The Maxwell ratings were used to simulate this year’s playoffs 1,000,000 times for each of the classifications. Each team is shown with its rating, class ranking, and number of times winning the state championship out of the 1,000,000 simulations.
Of the 14 remaining teams, the simulation identified seven at the beginning of the playoffs as the most likely championship game participants. Another four were identified as most likely semifinal participants.
During the playoffs, the Maxwell projections have been 142-36 (79.8%).