It could be penthouse or outhouse for Etowah in Region 5

Perhaps no team in Georgia has more at stake on Friday than Etowah.

The Eagles (7-2, 4-2) will win Region 5-AAAAAA if they defeat Lassiter (6-3, 5-1), but they will drop to fifth place – and out of the state playoffs – if the four games this week in Region 5 are won by the teams that are higher in the standings.

That would be Lassiter over Etowah, Walton over Roswell, Milton over Woodstock and Cherokee over Wheeler.

The good news is that Etowah would win any tiebreakers in the event of a two-, three- or four-way tie for first place.

Other things to watch this week in AAAAAA …

- Colquitt County and Camden County are playing for the title in Region 1. Colquitt is ranked No. 1 and favored to win its first region title since 1999. Camden is seeking its 13th straight region title and second since moving to Region 1.

- Region 7 has four Top 10 teams but might not know its region champion until a Saturday coin toss among No. 3 North Gwinnett, No. 5 Norcross and No. 10 Collins Hill if each wins Friday. Norcross plays Meadowcreek. North Gwinnett plays No. 10 Peachtree Ridge. Collins Hill plays Mill Creek. Head-to-head would determine two-way ties. Norcross beat Collins Hill, which beat North Gwinnett, which beat Norcross.

- East Coweta (4-5, 2-2) might need to beat arch-rival Newnan (6-3, 3-1) in Region 3 to keep a long playoff streak going. East Coweta hasn’t missed the playoffs since 1996, the longest streak in the highest classification. East Coweta is bailed out if Tri-Cities beats Douglas County.

- Brookwood (4-5, 4-3) might need to beat arch-rival Grayson (4-5, 4-3) in Region 8 to keep a long playoff streak going. Brookwood hasn’t missed the playoffs since 2001, the longest streak among Gwinnett County AAAAAA teams. Brookwood is bailed out if Parkview beats South Gwinnett.

45 comments Add your comment

Applefan88

November 7th, 2013
10:23 am

In region 6, if Lambert beats West Forsyth, and South Forsyth beats North Forsyth how will the seeds be assigned? Alpharetta already is locked at #1

AAAAAA Football

November 7th, 2013
11:28 am

West Forsyth loss to Lambert; and South beat North
- Alpharetta -1
- West – 2
- South – 3
- Lambert – 4

West Forsyth loss to Lambert; and North beats South
- Alpharetta -1
- Lambert – 2
- West – 3
- North – 4

West Forsyth beats Lambert; and North or South Win
- Alpharetta -1
- West – 2
- North or South Winner – 3
- North or South Loser – 4

RobFromNorcross

November 7th, 2013
1:57 pm

My predictions for the first round of the AAAAAA playoffs… (based on my best guess as to the

Region 1 should win at least 3 of the 4 first round playoff games. Camden, and Colquitt will be 20+ point favorites at home and #3 Lowndes will about a 10 point favorite on the road against the #2 seed. #4 seed Valdosta at #1 seed Hughes is a toss-up and could go either way.

Region 4 will win at least 3 of the 4 games against Region 2 opponents. North Cobb, McEachern and Hillgrove will be 20+ point favorites against the Region 2 teams that don’t have the word “Joy” in their school name. The probable Marietta @ Lovejoy game will be a good matchup and Lovejoy will be favored by about a TD at home.

Region 7 will be favored in all four games against Region 5. North Gwinnett, Norcross, and Collins Hill will all be 2 TD favorites, and PTR will be a one TD favorite over whoever they face from Region 5. (the Region 7 and Region 5 seedings are all up in the air until tomorrow night and maybe till Saturday coin flips)

Region 8’s #1 seed Archer will be heavily favored over likely Region 6 #4 seed by about 20 points, Dacula will be a slight favorite at home against the Reg 6 #3 seed. Region 8’s #1 and #2 seeds Alpharetta and West Forsyth will be 2 TD favorites over the #3 and #4 from Region 8 whether they are Grayson, Brookwood or South Gwinnett.

So, the way I see it right now:
Region 1 will advance 3-4 teams (Colq, Camden, Lowndes, Valdosta?)
Region 2 will advance 1 team (Lovejoy)
Region 3 will advance 0-1 team (Hughes?)
Region 4 will advance 3 teams (N Cobb, Hillgrove, McEachern)

Region 5 will advance 0 teams
Region 6 will advance 2-3 teams (Alpharetta, West Forsyth, N or S Forsyth?)
Region 7 will advance 4 teams
Region 8 will advance 1-2 teams (Archer, Dacula?)

