AA odds: Wesleyan, duh! … Westside, huh?

Here are the Maxwell Ratings’ computer-generated odds of winning the state championship for each of the 64 Class AA boys and girls playoff teams.

Like everyone else in the free world, Maxwell believes Wesleyan’s girls will win their sixth straight state championship, although it’s not much better than 50-50. Wesleyan won 58.21 of 100 computer simulations.

In the boys draw, there is perhaps a surprise. Greater Atlanta Christian is the AJC’s No. 1-ranked team, but Maxwell sees Westside of Augusta as a more likely winner. Westside wins 38.93 of computer simulations. GAC wins 30.6. Other teams are no better than about a 10-to-1 shot, according to Maxwell.

The odds are based on team strength, but also the difficulty of each team’s draw.

Here’s a definition of terms:

Rating = Strength of the team.

Draw = Strength of opponents this team might face. (Low number means a favorable draw.)

Wins=Number of times team would win out championship in 100 tries.

Odds = Chances of this team winning the title.

Here are the odds for other classifications:

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BOYS

1. Westside (Augusta) Rating: 93.51 Draw: 73.85 Wins: 38.93 Odds: 1.57

2. Greater Atlanta Christian Rating: 89.91 Draw: 71.98 Wins: 30.6 Odds: 2.27

3. Laney Rating: 83.49 Draw: 75.82 Wins: 9.24 Odds: 9.82

4. Vidalia Rating: 81.82 Draw: 74.23 Wins: 7.14 Odds: 13

5. Jordan Rating: 75.09 Draw: 68.93 Wins: 3.74 Odds: 25.77

6. Bleckley County Rating: 80.98 Draw: 77.44 Wins: 3.42 Odds: 28.21

7. Dublin Rating: 78.36 Draw: 77.23 Wins: 2.81 Odds: 34.61

8. Manchester Rating: 75.61 Draw: 74.59 Wins: 1.93 Odds: 50.9

9. Taylor County Rating: 73.35 Draw: 76.94 Wins: 0.78 Odds: 127.25

10. Spencer Rating: 70.35 Draw: 75.93 Wins: 0.34 Odds: 292.46

11. Westminster Rating: 66.13 Draw: 73.04 Wins: 0.26 Odds: 386.63

12. Pelham Rating: 69.54 Draw: 78.82 Wins: 0.21 Odds: 484.99

13. Northeast Rating: 68.62 Draw: 76.83 Wins: 0.18 Odds: 560.37

14. McIntosh County Academy Rating: 67.53 Draw: 80.35 Wins: 0.08 Odds: 1238.27

15. Macon County Rating: 66.84 Draw: 79.36 Wins: 0.07 Odds: 1333.44

16. Jefferson Rating: 62.29 Draw: 73.55 Wins: 0.07 Odds: 1390.13

17. Wesleyan Rating: 60.82 Draw: 73.92 Wins: 0.04 Odds: 2706.31

18. Calhoun Rating: 62.68 Draw: 76.74 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 2944.92

19. Dade County Rating: 60.12 Draw: 74.07 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3572.45

20. Model Rating: 59.94 Draw: 75.01 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3912.05

21. Kendrick Rating: 58.71 Draw: 74.27 Wins: 0.02 Odds: 5737.65

22. Greene County Rating: 61.78 Draw: 79.16 Wins: 0.02 Odds: 5866.64

23. Benedictine Rating: 62.82 Draw: 81.09 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 7872.17

24. Thomasville Rating: 64.16 Draw: 78.82 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 8832.46

25. Early County Rating: 60.11 Draw: 78.3 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 15972.92

26. Hapeville Charter Rating: 58.37 Draw: 77.6 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 17410.25

27. Harlem Rating: 59.7 Draw: 78.66 Wins: 0 Odds: 21764.32

28. Rabun County Rating: 57.22 Draw: 77.12 Wins: 0 Odds: 48271.52

29. Cook Rating: 57.73 Draw: 80.06 Wins: 0 Odds: 52257.9

30. Coosa Rating: 56.23 Draw: 78.72 Wins: 0 Odds: 80927.72

31. Jeff Davis Rating: 58.29 Draw: 80.89 Wins: 0 Odds: 87573.66

32. Washington-Wilkes Rating: 47.62 Draw: 74.42 Wins: 0 Odds: 674420.83

GIRLS

1. Wesleyan Rating: 95.41 Draw: 69.79 Wins: 58.21 Odds: 0.72

2. Laney Rating: 84.84 Draw: 65.93 Wins: 18.56 Odds: 4.39

3. Kendrick Rating: 83.41 Draw: 74.42 Wins: 8.4 Odds: 10.91

4. Greater Atlanta Christian Rating: 82.32 Draw: 77.43 Wins: 5.52 Odds: 17.12

5. Calhoun Rating: 78.11 Draw: 68.72 Wins: 4.68 Odds: 20.37

6. Thomasville Rating: 73.04 Draw: 70.34 Wins: 1.88 Odds: 52.2

7. Dublin Rating: 69.56 Draw: 69.67 Wins: 0.8 Odds: 123.8

8. Pelham Rating: 69.7 Draw: 72.9 Wins: 0.59 Odds: 169.04

9. Model Rating: 71.11 Draw: 78.1 Wins: 0.44 Odds: 228.72

10. Lovett Rating: 70.91 Draw: 78.18 Wins: 0.41 Odds: 244.31

11. Westside (Augusta) Rating: 65.22 Draw: 71.82 Wins: 0.19 Odds: 534.71

12. Bleckley County Rating: 65.08 Draw: 72.08 Wins: 0.18 Odds: 550.21

13. Bremen Rating: 63.72 Draw: 74.65 Wins: 0.04 Odds: 2225.71

14. Rabun County Rating: 61.91 Draw: 73.13 Wins: 0.04 Odds: 2568.75

15. Dade County Rating: 65.89 Draw: 80.37 Wins: 0.03 Odds: 3505.99

16. Early County Rating: 58.36 Draw: 73.51 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 7794.92

17. McIntosh County Academy Rating: 55.99 Draw: 72.28 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 11561.47

18. Northeast Rating: 57.64 Draw: 77.7 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 11850.42

19. Armuchee Rating: 59.71 Draw: 76.93 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 14879.05

20. Union County Rating: 58.53 Draw: 74.64 Wins: 0.01 Odds: 17426.13

21. Greene County Rating: 52.68 Draw: 74.47 Wins: 0 Odds: 73970.44

22. Taylor County Rating: 52.39 Draw: 74.13 Wins: 0 Odds: 95282.41

23. Bowdon Rating: 51.52 Draw: 74.68 Wins: 0 Odds: 122414.59

24. Cook Rating: 48.16 Draw: 75.46 Wins: 0 Odds: 599756.82

25. Jefferson Rating: 52.53 Draw: 80.59 Wins: 0 Odds: 630376.64

26. Monticello Rating: 47.33 Draw: 75.48 Wins: 0 Odds: 965939.96

27. Jeff Davis Rating: 46.31 Draw: 76.1 Wins: 0 Odds: 1422889.3

28. Westminster Rating: 45.93 Draw: 75.16 Wins: 0 Odds: 1656570.08

29. Screven County Rating: 41.52 Draw: 75.18 Wins: 0 Odds: 7359115.88

30. Vidalia Rating: 42.02 Draw: 77.16 Wins: 0 Odds: 8847469.44

31. Manchester Rating: 40.94 Draw: 77.33 Wins: 0 Odds: 32846792.61

32. Toombs County Rating: 38.72 Draw: 75.15 Wins: 0 Odds: 38317377.24

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