Maxwell Ratings: Projected margin of victories for Week 10 games

Here is this week’s schedule with projected margins of victory, courtesy of the Maxwell Ratings. The projected winner is on the left. The projected margin of victory is on the right. The Maxwell computer ratings take into account historical scores, weighing the more recent seasons the most heavily. Games involving out-of-state teams are not included because of lack of data on those opponents.

Thursday’s games

Alcovy vs. Druid Hills -25

Callaway vs. B.E.S.T. Academy -27

Luella at Morrow -22

Westside, Macon vs. Perry -15

Friday’s games

Allatoona vs. Hiram -32

Alpharetta vs. Lambert -22

Appling Co. at Tattnall Co. -21

Aquinas at Warren Co. -41

Archer vs. South Gwinnett -22

Athens Christian vs. Pinecrest Academy -12

Bainbridge vs. Northside, Columbus -34

Blessed Trinity at McNair -38

Bowdon vs. Bremen -19

Brooks Co. at Cook -16

Brookwood vs. Berkmar -15

Bryan Co. at Atkinson Co. -34

Buford at Fannin Co. -42

Cairo vs. Americus-Sumter -17

Calhoun vs. Armuchee -41

Calvary Day vs. Claxton -16

Cambridge at North Springs -21

Camden Co. at Brunswick -23

Campbell vs. Kennesaw Mountain -8

Carrollton at Alexander -33

Cartersville at Adairsville -29

Carver, Atlanta vs. Washington -2

Carver, Columbus at Central, Macon -36

Cedar Shoals vs. Winder-Barrow -13

Cedartown at Cass -14

Central, Carrollton at Jackson, Atlanta -15

Chapel Hill vs. Haralson Co. -19

Cherokee vs. Roswell -8

Chestatee vs. Lumpkin Co. -31

Clarkston vs. Cross Keys -29

Clinch Co. vs. Charlton Co. -4

Colquitt Co. vs. Valdosta -10

Commerce at Hebron Christian -33

Creekside vs. McIntosh -19

Creekview at Forsyth Central -27

Dacula vs. Shiloh -13

Dade Co. vs. Murray Co. -37

Dalton at Heritage, Ringgold -39

Darlington vs. Mount Zion, Carroll -35

Decatur vs. Towers -12

Dooly Co. vs. Pacelli -5

Drew at Mount Zion, Jonesboro -32

Dublin at Harlem -24

Duluth vs. Habersham Central -31

Dunwoody at North Atlanta -15

Eagle’s Landing vs. Locust Grove -18

ELCA at Strong Rock Christian -41

East Hall vs. Banks Co. -27

Eastside at Walnut Grove -28

Emanuel Co. Institute vs. Johnson Co. -6

Etowah vs. Woodstock -13

First Presbyterian at Wilkinson Co. -5

Fitzgerald at Early Co. -9

Flowery Branch vs. Clarke Central -1

George Walton Academy vs. Athens Academy -14

Gilmer vs. River Ridge -25

Glenn Hills vs. Cross Creek -22

Glynn Academy at Effingham Co. -4

Grady at South Atlanta -39

GAC vs. Hapeville Charter -42

Greene Co. vs. Oglethorpe Co. -17

Griffin vs. Upson-Lee -34

Hancock Central at Georgia Military -17

Harris Co. at Lee Co. -5

Hart Co. vs. Elbert Co. -13

Hawkinsville at Greenville -24

Heard Co. at Temple -40

Henry Co. vs. Southwest, Macon -17

Hillgrove vs. Harrison -14

Houston Co. at Evans -14

Hughes at East Coweta -6

Irwin Co. vs. Turner Co. -14

Jackson Co. vs. Oconee Co. 0

Jeff Davis at Long Co. -3

Jefferson vs. Social Circle -42

Jenkins vs. Windsor Forest -27

Johnson, Savannah at Brantley Co. -12

Kell vs. Sprayberry -39

King’s Ridge at Fellowship Christian -11

Lakeside, Evans at Jones Co. -8

Lakeview Academy at North Cobb Christian -30

Lamar Co. at Bleckley Co. -21

Laney vs. Josey -41

Lanier vs. Stephens Co. -10

Lassiter at Wheeler -16

Lincoln Co. vs. Twiggs Co. -35

Loganville vs. Heritage, Conyers 0

Lovejoy at Newton -26

Lovett vs. Wesleyan -41

Lowndes vs. Tift Co. -4

Macon Co. vs. Monticello -20

Manchester vs. Kendrick -7

Marietta vs. South Cobb -22

Marion Co. at Brookstone -12

Marist at Stone Mountain -35

Mary Persons at Baldwin -18

Metter at McIntosh Co. Academy -3

Miller Co. at Stewart Co. -36

Mitchell Co. at Calhoun Co. -19

Model at Coosa -5

Monroe vs. Crisp Co. -3

Monroe Area at Madison Co. -36

Morgan Co. at Franklin Co. -24

Mount Paran Christian vs. Mount Pisgah Christian -2

Mountain View at Meadowcreek -18

Mundy’s Mill vs. Union Grove -6

New Manchester at Villa Rica -6

Newnan at Douglas Co. -8

Norcross vs. Peachtree Ridge -13

