GOP poll shows Scott in striking range of Marshall in GA-8

State Rep. Austin Scott is closing in on incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall in Georgia’s 8th congressional district, a poll conducted for Scott’s campaign shows.

The poll shows Marshall leading Scott 44 percent to 39 percent, within the margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution obtained the poll Tuesday. It was conducted in late July by American Viewpoint, a Virginia-based company that also polls for incumbent Republican U.S. Sen. Johnny Isakson. As it’s an internal campaign poll, the results should be used as a basis for discussion only.

The National Republican Congressional Committee, the GOP organization charged with electing Republican congressmen, has also reserved air time on television stations in the districts and will soon start an advertising campaign aimed at taking out Marshall, a conservative Democrat long on the Republican’s hit list. GA-8 is one of 40 districts in which the NRCC has purchased airtime.

But the three-term incumbent Democrat has continued to frustrated Republican attempts to defeat him. Scott, a 14-year veteran of the General Assembly, launched his campaign against Marshall after first considering a bid for governor.

The poll shows the 21-county district deeply unsatisfied with Democratic leadership in Washington. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., is given a favorable rating by only 17 percent; President Barack Obama’s job approval rating is 40 percent.

Marshall’s “re-elect” number, that is the percentage of respondents who said he definitely deserves re-election, was 35 percent. That figure, however, can be argued both ways. For an incumbent to have a re-elect number under 50 percent is cause for concern, but is not necessarily fatal. At 35 percent, it could mean Marshall only needs to convince 15 percent more to vote for him.

40 comments Add your comment

Karen H

August 17th, 2010
9:38 am

Rep. Jim Marshall is TOAST is he doesnt vote to extend the Bush-era tax cuts. We can’t afford more tax right now, Jim, and if you don’t vote to extend them we’re gonna vote you out of office! Austin Scott is on the record as saying he is for the extending the cuts and that’s all I need to hear.

AdamBaker121

August 17th, 2010
9:41 am

Mark me as one Democrat who’s with you, Karen. Jim Marshall likes to say he is a conservative, but every time he votes for Pelosi he’s hiring a hit man to do his dirty work for him. Your hands are still dirty, Jim. VOTE TO EXTEND THE TAX CUTS OR THIS IS ONE DEM VOTING YOU OUT OF OFFICE.

Michael S

August 17th, 2010
9:43 am

You mean the tax breaks for large corporations and the wealthy at the expense of the middle class? We’ve seen through that. It will be years before I can vote for a Republican again.

Mike Jones

August 17th, 2010
9:48 am

Jim Marshall should move to San Francisco and move right into Nancy Pelosi’s house. Hey Jim, How long did you think you were going to be able to pass yourself off to be a conservative, yet vote with the Liberals every chance you got? Did you actually think no one was going to notice?

John in Jackson

August 17th, 2010
10:10 am

You have any investment, Mike S? Want to get married or see your kids to get married one day? Well tax on investment and the marriage penalty are set to go up if these cuts expire. Not just for these “evil” corps you talk about. And one other thing, when was the last time a poor guy created a job? Those lights you work under, the computer you’re typing your message on…all created by “evil” corps. GROW UP!

Pragmatic

August 17th, 2010
10:10 am

@Michael S: Hey bud, unless your a government employee, those tax cuts have a major impact on you. 2/3’s of the top 1% are small business owners….guess what, when that ‘evil rich’ pay 41% of the taxes and only have 19% of the wealth….i thinks its time to give them incentives to start investing for the sake of creating jobs for people like you and me…so lay off the wealth envy, i’m a poor college student, but I think employment and the possibility of living the American dream is far better than playing the wealth envy game

1stcav

August 17th, 2010
10:13 am

To Michael S. Michael, you are one of those liberals that hide under the disguise of calling yourself a Republican. You very obviously don’t understand who creates jobs, pays taxes, risks everything everyday in an economy that is attacked by government daily. Without large business (I’m the owner of a very small business), there is no job growth & no economic expansion. Go ahead with your argument (I can hear you now) about all the jobs being moved off shore so the greedy large businesses can make more money. They were forced off shore by a liberal congress who hasn’t a clue about an economy. Either get educated or stay off blogs. You know not of which you speak.

