Maxwell Ratings: Projected margin of victories for Week 12 games

Here is this week’s schedule with projected margins of victory, courtesy of the Maxwell Ratings. The projected winner is on the left. The projected margin of victory is on the right. The Maxwell computer ratings take into account historical scores, weighing the more recent seasons the most heavily. Games involving out-of-state teams are not included because of lack of data on those opponents.

Thursday’s games

Hardaway vs. Northside, Columbus -19

Metter at Long Co. -26

Perry at Howard -24

Spalding vs. Mount Zion, Jonesboro -12

Stephenson at North Atlanta -41

Friday’s games

Adairsville vs. Coahulla Creek -36

Alexander vs. Fayette Co. -23

Allatoona vs. East Paulding -10

Alpharetta vs. Johns Creek -38

Appling Co. vs. Southeast Bulloch -19

Aquinas vs. First Presbyterian -21

Athens Academy at Athens Christian -2

B.E.S.T. Academy at Douglass -24

Baconton Charter vs. KIPP Atlanta -15

Benedictine vs. McIntosh Co. Academy -38

Bleckley Co. vs. Northeast -14

Blessed Trinity at Cedar Grove -7

Bradwell Institute at Groves -19

Brooks Co. vs. Berrien -38

Brookstone vs. Greenville -27

Bryan Co. vs. Bacon Co. -20

Buford at North Hall -38

Cairo at Dougherty -38

Calhoun vs. Chattooga -41

Calhoun Co. vs. Stewart Co. -30

Callaway at Rockmart -36

Carrollton vs. LaGrange -35

Cartersville vs. Ringgold -18

Carver, Columbus vs. Jackson -39

Cass vs. Southeast Whitfield -9

Cedartown vs. Ridgeland -22

Chamblee vs. Washington -3

Chapel Hill vs. Jackson, Atlanta -6

Chattahoochee vs. Centennial -4

Chattahoochee Co. vs. Temple -13

Cherokee at Wheeler -9

Chestatee vs. Madison Co. -27

Christian Heritage at Fellowship Christian -12

Clarke Central vs. Cedar Shoals -16

Clarkston at North Cobb Christian -38

Clinch Co. vs. Turner Co. -22

Collins Hill at Mill Creek -10

Colquitt Co. at Camden Co. -3

Columbia vs. Banneker -15

Commerce at Pinecrest Academy -15

Coosa vs. Murray Co. -39

Creekside vs. Ola -41

Creekview vs. Sprayberry -21

Crisp Co. vs. Americus-Sumter -8

Cross Creek vs. Hephzibah -1

Dacula vs. Berkmar -20

Dalton at Gilmer -4

Darlington at Whitefield Academy -19

Dodge Co. vs. Swainsboro -5

Dooly Co. at Schley Co. -26

Douglas Co. vs. Tri-Cities -9

Dublin at Screven Co. -12

Dutchtown at North Clayton -15

Eagle’s Landing vs. Riverdale -22

ELCA at Landmark Christian -22

Early Co. at Cook -3

East Hall vs. Fannin Co. -18

Elbert Co. vs. Franklin Co. -40

Emanuel Co. Institute vs. Claxton -13

Gainesville vs. Flowery Branch -23

Georgia Military at Twiggs Co. -12

Glynn Academy vs. Jenkins -22

Grady vs. Lithonia -15

Grayson at Brookwood -1

Griffin vs. Woodland, Stockbridge -40

Hart Co. vs. North Oconee -10

Hawkinsville at Pacelli -7

Heard Co. vs. Bowdon -1

Hebron Christian vs. Towns Co. -6

Hughes at Westlake -18

Irwin Co. vs. Charlton Co. -7

Jefferson at Union Co. -29

Jenkins Co. at Glascock Co. -5

Johnson, Gainesville vs. LaFayette -12

Johnson, Savannah at Tattnall Co. -2

Johnson Co. vs. Calvary Day -4

Jones Co. vs. Grovetown -18

Jonesboro vs. Locust Grove -11

Kell at Cambridge -36

Kendrick vs. Spencer -7

Kennesaw Mountain at North Springs -24

King’s Ridge vs. Gordon Lee -14

Lamar Co. at Crawford Co. -42

Laney vs. Harlem -39

Lanier vs. Walnut Grove -37

Lassiter vs. Etowah -5

Lee Co. vs. Bainbridge -19

Liberty Co. at Richmond Academy -10