North Clayton vs. Spalding -10

North Cobb at Pebblebrook -33

North Forsyth vs. Centennial -14

North Gwinnett vs. Collins Hill -21

North Hall vs. West Hall -13

North Murray at Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe -5

North Oconee vs. East Jackson -38

North Paulding vs. Paulding Co. -29

Northeast at Crawford Co. -39

Northside, Warner Robins at Greenbrier -42

Northwest Whitfield at Southeast Whitfield -23

Ola vs. Forest Park -2

Our Lady of Mercy vs. Mount Vernon Presbyterian -36

Pace Academy vs. Holy Innocents’ -5

Parkview vs. Central Gwinnett -1

Peach Co. vs. Pike Co. -11

Pelham at Berrien -8

Pepperell vs. Chattooga -7

Pickens at Johnson, Gainesville -27

Pierce Co. vs. Savannah -24

Portal at Savannah Country Day -3

Rabun Co. at Union Co. -19

Richmond Academy at Butler -23

Richmond Hill at Bradwell Institute -21

Ridgeland at LaFayette -32

Ringgold at Coahulla Creek -39

Riverdale vs. Jonesboro -11

Riverside Military at Glascock Co. -15

Riverwood at Pope -3

Rockmart vs. Douglass -11

Rome at Lithia Springs -34

Rutland vs. Howard -29

Salem vs. Apalachee -13

Sandy Creek vs. LaGrange -33

Savannah Christian at Jenkins Co. -29

Schley Co. vs. Central, Talbotton -25

Screven Co. vs. East Laurens -23

Seminole Co. vs. Randolph-Clay -40

Sequoyah vs. Northview -1

Shaw vs. Columbus -17

Sonoraville vs. Gordon Central -32

South Forsyth vs. Johns Creek -25

South Paulding at East Paulding -10

Southeast Bulloch vs. Beach -25

Spencer vs. Chattahoochee Co. -19

St. Francis vs. Towns Co. -30

St. Pius vs. Woodward Academy -9

Starr’s Mill at Northgate -3

Statesboro vs. South Effingham -34

Stephenson at M.L. King -15

Stockbridge vs. Woodland, Stockbridge -35

Taylor Co. at Putnam Co. -1

Telfair Co. vs. Lanier Co. -9

Thomas Co. Central vs. Hardaway -39

Treutlen vs. Wheeler Co. -14

Trion at Gordon Lee -15

Troup vs. Fayette Co. -17

Tucker at Miller Grove -38

Veterans vs. West Laurens -24

Vidalia vs. Bacon Co. -28

Walker at Whitefield Academy -1

Walton at Milton -2

Ware Co. vs. Groves -41

Warner Robins vs. Grovetown -32

Washington Co. at Thomson -34

Wayne Co. vs. Liberty Co. -13

West Forsyth vs. Chattahoochee -16

Westlake at Tri-Cities -13

White Co. vs. Dawson Co. -19

Wilcox Co. vs. Swainsboro -9

Worth Co. vs. Albany -8

Saturday’s games

Arabia Mountain at Southwest DeKalb -12

Banneker at Therrell -25

Chamblee at Lithonia -9

Columbia vs. Redan -34

Mays vs. Lakeside, Atlanta -24

Westover vs. Dougherty -37

Produced by Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

15 comments Add your comment

MoMo98

October 24th, 2013
7:48 am

South Paulding by 10 over East Paulding in the Bone Yard! WOW! Come on East fans! Get behind your guys! Get after it these next 3 and win out you have some tie breakers, and you can host a playoff game! Don’t go down this way with out a fight! Get your respect back! South can’t win if you make them rely on the pass. Stop 3 from running and force him to throw and you stop them! Ask North, he had over 100 but 80 was on one play in first half! Didn’t complete a pass over 10 yards all night! Do not focus on the doubters, you guys are a couple of breaks away from being undefeated! You guys are talented enough to make a push here at the end to turn it around. North’s coach had a worse track record than the coach you have now and look what happen? It’s belief and execution! Good luck! Make a statement this week that the pride is back, and don’t let it go down this way!

Dv1

October 24th, 2013
9:14 am

Arabia Mountain plays Dunwoody

THE "CANNON RULES"!!

October 24th, 2013
9:43 am

@ MoMo98…

Glad to see someone posting positive thoughts about EAST…BUT a reality check shows that while I agree with you that the current team COULD have gone UNDEFEATED and COULD win this game against SOUTH, as depressing as it is for me to say I don’t see that happening. At least not tomorrow night and not under the handicap EAST is playing under with this COACH in charge!