1stcav

August 17th, 2010
10:20 am

John in Jackson and Pragmatic. Thanks. Those kind of folks (Michael S) tick me off. And you know what, they’re all around us. We are in a war to save our country. I know about war, I’m a Viet Nam Infantry Vet just as is Mr. Marshall. Still more reason why I can’t understand his liberalism.

UGA 1954

August 17th, 2010
10:45 am

Austin Scott is exactly what is needed in D.C. He will truly protect the citizens of the 8th (and Georgia) from the spending spree that the Democrats, along with Jim Marshall, have done. The Democrats have so gotten out of control with their attitudes that they know far more what’s better for us than we do, and their refusal to listen anyone, including their constituents, and those are just two reasons why the cycle has to end and it has to end NOW. Vote Austin Scott for the 8th — that’s a vote well worth casting.

UGA 1954

August 17th, 2010
10:49 am

@1stcav — I agree with you. Believe me, you aren’t the only vet who is wondering the same thing about Marshall. I am even beginning to wonder if he is truly even a Blue Dog — seems way too liberal to me, as well. Way to put Michael in his place, too. He deserved it. People really do need to educate themselves as to how jobs are created in this country and by whom — it damn sure isn’t the Government. They need to ask themselves where this country would be without small business owners. They further need to educate themselves that small business owners employ the largest percentage of people — not big business and government.

Brenda Ballard

August 17th, 2010
11:05 am

That Marshall man had better be cleaning out his office, because that Scott team is coming to take them away. He is not from the south, so the term “GONE WITH THE WIND” may not mean nothing to him.

MiltonMan

August 17th, 2010
11:06 am

8th district is no better than the 4th district with Hank “Guam is going to tip over” Johnson. You clowns in those districts really know how to pick some losers.

Tootsie Powers

August 17th, 2010
11:07 am

I am with you Brenda!!!!!!!

Tootsie Powers

August 17th, 2010
11:08 am

Enter your comments here

Tootsie Powers

August 17th, 2010
11:09 am

I am with you Brenda!

Bill

August 17th, 2010
11:36 am

We all know corporations DO NOT pay taxes…

[...] according to an internal poll obtained by the AJC: State Rep. Austin Scott is closing in on incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Marshall in [...]

4williec

August 17th, 2010
11:41 am

Aaron Gould Sheinin – edit time….last time I checked, Nancy Pelosi was a Democrat….your copy reads “House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, R-Calif., is given a favorable rating by only 17 percent;”

Chris

August 17th, 2010
11:47 am

If we want to remove Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House, the ONLY way to do that is to get rid of the people who put her in the office of Speaker such as Jim Marshall. Jim continues to NOT look out for the good of the Nation by continuing to pile up on the pork. Jim only does what he needs to do to keep himself in office – period.

UGA 1954

August 17th, 2010
11:50 am

@Chris — let’s also not forget that Marshall does what he is told or is given permission to do, as well. He needs to go.

Aaron Gould Sheinin

August 17th, 2010
12:00 pm

@4williec Ack! Thanks for the catch. Have fixed. I guess she’s not really a Republican, huh?

S GA Independent

August 17th, 2010
12:04 pm

Austin Scott has never held a “REAL” job. He is a career politician who has lived off of his Physician father. He can NOT relate to real, out-of-work people.

keith

August 17th, 2010
12:13 pm

These are almost the same numbers Rick Goddard had when he faced Marshal in 2008. If Marshall’s leading in a GOP Leaning poll, then Marshall is in Good Shape

Friend of Austin

August 17th, 2010
12:54 pm

I met Rep. Scott during the Dunwoody incorporation hearings. Rep. Scott was never against the City of Dunwoody, rather wanted the proponents to answer basic service/cost related issues. Rep. Scott distinguished himself by holding several public meetings, including one ‘marathon’ meeting to get all the facts out to voters (not even in his District).

Rep. Scott has a small business (insurance) and a working ranch. Rep.Scott is a good, ethical, hardworking man that easily relates to voters.

On the other side, Rep. Jim Marshall, other than being a Dem in a year when that has limited popularity in GA, is an excellent, moderate Dem. Rep. Marshall is well educated, a fighter and a hard worker.

The people of the 8th District are lucky to have such a difficult choice.

