AAAAA odds: Computer expects Miller Grove to sweep boys, girls titles

Here are the Maxwell Ratings’ computer-generated odds of winning the state championship for each of the 64 Class AAAAA boys and girls playoff teams.

The odds are based on team strength, but also the difficulty of each team’s draw. For example, Miller Grove’s boys are a 1.64-to-1 shot, according to Maxwell. Miller Grove’s girls also are the team to beat – winning the tournament 22.93 times out of 100 computer simulations.

Here’s a definition of terms:

Rating = Strength of the team.

Draw = Strength of opponents this team might face. (Low number means a favorable draw.)

Wins=Number of times team would win out championship in 100 tries.

Odds = Chances of this team winning the title.

Here are the odds for other classifications:

AAAAAA

AAAAA

AAAA

AAA

AA

BOYS

1. Miller Grove Rating: 92.4 Draw: 76.2 Wins: 37.94 Odds: 1.64

2. Effingham County Rating: 85.47 Draw: 75.79 Wins: 16.28 Odds: 5.14

3. Mays Rating: 81.13 Draw: 76.05 Wins: 7.38 Odds: 12.55

4. Northside (Warner Robins) Rating: 79.75 Draw: 74.9 Wins: 6.44 Odds: 14.53

5. Northside (Columbus) Rating: 79.81 Draw: 75.01 Wins: 5.99 Odds: 15.7

6. Allatoona Rating: 81.97 Draw: 78.3 Wins: 5.35 Odds: 17.69

7. Tucker Rating: 79.77 Draw: 78.9 Wins: 3.3 Odds: 29.27

8. Stephenson Rating: 78.33 Draw: 77.68 Wins: 3.28 Odds: 29.51

9. Jenkins Rating: 78.29 Draw: 77.41 Wins: 3.2 Odds: 30.24

10. Jones County Rating: 75.91 Draw: 76.27 Wins: 2.08 Odds: 47.15

11. Gainesville Rating: 76.41 Draw: 78.12 Wins: 1.88 Odds: 52.3

12. New Manchester Rating: 75.39 Draw: 78.23 Wins: 1.42 Odds: 69.22

13. Warner Robins Rating: 73.39 Draw: 78.21 Wins: 0.69 Odds: 143.42

14. Evans Rating: 72.85 Draw: 78.89 Wins: 0.58 Odds: 170.43

15. Villa Rica Rating: 73.24 Draw: 78.56 Wins: 0.49 Odds: 203.97

16. Bainbridge Rating: 70.47 Draw: 76.75 Wins: 0.47 Odds: 212.25

17. Apalachee Rating: 71.81 Draw: 78.95 Wins: 0.43 Odds: 233.68

18. Whitewater Rating: 70.94 Draw: 78.24 Wins: 0.37 Odds: 267.38

19. Hardaway Rating: 70.7 Draw: 78.29 Wins: 0.34 Odds: 291.89

20. Pope Rating: 71.32 Draw: 79.32 Wins: 0.34 Odds: 292.07

21. Salem Rating: 72.99 Draw: 80.76 Wins: 0.34 Odds: 294.32

22. Hiram Rating: 71.2 Draw: 79.16 Wins: 0.33 Odds: 301.67

23. Sequoyah Rating: 72.57 Draw: 80.17 Wins: 0.27 Odds: 363.45

24. Loganville Rating: 71.3 Draw: 78.69 Wins: 0.24 Odds: 412.43

25. Starr’s Mill Rating: 67.87 Draw: 77.16 Wins: 0.17 Odds: 598.66

26. Sprayberry Rating: 70.35 Draw: 80.79 Wins: 0.14 Odds: 690.26

27. Thomas County Central Rating: 67.1 Draw: 77.25 Wins: 0.12 Odds: 805.94

28. Creekside Rating: 64.29 Draw: 77.92 Wins: 0.05 Odds: 2217.17

29. Creekview Rating: 64.81 Draw: 79.6 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3174.06

