The Georgia High School Football Daily’s Weekend Predictions: Who’s winning and losing in Week Five

By CHIP SAYE
For the AJC

When you have a child in elementary school, you end up helping with and checking over a lot of math homework. I have to be on my game, because my fourth-grader is doing work that I didn’t have to do until high school.

This week, a lot of kids have missed time at school because of the rain and flooding. So to stay sharp, I’m looking at the picks from a mathematical perspective.

1>10: OK, so that’s not true mathematically. But it will be true tonight when No. 1-ranked Tucker proves that it’s a little bit better than No. 10 Marist. These teams took their rivalry, the state’s best between a public school and a private school, to new heights last year when they met in the Class AAAA championship game, which Tucker won 15-3. Marist won the regular-season meeting last season; Tucker returns the favor this time around.

7+13+35+12=67: That was West Laurens’ linescore last week in the Raiders’ 67-7 victory against previously unbeaten Telfair County, making them the highest-scoring team of the week. Tonight West Laurens travels to Baldwin with a chance to improve to 4-1 for the first time since 1996. Baldwin comes in at 2-2, but the losses have come against the No. 2 (Peach County) and No. 4 (Carver-Columbus) teams in Class AAA. Baldwin holds West Laurens well below 67 points and emerges with a victory.

(48+62+49)/3=53 and (0+0+0)/3=0: Fitzgerald holds the distinction of having the state’s best offense (53 points per game) and best defense (0 points allowed). The Purple Hurricanes have beaten Irwin County 48-0, Hawkinsville 62-0 and Worth County 49-0. Tonight they open Region 1-AA play against a 2-1 Mitchell County team that is averaging 22 points per game. Even if Mitchell County somehow scores that many against Fitzgerald, it won’t be nearly enough. Fitzgerald begins region play with a victory. For the record, Lakeside-Evans is the state’s other team that has not given up a point.

(7+0+0+0)/4=1.75: On the other end of the scale is Columbia, which is the state’s lowest-scoring team with an average of 1.75 per game. The Eagles lost to Lakeside-DeKalb 21-7 in the opener and have not scored since, being outscored 120-0. Fortunately for the Eagles, they have the week off before getting back to work next week against Towers (sneak preview – I’ll be going with the Titans).

23+1=24: Lowndes has the state’s longest active regular-season winning streak at 23 games. The Vikings’ last loss came against Harrison, 9-0 in the 2007 opener. Look for them to add one to the streak tonight against a 1-3 Tift County team that has won only once in the past 14 meetings in the series.

35+0=35: Butler has the state’s longest current losing streak, at 35 games, but that streak will be on hold for now as the Bulldogs have the week off. That leaves the spotlight on Cross Keys, which is second with a 31-game losing streak. That number will go up when the Indians get beat by Lovett (extra credit: 31+1=32).

As always, my picks for all the games are listed below. This week, however, I have not broken them down into Friday and Saturday games because last-minute postponements related to the weather could change the weekend schedule.

THE WEEKEND PREDICTIONS
Last week: 125-24 (.839); Overall: 524-151 (.776)

