Maxwell Ratings: Camden County replaces Northside as No. 1 team in all classes

Camden County has overtaken Northside of Warner Robins for the top spot in the all-classification Maxwell Ratings. Camden’s average score in Region 1-AAAAAA has been 43-6, although a couple of ranked teams (Lowndes, Colquitt County) remain on the Wildcats’ schedule. Northside remains No. 1 in Class AAAAA. Less than a point separates the top two teams.

The point differential gives an indication of how a game might play out if two teams played, not taking into account home-field advantage and the fact that a dominant team would not run up the score.

Each week, AJC.com will publish the Maxwell Ratings to give fans a computerized look at how Georgia’s 412 football-playing teams rank in each class and in all classifications.

The Maxwell Ratings are based strictly on scores. As the season progresses, the rankings will rely more and more on this season’s results and less on previous seasons. By the playoffs, the rankings will reflect 2012 results entirely.

All-Classification
1. Camden County (94.64)
2. Northside (Warner Robins) (93.69)
3. Norcross (92.55)
4. Lowndes (91.25)
5. North Gwinnett (89.49)
6. Sandy Creek (88.31)
7. Colquitt County (87.45)
8. West Forsyth (86.51)
9. Calhoun (86.44)
10. Grayson (86.09)
11. Stephenson (85.42)
12. Buford (84.97)
13. Lassiter (84.7)
14. Gainesville (84.17)
15. Tucker (82.68)
16. Peach County (82.57)
17. Lovejoy (81.55)
18. M.L. King (81.26)
19. Burke County (80.96)
20. Thomas County Central (80.87)
21. Parkview (80.41)
22. East Paulding (80.06)
23. Thomson (79.68)
24. Walton (78.47)
25. Washington County (77.92)

Class AAAAAA
1. Camden County (94.64)
2. Norcross (92.55)
3. Lowndes (91.25)
4. North Gwinnett (89.49)
5. Colquitt County (87.45)
6. West Forsyth (86.51)
7. Grayson (86.09)
8. Lassiter (84.7)
9. Lovejoy (81.55)
10. Parkview (80.41)
11. Walton (78.47)
12. South Gwinnett (77.81)
13. Coffee (77.3)
14. Johns Creek (77.1)
15. Brookwood (77)
16. McEachern (76.9)
17. Valdosta (76.24)
18. Newnan (75.73)
19. Collins Hill (75.47)
20. Mill Creek (75.17)
21. Milton (75.12)
22. Archer (75)
23. North Cobb (74.33)
24. Marietta (72.58)
25. Alpharetta (70.17)
26. Peachtree Ridge (69.23)
27. Hillgrove (68.81)
28. Chattahoochee (67.74)
29. Etowah (66.88)
30. Central Gwinnett (66.71)
31. East Coweta (66.53)
32. South Cobb (65.78)
33. Dacula (64.12)
34. Tri-Cities (63.86)
35. Wheeler (63.85)
36. Hughes (62.64)
37. Brunswick (62.6)
38. Tift County (61.88)
39. Lambert (61.78)
40. Harrison (60.99)
41. Woodstock (60.94)
42. Duluth (58.19)
43. Roswell (56.94)
44. Centennial (55.36)
45. Shiloh (55.27)
46. Newton (54.58)
47. Campbell (50.74)
48. Westlake (50.71)
49. Alcovy (50.66)
50. North Forsyth (50.63)
51. South Forsyth (50.32)
52. Mountain View (49.83)
53. Kennesaw Mountain (49.66)
54. Douglas County (48.12)
55. Cherokee (47.57)
56. Pebblebrook (45.9)
57. Berkmar (43.5)
58. Luella (42.32)
59. Habersham Central (40.38)
60. Rockdale County (38.87)
61. Druid Hills (33.05)
62. Morrow (27.8)
63. Meadowcreek (21.64)

