Early gauge of the new regions: Class A

Here are three observations about the regions that will make up Class A in 2012:

*The regions listed below are based on what is currently proposed by the Georgia High School Association, which is scheduled to meet on Jan. 10 to ratify the regions. There is no way to project any changes the GHSA might make at its executive committee meeting or the impact a much-talked about secession by public schools would have on the region setup.

*The best region, according to the Maxwell Ratings, will be 5-A, which will consist of six football-playing private schools and be the smallest region in Class A. Eagle’s Landing Christian, 2011 runner-up Landmark Christian and Holy Innocents’ are all rated among the top 10 teams in the new Class A.

The chart below might give you a feel for strength of regions and the teams to beat next year.

Make sure you understand how it works:

*The W-L record is each school’s record over the past five years.

*The rating on the right is each team’s power rating for the 2011 season, according to the computer-generated Maxwell Ratings.

*The ranking on the left is how each of the schools ranks in Class A, based on their 2011 results.

Rank

W

L

T

Pct.

Rating

Region 1-A

24

Mitchell County

27

25

0

0.519

37.6

43

Calhoun County

18

33

0

0.353

24.9

48

Miller County

39

21

0

0.650

20.4

52

Terrell County

25

27

0

0.481

17.4

55

Randolph-Clay

19

31

0

0.380

15.3

67

Stewart County

4

45

0

0.082

-0.7

70

Baconton Charter

2

16

0

0.111

-15.4

51.3

Average

19.1

28.3

0

0.404

14.2

Region 2-A

6

Wilcox County

60

8

0

0.882

57.9

12

Charlton County

50

9

1

0.842

50.2

17

Clinch County

53

14

0

0.791

44.2

27

Lanier County

24

26

0

0.480

35.1

34

Irwin County

19

33

0

0.365

29.6

37

Turner County

24

30

0

0.444

28.2

60

Telfair County

11

39

0

0.220

8.2

27.6

Average

34.4

22.7

0.1

0.602

36.2

Region 3-A

1

Savannah Christian

62

7

0

0.899

78.0

14

Calvary Day

27

25

0

0.519

47.0

21

ECI

58

8

0

0.879

40.4

28

Johnson County

41

14

0

0.745

34.0

30

Claxton

24

27

0

0.471

33.2

39

Portal

12

38

0

0.240

27.6

51

Wheeler County

10

40

0

0.200

18.1

57

Treutlen

22

29

0

0.431

13.0

59

Jenkins County

15

35

0

0.300

8.3

62

Montgomery County

13

37

0

0.260

7.5

68

Sav. Country Day

23

31

0

0.426

-4.1

39.1

Average

27.9

26.5

0

0.513

27.5

Region 4-A

13

Marion County

39

16

0

0.709

49.2

16

First Presbyterian

33

23

0

0.589

45.8

20

Dooly County

34

21

0

0.618

40.8

23

Brookstone

45

12

0

0.789

39.1

26

Greenville

39

17

0

0.696

35.4

38

Schley County

26

27

0

0.491

28.1

42

Central (Talbotton)

11

38

0

0.224

25.6

45

Hawkinsville

24

28

0

0.462

22.6

61

Pacelli

16

35

0

0.314

7.8

31.6

Average

29.7

24.1

0

0.552

32.7

Region 5-A

2

ELCA

48

14

0

0.774

69.4

4

Landmark Christian

36

22

0

0.621

61.5

10

Holy Innocents’

41

18

0

0.695

52.7

32

Pace Academy

20

21

0

0.488

32.2

36

Our Lady Of Mercy

21

29

0

0.420

28.8

58

Strong Rock Christian

13

30

0

0.302

10.7

23.7

Average

29.8

22.3

0

0.572

42.6

Region 6-A

15

Darlington

42

18

0

0.700

46.8

22

Mount Paran Christian

23

18

0

0.561

40.4

33

Whitefield Academy

29

26

0

0.527

30.4

40

Walker

13

37

0

0.260

27.3

41

Gordon Lee

20

33

0

0.377

26.7

44

King’s Ridge Christian

12

14

0

0.462

22.9

46

Fellowship Christian

24

29

0

0.453

21.7

47

Mount Pisgah

23

27

0

0.460

20.8

49

Trion

19

34

0

0.358

19.4

53

SW Atlanta Christian

4

36

0

0.100

16.3

69

St. Francis

1

4

1

0.250

-11.5

71

North Cobb Christian

3

35

0

0.079

-21.1

72

Mount Zion (Carroll)