Winner / Loser
Adairsville / Model
Alcovy / Jonesboro
Alexander / Lithia Springs
Americus-Sumter / Lee Co.
Apalachee / Rockdale Co.
Appling Co. / Charlton Co.
Aquinas / Glascock Co.
Arabia Mtn. / Langston Hughes
Athens Academy / Prince Ave.
Baldwin / West Laurens
Banneker / Tri-Cities
Beach / Savannah
Benedictine / Long Co.
Blessed Trinity / Avondale
Bowdon / Darlington
Bradwell Institute / Groves
Brantley Co. / Pierce Co.
Bremen / Walker
Brooks Co. / Thomasville
Brookwood / Berkmar
Buford / Decatur
Burke Co. / Brunswick
Cairo / Monroe
Calhoun / Coosa
Calhoun Co. / Pelham
Callaway / Macon Co.
Camden Co. / Windsor Forest
Carrollton / Heritage-Catoosa
Central-Carroll / Ringgold
Chapel Hill / Pebblebrook
Chattooga / Armuchee
Chestatee / Pickens
Clarke Central / Heritage-Conyers
Clinch Co. / Miller Co.
Collins Hill / North Forsyth
Colquitt Co. / Coffee
Cook / Albany
Crawford Co. / Spencer
Creekview / North Hall
Cross Creek / Josey
Dade Co. / Towns Co.
Dalton / Woodland-Bartow
Druid Hills / Clarkston
Dublin / Toombs Co.
Dunwoody / Cedar Grove
Eagle’s Landing / Jackson-Atl.
ELCA / Our Lady of Mercy
Early Co. / Berrien
East Coweta / Westlake
East Jackson / Riverside Mil.
East Paulding / Marietta
Elbert Co. / Eastside
ECI / Jenkins Co.
Evans / Glenn Hills
Fannin Co. / Oglethorpe Co.
Fitzgerald / Mitchell Co.
Flowery Branch / Johnson-Gaines.
Franklin Co. / Oconee Co.
Gainesville / West Hall
Grayson / Parkview
Greenbrier / Douglass
Greene Co. / Putnam Co.
Griffin / Forest Park
Habersham Central / Winder-Barrow
Hardaway / Harris Co.
Harrison / Kennesaw Mtn.
Hart Co. / Stephens Co.
Heard Co. / Manchester
Hebron Christ. / N. Cobb Christ.
Holy Innocents’ / Mt. Pisgah
Irwin Co. / Turner Co.
Jackson / Mary Persons
Jackson Co. / Morgan Co.
Jefferson / Union Co.
Jefferson Co. / Vidalia
Johns Creek / Mountain View
Johnson-Sav. / Jenkins
Johnson Co. / Montgomery Co.
Kell / Pope
LaFayette / Cartersville
LaGrange / Shaw
Lakeside-DeKalb / Chamblee
Lakeside-Evans / Harlem
Lakeview-Ft. Ogle. / Allatoona
Lambert / Locust Grove
Landmark / Fellowship
Laney / Dodge Co.
Lassiter / Wheeler
Lincoln Co. / Commerce
Loganville / Cedar Shoals
Lovejoy / Mundy’s Mill
Lovett / Cross Keys
Lowndes / Tift Co.
Lumpkin Co. / Gilmer
M.L. King / Luella
Mays / Douglas Co.
McEachern / South Cobb
Metter / Calvary Day
Miller Grove / Forsyth Central
Milton / Centennial
Mt. Paran / Georgia Military
Newnan / Creekside
Norcross / Chattahoochee
North Atlanta / Riverwood
North Clayton / Mt. Zion-Jones.
North Cobb / Cherokee
North Gwinnett / Mill Creek
North Oconee / Banks Co.
Northeast-Macon / Howard
Northside, W.R. / Houston Co.
NW Whitfield / Murray Co.
Ola / Stockbridge
Pacelli Catholic / Grovetown
Peach Co. / Perry
Peachtree Ridge / Duluth
Pepperell / Gordon Central
Rabun Co. / Dawson Co.
Randolph-Clay / Lanier Co.
Ridgeland / Cedartown
Rome / Sequoyah
Roswell / Campbell
St. Pius / Therrell
Salem / Madison Co.
Screven Co. / Bleckley Co.
Seminole Co. / Bacon Co.
Shiloh / Meadowcreek
Social Circle / Athens Christian
South Effingham / Effingham Co.
South Forsyth / Northview
South Gwinnett / Central Gwinnett
SE Whitfield / Haralson Co.
SW DeKalb / North Springs
SW-Macon / Monticello
Statesboro / Wayne Co.
Stephenson / Newton
Stone Mountain / Lithonia
Swainsboro / SE Bulloch
Tattnall Co. / Jeff Davis
Telfair Co. / Dooly Co.
Terrell Co. / Atkinson Co.
Thomas Co. Central / Jones Co.
Thomson / Richmond Hill
Towers / McNair
Treutlen / Wheeler Co.
Trion / Mt. Zion-Carroll
Troup / Northside-Col.
Tucker / Marist
Union Grove / Redan
Valdosta / Warner Robins
Walnut Grove / River Ridge
Walton / Alpharetta
Ware Co. / Glynn Academy
Warren Co. / North Paulding
Washington / Carver-Atl.
Washington Co. / Liberty Co.
Wesleyan / Lakeview Academy
West Forsyth / East Hall
Westminster / GAC
Westover / Crisp Co.
Westside-Macon / Bainbridge
Whitefield Acad. / Pace Acad.
Wilcox Co. / Twiggs Co.
Woodland-Henry / Rutland
Woodstock / Etowah
Woodward Academy / South Atlanta

