Our first BCS Projections. What are yours?
We are less than a month from Selection Sunday so it is not too early to make our BCS Projections. These projections are based on the major players involved winning out . W e know that won’t happen but if it does, I want to give you an idea of how the process is going to work.
BCS championship: Oregon vs. Auburn. Oregon still has to win on the road at California and on the road at Oregon State. Auburn has two tough SEC games with Georgia at home and Alabama on the road. If this is the matchup, don’t think we’ll have a lot of complaints except from the precincts in Fort Worth and Boise who may go undefeated and not get a shot. This would be a good year for a four-team playoff, don’t you think?
Here are the rest of the projected BCS Bowls:
Rose: Wisconsin vs. TCU
Sugar: LSU vs. Boise State
Orange: Virginia Tech vs. Ohio State
Fiesta: Nebraska vs. Pittsburgh
Here is how we get there.
The two bowls who lose their designated champions to the BCS title game get the first two picks after the BCS title game is set:
Rose (which lost No. 1 Oregon). The rules of the new BCS contract say that the Rose has to take No. 3 TCU or No. 4 Boise State as a replacement pick if one of those teams qualifies for an at-large berth. BCS expert Jerry Palm tells me that it is still possible for Boise to jump back to No. 3 and in that case the Rose might take the Broncos as its replacement pick.
Sugar (which lost No. 2 Auburn, the SEC champ) Takes 11-1 LSU. That’s a no brainer.
Big 12 champ (Nebraska) is placed in the Fiesta.
ACC champ (Virginia Tech) is placed in the Orange
Big Ten champ (Wisconsin) is placed in the Rose
So the BCS championship is full and the Rose Bowl is full.
Now the selection order, which is determined before the season, is Sugar, Orange, Fiesta. Remember that to be considered for a BCS at-large bid you have to finish in the final top 12 and win at least nine games.
Sugar: They could take a 11-1 Ohio State whose only loss is to Wisconsin. But at the end of the day the Sugar will take the highest ranked team they can get. That will be undefeated Boise State which gets a chance to test itself against one of the best defenses in the country. Or it could be undefeated TCU if Boise goes to the Rose.
Orange: You could take 11-1 Stanford, 11-1 Michigan State or 11-1 Ohio State. It’s an easy choice. You take the Buckeyes and all those TV sets that will turn on to watch them.
Fiesta is left with Pittsburgh, the Big East champ.
Understand that if Oregon or Auburn lose down the strech it will open up the argument of whether or TCU and Boise should both play in the big game or if a one-loss team from one of the power conferences should get one of those spots.
So what do you think of the BCS matchups? Do any of those games interest you? Is there a team getting left out that is more deserving than the 10 on this list? The floor is yours.
Please follow me on Twitter:
Tell us what you think about the site
Customer Care »
Vacation stops, manage subscriptions and more
AJC Services
Sections
Other Editions
Visitor Agreement | Privacy Statement
© 2013 The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
269 comments Add your comment
hoops dawg
November 9th, 2010
12:55 pm
Oregon-Auburn matchup could produce a basketball-type score–two good/great offenses and two very suspect defenses. TCU (and to a lesser extent Boise State) are strong on BOTH sides of the ball. I am now retired and have wathced a lot of college football this fall. I think that TCU is the best team in the land and will prove it if given the opportunity. P.S. I am not a Texan.
karnes
November 9th, 2010
1:03 pm
TB –
Why does GT, and the ACC for that matter, suck at such a record level of suckiness????
aggie94
November 9th, 2010
1:08 pm
I want TCU v Boise State, would settle for TCU Oregan.
Mobile Dawg
November 9th, 2010
1:12 pm
Blazer, I don’t think the experts would go crazy. It would be more like the networks and advertisers. I don’t think that game generates a lot of true national interest.
An interesting question would be whether companies have already secured advertising spots, if so, can they back out? If the advertising isn’t spoken for the networks will suffer a major loss of revenue.
My opinion.
WashingtonDCduck
November 9th, 2010
1:21 pm
***hoops dawg****
See my post earlier this morning. With those statistics now from a 9 game body of work, how is Oregon’s defense suspect? Seriously, before making blanket statements just look at some of the numbers. I know you can make an argument by manipulating statistics, but their overall defense numbers are nothing to be embarrassed of, and I would certainly not throw them in the ‘suspect’ bucket. I applaud you at watching a ton of college ball this fall, and thinking TCU is the best team in the land, ok, I won’t try to wrestle you from your belief there. Just explain how Oregon’s defense is suspect? Go back and look at the numbers.