Billy in Savannah

August 17th, 2010
12:57 pm

Are you people wanting to extend the Bush tax cuts crazy? I guess you make in excess of $250k a year or you are certainly misinformed. Repeal the tax cuts for the 2% and help the deficit. (I thought all you tea-baggers were upset about the deficit).

sane1

August 17th, 2010
2:55 pm

I am not a fan of Bush. But one part of his tax cuts that the ” they are only for the wealthy” are missing is the that it redifined the tax brackets. They will revert back to pre 2001 brakets when they expire. This will mean a person making $65,000 per year’s tax rate will go from 25% to 31%. That is a 6% increase and someone making $65,000 per year is not ” one of the wealthy few. Take a look at the tax brakets below:

2010

0-$8,375 10%
$8,375-$34,000 15%
$34.000-$82.400 25%
$82,400-$171,850 28%
$171,850-$373,650 33%
$373,650 and above 35%

2000

0-$26,250 15%
$26,250-63550 28%
$63,550-$132,600 31%
$132,600-$288,350 36%
$288,350 and Above 39.6%

UGA 1954

August 17th, 2010
3:06 pm

@keith — Austin Scott is polling higher than Collins did in ‘06 at this point in the campaign. Remember, Marshall won 50.5% to 49.5% over Collins. This race can’t be compared to the Goddard race at all. Entirely different types of candidates. No one should label Mr. Marshall as unbeatable. He is more vulnerable this year than ever before. I think he realizes that, too. He’s also apparently more desperate than before — he’s actually done an “open records” request on Austin’s parents’ divorce. Sounds desperate to me.

@S GA Independent — Perhaps you should ask Austin Scott how much money his dad has given him since he graduated from college. I think you’d be surprised. A part-time legislator does not make one a “career politician”. Last time I checked, a Mayor of Macon and six years in Congress would pretty well trump any years of service in the Georgia legislature. Also, I feel pretty sure the people whose insurance he handles for them would disagree with you about having a real job. They are real people with real insurance needs.

UGA 1954

August 17th, 2010
3:11 pm

@sane1 — the ones opposing the Bush tax cuts have absolutely no idea what is contained in the entire thing. They’d rather complain about it than research it themselves. Thanks for your contribution. My husband makes about the amount you used in your analogy — believe me, we aren’t rich; but, with him owning his own business, an additional 6% on us and God knows what the business will be paying will hurt terribly. I don’t even get the idea how someone making $250,000 who has a mortgage payment, a few car payments, monthly expenses, and say, two or three kids in college could even be considered rich. Comfortable, maybe — rich, no way!

sane1

August 17th, 2010
3:39 pm

Some of the cuts will only benefit wealthier people who have diversified incomes but everyone will feel the tax bracket change. I would feel more comfortable about it if the tax bracket piece was being addressed by our legislators. Unfortunately part of the problem was that we got temporary tax cuts that the country really couldn’t afford long term and now someone either has to find a way to pay for them or let them expire. And now nobody myself included want to see them go away.

[...] GOP poll shows Scott in striking range of Marshall in GA-8 AJC August 17 2010 By Aaron Gould Sheinin [...]

Ken in Eastman

August 17th, 2010
5:52 pm

@ S GA Independent,

Austin Scott a career politician? Even Jim Marshall knows that’s not true. He won’t even say it himself because he knows it’s not true. He had one of his campaign slugs say it instead. Jim Marshall makes in a month as a US Congressman makes more than Austin Scott in a year as a part-time Georgia legislator.

Austin Scott has his own business, so why are you being so dishonest?

Moving on up

August 17th, 2010
10:23 pm

Jim Marshall will begin re-running the old tv tapes in a few days showing him jumping from airplanes, but we all need to remember he is a supporter of Obama the first president bent on destroying America. It is Scott all the way this time….if the candidate has a (D) after the name vote NO. SCOTT for congresws.

chachi

August 18th, 2010
1:41 pm

C’mon people. Jim is way more conservative than many Republicans! On key votes such as with Obamacare, he voted “no”. On other key votes he’s been one of the only Dems to vote against his own party. He’s consistently ranked as one of the most conservative House Dems by National Journal. To win, Scott is going have to do better than say he’s a “liberal voting for Nancy”. Back when Zell Miller was running Republicans labeled him liberal! Zell endorsed George W. in 2004 and gave the keynote address at the convention!!! I mean, c’mon. Look, Jim is one of the few Dems willing to keep an open mind and vote against his own party. He’s supported our district (incl the Warner Robins base) better than anyone could. If you’re from the 8th dist, you’ve gotta be nuts to go along with this “a vote for Marshall is a vote for Pelosi” line Scott keeps saying.

