AAA football blog: Semifinal predictions

A look at the Class AAA quarterfinals:

Cairo (11-2) at Peach County (12-1): Peach and Cairo have played two common opponents so far, putting up similar scores against Perry. Cairo needed overtime to beat Worth County, whom Peach routed in the playoffs. Each team has played five games decided by a touchdown or less. Cairo is 3-2 in those games, while Peach is 4-1. Peach County WR Robinson has 47 catches for 892 yards and nine touchdowns, and QB Kentel Kendrick has completed 72 percent of his passes for 1,905 yards and 16 TDs, perhaps posing a test for the Cairo defense unlike anything it has faced to this point. The ‘Makers have four shutouts and have held seven opponents to less than 10 points, and they’ve been the better of the two defenses over the past five weeks. But can they make someone other than Robinson beat them?
Prediction: Peach County 24, Cairo 20

Burke County (12-1) at Gainesville (12-1): Gainesville, which knocked off defending champion Sandy Creek last week, now owns the longest winning streak in AAA (12 in a row), and the central question in this one is whether Burke can slow down sensational sophomore QB Deshaun Watson, who has 2,914 passing yards and 943 rushing yards and has accounted for 53 touchdowns. It’s an altogether different challenge than the Bears faced last week against Allatoona and its 2,000-yard RB Miles Jones. There are no common opponents, but there is this: Burke beat Allatoona 32-28 and needed a late touchdown to get that win. Allatoona beat Dalton with a late comeback. Gainesville hung 48 points on Dalton. Of the two semifinals, this one figures to be the bigger shootout.
Prediction: Gainesville 38, Burke 34

Class AAA semifinals by the numbers:

467 – number of plays through 14 games Watson has either passed or run for Gainesville

8 – opponents who have been held to a touchdown or less by both Burke County and Peach County

123 – yards rushing last week by Cairo QB Steven Bench

3 – state championships won by both Cairo and Peach County

41.2 – average points scored by Burke County, the highest of the four remaining teams

109 – points scored in the playoffs by Burke

8.6 – average points allowed by Peach County, the lowest of the four remaining teams

23 – points allowed in the playoffs by Cairo, the fewest of the four remaining teams

10 – total number of shutouts by the four semifinal teams (by comparison, AAAA semifinalist Lovejoy has eight)

58 comments Add your comment

jimmy

November 30th, 2011
10:13 pm

Burke co. Is the only team of the final four who hasn’t won a state title. The time has come. Beware the hungry bears.

footballer

December 1st, 2011
7:58 am

They did this, they did that, they beat them, they lost to them. None of that matters! All that matters is who’s still standing at the end of the fight. Some teams match up well with some teams, and some don’t. I believe the BC bears will win it all cause they want it bad. My prediction BC wins 31-17 but no one can see the future so we’ll just have to wait and see. All teams remaining are good, and capable. It’ll be a fight till the end! GO BEARS!!!

footballer

December 1st, 2011
8:20 am

Why compare what Gainsvile did to dalton and what Allatoona did to them there record was 6-5 I think. What does that have to do with the price of corn in China. BC didn’t play dalton, and if you look back you’ll see that Dalton lost a game 72-0 to a team that had a 1-9 record.Come on guys!!! Lmao!

'Maker

December 1st, 2011
8:46 am

I notice people keep forgetting that Cairo’s two loses were to AAAA schools, both only by 3 point (17-14) real early in the season. Our boys have stepped up & have next week’s Championship in their sights. Our seniors were freshman when we won the last state championship & truly want to be the ones who can say they did it twice! Gonna be a great game but I don’t have a doubt we can pull it out. GO CAIRO!!!!

Max Sizemore

December 1st, 2011
8:52 am

Watching Cairo last week on the internet feed, I was very impressed, especially with the defensive line. They get low, and the come off the ball. There is some superior coaching being done at that school.

