Here are the Maxwell Ratings’ computer-generated odds of winning the state championship for each of the 64 Class AA boys and girls playoff teams.
Like everyone else in the free world, Maxwell believes Wesleyan’s girls will win their sixth straight state championship, although it’s not much better than 50-50. Wesleyan won 58.21 of 100 computer simulations.
In the boys draw, there is perhaps a surprise. Greater Atlanta Christian is the AJC’s No. 1-ranked team, but Maxwell sees Westside of Augusta as a more likely winner. Westside wins 38.93 of computer simulations. GAC wins 30.6. Other teams are no better than about a 10-to-1 shot, according to Maxwell.
The odds are based on team strength, but also the difficulty of each team’s draw.
Here’s a definition of terms:
Rating = Strength of the team.
Draw = Strength of opponents this team might face. (Low number means a favorable draw.)
Wins=Number of times team would win out championship in 100 tries.
Odds = Chances of