Georgia High School Football Daily is a free email newsletter. CLICK to join the mailing list

48 comments Add your comment

Pops

September 24th, 2009
11:25 am

Should read? Etowah/Woodstock

THE CANNON RULES!!!

September 24th, 2009
12:55 pm

Pops…

Looks like your Eagles aren’t getting any AJC “LUV”!!!

BullDawg Rick

September 24th, 2009
1:54 pm

Buford gets “right” this weekend & begins their trek for their 3rd State Championship in 3 a row….

A TOWERS TITAN FAN

September 24th, 2009
3:03 pm

I THINK THAT TOWERS GAME SHOULD BE ON TV WE HAVE BEEN WORKING HARD BUT GUESS WHAT WE PLAY MCNAIR TOMORROW ON THE 9/25/09 WE HAVE NOT BEAT THEM IN TEN YEARS BUT THIS YEAR WELL WE SEE WHAT HAPPEN OVER AND OUT TOWERS WINS 45-6

BROOKWOOD MOM

September 24th, 2009
3:35 pm

FINALLY!! a home game!!! GO BRONCOS!!!!

Da Lake

September 24th, 2009
4:04 pm

Chip, I hope you will admit you were wrong about Westlake & East Coweta when Westlake goes to E. Coweta and beats them at home….

Pops

September 24th, 2009
4:09 pm

Cannon – That’s a good thing. The great prognosticator (spell check), SportsFan 31313 has picked us on the other blog.
Go Eagles!

BoneYard Dad

September 25th, 2009
12:28 am

Etowah, class program up there, beat the wOOD out of em. Wolverine Fam seems pretty stuck on himself. Should be a good game EP and Etowah, was last year. Wolverine Fan, congrats on last year’s playoff run. Your 4th place this year won’t work out so well! May have to try a little Grayson this year? Watch out for Pemberton….he’s fast.

canefan

September 25th, 2009
4:25 am

I believe fitz will wax mitchell, they wont know what hit them and by the time they figure it out they will be losing by 35 at least, brooks/thomasville game I believe who ever has the ball last will probably win.

Calvin

September 25th, 2009
6:19 am

Lowndes do not have the longest active winning streak in the state that would be the Newnan Cougars with 27 or 28 regular season thank you

Region 6AAAA

September 25th, 2009
7:36 am

AJC got all region 6AAAA predictions right except one. How do you all think Lakeside will beat Chamblee? I think some Lakeside Alumni must work at AJC for them to be getting all this press in one week. Tell you what, send a photographer and reporter to their game in two weeks.

Hoya Chuck

September 25th, 2009
7:53 am

I just hope that East Paulding gets the crap beat out of them like last week!!!

GO HOYAS!!!

Calvin "be" Wrong

September 25th, 2009
7:58 am

Sorry Calvin but Lowndes “do” have the longest active regular-season winning streak by one week over Newnan. Newnan lost to Carrollton back on 9/7/2007 which is the starting week of Lowndes current regular-season winning streak.

MLK Lions Fan

September 25th, 2009
8:24 am

Go MLK Lions!!! We are taking this one game at a time.

AVikingFan

September 25th, 2009
10:15 am

Chip. I agree with your picks slightly more than I do with Todd’s. I’m with you on the Burke/Brunswick and Colquitt/Coffee games. But I think both of you are wrong on Parkview/Grayson. I predict a BIG ORANGE UPSET in that one.

