SEC East potential scenarios and tiebreaker rules

I’ve noticed some readers discussing the SEC division tiebreaker scenarios on the blog I posted yesterday, so here they are from the conference office:

A. TWO-TEAM TIE
1. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.
2. Records of the tied teams within the division.
3. Head-to-head competition vs. the team within the division with the best overall record (divisional and non-divisional) Conference record and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken from first to last.
4. Overall record vs. all common non-divisional opponents.
5. Combined record vs. all common non-divisional teams.
6. Record vs. common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.
7. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game.

B. THREE (OR MORE) TEAM TIE
1. (Once the tie has been reduced to two teams, go to the two-team tie-breaker format.)
2. Combined head-to-head record among the tied teams.
3. Record of the tied teams within the division.
4. Head-to-head competition vs. the team within the division with the best overall (divisional and non-divisional) Conference record and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken from first to last.
5. Overall record vs. non-division teams.
6. Combined record vs. all common non-divisional teams.
7. Record vs. common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.
8. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game, unless the second of the tied teams is ranked within five-or-fewer places of the highest ranked tied team. In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the SEC Championship Game.

There are a ton of scenarios that could play out since there so many SEC games left to play, but here are a few.

If Missouri defeats its two remaining East opponents — Tennessee and Kentucky — and loses to either Ole Miss or Texas A&M, the Tigers, South Carolina and Georgia could finish tied for first at the end of the regular season, if the Gamecocks and Bulldogs don’t lose another SEC game. If that happens, Missouri would go to the SEC Championship game based on having the best record against teams within the division (that’s No. 3 in the three-team tiebreak formula).

The Tigers would have lost to only to South Carolina among East opponents. The Gamecocks have already lost to Georgia and Tennessee; Georgia has lost to Missouri and Vanderbilt.

(As you can see, more complicated situations could arise if all three teams finish with the same record against divisional foes, going down to their ranking in the BCS standings).

South Carolina needs to defeat Mississippi State and Florida, have Missouri lose one its final four SEC games and also need Georgia lose to either Florida or Auburn. The Gamecocks would win the East by having defeated Missouri, using the head-to-head scenario (No. 1 in the two-team tie).

The odds are tougher for Georgia and Florida.

Georgia needs to win out, which means defeating Florida and Auburn, and then receive a lot of help from Missouri’s opponents. If the Bulldogs and Gamecocks win the rest of their SEC games and Missouri loses two more, Georgia would be tied with South Carolina, and the Bulldogs would win the tiebreaker.

Florida needs to defeat Georgia, Vanderbilt and South Carolina, in addition to needing Missouri to lose two more SEC games.

The final month could be quite interesting.

Past blogs

Shaw is toughest QB in SEC

Dabo in denial? Perhaps there is more to his comments

Miami’s next punishment could come from FSU

View replay before ejecting players for targeting

SEC shook up on Shake Down Saturday

Updated: Oregon students selling “We Want Bama” shirts

24 comments Add your comment

Waltzin' Matilda

October 30th, 2013
11:07 pm

Buh bye to the leghumpers.

Another Ed

October 30th, 2013
2:50 pm

I cannot figure out why you need anything in the event of a 2 team tie other than head-to-head results. Both teams will be in the same division so they will have a result against one another. That seems pretty simple and does not require other steps.
When there are 3 or more teams tied I can understand a bunch of steps.

Panama City Dawg

October 30th, 2013
12:35 pm

I know the injuries have hurt, but the horrendous defense and special teams, along with soft offensive line play and playing down to competition (North Texas and Vandy), are things that should not happen any year. UGA will not win a championship under this coaching staff.

jacket4life

October 30th, 2013
12:17 pm

I agree with dogsmell. uga has all the recruiting and talent and facilities and fanbase in the world, and gets nothing. Not to mention the funding. Georgia Tech is a technological institute and isnt even classified as a university, gets no recruiting, and still has 4 national titles to uga’s 1. sounds to me that uga is a failure

SEC_SEC_SEC

October 30th, 2013
12:10 pm

You have to win 6 games to get a bowl invitation, don’t you?

ARdawg

October 30th, 2013
11:56 am

For all intent and purpose the Dawgs are out and will not be in Atlanta to play for the SEC. Rightfully so. Should the stars line up and we find ourselves going it will be an act of divine intervention. This game and the rest of the conference games are a matter of Chic-fi-la vs the weedeater bowl

Disgruntled

October 30th, 2013
11:32 am

The sad part is why has it even come down to crunching numbers like this for UGA? The team kills itself to defeat highly ranked opponents SC/LSU and drops one to Missouri at home and Vandy!!!???? Once again, the Jekyl and Hyde team of the SEC. They are the equivalent of my golf game…the drives are working but the short game sucks or the irons are great but I cannot get up and down. The whole package never comes together.

SEC_SEC_SEC

October 30th, 2013
11:31 am

It appears that Georgia’s goal for 2013 is to equal Georgia Tech’s performance in 2012.

Oh well… At least they have a goal. ;-)

JB

October 30th, 2013
11:18 am

dogsmell is all TECHIE. look at his moniker. When you see personal, envy attacks, it’s Techies 99% of the time

elevenoftwelve

October 30th, 2013
10:50 am

@dogsmell: you are an idiot. Did dawg fans write this article you moron? Who wouldn’t as a fan of their team be interested to know how they could reach their conference championship? Is it called backing into it if you hold the tie breaker for performing better?

Didn’t Tech make it last year because Miami was on probation? Didn’t Bama only beat UGA last year by a few points in a great SEC championship game?

Please inform us what team you support and how the fans are so different? Please you hypocrite. Every fan base is the same and has similar fan expectations. Don’t kid yourself and if all things UGA bother you so much don’t read the articles you freak.