Class AAAAA
1. Northside (Warner Robins) (93.69)
2. Stephenson (85.42)
3. Gainesville (84.17)
4. Tucker (82.68)
5. M.L. King (81.26)
6. Thomas County Central (80.87)
7. East Paulding (80.06)
8. Warner Robins (77.54)
9. Kell (76.16)
10. Flowery Branch (74.69)
11. Ware County (74.06)
12. Allatoona (71.27)
13. Whitewater (69.79)
14. Southwest DeKalb (68.3)
15. Heritage (Conyers) (67.94)
16. Clarke Central (66.99)
17. Rome (64.98)
18. Bainbridge (64.37)
19. Union Grove (62.25)
20. Pope (62.18)
21. Lee County (62.13)
22. Creekside (60.89)
23. Mays (60.63)
24. North Paulding (60.36)
25. Cedar Shoals (59.44)
26. Creekview (59.29)
27. Jones County (58.97)
28. Lakeside (Evans) (57.86)
29. Northgate (57.83)
30. Glynn Academy (57.22)
31. South Paulding (55.8)
32. Apalachee (55.2)
33. Drew (54.87)
34. Hiram (53.26)
35. Miller Grove (52.86)
36. Starr’s Mill (52.72)
37. Sprayberry (51.62)
38. Riverwood (50.94)
39. Houston County (50.82)
40. Richmond Hill (50.64)
41. Villa Rica (50.4)
42. Harris County (50.37)
43. Sequoyah (49.8)
44. Evans (49.53)
45. Loganville (48.03)
46. Effingham County (47.73)
47. Salem (46.89)
48. Mundy’s Mill (46.47)
49. McIntosh (46.07)
50. Jenkins (45.89)
51. Hardaway (44.23)
52. Grovetown (43.8)
53. Arabia Mountain (43.34)
54. Ola (43.18)
55. Greenbrier (42.81)
56. Woodland (Cartersville) (41.59)
57. Dunwoody (40.76)
58. Northside (Columbus) (39.86)
59. Northview (39.22)
60. New Manchester (38.79)
61. Lakeside (DeKalb) (36.95)
62. Forsyth Central (35.35)
63. Windsor Forest (34.88)
64. North Atlanta (34.88)
65. Paulding County (34.66)
66. Mount Zion (Jonesboro) (34.58)
67. Bradwell Institute (32.47)
68. Lithia Springs (31.89)
69. Osborne (31.86)
70. Groves (31.81)
71. Winder-Barrow (31.11)
72. Forest Park (25.4)
73. Clarkston (13.15)
74. Cambridge (11.58)
75. North Springs (2.02)

Class AAAA
1. Sandy Creek (88.31)
2. Burke County (80.96)
3. Carrollton (76.69)
4. Marist (76.3)
5. Griffin (73.83)
6. Cairo (70.29)
7. Baldwin (68.89)
8. Statesboro (68.55)
9. Westside (Macon) (68.39)
10. Stockbridge (68.08)
11. Jonesboro (66.85)
12. Ridgeland (65.6)
13. Monroe (64.74)
14. LaGrange (61.72)
15. Chamblee (61.7)
16. Mary Persons (60.85)
17. Monroe Area (60.39)
18. Grady (59.68)
19. Dutchtown (59.09)
20. Perry (58.57)
21. Riverdale (58.5)
22. Westover (58.33)
23. Carver (Atlanta) (58.25)
24. Cass (56.99)
25. Americus-Sumter (56.93)
26. Washington (56.67)
27. Shaw (55.91)
28. Dalton (55.66)
29. Stephens County (55.29)
30. Northwest Whitfield (54.12)
31. Eastside (54.05)
32. Banneker (53.95)
33. Veterans (53.76)
34. Columbia (53.59)
35. Wayne County (52.56)
36. Locust Grove (52.42)
37. Troup (51.48)
38. North Clayton (51.44)
39. Worth County (49.46)
40. Chestatee (49.35)
41. Woodland (Stockbridge) (49.16)
42. West Laurens (48.9)
43. Upson-Lee (48.7)
44. Pickens (48.15)
45. Liberty County (45.27)
46. Gilmer (45.21)
47. Crisp County (45.07)
48. Stone Mountain (44.54)
49. South Effingham (44.28)
50. Fayette County (43.39)
51. Cedartown (43.33)
52. Albany (42.62)
53. Spalding (42.37)
54. South Atlanta (42.34)
55. Lithonia (41.35)
56. Richmond Academy (41.35)
57. Rutland (41.07)
58. Redan (40.78)
59. Lanier (40.18)
60. River Ridge (36.86)
61. Alexander (35.38)
62. Eagle’s Landing (33.34)
63. Dougherty (30.92)
64. Glenn Hills (28.48)
65. Johnson (Gainesville) (28.31)
66. Lumpkin County (28.05)
67. Southeast Whitfield (26.7)
68. Butler (25.61)
69. LaFayette (24.9)
70. Madison County (24.78)
71. Heritage (Catoosa) (21.94)
72. Cross Creek (21.07)
73. Therrell (20.99)
74. Walnut Grove (20.64)
75. Howard (18.94)
76. Columbus (18.57)
77. Hephzibah (10.13)