Titletown USA

November 7th, 2013
2:40 pm

That Valdosta/Hughes matchup with be huge…..we might find out what happens to a dream deferred! (for those who are actual fans of the poet Langston Hughes)

Sportsnut

November 7th, 2013
2:41 pm

That would be some tough luck for Etowah not to make the playoffs. Being ranked in the top 10 at one point and not going to the playoffs will be hard for those kids to take. Good luck to them .

RobFromNorcross

November 7th, 2013
3:12 pm

Imagine how Mill Creek must feel. They are currently at #13 and have a higher Maxwell ranking than ANY team in Regions 5,6 and 8. Plus, they would be a 2 TD favorite against the #2,3 and 4 seeds from Regions 2 and 3. And they are watching at home. They have losses to #2 North Gwinnett (by 3) #3 Norcross (by 14) and #7 PTR (by 1) — a total of 18 points. Talk about disappointment.

GwinnettDad

November 7th, 2013
3:25 pm

@RobFromNorcross – very astute observations, and I’m not really disagreeing with much of what you have to say. However, remember the 1-AAAAAA went 2-2 last year. We all fall for how unbeatable they seem to be. And Brookwood was involved in one of the largest upsets in playoff history in defeating #1 ranked and #1 seed Lassiter in the first round (only to lose by 35 to Mill Creek the next round). So, it seems clear: that’s why the games have to be played.

slim065

November 7th, 2013
3:48 pm

Just goes to show how important it is to win your region games and hopefully have a game or 2 out of region that really tests you.

RobFromNorcross

November 7th, 2013
4:19 pm

GwinnettDad- Last year Region 1 had to face Region 4 in the first round. This year they face Region 3. Region 4 is considerably stronger than Region 3.

Gabrownfam

November 7th, 2013
4:22 pm

Hey RobFromNorcross,

Mill Creek should have won their games. Everybody has to play their schedule. At least they have some moral victories to enjoy while watching from home. You play the hand you’re dealt.

RobFromNorcross

November 7th, 2013
4:43 pm

I am not making excuses for Mill Creek. They didn’t do what they had to do to be one of the top teams in the Region. They had their chances and blew them, including a 22 point collapse in the 4Q against North Gwinnett and a missed extra point that would have sent the PTR game to OT. Just pointing out that they must feel awful about it.

GwinnettDad

November 7th, 2013
6:17 pm

@RobfromNorcross – Mill Creek was rated 1 position higher in the recent MaxiPreps than 10-0 Archer. Brookwood, who MC beat 44-10, may make the playoffs. Archer beat Brookwood 25-20, not conclusive evidence, but a barometer of how good MC is. I do feel badly for MC.

richsethhardy

November 7th, 2013
6:29 pm

Which 1 seed would have the easiest road to the dome?

ppaddy123

November 7th, 2013
7:17 pm

@richsethhardy, since not all #1 seeds have been decided, I guess we’ll have to wait until after Friday and possibly Saturday if a coin toss is used for region 7

jc

November 7th, 2013
7:50 pm

Valdosta will beat Langston Hughes and I don’t paticular care for Valdosta, but I have to give it to them they have a good club. If the coaches don’t screw up the play calling they will go far. Valdosta should be undefeated. I am a Lowndes fan and they might get out of the first round.

RobFromNorcross

November 7th, 2013
8:14 pm

@jc == Second round for Lowndes if they make it will be at Lovejoy. Third round is Region 7’s #1 seed TBD. Tough road…

Sportsnut

November 7th, 2013
8:24 pm

@jc == Don’t take Hughes lightly. I’m glad we don’t get them in the first round. Reminds me of us a year ago.

Squirrell

November 7th, 2013
8:33 pm

jc…you’re RIGHT about the CATS! They were the best team we faced next to Hoover & Lovejoy.

Go Pack!

Region 5

November 7th, 2013
8:37 pm

If Milton is @ homemin the 1st then they will win a playoff gameni guarantee it.

westcobb5

November 7th, 2013
8:53 pm

Annual battle for Powder Springs tomorrow: McEachern @ Hillgrove. Winner likely will finish 2nd in region 4. If NC loses (not likely, but possible vs Campbell) winner wins region. Key to the game – Mac’s D. If they bring it, they likely win. If not, they likely lose. And D, by the way, is discipline.

Marietta fan

November 7th, 2013
8:57 pm

I hope our guys come out and take care of Harrison like we should. After our big win last week, we still have to beat Harrison to get into the playoffs. On paper it should be a 20 point game, but the games are played on the field. Sportsnut, I’m looking forward to hopefully make another trip to 12 Oaks or Alcovy. I’m pretty sure Lovejoy will win. I’m still hoping Campbell beats North Cobb so NC can be the 4 seed

westcobb5

November 7th, 2013
9:05 pm

@Marietta fan. If Campbell and Marietta win, who finishes where?

