SEC East potential scenarios and tiebreaker rules

I’ve noticed some readers discussing the SEC division tiebreaker scenarios on the blog I posted yesterday, so here they are from the conference office:

A. TWO-TEAM TIE
1. Head-to-head competition between the two tied teams.
2. Records of the tied teams within the division.
3. Head-to-head competition vs. the team within the division with the best overall record (divisional and non-divisional) Conference record and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken from first to last.
4. Overall record vs. all common non-divisional opponents.
5. Combined record vs. all common non-divisional teams.
6. Record vs. common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.
7. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game.

B. THREE (OR MORE) TEAM TIE
1. (Once the tie has been reduced to two teams, go to the two-team tie-breaker format.)
2. Combined head-to-head record among the tied teams.
3. Record of the tied teams within the division.
4. Head-to-head competition vs. the team within the division with the best overall (divisional and non-divisional) Conference record and proceeding through the division. Multiple ties within the division will be broken from first to last.
5. Overall record vs. non-division teams.
6. Combined record vs. all common non-divisional teams.
7. Record vs. common non-divisional team with the best overall Conference (divisional and non-divisional) record and proceeding through other common non-divisional teams based on their order of finish within their division.
8. The tied team with the highest ranking in the Bowl Championship Series Standings following the last weekend of regular-season games shall be the divisional representative in the SEC Championship Game, unless the second of the tied teams is ranked within five-or-fewer places of the highest ranked tied team. In this case, the head-to-head results of the top two ranked tied teams shall determine the representative in the SEC Championship Game.

There are a ton of scenarios that could play out since there so many SEC games left to play, but here are a few.

If Missouri defeats its two remaining East opponents — Tennessee and Kentucky — and loses to either Ole Miss or Texas A&M, the Tigers, South Carolina and Georgia could finish tied for first at the end of the regular season, if the Gamecocks and Bulldogs don’t lose another SEC game. If that happens, Missouri would go to the SEC Championship game based on having the best record against teams within the division (that’s No. 3 in the three-team tiebreak formula).

The Tigers would have lost to only to South Carolina among East opponents. The Gamecocks have already lost to Georgia and Tennessee; Georgia has lost to Missouri and Vanderbilt.

(As you can see, more complicated situations could arise if all three teams finish with the same record against divisional foes, going down to their ranking in the BCS standings).

South Carolina needs to defeat Mississippi State and Florida, have Missouri lose one its final four SEC games and also need Georgia lose to either Florida or Auburn. The Gamecocks would win the East by having defeated Missouri, using the head-to-head scenario (No. 1 in the two-team tie).

The odds are tougher for Georgia and Florida.

Georgia needs to win out, which means defeating Florida and Auburn, and then receive a lot of help from Missouri’s opponents. If the Bulldogs and Gamecocks win the rest of their SEC games and Missouri loses two more, Georgia would be tied with South Carolina, and the Bulldogs would win the tiebreaker.

Florida needs to defeat Georgia, Vanderbilt and South Carolina, in addition to needing Missouri to lose two more SEC games.

The final month could be quite interesting.

Past blogs

Shaw is toughest QB in SEC

Dabo in denial? Perhaps there is more to his comments

Miami’s next punishment could come from FSU

View replay before ejecting players for targeting

SEC shook up on Shake Down Saturday

Updated: Oregon students selling “We Want Bama” shirts

24 comments Add your comment

Dogssmell

October 31st, 2013
8:27 am

DT is an idiot and I’m not a Techie! DT BTW must be a UGA fan as he cannot spell.

ramblingbuzz

October 31st, 2013
7:32 am

Hope the ACC Coastal race gets the same amount of “what if” coverage from the AJC when FSU beats Miami this Saturday. LOL!

HotDawg

October 31st, 2013
1:23 am

GA beat TN…TN beat SC and If TN beats MO
Does this come into play in georgia’s favor in 3 way tie?

HotDawg

October 31st, 2013
1:20 am

What is the 3 way tiebreaker if 3 way tie and includes MO loss to east opponent TN?
GA, SC, or MO?