Maxwell Ratings: Projected margin of victories for Week 7 games

Here is this week’s schedule with projected margins of victory, courtesy of the Maxwell Ratings. The projected winner is on the left. The projected margin of victory is on the right. The Maxwell computer ratings take into account historical scores, weighing the more recent seasons the most heavily. Games involving out-of-state teams are not included because of lack of data on those opponents.

Friday’s games

Adairsville vs. North Murray -21

Alcovy vs. Newton -2

Alexander vs. Shaw -2

Allatoona vs. New Manchester -15

Aquinas at Hancock Central -15

Archer at Shiloh -25

B.E.S.T. Academy at Haralson Co. -9

Bacon Co. at Long Co. -22

Baconton Charter at North Cobb Christian -28

Baldwin vs. Rutland -8

Benedictine vs. Bryan Co. -18

Berkmar vs. South Gwinnett -1

Bleckley Co. at Crawford Co. -40

Bowdon vs. Jordan -40

Bremen vs. Kendrick -6

Brooks Co. vs. Thomasville -10

Brookstone at Pacelli -21

Brookwood at Dacula -1

Buford at West Hall -41

Callaway at Chapel Hill -22

Calvary Day at Savannah Country Day -25

Camden Co. at Coffee -14

Carrollton vs. Fayette Co. -40

Cartersville at Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe -39

Carver, Atlanta vs. Banneker -2

Cedar Grove vs. Towers -21

Cedartown vs. River Ridge -21

Central, Macon vs. Southwest -7

Chamblee at Redan -14

Charlton Co. vs. Turner Co. -15

Chestatee vs. Johnson, Gainesville -36

Christian Heritage at Gordon Lee -1

Clarke Central at Salem -22

Coahulla Creek vs. Gordon Central -7

Colquitt Co. vs. Tift Co. -19

Commerce at Athens Christian -1

Creekside at Starr’s Mill -26

Dalton vs. Ridgeland -10

Dawson Co. vs. Banks Co. -27

Drew at Forest Park -13

Dublin at East Laurens -23

Dutchtown vs. Locust Grove -14

Early Co. vs. Berrien -22

Effingham Co. vs. Windsor Forest -21

Elbert Co. vs. Oconee Co. -20

Emanuel Co. Institute at Wheeler Co. -35

Evans at Greenbrier -25

First Presbyterian at Georgia Military -26

Fitzgerald at Cook -10

Flowery Branch vs. Apalachee -23

Forsyth Central vs. North Springs -24

Gainesville vs. Cedar Shoals -36

George Walton vs. Hebron Christian -40

Grady vs. Therrell -33

Grayson at Central Gwinnett -13

Greater Atlanta Christian vs. Thomson -13

Greene Co. at Social Circle -29

Greenville at Central, Talbotton -28

Harrison at Kennesaw Mountain -12

Hart Co. vs. East Jackson -40

Hawkinsville vs. Dooly Co. -2

Heard Co. vs. Chattahoochee Co. -27

Hephzibah at Butler -2

Heritage, Conyers vs. Winder-Barrow -24

Hillgrove at Pebblebrook -30

Hiram vs. Lithia Springs -10

Holy Innocents’ vs. Mount Vernon Presbyterian -39

Irwin Co. at Telfair Co. -25

Jackson, Atlanta vs. Rockmart -1

Jackson Co. vs. Franklin Co. -1

Jefferson at Washington-Wilkes -5

Jefferson Co. vs. Dodge Co. -24

Jenkins at Bradwell Institute -6

Jonesboro vs. North Clayton -19

Kell vs. Riverwood -33

LaGrange vs. Columbus -28

Lakeside, Evans at Grovetown -17

Lamar Co. at Northeast -21

Landmark Christian vs. Our Lady of Mercy -21

Laney at Screven Co. -7

Lee Co. at Hardaway -20

Liberty Co. at Glenn Hills -23

Lincoln Co. vs. Warren Co. -40

Lovejoy at Rockdale Co. -27

Lovett vs. Washington Co. -9

Lowndes at Brunswick -9

Luella at Druid Hills -17

Macon Co. vs. Putnam Co. -16

Manchester at Temple -35

Marion Co. at Schley Co. -33

Marist vs. Columbia -21

Mary Persons vs. Westside, Macon -10

McEachern at Campbell -36

McIntosh Co. Academy vs. Toombs Co. -10

Metter at Jeff Davis -23

Mill Creek vs. Meadowcreek -41

Miller Co. at Calhoun Co. -10

Milton vs. Etowah -8

Mitchell Co. vs. Randolph-Clay -18

Monticello vs. Taylor Co. -3

Mount Paran Christian vs. King’s Ridge Christian -18

Mount Pisgah Christian vs. Walker -11

Mundy’s Mill vs. Mount Zion, Jonesboro -21

Norcross at Habersham Central -41

North Cobb vs. South Cobb -20

North Gwinnett at Duluth -40

North Hall vs. East Hall -34

North Oconee at Morgan Co. -13

Northside, Warner Robins vs. Houston Co. -25

Northview vs. Cambridge -18

Northwest Whitfield at Heritage, Ringgold -38

Pace Academy vs. Strong Rock Christian -30

Peach Co. vs. Henry Co. -21

Peachtree Ridge at Collins Hill -4

Perry at West Laurens -6

Pickens vs. Cass -4

Pierce Co. at Appling Co. -3

Pike Co. at Jackson -8

Pope vs. Osborne -13

Portal vs. Jenkins Co. -19

Prince Avenue Christian at Athens Academy -8

Rabun Co. vs. Riverside Military -19

Richmond Hill vs. Groves -38

Ringgold at Sonoraville -27

Rome at Paulding Co. -14

Sandy Creek vs. Troup -33

Savannah at Southeast Bulloch -2

Savannah Christian vs. Claxton -15

Seminole Co. at Terrell Co. -33

Sequoyah vs. Creekview -3

South Effingham at Cross Creek -19

South Paulding at North Paulding -9

Southeast Whitfield at LaFayette -11

St. Francis at Cross Keys -38

St. Pius vs. McNair -40

Statesboro vs. Swainsboro -38

Stockbridge vs. Eagle’s Landing -8

Stone Mountain vs. Lithonia -6

