Early gauge of the new regions: Class AA

Here are three observations about the regions that will make up Class AA in 2012:

*Defending state champion Calhoun has won 11 consecutive region titles and appears to be in a good position to extend that streak in 2012. The Yellow Jackets’ region contains no other team rated higher than No. 13 (Pepperell) by the Maxwell Ratings, and Calhoun is 9-0 against Pepperell since 1980.

*The state’s smallest region in any classification will be 6-AA, which will have just five teams. If Hapeville Charter chooses to play a non-region schedule, then Greater Atlanta Christian, Lovett, Westminster and Wesleyan will have automatic playoff berths, although all four teams are regular playoff participants regardless of the size of their regions.

*The strongest region, according to Maxwell, will be 1-AA, which will have perennial playoff teams Fitzgerald, Brooks County, Cook and Thomasville. All four teams are rated among the top nine in Class AA, and Early County is No. 17. Even the region’s lowest-rated team (Berrien at No. 46) has a higher rating than at least one team in every other region.

The chart below might give you a feel for strength of regions and the teams to beat next year.

Make sure you understand how it works:

*The W-L record is each school’s record over the past five years.

*The rating on the right is each team’s power rating for the 2011 season, according to the computer-generated Maxwell Ratings.

*The ranking on the left is how Maxwell ranks each of the schools  in Class AA, based on their 2011 results.

Rank

W

L

T

Pct.

Rating

Region 1-AA

2

Fitzgerald

55

11

0

0.833

67.8

3

Brooks County

40

21

0

0.656

65.2

6

Cook

42

22

0

0.656

60.5

9

Thomasville

40

21

1

0.653

55.4

17

Early County

21

30

0

0.412

50.2

45

Pelham

10

41

0

0.196

18.6

46

Berrien

12

37

1

0.250

18.2

18.3

Average

31.4

26.1

0.3

0.546

48.0

Region 2-AA

21

Benedictine

22

30

0

0.423

43.7

23

Bacon County

18

33

0

0.353

38.9

24

Vidalia

30

23

0

0.566

38.0

30

McIntosh Co. Ac.

33

23

0

0.589

34.8

31

Jeff Davis

21

29

0

0.420

33.4

35

Metter

17

33

0

0.340

29.2

39

Bryan County

14

37

0

0.275

27.6

43

Toombs County

23

31

0

0.426

21.2

57

Long County

9

41

0

0.180

5.4

60

Atkinson County

11

39

1

0.225

-2.7

36.3

Average

20.8

31.9

0.1

0.383

27.0

Region 3-AA

7

Dublin

48

14

0

0.774

58.5

12

Laney

32

22

0

0.593

52.9

37

Screven County

23

28

0

0.451

28.9

38

East Laurens

15

36

0

0.294

28.9

41

Josey

14

36

0

0.280

25.8

42

Westside (Aug.)

17

33

0

0.340

23.2

49

Harlem

14

36

0

0.280

14.9

32.3

Average

23.3

29.3

0

0.443

33.3

Region 4-AA

5

Lamar County

28

27

0

0.509

62.4

14

Putnam County

29

24

1

0.546

51.8

19

Bleckley County

19

32

0

0.373

47.0

22

Northeast

31

22

0

0.585

40.6

29

Monticello

12

38

0

0.240

35.1

32

Taylor County

23

27

0

0.460

33.1

51

Crawford County

11

39

0

0.220

12.0

55

Macon County

19

34

0

0.358

9.4

28.4

Average

21.5

30.4

0.1

0.415

36.4

Region 5-AA

16

Bowdon

35

21

0

0.625

50.5

20

Bremen

46

16

0

0.742

46.8

25

Heard County

32

23

0

0.582

36.9

36

Temple

13

38

0

0.255

29.1

40

Manchester

25

27

0

0.481

26.9

50

Chatt. Co.

29

24

0

0.547

14.7

52

Spencer

13

37

0

0.260

11.0

53

Kendrick

7

43

0

0.140

10.4

62

Jordan

10

40

0

0.200

-8.3

39.3

Average

23.3

29.9

0

0.438

24.2

Region 6-AA

4

GAC

31

25

0

0.554

64.3

8

Lovett

50

17

0

0.746

57.2

10

Westminster

41

19

0

0.683

54.3

15

Wesleyan

49

13

0

0.790

50.6

61

Hapeville

0

4

0

0.000

-3.5

19.6

Average

34.2

15.6

0

0.687

44.6

Region 7-AA

1

Calhoun

65

7

0

0.903

89.8

13

Pepperell

43

16

0

0.729

52.0

26

Armuchee

26

25

0

0.510

36.4

27

Chattooga

31

21

0

0.596

36.3

33

Dade County

23

29

0

0.442

32.3

34

Coosa

23

28

0

0.451

32.3

47

Model

13

37

0

0.260

18.1

59

Murray County

7

43

0

0.140

-1.3

30.0

Average

28.9

25.8

0

0.529

37.0

Region 8-AA

11

Jefferson

44

13

0

0.772

53.9

18

Wash.-Wilkes

25

30

1

0.455

47.1

28

Oglethorpe Co.

12

38

0

0.240

36.1

44

Greene County

23

29

0

0.442

21.0

48

Union County

20

30

0

0.400

17.9

54

Rabun County

7

43

0

0.140

9.9

56

Riverside Mil.

21

32

0

0.396

8.3

58

Social Circle

15

38

0

0.283

1.5

39.6

Average

20.9

31.6

0.1

0.398

42.7

4 comments Add your comment

ComeOn

December 27th, 2011
11:08 am

A region with automatic playoff spots — that is a joke. That region should not get 4 spots then.

Leean740

December 27th, 2011
12:20 pm

Agreed, no region should have a guarantee for playoffs for all 4 teams. Need to pull in closest teams from surrounding regions to get more teams.

Columbus

December 27th, 2011
6:23 pm

The people that dfo this are idiots or influenced or just dont care…. there needs to be a leader on this thing with integrity that cares most for the student-athletes and about fairness and equality. Put some of the dominating schools that pull from a larger and all-county population in with schools with a larger enrollment because the dominating schools are pulling from as large or larger population even though they are smaller. The BEST athletes from the ENTIRE county are going to ONE county school(Buford for example) basically and that is unfair to EVERYONE, especially the schools who have little chance year-after-year of winning a state championship and that is taking away kids dreams and how they too can treat others unfairly and that is wrong and unfair and people should be ashamed of doing this. What kind of people are doing this and why and how are they getting away with it? I mean EVERY year many schools have no chance of competing because of high schools with stacked rosters due to unfair advantage in the population and them getting the best athletes year after year after year after year…….

Kramers2009

December 29th, 2011
3:45 pm

I agree its ridic that a region has 5 teams.. but luckily thaat particular region, 6-AA has 4 really strong teams that alwasy have very respectable squads. GAC, Lovett, Westminster and Wesleyan have teams that should always be in the top 15 or 20 teams in AA. So no absolute joke of a team will get in out of this region. Thats the good news.