Maxwell Ratings: Projected margin of victories for Week 4 games

Here is this week’s schedule with projected margins of victory, courtesy of the Maxwell Ratings. The projected winner is on the left. The projected margin of victory is on the right. The Maxwell computer ratings take into account historical scores, weighing the more recent seasons the most heavily. Games involving out-of-state teams are not included because of lack of data on those opponents.

Thursday’s games

Bowdon at Kendrick -10

Liberty Co. vs. Johnson, Savannah -15

Locust Grove at Morrow -26

Northside, Warner Robins vs. Westside, Macon -24

Rutland vs. Central, Macon -12

Shaw vs. Hardaway -9

Friday’s games

Adairsville vs. Pepperell -4

Albany vs. Mitchell Co. -14

Allatoona at Rome -12

Americus-Sumter vs. Macon Co. -5

Appling Co. vs. Screven Co. -6

Athens Christian vs. Jackson Co. -2

Bainbridge vs. Early Co. -11

Benedictine at Metter -12

Berkmar vs. Shiloh 0

Berrien at Lanier Co. -12

Bremen at Chattahoochee Co. -15

Brookwood at Archer -1

Bryan Co. vs. Jeff Davis -21

Buford vs. Hancock Central -41

Calhoun at Carrollton -3

Calvary Day vs. Montgomery Co. -37

Camden Co. vs. Beach -41

Cartersville at Rockmart -26

Carver, Atlanta vs. Alexander -17

Cass at Heritage, Ringgold -26

Cedartown at LaFayette -25

Charlton Co. at Bradwell Institute -10

Chattahoochee vs. Douglas Co. -14

Cherokee vs. North Forsyth -8

Clarke Central at Loganville -19

Coahulla Creek vs. Christian Heritage -3

Coffee at Burke Co. -1

Collins Hill vs. Habersham Central -38

Colquitt Co. vs. Carver, Columbus -19

Commerce at Banks Co. -18

Cook vs. Dougherty -23

Coosa vs. Haralson Co. -12

Creekside at Tri-Cities -10

Darlington at Chattooga -32

Dawson Co. vs. Forsyth Central -6

Decatur at Greenville -19

Dutchtown vs. Luella -15

ELCA vs. Hapeville Charter -42

East Hall at East Jackson -9

East Paulding at Paulding Co. -19

Eastside vs. Alcovy -17

Elbert Co. vs. Evans -16

Emanuel Co. Institute vs. Jenkins Co. -24

Etowah vs. Pope -19

Fellowship Christian at Oglethorpe Co. -3

Flowery Branch vs. Cedar Shoals -21

Gainesville vs. Winder-Barrow -39

George Walton vs. Holy Innocents’ -7

Georgia Military at Riverside Military -1

Gilmer vs. Southeast Whitfield -13

Gordon Central vs. Murray Co. -39

Gordon Lee at Armuchee -21

Grayson vs. Parkview -12

GAC vs. Chamblee -15

Griffin at Jonesboro -17

Harlem vs. Glascock Co. -13

Harris Co. vs. Veterans -9

Harrison vs. Campbell -16

Hart Co. at Stephens Co. -4

Hebron Christian vs. Cross Keys -32

Heritage, Conyers at Salem -12

Hillgrove vs. Marietta 0

Houston Co. at Northside, Columbus -21

Howard vs. Walnut Grove -15

Irwin Co. at East Laurens -21

Jackson vs. Monticello -30

Jackson, Atlanta vs. South Atlanta -1

Jefferson vs. North Hall -9

Jefferson Co. vs. Greenbrier -38

Johnson, Gainesville at North Murray -1

Johnson Co. vs. Portal -25

Kell vs. Lassiter -3

Kennesaw Mountain at South Cobb -5

Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe at Dade Co. -3

Lamar Co. at Pike Co. -17

Lambert vs. Northview -22

Landmark Christian vs. Mount Paran Christian -14

Laney vs. Glenn Hills -27

Lanier at Franklin Co. -17

Lee Co. vs. Westover -2

Lovejoy at Alpharetta -12

Lowndes vs. Windsor Forest -36

Manchester vs. Spencer -23

Marist vs. Lovett -7

Mary Persons vs. Henry Co. -33

McEachern vs. Pebblebrook -29

McIntosh at Ola -15

McIntosh Co. Academy at Atkinson Co. -38

Mill Creek at Mountain View -35

Miller Co. vs. Pelham -9

Miller Grove at North Atlanta -20

Milton at Centennial -22

Monroe at Fitzgerald -1

Monroe Area vs. Oconee Co. -31

Morgan Co. vs. Putnam Co. -15

Mount Zion, Carroll at North Cobb Christian -41

New Manchester vs. Woodland, Cartersville -23

Newnan vs. Troup -18

North Cobb at Walton -4

North Gwinnett at Norcross -5

North Oconee at Madison Co. -26

North Paulding at Lithia Springs -25

Northeast at Southwest -23

Northgate vs. North Clayton -10

Northwest Whitfield vs. Pickens -15

Our Lady of Mercy at Mount Pisgah Christian -1

Pace Academy vs. King’s Ridge Christian -17

Pacelli at Stewart Co. -20

Peachtree Ridge vs. Duluth -28

Perry vs. Hawkinsville -11

Pierce Co. at Swainsboro -14

Pinecrest Academy vs. Mount Vernon Presbyterian -41

Rabun Co. at Towns Co. -30

Richmond Academy vs. Josey -27

Richmond Hill vs. Savannah -28

Ridgeland at River Ridge -27

Ringgold vs. Central, Carrollton -19

Riverdale vs. Grady -3

Riverwood vs. North Springs -40

Rockdale Co. vs. Drew -9

Roswell vs. Johns Creek -5