Class AAA
1. Buford (84.97)
2. Peach County (82.57)
3. Thomson (79.68)
4. Washington County (77.92)
5. Carver (Columbus) (75.44)
6. St. Pius X (75.2)
7. Woodward Academy (63.07)
8. Elbert County (62.12)
9. Blessed Trinity (61.95)
10. North Oconee (61.73)
11. Cartersville (60.29)
12. Callaway (58.5)
13. Jefferson County (56.11)
14. Cedar Grove (55.77)
15. North Hall (55.42)
16. Appling County (54.32)
17. Pierce County (54.1)
18. Jackson (51.41)
19. Swainsboro (51.04)
20. Gordon Central (50.84)
21. White County (49.93)
22. Hart County (48.38)
23. Adairsville (47.93)
24. Morgan County (47.4)
25. Ringgold (46.15)
26. Chapel Hill (44.62)
27. Tattnall County (44.14)
28. Pike County (43.82)
29. Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe (43.03)
30. Dodge County (42.99)
31. Henry County (42.37)
32. Central (Carrollton) (42.31)
33. Decatur (41.82)
34. Dawson County (41)
35. Rockmart (40.26)
36. Jackson County (37.8)
37. Central (Macon) (36.81)
38. North Murray (35.89)
39. Franklin County (34.23)
40. McNair (33.81)
41. Jackson (Atlanta) (33.62)
42. Oconee County (33.03)
43. Beach (32.14)
44. Haralson County (31.24)
45. B.E.S.T Academy (29.04)
46. Savannah (28.06)
47. Fannin County (27.76)
48. Southwest (27.75)
49. Southeast Bulloch (26.38)
50. Douglass (25.41)
51. West Hall (25.2)
52. East Hall (24.64)
53. Johnson (Savannah) (24.2)
54. Sonoraville (22.94)
55. Coahulla Creek (22.49)
56. Banks County (20.59)
57. Brantley County (16.94)
58. East Jackson (15.07)
59. Towers (10.72)
60. Cross Keys (-23.57)

Class AA
1. Calhoun (86.44)
2. Brooks County (76.69)
3. Fitzgerald (69.37)
4. Cook (66.34)
5. Lovett (66.31)
6. Greater Atlanta Christian (64.08)
7. Westminster (56.73)
8. Lamar County (55.53)
9. Jefferson (55.41)
10. Vidalia (54.77)
11. Early County (54.22)
12. Thomasville (53.83)
13. Heard County (53.67)
14. Washington-Wilkes (53.37)
15. Laney (52.25)
16. Screven County (50.92)
17. Bleckley County (50.54)
18. Benedictine (49.41)
19. Wesleyan (48.88)
20. McIntosh County Academy (47.49)
21. Northeast (46.08)
22. Pepperell (44.47)
23. Bowdon (44)
24. East Laurens (42.18)
25. Manchester (40.46)
26. Bacon County (38.66)
27. Bremen (38.53)
28. Toombs County (37.41)
29. Macon County (34.78)
30. Putnam County (33.18)
31. Westside (Augusta) (32.6)
32. Taylor County (31.54)
33. Coosa (30.97)
34. Kendrick (30.44)
35. Union County (29.88)
36. Model (27)
37. Metter (26.24)
38. Dublin (26.13)
39. Dade County (26.09)
40. Berrien (26.01)
41. Armuchee (25.8)
42. Chattahoochee County (25.75)
43. Greene County (25.33)
44. Bryan County (24.72)
45. Long County (24.46)
46. Oglethorpe County (23.41)
47. Monticello (22.91)
48. Chattooga (22.19)
49. Pelham (22.06)
50. Rabun County (21.46)
51. Jeff Davis (20.17)
52. Spencer (19.48)
53. Josey (18.81)
54. Harlem (11.39)
55. Temple (10.81)
56. Riverside Military (8.04)
57. Crawford County (7.09)
58. Hapeville (6.96)
59. Atkinson County (4.24)
60. Jordan (1.71)
61. Murray County (0.84)
62. Social Circle (-1.26)

