

Just send Josh Smith to Orlando for Marcin Gortat & Brandon Bass. Gortat wants to start and Bass wants more playing time as well. Atlanta has their true center for 4 more years and a legit backup PF for 3 more years. If its not even, draft picks can be involved.

Steve

June 1st, 2010
10:56 pm

Quality big last year not Sund’s fault – ASG with no money. I think Sund got the best 2 he would for the vet min. Since we are close to being a very, very good team, maybe ASG will be willing to spend a little more – Nate Robinson at PG, Childress, and let Mo’ go, and sign Darko or Haywood – and go ahead and sign Avery Johnson – let’s see what happens.

Steve

June 1st, 2010
10:58 pm

And I would sign Channing Frye in a heartbeat – I know he’s not big and physical for and NBA Center, but the guy can play.

northcyde

June 1st, 2010
11:05 pm

Cdog . . they don’t wanna hear all of that. Everything that happened in the playoffs is all Woody’s fault. And some of them are already dropping hints as to what to blame Woody for, for next year’s possible slippage. Notice that it is mainly THEY who keep bringing up the name of Woody, not his so-called supporters.

LOL . . back in October, some of these same fans were calling Sund a potential GM of the year . . for his acquisition of Crawford . . his drafting of Teague . . his re-signing of Zaza, Marvin, and Bibby to “reasonable contracts” . . and by addressing the Hawks “big man” issues by bringing in Joe Smith and Jason Collins.

As the season ended, and we were at 53 wins . . the players did that. But when we had a nuclear meltdown in the playoffs . . it was mainly Woody’s fault.

In my next post, I’ll illustrate what Sund could’ve done with the Hawks. No way does that dude get a pass for what happened last year, or the position we’re in this summer.

northcyde

June 1st, 2010
11:10 pm

Cdog . . to illustrate your point, I’ll remind these people of the guys we could’ve acquired last year

* Let’s start with Mr. Crawford. A great pickup by Sund. But we didn’t HAVE to trade for that dude. Crawford improved us definitely, but we weren’t winning a title with that squad last year, unless he and JJ played like superstars. And remember, Acie and Speedy would’ve been expiring contracts going into this summer. So let’s say we DON’T do the Crawford deal.

* This is for you Najeh . . . instead of Teague, the guy we could’ve had was DEJUAN BLAIR . . the exact type of bulky rebounder you’re talking about. Blair was a top 10 – 15 pick who freefalled through the draft because all of these NBA GMs are idiots . . with the exception of San Antonio . . who had sense enough to take dude in the 2nd round.

* So what do we do for a PG? How about going out to get Andre Miller . . the penetrating, pass-first, decent defending PG that we so desperately need here. How about renouncing the rights to Chill and Bibby ( whose cap hold last summer was JJ-like ), and make a run at Dre? You think he would’ve loved to run the point in ATL, with JJ as a shooter, and Smoove as a finisher to pass the ball to?

* How about Marvin? Remember . . he was a RESTRICTED FREE AGENT last summer. We didn’t have to offer him a deal ( even though most Hawk fans agreed that the 5yr deal for 38 mill was a “fair deal” for Marvin ). We could’ve let him play for the Qualifying Offer of 7 mill . . or waited until someone gave him an offer sheet.

* Zaza was the one guy we probably HAD to hold onto, but he was an unrestricted free agent, and we could’ve sent him walking too. But say we keep Zaza for the same price.

* So now we have the MLE to maybe add additional people. Oh . . I don’t know. Maybe bring in Jerry Stackhouse? Bring back Flip Murray? Juan Dixon ( who should’ve made the squad )? Maybe a box office draw like Allen Iverson ( who was desperate to play for SOMEBODY )?

Decide on 2 players to split the MLE on.

Sund had all kinds of options last summer. So for whatever moves he made or didn’t make, that’s on HIM.