30. Windsor Forest Rating: 63.25 Draw: 78.2 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3763.97

31. Richmond Hill Rating: 62.75 Draw: 78.84 Wins: 0.02 Odds: 5955.08

32. Northgate Rating: 60.36 Draw: 78.9 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 16002.55

GIRLS

1. Miller Grove Rating: 87.56 Draw: 74.41 Wins: 22.93 Odds: 3.36

2. Tucker Rating: 85.66 Draw: 75.94 Wins: 15.06 Odds: 5.64

3. Kell Rating: 86.14 Draw: 76 Wins: 14.85 Odds: 5.73

4. Southwest DeKalb Rating: 83.75 Draw: 74.79 Wins: 13.31 Odds: 6.51

5. Stephenson Rating: 85.39 Draw: 76.15 Wins: 12.79 Odds: 6.82

6. McIntosh Rating: 77.26 Draw: 67.11 Wins: 9 Odds: 10.11

7. Forest Park Rating: 73.65 Draw: 69.01 Wins: 4.41 Odds: 21.68

8. Osborne Rating: 78.48 Draw: 78.04 Wins: 2.8 Odds: 34.7

9. Cedar Shoals Rating: 73.75 Draw: 75.56 Wins: 1.36 Odds: 72.34

10. Pope Rating: 73.35 Draw: 78.49 Wins: 0.68 Odds: 146.31

11. Flowery Branch Rating: 70.76 Draw: 76.82 Wins: 0.49 Odds: 202.13

12. Sprayberry Rating: 70.3 Draw: 77.48 Wins: 0.32 Odds: 308.95

13. Starr’s Mill Rating: 64.78 Draw: 72.29 Wins: 0.28 Odds: 351.24

14. Hardaway Rating: 62.05 Draw: 69.61 Wins: 0.22 Odds: 457

15. Salem Rating: 67.58 Draw: 76.9 Wins: 0.18 Odds: 544.21

16. Lithia Springs Rating: 67.1 Draw: 75.95 Wins: 0.18 Odds: 557.63

17. Northside (Warner Robins) Rating: 61.42 Draw: 69.38 Wins: 0.17 Odds: 594.18

18. Thomas County Central Rating: 63.1 Draw: 72.84 Wins: 0.16 Odds: 635.99

19. Effingham County Rating: 62.21 Draw: 72.34 Wins: 0.11 Odds: 893.83

20. Northside (Columbus) Rating: 61.59 Draw: 71.42 Wins: 0.11 Odds: 928.82

21. Clarke Central Rating: 65.62 Draw: 76.1 Wins: 0.1 Odds: 975.6

22. Evans Rating: 59.46 Draw: 69.98 Wins: 0.09 Odds: 1094.86

23. Paulding County Rating: 65.68 Draw: 77.28 Wins: 0.09 Odds: 1115.25

24. Warner Robins Rating: 60.49 Draw: 71.38 Wins: 0.08 Odds: 1196.4

25. Allatoona Rating: 65.5 Draw: 77.87 Wins: 0.07 Odds: 1379.2

26. Villa Rica Rating: 65.13 Draw: 76.74 Wins: 0.07 Odds: 1471.75

27. Houston County Rating: 58.82 Draw: 73.02 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3312.26

28. Whitewater Rating: 56.06 Draw: 70.8 Wins: 0.02 Odds: 4459.55

29. Bradwell Institute Rating: 55.46 Draw: 71.15 Wins: 0.02 Odds: 5306.55

30. Ware County Rating: 54.14 Draw: 72.65 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 15915.9

31. Glynn Academy Rating: 51.48 Draw: 71.16 Wins: 0 Odds: 33408.11

32. Lee County Rating: 49.27 Draw: 74.33 Wins: 0 Odds: 171509.84

2 comments Add your comment

Mack Cain

February 19th, 2013
6:00 pm

Go Northgate Vikings !!! Lets go Northgate Vikings and Lets go Boys We got this Go Northgate Vikings

ranjana

February 23rd, 2013
8:48 am

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