Class A (public)
1. Lincoln County (60.99)
2. Wilcox County (56.89)
3. Emanuel County Institute (53.51)
4. Wilkinson County (52.85)
5. Dooly County (49.32)
6. Charlton County (48.52)
7. Irwin County (47.87)
8. Turner County (46.68)
9. Clinch County (46.34)
10. Seminole County (45.91)
11. Claxton (42.47)
12. Marion County (42.11)
13. Greenville (40.58)
14. Mitchell County (40.23)
15. Miller County (39.55)
16. Johnson County (38.85)
17. Hancock Central (37.57)
18. Commerce (36.32)
19. Gordon Lee (35.89)
20. Trion (33.85)
21. Terrell County (29.5)
22. Hawkinsville (29.01)
23. Treutlen (28.53)
24. Jenkins County (25.9)
25. Warren County (24.61)
26. Georgia Military College (24.11)
27. Mount Zion (Carroll) (22.77)
28. Telfair County (20.55)
29. Randolph-Clay (20.51)
30. Calhoun County (20.25)
31. Twiggs County (19.51)
32. Lanier County (18.96)
33. Schley County (15.84)
34. Portal (14.14)
35. Central (Talbotton) (10.34)
36. Glascock County (9.89)
37. Wheeler County (8)
38. Montgomery County (5.6)
39. Rabun Gap (-3.16)
40. Baconton (-4.48)
41. Towns County (-4.79)
42. Stewart County (-13.57)

Class A (private)
1. Eagle’s Landing Christian (68.62)
2. Aquinas (55.67)
3. Savannah Christian (54.01)
4. George Walton Academy (53.26)
5. Prince Avenue Christian (52.71)
6. Athens Academy (50.56)
7. Darlington (48.77)
8. Calvary Day (47.38)
9. Holy Innocents (46.06)
10. First Presbyterian (45.84)
11. Landmark Christian (43.09)
12. Brookstone (42.26)
13. Our Lady of Mercy (36.95)
14. Walker (32.8)
15. Athens Christian (31.35)
16. Whitefield Academy (28.04)
17. Christian Heritage (27.52)
18. Pace Academy (27.12)
19. Mount Paran Christian (26.96)
20. King’s Ridge (25.59)
21. Mount Pisgah Christian (24.81)
22. Pinecrest Academy (19.11)
23. Savannah Country Day (17.45)
24. Pacelli (17.34)
25. Strong Rock Christian (12.8)
26. Lakeview Academy (12.39)
27. Fellowship Christian (3.02)
28. Mount Vernon (2.55)
29. Southwest Atlanta Christian (2.05)
30. St. Francis (-1.97)
31. Hebron Christian Academy (-5.73)
32. North Cobb Christian (-15.87)

The ratings are compiled by Loren Maxwell, who has been involved with sports ratings since 1986. Maxwell is an avid sports historian and the founder of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Currently, he is an active duty officer in the Air Force as an instructor at the Air Force Institute of Technology.

36 comments Add your comment

BullDawg Rick

October 15th, 2012
7:35 pm

Being a Buford Wolves fan I like that they are ranked above Gainesville…

That being said, this goes to show ya how asinine & totally stoooopid these polls are. The Red Elephants beat Buford in our own house…

Anyway, I do not get all worked up about these rankings (like some of the south UGA fanz do!!:)) & thank goodness for a playoff!!

Get ready State.. The best sports county in the USA is getting ready to roll thru ya!!