Samuel

June 1st, 2010
11:14 pm

I smell Lotto for 2011.

northcyde

June 1st, 2010
11:19 pm

So let’s set the team for 2009 – 10

G – Miller ( 4yrs – 28 to 30 million )
G – JJ ( expiring contract – 15 million )
F – Marvin ( expiring contract – 7 million )
F – Smoove
F/C – Horford

Bench

G – Law ( expiring contract – if we don’t pick up team option – 2 million )
G – Stackhouse or Iverson or Flip ( 1yr – 2 to 2.5 million )
F – Evans ( ability to opt out in 2010 – 2.5 mill off the books if he does )
F – Dejuan Blair
C – Zaza

G – Speedy ( expiring contract – 5 million )
C – Morris ( expiring contract – 900K )

****************

I’ll say that this squad right here could’ve at least obtained the 4th spot in the East, and possibly won 47 – 51 games. We’d still lose in the 2nd round, due to the lack of a quality big man. But we’d be in MUCH BETTER POSITION for the 2010 free agency period, depending on what we wanted to do with the expiring contracts.

But the Crawford signing, combined with holding on to Chill, is really the thing that’s keeping us from making a major play for one of these free agents, should JJ sign elsewhere.

cdog

June 1st, 2010
11:27 pm

BIG RAY,BELIEVE ME, RICK SUND IS SUPER TERRIBLE.HE’S BEYOND BAD.

Ramon

June 1st, 2010
11:35 pm

Isn’t it funny how Los Angeles Lakers are in the NBA Finals. And they have one of the highest payrolls in the league. Yet, they’ve emerged as the favorites to sign Chris Bosh. I think the Hawks should be aggressive in going after one of the big free agents and seeing about a sign and trade deal. Crawford’s expiring deal would be perfect in making the deal happen. Also why isn’t JJ lobbying to try and get another big ticket free agent to come and visit the Hawks? As it’s been said many times, if you take the big tickets off of their current roster, the remaining players on each team all come second to the Hawks without JJ. So out of the possible destinations, the Hawks are the closest to title contention. And they’re actually the only team that made it to the 2nd round.

Ramon

June 1st, 2010
11:39 pm

Why aren’t the Hawks considering renouncing the rights to Chills, if his contract (or lack of) is preventing them from being able to make certain acquisitions that can help the team a lot. Wouldn’t a fool allow a NON ALL STAR caliber player to tie up so much money of the available salary cap for THREE YEARS, and not have anything to show for it?

Grandad

June 1st, 2010
11:41 pm

nc – with all due respect, your scenario was disjointed & diffuse.

Everyone’s all over the place tonite. Channing Frye says he wants
to stay in PHX.

Some fella last eve on pod-cast, suggested we “would” pkg.
Marv & Jamal sooner or *later *[trade deadline] for a *franchise
type player to pair with Joe. He would not elaborate as to
the caliber *[franchise] only saying ‘not’ Carmelo (caliber).
I gathered someone in the *O.J. Mayo category.
*Just a player of that caliber, not necessarily him. [Mayo]
A young up & coming, yet promising future all-star.

cdog

June 1st, 2010
11:46 pm

NORTHCLYDE, THIS THE NBA NOT COLLEGE OR HIGH SCHOOL.AS I RECALLED WOODSON WAS NOT ON THE COURT AS A PLAYER DURING THE PLAYOFFS.IN THE NBA THE PLAYERS USUALLY DECIDES AN OUTCOME OF A GAME NOT THE COACH.YOU THINK AN NBA PLAYER LISTENS TO COACHING STRATEGIES ALL OF THE TIME? NO.IN COLLEGE AND HIGH SCHOOL YES BUT NOT ON THE PRO LEVEL.YOUR WINS AND LOSSES ARE DETERMINED BY WHAT QUALITY OF PLAYERS YOU HAVE ON THE FLOOR.PUT YOUR SO CALLED GREAT COACH PHIL JACKSON WITH THE CURRENT HAWKS ROSTER AND SEE HOW MANY TIMES THEY PLAY FOR A CHAMPIONSHIP. NONE. SO SAYING ALL OF THIS, RICK SUND SHOULD BE FAULTED FOR NOT PROVIDING THE PROPER TALENT NEEDED TO GET BY ORLANDO OR EVEN CLEVELAND WHO WOULD HAVE BEATEN THE HAWKS IN A PLAYOFF SERIES ALSO.