Dennis

August 18th, 2010
4:10 pm

Marshall is trial lawyer protection. That is all he is for. Trial Lawyers. He will show tape of himself walking in a wooded scene with a gun and a NRA endorsement (endorsements that the NRA needs to stop giving, my God, Harry Reid has one), but he grew up in Macon and doesn’t give a rip about the farmer and rural guy unless he is a trial lawyer. He only votes no when Nancy lets him.

chachi

August 19th, 2010
2:40 pm

@Dennis

First, he didn’t grow up in Macon.

Second, he’s on 2 Agriculture subcommittees: Farm Commodities & Rural Development (which helps farmers with assistance & promotion of GA agriculture products!) He’s very involved in steering legislation to help farmers in GA. Now, how is that looking after Trial Lawyers??

Please show me examples of how he has ignored the needs of farmers.

Also, he’s on the steering committee for rural health care coalition which has helped provided needed funding and education for rural health care facilities.

FortPillow

August 19th, 2010
5:45 pm

Marshall needs to go. Southerners need to show the Muslim President we have had enough of his destroying our country. Real Americans should vote out the Man (Marshall) who voted for Nancy “The Swamp” Pelosi. Let’s take back our Christian Nation!

[...] who faces Republican insurance agent Austin Scott in November, also is fighting to keep his seat. AJC political writer Aaron Gould Sheinin recently reported on a Scott campaign poll that showed Marshall leading Scott 44 percent to 39 [...]

chachi

August 24th, 2010
3:17 pm

@FortPillow: You’re not being very Christian by repeating a lie. Obama is not a Muslim, he’s a Christian. See excerpt from Christianity Today article below. How is that a Muslim? Please show facts only. Like you, I disagree with many of Obama’s policies, but take it out on him in 2012, not Marshall in 2010.

<>

chachi

August 24th, 2010
3:18 pm

You’ve talked about your experience walking down the aisle at Trinity United Church of Christ, and kneeling beneath the cross, having your sins redeemed, and submitting to God’s will. Would you describe that as a conversion? Do you consider yourself born again?

I am a Christian, and I am a devout Christian. I believe in the redemptive death and resurrection of Jesus Christ. I believe that that faith gives me a path to be cleansed of sin and have eternal life. But most importantly, I believe in the example that Jesus set by feeding the hungry and healing the sick and always prioritizing the least of these over the powerful. I didn’t ‘fall out in church’ as they say, but there was a very strong awakening in me of the importance of these issues in my life. I didn’t want to walk alone on this journey. Accepting Jesus Christ in my life has been a powerful guide for my conduct and my values and my ideals.

There is one thing that I want to mention that I think is important. Part of what we’ve been seeing during the course of this campaign is some scurrilous e-mails that have been sent out, denying my faith, talking about me being a Muslim, suggesting that I got sworn in at the U.S. Senate with a Quran in my hand or that I don’t pledge allegiance to the flag. I think it’s really important for your readers to know that I have been a member of the same church for almost 20 years, and I have never practiced Islam. I am respectful of the religion, but it’s not my own. One of the things that’s very important in this day and age is that we don’t use religion as a political tool and certainly that we don’t lie about religion as a way to score political points. I just thought it was important to get that in there to dispel rumors that have been over the Internet. We’ve done so repeatedly, but obviously it’s a political tactic of somebody to try to provide this misinformation.

Brian M

August 25th, 2010
2:46 pm

Austin Scott lied and took money under false pretenses. He stole contributions from people all across Georgia – many of whom really couldn’t afford to donate – under the pretense of running for Governor. Once he got as much money as he could from those outside the 8th District, he suddenly announced that he was not running for Governor after all – and absconded with money from people outside the 8th. Not once has he offered to return those contributions – even though he was lying when he took them.