Lincoln Co. at Hancock Central -21

Loganville at Salem -5

Lovejoy at Alcovy -24

Lovett at Greater Atlanta Christian -1

M.L. King vs. Miller Grove -18

Macon Co. vs. Taylor Co. -13

Marietta at Harrison -11

Marion Co. vs. Central, Talbotton -41

Marist vs. Carver, Atlanta -22

Mary Persons at West Laurens -19

McEachern at Hillgrove -3

McIntosh vs. Drew -22

Milton at Woodstock -14

Model at Dade Co. -10

Monroe at Worth Co. -7

Monroe Area vs. Eastside -32

Monticello at Putnam Co. -1

Morgan Co. at Jackson Co. -7

Mount Paran vs. Trion -18

Mount Pisgah vs. Mount Zion, Carroll -37

Mountain View at Duluth -5

Mundy’s Mill vs. Northgate -5

New Manchester at Hiram -22

Newnan vs. East Coweta -6

Newton vs. Morrow -32

Norcross at Meadowcreek -42

North Cobb vs. Campbell -27

North Forsyth vs. South Forsyth -1

North Gwinnett vs. Peachtree Ridge -11

North Murray at Gordon Central -35

North Paulding vs. Villa Rica -25

Northside, Warner Robins vs. Evans -25

Northview vs. Riverwood -1

Northwest Whitfield at Pickens -8

Oconee Co. vs. East Jackson -17

Osborne at Forsyth Central 0

Our Lady of Mercy at Strong Rock Christian -34

Pace Academy vs. Mount Vernon Presbyterian -38

Parkview vs. South Gwinnett -3

Peach Co. at Southwest -38

Pepperell vs. Armuchee -24

Pierce Co. at Brantley Co. -28

Pike Co. vs. Central, Macon -21

Portal vs. Montgomery Co. -14

Prince Avenue vs. George Walton -15

Rabun Co. at Oglethorpe Co. -39

Richmond Hill vs. Windsor Forest -41

River Ridge vs. Heritage, Ringgold -14

Riverside Military at Greene Co. -1

Rockdale Co. at Druid Hills -21

Rome at Woodland, Cartersville -15

Savannah vs. Beach -13

Savannah Christian at Treutlen -8

Savannah Country Day vs. Wheeler Co. -9

Seminole Co. vs. Mitchell Co. -28

Sequoyah vs. Pope -14

Shiloh vs. Central Gwinnett -1

Sonoraville vs. Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe -17

South Cobb vs. Pebblebrook -2

South Effingham at Butler -19

South Paulding at Lithia Springs -40

Southwest DeKalb vs. Dunwoody -4

St. Pius vs. Decatur -13

Starr’s Mill vs. Forest Park -28

Statesboro at Glenn Hills -29

Stephens Co. vs. Lumpkin Co. -23

Stockbridge vs. Upson-Lee -31

Stone Mountain at Therrell -15

Telfair Co. vs. Wilcox Co. -3

Terrell Co. at Randolph-Clay -6

Thomas Co. Central at Harris Co. -16

Thomasville at Pelham -21

Thomson at Jefferson Co. -3

Tift Co. vs. Brunswick -10

Toombs Co. at Atkinson Co. -17

Towers at McNair -17

Troup vs. Shaw -21

Tucker at Mays -22

Valdosta vs. Coffee -15

Veterans vs. Baldwin -24

Vidalia vs. Jeff Davis -40

Walton vs. Roswell -17

Ware Co. at Effingham Co. -24

Warner Robins at Lakeside, Evans -13

Washington-Wilkes at Social Circle -42

Wayne Co. at Burke Co. -4

West Forsyth vs. Lambert -15

West Hall at Dawson Co. -6

Westminster at Hapeville Charter -41

Westside, Augusta vs. Josey -38

Westside, Macon vs. Rutland -13

White Co. at Banks Co. -41

Whitewater at Union Grove -12

Wilkinson Co. at Warren Co. -33

Winder-Barrow at Apalachee -3

Saturday’s games

Arabia Mountain vs. Lakeside, Atlanta -24

Houston Co. vs. Greenbrier -41

Manchester at Jordan -22

Redan vs. South Atlanta -11

Sandy Creek at Columbus -41

Westover at Albany -33

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26 comments Add your comment

stooge

November 7th, 2013
7:34 am

That 3 for Colquitt looks about right…might even need to be narrowed down more.