Grandad

June 1st, 2010
11:49 pm

cdog:

“BELIEVE ME, RICK SUND IS SUPER TERRIBLE.HE’S BEYOND BAD.”

cdog – I must disagree.
He’s done nothing, [here], to draw that malevolence.

Ramon

June 1st, 2010
11:51 pm

Grandad, Sund has made some questionable and bad decisions though.

northcyde

June 1st, 2010
11:57 pm

I mean damn . . we’re holding onto Josh Childress like he’s a collection of 17th century gold coins found on a pirate ship. If that dude doesn’t want to come back to us this year, and if Sund or the ASG don’t want to extend a multi-year contract to Chill . . THEN RENOUNCE THAT DUDE . . GET HIM OFF THE BOOKS.

No sense keeping “dead money” like that around for more than one season. Cut your losses and move on.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
12:02 am

“This is for you Najeh . . . instead of Teague, the guy we could’ve had was DEJUAN BLAIR . . the exact type of bulky rebounder you’re talking about. Blair was a top 10 – 15 pick who freefalled through the draft because all of these NBA GMs are idiots . . with the exception of San Antonio . . who had sense enough to take dude in the 2nd round.”

I completely agree — in fact, at about this time a year ago I was dropping Blair’s name all over the place (and getting criticized for it by many people, such as niremetal).

Not saying Teague was a bad pick — I still think he is a good player and will get much better — but Blair would have been a godsend for the Hawks.

Then again, who knows if Woody would have actually played him…

Ramon

June 2nd, 2010
12:11 am

Najeh, I’m struggling to see how Blair would’ve been better than Sheldon Williams. Now because he was drafted by the Spurs and came out ok, it seems like the Hawks could’ve taken him, but I don’t see it.

Grandad

June 2nd, 2010
12:18 am

Using woulda coulda shoulda logic we [wcs] drafted:
* Collison – pt. g.
* Roddy Beaubois – pt. g.
* Ellison – shooter
* Jerebko – drafted after Blair / better season.
* Marcus Thornton – drafted after Blair / shooter.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
12:22 am

“even though most Hawk fans agreed that the 5yr deal for 38 mill was a “fair deal” for Marvin ”

Based on last year’s production and the reasonable assumption that a 23-year-old would improve, it was a fair deal. What makes it such an atrocious looking deal right now is that Marvin got significantly worse this year. If he put up 15 and 6 on 46% shooting with good defense and 36% 3-point-shooting this year — a reasonable expectation based on his production from the last two seasons — his contract would be acceptable and movable.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
12:25 am

“Najeh, I’m struggling to see how Blair would’ve been better than Sheldon Williams. Now because he was drafted by the Spurs and came out ok, it seems like the Hawks could’ve taken him, but I don’t see it.”

If you’re implying that Woody wouldn’t have played him, I can see how you came to that conclusion. If you’re implying that he would suck outside of the Spurs’ system, I completely disagree. I think a bruising rebounder like that can be good in any system.

northcyde

June 2nd, 2010
12:28 am

@ grandad . . . you are more than welcome to disprove anything I said in that scenario. Everything I said was very possible:

* we didn’t have to trade for Crawford, and kept the expiring contracts of Law and Speedy

* we could’ve drafted Dejuan Blair, to address our rebounding issues

* we could’ve renounced Chill, to get his 10 mill cap hold off the books

* we could’ve renounced Bibby to get his 15+ million cap hold off the books.

* we then could’ve been enough under the cap to make a serious play for Andre Miller to FINALLY address the PG position.

* we then could’ve brought back Zaza

* and with our MLE money, we could’ve signed 1, maybe 2 low priced free agents ( other than those scrubs Joe Smith and Jason Collins ). Blair would’ve made both of those guys obsolete.

* and when the summer of 2010 came around, we’d be in better position to compensate for the loss of JJ, by adding starter quality free agents.

That is as clear and concise as I can make this. If you want to dispute any of this, go right ahead.

If Woody was calling the shots behind the scenes personnel wise, and Sund was just going with the flow, the ASG should’ve just named Wooody as GM and never hired Sund.

