The Georgia High School Football Daily’s Weekend Predictions: Who’s winning and losing in Week Eight

By CHIP SAYE
For the AJC

There are four weeks to go in the regular season, but we already know who a lot of the region champions will be.

We know that Grayson is going to win Region 8-AAAAA. We know that Camden County is going to win 3-AAAAA (OK, we’ve always known that). And we know that McEachern is all but set in 5-AAAAA.

In other regions, there is way too much football to be played to even hazard a guess as to who takes first place. Who will emerge from the Marist-Southwest DeKalb-Tucker-Stone Mountain logjam atop 6-AAAA? Who comes out on top in 6-AAAAA, where Lassiter, Roswell and Walton are tied at 6-0 overall and 5-0 in the region? Which 8-AA team survives the three-way battle among Jefferson, East Jackson and North Oconee?

Then there are the other regions, ones for which a lot of the answers will come tonight.

Stephenson at M.L. King: This 6 p.m. game at Hallford Stadium has it all — big-time college prospects on both sides, neighborhood bragging rights and a national TV audience on ESPNU. At stake is a big leg up in the Region 2-AAAAA race. The winner still has work to do, because undefeated Union Grove is tied for the region lead and still plays both teams. But Union Grove was 6-0 at this point last year, too, and proceeded to lose to Stephenson and M.L. King by a combined score of 60-17. Stephenson is ranked No. 7 and M.L. King is No. 8, so let’s go with Stephenson.
After all, haven’t we learned from college football’s BCS system that the rankings are an exact science?

Newnan at Westlake: Newnan was supposed to be in this position. The fourth-ranked Cougars are the defending 4-AAAAA champions and have won 22 consecutive region games, 10 of them by shutout. Westlake, on the other hand, lost 14 players to college football off a team that didn’t make the playoffs in 2008. The Lions went out and lost to Class AAAA Banneker in their opener. But Westlake has rebounded in a big way, winning five straight region games by an average score of 38-14. The winner of tonight’s game all but wraps up the region title. Westlake proved last week how dangerous it can be, rolling past a good Creekside team 36-16, but beating Newnan might be just a little too much to ask. Look for Newnan to win its fourth straight region title.

Collins Hill at Peachtree Ridge: Region 7-AAAAA is a complicated one. Because every team does not play every other team, first-place teams Collins Hill and North Gwinnett won’t meet in the regular season. Peachtree Ridge, the other team tied for first, has to play them both, starting with Collins Hill tonight. A Collins Hill victory likely gives it no worse than a share of first place. A Peachtree Ridge win sets up a winner-take-all showdown with North Gwinnett in the finale on Nov. 6. Peachtree Ridge wins tonight and heads for the showdown.

Elsewhere: Johnson County knocks off Emanuel County Institute for the 3-A West title, setting up a meeting with Savannah Christian in the region championship game on Nov. 6. … Lassiter beats Milton to keep pace with Roswell and Walton at the top of 6-AAAAA. … Hillgrove beats Sprayberry and will play Hiram next week with a chance to win its first subregion championship.

The weekend predictions
Last week: 138-30 (.821); Overall: 910-255 (.781)