itsonlywrite

November 7th, 2013
8:28 am

wow.. they got Tucker by 22 over Mays(they aint gon like that lol) … we’ll see.

#ELEPHANTNATION

Jusfellofftheturniptruck

November 7th, 2013
8:37 am

Wow, gville by 23? Hope so, but seems a lil too optimistic!

raiderfan...FOR LIFE!

November 7th, 2013
8:43 am

ALLATOONA by 10 over my beloved EAST PAULDING RAIDERS,shows how far we have fallen,when are they going to wake up and fire this inept fool HC of ours,went to the game against SOUTH PAULDING two weeks ago,pitiful crowd there,obviously the fans have given up on CHUCK GODDARD

rwdekalb

November 7th, 2013
10:08 am

I hope the Stephenson coaches are thinking and don’t play Mr Rivers at all in their finale against N Atlanta. An injury to him in this game will mean a definite first round loss.

yesitis

November 7th, 2013
10:19 am

wow..they got Gainsville by 23 over Flowery Branch (they aint gon like that lol)…we’ll see.

region4fan

November 7th, 2013
10:43 am

I am surprised there is not more talk about the McEachern and Hillgrove game. Two one loss teams and one of these two will be travelling in the first round .

MLKReigns

November 7th, 2013
10:44 am

@AJC…………you have this about right. MLK needs to make a statement against Miller Grove to show the rest of 5A that MLK still can be, and still is a formidable opponent for anyone going into the playoffs.

That 1st round loss last year still resonates with the boys who experienced that and I am sure especially based on the way this season went, their desire is to make amends.

Good luck MLK.

Gainesville-Steve

November 7th, 2013
10:54 am

23 point spread by Gainesville over Flowery Branch AJC; Really???
The spread should be more like 42 points! Did you not see Gainesville on ESPN last week?
You think that hurry up offense and big play ability everytime the ball is snapped to D-Wat will only get a 3 TD differential between Gainesville and Branch? Come on AJC?? Not even close!

Gainesville is going to destroy Branch. This is a revenge game tomorrow and it is for the Region!
Did you mean 23 points differential per half?? That would be more like it.
I think Gainesville will send a message to the unlucky Reg 6 team coming up 985 next week by destroying Branch like they were at war. So MLK, Stephenson, Tucker or Mays whoever is coming up here, pay attention—————–
BOOOM!! TD pass by Watson while the opposing defense was too busy celebrating
BOOOM!! TD run by Watson………..look at that speed and power
BOOOM!! TD again by Gainesville. Region 6 has no clue what just hit them.

Region 5, just go ahead and forfeit now. Your time is coming!! BOOOM. Dang, another TD!!

Countryhawg

November 7th, 2013
11:16 am

I don’t agree with that Colquitt/Camden score. But, If history has shown us anything when those two get together it is well worth the price of admission. A top defense against a top running team. Colquitt passing against a not so good pass defense. I don’t think that Camden can put enough pressure on the QB to keep the QB from hitting the big plays, Camden is small on the front D line and will be exposed like N Gwinnett did. King will have a huge night, would not suprise me if he had over 200 yards runshing. Camden’s defense is good, but have not seen a balanced attack like Colquitts since N Gwinnett ran them out of the Ga Dome. This may be the first year in a long list to come that Colquitt runs away with this game. I don’t see Camden scoring 10, but I can see Colquitt puting up 30 or 40 to make a statement. If this game is closer than 20, Colquitts way, I will be off this site for 1 whole year and pay for a page in the Camden County newspaper apologizing. Won’t happen though. Colquitt 45 Camden 7 in a laugher in Kingsland.