7

43

0

0.700

-32.1

46.3

Average

16.9

27.2

0.1

0.383

16.0

Region 7-A

8

Aquinas

26

27

0

0.491

56.0

9

Wilkinson County

42

19

0

0.689

53.5

11

Warren County

32

24

0

0.571

50.2

29

Hancock Central

11

39

0

0.220

33.5

50

Georgia Military

19

31

0

0.380

19.3

63

Glascock County

21

29

0

0.420

7.0

64

Twiggs County

28

27

0

0.509

2.5

33.4

Average

25.6

28.0

0

0.477

31.7

Region 8-A

3

Lincoln County

56

10

0

0.848

67.6

5

Prince Avenue

31

23

1

0.573

59.1

18

George Walton

42

18

0

0.700

43.8

19

Athens Academy

46

14

0

0.767

43.2

25

Commerce

27

29

0

0.482

37.5

31

Athens Christian

19

31

0

0.380

32.3

54

Pinecrest Academy

33

23

1

0.588

15.9

56

Lakeview Academy

11

23

0

0.324

14.8

65

Hebron Christian

20

17

0

0.541

1.4

66

Towns County

14

36

0

0.280

-0.1

34.2

Average

29.9

22.4

0.2

0.571

31.6

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22 comments Add your comment

John Pinson

December 28th, 2011
9:21 am

Refigure region 1A.Seminole Co should be included with winning record.

c691017

December 28th, 2011
11:22 am

Heck you might wanna scratch out Region 1 altogther with most of region 4!! They will be playing in the GPSA! So there will only be 6 regions instead of eight next year!

c691017

December 28th, 2011
11:23 am

Oops, and region 2! So only 5 regions this upcoming year!!

c691017

December 28th, 2011
11:35 am

I truly hope they do well with thier three regions! One is my alma mater, and I can see Coach Wilson turning over in his grave for them shying away from competition rather than working to top them!!Wonder if anyone knows where Crisp Academy in Warwick, GA is because that’s where they will be playing. Also, Tiftarea is on Hwy 41 going south in Chula, GA..can’t miss it!!

c691017

December 28th, 2011
11:40 am

It will be a great game between Deerfield Windsor & Seminole County!!! Heck they can play it at Hugh Mills Stadium in Albany!!

John

December 29th, 2011
1:13 pm

I doubt 10 schools will actually join the new group of malcontent scared of competition public schools who don’t believe their students are good enough to compete for a state title.

Billy

December 31st, 2011
5:38 pm

It is not about being scared of the competition. Chatham Co. where Savannah Christian is located has a population of over 260,000 to chose from. This does not include the other counties they take kids from. They send in their own FTE count numbers directly to GHSA and they are not limited to a student service area. If you combine Colquit Co., Turner, Irwin, Wilcox, Ben Hill, Coffee, Berrian, Atkinson and Cook Co. you only have a population of 200,000. Public schools are required to send in their FTE count to the state before it goes to GHSA and they are limited to an area in which they can receive kids. Turner, Irwin, Wilcox, and Atkinson Co. have less than 10,000 per county. So explain to me how this is a level playing field. If public schools are so good and well coached why don’t they play up. Oh wait, they are scared of the competition.