Friday
Winner – Loser
Adairsville – Chattooga
Alexander – Tri-Cities
Allatoona – Locust Grove
Apalachee – Loganville
Appling Co. – Brantley Co.
Armuchee – Coosa
Athens Acad. – Athens Christian
Avondale – GAC
Bainbridge – Hardaway
Baldwin – Richmond Hill
Banneker – Mays
Beach – Groves
Blessed Trinity – Cross Keys
Bowdon – Trion
Bradwell Institute – Savannah
Bremen – Mt. Zion-Carroll
Brooks Co. – Berrien
Brookstone – Marion Co.
Brookwood – Central Gwinnett
Brunswick – Glynn Academy
Buford – Thomson
Burke Co. – Liberty Co.
Cairo – Dougherty
Calhoun – Sonoraville
Calvary Day – Portal
Camden Co. – Johnson-Sav.
Carver-Columbus – Shaw
Cedar Grove – Clarkston
Cedartown – Haralson Co.
Central-Carroll – Cartersville
Charlton Co. – Benedictine
Chattahoochee – Mill Creek
Chattahoochee Co. – Pacelli
Cherokee – South Cobb
Chestatee – White Co.
Claxton – Bryan Co.
Clinch Co. – Atkinson Co.
Creekside – Lovejoy
Creekview – Gilmer
Dacula – Shiloh
Dade Co. – Gordon Central
Dodge Co. – Bleckley Co.
Duluth – South Forsyth
ELCA – Pace Academy
East Coweta – Chapel Hill
East Jackson – Rabun Co.
East Paulding – Harrison
Eastside – Jackson Co.
Effingham Co. – Wayne Co.
Elbert Co. – Franklin Co.
Etowah – Marietta
Evans – Josey
Fannin Co. – Riverside Military
Fitzgerald – Early Co.
Flowery Branch – East Hall
Grayson – Berkmar
Greene Co. – Central-Macon
Greenville – Taylor Co.
Griffin – Stockbridge
Habersham Central – Monroe Area
Hart Co. – Oconee Co.
Heard Co. – Jordan
Henry Co. – Southwest-Macon
Hephzibah – Harlem
Hillgrove – Sprayberry
Hiram – Osborne
Holy Innocents’ – Fellowship
Irwin Co. – Telfair Co.
Jackson – Eagle’s Landing
Jeff Davis – Long Co.
Jefferson – Banks Co.
Jefferson Co. – SE Bulloch
Jenkins – Windsor Forest
Johns Creek – Arabia Mountain
Johnson Co. – ECI
Jones Co. – Americus-Sumter
Jonesboro – Forest Park
Kell – Campbell
Lakeside-DeKalb – Forsyth Central
Lakeside-Evans – Cross Creek
Lakeview-Ft. Ogle. – Heritage-Catoosa
Lamar Co. – Crawford Co.
Lanier Co. – Pelham
Lassiter – Milton
Lee Co. – Upson-Lee
Lincoln Co. – Washington-Wilkes
Lumpkin Co. – West Hall
Macon Co. – Pike Co.
Madison Co. – Heritage-Conyers
Manchester – Spencer
Marist – Miller Grove
McEachern – North Cobb
McIntosh Co. Acad. – Tattnall Co.
Metter – Jenkins Co.
Mitchell Co. – Albany
Model – Temple
Montgomery Co. – Wheeler Co.
Mt. Paran – Glascock Co.
Mt. Pisgah – SW Atl. Christian
Mt. Zion-Jones. – Dutchtown
Newnan – Westlake
Newton – Greenbrier
Norcross – North Forsyth
North Gwinnett – Northview
North Hall – Pickens
North Oconee – Dawson Co.
NE-Macon – Monticello
NW Whitfield – Rome
Peach Co. – Westover
Peachtree Ridge – Collins Hill
Pebblebrook – Riverdale
Pepperell – Rockmart
Pope – Wheeler
Prince Avenue – Lakeview Acad.
Putnam Co. – Howard
Richmond Academy – Glenn Hills
Ridgeland – Southeast Whitfield
Ringgold – LaFayette
Riverwood – Therrell
Rockdale Co. – Winder-Barrow
Roswell – Alpharetta
St. Pius – Washington
Salem – Cedar Shoals
Sandy Creek – Fayette Co.
Sav. Christian – Sav. Country Day
Schley Co. – Stewart Co.
Screven Co. – East Laurens
Seminole Co. – Miller Co.
Sequoyah – Cass
South Gwinnett – Parkview
South Paulding – Paulding Co.
SW DeKalb – Lithonia
Spalding – Jackson-Atl.
Starr’s Mill – McIntosh
Stephens Co. – Morgan Co.
Stephenson – M.L. King
Stone Mountain – North Springs
Swainsboro – Dublin
Terrell Co. – Randolph-Clay
Thomas Co. Central – Harris Co.
Thomasville – Cook
Towers – Druid Hills
Towns Co. – Georgia Military
Tucker – Chamblee
Twiggs Co. – Hawkinsville
Union Co. – Oglethorpe Co.
Union Grove – Luella
Vidalia – Laney
Villa Rica – Douglas Co.
Walker – Gordon Lee
Walnut Grove – River Ridge
Walton – Centennial
Ware Co. – Statesboro
Warner Robins – Houston Co.
Warren Co. – Hancock Central
Washington Co. – West Laurens
Wesleyan – Commerce
West Forsyth – Johnson-Gaines.
Westminster – Decatur
Westside-Aug. – Butler
Whitefield Acad. – Our Lady of Mercy
Whitewater – Northgate
Wilcox Co. – Dooly Co.
Wilkinson Co. – Aquinas
Woodland-Bartow – Murray Co.
Woodland-Henry – South Atlanta
Woodstock – Kennesaw Mountain
Woodward Acad. – Rutland
Worth Co. – Perry

Saturday
Dunwoody – Columbia
Grady – Carver-Atlanta
LaGrange – Northside-Col.
Northside-W.R. – Grovetown
Redan – Douglass

21 comments Add your comment

Big Dawg

October 15th, 2009
3:01 pm

Decatur and Shiloh will both make it more interesting than you are giving credit. I have only seen you pick either of these teams once. They are both improved and proving it from week to week.