AVikingFan

September 25th, 2009
10:18 am

Calvin, Todd Holcomb the stat geru wrote in a recent column that Lowndes does indeed have the longest regular season winning streak in Georgia. It was of course “BUFORD UNIVERSITY” until Lovett got the best of’em a few weeks ago and sent their posters into hibernation.

Big Dawg

September 25th, 2009
11:32 am

Decatur is going to make some noise this weekend. Everyone seems to thing that they are fluking. This is a team led by 22 seniors. All 11 defensive starters are back to a team that was 0-0 going into halftime with Buford last year. I know football can be a tale of two halves. However, this Decatur squad can be competitive for four quarters and shock people with the outcomes. I have great respect for Buford and Coach Simpsons accomplishments. But, don’t think this is going to be a mauling by any means. Get’em DAWGS

woodstockfootballfamily

September 25th, 2009
11:33 am

Operation: Pluck ‘Em! That is what is coming to Etowah tonight. Wolverines have insatiable appetite for birds! Go Woodstock! Powerful Jaws & Sharp Claws

derrick

September 25th, 2009
11:50 am

lets be real Fitzgerald havent played anybody. The game of the year will be when they travel down to Quitman to face the Trojans of Brooks Co.

dylan

September 25th, 2009
11:56 am

go raiders beat them eagles North Forsyth For Sho

Hick from the sticks

September 25th, 2009
12:01 pm

Dylan–start paying attention to what you’re supposed to be learning in class instead of posting here. Don’t make Collins Hill have to teach you two lessons in one day.

SportsFan31313

September 25th, 2009
12:07 pm

POPS,

I agree with you….. :-)

BIG Steve, Chamblee High School class of 1998

September 25th, 2009
1:09 pm

Lakeside is predicted to beat Chamblee?? Are you kidding me??

Wolverine2Blazer

September 25th, 2009
3:27 pm

Hey! its another Woodstock person!! haha. I’m surprised that we got picked to win this. AJC NEVER picks Woodstock in big games. Maybe they’ve finally seen the light.

SportsFan31313

September 25th, 2009
3:41 pm

Wolverine2Blazer,

I wish you luck tonight on your game. Like i said, if Woodstock win, it will be an upset….

Wolverine2Blazer

September 25th, 2009
3:57 pm

We’ll see about that Sportsfan…we’ll see

SportsFan31313

September 25th, 2009
4:14 pm

:-) :-) :-) :-) Wolverine2Blazer…… Good Luck… This should be a great game no matter who wins.

VIKING DAD

September 25th, 2009
4:30 pm

LOWNDES BY 42 OVER TIFT WARNER ROBINS BY 10 OVER VALDOSTA PARKVIEW BY 3 OVER GRAYSON COLQUITT BY 14 OVER COFFEE NORTHSIDE BY 14 OVER HOUSTON WOODSTOCK BY 7 OVER ETOWAH

SportsFan31313

September 25th, 2009
5:13 pm

Interesting preiction VIKING DAD….

I see differently…

Lowndes over Tift County
Valdosta over Warner Robbins
Grayson Over Parkview
Colquitt County over Coffee County
North Side Warner Robbins over Houston County
Etowah over Woodstock

Pops

September 25th, 2009
5:15 pm

Greetings Oh SportsFan31313 – A true football pundit. Your predictions are beyond reproach!
Etowaw 29 Woodstock 16

vikingsrule

September 25th, 2009
6:11 pm

Where is ENR? Is he already starting to make himself scarce on here with OCT 2nd looming near.

INDIANS FAN

September 25th, 2009
10:54 pm

Enter your comments here Appling win in the swamp ha was never going to happen. 42-7

STANGGURLY

September 25th, 2009
11:00 pm

KAYY-SIDE!!! WOO WOO! K-SIDE! KENNESAW TOTALLY BEAT HARRISON HOYAS 14-17!!!

