AAAAAA basketball blog: Closer look at each boys region race

Region tournaments begin in a couple of weeks. They will determine the seeds for the state tournament. He’s a region-by-region look at the boys region races. We’ll look at the girls next week.

1 – Valdosta (16-4, 8-0) leads fourth-ranked and previous No. 1 Tift County (15-4, 5-1), and the two meet Feb. 2 and Feb. 9, both Saturdays. Coffee (13-3, 5-1) beat Tift 88-83 last week. Tift had won the first meeting 84-67 and is the region’s most talented team, so it was quite an upset. Brunswick (13-5, 3-4) and Lowndes (11-9, 2-4) are the best of the rest.

1. Tift County, 2. Valdosta, 3. Coffee, 4. Brunswick

2 – Luella (14-6, 6-2) has recent losses to Alcovy (6-13, 2-6) and Druid Hills (9-7, 3-5). It’s the one region tournament in which every team could win it. The most consistent team has been Morrow (15-4, 5-2). Rockdale County (11-9, 4-3) and Lovejoy (12-7, 4-4) and Newton (13-7, 4-4) are also there.

Prediction: 1. Morrow, 2. Luella, 3. Rockdale County, 4. Lovejoy

3 – Westlake (16-4, 4-1) smoked Douglas County (10-10, 3-3) 109-91 on Friday, avenging its only region loss and taking control of this six-team region. Langston Hughes (8-9, 4-1) must be reckoned with as well. Westlake beat the Panthers 73-62 on Jan. 11 and play them again at Westlake in the season finale Feb. 8.

Prediction: 1. Westlake, 2. Langston Hughes, 3. Douglas County, 4. Newnan

4 – No. 1-ranked North Cobb (17-3, 11-1) has swept second-place Hillgrove (18-3, 10-3), so the race for first is almost over. Kennesaw Mountain (12-7, 7-4) is in the hunt for second but has the toughest schedule down the stretch with games at the first- and second-place teams. Also fighting to be in the top four are Campbell (14-8, 7-6), McEachern (11-9, 6-6) and South Cobb (9-10, 6-5). Marietta (6-15) upset Campbell 47-46 on Friday.

Prediction: 1. North Cobb, 2. Hillgrove, 3. Kennesaw Mountain, 4. Campbell

5 – Roswell (13-8, 7-3) stunned No. 3 Wheeler (14-5, 7-2) 58-57 on Friday on Sean Brennan’s 3-point shot in the final seconds. Second-place Cherokee (13-6, 6-3) plays Roswell on Tuesday. Milton (9-5, 6-3) is ineligible for the region tournament.

Prediction: 1. Wheeler, 2. Cherokee, 3. Roswell, 4. Walton

6 – Chattahoochee (15-5, 8-1) is 8-0 since New Year’s Day and will be golden with a victory tonight (Friday) at Centennial (11-7, 7-2). Chattahoochee has swept the other contender, Alpharetta (11-9, 7-2). But if Centennial wins, there will be a three-way tie in which each is 2-2 against the other two. Lambert (11-7, 6-3) lingers in fourth. No one else is in contention.

Prediction: 1. Chattahoochee, 2. Alpharetta, 3. Centennial, 4. Lambert

7 – Peachtree Ridge (15-6, 11-1) leads a region with five good teams, then a steep drop off. The Lions are followed by Norcross (14-6, 10-2), North Gwinnett (16-5, 10-3), Collins Hill (14-7, 8-4) and Mill Creek (15-7, 8-5). Peachtree Ridge – which hasn’t lost a region game since Dec. 4 – faces North Gwinnett and Norcross on the road next week after beating Mill Creek 51-49 on Friday on Jordan Capps’ dunk at the buzzer. Norcross has beaten North Gwinnett twice in the past two weeks and perhaps has the best schedule down the stretch.

Prediction: 1. Norcross, 2. Peachtree Ridge, 3. North Gwinnett, 4. Mill Creek.

8 – Archer (17-4, 10-2) and Shiloh (13-4, 9-2) are essentially tied for first and play their final regular-season game against each other at Shiloh on Feb. 8. Shiloh beat Archer 76-74 in overtime on Jan. 8.  This region looked like Shiloh’s region to lose until Shiloh was routed Tuesday by Brookwood 74-53. (Brookwood (16-6, 8-5) hit 12 3-point shots, per the Gwinnett Daily Post.) Archer has a tougher road until then, facing Berkmar (11-9, 7-5) and Dacula (15-6, 8-5) the next two Fridays.

Prediction: 1. Shiloh, 2. Archer, 3. Dacula, 4. Brookwood

10 comments Add your comment

Marietta fan

January 25th, 2013
12:35 pm

Y’all will call me crazy, but watch out for Marietta in the region tournament. It has happened a few times in the past few seasons that we have a bad regular season but play for the region championship. If a few things go our way, we could’ve had 7 more wins. We even lead North Cobb by 8 in the 4th. I’m hoping we can re-kindle some of our postseason magic this year

The Grove

January 25th, 2013
12:53 pm

@Marietta fan – I wouldn’t count on that.

Max Sizemore

January 25th, 2013
2:33 pm

According to the Orlando Sentinel, Trayvon Reed scored 17 as Shiloh beat Orlando Christian Prep 56-54 in the first round of the Montverde Academy Invitational Thursday night. OCP (13-5) is ranked No. 2 among Orlando-area teams (all classes). Shiloh thus earned the right to play host Montverde tonight in the semis. Montverde (20-2) is ranked by MaxPreps No. 4 nationally. Last weekend Montverde lost 62-59 to Findlay Prep of Nevada, which is ranked No. 3.

VALDAWGSTA

January 25th, 2013
6:29 pm

Don’t count the Wildcats out of Region 1. We’re comin for you Tift!!

57Cat

January 25th, 2013
8:37 pm

Valdosta has to take care of business tomorrow night at Lowndes (whom we beat by 40 at our place) and at home next Tuesday against Coffee (whom we beat by 1 at their place) and then split with the Blue Devils for our second straight Region 1 title. It can be done!

Smug

January 26th, 2013
9:41 am

TifCo sucks as a team. Plenty of talent & a load of potential but they’re all prima donnas. The Doc ain’t got them playing together. The recruiting hasn’t helped them become the power they should be. As far as being a No. 1 team, they probably won’t even win the region.

Lakerman

January 26th, 2013
10:58 am

Roswell’s victory over Wheeler last night puts a wrench in the 5AAAAAA race now!

Todd Holcomb

January 26th, 2013
11:01 am

I’ve updated w/ news of Roswell’s win and a few other Friday results.

57Cat

January 26th, 2013
10:49 pm

Uh oh. Congratulations to the Vikings, 64-60 over Valdosta. Now we have to beat Coffee at home and win BOTH against Tift Co. Uh oh.

Tony

January 27th, 2013
9:15 am

As far as the Region 5 tournament goes, any 4 teams could come out of it. They are largely in the mose of “beating each other” with some wild H2H swings. Wheeler and Walton are playing lower than their talent-levels (Both lost again last night) and the other teams can look great on Friday and horrid on Saturday.

Whoever comes out, I don’t expect any Region 5 team to get past the 2nd round in the state bracket.