Max Sizemore

December 1st, 2011
8:52 am

should read: “and they come off the ball.”

wayne

December 1st, 2011
8:52 am

if you want to compare games take this into consideration. Gainesville beat monroe by 3 points, Baldwin beat monroe by 3, and Burke county blew out Baldwin. Comparing games is not much to consider at this point. Burke County should have beat Allatoona by two touchdowns. Two TD were called back due to penalties. I have been to most of all of BC games the only thing that may hurt us is we tend to get too many penalties called. I am looking forward to a good ball game and if we get to the QB as we have against most of the teams and reduce our penalties, we should win by a TD. Defense win championships, if we play hard nose football and smack them in the mouth we should move on to the dome. If Gainesville can’t stop the run they will have a long night, we have five or six players that will run hard all game.

footballer

December 1st, 2011
9:07 am

@Wayne You hit the nail in the head with that statement about comparisons. I actually came back on here to say almost the exact same thing.

wayne

December 1st, 2011
9:15 am

Footballer I think it is more important on how well you match up against a certain team. I do think if we don’t get to the QB it will be tough to win I don’t have much confidence in our defensive backs.

footballer

December 1st, 2011
9:43 am

I agree but our d-backs have gotten better! They’ve made big plays and stopped the past this season when teams have tried to come back in us. They’ll just have to do it pretty much the whole game against Gainesville. It wont be easy but there capable of stopping the pass. It’ll be a good game and could go ether way. But I believe we will prevail victoriously. Peace out. And good look to all teams.

NYCDAWGFAN

December 1st, 2011
9:46 am

Wayne and Footballer, I had to break my silence because you guys are exactly right!! It’s just another showing of the AJC’s lack of respect for our team… They picked Baldwin over us early in the season, then picked Thompson in the region championship… Not to mention they said, earlier this year, that we had one of the easiest schedules in 3A (Yeah, right) even though we played the following ranked (at the time) teams, Waco, Thompson, Baldwin, and Lowndes (5A)…I’m actually glad they have picked Gainesville… We always win when they pick against us:O) Bears win by two scores in this one… Gainesville is a good ball club but, like St. Pius, they are a one trick pony. Once we contain or knockout (not talking smack Chilidawg:O) just pointing out a fact that the Bears have a knack for removing players of impact from games) that Stud QB (he is awesome) the game will be over. Love them Bears… Oh, by the way AJC (I will always read you) your darling Tucker Tigers are led by a BC Bear so show his Alma mater some love… PLEASE!!!

Red and Black til Death

CLASSES OF 89 BIG G

December 1st, 2011
9:52 am

prediction what is prediction they had predic that thomson would have beat them bears so watch them prediction the bears will take this one35 to24 thats myprediction go bc go bc comon burkecounty

Bill Stanfill

December 1st, 2011
10:10 am

Peach County played one AAAA team this year and won–Warner Robins, which is in the AAAA semifinals.

PC lost their starting quarterback just before the season began, a real blow. It took a while for the offense to get going but they’re playing well now.

PC is looking forward to a tough game against a very good Cairo squad. High school football at its best this weekend!

footballer

December 1st, 2011
10:13 am

COME OOOOOOON BURKE COUNTY, COME OOOOON BURKE COUNTY!!!! Now go bears!!

Birddog Capitol

December 1st, 2011
10:20 am

Is the same guy that pick thomson to beat Burke ? How that work out for u?

chilidawg

December 1st, 2011
10:42 am

Looking forward to welcoming Burke County to City Park tomorrow night for what should be a fantastic game. High school football in December, can it get much better?

PeachCountyTrojans79

December 1st, 2011
11:09 am

Peach County is ready for Cairo this week. Two good teams facing off. But only one can win. Peach should advance.

HS football fanatic

December 1st, 2011
2:25 pm

Wow, you Burke fans have opened up everyone’s eyes! Just give Burke the title now. I mean they have 8 backs that run 3.9 40’s, they will rush for 800 yards (in the 1st half alone), a defense that will knockout out all 6 of the opposition’s skill players ( on the first play of the game), and of course Burke has been “disrespected”- Burke by 90…. in the 1st half…..Peach/Cairo have NO chance against them…Burke by 75 in the title game….1st half line….

footballer

December 1st, 2011
3:30 pm

@HS football fanatic Your a real class act. Lol….Burke fans are just proud of there Bears and the love there team! That’s just the small town way! Nobody said all the crap you said. Grow up!!! Let the fans talk about there team. Talk doesn’t matter anyway, what happens on the field does. Bye now… Once again ….GO BEARS !!!!

NYCDAWGFAN

December 1st, 2011
3:30 pm

HS football fanatic : Dude, really? How about support a team and brag about them. That’s all we are doing. Your sarcasm says nothing except that, maybe, your team is no longer in the playoffs.

Red and Black til Death

Patriot Power

December 1st, 2011
3:51 pm

Gainesville – 45, Burke – 28
Peach – 10, Cairo – 7

Go Red Elephants and Trojans!