#1scout

September 26th, 2009
2:57 am

CHIP, let TODD know that AAA Burke County is still erasing AAAA teams from the rankings. Add Brunswick with Statesboro, and Ware County. The score was 36-18 with about 5 seconds left. Burke been started switching out players. Recognize what it is, the Bears is the real deal. At 4-0 Burke tackles the toughest schedule in 3-AAA. Its all good cause it only made Burke tougher. Region 3-AAA ready or not the Bears are coming expect NO mercy. SCHEDULE 2009 Schedule
Date Team Time Score
Aug 28 at Effingham Co. 7:30 pm W 39-21
Sep 4 WARE COUNTY W 19-14
Sep 11 at Statesboro W 35-17
Sep 25 BRUNSWICK W 36-26
Oct 2 BALDWIN 7:30 pm –
Oct 9 at Richmond Hill –
Oct 16 LIBERTY CO. –
Oct 23 at Washington County –
Oct 30 THOMSON –
Nov 6 at West Laurens 7:30 pm

EagleNationRising

September 26th, 2009
9:09 am

VikingDad: Northside by 14 over Houston County. What don’t you guys understand about Northside-Warner Robins in McConnell-Talbert Stadium. OK, I get it. You were predicting that Northside would be up by 14 at the half. Right? Northside 42, Houston County 7. The Eagles will not be competed against in that stadium. Get that through your heads!

By the way, will someone please put Valdosta on “Alert” for their contest at McConnell-Talbert Stadium against Warner Robins. I expect the Big Red fans to come from out of hiding and really get behind Warner Robins. Expect 12,000+ tonight.

SportsFan31313

September 26th, 2009
1:39 pm

WOW Marist put the beat down on Tucker didn’t they. They beat Tucker as if they stole something from them. They left no doubt that they are better than Tucker.

SportsFan31313

September 26th, 2009
1:42 pm

Congrats goes out to Wolverine2Blazer on their successful win against Etowah…..

SportsFan31313

September 26th, 2009
1:47 pm

#1Scout,

You might be correct. But don’t talk so fast. You still have Washington County, Baldwin County and Thompson to go. Those three will be interesting….

Collins Hill EAGLES

September 26th, 2009
3:34 pm

Come on….Collins Hill EAGLES are 5 & 0 and unranked….wish someone out there in ranking land knew their football! Charles Perkins has over 1,000 yards through the first five wins. How many other schools have a back that has done that this season?

SportsFan31313

September 26th, 2009
4:21 pm

Collins Hill Eagles,

Your team is doing fine but it will take a lot more than 5 wins to get you into the rankings. What is Collins Hill win loss history? How many Region Title do they have in the last 3 years? Have they beaten Peachtree Ridge or North Gwinette in the past 3 three years? If you have / can done / do that, you will have an argument. But I don’t see them beating Peachtree Ridge or North Gwinette this year.

BulldawgBite

September 26th, 2009
6:54 pm

Collins hill lucked out they dont have to get beat this year by north gwinnett, charles perkins is sick though. all three suwanee teams should be 1,2,3 in region though! :) I think Collins hill should be ranked over camden this week.

NCNative

September 27th, 2009
3:31 am

If someone could, I need the name of Towns County stadium… So if you know it I would greatly appreciate you posting it! Thank you!

mrga229

September 27th, 2009
9:58 pm

Who said valdosta would lose by ten. Final score valdosta 14 warner robbins 7. The only team valdosta will lose to is lowndes, and that will only be by a touchdown. They should have beaten NSR. I have 100 bucks NSR want make it to Dome!!!!

titans #34

September 28th, 2009
9:09 am

divine intervention- an event that appears impossible by all laws of nature so it is held to be super natural or an act of god. region seems imposible but we will win it. aaaayyyyye.

Tee

September 28th, 2009
11:02 pm

Ok your prediction was wrong on Langston Hughes we won 26 to 6
come correct the next time : )))))

SportsFan31313

September 30th, 2009
10:26 am

BullDawgBite,

Camden County will remain at number 10 or better through the season unless they suffer another loss.

SportsFan31313

September 30th, 2009
4:03 pm

Okay Chip Saye,

I am looking forward to this week’s predictions. Who do you predict to be the winner of the Lowndes County / Northside warner Robbins game?

jonathan davis

September 20th, 2010
6:30 pm

Everyone just keeps doubting Our Lady of Mercy. But they keep winning, and their 4-0.