Marietta fan

November 7th, 2013
9:11 pm

Westcobb5…. If Marietta wins and NC loses, Marietta is 3rd and NC 4th and Hillgrove/Mceachern loser 2nd. Marietta gets 3rd over NC on class win %. We beat Newnan and NC lost to Walton.

westcobb5

November 7th, 2013
9:19 pm

@Marietta fan. Thx . . . and good luck tomorrow. The region was very competitive this year. Not a lot of drop off between 1st and 4th. On any given Friday . . .

Suwanee 0wns

November 7th, 2013
9:25 pm

Very nice analysis, Rob.

Yet, the playoffs are always full of surprises. Hughes could be a surprise. Not that Valdosta is weak, just that we have no evidence about how strong Hughes might be. I am guessing they are a bit stronger than everyone thinks, and they could easily be a surprise team in the playoff.

I also think the teams in Region 6 could be stronger than expected. Student populations in those schools have risen at phenominal rates. That usually leads to bigger, faster, better players who can make a difference in big games. In particular, I think the Forsyth teams are poised to become playoff contenders over the next few years. It is quite similar to how population growth has led to stronger teams in Gwinnett and Hall counties. I think the Region 8 teams are probably stronger than expected but they may be running into a Region 6 ambush. There could be some sleeper teams out of both regions.

It sure seems as though Region 4 has some teams capable of going all the way. I would love to see Cobb have some success this year. But, we will see.

Both Regions 2 and 3 have only one team likely to make it out of the first round. The question is how far do they go before being put out (if at all). I think Lovejoy has a tough path, and Hughes has a relatively easy path.

Are there any 3 or 4 seeds that could go deep? Valdosta, Hillgrove, Peachtree Ridge or whoever the 3 and 4 seeds are from Regions 1, 4, and 7. PRidge already won a State Championship from the 3 or 4 seed (I forget which) and they may be poised to do it again. Given how tough PRidge is playing, North Gwinnett could easily be the 4 seed from Region 7. This is really going to be fun this year.

As many have said, this year is “wide open” and it is going to be very exciting for the teams and fans.

AlphaDog

November 7th, 2013
11:12 pm

Agree with Region 5 — If Milton takes out Woodstock and has their first playoff game at home they’ll definitely be in the game and have a good chance to move on. The team is as athletic and as well coached as any team in any division in the state. If they hadn’t lost Paulk in Game 2 they would still be rated in the top 10. That said, they’ve learned to compensate for injuries and have talent across all the key positions. Where they don’t have size they have a lot of heart and finesse. Don’t count them out. It all depends on how hungry they are, maintaining the killer instinct and not letting up from the first kickoff. If the offense can score the defense knows how to shut things down on the other side of scrimmage. I would say they are plenty hungry to earn some respect.

Sportsnut

November 8th, 2013
6:28 am

@ Marietta Fan == Good luck to you guy’s tonight. Big game for you. We have a big one ourselves. We would like home field throughout but we never know. Alcovy will be ready to play. They are home and would love to win their first region against Lovejoy.

I know you would like the short drive to us as opposed to trekking down 75 past us. Indeed, you and the Blue Devils are welcome. Take care of business and we will see you next week. (Like I said, the team won’t be as nice on the field).

Drock13

November 8th, 2013
7:05 am

Anyone who is doubting Hughes is crazy. I have seen Griffin, Sandy Creek, Carrollton, Newnan, Callaway, and Norcross live this year. That Hughes defense is by far the best out of the group. If Valdosta QB is slow like I’ve heard alot on this blog then them two DE will have a field day. Hughes have the best DE I have seen this year and that include the DE from Norcross. Hughes destroyed a EC team that should have beat both Archer and Lovejoy

Drock13

November 8th, 2013
7:06 am

Also we hear every year how region 1 will dominate in the playoffs by region bloggers…. Same talk. Same results. Make good conversation

Jimb

November 8th, 2013
8:26 am

MC state playoff is tonite, they beat Collins Hill and they prove where they belong. The positive is they return a monster team next year. Everyone knows they belong and would go deep but the rules are clear and they wouldn’t want to play in any other region. This is the SEC of high school football

New Kids On The Block

November 8th, 2013
9:35 am

@ Sportsnut and @ Drock13

thank you for your support of the Langston Hughes Panthers. We will deal with Valdosta next week. Right now, we are focused on taking care of business at Westlake tonight. Good luck to all in their games tonight.