WolfDawg

November 7th, 2013
11:54 am

WOW!!!! Predicting Buford over North Hall by 38!!!

I was thinking 28..

Just getting playoff ready.. #1 vs #7….

All the way THRU State!!!

THE "CANNON RULES"!!

November 7th, 2013
1:50 pm

@ raiderfan…FOR LIFE!…

The loss AT ROME was bad as EAST could have won this game, then coming home to “THE BONEYARD” another game EAST could have (and SHOULD HAVE) won…game was tied at the 2 minute mark! Oh well…COULDA…SHOULDA…WOULDA!!!!

I have been criticized, chastised and downright BLASTED on some previous blogs last week about venting against Coach Goddard…They accused me of “leading a charge” to “take away someone’s lively hood”…I was “informed” that Coach Goddard was responsible for last years UNDEFEATED season and he has a record of 17 / 4 right now and we are not giving him a chance!

Therefore in keeping a VERY open mind and to prove to myself that we are not being delusional about his coaching “style” I have made a VERY strong and concerted effort this last week to avoid ANY negative comments towards coaching and to look towards this Fridays game as a NEW opportunity for him to redeem himself to the RAIDER NATION.

EAST is once again back in control of it’s OWN future, they control their destiny…JUST WIN!!!

An EAST win tomorrow night and EAST gets the # 3 seed in Region 5 AAAAA…SO…

TICK…TICK…TICK…BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!

GO RAIDERS!!!

—> BEAT ALLATOONA!!! They are NOT 10 Points better than you!

Packerfan

November 7th, 2013
3:31 pm

countryhawg…youre insane. you need one of two things to beat camden in kingsland: 1) an all gwinnett team like norcross last year or 2) luck (the Pack in 2011)

TADOW!!!

November 7th, 2013
3:39 pm

MLK lost in the 2nd round last year. They beat Sequoyah then lost to Allatoona

Sportsnut

November 7th, 2013
3:51 pm

Calpreps says Camden over Colquitt 31-17
Valdosta over Coffee 27-26
Newnan over East Coweta 21-20
Mceachern over Hillgrove 35-22
Marietta over Harrison 42-17
Collins Hill over Mill Creek 38-21
Grayson over Brookwood 38-13
North Gwinnett over Peachtree Ridge 35-7

itsonlywrite

November 7th, 2013
4:14 pm

@Wolfdawg … I dont know man. North Hall kinda showed that they may not be ready for Buford when they lost to White Co. and had a close one with West Hall.

#ELEPHANTNATION

WolfDawg

November 7th, 2013
6:13 pm

@ its –

North will be just wanting to get outta this game healthy, so they can win 2-3 rounds in the playoffs.

Am hoping for a Buford – Washington County AAA Finals…. Since they are the Top 2 ranked teams in the state!!! Regardless of classification, that it!!

Countryhawg

November 7th, 2013
6:17 pm

Packerfan, not so fast my friend. Norcross was that much better than anyone last year. No need for the 2011 Packers. The Packers have the one thing that is difficult for Camden, a great defense, not just up front, but at linebackers, safety and corners. Offensively, the Packers have a running game and passing game to keep Camden from clock running. As I said Camden is too small up front defensively and offensively. Camden has trouble with balanced teams. The only advantage has is home field and the number of running backs. They have no passing game. Even with a passing game last year the Packers took that game and Norcross shut down the running and passing game. You heard it here first.

Herodotus

November 7th, 2013
6:58 pm

Waco is not #2 in the state. Maybe in your hopey changey poll.
Go ahead and look past Cartersville.

WolfDawg

November 7th, 2013
8:14 pm

WolfDawg

November 7th, 2013
8:20 pm

Here – My Bad – Cartersville is state ranked #59 not 11th

MADDBALL

November 7th, 2013
8:53 pm

@sportsnut camden scoring 31 pt on the packers? really? no team has scored 30 pts all season on the pack,,,not even HOOVER and their much better than Camden…oh well we shall see…

Countryhawg

November 8th, 2013
5:43 am

MADDBALL, I agree don’t see where the 31 points come from for Camden. Camden relies on special teams, turnovers and big plays. The Pack knows this and are well versed in shutting them down. Don’t see Camden clock running, this means a. Lot of 3 and outs. The Pack understands the importance of this game and what it means in checking off goals for the year. One game at a time.