We’ll see if this dude can make his money this year, without just going along with “Woody’s Plan”.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
12:29 am

“Isn’t it funny how Los Angeles Lakers are in the NBA Finals. And they have one of the highest payrolls in the league. Yet, they’ve emerged as the favorites to sign Chris Bosh.”

The only way they get Bosh is if they trade Gasol or Bynum for him, or if Toronto accepts Odom and Artest together in exchange for him. Trading Bynum for him would make no sense for either team, because the Lakers struggle with toughness inside as it is, and shifting Gasol to center full time would make them even worse in that regard. Trading Gasol for him doesn’t make sense either, because Gasol knows the triangle and is probably the better player anyway. Trading Odom and Artest for him makes no sense because then you have two PFs, a C, and no small forward, not to mention you lose a lot of toughness by making that deal too.

Long story short, I don’t know where it said the Lakers are favorites to get Bosh, but there’s no deal I can think of that would make any sense for them, let alone the Raptors.

Grandad

June 2nd, 2010
12:31 am

The more I think about it, after my 11:41 post, when I used
OJ Mayo as an example, the more I liked the idea. People on
this board have brought up his name [Mayo] before and I haven’t
thought much about it, but now, he may be just the ticket.
With Joe, a running mate / wingman. They could play together
in the same backcourt [when Teaguer rests].
If Joe leaves, he gives Josh & Al an outside scoring threat
for balance.
I wonder if Memphis would turn him loose & do we have the
chips (Marv, Jamal, Childress, Bibby, Zaza, pkg.) that would
entice Memphis?

smh

June 2nd, 2010
12:39 am

Its nice to see that northcyde failed to mention that with 3 of those guys his man crush Woodrow dam near pleaded to have them brought back. How many times did we hear Woodrow talk about how he wanted Bibby and Marvin back? Wow what a concept a gm signing the guys the coach asked for. Its always funny to watch northcyde and Samuel blame everyone and give Woodrow a free pass. Samuel everyone already knows how much of a clown you are. You never had anything to say when the Hawks were losing. I bet you didn’t touch your keyboard during the Bucks series. Hell you probably unplugged your comp during the Magic series.

Grandad

June 2nd, 2010
12:46 am

nc – I didn’t say any of it was untrue, therefore,
no need to justify. I said it was diffuse. Too many
parts to untangle all @ once. If you’re looking @
Mr. Sund’s record and or accomplishments over the
short time he has been here and you are correcting
all his percieved mistakes then all that you said
is true to the extent that everything
he did and has accomplished were true as well.
History has not proven that he has not made
a mistake at this point so your counterpoint is
therefore also neither right or wrong.

Grandad

June 2nd, 2010
12:48 am

*Typo*
“History has not proven that he has or has not made a mistake”

Hawksfanman

June 2nd, 2010
12:50 am

We should sign frye but we need to rebuild, point blank we cant win a championship with who we have period…… we need to trade joe and jamal for potential and picks.

Clyde

June 2nd, 2010
1:00 am

Sean Williams

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
1:05 am

“G – Miller ( 4yrs – 28 to 30 million )
G – JJ ( expiring contract – 15 million )
F – Marvin ( expiring contract – 7 million )
F – Smoove
F/C – Horford

Bench

G – Law ( expiring contract – if we don’t pick up team option – 2 million )
G – Stackhouse or Iverson or Flip ( 1yr – 2 to 2.5 million )
F – Evans ( ability to opt out in 2010 – 2.5 mill off the books if he does )
F – Dejuan Blair
C – Zaza

G – Speedy ( expiring contract – 5 million )
C – Morris ( expiring contract – 900K )”

Here’s the problem with your scenario — and I know you’ll disagree — with Woody as the head coach, there’s no way this team tops 50 wins. Dre Miller can’t shoot 3’s, and with the iso-Joe offense, a point guard who can shoot 3’s is more important than a point guard who can, you know, do point guard things like driving inside and setting up teammates. (Let’s ignore for now that Bibby can’t really shoot consistently anymore either.) The Hawks had a hard enough time spacing the floor with Bibby and Crawford on the team; with neither one around, iso-Joe would fail even more often as Joe wouldn’t have room to drive or shooters to pass the ball to.