Sandy Creek at East Coweta -24

Savannah Country Day at Wheeler Co. -4

Seminole Co. vs. Clinch Co. -15

Sonoraville vs. Model -1

South Effingham vs. Effingham Co. -12

South Forsyth vs. Cambridge -36

South Gwinnett vs. Dacula -13

Southwest DeKalb vs. Lakeside, Atlanta -25

St. Pius vs. Thomson -15

Statesboro at Tattnall Co. -21

Stephenson at Dunwoody -39

Stockbridge at Columbia -13

Stone Mountain at Wesleyan -7

Taylor Co. at Schley Co. -9

Telfair Co. at Baconton Charter -35

Terrell Co. vs. Central, Talbotton -16

Thomas Co. Central at Cairo -12

Thomasville vs. Westminster -10

Tift Co. at Worth Co. -18

Toombs Co. at Bacon Co. -1

Towers vs. Clarkston -19

Treutlen at Strong Rock Christian -18

Trion at Walker -3

Tucker at Arabia Mountain -35

Turner Co. at Calhoun Co. -20

Twiggs Co. at Crawford Co. -16

Union Grove vs. Forest Park -36

Upson-Lee vs. Eagle’s Landing -14

Valdosta vs. Crisp Co. -32

Vidalia vs. Long Co. -35

Villa Rica vs. Hiram -9

Ware Co. vs. Brunswick -10

Warner Robins vs. Peach Co. -4

Washington at Mount Zion, Jonesboro -26

Washington Co. vs. Baldwin -8

Washington-Wilkes at Warren Co. -41

Wayne Co. at Glynn Academy -5

West Forsyth at Starr’s Mill -28

West Hall at Lumpkin Co. -4

West Laurens at Dublin -24

Westlake at Banneker -1

Westside, Augusta vs. Hephzibah -15

Wheeler vs. Hughes -10

White Co. vs. Fannin Co. -26

Whitefield Academy at St. Francis -37

Whitewater vs. Fayette Co. -29

Wilcox Co. vs. Dooly Co. -23

Woodward Academy vs. Woodland, Stockbridge -17

Saturday’s games

Cedar Grove at Redan -26

Druid Hills at Therrell -18

M.L. King at Mays -20

McNair vs. Douglass -19

Temple at Jordan -10

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14 comments Add your comment


September 13th, 2013
7:08 am

Upset alert tonight, the Vikings of Lakeside over SWD


September 13th, 2013
8:01 am

WOW………. None ranked AAAAAA Coffee pick to beat top ranked AAAA Burke in the Bear Den, what strong drink you sipping on. After Burke went to Coffee last year and embarrassed them (33-21). Maxwell is the wrong flavor! I’ll be back after the final tonight. WOW……………………….

Dekalb Co Guy

September 13th, 2013
8:09 am

MLK 20 pt favorite over Mays? Interesting.


September 13th, 2013
8:35 am

A zero spread between Hillgorve and Marietta? Bring your Tums.


September 13th, 2013
8:45 am

89Bears cracks me up. 1st, Burke is not top ranked it’s 3rd in 4A and I’m sure you wouldn’t say SC embarrased BC last year when they beat you 31-20 but Coffee is embarrased to be beaten 33-21?!?!


September 13th, 2013
10:06 am

@ 6AAAAAFan Likeside over SWD Lol., you think…:)



September 13th, 2013
10:33 am

Colquitt by 19 over Carver is unreal.


September 13th, 2013
11:59 am

NSWR didn’t quite make that 24 pts.. They beat WESTSIDE last night 28-14. Westside of Macon is actually pretty good and had scored about 90 points in their first 2 games. NS is really outstanding on defense this year, and above average on offense.


September 13th, 2013
2:19 pm

I hope Camden plays it’s Freshman Team in the second quarter…….. :-D


September 13th, 2013
4:21 pm

Camden74, I’m with you on that one.


September 13th, 2013
4:22 pm

I was thinking Lakeside might give SWD a good game as well.

Tipp Smooth

September 13th, 2013
7:42 pm

Norcross 14 North Gwinnett 10

Sip Slow

September 13th, 2013
9:48 pm

Hey 89Bears, we Coffee fans are standing by waiting for your final thoughts on the game tonight.


September 16th, 2013
10:57 am

So EAST “SQUEEKED” by with a win Friday over PAULDING COUNTY…So now EAST is 2 / 1 with a home game coming up this week against surprising NEW MANCHESTER who is UNDEFEATED at 4 / 0 and sitting on top of REGION 5AAAAA…

It’s hard to know what the 4 / 0 record REALLY shows about NEW MANCHESTER as 3 of the wins came against 0 / 4 WOODLAND BARTOW, 0 / 2 LITHIA SPRINGS, & 1 / 3 PAULDING COUNTY…Now the game that makes you look hard at what they have done is the win AT NORTH PAULDING where they won 41 / 30…this is a VERY good NORTH PAULDING team and NEW MANCHESTER beat them at NORTH PAULDING!

So Friday should be interesting in “THE BONEYARD” as NEW MANCHESTER visits for the first time…EAST is playing without it’s starting senior QB who was hurt in the loss to NORTH PAULDING and by now I am sure most of you have seen the many post about EAST also playing with a coach who doesn’t have clue how to coach at this level.

SO…EAST has to play error free and be fired up from the start…this game will go a long way in determining who wants to be # 1 in REGION 5AAAAA…