AVikingFan

October 15th, 2012
9:22 pm

Three observations. First, I wish NSWR was still playing in the highest class, and Second, I’m sure Bradwell Institute being 67 in the AAAAA ranking doesn’t sit well with our old friend Sportsfan31313 down in Hinesville. Third, I’m not sure Lowndes deserves to be ranked third in AAAAAA. I’m glad it is, but worry it might not be accurate for our smallish, young team.

rockdale fan

October 15th, 2012
10:00 pm

I’m glad Rockdale County beat Luella Friday night, because if I went by these rankings, Luella would beat us by 4 points this week!!

Also, if Newton beats Rockdale by 16 points at Newton, I’ll come back next week and eat my hat! I think Rockdale wins this game!!!

blu eagle

October 15th, 2012
11:22 pm

These rankings are pretty accurate I have to say based on how a team is currently playing also. NSWR unfortunately is still playing creampuffs so they deserved to drop a spot, but it is fun to see how it pans out!

Columbia Blue Blood

October 15th, 2012
11:47 pm

Of course the biggest tests for Camden will be Lowndes and Colquitt. Even if Camden drops both games they’ll still make a run in the playoffs I’m sure

BROOKS COUNTY 2005

October 16th, 2012
2:20 am

BROOKS COUNTY STILL CANT GET NO GOOD RATING ON BEATING 2 TOP 10 RANK TEAM VALDOSTA AND FITZGERALD

Reeze

October 16th, 2012
3:21 am

@blu eagle , creampuffs is an understatement . This Eagle Team is just as good or even better than our 05 thru 08 squads. It’s a shame that we must be locked into this region….Grovetown dressed and brought down 38! this past weekend…..We have a bigger 9th grade roster. The Eagles and the Demons have no business being in this region with these Augusta schools. I have said all along that we should have stayed in the region with the Valdosta schools. Now that camden have joined we’ll never get back in.

Bogus

October 16th, 2012
4:18 am

This is bogus. In AA Laney is ahead of Screven. Screven has a better record and beat Laney at Laney two weeks ago. Total garbage. Just some poll to give the press something to write about and something for me to fuss about.

cat doc

October 16th, 2012
5:39 am

these rankings are trash and that is where they belong. Get ready Lowndes Co. camden county is coming your way and they are not very happy.

Jacketaxe

October 16th, 2012
7:20 am

I’m sure crying about your ranking helps.

AVikingFan

October 16th, 2012
9:36 am

Reeze — As always, nice post and comments about Region 1. I just wish our old friend ENR had the same concepts. Region 1-AAAAAA with Camden and Brunswick is not as strong of a region as when we had the 3 Houston County teams. Having WR and NSWR along with our current array of teams would give Region 1 nine teams, too any, and it would mean terribly long road trips to Camden from WR for all sports. Too far. Yes you shoulda “stayed in”. I don’t see the door re-opening any time soon.

I don’t care who you are but if you’re a football fan you would have liked the 08 and 09 Lowndes vs NSWR games. Todd Holcomb called the 08 game the most anticipated game in GA HS history, if my memory serves me well. BTW, he was present at the game and sat in the Lowndes press box.

sportsnut

October 16th, 2012
10:03 am

AAAAAA == Camden
Lassiter
Grayson
Lowndes
Norcross
Lovejoy
West Forsyth
North Gwinnett
Parkview
McEachern

AAAAA
Northside-WR
Stephenson
East Paulding
M.L.K.
Gainsville
Thomas County Central
Tucker
Kell
Lee county
Allatoona

AAAA
Sandy Creek
Marist
Burke County
Monroe AreaGrady
Statesboro
Carrollton
Griffin
Jonesboro
Washington

AAA
Peach County
Washington County
Buford
Thomson
St. Pius
Carver-Columbus
Cartersville
Gordon Central
Blessed Trinity
Pierce County

AA
Calhoun
Brooks County
Vidalia
Lamar County
Cook
Jefferson
Fitzgerald
Heard County
Benedictine
Bleckley County

A
Eagles Landing Christian
Lincoln County
ECI
Aquinas
George Walton Academy
Athens Academy
Prince Ave. Christian
Calvary Day
Wilcox County
Walker

sportsnut

October 16th, 2012
10:05 am

This is how GPB ranks them.(Above)