Level Playing Field

January 1st, 2012
11:49 am

It would appear Savannah just wants championships, not competition and fairness. Their rating is 78 and their closest region foe is 47. I think your coach may rollover in his grave because you want to keep beating up on the little guys instead of playing somebody your own size.

showboat

January 1st, 2012
10:00 pm

Level, there are so many things you clearly don’t understand about this that I don’t know where to begin – but I will try.
1) GHSA sets the regions. SCPS could say, “We want to play in a division with only comparable ratings as we have” but GHSA is setting regions based on geography so that teams don’t have to travel all over the state. So your comment about fairness and competition has only to do with geography.
2) About the ratings – that was over a 5 year period. If you knew much about Region 3, the competition last year was pretty strong. A 5 year period isn’t the same thing as last year, much less next year. Not shown is Bryan County, who was also a strong school last year but moved up to AA.
3) I would be interested in how the Maxwell Ratings were calculated, as there seems to be a lot more involved that shown. Wilcox has a similar W/L record but their score is much less. Same with ECI.

To Billy, the whole population thing sounds good but doesn’t work like that. There are quite a few schools in the Savannah area, as well as quite a few private schools. The School Board decides who goes to what public school, and the private schools are dictated by who can afford to attend and who enrolls. I think it says a lot that ALL of the private schools in Savannah are small – only Benedictine is AA, and that is because it is a single gender school. Also, many of these schools are Christian, meaning you are reducing the population further from financial access, ability to meet academic standards, and also agree with the Christian philosophy taught at these schools. All these factors reduce DRAMATICALLY the population attending ANY of these private schools.

Once again, many want one set of rules for ONE school but really has no issue with schools with similar success that are public schools. Where is the call for Lincoln or Wilcox or ECI even to move up? All have had similar records in the last 5 years.

Level Playing Field

January 1st, 2012
10:39 pm

When the GHSA set the regions, Savannah could have petitioned to move up to 2A, but you didn’t. I know, you would have to play up in all sports and that just isn’t feasible. Quit playing down in football and take Wilcox and ELCA and ECI with you. If you are scared, say scared.

showboat

January 2nd, 2012
12:12 pm

Level Playing Field, I’m not scared, but apparently you and your school are because you fear playing a good football team, so are desperately trying to egg other schools to leave their class so your team can win a championship. To the fact, please look at SCPS schedule before you throw accusations – they beat a AAAA school this year enroute to being undefeated, as well as Metter (now AA), Bryan Co. (now AA), McIntosh Co (AA) – they aren’t playing down in terms of school size. Who did your school play out of their region?

Todd Holcomb

January 2nd, 2012
1:11 pm

Sorry, we did leave out Seminole, and I don’t know how to fix it immediately. But Seminole is 37-20 over the past five years and would rank #1 in Region 1-A and #7 overall.

Jose

January 2nd, 2012
3:56 pm

Level, you seem to misunderstand why a school is A vs AA etc. It’s about current school populations. Savannah Christian has 478 students enrolled for the 2011-12 school year. The smallest AA school has 526 students (Greene County) with most school having and average of about 750 students. It has nothing to do with win/loss records.

Level Playing Field

January 2nd, 2012
7:43 pm

Jose, you seem to be missing the point of what everyone else is complaining about. Being a private school, Savannah is not bound by a geographic limitation like public schools. If a public school’s talent pool is just not that strong, they have to just try to coach them up or convince better talent to physically move into their school district (and some do). Private schools can just invite whomever they like or the families can choose them (semantics).

That is why 32 or so of the schools are trying to secede so they don’t face that possibility.

showboat

January 2nd, 2012
8:20 pm

You left out the whole “it costs a lot of money to send your kid to school here” part, Level. And seriously, there aren’t any athletic scholarships at SCPS (please, don’t call it Savannah – it is Savannah Christian Preparatory School; Savannah is a CITY). SCPS has all the limitations of a class a school – small student body population – with the addition that a kid could transfer at any time if they feel like it.

The 32 school are THINKING about leaving because they can’t get the GHSA to give them their way. They refuse to compromise. Per Wilcox principal, they don’t even want to compete in one act plays with private schools.

Level Playing Field

January 2nd, 2012
8:41 pm

Showboat I was talking to Jose. It is clear that you are going to say anything to rationalize the situation, so thanks, but no thanks.