PeachCountyTrojans79

December 1st, 2011
5:11 pm

Patriot Power, Peach is going to make your prediction look good. Cairo is tough, there is no doubt about it. But Peach is ready. Good luck to you guys next year. Peach fans are very impressed with what you guys have going on in tyrone.. I know I am anyway. Peach County over Cairo… Score doesn’t matter, but what the heck.. 26-14.. They may jump out early. But you have to play four quarter’s to beat us. Haven’t seen enough of Gainesville and Burke. So I won’t make a fool of myself. lol

bcbearsfan!

December 1st, 2011
6:09 pm

I was born a BEAR I bleed black and blue I love the burke county bears how about you?
Good luck bears! gainesville get ready for a lot of harper chumps.

bcbearsfan!

December 1st, 2011
6:10 pm

Gator chumps

BEARSFAN

December 1st, 2011
7:36 pm

GOT A BUNCH OF FANS COMING CAN WE TAIL GATE AT YALLS HOUSE PLEASE? DONT WANT TO GO TOO WAL MART PARKING LOT. WELL IT DOESNT MATTER IF YOU SAY YEA WE WILL OCUPY YOUR TOWN PARK UNTIL TOMORROW ABOUT10.30 11 WE WILL GO HOME HAPPY AND GET READY FOR THE DOME BC 35 17

bcbearsfan!

December 1st, 2011
8:05 pm

Both teams have played very well during the season and playoffs
Good luck to both teams tomorrow but the bears will come out on top.
21-17. Attention all bear fans we will meet at Goldbergs at 11:00
When them bears go by to gainesville bring your banners flags and cow bells
Good luck bears eat them elephants up…….

Jay Stone

December 1st, 2011
8:14 pm

Yes. Same guy. Aside from being wrong — hey, it happens — it worked out fine.

Jay Stone

December 1st, 2011
8:22 pm

Dalton was officially 4-7, but they forfeited four wins. They were a 7-2 team on the field heading into the region play-in and would’ve been no worse than a 2 seed. Which in my mind makes Gainesville’s win over them pretty impressive. And then, of course, they went out and beat Sandy Creek by two touchdowns. While I knew the Burke fans would howl at this prediction, there seems to be a destiny-like feel with this Gainesville group.

Jay Stone

December 1st, 2011
8:24 pm

I didn’t forget Cairo’s two losses. In looking for common opponents, I noticed Peach beat Warner Robins (that’s the same WR team that is in the AAAA semifinals), which beat both of those teams.

bcbearsfan!

December 1st, 2011
8:29 pm

Well seems to me like them elephants havent meet a BEAR yet!!!
GGGGOOOO BBBIIIGGGG BBBLLLUUEEE…..#1 BABY

NYCDAWGFAN

December 1st, 2011
9:00 pm

Jay stone: Your garbage ability of knowing football and making predictions did work out pretty well for BC… As i stated before, every time you pick against us we win… If I was a Gainesville fan I would be pretty mad that you picked my team… You should talk to the best in the biz (Chad Simmons of Scout) and find out how to assess talent.

Red and black til death

tucka.tigas

December 1st, 2011
9:39 pm

Jay Stone: Keep your predictions coming. That’s one of the things you get paid to do. The fans, be it Burke Co. or anyone else, make predictions on thier “one” team every week, you make predictions on “many”. Who has the best chance of making the wrong call??? C’mon Bear fans. I made a prediction last year, Burke vs. Carrollton, and guess what, I was wrong. And this year, I’m sticking with those Burke Co. Bears. I’m not changing my mind because I picked the wrong team last year. I went to school with many of the parents whose child will be on that field tomorrow night in Gainesville. I will be right there cheering for the none other than the Burke Co. Bears. That’s my choice, that’s your choice, and guess what, that’s Jay’s choice.

tucka.tigas

December 1st, 2011
9:45 pm

Let me clarify the end of my recent post. Bears being the winner is not Jay’s choice, but he has his, just as you have yours. NYCDawg Fan, Footballer, I agree, HS Football Fanatic definitely needs to grow up, but practice what you preach. GO BEARS!!!!!!!!!!

maker4life

December 1st, 2011
10:24 pm

all the way cairo

Ridgerunner

December 1st, 2011
10:24 pm

Now now folks it is going to be a great game of course, BUT if you should remember, the A.J.C. has,let me see I believe it was the last three games has predicted for the CAIRO SYRUPMAKES to lose. Well now what we have here is a failure to communicate,on the paper that is. See on the field Friday boys. GO SYURPMAKERS TAKE IT ALL THE WAY TO THE DOME.