We already know Woody wasn’t going to play Acie, and we already know Zaza was mostly ineffective this year. We know Randolph Morris wouldn’t get playing time (and even if he did, there’s no guarantee he’d be effective), and we know Speedy is unreliable. Between Stackhouse, Iverson, and Flip, it’s most likely they would have kept Flip since he was on the team the previous year, and of course Mo Evans would have been there. Knowing Woody’s mixed track record with rookies, who knows whether he would have played Blair enough for him to make an impact — my guess is Blair would have been the 2nd big man off the bench behind Zaza, meaning his minutes and impact would have been limited.

So really, you’re looking at basically the same team that got swept by the Cavs last year, except with Miller replacing Bibby. Starting lineup would have been Miller, Joe, Marvin, Smoove, and Al, while Flip, Mo, and Zaza would get the lion’s share of any bench minutes with Blair likely receiving spot duty and the rest of them riding the pine. That’s a slight upgrade at point guard in terms of talent (not necessarily in terms of fit) and a significant downgrade on the bench. My guess is that team finishes with the same 46-47 wins they had the previous year, possibly falling behind Milwaukee to the 5th seed and losing in the first round.

Now it is definitely true that the Hawks would have more cap flexibility this offseason — about $7 million more. This would probably give them enough space to sign a max player, especially if they renounced Childress (assuming one wanted to sign here). But I don’t think there’s any way they make it to 50 wins or the 2nd round with that team.

northcyde

June 2nd, 2010
1:13 am

Also Grandad . . . I’m talking about what Sund could’ve feesibly done. Call it what you want, but it illustrates a lack of vision by him. He could’ve set this team up to do well last season, plus set us up for the summer of 2010 free agency.

Like Najeh said, Dejuan was a guy this team could’ve desperately used as a rebounder off the bench. And the mock drafts were split on who we were going to take . . from Eric Maynor to Teague to Lawson to Tyler Hansbrough ( who was the early favorite for us to take ).

So when you see a top 10 player like Dejuan freefalling right into Sund’s lap, and he doesn’t adjust his thinking and take him instead of Teague, then you have to question Sund’s decision making.

For Horford ans Smoove to possibly get to that next level as players, they’re going to need a PG who can get the ball to them in the right spots for them to score a little more easy.

We’re hoping Teague could develop into that type of PG.

We KNOW that Miller is that type of PG.

So to not make a move to get him, even if you have to renounce part of your core to get him, is an oversight a good GM can’t make.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
1:30 am

“No way does that dude get a pass for what happened last year, or the position we’re in this summer.”

I’ll co-sign this, but more than what he did last offseason, it’s what he does this offseason that will define his success or failure as the Hawks’ GM. If he keeps Joe and is able to add the big man and depth the Hawks need to reach the next level, or if he lets Joe walk and is able to pull off a trade (like the Crawford + bad contracts for Collison + bad contracts trade I keep bringing up) that addresses some of the Hawks’ weaknesses, his shortcomings last offseason will mostly be redeemed. If he can’t do this, we will be calling for his head.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
1:34 am

Wow, I just looked at Chicago’s salary outlay. That is quite a hideous contract Luol Deng has — maybe as bad as Okafor’s contract, and certainly worse than anything on the Hawks’ payroll right now.

northcyde

June 2nd, 2010
1:38 am

Najeh . . I agree somewhat about the squad overall. But Miller would’ve easily averaged at least 14 pts and 7 assists as PG for us.

The fallacy constantly stated on this board, is tha our offense consisted of nothing but ISO-JJ. You mak can say that for the bulk of the 4th quarter, but not the bulk of the game. Just because JJ served as the “bail out guy” when the shot clock runs down, doesn’t mean that he held the ball for 20 seconds, then decided to shoot. A lot of times, he got the ball back with 10 seconds, and was expected to make a play with the clock running down ( ala Brandon Roy in Portland ).

But back to Miller.

Woody has never had a capable PG who could break people down like a Miller, plus set people up. Woody has always been flexible with his vet PGs, and letting them do what they can do.