ARdawg
November 9th, 2010
1:28 pm
Tony is a Gomer
Paul in RDU
November 9th, 2010
1:34 pm
Team 1 points allowed 0 13 0 31 31 23 13 32 16 avg. 17.7 pts/game
Team 2 points allowed 24 3 7 14 14 29 10 24 21 avg. 16.3 pts/game
Of course, because Team 2 is LSU they have a great defense while Team 1 (Oregon) has a suspect D
Biles
November 9th, 2010
1:43 pm
Oregon has only faced 2 teams that are currently above .500. Five of their previous opponents have a combined record of 10-36. Yet Oregon still has given up an average of nearly 18 points a game. This is not a champion’s schedule, nor is this a champion’s defense given your competition.
Looks like the media has yet again prematurely shot their load over yet another disgustingly overrated Oregon team.
TrishaDishaWarEagle
November 9th, 2010
1:46 pm
I respect Oregon, TCU(more than the other two) and the smurfturfs..but I simply feel, if any of them played AUs first ten games , 2 of the 3 would not be undefeated. Were barely undefeated ourselves.
milk money
November 9th, 2010
1:48 pm
So Cam got caught cheating at UF 3 different times? Happily used a stolen laptop? Possibly hooked up with an “agent” during recruiting? And yet the media continues to pretend this thug is the son of Mother Teresa? I suspect if ol’ Cam was of a different skin complexion the media would be acting the exact opposite. Love that liberal PC BS!!!
Kenny Powers
November 9th, 2010
2:00 pm
What if Urban got tired of answering why he let Cam go? What if Cam’s academic secrecy was part of a cover up not to hurt Mullen and Miss State if Cam went there (blackmail)? What if the Florida coaching staff has the integrity of Milly Vanili ? Time to Die……………..
Kenny Powers
November 9th, 2010
2:15 pm
geez, I used this handle months ago and someone already hijacked. Amazing.
miles
November 9th, 2010
2:27 pm
Exactly. Oregon has basically played a glorified Boise schedule. Auburn has already faced 7 teams that are .500 or better, compared to Oregon having faced only 2. There is no contest who deserves the top ranking more.
Kenny Powers
November 9th, 2010
2:30 pm
@ Kenny Powers 2
take it, you’re prob a redneck anyway.
Kenny Powers
November 9th, 2010
2:35 pm
@ fake Kenny Powers,
Get your own handle troll. Just because you don’t have an original bone in your body doesn’t mean you should run around stealing other people’s monikers.
chris
November 9th, 2010
2:41 pm
It’s a crying shame that Pitt takes a slot and a team like Michigan St or Stanford would get left out. I think a new rule should be you cant go to a BCS unless you are ranked in the top 8 or 10. I know Pitt will win the Big East but is that really an accomplishment this year????
Ashley Schaffer
November 9th, 2010
2:42 pm
fox news reports cam newton is responsible for the bp oil spill
jeff
November 9th, 2010
2:44 pm
Boise would get destroyed by LSU? Just like Alabama whipped Utah in the Sugar bowl a couple of years ago. TCU and Boise deserve to go to a better bowl than Pitt. Urban already said he would not play either Boise or Utah. TCU and Boise are good teams. Both will wiin there bowls.
The Grinch
November 9th, 2010
3:03 pm
jeff
November 9th, 2010
2:44 pm
Dead on with the comment about Boise and TCU deserving a better bowl than Pitt.
LB
November 9th, 2010
3:25 pm
AU will lose 1 of the last 3 games (UGA, Bama or SEC Champ.). Oregon will NOT lose nor will TCU. It WILL be Oregon v. TCU in the BCS Championship Game. The #1 Offensive v. #1 Defensive. What a game!
WashingtonDCduck
November 9th, 2010
3:34 pm
** Miles **
Funny man, just funny. Oregon’s schedule is a glorified Boise State. You made my day, my co-worker got a good laugh as well and he’s an ACC Va-Tech alum. Nice Miles. Go back to the SEC kool-aid fountain.
miles
November 9th, 2010
3:38 pm
DCduck,
LOL, well of course your ACC pal is laughing. His conference has only ONE team in the top 25 for crying out loud. So yeah, go ahead and keeping getting backed up by a fan of the worse conference in big boy college football.