Birddog Capitol

December 1st, 2011
10:34 pm

AJC don’t sell many papers in Cairo or waynesboro

Bearcat Cook

December 1st, 2011
11:36 pm

I live in Augusta Ga and those Burke County Bears will be hitting so hard the Red Elephants will be so PUNCH DRUNK and will not know what HIT em till its over and they lose by 3 TDS. It won’t be close except in the first quarter. The Burke County Bears will be playing SMACK MOUTH football. Eric Parker is a GREAT Coach and he will be practicing all next week preparing to ROME in the DOME next weekend. GO BIG BLUE. Wish it was in Waynesboro so I could GO see it LIVE.

Jay Stone

December 2nd, 2011
12:44 am

NYC: Well, I promise to use my power only for good … Want me to pick LSU?

dreadhead5

December 2nd, 2011
8:50 am

BC HAS 2 MANY WEAPONS ON OFFENSE 2 B STOPPED AS LONG AS WE PLAY LIKE WE BEEN PLAYIN WE GOIN 2 BLOW THEM OUT. BC HASN’T BEEN STOPPED ALL YEAR INCLUDING THE PLAYOFFS SO WAT MAKES U THINK THE RED ELEPHANTS CAN. YEA THEY BEAT SC BUT SC WAS LOOKIN AHEAD @ BC. BC 35 RED ELEPHANT 14

NYCDAWGFAN

December 2nd, 2011
9:40 am

Hey Jay: You know it’s all in fun bro… Like I said, I will always read the AJC. You guys keep me connected to home better than any other paper in GA and I need that being stuck up here in Yankee land where the high school football is garbage:O)… So yeah, pick LSU and make the Red and Black win :O)

Tuck.tigas: You better pull for Coach Stephens home town:O).. And we are just pointing out what seems very much like a bias against our squad… I remember many predictions last year (during our run to the semi’s) that were against Tha County… The reason why it kinda stands out to us is because our local market (Augusta channels and papers) kinda does the same thing and we just expect more from the (in my opinion) best newspaper in the state.

Red and Black til Death

ChiliCheese

December 2nd, 2011
11:41 am

Wayne, not that it matters at this stage of the season, but Baldwin did not beat Monroe. And your right, penalties do hurt and more than likely will play a major role in the BC loss tonight.

dreadhead5

December 2nd, 2011
11:47 am

ChiliCheese, we aint worried bout penalties only wa they play a part is if the zebras feel sorry 4 yall and try 2 lessin the butt whippin yall gonna get

Indian73

December 2nd, 2011
12:39 pm

Glad Burke County has a nice football team. Reading through some of their posts this season says the education received there leaves a lot to be desired.

NYCDAWGFAN

December 2nd, 2011
12:50 pm

Indian73: Don’t judge all of us by the comments of a few :O) Actually, our education is pretty darn good… Far better than the cheating High Schools of the ATL :o ) Or did you forget that you guys actually weren’t teaching your kids anything at all?… That’s a rather funny comment coming from a blogger whose name is “Indian”… You know that is not the preferred nomenclature don’t you?… You do know what nomenclature means right?

Red and Black til Death

95BCBear4Lyfe

December 2nd, 2011
1:47 pm

I’m looking forward to some great AAA football. I expect my Bears to play hard and look out for the team to play hard for there teammate. I also think this gam ewill be close 42 to 35 BC. As far as the Cairo Peach Co game I expect another close game. 17-10 Peach. We shall see. I’ll be rooting for Tucker also as Franklin Stephens goes for his 2nd State Championship.

95BCBear4Lyfe

December 2nd, 2011
1:49 pm

*2nd appearence in the State Championship.

Brick

December 2nd, 2011
1:51 pm

Afraid Cairo is going to kick some serious Trojan axx in Ft.Valley tonight

NYCDAWGFAN

December 2nd, 2011
2:23 pm

95Bear You were right the first time.. He already won a title at Tucker, and I believe he may have one as the DC at Camden a few years back

Red and Black til Death

Indian73

December 2nd, 2011
5:47 pm

Only took one homer from NYC to make my point.

chilidawg

December 2nd, 2011
9:49 pm

Ouch! Talk about a trip to the woodshed. Good luck in the dome, Burke Co.