Maxwell Ratings: Winning odds for each state final

The Maxwell ratings were used to simulate this year’s playoffs 1,000,000 times for each of the classifications. Each team is shown with its rating, class ranking, and number of times winning the state championship out of the 1,000,000 simulations.

Of the 14 remaining teams, the simulation identified seven at the beginning of the playoffs as the most likely championship game participants. Another four were identified as most likely semifinal participants.

During the playoffs, the Maxwell projections have been 142-36 (79.8%).

AAAAAA
Team Rank Rating Wins
North Gwinnett 1 94.79 527,472
Norcross 2 93.69 472,528
AAAAA
Team Rank Rating Wins
Creekside 1 89.42 679,179
Tucker 2 81.92 320,821
AAAA
Team Rank Rating Wins
Griffin 1 90.27 668,409
Carrollton 3 83.26 331,591
AAA
Team Rank Rating Wins
Buford 1 91.67 511,748
Washington County 2 91.2 488,252
AA
Team Rank Rating Wins
Lovett 1 80.64 575,909
Lamar County 2 77.58 424,091
A-Public
Team Rank Rating Wins
Marion County 4 45.82 591,459
Charlton County 7 42.12 408,541
A-Private
Team Rank Rating Wins
Calvary Day 2 47.98 545,127
Aquinas 3 46.17 454,873

8 comments Add your comment

LUVIT

December 11th, 2013
5:10 pm

It seems these projections some how break down in sensible analysis in Class A.

bufwolvesden

December 11th, 2013
9:41 pm

Seems like Buford vs Waco game has all the hype

BcS2010

December 11th, 2013
10:46 pm

These dumb rankings had tucker losing to ware county and Gainsville as well..: lol this computer thing is dumb!

RobFromNorcross

December 11th, 2013
10:58 pm

@BcS2010 == you better hope that computer doesn’t decide to cut off your Internet access. :-)

CSRA706

December 12th, 2013
4:24 am

Computers been wrong about Aquinas all playoffs

RobFromNorcross

December 12th, 2013
8:49 am

@CSRA706 ==

Now you’ve gonna and done it, you pissed off the computers… Haven’t you ever seen Terminator?

Old Bear

December 12th, 2013
9:27 am

Carrollton and Tucker aren’t getting much computer love. I believe both have a better chance than 30+%..

ALL TUCKERRED UP

December 12th, 2013
1:40 pm

I’m soooo glad the computer is picking Creekside. Now I know Tucker will win.