ITISWHATITIS

November 8th, 2013
6:06 am

Well, game day is here. Huge games all around AAAAAA. None may be bigger than down in the most southeast corner of Ga. My old Navy shipmate in Kings Bay letting me use his sons reserved seat since his son is deployed. Stay safe out there. Colquitt/Camden region 1 title on the line, Pack fans need to turnout for this one. Went to the Lowndes/Camden game and was disappointed by the Vikings turnout, with so much on the line for that game, there was as many band members as fans. This one should be a good one. Defenses may be comparable, I give Colquitt the nod on the defensive front though. Colquitt gets the offensive edge, why? Because they have a balanced team offensively, they run and pass equally well. Camden gets the big play nod, they have between 5 or 6 backs that can take it the distance on offense or defense. Colquitt gets the kicking game nod, Camden’s kicking game is not that good. If both teams come to play, this will be like the last 2 games, unlike last year when the Camden QB had a high ankle injury and limited to movement in the pocket from the rush and the focus to stop #5, there are 5 or 6 different backs to focus on. But, because Camden cannot pass or have the sure threat of the pass, Colquitt in a close one. Will not predict a score, just think that Colquitt has too many intangibles for Camden to overcome.

THE "CANNON RULES"!!

November 8th, 2013
9:05 am

WELL….WELL…WELL… I see GHSF still has ROME predicted to be the # 4 seed in Region 5 AAAAA…They have ALLATOONA showing to beat EAST by 10 pts so it appears they have NO confidence that EAST can beat ALLATOONA tonight. Hmmmmm!

Well EAST entered it’s game last Friday night with winless LITHIA SPRINGS knowing it was staring at missing the playoffs for only the 2nd time since 05. With a loss to ROME a few weeks ago EAST had dug a hole that forced EAST to beat LITHIA SPRINGS last Friday and then go TO ALLATOONA tonight and win AGAIN! The problems at EAST this year have been no secret and many post have been made about them.

The air had seemingly gone out of the EAST balloon with the loss to SOUTH two weeks ago and you could tell it from the sparse attendance in the Home stands last week. EAST scored twice in the first 6 minutes and went on to win 34 / 0 with the CANNON firing and the smoke filling the air. Expecting one final game with ALLATOONA to end the season seemed likely…THEN suddenly the smoke cleared and a VILLA RICA team that EAST had beat 31 / 0 a few weeks before came to the rescue as their “D” held ROME who went for 2 after scoring a TD in OT and VILLA RICA beat ROME 21 / 20!!! EAST still had some LIFE left in the season after all.

Now the EAST team that was sure it was going to be on the outside looking in this year has it’s playoff fate SOLELY in it’s own hands. Not only can EAST make the playoffs BUT they can make it as the # 3 spot…and this is HUGE!!! The # 4 seed is going to have to play KELL at KELL, assuming KELL wins it’s “Play-In” game tonight!

So…EAST has to STOP all the bickering, FORGET about all the problems, pull themselves up and PRACTICE harder than they have all year and go into ALLATOONA with one thing on their mind…WIN!!!

Do this and they keep the playoff streak alive and live to play in the 1st Round of the State Playoffs. SO EAST…JUST WIN!!!

The EAST RAIDER NATION of cheering, bell ringing followers need to support this team and fill the visitors side tonight at ALLATOONA…So —>

Here’s hoping REGION 5 AAAAA will look like this in the morning:

# 1 / NORTH PAULDING with the 1st Region Championship in school history!
# 2 / SOUTH PAULDING
# 3 / EAST PAULDING
# 4 / ALLATOONA

Proud to be able to say again…

TICK…TICK…TICK…BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!

GO RAIDERS!!! —> BEAT ALLATOONA!!!!

Herodotus

November 8th, 2013
6:52 pm

A computer-generated poll is meaningless. And I’ll say it again pal, Cartersville gave that game to Buford last year.