LARRY

January 2nd, 2012
9:40 pm

Doesn’t matter. It’s all about money. Thats why private schools recruit and play lower competition. Just giving fans a reason to pay their hard earned money and support what appears to be a superior team.Notice how privates don’t infiltrate the other classifications. Until this year, they would get their butts kicked and mysteriously move down to double and even single A. Private school sports are a joke.

showboat

January 3rd, 2012
5:55 am

Level, right back at you. A day before, it was about private school’s being chicken. Today, it is about unfair advantages. YOU choose – are you upset that dominant schools won’t move up to AA, or that private schools have an unfair advantage.

And to your point: EVERYTHING is a rationalization. It is called proving your point. People only use it as a demeaning term when it goes against their argument.

Jose

January 3rd, 2012
8:56 pm

Georgia is probably the only State in the country having this small school mellowdrama. Florida the problem is the opposite. Miami private schools have trouble competing with the small schools in North Florida at the state championship level. While Miami schools can draw from a larger area, other private schools are collecting from the same area while still having a limited school enrollment. So the private schools loose most of their prospective students to public schools while loosing even more to other private schools. Small public schools in North Florida collect ALL of the students from their county. But that isn’t an excuse to whine about. They are aware of that and many of those private schools spend a good amount of $ on their coaching staff.

Both Florida and Georgia have rules set into the Associations that makes recruiting for the purpose of athletics illegal. Page 21 Section 1.70 http://www.ghsa.net/files/documents/Constitution/Constitution_2011-2012.pdf already clarifies that students may have no financial gain, scholarships, etc for the purpose of sports. In Florida, you have to sit out a year of varsity sports if you transferred from another school in which you played a varsity sport in. I think they should implement that rule here in Georgia as well. Aside from that, most of the folks in S. Georgia whining about all of this just sound like soccer moms complaining that their 3 year old aren’t getting enough play time and their kid just need a fare share winning state championships. Whatever happened to training harder.

c691027

January 4th, 2012
4:36 pm

Level- When I played at Turner we were a force. We always took a challenge including Tift County & Worth County & lately Crisp County who are WAY bigger schools than us but a border rivals. In fact, we used to play Fitzgerald & Cook every year as well. My son plays at SCPS. But, the economy forced a lot of people away. Ashburn has always been a rural commuting town. When industry went away so did the families where the players came from. BUT, the tradition of toughness should rise again. I am proud to be a Rebel, but I am equally proud my son won the state championship this year as a Raider with his team.

Level Playing Field

January 5th, 2012
6:44 am

c69 – If SCPS wanted to play better competition and have those games really count. If they wanted to face tougher opponents throughout the playoffs, they would petition and move up in classification.

All indications are that SCPS has played larger schools and beaten them consistently, so make it official. If you took pride in playing strong teams at Turner, this gives SCPS the chance to win a championship at the next level up.

I know there are a few other “powerhouse” teams who will still dominate class A.

showboat

January 5th, 2012
10:57 am

Since Level is ignoring me, I speak these words to everyone else:

Think for a moment why SCPS isn’t jumping the gun and moving up. The school size will get there soon – why rush it? Instead, do your best to prepare by scheduling larger schools out of region to test yourself. Also, give the other sports a chance to prepare, as most of them are not at the same level as the football team. Moving up doesn’t solve GHSA’s issues with the 33 schools – there are still quite a few private schools that played quite well this season who aren’t as close as SCPS to moving up.

I personally would love to see SCPS play Buford and Calhoun but geographically they are way too far away to play in the regular season. I would love SCPS to be in Class AA but waiting a year or two and hopefully build back up (who left due to the recession) the student body makes sense.

SCPS has played in Class AA before during the whole multiplier period and they were trounced year after year. They clearly weren’t ready for that. (I believe they were also in Class AAA for a while as well.) They game isn’t different but the depth is. I think they have, via the Middle School program as well as giving the second and third string playing time against significant competition, have built up a disciplined group of players that have confidence in their abilities and in the game plan. They are far better prepared today in football than they were then. Of course, the other sports are a different story.

As I’ve said before, this all become mute if the 33 teams leave: then likely GHSA would have to drop many AA schools to single A to fill out the class.