He had no problem letting Anthony Johnson run the show for a while. I never saw that alley-oop from the 3 point line that we run for Smoove via JJ, until AJ started doing it for Marvin on occasion.

The same went fo Bibby. When Bibby was healthy, he let Bibby run the team.

So there’s no doubt in my mind that Woody would let a proven PG like Miller do his thing as well. ISO-JJ wouldn’t disappear, but Miller would have us run more pick and rolls with our big men. That’s one of his strengths as a player, and Woody wouldn’t relegate him to playing off the ball.

JJ pretty much had to have the ball a lot, because he was the guy good enough to get his own shot as well as set people up. Woody would have no problem letting a vet like Dre run the show, because of his ability to get to the rim.

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
2:17 am

Not necessarily recommending taking this guy, but Tiny Gallon is a great name.

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:45 am

SIGN AVERY AS THE COACH.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!!

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:46 am

KEEP IT SIMPLE BRING JOE BACK AND CHILL.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!!

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:48 am

SIGN FREE AGENT AL HARRINGTON.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:53 am

TRADE MARVIN AND ZAZA FOR MONTA ELLIS.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!!!!

blonju aka the ghost of sekou smith

June 2nd, 2010
2:53 am

ever since sekou left, it’s just not the same around here:

1: randolph morris is not an NBA player, please don’t resign him – he quit on the game during high school; some one on here said he “dominated” the SEC and left school too early; his best season was his jr. year (06-07) where he averaged 16 and 8; a meager college career at best for a 3rd year player

2: a true starting point guard should be here regardless of if we resign JJ, but it shouldn’t be ANDRE MILLER OR KIRK HINRICH; both guys are unathletic and aren’t “true” point guards in the sense of the word; hinrich shoots 41.9% for his CAREER and only averages 4 assists for his CAREER (i repeat); miller can’t shoot 3’s (CAREER average 20.9% – pathetic) and is not as willing of a passer in his older years because he’s extremely lazy at this point in his career (less than 7 assists per game over the last 3 seasons as a starter and only a 7.2 CAREER average)

3: JEFF TEAGUE is the best solution we have at a true point guard (see his final game of the regular season against CLE minus LBJ) unless we can trade for darren collison/chris paul (highly unlikely) or some how ERIC BLEDSOE falls to us in the upcoming draft (he’s projected anywhere from 15th to 36th in 9 different mock drafts i’ve seen); ERIC BLEDSOE was the second highest rated guard in the country behind JOHN WALL, and played the 2 because he had to – unbelievable talent that we cannot pass up if he’s there; i believe MC just wrote an article about how the 24th spot won’t yield any long term fruit, but he obviously knows nothing about basketball (tony parker, manu ginobili, dejuan blair, gerald wallace, darren collison – ALL drafted 24th or lower in the last 10 yrs – and that’s just off the top of my head)

4: SIGN AND TRADE JJ for players that fill HIS role (a la JOHN SALMONS or RUDY GAY + other players, picks, or cash); OR, let JJ walk and sign a guy like RAY ALLEN to a 1 year deal at a higher price than other teams would be willing to pay him per season at his age.

5: MARK JACKSON is the most suitable replacement for taking this team to the NEXT LEVEL; we NEED to take a risk and not go the “safe route” here; we NEED a coach who is willing to work with the personnel we have and HELP them to believe in themselves as a TEAM; woody was a divider and MARK JACKSON can be a uniter if given a chance; remember, AVERY J. was at the right place at the right time in terms of being considered a “winning” coach; everyone knows he’s too overbearing for our guys – again, whether JJ resigns here or not; casey, or whomever else sund is considering do not fit the personality of our TEAM;

Believe me, we are a coach who commands respect (but is still player friendly) away from being a contender – again whether JJ signs here or not.