NGHS 09

November 8th, 2013
10:48 am

@ jimb… Mill Creek just needs to beat NG and/or Norcross in the same season. Once they get over that hump…they will contend for a region title every year. They need to experience that feeling of beating the two teams they always lose to. It’s like riding a bike… I can’t wait to see their defense next year. Probability would have it that MC starts to win the big games next year. They’ve been knocking on the door for the last 4 years. However, they need a new head coach. I know Jarvis and respect him tremendously, but he’s out of his league in this region. RobFromNorcross posted earlier about how close MC was this year to a perfect season. They should have beat PTR and NG. He’s right LOL. I’ve watched the NG game a couple times since and the play calling in the 4 qrt for MC was AWFUL.

Eli from Auburn

November 8th, 2013
12:51 pm

Valdosta’s QB is a sophomore who is playing only because the starting QB was injured and out for the season. I have seen them (streaming only) playing Lowndes and both CC’s and they could have won those games but primarily because of the defense. If the QB was more experienced, those running backs would really be outstanding. Hughes also has a great defense so this game could be decided by mistakes and breaks.

GwinnettDad

November 8th, 2013
1:02 pm

Brookwood’s season could end tonight. I’m hoping it doesn’t. The QB for Brookwood is the younger brother of the fellow who won the State with a 14-1 record. If Brookwood loses, they’ll be 4-6. Would you want to go through life knowing your brother won 10 more high school games in his Senior year than you did? The father of both is the coach of the offense. Can you imagine the pressure on this young man tonight? Football is a team game, and Brookwood won’t be able to run the ball. That’s not the QB’s fault in a run oriented offense. So the game rests entirely on the QB’s ability to pass for a team afraid to throw over the middle and that doesn’t use a tight end. Grayson knows it. Everybody that plays Brookwood knows it. I’m not looking forward to watching this game.

ppaddy123

November 8th, 2013
1:57 pm

@Eli from Auburn, like you, I have seen the Valdosta QB play. I think the Valdosta coaches have asked a lot from him this year. I don’t know if the term “battle hardened” applies, but he definitely seems more comfortable in passing situations (it helps having a good running game). Moving forward, Valdosta will have an experienced QB for 2 more years because of the dues this kid has paid now.

57Cat

November 8th, 2013
2:17 pm

Valdosta’s QB, Seth Shuman, came equipped with physical skills, but where he has really improved is in his processing skills. Because of that, he is able to handle the pressure better (that is, he can avoid sacks now that he could not earlier), make fewer mental mistakes, and click to his second and third reads quicker. Coach G will have a real challenge on his hands next year with a plethora of skilled athletes at the QB position.

If the Cats beat Hughes, who would they likely play in the 2nd Round?

Ddawgdaddy

November 8th, 2013
2:36 pm

At WestCobb, I believe the D may have already gotten McEachern. Rumor has it that several players have been suspended from tonight”s game.

ITISWHATITIS

November 8th, 2013
2:52 pm

ppaddy123,
I agree nothing like trial by fire. Having that defense has been beneficial for his growth as well. He seems more comfortable with not having to try to make the big play and trusting that dual headed running attack behind him. I think that when they started to move the pocket during passing situations has helped also. Earlier on they were trying to keep him in the pocket and this was not his strength nor his comfort zone. When he has to pass having #11 is a good thing. Only saw Hughes play three times, a loss to Creekside a 5A school and wins in region East Coweta and Newnan, hard to say based on the two teams they played in region, Creekside handled Westlake and Tri-Cites as well. Don’t think that their region has the same competitive teams that Valdosta faced in and out of region play. It will be a good game though.

RobFromNorcross

November 8th, 2013
2:58 pm

@57Cat — The winner of Valdosta/Hughes will likely face the Reg4-#3 seed in the second round. This will probably be the loser of the McEachern/Hillgrove game tonight. (The winner of that game will get the 2 seed assuming North Cobb handles Campbell tonight to claim the #1 seed in Reg4)

camdenfan2013

November 8th, 2013
4:26 pm

Chris Gilman is going to be rocking tonight. Revenge is best served cold. Looking forward to a Wildcats victory tonight.

ppaddy123

November 8th, 2013
5:50 pm

does anyone know if the Camden-Colquitt game will be streamed live?

GwinnettDad

November 8th, 2013
6:10 pm

@ppaddy123 – csssports.com has it as the featured game in Georgia.

ppaddy123

November 8th, 2013
6:22 pm

@GwinnettDad thanks for the info

NGHS 09

November 8th, 2013
7:16 pm

Can anyone explain to me why the NG vs PTR is the only game on the NFHS Network that’s being live-streamed, but can’t be viewed unless a subscription is purchased?

Tommydawg22

November 8th, 2013
10:10 pm

To many turnovers for my packers tonite…I guess we will have to work thru a harder bracket…good game Camden