Big Dawg’s upset special is GAC over Avondale, and Dutchtown over Mt.Zion Jonesboro

ENR's Alter Ego

October 15th, 2009
3:13 pm

Grovetown 87, Northside 0

EagleNationRising

October 15th, 2009
4:24 pm

I love that you guys are so into what I say. I absolutely love it! There is only one ENR. Don’t get mad at me because I love my high school alma mater. I proudly admit that I am a total Northside home. What I do know is this, Jeff Herron (Head Football Coach at Camden County HS, defending state champions) says that in 2008 Northside was the best team that his Wildcats faced, “by far,” last season.

If you listened to the hype coming out of the mouth of people like Todd Holcomb and Lowndes County fans (after the Vikings kicked us around at Martin Stadium), you might believe that the Northside team was just good but not great. Of course, days before Lowndes County “Peachtree Ridged” the Lions, Holcomb proclaimed that yet another mediocre team was great. The funny thing is the 2009 Northside team controls its own “home field” destiny.

You Atlanta guys can say what you want. I just know the threshold for being hyped as great in metro Atlanta is much, much lower than what is expected out of teams from outside of the metro area. Newnan shows what small town teams do to metro Atlanta teams, who can not take hits.

MLK 28, Stephenson 7
HALFTIME SHOW: Stephenson 1, MLK 0
Martin Luther King is going to beat Stephenson, soundly. They have a grossly underrated coaching staff. Furthermore, we all know what Stephenson does in big games. The Jaguars usually lay down. They will lay down tomorrow night. SIDENOTE: Stephenson wins the halftime show.

Newnan 35, Westlake 7
Yet another metro Atlanta team receiving AJC hype and playing a team outside of metro Atlanta that is really good. We all know how this story is going to end. Newnan VIOLATES Westlake. By halftime, Westlake coaches are going to wonder to themselves if they are going to get “Peachtree Ridged” like most metro Atlanta teams get when they play strong competition outside of the metro area. Newnan is the real deal and makes an example out of Westlake (15 college players do not matter…let’s see what happens when Westlake players really get hit).

Peachtree Ridge 28, Collins Hill 10
Another weak Gwinnett County opponent for the Lions. The difference is this will create a new love affair between the AJC and GHSF Daily staff and the most overhyped program in the state of Georgia. Todd Holcomb has his Lions pom-poms ready and is trying on his Lions cheerleading skirt as we speak. Remember these Lions are a “great” team according to Todd. Something tells me that Michael Carvell has an “I LOVE P-Ridge” sweater on too.

East Paulding 28, Harrison 13
EP finally gets a win and Hiram, GA and Dallas, GA officially go nuts! The largest contingent of Lowndes County Viking bandwagon fans in America finally win a game on their own. Lowndes County fans should expect some silver and black in the stands carrying Viking pom-poms by the time the Vikings go on the road in the 2ns round. By the time, it will officially be girls’ basketball season at East Paulding High School. EP posters have shameless jumped on the Lowndes County bandwagon as their Raiders have lost to practically every good team. Harrison is way down this season. It appears that their players are not competing. EP knocks them around on Friday night.

Northside-Warner Robins 28, Grovetown 10
Congratulations to the Grovetown HS staff who have played top tier competition in their first year. Grovetown has a few college prospects. It will not be as easy as many people in Warner Robins think.

Chip

October 15th, 2009
6:17 pm

For the record, Big Dawg, I’ve actually picked Shiloh to win five times this season and Decatur three times. I’ve picked the two of them to lose five times, and guess how many they’ve lost combined…that’s right, Five. Apparently I’m giving them just the right amoung of credit.

GO GROVETOWN

October 15th, 2009
7:31 pm

EAGLENATIONRISING NEEDS TO LEARN A LESSON: DONT MESS WITH GROVETOWN. WE WILL POUND YOU SO HARD THAT YOU WILL BE EAGLENATIONSQUISHED.

EP Dad

October 16th, 2009
12:12 am

To EagleNationRising…EP finally gets a Win? Come on, our kids have had their butts handed to them on their 2 losses, but “finally gets a win”?

EP Dad

October 16th, 2009
12:15 am

Where ya at HoyaDog? Talked alot last year with the Robbie Godhigh Show. He beat us last year, and haven’t heard much from you this year. We play tomorrow….Ready?

EP Dad

October 16th, 2009
12:31 am

ENR by the way, no Lowndes bandwagon for EP. EP had the same playoff score against Grayson last year. Our kids didn’t start a riot though. Accepted our defeat and shook hands. End of story.