Now I’ll tell Mr. Sund & Gearon Jr. what they should do:

Let JJ walk and sign RAY ALLEN to an overpriced 1yr/10mil deal. He’s 80% of JJ at 33, and JJ won’t be as efficient as RAY RAY after 2 yrs on his max deal he’s about to sign. JESUS would also bring some class to our city for a moment. Go get a JOEL PRYZBILLA or a SHAQ at the midlevel to bring off the bench. Add a dead eye 3 point shooter or two (i know some one is out there who can shoot better than MO or CHILLS). Do something with CHILLS’ contract – ANYTHING! Hang BIBBY & ZAZA out on a billboard and pray some one’s dumb enough to take on their contracts for anything useful. We’d have tons of $ coming off the books after 2010-2011 season and be ready to pay BIG AL the following summer. We’d still be a top tier team, AND we’d be in a prime position to build for the future at the same time. Don’t trade SMOOVE!!! He may have motivational problems, but a new coach is going to change him. The dude played for a guy who is notorious for riding young players hard, and has improved his game each year, despite a lack of coaching or encouragement from the fans. A true point guard in the starting role will CHANGE the entire dynamic of this team. If you have horses, you NEED TO RUN THEM. We have horses!!! The reason MARVS looks like an idiot is because BIBBY AND JJ have dribbled out 90% of our shot clocks over the last 2 years. The other 10% of the time, we looked like we could beat anybody, anywhere – due to pure talent!! A respectable and likable coach, along with a few KEY personnel moves will solve the Atlanta Basketball quandry. We are sooooooo close, and yet we are a couple of idiotic moves from oblivion once again! Regardless of what actually happens, get ready for a WILD SUMMER HAWKS’ FANS….

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:55 am

24# SOLOMON ALABI DEFENSIVE STOPPER.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!

darrell starks

June 2nd, 2010
2:59 am

2010 ATLANTA HAWKS AVERY COACHING
STARTER MONTA ELLIS, JOE, CHILL, JOSH, HORFORD,
BENCH TEAGUE, JAMAL, MOE, AL HARRIGNTON, SOLOMON ALABI
RESERVE BIBBY, MORRIS.
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!

tony

June 2nd, 2010
3:06 am

I had being lobbying for us to go after Haywood before Dallas stuck their claws in him. The problem with this organization is that they never use logic in making decisions. They hired a GM who done ABSOLUTELY NOTHING in his 36 years nba tenure. A BIG ZERO CHAMPIONSHIP! To have success in the busness world you have to associate yourself with successful business people.

If we’re ever going to build a championship caliber team this organization need to start hiring championship caliber people. I’ve been saying this for years. I honestly believe Mr Blank had been reading these message boards because he finally done exactly what I’ve being advocating. He hired a championship GM and coach. Dimitroff was associated with the New England Patriots and Mike Smith was associated with the Baltimore Ravens. Both came from championship organizations. Will the Falcons win a championship with these people calling the shots? I believe so.

If Mr Sund hire the wrong coach for this team, it will be a disaster for the people in this state.

blonju aka the ghost of sekou smith

June 2nd, 2010
3:23 am

worst case scenario under my plan…

lineup:
PG – Teague
SG – Ray Ray, aka Jesus Shuttlesworth
SF – Marvs
PF – Smoove
C – Big Al

bench: crawford, shaq, bibs, bledsoe (hopefully), zaza, chills’ contract’s cap room, kyle korver, mike miller, and/or roger mason on the cheap cheap, brad miller or the first Big Z on the cheap cheap

this would put is between 64-69 million cap-wise.. depending on the salary cap next year, we could be looking nice under the right conditions.

personnel & chemistry + quality coaching, management & ownership = championship

Somebody save us from another heartless playoff ending!! We work too hard during the regular season to give up when it matters.. Just look where BOSTON is now.. that could’ve been us with the right coach.. that should’ve been the HAWKALIERS with the right coach.. where’s the DOC when you need him?? oh yeah, he’s in BOSTON.. and how bout that TOM THIBIDEAU – why not be seeking permission to interview him?? he’s player friendly, defensive minded and pretty much the co-coach on the team we beat 4 times this year that about to win their second title in 3 years.. i don’t want to bet against KOBE and PHIL, but the lakers are SOFT.. if BOSTON is healthy enough, they are hangin #18

peace, love & goodnite from the heart of Hawksville.

