Whitewater, Drew emerge as favorites in 4-AAAAA

Today we conclude our examination of the playoff chances for every team in Class AAAAA with a look at Region 4, which began league play last week.

Keep in mind that no team was given a 100 percent chance of making the playoffs, because there are too many unknowns, and the 95 percent grade was reserved for Tucker and Northside-Warner Robins. Remember also that the top four teams in each region advance to the playoffs.

As always, tell us which teams on the list below are getting too much credit, and which ones are being underestimated.

Also note that Region 4 is subdivided, with the two subregion winners meeting in the region championship game and earning automatic berths in the state playoffs. The second- and third-place teams from each subregion will play crossover games on the final weekend of the regular season to determine the third and fourth state playoff teams.

Whitewater (85%) – The Wildcats have emerged as the region favorites after a 5-1 start and a victory last weekend against 2011 region champion Northgate. They can essentially wrap up the Division B subregion title with a victory against Creekside on Oct. 19.

Drew (75%) – The Titans are the favorites to win Division A and a spot against (most likely) Whitewater in the region championship game. Drew, which played in Class AAA last season, is 4-1 overall and 1-0 in subregion play.

Creekside (60%) – The Seminoles put themselves in good position for a run at the Division B title, and certainly to qualify for the play-in games, with a victory against Starr’s Mill last week.

Union Grove (60%) – If Drew doesn’t win its subregion, the title most likely will go to the Wolverines. But whichever team doesn’t win the subregion will have a good shot at a state playoff berth by winning a play-in game.

Northgate (45%) – The Vikings are 2-4 against a difficult schedule and lost a tough one to Whitewater 33-26 last weekend, but they can get back in the playoff picture if they can knock off Creekside on Friday.

Starr’s Mill (25%) – The Panthers are 2-4, but the losses have come against North Cobb, West Forsyth, Drew and Creekside. Don’t count Starr’s Mill completely out yet.

McIntosh (20%) – The Chiefs’ four victories already match their best win total since 1995, but getting another one is not going to be easy in subregion play.

Mundy’s Mill (10%) – The Tigers are tied for first place in Division A after beating Mount Zion-Jonesboro last week, but a game against Drew on Friday probably marks the beginning of the end.

Ola (10%) – The Mustangs could finish as high as third place in Division A, which would at least give them a shot at the playoffs.

Forest Park (5%) – The Panthers are 0-5 this year and haven’t won more than two games in a season since 2003.

Mount Zion (5%) – The Bulldogs are winless this season and have been outscored 203-32 in their five games.

10 comments Add your comment

Northgate has fallen on hard times

October 9th, 2012
10:18 am

Northgates head coach has fallen into the TD club love fest. So many thought he would run this team. We really miss Lakes. Little Bobby still controls Northgate.

Dekalb County Guy

October 9th, 2012
11:00 am

Well I saw NOrhtgate play several times over the years, including last years undefeated regular season. And while I knew the scheudle would be a little tougher this year,and they lost a lot of seniors I expected them to perform a lot better. The Creekside game is definitly critical for them, but they will have a tough time slowing down the Berry twins. As a parent of a former NOrhtgate student, hope they turn things around. Go Vikings.

RealisticFan

October 9th, 2012
5:27 pm

Northgate is 2-5 over their last 7 games. I think the physical style of play and toughness they saw from East in last years playoff loss has had some residual effects.

"THE CANNON RULES"

October 10th, 2012
7:17 am

Unfortunate NORTHGATE is having this run…When EAST played them last year during the playoffs it was a nice facility, very friendly folks we visited with and a lot of spirit towards the team with a good turnout from the home crowd supporting the kids. I really like the way the band and cheerleaders formed a line for the players to run thru showing support.

Hopefully they can get turned around quickly!

TICK…TICK…TICK…BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM!!!
GO RAIDERS!!!

Northgate is Northgate

October 10th, 2012
12:25 pm

Northgate will be a middle of the road team, until they get a head coach that runs the team. Their TD club is a joke that runs everything. The Berry boys and Creekside will bury them this Friday.

Intheknow

October 10th, 2012
1:34 pm

First a correction to the article: the sub-divided region adopted a different “play-in” scenario, no longer does the sub region #1 get an automatic playoff berth, this season the 1 thru 4 teams from A side will cross over and play the top 4 from B-side, 1 – 4, 2 – 3, 3 – 2, 4 – 1 winners will be seeded and go on to playoffs

Second, there is no longer a touchdown club at Northgate, it was closed due to many uninformed parents blaming Northgate’s failure to have consistent winning seasons on the clubs presence.

Third, early season injuries and replacing a senior ladden offense that had played together since rec-ball have taken a toll on this years team, this school has a difficult task when it comes to football, not one middle school is a sole feeder, while the other 2 public highs each have a sole feeder and get the majority of athletes.

Northgate has had some excellent coaching staffs and excellent athletes, unfortunately you’ve got to a few more numbers of those athletes to compete in this sport and at the higher classes.

Dekalb County Guy

October 10th, 2012
7:30 pm

@ Intheknow

Wow, cant believe the region coaches agreed to go to the 1-4 play in games. I know when region play-in first came about, most were like this, but when a couple of sub region champions ended up losing most went away from that. I could see a Northgate or Starrs Mill crossing over and beating a No.1 from the other side.

Losing seniors and injuries come with the territory though. They do have at least 3 FBS commitments. And I dont really see what having a “sole feeder” school has to do with it. Northgate gets most of the Madras kids though a few go to Newnan. So thats not really a valid argument there.

HSFB Fan

October 10th, 2012
11:00 pm

Region 4 did not agree to a 1 vs. 4 format. The top teams from each sub-division will play a region championship game, and the #2’s will play the #3’s to settle the final 2 spots. 4 is a very underrated region, and the teams are very competitive vs. each other week in and week out.

I'm Keep it REAL

October 10th, 2012
11:47 pm

Northgate has nice defense with Big Moose in middle Super Stud #9. Look like Creekside D has turn the corner. The offense has turn up with Elliott at TB. 19th of oct should be interesting win the guy who built Arrowhead ( Amos Mccreary) returns.

Intheknow

October 11th, 2012
8:01 am

HSFB – Region 4 did indeed agree to a 1 vs 4 format this year….check your info it occured during the region meeting to decide wether to play a full region schedule or to sub-divide, 4 teams voted for a full region sched and were outvoted by other 7, then the vote came in for the “play-in” scenario, those same 7 shot themselves in the foot by agreeing to a 1 – 4 crossover

Dekalb Guy – injuries are definetly part of the game, unfortunately the # of injuries at the same time to key players was crucial to Ngate’s slow start…..as for middle school feeder system….there are 6 middle schools in county….Northgate gets approx 85% of students from Madras, the remaining percentage from 2 , EC and Newnan each have 1 complete school as a feeder, then get a percentage of students from the remaining 3, in this area it makes an impact when it comes to football talent