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Big Dawg

October 16th, 2009
8:18 am

Hold Up Chipster,

I like the little attitude and your lack of fact checking. Scroll your computer back to week two. You will clearly see that you pick Henry County over Decatur. Decatur WON! I have great respect for your calling/predicting of the games. Your over all record proves that out right. I was only saying that you and others aren’t giving some teams the respect that they are earning as the season progresses. I know that Decatur over Westminster would shock most people. However, I would wager that you haven’t seen them play once this season. They have a new attitude and desire. Similar to that of the 2003 Dome team. They are playing heard sound defense. The only games that they haven’t played all 4 quarters with high octane and intensity were Buford and Hillgrove games. As for Shiloh you were wrong about them losing to Dacula last season. I know because I coached their and we used your prediction page for motivation. Shiloh has made great strides and improvement. They were one big play away from shocking Brookwood this season. They shocked a few people last year. All I am saying is that I see teams like Avondale that are playing great Defense and very little offense get some love. I just want everyone to get the same treatment. I know that I am looking at this weeks games with rose colored glasses to a certain degree. I have either coached, played, or parented kids at Decature and Shiloh, but that doesn’t mean that they are not improving from week to week into playoff contenders.

Big Dawg Layin it down. Like it or not these kids have the winning spirit!

Pops

October 16th, 2009
8:23 am

ENR – Not to encourage you, but the breakdown on Ep was rather amusing.

Big Dawg

October 16th, 2009
9:13 am

Nice Attitude Chipster:

You pick against Decatur in the Henry County Game, and we had over 400 yards of offense that game. You picked Henry County. Go back and Scroll through your predictions from week two you’ll see it. Last year you picked Dacula to beat Shiloh then. Shiloh had an offensive breakout game. I’m just saying that you are not seeing and recognizing the improvement of these teams from week to week. I know that Decatur over Westminster is a long shot for some people. However, I see them fighting like a playoff contender every week. The will both be good games was the point. Calm yourself and breathe. The post had you red in the face for no reason.

Radio Listener

October 16th, 2009
10:11 am

Dacula and Shiloh will be an interesting game. Dacula had no busioness beating Parkview last week even with Kalik Barnes out at QB, but that ultimately was the reason Dacula did win.

Collins Hill is underratted and I’m sticking with them to “upset” Peachtree Ridge. If I’m wrong well ok but the Eagles defense is a little better than people give them credit with Jimmy Bayer, Zack Davis, Chris Caspari and Timmy Q. The players to watch tonight for Collins Hill is WR Jeffery Taylor and TE Dustin Hallmark. With all the attention going to Charles Perkins these two players could make plays when leat expected and Taylor is an excellent downfield blocking WR and many of his “crackback” blocks have sprung Perkins most of the season. Ridges Roby will find the endzone as he often does but I think ball control by Collins Hill could have some affect on this game.

Stephenson MLK has all th eplots but in talking with some people that have follow the Jagurs it looks as though MLK has just a little more but not a 3 touchdown difference more.

Tommy

October 16th, 2009
10:15 am

Even on the road, Mays high should beat Banneker. If Mays opens up it’s offense for the entire game they can control the ball. Mays should also be starting its best secondary tonight.

Suwanee 0wnz

October 16th, 2009
10:43 am

The reason Newnan beats Westlake has nothing to do with which team is from the Metro area, as the bloviator suggested. It has to do with the fact that Newnan is the best team in their region. We knew that Newnan was going to win their region even before the schedules were published.

Radio Listener

October 16th, 2009
12:26 pm

I need to clarify my earlier post. Zack Davis is a solid LB for Collins Hill but he is injured and will not be playing.

SouthGARules

October 16th, 2009
4:21 pm

Chip: I would say that NSWR will probably win 1-AAAAA & Newnan with a win will be the #1 seed in 4-AAAAA.

BulldawgBite

October 16th, 2009
5:08 pm

collins hill underated? ya right this program has played and beat no one and they only have one really good player and hes the running back. if prhs shuts him down its over.

TXDawg (from Decatur to Mansfield, TX)

October 16th, 2009
7:17 pm

I wonder where EagleNationRising is with his severely crippled predictions??

Keep em in line Big Dawg…lol

….hate I can’t be back home to see some GA HS football, but the games over here in Texas aren’t bad. It’s good to see my ole ball coach (pre-Stephenson days) keeping a competitive program on the field year in, year out. Go get em Jaguars and Gartrell!!

Dawg fan forever

October 16th, 2009
10:19 pm

Great Win for North Forsyth over Norcross. Way to go Raiders! Congratulations….