Btw, I couldn’t help but notice you have not disputed any facts that, or others, have posted about Oregon and their schedule. Why is that, winner??
dagnabit
November 9th, 2010
3:39 pm
I hear that the cam newton tales are coming out of georgia.
miles
November 9th, 2010
3:41 pm
I mean seriously, 3 games to go and they have only faced TWO teams that are .500 or better? Auburn has played SEVEN teams that are .500 or better. Oregon has faced FIVE opponents that are a combined 10-36, yet they have still averaged giving up 18 points a game? LOL, the numbers speak for themselves.
miles
November 9th, 2010
3:41 pm
dagnabit,
Well he is from Georgia you know, right Einstein?
allelse
November 9th, 2010
3:43 pm
I love how Auburn fans are crying about the Newton saga. You guys are REALLY trying to argue this dude is taking his own tests at Auburn? LOL, are you really going to insult your fine university’s academic integrity like that over a rental player?? For real???
CaN NeWt0n
November 9th, 2010
3:48 pm
y0,
I AiNt CaM NeWtOn, I sWoRe, bUt yAlL bEe hAtIn oN dIs BrOtHa jUsT cUz hE bEe BlAk. I cAn SaY 4 SiRtUn hE bEe TaKiN hIs oWn TeStS aT AwBuRn aNd PasSiN dAt $hIt!!! He BeE REeL sMaRt. TrUsT mE, I kNo!!!!
johnny seed
November 9th, 2010
3:53 pm
Looks like UGA is about to start dominating Yech at engineering too with their 3 new expanded programs. Go Engineer Dawgs!!!!
quicks
November 9th, 2010
3:57 pm
Wow, Meyer really missed the boat with Newton, I mean, having a player that is an accomplice to burglary, a cheat and extortionist would look like a choir boy compared to the harden criminals he has always had that make up his team.
WashingtonDCduck
November 9th, 2010
4:03 pm
Going on the road to play at Tennessee’s 100,000 amped up Neyland Stadium when their season was not in shambles and they gave us one hell of a first half before we rattled off 35 unanswered points and blew the doors open. REMEIND ME, BUT DIDN’T LSU NEARLY LOSE TO THE ‘LOWLY’ VOLS AT HOME? Again, correct me if I’m wrong, but didn’t Oregon beat UT by more pts than Alabama? Stanford, now sitting in the BCS Top 10 for a few weeks in a row got pasted at home by Oregon. Close first half, sure, but look at the second half. Stanford shut out, and couldn’t stop Oregon – with L James running for 250+yds and 3 TDs. Going on the road to U.S.C., and they themselves calling it their Super Bowl of 2010, down year with them , yes, but don’t discount their 13 5star and nearly 30 4 star recruits- many of which will play in the NFL.
That’s not the New Mexico State, San Jose State, Hawaii, or Toledo that Boise St. has played to date going into the second Saturday of November. I’ll also add, granted Texas is no juggernaut this year, they are still tough to beat at home and they did go on the road to beat Nebraska in a blood game NU gave it all they had- UCLA goes into Austin, whoops them, and YES, whoops them… well Oregon beats UCLA 60-13. Kicks the living crap out of the Bruins on national TV. A glorified Boise St schedule? Look a little closer, and don’t make yourself sound so silly.
FYI, the Va-Tech guy makes fun of his conference. Nobody is saying over here in DC that Va-Tech plays in the AFC Central. He and all Hokies know the ACC is even, not terrible, but certainly not “great”.
Date/Time Opponent Result
Sat. 09/04/10 12:30 p.m. PT New Mexico
Won 72-0
Sat. 09/11/10
4:00 p.m. PT at Tennessee Won 48-13
Sat. 09/18/10
3:15 p.m. PT Portland State Won 69-0
Sat. 09/25/10
7:30 p.m. PT at Arizona State Won 42-31
Sat. 10/02/10
5:00 p.m. PT Stanford Won 52-31
Sat. 10/09/10
2:00 p.m. PT at Washington State Won 43-23
Sat. 10/16/10 Open Date —
Thu. 10/21/10
6:00 p.m. PT UCLA Won 60-13
Sat. 10/30/10
5:00 p.m. PT at USC Won 53-32
Sat. 11/06/10
12:30 p.m. PT Washington Won 53-16
Sat. 11/13/10
4:30 p.m. PT at California
Sat. 11/20/10 Open Date —
Fri. 11/26/10
4:00 p.m. PT Arizona
Sat. 12/04/10
Time TBA at Oregon State
sammy
November 9th, 2010
4:22 pm
Why are Auburn fans so up in arms over Cam Newton? You have one of the most scandal riddled programs in college football history, so why raise your blood pressure over this? Just admit he’s a thug and move on and enjoy your season. Denying reality is never healthy.
PTC DAWG
November 9th, 2010
4:32 pm
Top 8 BCS teams in a playoff….get it on.