Tattnall Co. vs. Brantley Co. -15

Thomas Co. Central at Bainbridge -20

Treutlen at Montgomery Co. -12

Union Co. vs. Oglethorpe Co. -13

Union Grove at Ola -21

Upson-Lee at Spalding -16

Veterans vs. Howard -37

Vidalia vs. Atkinson Co. -40

Walton vs. Lassiter -13

Ware Co. vs. Glynn Academy -19

Warner Robins at Jones Co. -15

Washington at South Atlanta -31

Wayne Co. vs. Burke Co. -2

Wesleyan vs. Lakeview Academy -36

Westside, Augusta vs. Harlem -11

Wheeler vs. Roswell -3

Whitefield Academy at Fellowship Christian -14

Whitewater vs. Northgate -11

Wilcox Co. at Lanier Co. -31

Wilkinson Co. at Twiggs Co. -20

Woodstock at Cherokee -5

Woodward Academy vs. Decatur -17

Saturday’s game

Griffin vs. Riverdale -30

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14 comments Add your comment

Son Of Waco

October 3rd, 2013
10:40 am

A 9 point spread is mad disrespectful to a WACO team that haven’t scored less than 38 points per game and haven’t allowed more than 7 only once (most of those points are B team points) A Lovett team that couldn’t stop our spread last year and haven’t faced athletes like WACO have at the playmaker position this year.. Just shocked by the point spread…

Todd Holcomb

October 3rd, 2013
11:31 am

WACO won by 13 points last season. That Lovett team was 2-3. This Lovett team is 5-0 and has beaten four Top 10 teams in higher classifications. Also, Lovett beat St. Pius 28-7. It was 28-0 at halftime. Who beat WACO in the playoffs last season? I think it was St. Pius.

I’m not predicting the outcome, but the 9-point spread sounds about right when you consider all that.

gm1957

October 3rd, 2013
11:34 am

Camden is so “run” driven, only one pass play last week against Valdosta… Coffee will not make the same mistakes as last week for sure…..Coffee will hang 250 yards in the air Friday….Coffee by 3!

Son Of Waco

October 3rd, 2013
4:34 pm

@ToodHolcomb So last year in the playoffs St. Pius beat WACO by 5.. Beat Lovett by 24… Then this year instead of 2-3 they are 5-0 and that’s a reason to give a 9 point spread to Lovett??? Could St Pius just not be that good this year??? Also last year our Offense was ranked in the top 5 in scoring in AAA and this year we are the #2 team after 4 games.. What if our defense is better this year than last year because around this time last year we had allowed 72 points (not counting ELCA) and this year we have only allowed 27….

The last reason why a 9 point spread is not cool is that the first 2 teams they played this year were also beat by Lovett last year and Marist and St Pius combine for 48 last year, what we score? Oh yeah 48..

Camden74

October 3rd, 2013
9:56 pm

gm1957….This is an entirely different week, and an entirely different game! We’ll see what happens tomorrow night! RELEASE the CATS!!!! :-D

Crazy Horse

October 3rd, 2013
10:19 pm

Coffee has 4 -r- 5 starters that wont be playing…Camden wins easy.

Region 7-AAA

October 3rd, 2013
11:01 pm

Sounds like Son Of Waco is a little butt hurt because of a COMPUTER.

Todd Holcomb

October 4th, 2013
7:28 am

Waco – I later realized that I read this wrong. I thought WACO was the 9-point favorite, but it’s Lovett. Yeah, I can see where you’d consider that offensive. :) But consider this – the computer is objectively crunching numbers. Based on scores alone, that’s how good Lovett has been this season. They’ve also accomplished some amazing things this season. So I’ll say this – I kinda think Waco will win, but I also question whether Waco would’ve gone 5-0 against Lovett’s schedule. That’s a lot of really good teams to play without slipping up at least once.

Big Fan

October 4th, 2013
8:26 am

Todd. Beware of SOW
Obfuscation abounds!,

tr.v. ob·fus·cat·ed, ob·fus·cat·ing, ob·fus·cates
1. To make so confused or opaque as to be difficult to perceive or understand: “A great effort was made . . . to obscure or obfuscate the truth” (Robert Conquest).
2. To render indistinct or dim; darken: The fog obfuscated the shore.

ricohman

October 4th, 2013
9:08 am

gm1957…No need to pass when you can chew up 2 full quarters of play on the ground. Camden can pass if necessary. New week, new opponent. As far as Coffee putting up 250 yds in the air…The left cornerback (also a Alabama commit) returns this week. More than likely to see multiple interceptions and the taking away of the Coffee “air attack”. Lets see what happens…thats why they play the game.

Sportsnut

October 4th, 2013
3:13 pm

Good Luck tonight 74.

NE CAT

October 4th, 2013
3:44 pm

I’ll take Camden by 14, still should have beaten Valdosta by 14, but moving on, Coffee’s passing game will move the ball against Camden, but will Coffee have the ball enough possessions and score enough to beat Camden? I think not. Cats WIN !!!!

Tipp Smooth

October 4th, 2013
8:01 pm

Any scores in Brunswick and Lowndes game….

Sportsnut

October 5th, 2013
1:20 pm

It’s getting late !