RealisticFan

October 16th, 2012
10:56 am

@sportsnut

Like it but think you are way over rating my East Paulding team. I’d like to think they are that good but really think they end up as maybe barely a top ten team at then end of the year, And that might be the last time they are ranked for a long time. They will slide back into mediocrity or worse over the next few years. It was fun while it lasted

What in the world

October 16th, 2012
11:05 am

So Griffin can get beat by Stockbridge and still be ranked ahead of them?

eagle1

October 16th, 2012
11:10 am

I also wish we were still in the region with Valdosta and Lowndes County! I loved going to Lowndes County to play in the concrete palace! It’s a lot easier drive to Valdosta than to Augusta! GO BIG BLUE!!!!!

Camden74

October 16th, 2012
11:16 am

Hooooooooooo Hummmmmmmmmm…….11:59 December 15, 2012? :-)

sportsnut

October 16th, 2012
12:28 pm

@ Realisticfan == These are not my choices. I just happen to be looking around and found these rankings. I am no longer concerned about our ranking, just wanted to show what someone else is thinking.

Reeze

October 16th, 2012
2:02 pm

@AVikingFan….Agreed , I really enjoyed the two years in your region , really the best region I think Northside had ever been a part of. You could look forward to each and every game with a bit of excitement…..Good rivalries were developing between Northside and Lowndes ,and Valdosta as well.Not only in football , baseball and girls basketball to.

Tipp Smooth

October 16th, 2012
2:52 pm

By week for Camden, but back to business 10/26
against Brunswick @ The Den…

BearFan75

October 16th, 2012
6:00 pm

Wonder hoe it if that when you beat a team in Heads up play and win your get ranked below them. Pierce County is the division leader in region 1-AAA and that should be considered. No respect for PC is common but we will see you in the Postsean. Go Bears !

Todd Holcomb

October 16th, 2012
10:24 pm

”Wonder hoe it if that when you beat a team in Heads up play and win your get ranked below them. Pierce County is the division leader in region 1-AAA and that should be considered.”

‘’So Griffin can get beat by Stockbridge and still be ranked ahead of them?’’

Maxwell’s system doesn’t consider region standings or even head-to-head. It’s all about scores of every game played in the state.

Todd Holcomb

October 16th, 2012
10:29 pm

To go a step further …

Maxwell’s Ratings look at scores more than winning and losing.

For example, if Team A beats Team B by 1 point, but Team B dominates other common opponents while Team A is just getting by, then Maxwell’s system is going to determine that Team B is really better, and the rankings will reflect that.

I’ve had this argument w/ Maxwell in the past. I tell him that readers will have a hard time getting past a situation where Athens Academy is ranked behind Prince Avenue when A.A. is undefeated and defeated P.A. head-to-head. That’s not the way human polls work.

But Maxwell prefers to do it this way and hopes that people will find value in what his system shows. We can disagree all we want about how to rank Athens Academy vs. Prince Avenue or Griffin vs. Stockbridge or Screven County vs. Laney or Pierce County vs. Appling County, but they are ranked the way they are for a reason.

The reason is that the preponderance of the ‘’scores’’ evidence suggests that those games were upsets.

You can take that as an insult and fire an insult back in return and say the ranking are crap, but I choose to see the rankings as informative. Maybe that’s because I don’t have a dog in the fight (or a favorite team) that I’m defending.

I believe the ratings provide many clues as to which teams are overrated and which teams are not. And which games should be viewed as final, and which games should be viewed as ”well, that’s what happened that one time that they happened to play.”

AVikingFan

October 16th, 2012
11:45 pm

I “think” I understand your explanation. Well, not really! But what the heck. I really didn’t think an explanation was needed anyway.

TJ Morris

October 17th, 2012
11:57 am

We need to renew the rivarly between northside and lowndes man those were some good games.

Bogus

October 17th, 2012
12:15 pm

Todd: So based on your explanation of theses bogus ratings if an underdog upsets a heavy favorite in the state championship game then the favorite who lost would still be ranked ahead of the State Champion because it was just an upset. Makes perfect sense to me. About as much sense as a 3-3 team being ranked ahead of a 5-1 team that beat them on their home field. At least we have playoffs so all this is settled on the field instead of by some math genius.