Additionally I am hearing rumors (mind you unverified rumors) that EAST will be again playing WITHOUT their starting QB. If that is true the 10 point loss spread will be VERY conservative and SOUTH will win in a blowout!

I’ll be sitting there as I have now for 6+ years and bell ringing, cheering and hoping BUT the only hope EAST has for the #4 playoff spot (baring a very odd loss by ROME) is to win out and that means beating SOUTH tomorrow night in “THE BONEYARD”, then next week also at home against LITHIA SPRINGS (I wonder if a loss to LITHIA at home would be enough to get ole’ COACH GODDARD fired? Hmmm!), then another HUGE mountain to climb will be beating ALLATOONA at Allatoona!!

Unfortunately the realistic end for this years EAST team is probably going to be 6 / 4 and missing the playoffs for the only the 2nd time since 05.

Coaching candidates for 2014 PLEASE go to http://www.eastpauldingfootball.com and click the boosters tab then send your resumes to the club President, V.P. & Alumni Association..can’t hurt and maybe this will get the ball rolling! .

TICK…TICK…TICK…BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!

GO RAIDERS!!!

raiderfan...FOR LIFE!

October 24th, 2013
10:12 am

agree 100% with the above post”THE CANNON RULES”!!,as a die hard EAST PAULDING fan we have to get rid of this joker CHUCK GODDARD, guy is totally overmatched(would probably be overmatced coaching pee wee league) if no change is made i predict this fool will take us back down to levels we havn’t seen since the mid 90’s when we were a joke and laughinstock, FIRE COACH GODDARD NOW!!!

Piratenation

October 24th, 2013
10:17 am

upset alert in Brunswick tomorrow night, 23 pionts really??????? they are not 23 pionts better than them pirates
#piratenation

MoMo98

October 24th, 2013
12:28 pm

I hear you guys. /Cannon Rules/ Raider fan/. But for lets not forget that were dealing with kids here and they feed off the vibe around them. It may be a long shot if your QB doesn’t play, but according to his Dad, who I know personally, said he is, you can’t give up the ship on this season yet. I have seen you and South play this year. You got enough to win! Stop the run and stop them! You guys can go toe to toe and beat them if you have no turnovers. If South has to pass to win , you got em. I don’t pretend to know the coaching situation there but the kids don’t have a choice in the matter and they are going to feed off the vibe of the crowd. Hopefully the kids will choose to fight and not lay down because just for the sake of Paulding County football, I would like to see as many Paulding county teams in the state playoffs as possible.

Sportsnut

October 24th, 2013
12:28 pm

Going off script. I never predict with scores. Don’t predict much at all. I’m going to give it a try.
Here goes : Camden over Brunswick, 35-10
Colquitt over Valdosta, 24-17
Lowndes loses to Tift, 24-27
Norcross over The Ridge, 28-14
North Gwinnett over Collins Hill, 34-17
I wonder how I will do.

57Cat

October 24th, 2013
7:35 pm

@Sportsnut – I like your predictions, except for the Colquitt – Cats out. Get in touch with your feelings again and see if you can’t come up with something more like Cats 28, Colquitt 27. Remember, I don’t care what all the other guys say about you, I’m still your buddy.

Squirrell

October 24th, 2013
7:55 pm

Vikes beat Cats 3-0!

Pack beat Vikes 37-7!

Unless Cat D plays “out-of-their-mind”, I don’t see them stopping the Pack O enough to keep them in the game.

My prediction…..Pack 28 – Cats 14

itsonlywrite

October 25th, 2013
1:26 am

@Sportsnut .. I think North Gwinnett might actually get into a hole that they cant get out of this time.

#ELEPHANTNATION

Sportsnut

October 25th, 2013
4:58 am

@ 57Cat == I thought about it and I think they win it late. Should be a good game. There is one thought that keeps gnawing at me and that is Colquitt throws the ball. Not a lot but it is in their game plan. It will be the coldest night yet for football. That ball is going to get hard. Fingers are going to be cold. That could work in Valdosta’s favor. Running game for both teams.

Sportsnut

October 25th, 2013
5:04 am

@ itsonlywrite == Maybe. It is time to crank up the running game. Depending on how well North’s passing game functions in tonight’s cold, C.J. will need a good game. I know CH throws but I know nothing of their running game. Either way, the weather plays a roll tonight.

Ballcoach

October 25th, 2013
9:49 am

@itsonlywrite collins hill has a solid running back and a terrible Oline, It will be a shootout like last years game until CH gets tired, Then Legette and the browns will get rolling!!!!

Sportsnut

October 25th, 2013
11:53 pm

Got 2 of 4. I think I will leave that to others.
@ itsonlywrite == You called it.

itsonlywrite

October 26th, 2013
7:46 am

@Sportsnut… yeah man. I didn’t expect to put that many points up on em though. North Gwinnett had big play after big play last night even when they were losing. The playoffs are gonna be crazy.

#ELEPHANTNATION