McHawkmick, aka blonju, aka the ghost of sekou smith

tony

June 2nd, 2010
3:26 am

When I say championship gm and coach, I’m not refering to them as someone who was a former gm or former hc but as someone who was associated with a championship organization and now becomes a gm and hc. I thought I better make myself clear on that.

blonju aka the ghost of sekou smith

June 2nd, 2010
3:37 am

Tony,

championship coaches aren’t sitting around waiting on the Hawks’ to find them… in the real world, THIBIDEAU might be the closest thing possible to what your looking for but could end up being the second coming of woody… i agree that Sund’s track record does not provide a true fan with much hope for the right championship ‘tweaks’ being made… sometimes, a championship coach has to be made… or perhaps you are right?! maybe we need to go find RUDY TOMJONAVICH?!?! i’m pretty sure popovich, zenmaster, larry brown, doc rivers and pat riley are the only coaches to win titles in the last 20 years, besides TOMJONAVICH.. whoa, that’s startling just to say it out loud.. before that it was late Chuck Daly with the 89-90 pistons… anyways, you couldn’t be more right about championship management & coaches… and honestly, unless Rick Sund grows a huge pair of testicles and a brain, the Falcons and Braves have MUCH better chances of bringing ATL a title… it’s sad, but true Hawks’ fans… i’m too much of a fan to ever give up, but to quote the computer in “I ROBOT” – my logic is undeniable… and so is tony’s… ANYWAYS, i’m a die hard fan, so GO HAWKS!!!!

blonju aka the ghost of sekou smith

June 2nd, 2010
3:45 am

Tony,

your point was made clearer during my response to your post.. Mark Jackson had some noteworthy playoff appearences, but no title.. you got any ideas?? i definitely don’t think Avery Johnson suits the mentality that we need for our team.. he won 1 title as a player with the spurs, but was a journeyman for most of his career.. much more of a role player who happened to be at the right place at the right time (as a player and coach actually).. He thinks he’s much smarter than he actually is.. I am not high on him as a coach obviously.. might as well hire Robert Horry if we’re going by titles as a player – lol! (just a joke) … anyways, i’m certainly open to suggestions (other than Avery, or Casey, or Mr. Larry Drew)…

northcyde

June 2nd, 2010
4:08 am

@ blonju:

1) Agreed . . . Randolph Morris is garbage for the most part.

2) Miller doesn’t waste time shooting a lot of 3 point jumpers, because he’s trying to get to the rim . . which is exactly what we need at the PG position. A guy who can get to the rim and FINISH . . unlike young Mr. Teague. LOL @ scoffing at a 7.2 career assist average. You can maybe name 4 other guys in the league who can say they have dished out 7 assist + for their entire career ( Paul, Deron, Kidd, Nash ). Great . . let’s put the hopes of the Hawks on Teague, based off of his great performance vs the Cleveland scrubs in the final game of the season. Makes perfect sense.

3) Teague is only the best option, if he can prove he can get it done. If not, you’ll see a lot of Crawford at the 1, and Bibby backing him up, even with the new coach.

4) JJ has the power in a sign and trade, because he can choose where he wants to go. I can guarantee you that it will not be Milwaukee. And it’ll only be Memphis if he doesn’t want max money, and desperately wants to stay close to home. We just can’t sign and trade JJ to whomever WE want him to go. JJ has the final say-so in a sign and trade.

5) It’s amazing how many people want basketball commentators who have never been head coaches in their lives, to coach the Hawks. Talk about setting the bar low. Fan logic = “Smitty says that Marvin should shoot quicker . . OMG . . I think that too!! . . let’s make him our new coach”

Najeh Davenpoop

June 2nd, 2010
4:09 am

“TRADE MARVIN AND ZAZA FOR MONTA ELLIS.”

Why not just trade Randolph Morris for Dwight Howard and Al Horford for LeBron while you’re at it?

PG MONTA ELLIS SG WHO GIVES A SH!T SF LEBRON PF SMOOVE C DWIGHT HOWARD
RESERVES DOMINIQUE WILKINS BOB PETTIT JAMES NAISMITH SOLOMON ALABI
GO HAWKS!!!!!!!!

Give me a f-cking break man. You’re wasting space with this bullsh-t.