PTC DAWG
November 9th, 2010
4:33 pm
One more thing, Comparative Scores are useless.
miles
November 9th, 2010
4:45 pm
DCDuck,
I had typed you a novel in response, but TB’s bullsh*t blog apparently has a mind of it’s own. Just to summarize, it’s not Oregon’s fault that UT sucks, but the fact still remains, they suck. The wins over USC and Stanford were impressive, but running up the scores were obviously involved, also in several other of Oregon’s games. By the end of the season, Auburn would have played a guaranteed 9 teams at .500 or better, with a possibility of a couple of more finishing the same. Oregon is only guaranteed with 3 definitely finishing .500 or better.
You really can’t dispute the numbers.
GTBob
November 9th, 2010
4:46 pm
Are SEC fans really pretending like Oregon is not a good team now? You’ve gotta be kidding me.
miles
November 9th, 2010
4:47 pm
UGA beat UT by almost the exact same margin. You aren’t going to say UGA is comparable to Oregon now are you, DCDuck??? I agree with PTC DAWG
Glory Glory
November 9th, 2010
4:47 pm
My projection is that Georgia will continue to dominate tech in football, and starting in 2012, in engineering too. Finally, a university where the engineers won’t be VIRGINS!
SUCK IT, NERDS!!!
miles
November 9th, 2010
4:47 pm
GTBob,
Not at all. They are a GOOD team. But worthy of a title shot with a Boise-esque schedule? Nope.
miles
November 9th, 2010
4:49 pm
And one last thing, the ACC is a disaster. Worst major football conference by a mile. You can’t say they are “even” with only ONE team in the top 25 ten weeks into the season. Come on now…..
wesleywhatwhat
November 9th, 2010
4:55 pm
bring on a 4 or 8 or 12 team playoff system already and let’s play some MEANINGFUL games after the league titles are decided.
wesleywhatwhat
November 9th, 2010
5:03 pm
hey miles, if you paid more attention, you’d notice that the big east has ZERO teams in the top 25.
this week
next week, all of these numbers will have changed and your point (such as it is), will be moot.
but at least u got to talk trash about the acc, right? your life is finally a success.
GTBob
November 9th, 2010
5:24 pm
Ok miles, who should play in the title game then? Auburn and LSU? I’m guessing you don’t think too much of the Big 10 or the Big 12 either.
Not So Fast
November 9th, 2010
5:50 pm
Hey Auburn:
face the facts, Cam Newton’s Dirty. 1) Stolen Property 2) Academic Cheating 3) Pay for play. Compared to Cam Newton, Reggie Bush was a Choir Boy
WashingtonDCduck
November 9th, 2010
6:00 pm
MILES, alright. I responded back with a great response, but LOL, I can’t submit it. Maybe my book response is too long.
Just saying u cant take a knee in the fourth all quarter long. Oregon’s #2’s and #3’s were whooping up their defense with the SAME play, and we just ran by them. No 4 WR’s spread out chucking the rock, just running it every time and we still got 50pts a game. Not running it up, what else are the Ducks going to do??
WashingtonDCduck
November 9th, 2010
6:02 pm
Also, check out BIG EAST. Way worse than ACC. The ACC still is not very great, but Big East (in terms of big boy conferences) should be replaced this year with the Mountain West. Oh well, you cant and wont, so what are you going to do?
MILES- you’ve got issues if you think Oregon doesnt deserve a shot in the title game this year. Not the 2009 Oregon team, but the 2010 with Darron Thomas at QB not Masoli. Big difference.
Bucky Badger
November 9th, 2010
6:12 pm
Not So Fast, You don’t need any proof to draw a conclusion?…Your an idiot!
Bucky Badger
November 9th, 2010
6:17 pm
There was “Proof” on Bush. Hardly a :Choir Boy”… Not so Bright!
gcs
November 9th, 2010
7:23 pm
Auburn BCS
LSU Sugar
Alabama Capital One
Arkansas Cotton
Florida Outback
MSU Liberty
South Carolina Chick-fil-A
Kentucky Music City
Georgia Independence
.
HMMMmmmmmmmm!!!!!!!!!!!!!
November 9th, 2010
7:24 pm
Hoping TCU and Boise St. end up playing for the NC. Be the best thing that could happen so we can finally get rid of this sham call the BCS Nat. Champ. and maybe get around to a playoff.
BCS Nat. Champ. no matter who wins it……it’s a farce!
bob
November 9th, 2010
7:40 pm
Dan Hawkins is out there, he built Boise St from nothing.