Loren Maxwell

October 17th, 2012
4:49 pm

@Bogus: “if an underdog upsets a heavy favorite in the state championship game then the favorite who lost would still be ranked ahead of the State Champion because it was just an upset.”

I think the scenario you’ve outlined answers your own question – Yes, in a math-based system it is possible for one team that won to be ranked below a team it beat and it happens all the time without causing great alarm to anyone who understands each game is but one sample of two teams’ relative strengths.

This is not a system designed to determine the state championship, nor would I advocate for it to be. Rather, this system is one that determines the relative strength of teams in an objective manner.

The system relies on scores to account for the relative strengths of teams, but just as an astute fan might look at the score of a single game in a broader context, the system does as well. On field results are balanced against past performance, home advantage, and momentum to varying degrees to determine the rating of each team. Taken in isolation, not every game will be perfectly accounted for, but I would intuitively say about 10-15% of football games are indeed upsets that no one can necessarily account for.

In 2007, the New York Giants defeated the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl. Without question, the New York Giants were the NFL champions, but also without question, week in and week out, the New England Patriots fielded one of the best teams in NFL history. Frankly, any mathematical system that doesn’t reflect that would be suspect.

Bogus

October 17th, 2012
7:10 pm

I understand your logic. But to me your rankings are based too heavily on mathematic formulas, and what the math says should happen or even what should have happened. Any rankings should be based on what actually happens when the teams line it up and actually play the game. After all the object of the game is score more points than your opponent is it not? The team with the most points is the winner.

Loren Maxwell

October 17th, 2012
9:23 pm

@Bogus

I’ve done this for years, so I’m well aware mathematical ratings aren’t for everyone, but as Todd mentioned they can provide an insight that isn’t normally available, especially when it comes to identifying patterns and events that are counterintuitive.

I won’t say these are perfect, but they are objective and built on proven mathematical models used to solve many other problems in many other fields. As always, I’ll go back during the off-season to work on improvements based on results from this season. A couple of years ago I extended the preseason effect based on a particular scenario with Camden County. However, it appears I might be weighing the past ratings too much this far into the season. If I were to dial back the past ratings a little bit, the balance would tilt more toward the current season results and we’d see that reflected. As a general rule, I don’t mess with the system during the season, but in a couple of weeks the preseason ratings will drop to the point of being negligible anyway.

Hugh

October 17th, 2012
11:19 pm

The Camden at Lowdnes game will be nationally televised for a reason. Region 1 will have multiple intense rivalries for years to come! Strap on your helments!

itsonlywrite

October 19th, 2012
5:37 am

after watching how NSWR(even though they ran up the score in the second due to a non existent FBHS offense) played earlier this season against FBHS, Camden should have BEEN the top team in all classes… this is a month late… lol

AVikingFan

October 19th, 2012
8:15 am

Last Friday Lowndes defeated Valdosta 17 to 14. Yestreday Lowndes 9th grade defeated Valdosta’s 9th grade at Lowndes’ Martin Stadium, 21 to 6. Across town at Valdosta’s Cleveland Field, Lowndes B Team defeated Valdosta’s B team by the same score, 21 to 6. Not a good week for Valdosta!

Northside Dawg

October 19th, 2012
10:50 am

In the 2nd half of the Northside-Flowery Branch game, it appeared that the Flowery Branch team lost their drive to compete. Northside was playing an ample amount of substitutes, so I hardly believe that Northside was running up the score.

football dad

October 21st, 2012
3:56 pm

I know Chestatee has not done much in the past so they have much still to prove, however for them to be 9 spots behind Eastside & 12 spots behind Stephens Co when we beat them both is kinda hard to believe! Bottom line though is they just have to win (including match up with Monroe Area in 2 weeks) & all will be well!

Columbia Blue

October 21st, 2012
9:06 pm

Our Camden Wildcats cannot overlook Brunswick. I am sure they are a very good team. Our number one objective is to get better each week.

bksmith14

October 21st, 2012
11:09 pm

brunswick has prob the worst defense in the region…on par with tifton

camden wins 55-14